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Wave Analysis

XAU/USD – Endphase der Circle Wave 1 & Vorbereitung auf die KorrOANDA:XAUUSD We are currently in the final stages of the yellow (Circle) Wave 1 on Gold. We have just completed wave 4. How do I identify wave 4? Simple: 📏 I drew a trendline, and once that trendline was broken, the trend of wave 3 was considered complete. However, we’ve now made a new low, which broke the low of wave 3 — this could very well be our wave A of wave 4 ⚠️. I’m expecting one more final low, potentially around 3252, or even as low as 3200. But personally, I lean towards ~3252 as the likely target 🎯. After that, we should see a move upward into the yellow Fibonacci zone of wave 2 🟡. The path from Circle 1 to Circle 2 will likely unfold as a corrective A-B-C structure to the upside 🔁. Following that, we hopefully get a clean five-wave impulse into our (Circle) Wave 3 🚀.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ElliotXSolana
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 30, 2025📊 🔍 Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Momentum has started to reverse upward, but we need to wait for today’s daily candle to close for confirmation. Until then, there is still a risk of another short-term decline. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum lines are clustering in the overbought zone, signaling a possible weakening of the current upward move. However, this signal alone is not enough to confirm that the uptrend has ended. ________________________________________ 🌀 Wave Structure • Price has reached the projected target for wave e, but there has been no strong bullish reaction. The recent candles are short-bodied and overlapping – typical of corrective structures. Also, this wave has lasted longer than previous corrective upswings, suggesting that the decline may not be over yet and the wave count needs to be reviewed. Currently, we are facing two equally probable scenarios (50/50), but they suggest opposite outcomes: ➤ Scenario 1: Zigzag (5-3-5) Structure • The current structure may represent only wave A of a larger zigzag. • We are now in wave B, which tends to be complex and unpredictable, making it not ideal for wave-based trading. • The red zones marked on the chart indicate potential target areas for wave B. ➤ Scenario 2: Completed 5-Wave Correction • The downtrend may have completed at wave (e). • The current upward movement could be wave 1 forming as a triangle – a potential start of a new bullish cycle. • However, to confirm this scenario, price must hold above 3309. If it fails to do so and H4 momentum reverses downward, a new low is very likely. ________________________________________ 📝 Trading Plan Given the current market conditions, I only recommend short-term scalp trading based on the predefined support and resistance zones. Avoid wave-based trading until the structure becomes clearer. Once clarity returns, I will provide an updated trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
GBPAUD Massive Short! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for GBPAUDis below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.0596 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 2.0543 My Stop Loss - 2.0626 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold (XAUUSD) Breaks Trendline – Potential Downside Ahead?Gold (XAU/USD) has officially broken below a long-term ascending trendline on the 4H chart, indicating a potential shift in market structure. The recent breakout from a bear flag pattern confirms bearish momentum, and price is now approaching a key horizontal support zone around $3,249 and $3,242. 🔹 Trendline support (now resistance) broken 🔹 Bear flag breakdown – strong bearish candle 🔹 Eyes on support levels: $3,249, $3,165, and possibly lower 🔹 Watch for a potential retest of the broken trendline for short opportunities A clean break and close below $3,249 could open the door for further downside in the coming sessions. Trade cautiously and manage your risk!
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by AllBeginner
GOLD Long After Lower Dip - Catching PullbackOANDA:XAUUSD / TVC:GOLD Long Trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple tp, here price will pullback up. Price will bounce in this zone. I kept SL slight big to be safe because TP levels are good so I don't want to get pushed out because of tight SL. Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade. Use proper risk management Looks like good trade. Lets monitor. Use proper risk management. Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MuhammadTrades
2
USDJPY POTENTIAL CONTINUATION AFTER A PULLBACK Price has returned to a higher time frame supply zone after a change in structure and is now showing signs of rejection following a pullback (retracement). The mitigation of the supply zone suggests that institutions may have filled their sell orders and are now ready to push price lower. 📉 Execution Plan: • Entry: On lower timeframe BOS/CHOCH or strong bearish reaction after mitigation. • SL: Just above the supply zone (allow breathing room). • TP: Next demand zone or based on structure (e.g., swing low, imbalance fill). • RR: Minimum 1:3, ideally 1:5 depending on refinement and volatility.
Short
by AFOKE
BTC – Pre-FOMC consolidation, bullish momentum, key zones__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum : Primary uptrend confirmed on all swing timeframes (daily to 1H). Active consolidation below major resistance (119650–120247), no capitulation or massive selling signals at this stage. Major Supports / Resistances : Main Supports: 116950, then 114732. Structural invalidation if daily close below 114K or low <110K. Key Resistances: 119650–120247 (recent block), then 123218. Clean breakout >125K targets next stat zone at 141K. Volumes : Transactional flows remain healthy, no anomalies or distribution events; normal volumes with a few impulsive bursts. No panic or selling climax detected. Multi-timeframe behavior : Uptrend alignment from 1D to 2H; short-term divergence (MTFTI “Down” on 30m/15m/5m) indicates only breath/consolidation pre-macro event (FOMC). __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global Bias : Medium/long-term bullish bias, confirmed, with no behavioral excess or visible structural weakness. Opportunities : Pullbacks to major supports (116950–114732) offer strategic accumulation. Potential for adding exposure on clear breakout above 125K with volume confirmation. Risk Areas : Post-FOMC flushes, anticipated high volatility until Thursday morning, $115–123K range still active. Tactical stop loss below 114.5K, structural recalibration <110K. Macro Catalysts : FOMC tonight (20:00 Paris): status quo expected, but markets highly sensitive to Powell’s statement. Widened spreads, max volatility expected within the following 2 hours. Action Plan : Favor patience on breakout, accumulate on retracement, keep stops disciplined. Avoid aggressive scalping until post-FOMC volatility peak fades. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D (Daily): Uptrend confirmed up to dense resistance zone 119800–123200. Solid momentum, no excess on Risk On / Risk Off Indicator or volume. Key Supports: 116950, 114732. 12H/6H/4H: Structured consolidation below 120247–119650. No behavioral warnings; markets strong, healthy liquidity. Accumulation-distribution rhythm without extremes. 2H/1H: Sideways, no sell-off or euphoria; potential consolidation before breakout. Major supports unchanged. 30min/15min: Noticeable short-term divergence (“Down”). Micro bearish setup, possible loss of short-term momentum before FOMC. Summary: Broadly bullish swing trend with consolidation below resistance, reinforcement possible on breakout; short term fragile until macro moves (Fed) are digested. Patience is key ahead of FOMC: prioritize accumulation on major pullback, keep stops disciplined, and avoid intraday over-trading unless clear exhaustion signals emerge. __________________________________________________________________________________ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy from 1D to 1H, intact sector support, positive structural bias. ISPD DIV: Neutral across all timeframes: no excess, no behavioral climax. On-chain/macro: 97% of holders still in profit; market absorbed stress test ($9B sell-off); only moderate euphoria, consistent with late bull phase but not exhausted. Swing validation if >125K. Tactical stop <114.5K; full capitulation <110K. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
Boeing Company (BA) Long Setup Boeing Company (BA) Long Setup Probable **Wave (5)** upside impulse from the recent \$225.26 low. * Wave (4) looks complete — bullish structure shift starting from LL. * Price is now breaking minor resistance, building momentum for continuation. * **Demand Zone:** \$224.00–\$226.00 — proven bounce area, high-volume rejection * **Supply Zone:** \$242.70–\$243.00 — last bearish engulfing + strong wick rejection * RSI still recovering from **bullish divergence** on LL. * **Entry:** \$227.75 (current consolidation near breakout) * **Stop Loss:** \$224.00 (beneath recent low and demand) * **Take Profit :** \$243.00 (supply zone) * **Risk/Reward:** \~**3.0 R** “In trading, the moment you think you’ve figured it out, the market humbles you.” – Mark Douglas* #### ⚠️ **Disclaimer:** This chart analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research, manage risk, and trade responsibly.
NYSE:BALong
by MESHANL
USDJPY 30Min Engaged (Buy & Sell Reversal Entry's Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal - 148.350 🩸Bearish Reversal - 148.370 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
by Path_Of_Hanzo
9
Gold’s Biggest Day of 2025: Collapse or New High Incoming?🟡 Gold Pre-FOMC Update | Patience Paid Off In my previous analysis released on Monday, we highlighted the significance of the 3310 key red level on gold. I mentioned that if we got a daily candle close below this zone, it could trigger further downside. That scenario didn’t play out — price closed above 3310, and that’s exactly why we stayed out of any short positions. No guessing, no forcing. Just patience. On the flip side, I also said we need a daily close above 3350 to even consider going long. And as you can see, for the past two days, price has been ranging tightly between 3310 and 3330 — with relatively low trading volume across the board. After 9 years of optimizing this strategy, one core principle remains unchanged: 🛡️ Capital protection and maximum risk control always come first. And I can confidently say — those filters are working beautifully. I hope you’re benefiting from this approach too. Now technically speaking, everything is lining up for a bullish DXY and bearish gold — But tonight’s FOMC meeting and Powell vs. Trump drama will be the final trigger. Let’s watch closely. Smart trading is patient trading. 🧠⚖️ 🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary. Disclaimer:This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mehrasfx
XAUUSD: July 30th Market Analysis and StrategyGold Technical Analysis: Daily Chart Resistance: 3351, Support: 3300 4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3340, Support: 3310 1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3334, Support: 3315. Trading risk will increase today. We will focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and the ADP employment data, which are expected to increase market liquidity. If trading, please avoid news releases. On the daily chart: Bollinger Bands are moving horizontally, with gold prices trading above the lower band. The MACD indicator has formed a downward death cross, indicating a release of bearish momentum. The RSI indicator has fallen back into the overbought range of 50-40, indicating a clear bottoming out and rebound in gold prices. On the 4-Hour Chart: Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with gold prices trading near the middle band. The MACD indicator is beginning to turn upward, and the RSI is showing an oversold rebound. Gold prices are poised for an upward rebound! The NY market is focusing on the $3351 resistance level above and the $3308 support level below. SELL: 3351near BUY: 3315near
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
Accumulation pattern awaiting breakout confirmationIntraday Outlook: Accumulation pattern awaiting breakout confirmation On the 1H timeframe, XAUUSD is forming a clear consolidation pattern within a narrow ascending channel after falling from a prior distribution zone. Buyers are attempting to regain control, but strong resistance remains around the 3,339 – 3,347 USD area. 1. Technical Breakdown: Trendline & Channel: Price is currently moving inside a small rising channel, indicating a short-term bullish bias, though momentum remains limited. EMA Dynamics: EMA 20, 50, and 100 are beginning to converge, signaling a potential breakout. A bullish EMA crossover (EMA20 > EMA50) could confirm stronger upward momentum. Disputed Area: This zone represents heavy indecision between bulls and bears. A clear breakout above or below is needed for directional clarity. Fibonacci Level: The 0.874 retracement level from the recent low shows strong buyer interest, potentially forming a short-term bottom. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels: 3,339.2 USD Major resistance – needs to be broken for bullish continuation 3,347.4 USD Next resistance if breakout occurs 3,328.2 USD Immediate support (current price zone) 3,326.7 USD Strong support if price retraces 3. Suggested Trading Strategies: Scenario 1 – Breakout Buy Strategy: Entry: Buy if price breaks and closes above 3,339.2 USD on the 1H chart. Stop Loss: Below 3,328 USD. Take Profit: First target at 3,347, extended targets at 3,358 and 3,372 USD. Scenario 2 – Pullback Long Entry: If price fails to break resistance, consider buying the dip near the 3,326 – 3,328 USD support zone for a better risk-reward setup. Scenario 3 – Breakdown Sell Setup: If price breaks below 3,326 USD and exits the channel, a bearish move towards 3,295 – 3,300 USD becomes likely. Gold is in a key consolidation phase, with the 3,339 USD resistance acting as the decisive breakout zone. Traders should closely monitor price action, volume, and EMA behavior to catch the next directional move. Follow for more trading strategies like this. Save this post if you find it useful!
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
High R:R Play on PEPE — 3.2X Reward WaitingThe PEPEUSDT 4H chart clearly shows that the market has been in a downtrend since late July, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. The trend indicator lines (red above price, blue below) suggest that bearish momentum has been dominant for several sessions. From July 28 onwards, price tested the short-term moving average multiple times but failed to break above it, confirming that sellers remain in control. However, over the past few candles, we can see that price has started to slow its decline and is now consolidating near the 0.00001145 support zone. This is an area where buyers have previously stepped in, making it a potential pivot point for a short-term bounce. The marked trade idea on the chart suggests a countertrend long trade. This makes sense because the market is oversold on lower timeframes and showing signs of accumulation. The upside target is set just below a prior reaction level at 0.00001289, which has historically acted as resistance. This creates an opportunity for a clean bounce if buying pressure increases. Trade Setup • Entry: 0.00001145 (at current support) • Stop Loss: 0.00001100 (below recent swing low) • Take Profit: 0.00001289 (targeting prior resistance) • Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:3.2 • Trade Bias: Short-term countertrend long
Long
by SupertradeOfficial
1
White House Crypto Report Incoming: Will BTC Pump from Support? One of the important news for Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) that was released today was that " White House confirms first Bitcoin and crypto report will be released TOMORROW ". Bitcoin is likely to rise with the release of the White House report . What do you think? At least a temporary pump may be in store for Bitcoin. Bitcoin fell to the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) and filled the New CME Gap( $119,500-$118,295) as I expected in the previous idea . Bitcoin is currently moving near the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($116,828-$115,710) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . I expect Bitcoin to rise from the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) to at least $118,680(First Taregt) . Second target: Upper line of the descending channel Note: Stop Loss: $114,680 = Worst Stop Loss(SL) CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $118,827-$118,298 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $120,144-$119,200 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18