USDJPY Technicals Price reacting near a key horizontal support level just below 145.00, where a visible bounce is attempting to form. This level has been tested multiple times, establishing it as a reliable demand zone, and price is now trying to stabilize after a sharp drop from the 146.20s. The recent move downward followed a failed bullish breakout attempt near a local resistance (highlighted with a red circle), which then turned into a supply zone around 145.70–145.80. That area has since capped further upside, resulting in a sell-off.
At current levels, there's a combination of technical signals suggesting a potential reversal or at least a short-term bounce. First, price has reached a structurally important area where previous buying interest was observed. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 30-minute chart shows values around 38–40, indicating the market is entering oversold territory without being extremely extended, which often aligns with corrective moves or base formations.
Volume analysis also supports the reversal idea. The recent bearish candles approaching the 145.00 support zone show decreasing bearish volume, followed by a slight uptick in buying pressure (as shown by the magenta lightning bolt icon), hinting at potential absorption of selling pressure and the beginning of buyer interest. This could mark the end of the down leg and the start of a higher low structure.
The projected path drawn on the chart suggests a bullish recovery scenario where price reclaims the mid-145s, retests prior minor resistance levels, and attempts to push toward the 146.00 handle again. However, this move is only valid if price holds above the current support. A breakdown below 144.90 would invalidate this idea and may lead to deeper downside.
In summary, the setup favors a bullish reversal off support, aided by RSI recovering from oversold conditions, a slowdown in bearish momentum, and historical support alignment. That said, price action confirmation (like bullish engulfing or a strong reclaim candle) is necessary to initiate a long position with tighter risk below the support base.
