Get started

W-patterns

NZDUSD Bearish Setup🔍 Market Structure Analysis WSD Zone Rejection (Top): Price tapped a wick-based supply & demand (WSD) zone at the top around 0.59486. That zone also aligns with the previous liquidity grab + mitigation of the OB. Price is now rejecting that area — forming a lower high (LH) inside the zone → classic sign of distribution. Rising Channel Break: Price was rising inside the red ascending channel. Currently showing bearish intent, with multiple internal BOS (breaks of structure). If price closes below the channel, that confirms bearish expansion. Downtrend from Premium Zone: We're clearly in premium pricing, where institutions prefer to offload longs. This area also completes a liquidity sweep of prior highs inside the WSD zone. 🧠 Trade Logic (Sell Setup) 🔺 Entry Zone: Inside or after rejection of WSD at 0.59486. 🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the WSD zone and local high. 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 0.58669 → Local support + lower WSD zone (reaction zone). TP2: 0.58398 → Previous liquidity pool and external low. 🧾 R:R = Clean 1:4.5+, textbook SMC setup. 📌 Confluences for Bearish Bias ✅ Multiple WSD zones tested with bearish rejection. ✅ Rising channel inside premium is breaking. ✅ Mitigation + BOS on smaller TF. ✅ News candle marked by blue vertical line may act as final volatility spike before continuation. ✅ Price is near VWAP/50% equilibrium → Ideal for smart money to expand to downside. 🧯 Invalidation Conditions ❌ If price closes above 0.59486, we reassess the bias. ❌ A re-entry into the upper WSD with strong bullish volume invalidates the current bearish flow. 🔮 Forecast Summary This is a classic distribution setup with liquidity engineered into a WSD zone, now showing early mitigation and markdown signs. Unless major manipulation occurs, expect price to expand toward the 0.58398 low in the next 24–48 hours.
Short
by Delast2
BTC - Will history repeat itself?In this description, I will compare the current price action of BTC with the market behavior seen in 2021. Both cycles share notable similarities in their structure. ------------------------------- 2021 bullmarket During the 2021 bull market, BTC displayed classic topping price action. The chart showed slightly higher highs and higher lows, eventually forming a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern. This signaled a shift in momentum, and BTC subsequently broke down, confirming the bearish outlook. At the lows later in 2021, Bitcoin’s price action became more corrective, with slightly lower lows and lower highs-often an early indication of a potential trend reversal. That reversal materialized as BTC launched into a strong impulse move to the upside, rallying all the way to the key Golden Pocket Fibonacci level before experiencing a modest retracement. Following this healthy pullback, BTC gathered enough strength to break through resistance and surge to a new all-time high (ATH), which ultimately marked the peak of that bull cycle. ------------------------------- This bullmarket In the current bull market, BTC formed a classic double top pattern, echoing similar setups from previous cycles. After reaching highs near $110k BTC experienced a significant correction, dropping to around $74k. At this level, the price action turned corrective, with a series of slightly lower lows and lower highs-reminiscent of the consolidation seen at the 2021 market bottom. During this consolidation, BTC established three notable lows, forming a potential base for a reversal. Following this corrective phase, BTC surged upward in a strong impulse move, reaching the critical Golden Pocket-the 61.8% to 65% Fibonacci retracement zone, which is widely regarded as a key area for potential reversals or continuation of trends. Currently, BTC is consolidating near this Golden Pocket. Traders are watching closely to see if the price will face rejection here, as it did in 2021, or if it can break above and sustain a new uptrend. The outcome at this level will likely determine whether the next major move is a continuation to new highs or a deeper retracement. ------------------------------- Conclusion When comparing the corrections following the 2021 and 2025 peaks, the similarities are striking. Both cycles feature a bottom formed through a similar pattern, followed by a strong move up to the Golden Pocket Fibonacci level. The key question now is whether BTC will experience another corrective pullback before making a renewed attempt at the all-time high, or if it will break through resistance and continue its upward momentum. Only time will tell which path the market will choose. ------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Youriverse
57