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Wave Analysis

Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin. K1 and K2 verified a potential strong support, If the following candles K5 or K6 close upon the downtrend line like K2, Another bull run will keep climbing up. It will be a good place to buy it around the downtrend line. If the following candles consolidate around the resistance to verify the bullish momentum, It will also a good place to buy it around the resistance. On the other hand, If K5 or K6 close below K4 to verify the resistance, The market will fall to test the support for more times, I will try to buy it at about 100K area. Long-101618/Stop-100618/Target-120K Long-103188/Stop-102188/Target-120K
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by nothingchangehere
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 13, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 13, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🚨 Israel Strikes Iran — U.S. Markets Sell Off Israel launched airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear and military facilities, triggering a sharp risk-off move in global markets. U.S. stock futures slid over 1%, driven by a drop in equities and a surge in safe-haven assets 🛢️ Oil Prices Surge 7–8% on Supply Fears Brent crude jumped over 7%, reaching ~$74.65/barrel, while WTI rose nearly 8%—the strongest move since early May. The sudden energy-price spike reflects heightened fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East 💱 Dollar & Safe Havens Climb True to form, the U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, gold, and Treasuries rallied as investors moved to the safety of low-risk assets amid escalating geopolitical uncertainty 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 13 (No scheduled U.S. economic data) Data flow will take a backseat as markets digest geopolitical developments and await the weekend. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #geopolitics #oil #safety #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
$BTC Post Market update - Bearish MenaceHello Fellow Gamblers, In this video I talk about our current bullish scenario and bring back the bearish scenario that I shared with you a few days ago since they are both still at play. - We need the 4h to close above 104k and to reject the trendline for the bullish scenario to play out. A close below 104k will take us to a really dangerous zone at that 101k and increase the chances for the bearish scenario to playout. - Levels to watch: 110.5k, 106.8k, 104.3k, 101k.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Caramel0
BTC Reacts to Iran–Israel Escalation: Risk-Off Sentiment GrowsBitcoin (BTC/USDT) — Caught Between Fear & Fundamentals Technical Outlook — 13 June, 2025 Current Market Condition: Bitcoin has dropped to $103,818 after facing rejection from the $106.8K–$108K resistance zone, coinciding with heightened geopolitical stress following renewed military escalation between Iran and Israel. Traditional markets are showing signs of risk aversion, and while Bitcoin is often seen as a hedge, the current flight to USD liquidity and defensive assets is putting pressure on high-beta instruments like crypto. The psychological $100K support zone, which aligns with the EMA 50 and a key Fib level, is the immediate area to watch. A failure here could expose Bitcoin to deeper retracement toward $96,800 and potentially $92K, especially if global tensions worsen or investors rotate further into cash and gold. Key Technical Highlights: Rejection at supply zone near $106,888–$108,000. Support at $100K holds structural and psychological importance. Stochastic shows bearish momentum crossover, increasing downside probability. EMA 200 at $92K could act as ultimate cushion in a full-blown correction. Volatility likely to remain elevated amid Middle East conflict and global uncertainty. Trade Plan: 🔼 Bullish Relief Bounce (Long Bias): Trigger: Reclaim and hold above $106,888 with rising volume Target: $108K → $112K → $116K Stop Loss: Below $103,500 🔻 Geopolitical Risk Sell-Off (Short Bias): Trigger: Break and close below $100,000 Target: $96,816 → $92,000 → $88,000 Stop Loss: Above $102,500 📉 Dip Buy Strategy: Trigger: Price stabilizes at $96.8K with divergence and calming geopolitical headlines Target: $103K → $106K Stop Loss: Below $95K 🛡️ Risk Management Note: With geopolitical risk driving short-term sentiment, expect volatility spikes, whipsaws, and fake breakouts. Remain nimble and manage exposure carefully — especially during weekend sessions when crypto trades unhedged and news developments can occur without warning. 📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
by MarketsPOV
US30 Breaks Trendline Support – Will Geopolitics Add FuelUS30 (Dow Jones) — Trendline Breach & Rising Geopolitical Risk Technical Outlook — 13 June, 2025 Current Market Condition: US30 is currently trading at 42,339, showing early signs of risk-off sentiment following a clear break of both the ascending trendline and the Previous Day Low, with price rejecting from the 42,863 supply zone. This sharp decline aligns with growing tensions between Iran and Israel, which are weighing heavily on investor confidence. The breakdown suggests a shift in momentum, with further downside likely if key support levels fail to hold. Key Technical Highlights: Major ascending trendline support has broken, indicating a structural shift toward bearish sentiment. Price broke below both the Previous Day Low (42,551) and Fib support, invalidating short-term bullish setups. EMA 50 was lost, and price is heading toward the 200 MA at ~42,100. Stochastic shows strong bearish momentum, currently in a downward cross and nowhere near oversold. Major downside levels: 42,100, 41,900, 41,700, and 41,500. Upside resistance: 42,550, followed by 42,863 and 42,970. 🌍 Geopolitical Factor – Iran-Israel Conflict: The recent escalation between Iran and Israel has intensified risk aversion across global markets. Defensive sectors are gaining while equity indices like the Dow Jones face increased selling pressure. With concerns over possible oil supply disruptions and global uncertainty, traders are pulling capital from equities and seeking safe-haven assets like gold and bonds. The volatility spike from this geopolitical conflict may overshadow technical setups, amplifying moves and reducing the reliability of support/resistance zones unless confirmed with volume. Trade Plan: 🔻 1. Bearish Continuation Setup (Short Bias) – Most Probable Trigger: Retest of 42,550 fails (previous demand turned supply) Target: 42,100 → 41,900 → 41,500 Stop Loss: Above 42,600 ⚠️ 2. Pullback Bounce (Short-term Buy) – Less Probable Trigger: Strong bounce from 42,100 with bullish divergence on Stochastic Target: 42,550 → 42,700 Stop Loss: Below 42,000 Risk Management Note: Due to the unfolding Middle East conflict, markets may behave erratically and spike unpredictably. Use smaller position sizes, widen SL buffers slightly, and stay alert to news headlines. Prioritize confirmation over anticipation. 📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by MarketsPOV
US30 Analysis: Liquidity Dip or Deeper Correction?📉 US30 (Dow Jones) Trade Idea 📉 Currently analysing US30 – the Dow Jones Index 🏛️, and there are some key developments worth noting… On the 4-hour timeframe, we’re observing a clear shift in market structure, with price breaking through previous lows ⚠️. This raises two possibilities: 🔹 It could be a liquidity grab before a rally 🚀 🔹 Or, it may be the beginning of a deeper end-of-week sell-off targeting levels below 🔻 At this stage, I’m watching for a potential counter-trend short position — but only if the conditions outlined in the video are met with precision 🎯. 🧠 As always, it’s about waiting for confirmation, not jumping in early. Disciplined execution is key. 🧩💼 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by fxtraderanthony
MGC Post Market Update - The Battle of the Two CountsHello Fellow Gamblers, As you know we are tracking 2 EW counts at this time and they are both still in play. W5's are tricky to deal with but with a little patience we should be able to make our portfolio grow. - I am currently looking for bearish divergences to support our bearish Scenario but the current price move strength favors our bullish scenario. - Be aware of a possible Cup and Handle formation - Levels to watch: 3508.4, 3441.9, 3365.2, 3314.7. See you next time!
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by Caramel0
June 13, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: War has broken out between Israel and Iran, triggering a sharp surge in gold prices. Today's strategy is to buy on pullbacks to support — this plan only changes if price breaks below 3378. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3450 – Bullish target • 3435 – Minor long target • 3421 – Support • 3412 – Support • 3405 – Support • 3400 – Major Support • 3392 – Support • 3378 – Critical support (trend shift if broken) • 3368 – Resistance 📉 Macro Strategy: Due to the strong fundamental driver, technical indicators may lose effectiveness today. Volatility is expected to be extremely high. ⚠️ Avoid aggressive shorting. Conservative traders may either stay out or take light long positions on support retests. 👉 If you find this helpful, a like lets me know you're interested. Thanks for the support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ombabibi
Gold market analysis and trading strategiesGold market analysis and trading strategies Core view: Super sweeping market continues Large cycle pattern: Gold is in a sweeping stage, lacking trend direction, similar to the long-term shock after the peak in 2011 (lasting nearly 20 months). Current fundamentals (geopolitical conflicts, inflation data, Fed policy expectations) support this violent fluctuation. Short-term characteristics: straight upward, frequent V-shaped reversals, rhythm control is more important than direction judgment, and we need to be vigilant against sudden news-induced surges and plunges. Review of major influencing factors China-US negotiations: No specific details have been announced, but the market's sensitivity to trade relations still exists. US CPI data: slightly lower than expected, Trump called on the Fed to cut interest rates by 1%, strengthening easing expectations, which is good for gold. Middle East situation: The United States evacuated its citizens from Bahrain and Kuwait, the Iran-Iraq crisis escalated, and the geopolitical risk premium pushed up gold prices. Technical analysis 1. Daily level Pattern: The big positive line broke through the key resistance level of 3360 points, confirming the short-term bullish momentum. Support level: 3360-3345-3320 Resistance level: 3390-3395. Potential path: If it stands above 3360, it may rise to 3400+ (target 3415, 3440); if it falls below 3350-45, the risk of a pullback will increase. 2. 4-hour level Trend: MACD golden cross, trading volume enlarged, moving averages are bullishly arranged, support level: 3369 (MA5), 3350 (MA60). Key points: 3360-65 is the watershed between long and short positions. If it holds, the upward trend will continue. 3. Hourly chart Short-term signal: MACD golden cross, but STO is overbought, be wary of a high pullback. 3362 is the direct support level, and a breakout of this level may lead to a pullback to 3348-50. Trading strategy recommendations: Long strategy Active long orders: enter the market in the 3360-65 area, stop loss of $5 (fall below 3360), target 3375-3388-3395-3405. Steady long orders: Long orders at 3345-3350, stop loss at 3339, target above 3360. Short order strategy: Short-term pullback: short light positions when stagflation in the 3396-3400 area, stop loss 3405, target 3380-3360. Trend short orders: layout in batches in the 3413-3430 area, stop loss set above 3440, target 3400-3380 (need to match the top pattern).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa21210
Bitcoin’s Decentralization Is a Fairy TaleBitcoin was born as a revolutionary, decentralized currency, promising financial freedom and independence from traditional banking systems. Yet, as we analyze its real-world distribution, it becomes clear that Bitcoin’s decentralization is more myth than reality. 🔍 The Illusion of Decentralization Bitcoin operates on a decentralized blockchain, meaning no single entity controls the network. However, when we examine who actually owns Bitcoin, we see a highly concentrated wealth structure that mirrors traditional financial inequality. 📊 Bitcoin’s Wealth Concentration The top 0.01% of Bitcoin wallets control over 37% of total supply. The top 1% of Bitcoin holders control over 40% of Bitcoin. The top 2% of Bitcoin wallets control over 95% of total supply. The bottom 98% of wallets hold less than 5% of Bitcoin. The bottom 50% of wallets hold less than 0.03% of Bitcoin. 10,000 Bitcoin investors own 5 million BTC, worth $230 billion. Institutional investors and early adopters dominate Bitcoin ownership. This means that a tiny fraction of wallets dominate the entire market, while millions of small holders own completely insignificant amounts. 💰 Bitcoin vs Traditional Wealth Inequality Bitcoin was supposed to be more equitable than traditional finance, but its wealth distribution is even more extreme than global financial inequality. Bitcoin’s wealth gap is far worse than traditional financial inequality, proving that decentralization does not mean fair distribution. 📉 How Did Bitcoin Become So Centralized? 1. Early Adopters Accumulated Massive Holdings Bitcoin’s first miners and tech-savvy investors acquired BTC when it was nearly worthless. Many of these wallets still hold huge amounts, making redistribution difficult. 2. Institutional Investors Took Over Hedge funds, exchanges, and corporations now control a massive portion of BTC. Bitcoin ETFs and custodial wallets concentrate ownership even further. 3. Lost & Dormant Bitcoin Shrinks Circulating Supply An estimated 29% of Bitcoin is lost or inactive, meaning fewer coins are available. This makes the remaining BTC even more concentrated among active holders. 🚨 The Harsh Reality: Bitcoin Is Not Financial Freedom Bitcoin was supposed to empower individuals, but in practice, it has become a playground for the wealthy. Decentralization in theory ≠ decentralization in reality. Institutional investors and exchanges hold a massive portion of BTC. Bitcoin’s fixed supply (21 million BTC) makes redistribution nearly impossible. Bitcoin is not the democratized financial system it was promised to be—it’s just another asset class where the rich get richer. NASDAQ:MSTR NYSE:CRCL NASDAQ:COIN TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER INDEX:BTCUSD NASDAQ:TSLA TVC:DXY NASDAQ:HOOD NASDAQ:MARA
SWISSQUOTE:BTCUSDShort
by CassianDrake