Wave Analysis
XAUUSD Opening Move In BuyGold prices maintain its upward trajectory on Friday, reaching its peak level since late April above the $3,400 mark per troy ounce. Furthermore, the precious metal draws increased safe-haven interest amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, triggered by Israel's military action against Iran.
AUD-CHF Pullback Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF made a retest
Of the strong wide horizontal
Resistance around 0.5289
And we are already seeing a
Local pullback so we are
Locally bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
On Monday
Sell!
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#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Last week I printed another potential two-legged correction where the C would print a new ath. Bulls were to weak to even retest 112k and 110k was all they got. Now I do think there are many more reasons that this will be the mother of all doubles tops than any arguments for the bulls exist, how they could print a new ath. Structure is decent and market has spent many days at the top trying to continuing the trend. Confirmation is a daily close below 100k.
current market cycle: Broad bull channel on the weekly tf. Market is about to re-test the ath and will likely transition into a trading range afterwards or we are already in one.
key levels: 100k - 115k
bull case: Bulls are still hopeful, that’s why we are still above 110k but the next touch could break it and I doubt many will hold long or scale into new ones there. Best bulls can get right now is to go sideways for longer and stay above 100k. I mean… Staying above 100k is as bullish as it get’s if you be honest.
Invalidation is a daily close below 100k
bear case: Can we also get a new bear trend from 110k? We would need 4-5 consecutive daily bear closes for that. Right now bears are only getting 4 but prices is not moving much during those 4 and the bars are overlapping too much. Bulls are still hopeful. Bears need to do more if they want lower prices again. As of now bulls are favored to continue inside the given range.
Invalidation is above 113k
short term: Bearish with stop 113k. Will scale into shorts and take some profits around 100k until we see a big breakout below.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-08:
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-08: “Need to see a clear sign that bulls can not push it beyond 112k and once we turn again from closer to the ath, I will comment on bear targets for the next months.”
This was from last week and market provided this clear sign with the amazing double top but only a daily close below 100k is confirmation. First target below 100k is 97k the breakout retest and after that is the 50% retracement around 93000.
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Good week for oil bulls but still a lower high below the April high 78.1. Now what? If this buying is the real thing and market is expecting higher prices for longer, the pullback will stay above 70. If bulls do that, we can expect at least a second leg up to retest 75+ or even 80+. We are seeing a full on war between Israel and Iran but you should not trade based on that. There are bulls who bought above 73 on Friday and lost Money so far.
current market cycle: trading range 54 - 78 on the weekly tf. Decent chance we are in a bull trend that could lead to 80/84 or higher.
key levels: 70 - 77
bull case: Bulls have all the arguments on their side. They now need to leave a big open gap to 69.3 and then we can do a measured move up. My lowest target for that is 80. Structure on the 1h chart is a textbook two-legged pullback and above 74.5 it’s a clear buy signal.
Invalidation is below 70.8 but can likely also be 70
bear case: Bears do not have much. They trapped late bulls on Friday and that’s a likely reason we sold off 677 ticks from the high. They need lower lows below 70.8 and close the gap to the Thursday high before the news-bomb hit. For that to happen they have to break 2 bull trend lines. I will not look for shorts on this tbh.
Invalidation is above 74.5
short term: Bullish. Maybe a bit more sideways but I have given two invalidation prices for bulls and couple of targets above. I don’t think looking for shorts makes any sense unless you are really good at scalping.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-15: Maybe we have seen the 2-year trading range coming to an end on Friday and we are in a new bull trend that could lead oil to 80 or higher. Right now it’s pure guesswork until we print higher highs above Friday’s 77.62. Oil above 80 is not something we have seen since end of 2023 so expect some ripples.
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: I do think we will continue to print lower highs from 22094. Very clear invalidation price for that thesis is a print above 21855. 21000 is my target for the next days/weeks. A strong daily bear close below the daily 20ema around 21450 would be my confirmation. Above 21855 we continue to chop sideways and could retest 22094.
current market cycle: trading range most likely for now until we have a daily close below 20ema
key levels for next week: 21450 - 21855 (below 21450 - next target is 21000 and above 21855 next target is 22000)
bull case: Bulls outdid themselves by almost completely reversing the strong sell-off on Friday. That certainly was unexpected but now is decision time. Can they keep the market above 21500 a second time? If so, most bears will likely be quick to give up again and we can continue sideways 21500 - 22100 or even higher. Since we did not close below the daily ema, bulls remain in control.
Invalidation is below 21450
bear case: Bears see the bull wedge as broken and want to trade down from here. The top we have formed is a credible double top with ath 22656 and good for swing shorts. Bulls have been given two amazing macro numbers last week, especially the cpi print and we could not break strongly above. Instead we got a spike and it crumbled afterwards. Those are the type of things that don’t happen in bull trends.
Invalidation is above 21855
short term: Neutral for now and I wait for the breakout to either side. I want to favor the bears but they were so weak after the Globex sell spike on Friday, it’s not wise to hope they suddenly become strong.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-15: Daily close below 21450 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher.
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Bears leaving no doubt who is in control of the market now. Volume is picking up on the move down and bear bars are getting bigger. I expect a bit more fighting around 23500 but once we break below, 23000 is the next target and also likely a gap close down to 22600. I have drawn my least bearish wave thesis on the chart where the 50% retracement gets hit over the next weeks. Much more bearish would be the 20000 target. If this selling continues without a pullback, I will adjust the legs.
current market cycle: trading range until we close below 23200 - then we are in the new bear trend. As of now the continuation inside the range is more likely.
key levels for next week: 22600 - 24000
bull case: Got nothing for the bulls but in case we trade back above 23580, we have to assume sideways for longer. I don’t think we can try another new ath after this selling. Bulls found support at the sell-spike from the 50% tariff announcement. If overall markets won’t sell off early on Monday, we can expect some sideways movement before market gets the next impulse up or down. Anything above 24100 would surprise me big time.
Invalidation is below 23280
bear case: 23280 is the price to break for more downside and 23580 is the most important price for bears to prevent the bulls from getting. If 23580 holds, we can do another strong leg down to close the gap 22600. If we go above, the next bear trend line would be around 23950ish and if we get there we will likely test 24000 again. After 5 consecutive bear bars, bulls can not hold longs in hope for another run at the highs. The bear bars are getting bigger and market tested above 24000 enough to know there are not enough buyers. Bulls tried 4 times to 3 times to continue the trend. Selling this top with long term shorts is as good as it gets. On lower time frames I expect a bit more sideways before another leg down.
Invalidation is above 23280
short term: Neutral but only on time frames lower than 4h. W1 has likely concluded but I expect at least a big second leg down to 22600ish. Bears have to keep it below 23580 or we could test back up to 24000.
medium-long term from 2025-06-15: Bull trend has most likely concluded. Long term shorts are fine. Stop has to be at least 24508. I see it 70% or more that we will see 22000 before end of August.
WIF 4H. Make or Break ZoneBINANCE:WIFUSDT The asset is still moving within a defined range and is now brushing against the lower boundary of its structure. This area has historically triggered buyer interest — and if that repeats, we could be looking at a recovery toward $0.97+ in the short term.
However, failure to defend this support could send price cascading down to the $0.58–$0.60 zone.
Given the ongoing uncertainty in global markets, especially due to rising geopolitical tension, any long positions should be executed with tight risk management and a hard stop-loss.
Entry range (EP):
• Market
• $0.8120
• $0.7790
Take-Profit targets (TP):
• $0.8880
• $0.9425
• $0.9765
I’m managing risk carefully and limiting exposure per trade to no more than 2% of my portfolio. This is my personal trading log and not financial advice — always DYOR and trade responsibly.
Let the market decide — I'm prepared either way.
Stay sharp. Stay safe. 🧠📊
GBPUSD – 1 Month Analysis (Long-Term Outlook)Strategy Used:
✔ Smart Money Concept (SMC)
✔ Elliott Wave Theory
✔ Wedge Pattern Breakout
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🔍 Chart Overview:
The pair has completed a classic falling wedge pattern, hinting at a potential long-term bullish reversal.
Wave 5 completion suggests the start of a new cycle or correction (ABC).
Currently in a buyer-dominated zone, with momentum pushing towards the key supply area (seller zone) marked in blue.
A breakout above this zone could indicate continuation toward major highs, while rejection might trigger Wave C or a deeper corrective structure.
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💡 Key Levels:
Immediate Support Zones:
1.2550 - 1.2700 (Buyer's Checkpoint)
1.2000 - 1.2200 (Deeper Buyer Interest)
Major Resistance / Supply Zone:
1.5500 - 1.6000
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🧠 SMC Perspective:
Break of Structure (BoS) confirms bullish intent in multiple zones.
Expecting reaction from premium zone – either for continuation or smart money reversal.
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🌀 Elliott Wave Outlook (Box Inset):
Current wave structure hints at a completed 5-wave impulsive decline.
Now in early stages of ABC correction.
Targeting Wave C to reach the major supply zone in the long-term.
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📌 Summary:
A macro bullish opportunity is unfolding after years of consolidation and impulse decline. Keep eyes on higher timeframe confirmations and reactions at key zones. This chart aligns well with institutional footprints and macro price action logic.
My View on Gold H4 TimeframeBased on the provided 4-hour timeframe chart for Gold (XAU/USD) from TradingView, published on June 15, 2025, here’s a technical analysis with the closing price at $3,434.55:
Price Action: The price is testing resistance near $3,434.55, aligning with the upper boundary of a consolidation zone between $3,326.035 and $3,434.55. A breakout above this level could target $3,452.982, while a failure may lead to a pullback.
Support and Resistance:
Support: Key support levels are at $3,326.035 and $3,260.560 (previous low).
Resistance: Immediate resistance is at $3,434.55, with further levels at $3,482.982 and $3,496.962.
Trend Indicators: The upward-sloping moving averages (e.g., 80.596K, 128.697K) suggest a medium-term bullish trend. The price is near the upper trendline, indicating potential overextension.
Trading Signals:
Long: Consider long positions if the price breaks and holds above $3,434.55 with strong volume.
Short: Short opportunities may emerge if the price rejects at $3,434.55 with bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star).
RSI: The RSI around 60-70 (based on the chart) indicates nearing overbought territory. A drop below 50 could signal a correction.
This analysis is based on the chart's visual data. tradingview.sweetlogin.com
BITCOIN TOPPED. ELLIOT WAVE LONG Long term outlook of Bitcoin using EWT. I personally think Bitcoin has topped and the btc.d charts support it as well as the actual chart shown here. We’re beggining the massive correction as it did way back and I kept the ratios the same so after wave C next year or whenever, we can all buy btc at around 30k and ride the next waves up.
GOLDThis involves working with a stop order. If the market moves towards the target, ignoring the stop order, then there is a profit, but if, on the contrary, the market goes long, based on the current military-political situation, then there is no loss. The profit in the ratio of 1:2 is probably not bad.
Tesla (TSLA) 1H Chart – Wyckoff Cycle in ActionThis chart reflects a textbook Wyckoff pattern unfolding on TSLA’s 1-hour timeframe:
🔹 Accumulation Phase observed early May
🔹 Followed by Manipulation & Distribution – classic trap before markdown
🔹 Sharp selloff led to another Accumulation zone around $305
🔹 Further manipulation wicks indicate smart money involvement
🔹 Now projecting a move towards $360–$370 distribution zone
📌 Structure breakdown:
Smart Money Accumulation ➡️ Manipulation ➡️ Distribution
Bullish momentum building from $306 support
Eyes on reaction near the marked green distribution box 📦
📅 As of June 15, 2025 – chart aligns with Wyckoff theory and institutional behavior.
APPLE: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
APPLE
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy APPLE
Entry - 196.46
Stop - 192.63
Take - 203.97
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USDCHF: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
USDCHF
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long USDCHF
Entry Point - 0.8113
Stop Loss - 0.8074
Take Profit - 0.8182
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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SILVER Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 36.320 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 35.168
Recommended Stop Loss - 36.830
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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#SEI/USDT#SEI
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.1725.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are heading for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.1766
First target: 0.1794
Second target: 0.1834
Third target: 0.1890
NATGAS: Market of Sellers
Balance of buyers and sellers on the NATGAS pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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