GBPUSD: MACD Cross confirms more upsideGBPUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.696, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 36.278) as it's been inside a Channel Up since the start of the year (January 13th 2025 low). At the moment the 1D MA50 is holding and provides the short term support. The 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross, validating the new bullish wave. We are bullish, aiming for another +3.63% HH rise (TP = 1.3600).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
DJ FXCM Index
gold on sideways#XAUUSD have retest below 3283 which reverse back above 3314, now we expect bullish to take place from 3317.44.
Above the zone 3317.44 shows a bullish breakout which will target 3346 back. Stop loss 3307
Below 3307 have bearish formation which will continue selling till 3284 next bearish zone-3260.
BREAKOUT OR REJECTION? WATCH 0.64137 KEY ZONE CLOSELY! AUDUSD 22/05 – BREAKOUT OR REJECTION? WATCH 0.64137 KEY ZONE CLOSELY!
🌐 MACRO OVERVIEW
DXY is starting to lose momentum after a sharp rally fueled by the Fed’s hawkish stance. However, there’s still no clear signal of an imminent rate cut.
Meanwhile, the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) maintains a steady policy, offering short-term support for AUD. While rates remain unchanged, the central bank’s cautious tone adds a defensive layer for the Aussie.
On the trade front, Australia has seen marginal recovery in commodity prices, though ongoing concerns about Chinese economic slowdown continue to weigh on sentiment.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Timeframes: H1 – H4)
AUDUSD is forming a tight symmetrical triangle, with lower highs and higher lows — a typical precursor to a breakout.
The current price at 0.6418 is sitting right along the lower trendline. Price action here is critical to determine today’s direction.
🔍 Scenario A – Upside Breakout (30% probability):
If price breaks and closes above 0.64700–0.64910, we could see bullish continuation toward the 0.65134 resistance zone.
🔍 Scenario B – Breakdown (70% probability):
A strong break below 0.64137 could trigger a move toward 0.63964 and potentially deeper into the 0.63640 liquidity zone.
🎯 TODAY'S TRADE PLAN
🔵 BUY SCALP (only if price reacts strongly at trendline support)
Entry: 0.6414 – 0.6416
SL: 0.6408
TP Targets: 0.6445 → 0.6470 → 0.6490
🔴 SELL SETUP (if triangle is broken to the downside)
Entry: 0.6405 – 0.6396
SL: 0.6420
TP Targets: 0.6364 → 0.6340
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES
Expect high volatility during the U.S. session as PMI and Unemployment Claims data are released.
Stick to your TP/SL levels with discipline — the market may sweep liquidity on both sides before choosing a direction.
📌 SUMMARY:
AUDUSD is consolidating in a clean technical pattern while macro uncertainty looms. Whether we break up or down, the key is to trade what the market gives — not what we think. React to confirmation, not prediction.
Crucial levels for DXY (USD Basket), Risk Trigger On/OffCrucial levels for DXY. If it breaks lower than the lower trendline it tells me that assets like BTC, Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium and Platinum can shoot to new ATH´s. If the level holds then I think we could hit a correction in the risk assets among assets already mentioned.
TVC:DXY COMEX:HG1! OANDA:XCUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX_IDC:XAUUSD ICEUS:DXY FX_IDC:XAGUSD TVC:PLATINUM TVC:PALLADIUM
The break-up (a must-watch chart)One of the most important—and unusual—developments in the market right now is the combination of rising US bond yields and a falling US dollar.
Normally, when bond yields go up, the dollar strengthens. It's similar to a high-interest bank account: if you can earn more by holding US assets, global investors tend to pile in, increasing demand for the dollar.
But that’s not what we’re seeing today.
Instead, yields are rising while the dollar weakens—something that’s more often associated with emerging markets facing debt concerns. It signals a deeper issue: despite higher returns on offer, investors are becoming wary of the underlying fundamentals.
In short, **America’s massive debt load and relentless money printing may be starting to catch up—**even with the world’s reserve currency. And the market is beginning to take notice.
This is important to all asset classes moving forward. Keep your eyes peeled on it.
gold on buy#XAUUSD have regain the pivot support which shows bullish continuation can follow. Multiple entry's shows buy, 3294.7,3304 and 3314.6
Below 3294.7 will kick start bullish target 3346, stop loss 3282.
Below the 3273 have a strong bearish breakout which will drop the price. But depending on H4 if prices closes above 3307 then possible sell can follow from there unless price is above 3314.6
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 100.21
1st Support: 98.92
1st Resistance: 101.09
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 100.21
1st Support: 99.45
1st Resistance: 101.88
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD 1st 4H Death Cross after 7 months. Is it enough to short?The EURUSD pair just formed its first Death Cross on the 4H time-frame since October 04 2024. The last such formation signaled the bearish extension of the trend by breaking below its Higher Lows trend-line.
That was a similar Higher Lows trend-line the price rebounded on on May 12, exactly on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). With the 1D RSI on levels similar with that previous Death Cross, we will wait for confirmation before shorting again and the price to break is the Higher Low/ 1D MA50 Cluster.
If broken, our Target will be just above the 0.618 Fibonacci from the bottom at 1.07350.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GBP/USD - Triangle Breakout (16.05.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3389
2nd Resistance – 1.3441
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bouce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 100.17
1st Support: 97.91
1st Resistance: 101.93
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
STRAP IN FOR A TURBULENT WEEK DXY- USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25DXY USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
✅ U.S. dollar index is a measure of the value of the dollar against a basket of six foreign currencies.
✅The currencies are the Euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, Canadian dollar, British pound, and Swedish krona.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅ Break an d close below July 2023 key 100.00 levels.
✅ Foresee a pull back to, weekly imbalance, daily order block, daily 50ema, weekly order block and or weekly 50 ema.
✅ Awaiting to identify a significant break of structure bullish to use the DXY as confluence for our trading week 18 of Q2 toward key points of interest mentioned above.
✅ Forecasting continued bearish pressure long term.
✅Initially bullish outlook however upon price turn around. DXY to break 100.000 level again.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
Pairs to look out for -
EURUSD
USDCHF
USDJPY
USDCAD
GBPUSD
Simply an opinion -
We always trade what we see and not what were think BUT, with that said it just feels... Unnatural to place too many bets against the USD. For that reason, our points of interest are not based on order black from too far in the distant weeks and month. We have identified more conservative targets for the DXY for the week 21 in Q2.
We foresee that with the deals that have been brokered alongside the steadiness of USD market sentiment, THE DXY MAY RISE AGAIN.
We forecast continued bearish sentiment of the DXY to the key points of interest area 98.000, weekly lows/daily lows BEFORE creating a monthly higher high inline with USD strength and Trumps seeks to sure up US ambitions.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Average US Stock Rebounds as VIX Dies – But Who's Really WinningThe Value Line Geometric Index ( NYSE:VALUG ), representing the average US stock, has bounced hard off multi-year support, right as Trump makes global headlines for striking billion-dollar “deals” in the Middle East.
But let’s call this what it is:
Deregulation for aircraft, crypto, energy 🛩️💸⚡
Tariffs and restrictions on retail, green tech, and small business 🏪🌱📉
And all while sitting on personal meme coin bags worth billions.
Meanwhile, volatility ( TVC:VIX ) is back to sleep, and main street stocks are climbing — but who is actually winning here?
EUR/USD - Triangle Formation (16.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1321
2nd Resistance – 1.1376
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
USD/JPY - Trendline Breakout (14.05.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 145.34
2nd Support – 143.81
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 100.27
1st Support: 99.06
1st Resistance: 101.91
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY: FVG Then Bullish Overflow?It has been a significant week for USD/JPY. Following a break of structure (BOS) on the 4-hour timeframe, price moved away from equilibrium, leaving behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG). As the new week begins, we may observe a false move designed to induce traders into premature short positions before a potential bullish reversal—or vice versa. Additionally, given the recent BOS, price may temporarily stall to facilitate order accumulation. Next week will be pivotal in determining the pair’s next direction.
Watch out for the key levels
DXY (US Dollar): Bullish Order FlowA bullish order block has been identified on the H1 timeframe, situated below the Asian session range. With the US Dollar maintaining steady strength, there is potential for price to retrace into this order block for mitigation. Should this occur, a continuation of the bullish trend is anticipated, with price likely to rally and break above the recent structural high.
US Dollar Index 1WCurrent strengthening of DXY will not last for long. Optimal level for start of reversal is 103.122
After the reversal the downtrend will resume and go for final stage (discharge) which may look like a flash crash on the last week of June 2025 down to 96.362
Starting from July 2025 DXY will print a reversal pattern moving sideways and slightly up all the way until September 2025. In the mid-end of September we will see a major retest which will mark a start big bullish cycle and global domination of US Dollar.
AUD/USD 4H | Wave 2 Pullback in MotionAUD/USD is currently completing a corrective Wave (2) within a larger impulsive structure. After the peak of Wave (1) at 0.65145, price has been in a healthy retracement phase, now nearing key fib confluence zones.
🟣 EMA Confluence:
Price is reacting near the 100 & 200 EMA (0.6373–0.6394), which has acted as dynamic support throughout this structure.
We are currently holding above the 0.382 level, with the golden zone (0.618–0.705) sitting just below.
🔄 Bullish Continuation Scenario:
If the pair holds above 0.6285 and we see bullish confirmation candles, we may begin the next leg higher — Wave (3) — targeting 0.66250–0.66766 as initial projection zones.
📊 RSI:
The RSI is hovering just below the 50 level, showing temporary bearish pressure, but has room to recover if structure holds.
🧠 Plan:
📍 Watching 0.6285–0.6214 for final support
📍 Wave (3) target zone: 0.66500+
📍 Invalidation: Clean break and close below 0.6015
🔔 Wave (2) entries are where the patient traders shine. Eyes on structure, and let price do the heavy lifting.
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments