Wave Analysis
SPX500 – 4H Smart Money Concepts | Compression Breakout & LiquidThe S&P 500 has broken down from a tight ascending wedge within a premium zone, confirming a CHoCH and suggesting a shift in short-term order flow. A corrective move is now unfolding.
🔻 Bearish Short-Term Outlook:
Weak High + CHoCH within the premium zone confirms rejection.
Multiple FVGs below offer potential draw zones:
5,900
5,850
Strong liquidity pool near 5,668.57
🧠 Smart Money Roadmap:
Structure suggests a short-term liquidity hunt below recent lows.
Equilibrium zone rests near 5,650, ideal for reaccumulation/reload.
📈 Long-Term Outlook Remains Bullish:
If liquidity objectives are met and macro improves, we may see a bullish reversal back above 6,050 toward:
6,200+
Mid/long-term fib targets near 6,500
📊 Strategy Insight:
Short-term trade: Scalps into the 5,700–5,660 zone.
Macro timing: Watch July CPI/FOMC for bullish or bearish confirmation.
Long-term positioning: Start building once price reclaims structural BOS with a displacement.
🎯 Smart money plays both ways — sweep liquidity, then reprice.
#SPX500 #SMP500 #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderFlow #LiquiditySweep #FVG #CHoCH #PremiumZone #TechnicalAnalysis #VolumeProfile #EquityMarkets #WaverVanir #TradingView
EURUSD – Follow-Up UpdateEURUSD traded above the 1.1573 level on Thursday, marking a second break to the upside following the earlier trend-changing pattern — a potential sign of bullish continuation.
However, on the 1H/M15 chart, we've observed a minor ABC corrective decline (pullback). We’re now watching for a break below 1.1511, which could signal the start of a short-term bearish move.
🎯 Short-Term Target:
The next key level is 1.1214, a weekly structural support zone and the low of the previous trend-changing pattern.
📌 Key Zones to Watch:
Bearish confirmation: Break below 1.1511
Medium-term target: 1.1214
Stay alert to price action around these levels.
Trade safe, and have a blessed weekend.
SOL (Weekly timeframe): Trend structure Price is approaching a key macro support zone. However, as long as it remains below the $148 level, I cannot rule out the possibility of one more corrective leg toward the $76–$55 range before a medium-term bottom is established and a potential resumption of the broader uptrend begins.
A breakout and sustained close above the $148 level would serve as the first technical signal that either:
- a corrective wave B (preceding a deeper correction toward the macro support zone) is unfolding, or
- a new long-term bullish trend aiming for all-time highs is beginning.
Monthly outlook:
My previous idea from November 2024 has fully realized its structure:
Thanks for reading and wishing you successful trading and investing decision!
Gold 1hr -Don't Know when is the next movement ? This for You🔥 Gold – 1h Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 1h- Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
Your Ultimate key levels
👌Bullish After Break : 3392
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 3415
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 3435
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3375
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3325
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Follow up on DXY Short post from 2022The DXY follows Fib levels quite accurately on macro movements using the monthly chart. Both on retracement and extension. It has recently tagged the .618 retrace of the last bullish wave 5 movement that started its decline.
I would suppose it is close to completion of wave A of a ABC correction that will play out over the next several months. As it tagged the .618 mentioned above, it has also tagged the .786 extension of what is likely the c wave of the abc structure (of the larger A).
B wave trade to the upside has good probability now in my opinion. I took the trade this morning with a 3-1 RR in place. It could fall to the trend line which is fine, but if it breaks in earnest and closes a few sessions below then my stop would be triggered.
There was a bullish divergence prior to the April lows on the Daily TF and one is developing at the current lows. A close above 99.40 would confirm.
Long term the dollar is likely still going to weaken and go much lower as QE inevitably comes back into the market picture. TP levels are at 99.40, 100.54, 101.25 and 101.76.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Wave 5 Upside Target at 144.67USD/JPY is currently consolidating around the 144.00 level, suggesting the end of wave 4 within a 5-wave impulsive structure. Price action indicates potential for wave 5 to begin, with a projected target near 144.67.
Wave 1 to 3 appears clean and impulsive, with wave 3 extending strongly — a common trait in trending markets.
Wave 4 seems to be forming a flat or shallow zigzag correction, respecting typical retracement territory (between 23.6%–38.2% of wave 3).
If wave 4 holds above 143.80 (your stop), this level serves as the ideal invalidator for the current bullish structure.
Wave 5 would likely aim for 144.67, aligning with the 100% or 123.6% Fibonacci extension of wave 1, projected from wave 4's bottom.
Momentum indicators on lower timeframes are stabilizing, supporting the idea that downside pressure is waning and that the next leg higher may be imminent.
A break above 144.20–144.30 could confirm the wave 5 initiation. As long as price holds above 143.80, the risk-reward remains favorable toward the upside.
$SSP Low volume on Wave 2, momentum risingFirstly, on the line chart is possible to watch the possible targets - blue lines - which one of it is almost as the same level as 2,618.
Fibonacci measured from the breakout to monthly resistance.
res M = monthly resistance
During the Wave 2, the two candles from last two days showed low volume as usual to happen during formation of W2, and it is possible to see that price at the breakout and after it was above average which can be read as high interest from buyers.
Confirming the volume, the EFI even though is decreasing still show strength,OBV follow the price trend but looks like buyers are entering again.
When it comes to momentum is possible to see that RSI did not crossed the equilibrium even after two bearish days, as ROC being a leading indicator which already changed direction . ADX is showing some strength for the trend direction confirmed by as DMI+ is still above DMI-
DTC = 1,36
GBPUSD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
We are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern on the GBP USD chart. These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear (of course, you can count them so that they become an ABC zigzag, isn't it interesting!) and you can even count their subwaves. Now wave 5 is completing and we are witnessing multiple divergences in wave 5. With the breakdown of the trend line drawn below and a pullback to it, we can expect the price to fall to the specified support. The first support is 1.305 and then 1.2800.
Good luck and be profitable.
₿ Bitcoin: SlippedAfter holding steady for two days, Bitcoin broke lower yesterday, confirming a setback within green wave B. This countertrend move delays the anticipated climb, which we still expect to reach its peak in the upper blue Target Zone (coordinates: $117,553 – $130,891). From there, bearish wave C should take over. The upper blue zone remains a tactical area for partial profit-taking or hedging long positions with shorts. Wave C is expected to drive the price sharply lower into the blue Target Zone (coordinates: $62,395 – $51,323), where we anticipate the completion of orange wave a. Orange wave b may trigger a corrective bounce, but ultimately, renewed downside should wrap up the intermediate correction of blue wave (ii). Still, there’s a 30% chance that Bitcoin forms a higher high as part of blue wave alt.(i)—temporarily breaching the upper blue zone.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BIPL LONG TRADE SECOND STRIKE 13-06-2025BIPL LONG TRADE
Previous Price Action
BIPL has recently broken out of its re-accumulation zone, which began in February last year. The stock has demonstrated high momentum with a bullish IFDZ and a bullish measuring gap, indicating a strong uptrend. This setup uses the quantified displacement method to calculate targets, indicating a high potential for continuation of the uptrend.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – BIPL🚨
- *Buy 1*: Rs. 28.0 (current level)
- *Buy 2*: Rs. 27.2
- *Buy 3*: Rs. 26.0
- *Buy 4*: Rs. 25.5
- *TP 1*: Rs. 29.8
- *TP 2*: Rs. 32.0
- *TP 3*: Rs. 34.0
- *TP 4*: Rs. 35.8
Stop Loss
- *Stop Loss*: Below Rs. 22.9
Risk-Reward Ratio
- *Risk-Reward Ratio*: 3.11
Caution: Please buy on levels in 3 parts. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
ETH: Next ATH on the Horizon? My Elliott Wave Analysis Says YESMy latest Elliott Wave count on TradingView points to a significant bullish impulse for ETH, suggesting we're gearing up for a fresh All-Time High! The wave structure looks clean, indicating strong momentum ahead.
Check out my chart and let me know your thoughts on this potential move!
#ETH #ElliottWave #TradingView #ATH #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #Bullish