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Wave Analysis

Gold becomes a strategic anchorPrecious metals continue to climb as investors rush into safe-haven assets following Israel’s airstrikes on Iran, sparking fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East. Many now view the confrontation between Israel and Iran as the most significant geopolitical event since the Russia–Ukraine war. In times of economic turbulence and geopolitical uncertainty, gold once again stands out as a reliable store of value. Adding to the bullish case, weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data earlier this week has strengthened expectations of a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This shift has put downward pressure on the dollar and Treasury yields, giving gold even more room to rise. From my perspective, when geopolitics and monetary policy both signal instability, gold is no longer just a defensive hedge — it becomes a proactive strategy. Holding gold right now is not just about safety — it’s about positioning for a new phase where capital seeks true value and trusted refuge.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lucas-TradingFX
Gold rallies amid global unrestGold continues to assert its strong position as it surged further last week, reaching $3,440 per ounce by the weekend. This upward momentum has been driven by two key factors: escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve may soon begin cutting interest rates. Many experts believe the bullish trend is likely to extend into this week, with the next psychological target set at $3,500. That said, a brief pullback cannot be ruled out after such a rapid ascent. From my perspective, following the recent period of consolidation, gold appears to be regaining strength for another attempt at new highs. The ongoing global political uncertainty continues to fuel demand for this safe-haven asset. As gold pushes higher, investors should ride the trend—but with caution. Staying closely informed on Fed policy shifts and geopolitical developments will be essential for making well-timed, rational trading decisions in this sensitive market environment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lucas-TradingFX
XAUUSD: June 16 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3500, support below 3338 Four-hour chart resistance 3470, support below 3419 One-hour chart resistance 3450, support below 3428-19 Gold news analysis: Last Friday, the further intensification of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East promoted the rise of risk aversion sentiment. Spot gold once broke through $3446, setting a new high in two months. This wave of rise was driven by multiple factors, including the weak inflation data in the United States last week, which further strengthened the market's expectations of the Fed's interest rate cut, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold. On Monday, gold prices are still likely to continue to benefit from risk aversion and are expected to challenge the 3500 mark in the short term. In addition, this week's market will also be affected by the Fed's resolution and Powell's speech. Investors should pay attention to the potential impact of the Fed's policy trends on gold prices. It is worth noting that US President Trump will visit Canada from June 15 to 17 to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit. The speech during the summit may also cause gold price fluctuations, which needs to be paid attention to. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour support 3419 and the one-hour support 3428. The pressure above focuses on the suppression near the daily level 3500. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed 3419 is the first-line barrier. Before the four-hour level does not fall below this position, continue to maintain the rhythm of buying on dips and look to 3500. Buy: 3419near SL: 3414 Buy: 3428near SL: 3423
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold on the Rise – Will It Break New Highs?Hey traders! What’s your view on XAUUSD? Yesterday, gold surged over 400 pips and the rally hasn't slowed down. Price is now hovering around $3,428, right below a key resistance above the all-time high. Why the spike? US CPI came in lower than expected, boosting hopes for a Fed rate cut. The dollar weakened, tensions in the Middle East grew, and central banks are buying gold aggressively. Personally, I expect a breakout. What about you – will gold pull back or continue its climb? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
3
AUDJPY 4H Short Setup📕 Smart Money Trade Breakdown 🔻 AUDJPY 4H Short Setup This is a short entry on AUDJPY, taken from a premium price zone within an Order Block (O-B) and Supply & Demand (S&D) area, showing strong bearish rejection after internal market structure shift. 📉 Entry: 94.096 🎯 Take Profit: 90.136 🛡️ Stop Loss: 95.399 ⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 🔍 Key Confluences: Entry within a well-defined Order Block and S&D zone Price reacted to upper supply with a visible wick rejection Break of internal structure (M15-H1) shows bearish intent Bearish engulfing on confirmation candle Trendline break suggests end of bullish wave This setup aims to catch the institutional distribution phase before price retraces to discount demand around the 90.100 zone or lower. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes. Apply proper risk management and strategy validation before live execution.
Short
by sksglobaltraders24on
Oil Eyes $90+ as U.S.–Iran Conflict LoomsWTI Crude Oil — Bullish Reversal in Play as War Risk Escalates Technical & Geopolitical Outlook — Weekly Chart | 17 June 2025 🧭 Current Market Condition: WTI crude oil is breaking out of a multi-month falling wedge, a classically bullish reversal pattern, after bouncing from the $67–68 support region. This technical move is further amplified by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly fears of a potential U.S. military strike on Iran, which would threaten global oil supply routes through the Strait of Hormuz. The current breakout attempt aligns with a sentiment shift from oversold to recovery mode, supported by a sharp rise in weekly momentum indicators. 📊 Key Technical Highlights: Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout: Price breaking above descending resistance. Key Resistance Levels: $76.67 – immediate supply zone $92.82 – prior breakout area; major target if breakout sustains Key Support Levels: $71.28 – breakout retest level $67.00–$68.00 – wedge base, strong historical support $52.00 – longer-term bearish invalidation (unlikely unless demand collapses) Momentum: Weekly stochastic sharply rising from bottom, signaling strength building. 🔺 Bullish Scenario — If U.S. Attacks Iran: If the U.S. carries out military strikes on Iranian targets, oil prices are highly likely to: Price in geopolitical risk premium of $10–$20/barrel. Spike toward $90–$100 range within days or weeks due to: Fears of supply disruption (Hormuz choke point) Panic buying and short covering Strategic reserves hoarding Technical Targets: $76.67 → Break above confirms bullish continuation $92.82 → First major upside target $100–$110 → Stretch target if conflict escalates or prolongs 🛢️ Energy traders and institutions typically front-run geopolitical escalations, so price can jump before any physical conflict if tensions remain unresolved or rhetoric intensifies. 🔻 Bearish Scenario — Fake Breakout or De-escalation: Rejection from $76.67 or failure to hold above $71.28 can trigger pullbacks. If tensions cool and Iran conflict is diplomatically diffused: WTI may slide back toward $68.00 and re-enter the wedge. Below $67.00, oil could revisit $60–$52 range in a risk-off macro environment. 🛡️ Risk Management & Outlook: Geopolitical events can override technicals, especially in commodities. Gaps, whipsaws, and sharp reversals are common — caution with overnight positions. Consider hedging strategies or limited-risk option plays if trading leveraged oil instruments. 📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by MarketsPOV
US30/DJ30 Long/buy 1:6Reason for buy: VERY SIMILAR STRUCTURE TO GOLD!!!!! 1. Break of structure 2. Regular flat in play with a complete corrective structure (a,b,c) 3. NO MACD divergence shows strong moment upwards 4. Impulsive move (1AW) indicates a strong move upwards will continue 5. Liquidity at the top (TP area) Entry: CMP (Current market price) Stop loss :42086 Take Profit: At own discretion...OPEN! Strategy/ies: Engulfing candle on 15/1HR TF Losses are part of the game...don't be too hard on yourself!
OANDA:US30USDLong
by PIPPINTRADER
2025-06-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Big up, big down, big confusion. Market rallies 500 points yesterday and today we get a late bear breakout and close below 22000. Traps on both sides and I am not believing in bear strength what so ever. I see this as a triangle and 22000 is the middle. Chop chop. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21700 - 22300 bull case: Bulls want to stay above 21900 and print a higher low to then re-test 22300. Today they were weak and let the bears close below 22000 which was unexpected, giving yesterday’s bullishness. Tomorrow we have FOMC and I doubt market can move far from 22000 tomorrow. Any longs closer to 21800 make sense. Invalidation is below 21680. bear case: Bears left behind a gap up to 22015 but I doubt it can stay open. We have to decent trend lines below us and bears would need to break strongly below 21900 to try and go for 800 or even 700. Bears do not have any arguments to go below 21700 so I won’t make up any. That doesn’t mean it can not happen but it’s unlikely. Invalidation is above 22230. short term: Completely neutral around 22000. Only interested in longs below 21900 and shorts closer to 22100. medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-15: Daily close below 21450 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher. trade of the day: Buy low, sell high and scalp. Clear range 22000 - 22100 and the late bear breakout was ok if you made your money before. I do think it was unusual that we did not close the gap to y close 22176.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Analysis of the latest gold trend on June 17: 1. Current market drivers Weakened safe-haven demand: Gold prices fell from a nearly two-month high in the European session, mainly because the performance of global equity markets has actively weakened gold's safe-haven appeal. Federal Reserve policy expectations: The market focuses on the FOMC decision on Wednesday. Although interest rates are expected to remain unchanged, traders are betting that the Fed may release dovish signals (such as further rate cuts in 2025) due to slowing inflation and economic cooling, suppressing the dollar and supporting gold. Geopolitical risks: The escalation of the conflict between Iran and Israel and trade policy uncertainty still provide potential support for gold, but the market reaction is temporarily mild, limiting the rise in gold prices. 2. Key technical points Short-term trend: Monday opened high and fell, breaking the 3,400 mark, forming a small-level top, and weakening in the short term. Support level: First support: 3383-3380 (intraday low) Second support: 3360 (Daily MA5 and weekly key support) Resistance level: 3403-3408 (anti-pressure area after breaking, short-term defense position) 3. Operation strategy Short-term: Short-selling on rebound: intervene when the 3403-3408 range is blocked, stop loss is set above 3410, target 3385-3360. Long-term callback: if it falls to the 3360-3380 area and stabilizes (with daily MA5 support), you can lightly position long orders, stop loss below 3350, target 3400. Mid-term: Wait for the bottom to be confirmed (such as a double bottom or a large-volume rebound near 3360), and then arrange medium- and long-term long orders, looking towards 3500. 4. Risk Warning FOMC Decision: If the Fed is unexpectedly hawkish (such as downplaying expectations of rate cuts), it may trigger a further correction in gold; a dovish stance may restart the rally. Geopolitical Situation: If the conflict in the Middle East suddenly worsens, gold prices may rebound quickly, and positions need to be adjusted flexibly. Key Operation Range Today Short Entry: 3403-3408 (Stop Loss 3415, Target 3380) Long Entry: 3380-3360 (Stop Loss 3355, Target 3400)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
LYV Technical Analysis: Bullish Continuation Pattern SignalsTechnical Analysis: LYV is exhibiting a strong bullish structure on the daily timeframe. Following a period of consolidation within a larger uptrend, the price has initiated a breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern. This technical development suggests a high probability of trend continuation, with initial price objectives identified at 150 and 160. Analysis: Established Ascending Channel: The primary market structure is a well-defined ascending channel that has been in place since the lows of April. The price has consistently respected the boundaries of this channel, forming a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows. This establishes the dominant trend as bullish, with the lower trendline acting as significant dynamic support. Symmetrical Triangle Consolidation & Breakout: Within this uptrend, the price action from May through mid-June formed a classic symmetrical triangle. This pattern represents a period of consolidation and contracting volatility, often preceding a significant expansion in price. Recently, a decisive bullish breakout has occurred, with price action closing firmly above the pattern's upper trendline. This breakout serves as a strong signal for the resumption of the primary uptrend. Key Levels: Support Zone (135.00 - 140.00): This horizontal zone represents a critical area of support, having been tested successfully in the past. It also aligns near the lower boundary of the ascending channel, creating a confluence of support that reinforces its significance. For the bullish thesis to remain valid, the price should hold above this area. Target 1 / Resistance 1 (150.00): The first upside price objective is located at the 150.00 level. This area aligns with the previous swing high from early May and represents a logical point for initial profit-taking or potential price reaction. Target 2 / Resistance 2 (160.00): Should the price overcome the 150.00 resistance, the next significant target is the 160.00 zone, which corresponds to the highs seen in late February. This level also coincides with the upper boundary of the long-term ascending channel. Outlook: The chart projects a potential trajectory following the breakout. An initial impulse move towards the 150.00 target is anticipated. It is common for price to perform a "retest" of the broken trendline (now support) before continuing its ascent. Such a retest could offer a favorable secondary entry point for traders aligned with the trend. Conclusion: The combination of an established uptrend, a clean breakout from a bullish continuation pattern, and clearly defined support and resistance levels presents a compelling case for further upside in LYV. The immediate focus is on the 150.00 level, with a secondary target at 160.00. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
NYSE:LYVLong
by ManiMarkets
GBPUSD Sell Limit Activated June 17 2025This trade was taken today, (tuesday- june 17, 2025). Based on 1H timeframe Supply. I wait for London Session and check for possible liquidity sweep in 15 min and 5min timeframe. I noticed a CHOCH followed by tap in Supply zone of the schematics. I decide to create a sell limit order during New York Session to maximize the Risk to Reward Ratio. (Check the charts for detailed label and movement). 1:7RR Wyckoff schematics in 1H timeframe--> confluence of supply in lower timeframes for validity. RR:7 Another classic distribution. patience is the key :) #wyckoff #sell #supplyanddemand
Short
by glyrad