EURUSD topped? This Elliott wave count says YES!In our previous analysis, we were EURUSD bearish, and although we are trading about 2 cents higher now than when that analysis was published, we are still convinced that these high hills are shortable.
The pair, in our opinion, has finished a complete 5-wave Elliott formation earlier this week, and we prefer the short, with 2 targets that seem particularly interesting:
1. The flat correction target around 1.1065
2. The bottom of wave 4 of a lesser degree, at 1.0733, which is equal to, exactly & down to the pip, to the 61.8% retracement for the whole 5-wave sequence!
We will continue to be bearish for as long as 1.1704 is not clearly penetrated.
Whether the price penetrates 1.1704 & we give up, or, the market moves into our profit zone, we will post updates every week or so. Stay tuned!
Wave Analysis
BAPL LONG TRADE 13-06-2025BAPL LONG TRADE
- BAPL was previously in an accumulation zone from December 2020 to May 2024, marked in yellow.
- The stock gave a huge breakout in May last year and continued in an upward channel, marked in blue.
- After touching the bottom of the new channel in early April, the stock started ascending with vigorous volume distribution.
- BAPL created a bullish IFDZ and reached a high of Rs. 60.5 before pulling back to the IFDZ with suitable volume contraction and then expanded volume, indicating a potential long entry.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – BAPL🚨
- BY1: Rs. 44.25 (current price)
- BY2: Rs. 40.5
- BY3: Rs. 38.9
Target Prices
- TP1: Rs. 49.9
- TP2: Rs. 57.9
- TP3: Rs. 65.1
Trade Validity
- Stop loss: below Rs. 36.7
- Reward-to-risk ratio: 5.4
Caution: Please buy on levels in 3 parts. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
KSE 100 INDEX UPDATE 13-06-2025KSE 100 Index Technical Analysis 13-06-2025
The KSE 100 index recently reached a historical high of 126,700 before entering a much-needed pullback, a common technical requirement after a breakout. Currently, the index is trading within a small range of 121,800 to 122,860.
Key Scenarios:
- *Breakout Scenario*: If the KSE 100 breaks above this range in a bullish direction and closes above it on a 1-hour basis, the pullback can be considered complete. This might lead to a continuation of the uptrend.
- *Retracement Scenario*: Alternatively, the KSE 100 could retrace its pullback to the previous high-low level of 120,800.
Additional Observation:
On a lower time frame, the KSE 100 has made a trend line (shown in blue dotted line). The index may respect this line. Notably, this line coincides with the breakout level, making scenario two (retracement scenario) more likely. Given this alignment, the KSE 100's potential retracement to 120,800 seems more probable.
AUDUSD: Market Sentiment & Price Action
Looking at the chart of AUDUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD: Bulls Will Push Higher
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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NZDJPY Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 86.740
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 87.156
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADJPY A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for CADJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 105.97
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 105.56
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD Breakout Alert | Bullish Momentum in PlayGold has finally broken out of the consolidation zone that held price action for several weeks. The bullish trendline has acted as solid support, and now we're seeing strong momentum toward the key $3,500 resistance level.
🔍 Technical Setup:
✅ Price breakout from consolidation range
✅ Respecting a clean bullish trendline
📈 Immediate resistance at $3,490–$3,500
🔄 Potential for a retest before continuation
Strategy Insight: We may see a minor pullback to the breakout zone (~$3,400–$3,420), which could offer a solid buy-the-dip opportunity before further upside.
🎯 Bullish Targets: $3,500 and beyond
⚠ Invalidation Zone: Break below trendline
📢 Gold traders—what’s your plan? Are you in or waiting for a retest?
#XAUUSD #GoldBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexTrading #TrendlineSupport #TradingView
BIPL LONG TRADE 05-06-2025BIPL has been trading in a channel since March 2024, with a range of PKR 20 to PKR 26.1. Recently, the stock made a sharp downward move in the form of a spring, quickly returning within the range, indicating a potential reversal or upward action.
The stock has formed a reversal pattern in the shape of an inverted head and shoulders pattern, with adequate volume distribution and price action in a spike fashion, suggesting an upward move is likely.
However, buying at the current level of PKR 23.15 is not recommended. Instead, we suggest waiting for a pullback to the demand zone that caused the upward move, which lies between PKR 22.3 and PKR 21.4.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – BIPL🚨
- Buy 1: PKR 22.3
- Buy 2: PKR 21.4
TP1: PKR 24.7
TP2: PKR 26
stop Loss: Below PKR 20 (DAILY closing)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3.37
BNL LONG TRADE (SECOND STRIKE)BNL has recently completed second SPIKE Phase of its splendid uptrend with – it gave an optimum Pullback with befitting Volume Distribution. It is ready to resume its uptrend.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL –BNL 🚨
🎯BUY1: Rs. 34-35.5
📈 TP1 : Rs. 43.5
📈 TP2 : Rs. 48.11
📈 TP3 : Rs. 57.1
🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW Rs. 30.5 (Daily Close)
📊 RISK-REWARD: 1:8.5
Caution: Please buy on levels in 3 parts. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
ASHT LONG TRADE 09-06-2025ASHT LONG TRADE
After reversing from its downtrend in June 2022, ASHT entered an uptrend. Since July 2024, it has been trading in a range between PKR 11 and PKR 17.6. Currently, it's poised for a potential breakout, having formed a strong flipped institutional demand zone, which acts as a preventive barrier against downward movements. The volume profile also supports an impending up move.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – ASHT🚨
- Buy 1: PKR 17.55 (current level)
- Buy 2: PKR 16.7
- Buy 3: PKR 15.7
- TP1: PKR 19.6
- TP2: PKR 21.4
- TP3: PKR 24.00
*Stop Loss:* Below PKR 14.7 - Daily Close
*Risk-Reward Ratio:* 1:2.35
Caution: Please buy in 3 parts in buying range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
KML UNORTHODOX BUY CALL - for ADVANCED TRADERS ONLY (10-June-25)KML Unorthodox Buy Call for Advanced Traders
KML has been trading in a channel marked in light blue, ranging from PKR 20 to PKR 57 since January 2017. After a bearish trend in a yellow channel and an accumulation phase in a blue channel for around six months, KML gave a powerful breakout, creating a massive Institutional Demand Zone (IFTC) and several bullish effigies.
🚨 BUYING STRATEGY – KML🚨: We'll buy KML at the closing price of each day, starting with today's closing price. If the price keeps going lower, we'll continue buying at the close of each day till the price reaches PKR 40. If the price instead of going lower goes up, we'll keep purchasing till the price reaches PKR 53.
Target Prices:
- TP1 (valid if price reaches PKR 40): PKR 49.95
- TP2: PKR 54.64
- TP3: PKR 59.97
Stop Loss below PKR 31.9
Risk-reward ratio of 1:3.
Caution: Please buy in 3 parts in buying range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
BECO LONG TRADE (STEEL SECTOR) 10-June-2025BECO LONG TRADE
BECO stock on the 1H timeframe has shown a gradual upward move, marking higher lows and higher highs. After a re-accumulation phase since December last year, it broke out of a six-month-old trading range, signaling a new uptrend.
Price Movement: During the breakout and upward move, BECO created a bullish FEG, a bullish Shutter Block, and a bullish IFDZ, indicating strong buying interest.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – BECO🚨
- *Buy 1*: PKR 10.83 (current level)
- *Buy 2*: PKR 10.5
- *Buy 3*: PKR 10.11
- *TP1*: PKR 11.8
- *TP2*: PKR 12.4
- *TP3*: PKR 13.18
Stop Loss below PKR 9.4 Daily Close
Risk-reward ratio of 3.2
Caution: Please buy in 3 parts in buying range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
BWCL LONG TRADE - 1H TF (11-06-2025)BWCL long trade
- *Recent Price Action:* BWCL had been range-bound but recently posted an ABC correction, touching a major order block at 360. The stock then rebounded quickly in a V-shape pattern, reaching a high of 426 in an imbalanced manner.
- *Current Setup:* After achieving 427, the stock went into a pullback and consolidation pattern, forming a spring and an IFD zone. This IFD zone presents an ideal location for entering a buy trade.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – BWCL🚨
- Buy levels:
- Buy 1: Current level (406)
- Buy 2: 403
- Buy 3: 399.85
- Targets (calculated using Quantified Displacement Method):
- TP1: 415
- TP2: 424
- TP3: 433
- Long-term TP1: 446
- Long-term TP2: 459
- Stop Loss: Below 390
- Risk Reward Ratio: 6.7
Caution: Please buy in 3 parts in buying range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
HINOON LONG TRADE 11-06-2025 (1H TF)HINOON long trade
- *Reaccumulation Phase:* HINOON has been trading in a range since 2024, between 798 and 990. After posting a spring below this consolidation zone, the stock quickly rebounded and continued in an absorption area for a month.
- *Current Setup:* Today, the stock created an IFDZ at the 1-hour timeframe, indicating short-term upward movement. Volume distribution also supports this upward momentum.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – HINOON🚨
- Buy levels:
- Buy 1: Current level (934)
- Buy 2: 920
- Targets:
- TP1: 950
- TP2: 968
- TP3: 982
- Stop Loss: Below 900
- Risk Reward Ratio: 3.9
Caution: Please buy in 3 parts in buying range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
BTCUSDT: Pro Analysis, Major Swing Supports, Risk Focus__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum & Trends : Short-term consolidation (<1H frames), dominant uptrend 2H–1W. BTC market structure is “Up” across all higher timeframes.
Supports/Resistances :
Major supports: 100,300 – 101,600 USDT (1D/4H/2H pivots)
Resistances: 109,000 – 111,500 USDT (1D/W/12H pivots)
Volume : Recent bearish climax absorbed, back to normal volumes, no current excess.
Multi-TF Behavioral Read : Behavioral indicators (ISPD DIV) are neutral; no extreme sentiment. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator confirms structural buy-side.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Global Bias : Bullish trend on high TFs, technical consolidation short term.
Opportunities : Swing entries on return ≥101.6k, TP at 109k/111.5k. Manage position sizes actively before Fed.
Risk Zones : Invalidation <100.3k daily; key area to monitor. Short-term stop-loss below 99.9k.
Macro Catalysts : FOMC (June 17–18) = expected volatility, no major macro risk now. Watch Mideast tensions. Rising tensions in the Middle East (Israel/Iran): volatile climate, potential risk-off sentiment on certain assets, but no widespread panic; to be monitored in case of rapid escalation (possible increased BTC volatility).
Action Plan : Favor gradual entries on major supports, reduce leverage pre-macro events, active volatility and stops monitoring.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D / 12H: Key support at 100.3k–101.6k, major resistance 109–111.5k. Repeated rejections at resistance, mature range. Normal volume, consolidating momentum.
6H / 4H: Strong lateral structure, ISPD/Volume neutral. Technical play around 101.6k, gradual profit-taking below 109k.
2H / 1H: Start of institutional reaction (moderate to high volumes). Bearish climax absorbed, possible short-term rebound at local support 99.9k–101.6k.
30min / 15min: Micro-range, short-term consolidation, some volume spikes on corrections. Downtrend confirmed on lower TFs, despite macro/swing bullish confluence.
ISPD & Risk On / Risk Off Indicator Summary:
ISPD DIV = Neutral across all timeframes.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY on all horizons (US tech strong).
Cross-timeframe Synthesis : BTC market is accumulating on supports under favorable tech sector influence. Short-term consolidation seen as post-shakeout setup for potential resumed uptrend.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Final Synthesis & Operational Plan
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC market remains in a dominant swing bullish bias, supported by tech sector momentum and on-chain inflows. Key support zones (100.3–101.6k) offer attractive technical swing entries, with targets at 109–111.5k. However, strict risk management is essential ahead of the upcoming FOMC, rising Middle East tensions (Israel/Iran), and the potential for sudden volatility spikes.
Strategy: Maintain bullish exposure with partial profit-taking and reduced leverage into macro/geopolitical events. Systematic stops remain below 99.9k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Gold/XAUUSD Possible Move 13 June 2025 The market continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum within a well-respected ascending channel. After an impulsive breakout to the upside, price is now retracing in a healthy corrective move, offering high-probability buying opportunities at two well-defined demand zones.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Price is trending inside an ascending parallel channel, with clear respect for both the median and outer trendlines.
A significant bullish impulse pushed price above previous local highs, suggesting institutional interest and continuation potential.
Currently, price is retracing and approaching two key demand areas that align with bullish continuation setups.
🎯 Key Buy Zones:
✅ Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
Minor mitigating demand zone, likely to act as support if the market retraces slightly.
Ideal for aggressive long entries if price shows confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, LTF structure shift).
✅ Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
Deeper unmitigated demand zone, aligned with a potential liquidity sweep and strong institutional support.
Considered a high-probability entry area for larger impulse moves.
🌍 Fundamental Context:
Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, can lead to sharp intraday moves, with 100+ pip 5-minute candles not being out of the question.
Given this backdrop, demand zones become critical areas for smart money entries as traders seek to align technical levels with macro drivers.
📈 Trade Signal:
Bias: 🔵 Bullish
Buy Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
SL: Below 3,395
TP: 3425, 3440, trail till 3,470
R:R: ~1:3
Buy Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
SL: Below 3,368
R:R: ~1:4
🧠 Final Note:
Watch for price reaction at both zones. Use LTF confirmation before entry and respect your risk management. With news-driven volatility in play, quick movements are expected, offering excellent trade opportunities for prepared traders.
EUR/GBP 8H Buy Setup (Free Trade)📍 EUR/GBP 8H Buy Setup
Price just tapped into a clear demand zone at the 71% Fibonacci retracement — textbook wave (4) retrace in a bullish Elliott sequence. This is also our Point of Interest (POI) to catch the next leg higher into wave (5), targeting buy-side liquidity.
🟢 Confluences:
Demand zone respected
71% Fib retracement
Ichimoku Kumo twist → bullish confirmation
Structure break + strong impulsive wave (3)
🔔 Buying from here offers a clean R:R back to the highs. Let’s ride this final wave!