USD/JPY Bearish Setup - Breakout from Ascending ChannelUSD/JPY Bearish Setup – Breakout from Ascending Channel
Price action on USD/JPY has broken down from an ascending channel, signaling potential bearish momentum ahead. The breakdown suggests a possible continuation toward lower support levels.
1st Support Level: 144.800 – 144.200
2nd Support Level: 143.000 – 142.400
Watch for price consolidation or retests at the 1st support level. A clean break below this zone could open the path toward the 2nd support level.
Key Notes:
Bearish volume increase post-breakout
Ichimoku cloud starting to thin, showing weakening bullish momentum
Structure favors selling rallies below the channel
📉 Bias: Bearish
💡 Plan: Wait for confirmation on lower timeframes before entering short positions
Usdjpyshort
USDJPY Setup: Prime Buy Zone with a Clear Target!Good morning my friends,
I've prepared a fresh USDJPY analysis just for you.
Currently, the most logical buy zone sits at 147.170. If price reaches this level and performs a retest, it’s likely to target the 149.185 level.
I'll personally be entering at 147.170 and waiting for my target: 149.000.
This setup is based on the 4-hour timeframe, so it may take some time to reach the target.
Every single like you give is a major source of motivation for me to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks so much to everyone supporting with a like!
USDJPY Short from ResistanceHello Traders
In This Chart USDJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USD/JPY on the 1D timeframeBased on the chart I provided for USD/JPY on the 1D timeframe, here is the target analysis:
📉 Downtrend Analysis:
The chart is showing a descending channel, indicating a bearish trend.
Price has been respecting the upper and lower bounds of the channel.
Two target zones are marked with labels “TakeProfit”, suggesting projected bearish targets.
🎯 Identified Targets:
1. First Target Zone (TakeProfit):
📍 Around 152.00
This is the first expected support area where price may bounce or consolidate.
2. Second Target Zone (TakeProfit):
📍 Around 146.50 – 146.00
This level aligns with historical support and volume profile concentration.
USD/JPY) Bullish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, with a focus on a support-resistance structure and trend
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Market Structure:
Price is moving in a clear uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows.
A recent pullback into a support zone suggests potential for a bullish continuation.
2. Key Zones:
Support Zone: Around 147.00–147.50, highlighted in yellow — the area where price recently bounced.
Resistance Zone: Around 148.800–149.300, which price is expected to break through.
Target Point: Clearly marked at 150.519, aligning with the prior high and a projected bullish extension.
3. EMA (200):
The 200 EMA (blue) is at 146.489, far below current price — signaling strong bullish momentum.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is at 61.14, showing bullish momentum without being overbought — supportive of further upside.
No divergence is noted, which supports trend continuation.
5. Projection (Drawn Path):
The chart suggests price may bounce from support, break through resistance, and rally toward 150.519, possibly after a retest of the resistance-turned-support.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Near 147.00–147.50 (support)
Confirmation: Bullish candlestick pattern or strong bounce
Target: 150.519
Invalidation: Break and close below 146.489 (200 EMA) or sustained move below support zone
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USDJPY Cooking Something – Here's Where I’ll BiteTHE BATTLE OF MY BLUE LINES 📉
The big picture of USDJPY is BUY possible up to 149.35.
I see H1 send me love note to BUY (range) but 15m reject it by forming SELL range.
Conflict? No! This means there is temporary reversal (BEARISH).
Two top BLUE LINES (147.75/85) are where I can SELL my love story. I will first wait H4 to Kiss either of the line. Since 15m SELL range already formed, I ’ll jump in like a love-struck fool (AGGRESSIVE).
TP: Middle BLUE LINE (147.21) = Dating spot for Buyers.
Middle BLUE LINES (147.21, 147.00)
If H4 price come and KISS (touches and leave wick) in either of these, I’m rushing to 15m to catch that BUY breakout.
If H4 price come and CUDDLE (close by body),I’ll cozy up to SELL (after confirmation) and ride it all the way down to 146.42, the Bottom BLUE LINE. 📉
In Bottom BLUE LINE (146.42) = Buyers Chilling Zone
If H4 price come and KISS (touches and leave wick), I’m rushing down to 15m to catch that BUY breakout — love at first touch!
If H4 price come and CUDDLE (close by body), my trading heartbreak season will start!
WISH ME LUCK.!!!
USDJPY– DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25📊 USDJPY– DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:USDJPY
USD/JPY) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a potential rally toward the 149.191–149.202 resistance zone. Here's the full breakdown
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Technical Analysis – USD/JPY (4H)
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Support
Price recently filled a Fair Value Gap (FVG) level (yellow box) and is now pulling back toward it.
The FVG zone is expected to act as a support and potential entry point for buyers (marked by the green upward arrow).
2. Uptrend Structure
Price is moving within an ascending trendline, suggesting bullish market structure.
The current retracement is seen as a higher low setup, aligning with bullish continuation logic.
3. 200 EMA as Support
The 200 EMA at 146.198 is providing dynamic support.
Confluence between the EMA, FVG, and ascending trendline strengthens the bullish bias.
4. Resistance Target Zone
The projected target zone is between 149.191–149.202, which aligns with a previous high and key resistance level.
This zone is highlighted as the final take-profit area.
5. RSI Momentum
RSI is at 57.11, showing positive momentum but not yet overbought — which supports further upside.
RSI remains above 50, maintaining bullish momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Bias: Bullish
Current Price: 147.653
Support Zone (FVG): 146.20–146.92 (approx)
Trendline Support: Uptrend line intact
200 EMA: Acting as dynamic support (146.198)
Resistance Target: 149.191–149.202
RSI: 57.11 – healthy bullish momentum
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
USDJPY SELLUSD/JPY rises further and approaches 148.00 as the US Dollar firms up
The US Dollar rallies for the second consecutive day against the Yen, and approaches 148.00. Strong US data support the Fed's "wait and see" stance and underpin demand for the US Dollar. In Japan, the uncertain political context is likely to deter the BoJ from hiking interest rates further.
Previous market optimism is turning into caution as the market shifts its focus to the monetary policy reports by the Bank of Japan and the US Federal Reserve due next week.
The Fed is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged next week, more so after the strong US business activity and Jobless Claims figures released on Thursday. These data confirmed that the US economy remains resilient with a healthy labour market, which gives further leeway for the Fed to await further insight into the impact of tariffs before resuming rate cuts. The US Dollar has been trading higher following Thursday’s releases.
Also on Thursday, US President Trump paid an unusual visit to the Federal Reserve, only a few days ahead of their monetary policy meeting. Trump complained about the overcosts of the headquarters’ renovation and pressed for a less restrictive monetary policy, but his unusually soft comments after the visit eased investors’ concerns about the previous attacks on the central bank's independence.
In Japan, the somewhat softer Tokyo inflation figures seen on Friday and the trade deal would help the BoJ to continue hiking interest rates, but the bank is likely to stand pat next week and probably delay further monetary tightening until the political situation clarifies. This is likely to keep the Yen upside attempts subdued in the near-term.
SUPPORT 147.642
SUPPORT 147.311
SUPPORT 146.854
RESISTANCE 148.206
RESISTANCE 147.972
Continuation of downtrend. Waiting for confirmation SELL USDJPY✏️ OANDA:USDJPY is starting a corrective downtrend. Yesterday's New York session's selling pressure surpassed the buying liquidity zone around 147,000. This further confirms the possibility of the pair continuing its downward correction. Some recovery waves in today's Asia-Europe session are considered a good opportunity to SELL towards the target of 144,300 (trailline zone of the h4 frame). Pay attention to the important breakout price zone of 145,900.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 145,900-144,300
Resitance: 147,000-147,800
SELL trigger: Rejection from 147,000
SELL 147,700 (Strong resistance + SMA 20)
Target 144,400
SELL DCA: Break 145,900
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
USD/JPY) bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling a potential drop toward the 145.200 – 145.191 target zone. Here's the detailed breakdown:
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Technical Analysis – USD/JPY (1H)
1. Rising Channel Breakdown
Price has broken below an ascending channel, confirming a trend line breakout and signaling a trend shift from bullish to bearish.
The trend line cut and rejection from the upper resistance zone support the bearish reversal.
2. Key Support Breakout
A crucial horizontal support zone around 147.80–148.00 was broken.
The break-and-retest of this area (yellow box) acts as a confirmation of bearish momentum continuation.
3. Bearish Momentum Below EMA
Price is trading below the 200 EMA (147.659) — a strong signal of downward bias on this timeframe.
The EMA has flipped from dynamic support to resistance.
4. RSI Oversold but Bearish
RSI is at 29.41, in oversold territory, which may hint at a short-term bounce.
However, the broader structure suggests more downside potential before a deeper retracement.
5. Target Projection
Projected target zone is between 145.200–145.191, aligning with previous structure lows and likely liquidity zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary
Bias: Bearish
Current Price: 147.307
Key Resistance: 147.80–148.60 zone
Structure: Rising channel break + key support breakout
200 EMA: Above price (bearish signal)
RSI: 29.41 – oversold but momentum remains bearish
Target: 145.200–145.191
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USD/JPY 4-Hour Forex Chart4-hour chart from FOREX.com displays the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). The current rate is 147.446, with a slight increase of 0.072 (+0.05%). The chart shows recent price movements, including a notable drop within a highlighted support and resistance zone (light green and pink areas). Buy and sell prices are marked at 147.446 and 147.444, respectively, with additional price levels indicated on the right side ranging from 146.943 to 149.000. The chart includes candlestick patterns and is timestamped up to July 22, 2025.
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Japanese Yen hangs near multi-month low against USD ahead of Japan election on Sunday
The Japanese Yen drifts lower against its American counterpart for the second straight day on Friday and remains within striking distance of an over three-month low touched earlier this week. Investors now seem convinced that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) would forgo raising interest rates this year amid worries about the economic fallout from higher US tariffs
From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY pair showed some resilience below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) earlier this week, and the subsequent move up favors bullish traders. Moreover, oscillators are holding comfortably in positive territory and are still away from being in the overbought zone. However, the overnight failure to build on the momentum beyond the 149.00 mark warrants some caution. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the 149.15-149.20 region, or a multi-month peak, before positioning for a move towards reclaiming the 150.00 psychological mark.
On the flip side, the 148.20-148.25 region, or the 100-hour SMA, could offer immediate support ahead of the 148.00 mark. Some follow-through selling, leading to a slide below the 147.70 area, could make the USD/JPY pair vulnerable to accelerate the fall towards testing sub-147.00 levels. Acceptance below the latter might shift the bias in favor of bearish trades and drag spot prices to the 146.60 intermediate support en route to the 146.20 area, the 146.00 mark, and the 100-day SMA, currently pegged near the 145.80 region
1 SUPPORT147.642
2 SUPPORT 147.311
3 SUPPORT 146917
1 RESISTANCE 148.206
2 RESISTANCE 147.972
U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen - 4h Chart (FOREX.com)4-hour chart from FOREX.com shows the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). The current rate is 148.184, reflecting a decrease of 0.623 (-0.42%) as of 01:29:16. The chart highlights recent price movements over the past few hours, with a shaded area indicating a consolidation phase around the current level.
USDJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 15' OB UPDATE 📊USDJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 15' OB UPDATE
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT 📊
"USD/JPY Elliott Wave Short Setup – Targeting Key Support Zone"This chart shows a potential USD/JPY short trade setup based on Elliott Wave analysis. The price appears to have completed a 5-wave upward structure, reaching resistance near 148.75–149.19. A short position is suggested with:
Entry: Around 148.75
Stop Loss: Above 149.19
Target: 146.23–145.80 support zone
The trade aims to capture a corrective move following wave (5).
An arbitrage chance: NZ Dollar goes down & JP Yen goes upDue to economies trends and currency policies, USDJPY is going down in a long term (3 to 5 years) and NZDUSD is also going down in the next 3 years
Except for trend following trade for these 2 pairs, you can also set buy limit at the bottom of a value box for NZDJPY and sell limit at the top boarder of this box. Will take good P/L and good win rate positions for this crosspairs
USDJPY SELLJapanese Yen adds to intraday losses; USD/JPY climbs to 148.80 amid broad-based USD strength
The Japanese Yen selling remains unabated through the early European session on Thursday, which along with a goodish pickup in the US Dollar demand, lifts the USD/JPY pair to the 148.80 region in the last hour. Data released earlier today showed that Japan clocked a smaller-than-expected trade surplus in June.
From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY pair showed some resilience below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) on Wednesday, and the subsequent move up favors bullish traders. Moreover, oscillators are holding comfortably in positive territory and are still away from being in the overbought zone, suggesting that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside. Hence, some follow-through strength back towards the 149.00 mark, en route to the overnight swing high near the 149.15-149.20 region, looks like a distinct possibility. The upward trajectory could extend further towards reclaiming the 150.00 psychological mark for the first time since late March.
On the flip side, the 148.00 round figure now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the Asian session low, around the 147.70 region. The latter nears the 100-hour SMA, below which the USD/JPY pair could retest sub-147.00 levels. Some follow-through selling might shift the bias in favor of bearish trades and drag spot prices to the 146.60 intermediate support en route to the 146.20 area, the 146.00 mark, and the 100-day SMA support, currently pegged near the 145.80 region\
TP 1 147.931
TP 2 147.342
TP 3 146716
RESISTANCE 149.233
USD/JPY 4-Hour Chart Analysis4-hour chart displays the price movement of the U.S. Dollar against the Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) from June to August 2025. The chart shows a significant upward trend in July, followed by a correction. Key levels are highlighted, including support at 147.031 and resistance at 150.130, with the current price at 148.809. The chart suggests a potential bullish continuation, as indicated by the upward arrow and green box, targeting higher levels above 150.000.