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CL Trade Idea: Key Levels & Strategies Amid VolatilityNYMEX:CL1! With Trade War 2.0 unfolding, managing risk in futures trading is more crucial than ever. One way to mitigate risk is by utilizing micro CME contracts , allowing for more precise risk management during volatile market conditions. Additionally, you can participate in the CME and TradingView paper trading competition, giving you the opportunity to test your skills in The Leap without risking real money. Crude Oil Futures: It’s the start of a new month. We saw our last week’s idea “scenario 1” partially play out before prices pulled back higher towards our neutral LIS. As mentioned above, it is our opinion that current situations and macro news may result in heightened volatility, so it is important to trade what you see and not what you think. Do not get fixated on your view on the market. Be ready to shift and adapt as the markets evolve on the hard right edge. Instead of recapping and presenting a macro update today, we will shift our focus on the charts. Looking purely at price, time, volume, and key levels to create a plan for the week. Key Levels to Watch Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan. Micro Composite Value Area High (mCVAH) January 2025 : 76.00 January 2025 mid- range: 74.96 February Monthly Open: 74.14 Micro Composite Value Area Low (mCVAL) January 2025 : 71.82 Yearly Open: 70.52 2024 Mid- Range: 70.40 Scenario 1: Rejection confirmation at January 2025 Mid Price has attempted to push above January 2025 mid and was rejected. This was a key level of interest to validate longs in our last week’s trade plan. Rejection of this level and price now below monthly open. There is room for prices to shift lower towards mcVAL Jan 2025 and test of key bull support at yearly open and 2024 mid range. Scenario 2: mcVAL 2025 to act as intermediate support If we see this level hold, in our opinion, Crude oil may be establishing a new range capped within mcVAH and mcVAL Jan 2025 until we see a break of either side. That said, intra day volatility may increase with headline news impacting prices. As always it is paramount to manage your risk as losses are an inherent part of trading. What are you focusing on amid all the headline news? We'd love to hear your thoughts!
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
BTC - Just Thinking about Volume and Price relation As my other active posts recently have been about the downward trend and BTC finding liquidity before a trend reversal and the second strong upward momentum of this market cycle. I surmised that the smart money wanted to test the bull market support moving average, 200ema on daily. ~84,500 - 82,500 . A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Weekly Chart was created from the rapid price increase due to speculators and other investors FOMO'ing in on the rising assset. Large orders were left unfilled due to areas of support and resistance, trend and moving averages which are usually oscillated through during price movement while market trend leads the direction, speculators drive price increases and smart money attempts to drive price down to areas where they can profit, selling into the momentum during speculator price drives. I'm just thinking out loud here and really I only post these little updates while im interested in something and like to document it. I could be all wrong with how I am seeing this and perhaps if anyone ever does read this and can share some insight into price/volume relationships with the smart money institutional investors and whales I would be interested to heart their thoughts. However to continue , I see a discrepancy , Large Selling Volume, Negative Delta and it appears that there are some blocks where Sell volume cuts upward momentum abruptly and consistently The Chart should Show the areas that I am referring , I would be interested to hear what others think
by dasBoot
SOLUSDT: Long or Trap? Breaking Down the Setup 🔥 ** BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P ** is bouncing off the support zone, showing strength from the bulls! After a sharp dump, price held a key level and is now pushing up. The big question — is this a true reversal or just a "bearish retest" before another drop? --- 🔑 **Key Levels:** **Support:** **171.06 USDT** — strong demand zone. **160.23 USDT** — critical level, breaking below could trigger more downside. **Resistance:** **199.55 USDT** — local resistance; breaking above could accelerate movement. **272.53 USDT** — key target for profit-taking. **295.16 USDT** — strong supply zone; breaking above opens the door to 300 USDT+. --- 🚀 **Trading Strategy:** **Entry Point:** - Long from **171.06 USDT** with volume confirmation. - Conservative entry after a breakout of **199.55 USDT**. **Stop-Loss:** - Below **160.23 USDT** to avoid stop hunts. **Take-Profit Targets:** **198.45 USDT** — first target to reduce risk. **272.53 USDT** — primary target for the bullish move. **295.16 USDT** — extended target if the uptrend continues. --- 📈 **Technical Analysis:** Increasing volume on the bounce signals strong buyer interest. A breakout above **199.55 USDT** confirms bullish momentum. If price drops below **171.06 USDT**, expect a potential retest of **160.23 USDT**. --- 💡 **Conclusion:** SOLUSDT.P is showing bullish reversal signs, but without breaking **199.55 USDT**, we can't confirm a full trend shift yet. Is this just a retest before another sell-off or the start of a new uptrend? Let’s discuss! 🚀💬
Long
by Max_Pr0fit
Market overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, bitcoin reached the key volume zone of $103,000-$105,600. The pushing volumes from the buyer were absorbed by the seller, which led to a reversal. As a result, our scenario for further decline was realized. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? At the moment, important buyer zones have been tested, which resulted in a powerful volume reaction, as well as a large number of liquidations, which indicates a possible stop of the downward movement. Now we should expect a phase change to a sideways movement, and then a test of sell zones located above current prices. Sell Zones: $100,000–$103,000 (accumulated volume) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zone: $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes) IMPORTANT DATES As for the macroeconomic events of this week: • Monday, February 3, 10:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for January; • Monday, February 3, 14:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for January; • Monday, February 3, 15:00 (UTC) — ISM's index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for January is published; • Tuesday, February 4, 15:00 (UTC) — announcement of the number of open vacancies in the US labor market in December; • Wednesday, February 5, 13:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector in January; • Wednesday, February 5, 14:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US services sector for January; • Wednesday, February 5, 15:00 (UTC) — ISM Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-manufacturing sector of the United States for January; • Thursday, February 6, 12:00 (UTC) — announcement of the UK interest rate decision; • Thursday, February 6, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits; • Friday, February 7, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wages, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the US unemployment rate in January. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
by Crypto_robotics
BTC inexperience getting rolled - 2 ways use stairs to TPBottom's In don't get rolled down the stairs learning to walk. Many people high on bull market gains want to imagine that anything under 100k is a deal in todays market. It may or may not be but commiting yourself to a position without confluence and TA or a news event is a great way to lose your footing and take a fall. Wait for a bounce on the higher timeframes since we have been trending downwards for over a week and havnt been able to set any new market structure. Smart money bearish FVG Gaps were rejected and price is headed down on the weekly. We are looking at a LONG at around 85 to 83 off the the 1D 200 EMA, It will need to stand as support with confirmation from indicators and Volume. It will bounce and retest quickly smart money is already in place to accumulate in this area. PREVIOUS IDEA
by dasBoot