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NASDAQ Will the 4H MA100 come to the rescue?Nasdaq (NDX) is trading within a 3-week Channel Up, which is currently supported by the 4H MA100 (green trend-line). In fact, the price is being squeezed in the last three 4H candles within the 4H MA100 and the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). This tight compression technically tends to cause violent break-outs either way. As long as the Channel Up holds, we expect that to be upwards and it should be confirmed by the formation of a 4H MACD Bullish Cross. With the last two major rallies being around +9.50%, we expect to see 22500 on the next Leg Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TradingShot
NAS100 - Will the stock market continue to rise!?The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading within the specified range. In case of a valid break of this range, I expect a new trend to form. In case of corrective movements towards the demand zone, we can buy Nasdaq in that range with an appropriate reward for the risk. A recent report from Bank of America reveals that investors are actively repositioning in global markets. For the second consecutive week, U.S.equities experienced capital outflows, while European stocks saw inflows for the seventh straight week. Digital assets attracted $2.6 billion in inflows—the largest amount since January. In contrast, Japanese equities recorded the largest weekly outflow in history, while emerging markets equities attracted their highest inflows of 2025. Meanwhile, emerging markets debt also posted its strongest inflows since January 2023. Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, speaking at the 2025 Reagan National Economic Forum, warned that China will not yield to U.S. trade pressure. He urged that the U.S. must first address its internal challenges, including reforming laws, taxes, immigration, education, and healthcare systems. Dimon also underscored the importance of preserving military alliances. He noted that China is a serious and potential rival, and if the United States fails to maintain its position as the world’s dominant economic and military power over the next 40 years, the dollar will no longer serve as the global reserve currency. Having just returned from China, Dimon added, “The Chinese are not afraid; don’t expect them to bow to America.” Currently, markets are pricing in two interest rate cuts totaling 50 basis points by the end of 2025—a forecast aligned with the Federal Reserve’s official dot plot projections. Additionally, the latest FOMC minutes, which revealed policymakers’ concerns over persistent inflationary pressures, played a significant role in shaping these expectations. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that he would support rate cuts later this year if tariffs remain around an average of 10%. However, his support hinges on inflation moving toward the Fed’s 2% target and the labor market maintaining its current strength. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley projects that the U.S. dollar could weaken by approximately 9% by mid-2026, citing a slowdown in U.S. economic growth and an anticipated 175 basis point reduction in the Fed’s interest rates. The bank also forecasts that 10-year Treasury yields will reach 4% by the end of 2025 but fall sharply in 2026 as rates decline further. Both Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan hold a bearish outlook on the dollar, expecting safe-haven currencies such as the euro, yen, and Swiss franc to benefit the most from its weakness. In this context, market participants are closely watching key economic data in the week ahead. The ISM Manufacturing PMI is scheduled for release on Monday, followed by the Non-Manufacturing PMI on Wednesday. However, the main highlight will be Friday’s May Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which has exceeded expectations over the past two months. A similar result this time would signal continued strength in the labor market. Given the Fed’s focus on inflation risks, special attention will likely be paid to the average hourly earnings growth. If wage growth remains above 3%, the market may begin to reprice some of its expectations for rate cuts—especially if the ISM reports also indicate improved economic activity in line with strong S&P Global readings. Such a scenario could pave the way for a renewed strengthening of the U.S. dollar. Alongside the data releases, a series of speeches from key Federal Reserve officials—including Goolsbee (Chicago), Bostic (Atlanta), Logan (Dallas), and Harker (Philadelphia)—are expected. These remarks could further shape market expectations regarding the future path of monetary policy.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
US100 - Bullish Momentum Favors Upside ContinuationThe US Tech 100 is displaying strong bullish momentum after successfully breaking above the critical resistance level at 20,659.8, which had previously acted as a significant barrier. Currently trading at 21,316 the index has demonstrated impressive upward trajectory following what appears to be a healthy consolidation phase around the key resistance-turned-support zone. The technical setup strongly favors continuation to the upside as the higher probability scenario, with the breakout above 20,659.8 potentially opening the door for further gains toward higher resistance levels. However, prudent risk management suggests taking this rally piece by piece, monitoring how price action develops at each significant level while watching for any signs of exhaustion or pullback that might offer better entry opportunities. The bullish bias remains intact as long as the index maintains its position above the former resistance level, which should now serve as dynamic support for any potential retracements. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by financialflagship
15-minute chart, there exists another Fair Value Gap!Gold Price Technical Analysis. At present, gold is exhibiting signs of continued bearish momentum as it trades below the 50% retracement level of the 30-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG). The fact that this critical level has been broken suggests a weakening of bullish strength in the short-term timeframe, and reinforces the likelihood of further downward pressure on the price. Moreover, on the 15-minute chart, there exists another Fair Value Gap just below the current market level, which is offering minor support for the time being. This area has been acting as a temporary cushion, slowing the pace of decline; however, its sustainability remains uncertain under the current market sentiment. Should gold decisively break below the 15-minute FVG as well, it would indicate a deeper structural weakness and open the possibility for an extended bearish move. In such a scenario, the next potential support level lies around the 3293 mark, which could act as a short-term target for sellers and a critical level for buyers to watch for possible reversal signals. Traders and investors are advised to monitor price action closely around these key levels, as further developments could define the next major move in gold's short- to medium-term trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
NASDAQ got the 4H MA50 confirmation it neededNasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 21 bottom and last week it unfolded its latest technical Bearish Leg. As the 4H RSI bottomed on the 30.00 oversold barrier and the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross, that Leg bottomed and today the index gave the confirmation of the new Bullish Leg by breaking above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). This is similar to the April 21 bottom, so we expect at least a minimum of +9.18% rise on the current Bullish Leg, which gives a 22500 short-term Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TradingShot
US100 (NASDAQ) BREAKOUT BLUEPRINT: LOOT LIKE A SMART TRADER!🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST: STEAL THE TREND LIKE A MARKET BANDIT! 🚨💰 Locked & loaded for the US100 (NASDAQ 100) heist? This slick blueprint cracks the code to loot profits—blending killer technicals with macro intel. Ride the bullish wave, but dodge traps near the Overbought Zone. Bears lurk, so secure your bag before the reversal hits! 🐻💨 🎯 ENTRY: STRIKE LIKE A PRO THIEF Long the breakout near 21,500.0 (or ambush pullbacks at 20,400.0 & 19600.0). Set stealth alerts to catch moves in real-time. 🕶️🔔 🛡️ STOP LOSS: ESCAPE ALIVE Hide stops under the last 4H swing low/wick—no reckless bets! Adjust for your risk—survivors play smart. ⚡ 💸 TAKE PROFIT: VANISH WITH THE LOOT Main Target: 22,250.0 (or bail early if momentum fades). Scalpers: Trail stops & ghost out with quick wins. 🏃‍♂️💨 📡 WHY THIS HEIST WORKS NASDAQ 100’s on fire: Fundamentals + COT data + macro tides align. Sentiment’s bullish, but stay sharp—links below for the full intel. 🔍🌐 ⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = POLICE SIRENS Avoid new trades during high-impact news. 📢 Lock profits with trailing stops if you’re already in. 🔐 🤝 JOIN THE TRADING MAFIA Smash LIKE, drop a comment, & let’s dominate the US100! � Ready for the next big move? Stay tuned. 👀 Happy hunting, chart pirates! 🏴‍☠️📉
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Thief_Trader
NASDAQ: Needs to reclaim the 4H MA50.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.436, MACD = 467.180, ADX = 28.529) as it maintains its long term bullish trend through the Channel Up pattern, which recently is transitioning into a Rising Wedge. We are willing to turn bullish again upon a 4H candle closing over the 4H MA50 and aim for a +11.17% rise (TP = 23,000) on the HH trendline, like the April 21st rebound did. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
NASDAQ 100 Setup After Bearish Pullback. My Bullish Game Plan!🚀 NASDAQ US100 Update – Key Levels I'm Watching 💡📈 Looking at the NAS100 right now, we’ve seen a strong rally kick off after the weekend 📊🔥 — this comes on the back of an aggressive bearish pullback last week 📉. 📌 My bias is bullish, but with a condition: I want to see price retrace into the 10-minute fair value gap and hold above the previous low 🧠🔍. If we get a clean pullback, followed by a continuation with higher highs and higher lows, I’ll be watching closely for the first bullish break after that next pullback — that’s where I’d look to position long 🐂📈. 🛑 Not financial advice. 👇 Drop a comment if you're watching these levels too!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
NAS100 - Will the stock market go down?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the ascending channel breaks, expect corrective moves, and if this channel line is maintained, its upward path will be available to the next supply range. In that range, we can also sell Nasdaq with appropriate risk-reward. With Donald Trump announcing a 50% tariff on imports from the European Union, trade tensions have once again taken center stage in global economic news, temporarily drawing attention away from more structural issues. However, these new developments have not diminished deeper concerns about the U.S. debt crisis and the federal government’s fiscal policies. Last week, the release of details regarding a new budget bill in Congress—coupled with Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating—sparked renewed anxiety in the markets about America’s fiscal stability. These concerns have now taken on more complexity amid the intensifying trade conflict. The bill, which narrowly passed through the House of Representatives, could potentially add up to $4 trillion to the federal debt. This projection triggered a sharp reaction in the U.S. Treasury market, causing long-term bond yields to rise significantly. Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on European goods—specifically naming iPhones—negatively impacted market sentiment in U.S. equities. Past trade confrontations with China suggest that Trump typically avoids actions that significantly harm the stock market and tends to retreat from hardline positions. Thus, buying the dip might be a sound strategy, though accurately timing entry is crucial. Pinpointing the right entry time remains difficult, and perhaps the most reliable signal would come directly from Trump himself. With the July 9 deadline for the tariffs approaching and no formal trade agreement in place, the best course for market participants is to remain cautious and watch for any signs of a policy reversal. Despite persistent worries over budget deficits and rising Treasury yields, Morgan Stanley remains bullish on the outlook for U.S. equities and bonds. Morgan Stanley projects the following: • The S&P 500 is expected to reach 6,500 by mid-2026, representing a roughly 10% gain from current levels. Key drivers of this growth include lower interest rates, a weaker dollar, and productivity gains fueled by artificial intelligence. • The recent spike in the 10-year Treasury yield is considered temporary, with expectations that it will decline to around 3.45% by mid-2026. There is still no strong evidence of a significant outflow of foreign capital from U.S. markets. Although the upcoming week will be shortened due to the Memorial Day holiday on Monday, a packed economic calendar starting Tuesday is expected to quickly reenergize market activity. Tuesday will bring the release of durable goods orders for April and the consumer confidence index for May—two data points that could provide clearer insight into domestic demand and household spending trends. On Wednesday afternoon, attention will turn to the minutes from the May FOMC meeting, where investors will search for clues about potential shifts in the Federal Reserve’s tone regarding future rate cuts. Thursday will be loaded with key economic indicators: weekly jobless claims, the first estimate of Q1 GDP, and existing home sales data. The week will conclude on Friday with the release of the Core PCE Price Index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, which plays a pivotal role in shaping its monetary policy decisions. Meanwhile, Nvidia is preparing to launch its new AI chip, Blackwell, in the Chinese market at a more affordable price. Based on the Blackwell architecture, the chip will be priced between $6,500 and $8,000—lower than the H20 model, which costs between $10,000 and $12,000. This price reduction results from simpler technical specifications and a lower-cost manufacturing process. The new chip uses GDDR7 memory instead of high-bandwidth memory and lacks the advanced CoWoS packaging technology.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
US100 Tests Uptrend: Bearish Signals Emerge❗️ US100 Bearish Alert ❗️ Technical Breakdown Incoming? 📉 The NASDAQ 100 has hit a new local low and is now testing the uptrend line. 🔴 A bearish block order has formed. 📉 RSI signals clear bearish divergence. 📉 MACD confirms momentum is fading for bulls. 🧲 A gap below is acting like a magnet for price action! 🚨 Trade Idea: 🔽 Sell US100 only on a confirmed break below 21070 🎯 TP1: 20745 🎯 TP2: 20188 📊 All indicators point to potential downside – are you prepared?
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by filatovarthur
Risk-Off Mode: Indices Under Pressure, VIX Breakout in Play!🌍 Indices Under Pressure as Volatility Spikes – Market Analysis (May 22, 2025) 🚨 My TradingView multi-chart workspace is tracking major global indices alongside the VIX (bottom right). The visual tells the story: broad-based selling is hitting equities, and the VIX is on the rise, signaling a clear risk-off environment. Key Observations: Indices in the Red: All major indices in my workspace are under pressure, with sharp declines across the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow, DAX, and others. This aligns with today’s global heatmaps, which are flashing red across sectors and regions. The selling is broad, not just isolated to tech or cyclicals. VIX Volatility Index Elevated: The VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) is spiking, up over 15% today and holding above the 20 level (FXEmpire). This “fear gauge” confirms that traders are hedging aggressively and bracing for more turbulence. Historically, a rising VIX alongside falling indices is a classic sign of heightened uncertainty and potential for further downside. Macro & Geopolitical Backdrop: The selling pressure is fueled by persistent US-China trade tensions, new tariffs, and a lack of clear central bank support. The White House remains firm on its trade stance, while the Fed is not signaling imminent rate cuts (VT Markets). This policy vacuum is amplifying volatility and risk aversion. Global Sentiment: Asian and European markets are also deep in the red, with historic single-day losses in some indices. The “Magnificent Seven” US tech stocks have entered bear market territory, and even traditional safe havens like gold are seeing some liquidation as investors scramble for cash. What’s Next? Short-Term Outlook: With the VIX elevated and indices breaking key support levels, expect continued choppiness and possible further downside. Macro data releases and any shift in trade rhetoric will be key catalysts. Defensive positioning and risk management are crucial in this environment. Potential for Rebound: If we see a de-escalation in trade tensions or dovish signals from central banks, a relief rally is possible. But for now, the path of least resistance appears lower, with volatility likely to remain high. Summary: The charts don’t lie – indices are under heavy selling pressure, and the VIX is confirming a risk-off mood. Stay nimble, watch for headline risks, and be prepared for more volatility in the days ahead. 📉🟥⚡
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by fxtraderanthony
NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Signals Reversal from Discount PricingGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis, we are closely monitoring NAS100USD for a potential reversal of bearish institutional order flow. While the broader trend has been bearish, current price action presents strong confluence for a bullish shift, suggesting an opportunity to align with a possible upside move. Market Context: NAS100USD is currently trading in deep discount territory, which historically presents favorable conditions for institutional accumulation. We’ve observed a liquidity sweep—price took out previous sell stops—suggesting institutions may have order-paired against willing sellers at these discounted levels. Key Observations: SMT Divergence with S&P500: While the S&P500 took out its previous low, NAS100USD remained above its corresponding low. This divergence signals underlying strength and institutional buying on NAS100USD, offering a strong indication of a reversal. Bullish Structure Hints: Minor breaks in market structure to the upside are emerging, further validating the bullish narrative. Institutional Support Zone: Price is currently trading inside a bullish order block that is also aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG)—a strong confluence zone that may act as support for continued upside movement. Trading Strategy: Await confirmation of support holding within the order block and FVG zone. Target 1: Relatively equal highs just above current price action—an engineered liquidity pool where buy stops are likely resting. Target 2: The premium FVG, a key area of institutional interest where longs accumulated at a discount will be offloaded for profit. The area of fair value is an region where the institutions start to book their profits. By reading the divergence, price action, and institutional behavior, we can strategically position ourselves to capitalize on a high-probability reversal. Happy Trading, The Architect 🏛📊
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
7
Nasdaq’s Next Move Revealed This Week – Don’t Miss the Breakout Following a strong surge at the start of the trading week, the Nasdaq reached a new high since March 26th. At this juncture, I anticipate a potential pullback before any sustained upward movement. My analysis suggests monitoring for a retracement to the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), where price action will likely provide critical insights. I see two probable scenarios: 1. A move to the NWOG, followed by a strong bounce, potentially targeting a new all-time high, as some market commentators have suggested. 2. A weak reaction at the NWOG, leading to a breakdown below this level, with 16,000 as the next key support target. This week's price action will be pivotal in determining the Nasdaq's near-term direction. I recommend close observation of these levels and disciplined risk management when positioning for either outcome.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Almenio
At this point market successfully taped into the!Gold Market Analysis – Bullish Momentum Building Gold has recently broken through a significant call option (CE) resistance level, signaling heightened bullish aggression among market participants. This breakout suggests that buyers are currently in control, pushing prices decisively above the CE threshold. At this point, the market has successfully tapped into the previous swing low liquidity and appears to be forming buy-side liquidity above the current price action. With this structure, we anticipate a potential move toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone marked on the chart. A clean breakout above this FVG, followed by a retest and successful hold of that level, would serve as a strong confirmation of continued bullish intent. Should this scenario play out, our next upside targets lie in the 3320–3330 range. Traders are advised to monitor price action closely and wait for confirmation signals before making entries. Strategic decision-making is key—avoid emotional trading and prioritize high-probability setups. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
NASDAQ: Channel Up to soon initate the new bullish wave.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.876, MACD = 566.960, ADX = 50.516) as it is still holding the Channel Up of almost 1 month back, whose support is the 1H MA200. Right now the price is consolidating around the 1H MA50, approaching the bottom of the pattern. Once it does, we expect it to initate the new bullish wave. With the shortest one of the Channel Up being +5.90%, we remain bullish here and look towards a TP = 22,250 by early next week. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope