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Integra LifeSciences Holdings | IART | Long at $12.39Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corp NASDAQ:IART manufactures and sells surgical instruments, neurosurgical products, and wound care solutions for neurosurgery, neurocritical care, otolaryngology, orthopedics, and general surgery. The stock has fallen over the past few years due to earnings misses / lowered earnings per share guidance, slow revenue growth, and operational challenges / recalls. But the company has been around since 1989 (endured many ups and downs during that time), has over 4,000 employees, a book value near $20 (undervalued), a forward price-to-earnings between 6x-9x (depending on the source), and revenue growth beyond 2025 and into 2028. Debt is slightly high with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.2x and a quick ratio near 0.8x (company may have difficulty meeting its short-term obligations with its most liquid assets), it is thus a risky play. But the valuation and potential turnaround should get some attention. From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price has entered and exited my "crash" simple moving average area 3 times now (see green lines). While I think $10 is likely in the near-term, it appears the stock *may* be forming a bottom - especially given the book value is more than 60% from the current price. But, as always, medical device stocks are always a major investment risk, so due diligence is needed. Thus, at $12.39, NASDAQ:IART is in a buy zone with a note regarding the potential for a dip near $10 before a move up. Targets will be kept low for a swing trade. Targets: $15.00 (+21.0%) $16.50 (+33.2%)
NASDAQ:IARTLong
by WorthlessViews
Ironwood Pharmaceuticals | IRWD | Long at $0.61Ironwood Pharma NASDAQ:IRWD stock dropped ~89% in the past year due to disappointing Phase 3 Apraglutide trial results, FDA requiring an additional trial, weak Q1 2025 earnings (-$0.14 EPS vs. -$0.04 expected), high debt ($599.48M), and analyst downgrades. So why would I be interested in swing trading this company? The chart. The price has entered my "crash" simple moving average zone, which often results in a reversal - even if temporary. Also, Linzess (GI drug) revenue is steady, and I thoroughly believe that alone pushes the fair value near $0.95, if not higher. Thus, at $0.61, NASDAQ:IRWD is in a personal buy zone with the potential for additional declines before future rise. Target: $0.95 (+55.7%)
NASDAQ:IRWDLong
by WorthlessViews
Amazing breakout on WEEKLY Timeframe - FORTISCheckout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe, macroscopically seen in Daily timeframe. Having a great favor that the stock might be bullish expecting a staggering returns of minimum 25% TGT. IMPORTANT BREAKOUT LEVELS ARE ALWAYS RESPECTED! NOTE for learners: Place the breakout levels as per the chart shared and track it yourself to get amazed!! #No complicated chart patterns #No big big indicators #No Excel sheet or number magics TRADE IDEA: WAIT FOR THE STOCK TO BREAKOUT IN WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ABOVE THIS LEVEL. Checkout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe. Breakouts happening in longer timeframe is way more powerful than the breakouts seen in Daily timeframe. You can blindly invest once the weekly candle closes above the breakout line and stay invested forever. Also these stocks breakouts are lifelong predictions, it means technically these breakouts happen giving more returns in the longer runs. Hence, even when the scrip makes a loss of 10% / 20% / 30% / 50%, the stock will regain and turn around. Once they again enter the same breakout level, they will flyyyyyyyyyyyy like a ROCKET if held in the portfolio in the longer run. Time makes money, GREEDY & EGO will not make money. Also, magically these breakouts tend to prove that the companies turn around and fundamentally becoming strong. Also the magic happens when more diversification is done in various sectors under various scripts with equal money invested in each N500 scripts. The real deal is when to purchase and where to purchase the stock. That is where Breakout study comes into play. Check this stock which has made an all time low and high chances that it makes a "V" shaped recovery. > Taking support at last years support or breakout level > High chances that it reverses from this point. > Volume dried up badly in last few months / days. > Very high suspicion based analysis and not based on chart patterns / candle patterns deeply. > VALUABLE STOCK AVAILABLE AT A DISCOUNTED PRICE > OPPURTUNITY TO ACCUMULATE ADEQUATE QUANTITY > MARKET AFTER A CORRECTION / PANIC FALL TO MAKE GOOD INVESTMENT DISCLAIMER : This is just for educational purpose. This type of analysis is equivalent to catching a falling knife. If you are a warrior, you throw all the knives back else you will be sorrow if it hits SL. Make sure to do your analysis well. This type of analysis only suits high risks investor and whose is willing to throw all the knives above irrespective of any sectoral rotation. BE VERY CAUTIOUS AS IT IS EXTREME BOTTOM FISHING. HOWEVER, THIS IS HOW MULTIBAGGERS ARE CAUGHT ! STOCK IS AT RIGHT PE / RIGHT EVALUATION / MORE ROAD TO GROW / CORRECTED IV / EXCELLENT BOOKS / USING MARKET CRASH AS AN OPPURTUNITY / EPS AT SKY. LET'S PUMP IN SOME MONEY AND REVOLUTIONIZE THE NATION'S ECONOMY!
NSE:FORTISLong
by Yoyohoneysingh93
Warren Buffett's Approach to Long-Term Wealth BuildingUnderstanding Value Investing: Warren Buffett's Educational Approach to Long-Term Wealth Building Learn the educational principles behind value investing and dollar-cost averaging strategies, based on historical market data and Warren Buffett's documented investment philosophy. --- Introduction: The Million-Dollar Question Every Investor Asks Warren Buffett—the Oracle of Omaha—has consistently advocated that index fund investing provides a simple, educational approach to long-term wealth building for most investors. His famous 2007 bet against hedge funds proved this principle in dramatic fashion: Buffett wagered $1 million that a basic S&P 500 index fund would outperform a collection of hedge funds over 10 years. He crushed them. The S&P 500 returned 7.1% annually while the hedge funds averaged just 2.2%. Today, we'll explore the educational principles behind this approach—examining historical data, mathematical concepts, and implementation strategies for learning purposes. --- Part 1: Understanding Value Investing for Modern Markets Value investing isn't about finding the next GameStop or Tesla. It's about buying quality assets at attractive prices and holding them for compound growth . For beginners, this translates to: Broad Market Exposure: Own a cross-section of businesses through low-cost index funds Long-term Perspective: Think decades, not months Disciplined Approach: Systematic investing regardless of market noise "Time is the friend of the wonderful business, the enemy of the mediocre." - Warren Buffett Real-World Application: Instead of trying to pick between NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , or NASDAQ:GOOGL , you simply buy AMEX:SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) and own pieces of all 500 companies automatically. --- Part 2: Dollar-Cost Averaging - Your Secret Weapon Against Market Timing The Problem: Everyone tries to time the market. Studies show that even professional investors get this wrong 70% of the time. The Solution: Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) eliminates timing risk entirely. How DCA Works: Decide on your total investment amount (e.g., $24,000) Split it into equal parts (e.g., 12 months = $2,000/month) Invest the same amount on the same day each month Ignore market fluctuations completely DCA in Action - Real Example: Let's say you started DCA into AMEX:SPY in January 2022 (right before the bear market): January 2022: AMEX:SPY at $450 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.22 shares) June 2022: AMEX:SPY at $380 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.63 shares) December 2022: AMEX:SPY at $385 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.60 shares) Result: Your average cost per share was $405, significantly better than the $450 you would have paid with a lump sum in January. --- Part 3: The Mathematics of Wealth Creation Here's where value investing gets exciting. Let's run the actual numbers using historical S&P 500 returns: Historical Performance: - Average Annual Return: 10.3% (1957-2023) - Inflation-Adjusted: ~6-7% real returns - Conservative Estimate: 8% for planning purposes Scenario 1: The $24K Start Initial Investment: $24,000 | Annual Addition: $2,400 | Return: 8% Calculation Summary: - Initial Investment: $24,000 - Annual Contribution: $2,400 ($200/month) - Expected Return: 8% - Time Period: 20 years Results: - Year 10 Balance: $86,581 - Year 20 Balance: $221,692 - Total Contributed: $72,000 - Investment Gains: $149,692 Scenario 2: The Aggressive Investor Initial Investment: $60,000 | Annual Addition: $6,000 | Return: 10% Historical example after 20 years: $747,300 - Total Contributed: $180,000 - Calculated Investment Gains: $567,300 Educational Insight on Compound Returns: This historical example illustrates how 2% higher returns (10% vs 8%) could dramatically impact long-term outcomes. This is why even small differences in return rates can create life-changing wealth over decades. The mathematics of compound growth are both simple and incredibly powerful. --- Part 4: Investing vs. Savings - The Shocking Truth Let's compare the same contributions invested in stocks vs. a high-yield savings account: 20-Year Comparison: - Stock Investment (8% return): $221,692 - High-Yield Savings (5% return): $143,037 - Difference: $78,655 (55% more wealth!) "Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it... he who doesn't, pays it." - Often attributed to Einstein Key Insight: That extra 3% annual return created an additional $78,655 over 20 years. Over 30-40 years, this difference becomes truly life-changing. 📍 Global Savings Reality - The Investment Advantage Worldwide: The power of index fund investing becomes even more dramatic when we examine savings rates around the world. Here's how the same $24K initial + $2,400 annual investment compares globally: 🇯🇵 Japan (0.5% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $76,868 - Advantage: $144,824 (188% more wealth) 🇪🇺 Western Europe Average (3% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $107,834 - Advantage: $113,858 (106% more wealth) 🇬🇷 Greece/Southern Europe (2% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $93,975 - Advantage: $127,717 (136% more wealth) 🇰🇷 South Korea (2.5% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $100,634 - Advantage: $121,058 (120% more wealth) 💡 The Global Lesson: The lower your country's savings rates, the MORE dramatic the advantage of global index fund investing becomes. For investors in countries with minimal savings returns, staying in cash is essentially guaranteed wealth destruction when compared to broad market investing. This is exactly why Warren Buffett's advice transcends borders - mathematical principles of compound growth work the same whether you're in New York, London, or Athens. Note: Savings rates shown are approximate regional averages and may vary by institution and current market conditions. Always check current rates in your specific market for precise calculations. --- Part 5: Building Your Value Investing Portfolio Core Holdings (80% of portfolio): AMEX:SPY - S&P 500 ETF (Large-cap US stocks) AMEX:VTI - Total Stock Market ETF (Broader US exposure) LSE:VUAA - S&P 500 UCITS Accumulating (Tax-efficient for international investors) Satellite Holdings (20% of portfolio): NASDAQ:QQQ - Technology-focused (Higher growth potential) AMEX:VYM - Dividend-focused (Income generation) NYSE:BRK.B - Berkshire Hathaway (Value investing & diversification) --- Part 6: Implementation Strategy - Your Action Plan Month 1: Foundation Open a brokerage account (research low-cost brokers available in your region) Set up automatic transfers from your bank Buy your first AMEX:SPY shares 💡 Broker Selection Considerations: Traditional Brokers: Interactive Brokers, Fidelity, Vanguard, Schwab Digital Platforms: Revolut, Trading 212, eToro (check availability in your country) Key Factors: Low fees, ETF access, automatic investing features, regulatory protection Research: Compare costs and features for your specific location/needs Month 2-12: Execution Invest the same amount on the same day each month Ignore market news and volatility Track your progress in a simple spreadsheet Year 2+: Optimization Increase contributions with salary increases Consider additional core holdings like LSE:VUAA for tax efficiency Consider tax-loss harvesting opportunities Visualizing Your DCA Strategy Understanding DCA concepts is easier when you can visualize the results. TradingView offers various tools to help you understand investment strategies, including DCA tracking indicators like the DCA Investment Tracker Pro which help visualize long-term investment concepts. 🎯 Key Visualization Features: These types of tools typically help visualize: Historical Analysis: How your strategy would have performed using real market data Growth Projections: Educational scenarios showing potential long-term outcomes Performance Comparison: Comparing actual vs theoretical DCA performance Volatility Understanding: How different stocks behave with DCA over time 📊 Real-World Examples from Live Users: Stable Index Investing Success: AMEX:SPY (S&P 500) Example: $60K initial + $500/month starting 2020. The indicator shows SPY's historical 10%+ returns, demonstrating how consistent broad market investing builds wealth over time. Notice the smooth theoretical growth line vs actual performance tracking. Value Investing Approach: NYSE:BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway): Warren Buffett's legendary performance through DCA lens. The indicator demonstrates how quality value companies compound wealth over decades. Lower volatility = standard CAGR calculations used. High-Volatility Stock Management: NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Shows smart volatility detection in action. NVIDIA's explosive AI boom creates extreme years that trigger automatic switch to "Median (High Vol): 50%" calculations for conservative projections, protecting against unrealistic future estimates. Tech Stock Long-Term Analysis: NASDAQ:META (Meta Platforms): Despite being a tech stock and experiencing the 2022 crash, META's 10-year history shows consistent enough performance (23.98% CAGR) that volatility detection doesn't trigger. Standard CAGR calculations demonstrate stable long-term growth. ⚡ Educational Application: When using visualization tools on TradingView: Select Your Asset: Choose the stock/ETF you want to analyze (like AMEX:SPY ) Input Parameters: Enter your investment amounts and time periods Study Historical Data: See how your strategy would have performed in real markets Understand Projections: Learn from educational growth scenarios 🎓 Educational Benefits: This tool helps you understand: - How compound growth actually works in real markets - The difference between volatile and stable investment returns - Why consistent DCA often outperforms timing strategies - How your current performance compares to historical market patterns - The visual power of long-term wealth building As Warren Buffett said: "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." This tool helps you visualize your financial tree growing over time through actual market data and educational projections. --- Part 7: Common Mistakes to Avoid The "Perfect Timing" Trap Waiting for the "perfect" entry point often means missing years of compound growth. Time in the market beats timing the market. The "Hot Stock" Temptation Chasing individual stocks like NASDAQ:NVDA or NASDAQ:TSLA might seem exciting, but it introduces unnecessary risk for beginners. The "Market Crash" Panic Every bear market feels like "this time is different." Historical data shows that patient investors who continued their DCA through 2008, 2020, and other crashes were handsomely rewarded. --- Conclusion: Your Path to Financial Freedom Value investing through broad index funds and dollar-cost averaging isn't glamorous. You won't get rich overnight, and you won't have exciting stories about your latest trade. But here's what you will have: Proven strategy backed by decades of data Peace of mind during market volatility Compound growth working in your favor 24/7 A realistic path to serious wealth creation The Bottom Line: Warren Buffett's approach works because it's simple, sustainable, and based on fundamental economic principles. Start today, stay consistent, and let compound growth do the heavy lifting. "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." - Warren Buffett Educational Summary: Understanding these principles provides a foundation for informed decision-making. As Warren Buffett noted: "The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago. The second-best time is now" - emphasizing the educational value of understanding long-term investment principles early. --- 🙏 Personal Note & Acknowledgment This article was not entirely my own work, but the result of artificial intelligence in-depth research and information gathering. I fine-tuned and brought it to my own vision and ideas. While working with AI, I found this research so valuable for myself that I could not avoid sharing it with all of you. I hope this perspective gives you a different approach to long-term investing. It completely changed my style of thinking and my approach to the markets. As a father of 3 kids, I'm always seeking the best investment strategies for our future. While I was aware of the power of compound interest, I could never truly visualize its actual power. That's exactly why I also created the open-source DCA Investment Tracker Pro indicator - so everyone can see and visualize the benefits of choosing a long, steady investment approach. Being able to see compound growth in action makes all the difference in staying committed to a strategy. As someone truly said: compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world. --- Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by TradeVizion
Helen of Troy | HELE | Long at $27.95Helen of Troy NASDAQ:HELE , owner of brands such as OXO, Hydro Flask, Osprey, Vicks, Olive & June, etc, has witnessed an immense decline in share price since its peak in 2021 when it hit just over $265. Now, trading in the $20s... Growth has been a problem for this company (now and future projections) and a major turnaround is needed. However, NASDAQ:HELE is implementing several growth strategies for 2025-2030 under its Elevate for Growth plan and Project Pegasus, so they are very aware of the need to re-inspire investor confidence. They also announced last month the appointment of an interim CEO and CFO. With a 22M float and 12% short interest, this could get interesting. Excluding the current growth issue, the fundamentals of NASDAQ:HELE are quite strong: P/E Ratio: 5x (undervalued) Book Value: ~$70.00 a share (undervalued) Debt-to-Equity: 0.6x (healthy) Quick Ratio: Over 1 (healthy) From a technical analysis perspective, it may have just formed a double-bottom near $24-$25, but a quick drop between $10-$20 is absolutely possible if bad economic news emerges. At $27.95, NASDAQ:HELE is in a personal buy zone with a caution regarding the US economy and this company's ability to turn things around moving forward. Targets: $40.00 (+43.1%) $52.00 (+86.0%)
NASDAQ:HELELong
by WorthlessViews
1
Huntsman Corporation | HUN | Long at $11.34The stock price for Huntsman Corp NYSE:HUN , a manufacturer of organic chemical products, has dropped significantly since its peak in 2022 ($41.65). This was due to lower sales volumes, weak demand in construction and transportation, higher input costs, and European operational challenges, including a $75M hit from closing a German Maleic Anhydride facility. This year (2025) is anticipated to be its worst earnings year, and the stock is priced as such. However, this stock is historically cyclical, and the company expects recovery / growth again in 2026. Moving forward, earnings are forecast to grow and the company is trading at good value compared to peers and the industry. While many headwinds may still exist with tariffs, etc., insider are grabbing shares and large options positions (very bullish). With a book value of $17, debt-to-equity at 0.8x, quick ratio under 1, etc., the company appears healthy. From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price just barely missed my "crash" simple moving average area (currently between $9.00 and $10.50). It may reach those levels and below in 2025, for which I will add another position as long as fundamentals do not change. This moving average area often signifies "bottom" territory and historically, the stock has rebounded from this area. While my entry at $11.34 may be a little early, predicting true bottoms isn't my trading method and I hope to strengthen the position at lower trading prices. Targets: $15.00 (+32.2%) $17.25 (+49.9%)
NYSE:HUNLong
by WorthlessViews
Dollar Tree | DLTR | Long at $67.00Dollar Tree NASDAQ:DLTR has taken a massive hit to its stock price as low-income spenders are cutting back (recession red flag, anyone?). It recently touched my selected "crash" simple moving average area (white lines on the chart) and may take many years before true recovery occurs. However, the Director recently bought $150k+ in shares after this recent drop, showing confidence in the company as a whole. I don't think we'll see all-time highs again for some time, but I believe at $67.00 there is a longer-term opportunity into 2026 and beyond. This does not mean I feel the bottom has occurred yet. I wouldn't be surprised if it hits around the $50.00 mark with more bad economic news. No one truly knows. But, I personally choose to position build over time while using charts and fundamental information. At $67.00, NASDAQ:DLTR is in a personal buy zone. If it drops further and fundamentals don't nosedive, more shares will likely be added. Target #1 = $81.00 Target #2 = $88.00 Target #3 = $94.00
NASDAQ:DLTRLong
by WorthlessViews
Renault’s €2.2 BILLION Loss SHOCKER: Nissan’s Costs Hit Hard!Renault’s €2.2 BILLION Loss SHOCKER 💥: Nissan’s Turnaround Costs Hit Hard! 🚗💸 Imagine Renault and Nissan are like best friends 🤝 who share a big toy car company 🏎️. Renault owns a big piece of Nissan, kind of like having a lot of the toy car's parts 🛠️. But Nissan had a tough year because fewer people bought their cars 📉, especially in places like China 🇨🇳. To fix this, Nissan is making some big changes, like making fewer cars 🚘 and saying goodbye to some workers 👋. These changes cost a lot of money 💰, and because Renault owns part of Nissan, Renault has to share the cost 😓. This means Renault will lose some money this year, about 2.2 billion euros 💶, which is like losing a giant pile of coins! 🪙 But Renault's bosses think these changes will help Nissan make better cars and sell more in the future 🌟, so both friends can be strong again 💪. Analysis (Up to May 13, 2025): Renault Group’s announcement of a €2.2 billion hit to its first-quarter earnings 📊 stemming from its 35.71% stake in Nissan reflects the interconnected financial dynamics of their strategic alliance 🤝, as well as broader challenges in the global automotive industry 🌍. Below is an institutional-level analysis of the situation, incorporating the provided data and contextualizing it within the current market environment as of May 13, 2025 🕑. 1. Financial Impact and Impairment Context 📉 Renault’s Exposure to Nissan: Renault’s €2.2 billion earnings hit 💥 is directly tied to Nissan’s reported net loss of approximately $5 billion 📅 for the fiscal year ending March 2025. This loss includes impairments (writing down the value of assets like factories 🏭 or inventory 📦 that are no longer worth as much) and restructuring costs (expenses for layoffs 👥 and factory reductions 🔽). As a 35.71% shareholder, Renault absorbs a proportional share of Nissan’s financial setbacks 📉, which are booked as a negative contribution to Renault’s earnings 💸. Accounting Implications: The impairments reflect Nissan’s need to adjust the book value of its assets 📜 to align with weaker market performance 📊, particularly in China 🇨🇳, where sales have significantly declined 📉. Restructuring costs are linked to Nissan’s November 2024 announcement of cutting 9,000 jobs 🚫 and reducing global production capacity by 20% 🔧. These measures aim to streamline operations but involve upfront costs 💰, impacting Renault’s financials due to equity accounting rules for its Nissan stake 📈. Market Reaction: Despite the earnings hit, Renault’s shares rose 1.2% to €48.46 in early trading on the announcement day 📈, suggesting investor confidence in the long-term benefits of Nissan’s turnaround plan 🌟 or optimism about Renault’s core operations 🚗. This resilience may also reflect broader market dynamics, such as stabilizing demand in Europe 🇪🇺 or positive sentiment toward Renault’s electrification strategy ⚡. 2. Nissan’s Turnaround Plan and Strategic Rationale 🔄 Sales Decline: Nissan’s fiscal 2025 sales fell 4.3% to 3.3 million units 📉, driven by weakness in China 🇨🇳, Japan 🇯🇵, and Europe 🇪🇺. China, the world’s largest auto market 🌐, has been a pain point for many global automakers due to intense competition from domestic brands like BYD 🚘 and declining demand for traditional vehicles amid an economic slowdown 📉. Restructuring Efforts: Nissan’s turnaround plan, announced on April 24, 2025 📅, focuses on cost reduction 💸 and operational efficiency 🔧. The 9,000 job cuts 🚫 and 20% reduction in production capacity 🔽 signal a shift toward leaner operations, prioritizing high-margin markets and products 📈. This aligns with industry trends, as automakers globally face pressure to adapt to lower demand for internal combustion engine vehicles 🚗 and invest heavily in electric vehicles (EVs) ⚡. China Strategy: Nissan’s weak performance in China 🇨🇳 underscores the need for a revised market approach 🔄, potentially involving localized EV models ⚡ or partnerships to compete with dominant players 🏆. The impairments likely include devaluing assets tied to underperforming Chinese operations, such as factories 🏭 or unsold inventory 📦. 3. Renault-Nissan Alliance Dynamics 🤝 Historical Context: The Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance, formed in 1999 🗓️, has been a cornerstone of both companies’ global strategies 🌍, enabling shared R&D 🧠, platforms, and cost efficiencies 💰. Renault’s significant stake in Nissan ties their financial fates closely 💸, but recent years have seen tensions 😬, including governance issues and strategic divergences, particularly after the 2018 Carlos Ghosn scandal 🚨. Mutual Dependence: While Nissan’s challenges weigh on Renault ⚖️, the alliance remains critical for both. Renault benefits from Nissan’s scale in markets like North America 🇺🇸 and Asia 🌏, while Nissan leverages Renault’s expertise in Europe 🇪🇺 and EV technology ⚡ (e.g., Renault’s success with models like the Megane E-Tech 🚗). The €2.2 billion hit 💥 underscores the risks of this interdependence but also highlights Renault’s commitment to supporting Nissan’s recovery 🌟, likely viewing it as essential for the alliance’s long-term viability 📅. Potential Risks: If Nissan’s turnaround falters 🚫, Renault could face further financial strain 😓, including additional impairments 📉 or pressure to dilute its stake. Conversely, a successful restructuring could strengthen the alliance 💪, boosting shared EV development ⚡ and cost synergies 💸. 4. Industry and Macro Context (Up to May 13, 2025) 🌍 Global Auto Industry: The automotive sector faces a complex transition in 2025 🔄, balancing the shift to EVs ⚡, supply chain disruptions 🚚, and regional demand variations 📊. European automakers like Renault are under pressure to meet stringent EU emissions targets 🌿, while Japanese firms like Nissan grapple with declining relevance in markets like China 🇨🇳, where EV adoption is accelerating ⚡. China’s Role: China’s market challenges are systemic 🌐, with global automakers losing share to local brands 🚗. Nissan’s sales drop 📉 reflects this trend, and Renault’s indirect exposure via Nissan amplifies its vulnerability to China’s slowdown 😓. EV Transition: Both Renault and Nissan are investing in electrification ⚡, but Nissan’s restructuring may delay its EV rollout 📅, potentially ceding ground to competitors 🏆. Renault, with its stronger EV portfolio in Europe 🇪🇺, may need to lead alliance efforts in this area 🚗. Macro Factors: Rising interest rates 📈, inflation 📊, and geopolitical uncertainties 🌍 (e.g., trade tensions) continue to impact consumer demand and production costs 💰. These factors likely exacerbate Nissan’s sales declines 📉 and Renault’s financial hit 💸. 5. Long-Term Outlook (4-10 Year Horizon) 🔮 Nissan’s Recovery Potential: If Nissan’s restructuring succeeds ✅, it could emerge leaner and more competitive by 2029 📅, with a focus on high-growth segments like EVs ⚡ and markets like North America 🇺🇸. This would benefit Renault through improved equity income and alliance synergies 🤝. Renault’s Strategy: Renault is likely to prioritize its European operations 🇪🇺 and EV leadership ⚡ while supporting Nissan’s recovery 🌟. Divesting its Nissan stake seems unlikely in the near term 🚫, given the strategic importance of the alliance, but Renault may seek to diversify its portfolio to mitigate risks 🛡️. Alliance Evolution: Over the next 4-10 years 📅, the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance could deepen integration in EV platforms ⚡ and autonomous driving 🤖 or face pressure to restructure if financial strains persist 😓. External partnerships (e.g., with Chinese firms for Nissan 🇨🇳) or mergers could reshape the alliance’s structure 🔄. Risks to Monitor: Key risks include prolonged weakness in China 🇨🇳, failure to execute EV strategies 🚫, and macroeconomic volatility 🌍. Regulatory changes, such as stricter emissions rules 🌿 or trade barriers 🚧, could further complicate the alliance’s plans 📜. Conclusion 🎯 Renault’s €2.2 billion earnings hit 💥 reflects the immediate financial burden of Nissan’s restructuring and market challenges, particularly in China 🇨🇳. However, the institutional perspective sees this as a strategic investment in Nissan’s long-term recovery 🌟, critical for the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance’s competitiveness in a rapidly evolving industry 🚗. For a 4 to 10 year old, it’s like Renault helping a struggling friend fix their toy car 🛠️, taking a short-term loss 💸 to ensure both can play better in the future 🎉. Over the next 4-10 years 📅, the success of Nissan’s turnaround and the alliance’s ability to navigate the EV transition ⚡ will determine whether this hit becomes a stepping stone 🪜 or a recurring burden ⚖️.
EURONEXT:RNOLong
by DCAChampion
Acadia Healthcare Company | ACHC | Long at $21.98Acadia Healthcare's NASDAQ:ACHC stock has fallen nearly -76% in a year, primarily due to weak 2024 results, missed revenue and EPS expectations, and a soft 2025 revenue guidance. Ongoing federal investigations into billing practices and lawsuits have further eroded investor confidence. However, it is currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.42x and earnings are forecast to grow 7.07% per year. The profitable company is trading at a good value compared to other healthcare companies. Debt-to-equity is relatively low (0.64x), but legal risks (DOJ probe, lawsuits) strain margins. The stock has entered my "major crash" simple moving average territory and there is a lot of downward / selling pressure. But, more often than not, this area (which... I caution... still extends down near $16) can often signal a temporary or longer-term bottom. Personally, this is a buy area ($16-$21) even if it turns into a short-term bounce in 2025. But I believe the overall market moves in the S&P 500, etc. will guide this stock more than anything at this point (unless more bad news about the company emerges). One thing to note is that there are open price gaps on the daily chart near $17, $10, and $8. These gaps, which often (but not always) get closed in the lifetime of a stock, are a potential signal for further declines - at least at some point. There could be a drop near $16, then a $10-$20 bullish price increase after that, followed by more declines (trapping investors). Time will tell, but NASDAQ:ACHC is currently attractively valued. From a technical analysis standpoint, it is in a personal "buy zone", even if purely for a swing trade. Targets: $27.00 $33.00 $39.00
NASDAQ:ACHCLong
by WorthlessViews
Undervalued, Oversold, Overlooked: MRK Hits The Key Zone!Hi all, Merck & Co. (MRK) is a global pharmaceutical titan and is currently trading near its 52-week low of ~$79. Anchored by Keytruda’s 7% YoY revenue growth, a stable ~4% dividend yield, and an average fair value estimate of $156.59 (98% upside), MRK appears significantly undervalued. Analysts forecast a 12-month price target of $118.05, implying 49% upside, supported by a strong pipeline and solid financials. While tariff concerns and Keytruda’s 2028 patent expiration pose risks. Technically speaking, MRK has fallen 43% from its all-time high and has reached the strongest area on the chart—a key support zone offering a compelling opportunity to build mid- or long-term positions. This critical area is defined by multiple technical factors, creating a high-probability setup for a potential reversal: Role Reversal Support: A broad, well-established resistance zone, aged like fine wine, has now flipped to act as support. This classic role reversal provides significant confluence to the setup. Textbook Trendline: A perfectly respected trendline, straight out of technical analysis textbooks, has consistently held. The price has approached this trendline from higher highs, underscoring its strength as a key support level. 50% Retracement Level: A critical level often watched for potential reversals. Monthly EMA200 Confluence: The 200-period exponential moving average on the monthly chart adds further strength to this area, reinforcing its technical significance. Strategic Guidance: This setup requires strong conviction. If you’re not prepared to buy in the lower gray areas of this support zone (marked on the chart), do not initiate a position. In today’s market sentiment, your fundamental research must be robust, and technical analysis allows you to get that much confidence to make it happen! Ask yourself: If the price falls further into the gray zones, am I willing to buy more? If your answer is yes, the current price presents a strong entry point for mid- to long-term positions. If the answer is no—if you’re unsure about buying at lower levels or find yourself questioning what to do if prices drop further—refrain from starting a position. In volatile markets, clarity and discipline are essential. Only enter if your strategy is clear and your conviction matches the opportunity! Good luck, Vaido
NYSE:MRKLong
by VaidoVeek
Behind the DCA Strategy: What It Is and How It WorksWho invented the Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) investment strategy? The concept of Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) was formalized and popularized by economists and investors throughout the 20th century, particularly with the growth of the U.S. stock market. One of the first to promote this strategy was Benjamin Graham , considered the father of value investing and author of the famous book The Intelligent Investor (published in 1949). Graham highlighted how DCA could help reduce the risk of buying assets at excessively high prices and improve investor discipline. When and How Did Dollar Cost Averaging Originate? The concept of DCA began to take shape in the early decades of the 20th century when financial institutions introduced automatic purchase programs for savers. However, it gained popularity among retail investors in the 1950s and 1960s with the rise of mutual funds. Overview The core principle of DCA involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals (e.g., every month. This approach allows investors to purchase more units when prices are low and fewer units when prices are high, thereby reducing the impact of market volatility. Why Was DCA Developed? The strategy was developed to address key challenges faced by investors, including: 1. Reducing Market Timing Risk Investing a fixed amount periodically eliminates the need to predict the perfect market entry point, reducing the risk of buying at peaks. 2. Discipline and Financial Planning DCA helps investors maintain financial discipline, making investments more consistent and predictable. 3. Mitigating Volatility Spreading trades over a long period reduces the impact of market fluctuations and minimizes the risk of experiencing a significant drop immediately after a large investment. 4. Ease of Implementation The strategy is simple to apply and does not require constant market monitoring, making it accessible to all types of investors. Types of DCA Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) is an investment strategy that can be implemented in two main ways: Time-Based DCA → Entries occur at regular intervals regardless of price. Price-Based DCA → Entries occur only when the price meets specific criteria. 1. Time-Based DCA How It Works: The investor buys a fixed amount of an asset at regular intervals (e.g., weekly, monthly). Entries occur regardless of market price. Example: An investor decides to buy $200 worth of Bitcoin every month, without worrying whether the price has gone up or down. 2. Price-Based DCA How It Works: Purchases occur only when the price drops below a predefined threshold. The investor sets price levels at which purchases will be executed (e.g., every -5%). This approach is more selective and allows for buying at a “discount” compared to the market trend. Example: An investor decides to buy $200 worth of Bitcoin only when the price drops by at least 5% compared to the last entry. Challenges and Limitations 1. DCA May Reduce Profits in Bull Markets If the market is in an bullish trend, a single trade may be more profitable than spreading purchases over time or price dips. 2. Does Not Fully Remove Loss Risk DCA helps mitigate volatility but does not protect against long-term bearish trends. If an asset continues to decline for an extended period, positions will accumulate at lower values with no guarantee of recovery. 3. May Be Inefficient for Active Investors If an investor has the skills to identify better entry points (e.g., using technical or macroeconomic analysis), DCA might be less effective. Those who can spot market opportunities may achieve a better average entry price than an automatic DCA approach. 4. Does Not Take Full Advantage of Price Drops DCA does not allow aggressive buying during market dips since purchases are fixed at regular intervals. If the market temporarily crashes, an investor with available funds could benefit more by buying larger amounts at that moment. 5. Higher Transaction Costs Frequent small investments can lead to higher trading fees, which may reduce net returns. This is especially relevant in markets with fixed commissions or high spreads. 6. Risk of Overconfidence and False Security DCA is often seen as a “fail-proof” strategy, but it is not always effective. If an asset has weak fundamentals or belongs to a declining sector, DCA may only slow down losses rather than ensure future gains. 7. Requires Discipline and Patience DCA is only effective if applied consistently over a long period. Some investors may lose patience and leave the strategy at the wrong time, especially during market crashes.
Education
by thequantscience
Bill Ackman: The Activist Investor Who Challenges the Status QuoHello Traders! Today, we’re going to explore the trading and investment philosophy of one of the most successful activist investors in the world – Bill Ackman . Known for his bold moves and unapologetic approach, Ackman has built a reputation for making large, influential investments and actively working to restructure companies in order to create value. With his hedge fund, Pershing Square Capital Management , Ackman has turned millions into billions by taking concentrated positions in underperforming companies, often pushing for changes that he believes will improve shareholder value. Bill Ackman’s Investment Strategy Ackman’s investing philosophy is rooted in a few key principles that have guided his success: Activist Investing: Ackman is known for buying large stakes in companies and pushing for significant changes. This often involves changes in management, strategy, or financial structure to unlock value. He doesn’t just buy stocks, he buys control to influence the direction of companies. Concentrated Bets: Unlike most fund managers who diversify, Ackman makes concentrated investments, believing in a small number of high-conviction ideas. He typically goes big on the companies he believes will give the highest returns. Long-Term Vision: While Ackman is an activist, he is also a long-term investor. He’s known to hold onto stocks for years as he works through his plans to improve the companies he invests in. Thorough Research and Analysis: Before making any moves, Ackman ensures he has done comprehensive research. He’s known for his deep dives into a company’s fundamentals, industry trends, and potential catalysts for growth. Notable Investments and Activist Moves Ackman’s career has been built on several high-profile, successful investments. Here are some of his best-known plays: Herbalife: One of his most controversial investments, Ackman shorted Herbalife, claiming the company was a pyramid scheme. Despite facing heavy opposition and pressure, Ackman stuck to his position, although ultimately the trade didn’t work out as he anticipated. It became a case study in risk and persistence. Target: Ackman took a large position in Target, pushing for changes in the company’s real estate strategy and retail business. His work with Target helped to bring greater shareholder value. Valeant Pharmaceuticals: Ackman’s investment in Valeant Pharmaceuticals initially gained massive attention. Despite the stock’s later troubles, his involvement in the company drew attention to the power of activism and led to changes in leadership at Valeant. Chipotle Mexican Grill: Ackman has also invested in Chipotle, pushing for operational improvements and better management. His efforts have been instrumental in driving changes in the company’s strategy, helping the stock recover from earlier setbacks. Risk Management and Position Sizing When it comes to risk management, Ackman follows a few key strategies to minimize losses and maximize returns: Concentration of Capital: Ackman often places large amounts of capital in a few high-conviction investments. This allows him to have a significant impact on the companies he invests in but also requires disciplined risk management and careful positioning. Leverage and Shorting: Ackman has used leverage in some of his more aggressive plays, such as shorting positions in Herbalife, to maximize returns. This adds a level of risk, but when used correctly, it can significantly amplify his gains. Focus on Catalyst-Driven Events: He places his investments based on company-specific catalysts like management changes, mergers, or restructurings. This allows him to predict when a stock will outperform or underperform. What This Means for Investors Bill Ackman’s approach to investing is not for the faint of heart. It involves big risks and big rewards. His activist investing style is about taking concentrated positions, being willing to fight for change, and holding onto those investments for the long haul. For investors, there are valuable lessons to be learned from Ackman’s strategies: Don’t be afraid to make big bets. If you believe in a company’s long-term potential, be prepared to back it with significant capital. Know the companies you invest in. Ackman is famous for his in-depth research before making any move. This is a lesson for every investor – do your homework before making investment decisions. Take a long-term view. While Ackman is an activist, he is also a patient investor. He understands that meaningful change takes time, and he’s willing to wait for the payoff. Conclusion Bill Ackman’s approach to investing has made him one of the most influential investors of his time. By focusing on concentrated bets, thoroughly researching companies, and taking an activist role, Ackman has proven that bold moves and long-term vision can lead to great success. Have you followed any of Bill Ackman’s investments or strategies? Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below! Let’s learn and grow together!
Education
by TraderRahulPal
FMC - A deep value play for the steel stomach investor The Foxx is back. After the stellar returns of 2024, and by that I mean triple digits %, the Foxx is back to give out a charity to his followers. FMC A deep value agricultural stock with rising inventory and low market demand. But, like the market always does - what goes down - goes up ! the demand is expected to go up in 2026-27 and the invesntory goes down at the same time. Book value per share is ridiculously close to the price. The Foxx announces a 10,000 stock position on FMC at an average price of 38.10 as per 10th Feb 2025 830am ET No lines, no colors, no ATH or no fibonnacci .. Just pure value investing. Do i sound arrogant ? I do and I am. Because i only give out winners. see my previous ideas and like they say - the rest is history !! Make money Foxx
NYSE:FMCLong
by FoxxInvest
4
Randstad: A Value Caution in a Shifting LandscapeRandstad NV (AEX: RAND) currently trades around €41.55 with a market cap of approximately €7.62 billion. While many investors may be drawn to its strong dividend history and solid reputation in staffing, a closer look at the fundamentals and macroeconomic outlook suggests that the market may be overestimating its near‐term growth prospects. Declining Profitability A review of Randstad’s recent financials is cause for caution. The company’s net income has shown a marked deterioration over recent years—from €929 million in 2022 to €624 million in 2023 and further down to €272 million on a nine‑month basis in 2024. This steep decline is partly due to mounting operating costs and weakening revenues. From a Buffett perspective, a business with persistent profitability erosion—even one with a storied track record—may have its intrinsic value overstated relative to its current market price. Earnings Release Timing: Pre‐Market Clarity Randstad’s Q4 2024 earnings are scheduled for release on February 12, 2025, at 01:00 AM CET—well before the regular trading hours (pre‑market) on the Amsterdam exchange. This timing can sometimes lead to volatility, as the market digests the numbers before the open. In a scenario where the figures further confirm the declining trends in net income and margins, the pre‑market reaction could set the tone for a downtrend next week.  Macroeconomic Headwinds Beyond company-specific issues, broader economic signals weigh on Randstad’s prospects. Staffing firms are inherently tied to the health of the labor market. Recent reports indicate that while headline figures such as a 143,000-job gain in January might appear robust, underlying trends—including uncertainty over labor market stability and rising concerns over long‑term employment—suggest caution. An environment of higher unemployment (or the fear thereof) can dampen demand for staffing and recruitment services as companies curtail expansion plans. In other words, if fewer people are employed, fewer job openings and less turnover can translate into lower revenues for Randstad over time.  The Technology Disruption Factor Adding another layer of risk, the accelerating pace of technological advancement—particularly in artificial intelligence—could further disrupt traditional staffing. As AI and automation drive efficiencies, many roles traditionally filled through temporary or permanent placement may become obsolete. This transformation not only dampens the immediate demand for recruitment services but also challenges long‑term earnings growth forecasts. When future cash flows are discounted in a model, even a modest shock to growth expectations can result in a present value that is lower than the current market price. Index Inclusion and Credit Concerns Another point to consider is Randstad’s position as the smallest company in the AEX index. Index inclusion is not merely a matter of prestige; it also affects liquidity and investor perception. Losing its spot in the index would heighten uncertainty and could trigger a reassessment of its creditworthiness. A downgraded credit score would raise borrowing costs—further squeezing margins in an already challenging operating environment. A Cautionary DCF Under a Short‑Term Shock A refined look at Randstad’s valuation—one that factors in its debt—offers additional perspective on the risks ahead. In our pessimistic scenario—where net income falls to around €300 million, the perpetual growth rate declines to 2.5%, and the discount rate rises to 7% (reflecting increased credit risk)—the resulting firm value (or enterprise value) comes out to approximately €6.67 billion. However, since this figure represents the value of both debt and equity, we must subtract the net debt to determine the value attributable solely to shareholders. Assuming net debt is roughly €1.38 billion, the estimated equity value would be about €5.29 billion. Dividing that by the 175.14 million shares outstanding gives an estimated share price of around €30. This refined approach, which includes the effect of debt, reinforces the view that a short‑term earnings shock combined with a less favorable long‑term outlook could significantly compress Randstad’s share price. Conclusion In the spirit of Warren Buffett’s careful, long‑term analysis, the case for Randstad appears to be one of caution rather than opportunity. Persistent declines in profitability, headwinds from both macroeconomic signals and technological disruption, and risks associated with its index position all point toward a stock that may be overpriced relative to its intrinsic value. With the pre‑market earnings release scheduled for February 12 (01:00 AM CET), investors should be prepared for potential downside pressure in the coming week if the results confirm these concerns. In summary, while Randstad remains a well‑managed company with a solid track record, its recent decline in profitability, exposure to macroeconomic headwinds, and risks from technological disruption suggest that its current price may be overoptimistic. A simple DCF analysis—even one that factors in debt—underscores this caution: under a short‑term earnings shock scenario, the estimated share price could drop to around €30. For value investors who prize long‑term clarity and rational assessment, these multiple signals warrant a careful reassessment of Randstad’s outlook.
EURONEXT:RANDShort
by The_Prince
1
FMC Corp | FMC | Long at $58.00NYSE:FMC Corp is currently trading at a P/E ratio 6x and has a 3.98% dividend. It had a very rough year in 2023, but the company estimates improved earnings and growth after 2024. From a technical analysis perspective, it appears to be in an accumulation phase after seeing a low around $50 and wavering between that value and $68 for 11 months. Unless fundamentals change post earnings, it is currently in a personal buy zone at $58.00. Target #1 - $81.00 Target #2 - $85.00 Target #3 - $90.00 Target #4 - $122.00 (very long-term...)
NYSE:FMCLong
by WorthlessViews
CAPR projected to see additional volatility NEAR TERM. Recent short attack will likely be a two-part process. Expecting strong buy wave to 17-18.5 zone near term before renewed aggressive selling down to next liquidity target zone at 10.4-11 level. There exists a small gap at 9.95-10.05 which may be targeted by shorts. Unsure if it gets filled during market hrs or during extended session. Planning to go long again from 10.4-11 via limit buy orders sometime this month. Expecting us to get the buy opportunity before 12/20 date before the next swing target to 25.00 once we see a break above 26.5, it'll confirm for me the greater buy sequence will continue on weekly timeframe for advancement to 75-80$ analyst target level. Until then, we may remain rangebound between 15-25$ levels. Personally expecting price to reach 100$ sometime by late 2025.
NASDAQ:CAPR
by DaveTradesLive
SMCI one of the most high value opportunity on the Stock MarketSMCI: Bridging Gaps, Powering Growth! Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has nailed two key market gaps at 22.85 and 38.14, proving its strength and resilience. These milestones aren’t just numbers—they’re launchpads for SMCI’s explosive growth in high-performance computing. With innovation driving demand, SMCI isn’t just playing the game—it’s redefining it. Stay ahead—SMCI is the stock to watch! Targets covered : 1. 23.85$ Per Share 2. 38.14$ Per Share 3. 49.49$ Per Share 4. 63.45$ Per Share 5. 85.03$ Per Share 6. 97.36$ Per Share The 1st and 2nd targets have been of extreme importance because they were very key gaps that we caused by Fundamental events connected with SMCI, which have already been covered, so we are moving in a strong motion towards our next stop at 49.49$ Per share, please join my group of which we follow up in depth this Stock and many more!!
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DG55Capital
2
Coca Cola - A Clear Trading Setup!Coca Cola ( NYSE:KO ) will provide a textbook setup soon: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Coca Cola is one of these "under the radar" stocks which is just trending higher and higher but nobody is really paying attention. However currently Coca Cola is retesting a resistance trendline of the governing rising channel pattern so a short term retracement is quite likely. Levels to watch: $72, $65 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:KOLong
by basictradingtv
10
Air Canada Analysis 10/18/24DISCLOSURE: As of 10/18/24 I have no open positions in Air Canada TSX: AC Air Canada is a Canadian airline who took a big hit during COVID and added a lot of debt to their business. Because of the unstable financial position the valuation is very low and could provide large returns in the event of a turnaround. The Debt Looking at the debt ratios the debt/equity looks very high, but the debt/asset ratio looks much better. Of course as all airlines do they use debt to buy their planes and other assets. However it is worth noting that the debt here is a problem. (Higher than competitors) For a long term buy and hold I would like to see much more cash on the balance sheet, but this is a turnaround play after all. If Air Canada's margins decrease to unprofitable they may be forced to sell assets to cover liabilities. Qualitative Looking at the qualitative metrics it is obvious that Air Canada took large losses in 2020 but has since recovered in terms of earnings, revenue, and margins. The stock price however has not recovered, this is likely due to the debt load they are stuck with now. From a long term perspective airlines are notoriously bad businesses struggling with debt, unprofitability, and an extremely competitive environment. This is why I only intend to hold this stock for a maximum of 3-5 years. Valuations The valuations are where things start to look up for this company. With a price/cash flow of 1.75 you would be getting your investment back in about 1 year 9 months. On the other hand if they lose money and are forced to sell assets the stock will likely remain flat or decline further. The way I view Air Canada is as an asymmetric bet. For example, I assigned some arbitrary values to my model where I see a 25% chance that they sell off assets. a 50% chance that earnings and margins remain stable and a 25% chance that earnings and margins increase In the worst case scenario the stock will likely fall another 25%-50% and in the best case scenario AC could be a 4x from current valuations. Of course the risk/reward I am assigning to these values is subjective and I highly suggest doing your own research to see how you feel about these outcomes. For me at current prices Air Canada TSX: AC is a buy. So long as you keep in mind the potential risks and dont be shocked if the 25% chance of the downside materializes. If you enjoyed this report I publish 2 times per week and offer consulting, portfolio analysis, and contract research. PM me if interested.
TSX:ACLong
by sihen999
2