BBAI - a penny stock in a hot sector LONGBBAI fell on an earnings miss on Thursday March 7th. The downtrend of 30% was basically a
slow flush. Penny stocks are volatile to begin with; this one is in the hottest of subsectors.
Price is in the hard oversold area just above the second lower VWAP line on this 15 minute
while the RSI lines are in the mid-30s showing the price weakness. A predictive forecasting
algo from Luxalgo suggests a bounce from the present price. I will take a long trade targeting
a return of 25% over the next week with three targets and partial closures of 25% , 50 and
25% respectively with the targets shown on the chart. The stop loss is 2.50 just below the
pivot low of 2.5. This trade idea demonstrates how penny stocks have great volatility and
how if entered well can result in 25% weekly which if compounded regularly can result
in rapid account balance growth overall. The trade is to be managed with partial closures
directed by alerts and notifications as well as a trailing stop loss of 5% once the price gain
has reached 10-15%. This minmizes effort and screen time so that they can be spread
across a wider variety of trades.
Volatility
SOFI flat to slightly negative YTD LONGSOFIR showed here on the 30 -minue chart has had great volatility in going no where since
the start of the year. Volatility can be harnessed for profit. This is the essence of swing
trading. With an intermediate term anchored VWAP band and line setup, it can be readily
seen that price first was resisted by the second lower band line in purple then broke out
through the band lines to meet resistance at the second upper band line ( again in purple)
and broke down through the band lines to get support at the first lower band and then
reversed and returned to the second upper band where it was rejected and fell into the
support of the second lower band from which it is now bouncing. This is a VWAP band
oscillation pattern which can be traded. I will take a long trade of SOFI here, first
targeting the mean VWAP at 8.05 and then 8.6 below the first band and finally 9.05
below the second upper band. Partial closures at 25%, 50% and 25% respectively.
I see this as a way to exploit SOFI volatity in swing trade profits which can also setup as
short trades.
AMD Corrected Again- Buy the Dip Idea LONGAMD on the 15 minute chart breakout through anchord VWAP bands starting on February 29th
from the mean anchored VWAP support. Two days later finding itself extended to the second
upper VWAP band, price corrected over the next day down to the first upper band and then
after a few hours reversed and headed back toward the second upper band going somewhat
sideways and getting there two and a half days later. Price was rejected from that dynamic
resistance and fell into the first band which provided support to close the week.
The Luxalgo regression line forecast is for yet another more up to test the resistance of that
second upper band. I will take a long trade here recognizing that the forecast is for a 10-12%
move in the immediate term. If the forecast is accurate a stop loss will not be necessary. I will
set it at 204 to prevent anything other than an insignificant loss.
NOW is a buy after a down tech stock day LONGNOW is on 15 minute chart with a volume profile overlaid and relative volume and volatility
indicators below the chart. NOW had a good earnings beat late January. It is halfway to the
next earnings. I think right now software stocks are hotter than hardware/ networking stocks.
NOW got dragged down by technology headwinds into its support and the fall got rejected
by buyers near to the close of the regular market hours. The lower VWAP bands are confluent
with the support zone and confirm deep oversold and undervalued stock price.
I believe this is excellent for a long trade perhaps lasting until the run-up before earnings is
6-7 weeks through the buy of a small lot of shares or a call option expiring at the May or June
monthly in the range of $750 ( OTM). This will complement existing positions in CRM
CRWD and PLTR.
MSTR oversold for a long tradeMSTR is now oversold but has a great earnings beat and the cryptomarkets surging to support
a bullish idea. The 15 minteu chart shows price sitting on support of the POC line of the
immediate volume profile. With confluence, it is above a fully horizontal lower VWAP line
that has no slope. Support and resistance horizontal zones are drawn in for reference purposes.
I will close my short position of the past day and switch sides here. The RSI indicator gives
reassurance as it has pivoted up from the bottom, especially the faster green line. Selling
volatility declared the bottom in the immediate term at the same time the relative volume
indicator printed a selling volume spiking black bar both immediately before the regular
market closed.
JAN on watch for bullish continuation LONGJAN had earnings but I cannot find the report. It is trading with heavy volume and it shows in
the price action. Price has pulled back in the after-market in a standard Fibonacci retracement.
A pullback is appropriate here as price has gained 250% in a month. I see the pullback
as healthy and JAN is now well positioned for another bullish continuation. Volatility
and volume supports the conclusion. I will set a stop loss at 10% and targets at 50%, 75% and
100% to take partial profits on an anticipated trend up. Alerts will be set onto a set of
moving averages on the 30 minute time frame to detect death cross unders. Once profit is
hits 10% I will change the stop loss to a trailing 10% stop loss and once above 75% make the
trailing loss 5% and once over 100% change it to 3% so I can let the trade run itself from
those orders.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/8/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 18288.75
- PR Low: 18256.25
- NZ Spread: 72.5
Key economic calendar events
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
- Unemployment Rate
Back near ATHs
- Holding under prev session close
- Daily print, pivot long towards another ATH breakout
Evening Stats (As of 1:35 AM)
- Weekend Gap: +0.08 (filled)
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 252.93
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 290K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Is MRVL overextended ? SHORTMRVL on the 60 minute chart certainly had an impressive run for two days gaining 16%.
The chart however shows the bullish candles are decreasing in range and price is more than
two standard deviations above the mean VWAP and far outside the high volume area of
the volume profile. Bullish volatility fell to close the trading week on Friday afternoon.
My trade plan is to watch MRVL for consolidation and then a retracement of its bullish
move. A cross of the faster green RSI down under the slower red RSI will be the bearish
divergence to be seen to consider MRVL for a short trade.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/7/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 18048.00
- PR Low: 18018.50
- NZ Spread: 66.0
Key economic calendar events
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies
Prev session printed as inside bar
- Fading to prev session open from close
- Inventory response off prev session lows
- Consistently responding around daily 20 Keltner avg
Evening Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Weekend Gap: +0.08 (filled)
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 244.10
- Volume: 39K
- Open Int: 290K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
MVIS Microvision breaks higher from earnings LONGMVIS is a volatile penny stock with daily volumes in the 20JK range and a low float. Yesterday
was a decent earnings beat. MVIX was already trending up into the earnings and now may
sustain that trend up. Volatility and volume indicator support my supposition that the trend
is real. The target of the consolidation period of February 8-13's price level of 2.58 is
13 % upside. I espect this to be a long swing trade lasting a few days. Upon reaching the
target I will take half the position to realize that part of the profit and run the rest.
UVXY the VIXX following ETF ShortUVXY the fear and volatility ETF ran up nearly 10% on the past trading day before
retracing a bit all due to the quick about-face in the market at about 1PM New York time.
It moved from the lows at the opening bell and let up with after hours profit taking.
The relative volatility indicator shows the volatility pump and then dump.
The dual signal RSI indicator shows the low time frame in blue dropping faster
than the higher time frame in black. I see this as a good setup for a short trade
that could yield half of the run-up over the next two trading days or 5% by
next Tuesday, August 1. The stop loss set at the top wicking at 17.25 while the target
the pivot low from which price began at 15.55. I have contemplated a put option
on this but have not yet reviewed the options chain. Price action down may begin
slow until price crosses under the POC line of the volume profile and then accelerate
as price drops below the high volume area into relative volume voids.
NYCB Community Bank falls to support and rises LONGOn the 15 minute chart the price action reflects the rough time that NYCB has had. Apparently it had a good rally to finish the week due to reports of floods of new deposits . Down the road
it may be a problem if premium interest is being paid on the deposits. In the meanwhile, I
see NYCB as taking back half of the trend down and floating up gradually into the range of 7
or about 60% upside. This will be a volatile and risky trade but with good upside. I will set a
8% or ATR x 2 stop loss yielding a Reward to risk of about 7.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/6/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 17985.00
- PR Low: 17952.25
- NZ Spread: 73.0
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies
- JOLTs Job Openings
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
Huge inventory decline prev session
- Faded into daily 20 Keltner avg
- Inventory response off 2/28-29 lows
- above prev session close
Evening Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Weekend Gap: +0.08 (filled)
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 240.75
- Volume: 24K
- Open Int: 285K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
MYO can Myomo continue the push to the earnings report?MYO had impressive week gaining over 35%. It is a volatile penny biotechnology stock
with good earnings back in November new due for another report. On a 120 minute chart
with relative volatility and volume indicators and a volume profile added. The volume and
volativlty of this past week's move is obvious. Price gain has slowed on the approach to the
POC line of the volume profile which appears to be resistance. Price may break that resistance
but could get rejected there. I plan to buy MYO long on a break of resistance with
a buy stop set at 4.04 and a stop loss at 3.96. If MYO rises and gets over 4.04 the order should
fill and if it retests the POC line as support and the support fails, the stop will close the trade.
My expectation however is for the earnings run to take it to the level of the pivot high
in early January for a 25% gain.
IS UBER ready for continuation LONGUBER fell a little after good earnings. Apparently traders where disappointed. It then rallied
for three days to close out the week. The following week it retraced the rally for 2-3 days
and then consolidated for a week with a re-awakening of bullish momentum in the past prior
trading day. From here, I believe that UBER is ready for potential push to an ATH and gain
buying pressure along that way perhaps accelerated by short sellers liquidating their positions.
I will take a long trade here of both shares and call options.
EXFY a fintech penny stock at 5% of the ATH LONGEXFY recently had an earnings beat and has bullish momentum. While on a sixty minute chart it
may appear to be overextended, in the context of an all-time-high of about $50 perhaps it
has as much as 20X upside. EXFY rose from the earnings beat and then retraced and reversed the
retracement. I see it as a long wing trade perhaps until the approach to the next earnings.
The volume and volatility indicators suggest bullish momentum is strong and may continue.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/5/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 18254.00
- PR Low: 18217.50
- NZ Spread: 81.5
No significant calendar events
Continuing inventory hunt below prev session close
- Mechanical response to PR-1, dip below
- Relatively avg vols to start session
- 50% area of Friday's range
Evening Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Weekend Gap: +0.08 (filled)
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 230.55
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 295K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/4/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 18365.75
- PR Low: 18327.75
- NZ Spread: 85.0
Key economic calendar events
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISN Non-Manufacturing Prices
Small weekend, inside bar gap up, partially filled
- Low energy creep back to ATH
- Relatively strong daily momentum bar, long
- ATH 18372.75
Evening Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Weekend Gap: +0.08 (open > 18322)
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 236.10
- Volume: 25K
- Open Int: 304K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
BTC suffers from institutional selling after a breakoutBTC recently enjoyed a breakout above its resistance level with strong momentum before quickly getting hit with a institutional sell trade. This caused BTC to temporarily sell all off nearly 2k in a few minutes. This is not the only sign of weakness in BTC lately.
Whale selling has picked up quite a bit lately.
Many new wallets been created with small amounts of BTC in them (retail trading)
As institutions and larger players exit a bull rally, retail traders enter out of excitement. This spurs the price to rally a little bit further before finally a reversal takes place and bears take over.
Holding onto BTC and other cryptos is becoming riskier the longer this rally continues. Watch your holdings closely and don't get greedy
Analyzing BTC Price Movements Amidst Varying Trading VolumeIn recent days, we've observed an interesting thing with BTC: upward price movements on diminishing volumes. On the 29th, a significant spike in volume corresponded with a big price increase, a obvious indicator of strong market interest. However, following this event, Bitcoin has continued to find similar size moves up, but on substantially lower volumes.
It indicates we are in a market where even limited buy-side pressure pushes price increases, which indicates a scarcity of sell-side liquidity. Bullish. If we were to see a resurgence of volume similar to that of the Feb 29th, the stage could be set for an god candle upward move.
Analyzing key technical indicators presents a more nuanced picture. The RSI, while not in the overbought territory, edges closer, suggesting a growing momentum. The CCI and MFI offer additional perspectives on market cycles and the strength of money flows into BTC, respectively, both reinforcing the observation of a market poised for some mean volatility. The RVI's current stance indicates that the recent price action has been met with a relative degree of confidence, which could mean continued upward movement.
While the market's sentiment seems to lean bullish based on what im seeing, approach this analysis with caution. Markets are volatile, and while technical indicators can provide guidance, they are by no means infallible predictors. Stay frosty.
LEXX a penny medical stock LONGLEXX on the daily chart is on a big bullrun breaking out of an ascending broadening triangle
or megaphone pattern demostrative of increasing volatility. Retlative volumes are 2X the
historical comparison. Price is now on the approach to the highs of 2023 but is only 15% of
the all high highs of 19 at the neckline of a head and shoulders back in 2018-2019, In short
it has a lot of upside if it can show earnings growth on higher revenues. For now targets are
4.15 the high of 2022 and 6.45 the high of 2021 marked on the chart in black horizontal
lines. LEXX is a money burning medical penny it is high risk like its peers. The reward
potential is as much as 7X and more realistically 2X in the intermediate term.
I will so long here with the risk in mind in the context of the reward potential.
CRWD VWAP bounce earnings coming LONGCRWD reports on March 4th in the meanwhile in it is shown here on a 15 minute chart with
a Bollinger Band overlay. Price has trended from the upper bands down through the middle line
into the lower inner and outer bands where a reversal took place at the level of the mean
anchored VWAP band where the price fall was rejected with good support and wick touches
on the lower time frames. I see this as a set up for a new trend up in the run to earnings.
I will take a long trade of shares and call options. My easy target is the upper BB
bands but expect more than that in the upcoming week.