Bitcoin - 50% crash is starting! (2017 trendline, huge warning)Bitcoin is in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and we want to look for the best price to sell and prepare for the 2025/2026 bear market! The best price to sell Bitcoin is at the 1.618 FIB extension or at the main long-term 2017-2021-2025 trendline. This is exactly at 122,069, as we can see on the chart. And 2 weeks ago, Bitcoin hit both the Fibonacci level and trendline! So this is a strong sell signal.
Buying Bitcoin at the tipity top of a bullish cycle is not the best idea, because we will see 60,000 USD per Bitcoin in 2026! From the Elliott Wave perspective, there is probably only 1 high-probability scenario, and it's this ending diagonal pattern (rising wedge). I think we will see a final 2 waves on Bitcoin to form an ending diagonal wedge pattern (1-2-3-4-5). Bitcoin just finished wave 5 and is starting a brand new corrective pattern.
But you can be more conservative and wait for more confirmations, such as a break of the 50-week moving average. Waiting for such confirmations in general gives us a higher chance of success but a lower risk-to-reward ratio; in other words, you can't catch the top. I always recommend using simple moving averages with 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods because this is what the big players are using as well. These MAs are very popular among giant institutions, banks, and investors.
What's more, Bitcoin seasonality is telling us that August and September are the most bearish months for Bitcoin statistically. So you probably want to sell before a sell-off kicks in.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Wave Analysis
GOLD → The market is waiting for NFP. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off resistance at 3310, confirming the upper limit of the new trading range. The dollar continues to rally, but the market as a whole is stagnating ahead of upcoming news—NFP is coming up!
Gold is consolidating at monthly lows around $3268, awaiting key US labor market data (NFP). Trump's new tariffs (10% globally, 35% for Canada, 39% for Switzerland) have boosted demand for the dollar, putting pressure on gold. Markets are waiting for NFP: forecast +110K jobs, unemployment 4.2%. Weak data (<100K) → gold may rise to $3400. Strong (>150K) → the dollar will strengthen, gold will continue to fall. The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is <50%.
Based on yesterday's data, I would cautiously suggest that NFP will be in the range of 125K–145K, slightly above the consensus (110K). This will play into Trump's hands (I think you understand what I mean...).
Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3320
Support levels: 3287, 3268, 3255
The news has a negative nuance — unpredictability. Be careful.
Technically, based on the data we have at the moment, I would assume that the market may test resistance at 3300-3310 before a possible pullback to the specified support. BUT! Unpredictable data could turn the game around, and in that case, if the dollar falls, gold could start to rise.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Retest of resistance within a bearish runFX:XAUUSD breaks through the upward trend support amid a rallying dollar. Since the opening of the session, the price has been testing the zone of interest, but bears are quite aggressive...
Gold is partially recovering after falling to $3,268, a monthly low caused by the Fed's hawkish tone. The Central Bank kept its rate at 4.25–4.5% (9 votes to 2), highlighting uncertainty due to Trump's tariffs. Markets now estimate the probability of the rate remaining unchanged in September at 58% (previously 35%). The dollar's rise slowed amid concerns about the extension of the US-China trade truce and profit-taking ahead of key US employment data (after strong ADP and GDP reports). The nearest drivers are labor market statistics and trade news, while the technical picture for gold remains bearish.
Technically, on D1, the price is breaking key support zones, including the trend line, which overall only increases selling pressure on the metals market...
Resistance levels: 3310, 3320, 3334
Support levels: 3287, 3267, 3255
As part of the correction, the price has exhausted the entire daily ATR, forming a retest of the liquidity and interest zone. If the bears keep the price below 3320-3310, gold may head towards support...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal - 3325
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
CADJPY I Weekly CLS Range I Model 1 I H4 entry ConfirmedYo Market Warriors ⚔️
Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
🧠 What’s CLS?
It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it.
“Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
4000$ is last resistance left Ready for breakout and pump?market is still bullish and i am looking for breakout here to the upside for sure But we should consider this factor that major resistance now is touching and we may have first short-term fall.
so for now we may have correction and dump to the targets like 3300$ which is first support of 0.23 Fibonacci level.
and after this healthy correction or without it we can expect more pump and breakout of 4K$ and heavy pump to the targets like 7K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Xrp - It all comes down to this!🚀Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) has to break structure:
🔎Analysis summary:
After Xrp created the previous all time high in 2018, we have been seeing a consolidation ever since. With the recent all time high retest however, Xrp is clearly showing some considerable strength. It all comes down to bulls being able to push price higher, above the massive horizontal structure.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.0
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Buy & Sell Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal - 3304
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3275
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY - Now or Never!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel acting as an over-bought zone.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong weekly resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bottom Feeding - Opportunity?Adobe is sitting on two areas of support - an 11 year old trendline and the 0.786 Fibonacci. It looks like it's coiling up in a giant triangle. This is a steadily growing business with a very sticky product suite. Whilst everyone is falling over themselves to buy Figma at $110, I think it's time to start paying attention to Adobe here.
I believe the AI fear is overdone, if you look at the continued growth in Adobe, their cash flow and continued growth, this is definitely the more compelling buy out of the two. If we lost the trendline support and Fibonacci support, things could indeed get worse.
Not financial advice.
Gold on the edge: Will 3,270 break as Fed pressure builds?Hello traders, what’s your view on XAUUSD?
Yesterday, gold remained under pressure as a series of fresh U.S. economic data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer. As a result, U.S. Treasury yields surged, the dollar strengthened, and gold came under renewed selling pressure. Currently, XAUUSD is trading around 3,288 USD, down 0.04% on the day.
From a technical standpoint, gold is clearly trading within a well-defined downward-sloping channel, confirming the dominance of bearish momentum. Moreover, both the EMA34 and EMA89 are acting as dynamic resistance levels, repeatedly rejecting any short-term recovery attempts—highlighting the strength of the current downtrend.
If a pullback occurs before the next leg lower, the confluence of resistance and the EMA zone will be crucial to watch. It could offer ideal conditions for potential short setups in line with the trend.
Looking ahead, the next key support lies at 3,270 USD. A break below this level could open the door for a deeper move toward the 32XX area.
What do you think? Will gold continue to drop further?
Good luck and trade safe!
USDJPY 30Min Engaged (Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Reversal : 147.450
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
PROP - Riding the Cycle? The Next Wave May Just Be Starting!Markets move in cycles; and PROP is no exception.
If you’ve been following our previous analyses, you’ll recognize the accumulation zone we highlighted earlier. Well, this updated chart adds another layer: the cyclical rhythm of price action.
🔁As shown, PROP has been moving in clearly defined waves, bouncing between key zones with consistency. The current cycle appears to have bottomed — once again — inside the lower bound, where strong demand continues to hold.
We’re now in the early phase of what could be a fresh bullish cycle. If the rhythm plays out as before, the path of least resistance could take us toward the median zone ($6.5 - $7.5) and possibly all the way back to the upper bound ($15 - $17) by late 2025 or early 2026.
🔍 Supporting Fundamentals
While the chart speaks volumes, the fundamentals back it up:
Energy demand is surging globally, fueled by AI, data centers, and electric infrastructure — all of which require massive power capacity.
Oil and gas remain essential in this transition phase, especially with renewable infrastructure still years away from matching base-load demand.
PROP (Prairie Operating Co.) controls 65,000 acres in the DJ Basin — one of the most productive oil regions in the U.S. With advanced drilling tech and low-cost operations, PROP is well-positioned to ride out volatility and capitalize on rising demand.
🎯 Key Zones to Watch
- Support: $2.5–$3
- Median target: $6.5–$7.5
- Macro resistance: $15–$17
📌 We’re not just seeing structure — we’re seeing rhythm, confluence, and timing align.
If this cycle continues to play out, PROP might just be preparing for its next major wave.
Are you ready to catch it?
🧠 Previous posts and technical breakdowns are attached for full context.
➡️ As always, speak with your financial advisor and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
📚 Always follow your trading plan => including entry, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All strategies are good, if managed properly.
~ Richard Nasr
€/$: Fractal Geometry (Cycle 2000-2022)🏛️ Research Notes
Research on order in chaos using scaling laws and math sequences found in nature.
Sierpinski triangle will be used as basic heatmap layer - orienteer for next buildups.
Cross-cycle interconnection 3 cycle knot
Considering the fact that structurally current price is in a new cycle, the core structure which is previous cycle can be extended with another layer that emphasizes phase of the cycle in its angle.
Extended Fibonacci Sierpinski Triangle should look like this:
NFP Volatility Ahead – Is the Dollar Ready to Break Higher?🟢 DXY Outlook – A Key Day for the Dollar Index
Yesterday’s monthly candle closed with strong bullish momentum, marking a powerful start to August. Today, on the first trading day of the month, we’re expecting three major U.S. economic releases:
NFP, Average Hourly Earnings (m/m), and the Unemployment Rate.
As discussed in last week’s outlook, DXY has successfully broken above the key 100 level and confirmed a monthly close above it — a significant technical development. With no major order blocks or visible resistance in the way, the path toward the 102 target appears technically clear.
That said, I anticipate mixed data from today’s releases — which means we could see both sides of liquidity being taken during the initial reaction. Price might dip toward lower zones temporarily to collect liquidity before resuming its bullish move toward 102.
📌 In summary:
From a swing perspective, I believe the direction remains bullish for the Dollar Index as long as we hold above the 100 level.
When I say the data might be “mixed,” I mean the market could show an initial drop toward lower zones at the time of release — not because of a reversal, but to grab liquidity before continuing higher toward the 102 target.
Unless we see something unexpectedly extreme in the numbers, I expect the DXY to remain on track to reach the 102 level in the coming days or next week.
🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
Gold in PRZ + TRZ: Is a Bullish Reversal Brewing(Short-term)?Gold , as I expected in yesterday's idea , fell to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and started to rise again .
Today's Gold analysis is on the 15-minute time frame and is considered short-term , so please pay attention .
Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,307-$3,275) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold can complete the microwave C of wave B at the lower line of the descending channel.
I expect Gold to trend higher in the coming hours and rise to at least $3,311 .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,267
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GBPUSD Technical Overview GBPUSD Technical Overview
GBPUSD recently peaked at 1.3790, aligning with a key historical resistance zone from October 2021. On the Daily Chart, this move completed a significant bearish pattern, suggesting the potential for further downside.
Over the last 7 trading sessions, the pair has declined nearly 400 pips, moving decisively lower.
Given the steep drop, a technical correction may be on the horizon before GBPUSD potentially resumes its bearish trajectory, as indicated by the current chart setup.
If NFP data can be strong today, GBPUSD could extend to the first target 1.3100 or 1.3000 as shown in the chart.
Overall, GBPUSD looks like it has started a downtrend.
Let's see how the price will unfolds.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD: Be careful, It's More Complex Than it SeemsGOLD: Be careful, It's More Complex Than it Seems
After the NFP data came in at 73k vs. the expected 110k, the market reacted aggressively to the US dollar. Today, the US dollar was affected on two fronts.
One was the NFP data and the other was the mess that President Trump is creating with his tariffs against many countries. Uncertainty regarding the future impact of the tariffs remains high and unknown.
After the NFP data GOLD reacted aggressively against the US dollar by breaking easily two small structural areas towards 3315 and 3334. A possible correction is expected before gold moves further to 3370; 3400 and 3400, as shown in the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
ETH at Critical Resistance + Liquidation Zone | Time to Short?Today I want to analyze Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) on the 1-hour time frame . Is there a short position opportunity?
Please stay with me.
Ethereum is currently trading near a Heavy Resistance zone($4,390-$3,950) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($3,983-$3,878) and the $4,000 ( round number ). $4,000 could be a psychological number to sell .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Ethereum appears to have completed the main wave 3 at $3,860 and is currently completing the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 could have a Double Three Correction(WXY) or Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) , with the Expanding Flat structure being more likely .
One of the reasons why shorting Ethereum could be better than shorting Bitcoin right now is that ETHBTC ( BINANCE:ETHBTC ) is currently trading above the ascending channel and is likely to correct to Fibonacci levels .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect Ethereum to drop to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and attack the Support lines ( Second target ) .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $3,591-$3,543
CME Gap: $3,461-$3,417
Note: Stop Loss: $4,023
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
SP500 → Countertrend correction before growthFX:SPX500 is correcting against an upward trend. In the second half of the week, the market received fairly positive fundamentals during the reporting period.
S&P 500 futures found support after strong reports from Meta and Microsoft, which exceeded earnings expectations and forecasts thanks to AI. The rise in futures supported demand for the “Magnificent Seven” despite Powell's hawkish comments. The focus is on Apple and Amazon reports in the evening, which could strengthen the tech rally. On Friday, we are seeing a countertrend correction in which the market is testing the 6288 zone of interest.
Support levels: 6288.4, 6262.6
Resistance levels: 6342, 6371
Most likely, the market will form a false breakout of support during the correction. If the bulls keep the index above the key level, we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bullish Rejection from Support, Upside in FocusMarket Overview: On the M15 timeframe, XAUUSD shows signs of a short-term bullish reversal after a prolonged sideways range around the key support zone of 3,286 – 3,289 USD. Price faked out below this support but quickly recovered, forming a V-shape reversal, suggesting strong buying interest has returned.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zones:
- 3,286 – 3,289: Strong intraday support, tested multiple times with sharp rejections
- 3,274: Next significant support if the above zone fails
Resistance Zones:
- 3,300 – 3,304: First resistance target aligned with the recent high
- 3,308 – 3,312: Higher resistance area where supply may emerge
Technical Indicators:
EMA: Price has reclaimed the short-term EMAs, indicating bullish momentum on lower timeframes
RSI: Rising above 50 but not yet overbought – there’s room for further upside
Volume: Increasing volume during the bounce confirms buying strength
Trading Strategy:
- Bullish Scenario (Preferred): Entry Zone: Watch for pullback toward 3,290 – 3,292
Stop Loss: Below 3,285
Take Profit 1: 3,300
Take Profit 2: 3,304
Extended Target: 3,308 – 3,312 (if bullish momentum continues beyond breakout zone)
- Bearish Scenario (Alternate): Only valid if price breaks and closes strongly below 3,286
Short Target: 3,274 – 3,270
Note: Counter-trend strategy – higher risk, requires strong confirmation
Conclusion: Gold is showing a bullish price structure on the 15-minute chart. As long as price holds above the 3,286 – 3,289 support zone, the path of least resistance appears to be upward, with 3,300 and 3,304 as the next logical targets. Monitor price action closely during the U.S. session for a potential long setup.
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