Get started

Wave Analysis

NEAR/USDT trade plan🧠 NEAR/USDT – Potential Wave C Setup (Elliott Wave + Fib Confluence) 📆 Timeframe: 1D | Exchange: BINANCE 🚀 Setup Overview: We are likely entering a bullish Wave C based on the completion of an ABC corrective structure within a larger Elliott Wave pattern. The current price action has pulled back into a key "Area of Interest", aligning with multiple Fibonacci retracement levels, offering an attractive entry opportunity. 🎯 Entry Zone (Buy): Between $2.30 – $2.35 This aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement, a historically strong reversal level. Also within the highlighted Area of Interest, marked by high volume and previous consolidation. 📉 Stop Loss (SL): Set below the 78.6% retracement level: $2.07 A break below this level invalidates the ABC bullish setup. 📈 Target Zones for Wave C: TP1: $3.70 (1.0 Fib Extension – Wave A equal to C) TP2: $4.66 (1.618 Fib Extension – typical Wave C projection) TP3 (Moonshot): $6.20 – $7.75 (2.618–3.618 extension for aggressive continuation)
Long
by HodlAhmad
1
USDCHF → Retesting resistance will lead to a declineFX:USDCHF , having failed to reach its global target after breaking through support, is turning back to retest the zone of interest at 0.8157. A fall in the dollar could trigger a decline in prices... After breaking through support and falling to 0.8055, a correction is forming towards the zone of interest and liquidity at 0.8157. After reaching the local target, the price may return to the global target (liquidity zone) at 0.8042. The dollar returned to its downward phase at the opening of the session, to which the forex market reacted accordingly. Most likely, bearish pressure may also affect the USDCHF currency pair, which continues to follow the downward trend. Resistance levels: 0.8157 Support levels: 0.8055, 0.8042 A retest of resistance amid high volatility could form a false breakout (liquidity capture) before the decline continues within the downtrend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
BTC Weekly BOX breakout or possible false breakoutWe have BTC setting up a nice weekly consolidation box, with candle closes consistently holding above the previous weekly ATH resistance. Multiple Doji closes indicate consolidation and compression. At the bottom of the box, we’ve seen strong reversals with high volume. The 4H chart is consistently defending the 200 EMA, supporting the idea that the daily trend remains strong — although direction is currently unclear. Is distribution happening? It’s not easy to short just yet. We might still see a false breakout, position filling, and then a return to the box range. I’d be interested in a swing short if that happens — especially if the weekly candle closes with high volume and signals a reversal, indicating a potential bearish shift on the daily chart. Let’s keep in mind that June is historically weak, especially during the last two weeks. On the long side, I’ll only be looking for entries after a daily break of structure (BOS). Does not need to goes to the highs, we could drop below 100K if we lose box range low with a MSB. Interesting days ahead — patience is key, as we currently don’t have many high-probability setups.
by sabinaGM
Crude Oil Challenges 2-Year ChannelAmid rising summer demand, an inverted head and shoulders breakout from oversold 2020 levels, and the recent outbreak of war between Israel and Iran, crude oil has tested the upper boundary of the declining channel originating from the 2022 highs. This test comes as supply risks for the coming month intensify. This upper boundary aligns with the $77 resistance level. A confirmed breakout and sustained hold above this level could shift momentum more decisively to the bullish side, potentially paving the way for a retest of the $80 and $83.50 levels. On the downside, if oil fails to maintain its gains and resumes a pullback, key support zones are located around $69, $66, and $64, reestablishing bearish dominance within the channel. — Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
EURUSd a big move down 📉 EUR/USD Analysis | 2H Timeframe Wave 5 in play! 🚨 Structure shift confirmed with BOS at key supply zone. Expecting liquidity sweep and a bearish reversal 📉 🧠 Smart Money + Elliott Wave Combo: 🔹 BOS at Wave 3 ✅ 🔹 Wave 4 retracement held 🔹 Anticipating Wave 5 top-out and reversal 🔹 Targeting major demand zones (blue lines) 🔻 Potential Sell Setup Loading… 📆 Monday, 16 June | 2H Chart 🔍 PEPPERSTONE: EUR/USD 💬 Drop your thoughts below or DM “WAVE” to learn this strategy! — 🔖 #eurusd #forexanalysis #elliottwave #smartmoneyconcepts #forextrader #fxsignals #technicalanalysis
by Greenfireforex
[SeoVereign] Bitcoin Bearish Outlook – June 17, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team. With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum. 🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update. 🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hello, This is SeoVereign, approaching technical analysis not as a result but as a prediction, with a realistic perspective. I am presenting a bearish view on Bitcoin as of June 17, 2025. First, based on the fact that a downtrend appeared near the 0.786 level of the overall Fibonacci retracement, I believe strong downward pressure is forming, and thus I am outlining this bearish perspective. This 0.786 level corresponds to around the 109,000 price range. On the chart, the 109,000–110,600 range is a very strong supply zone where support and resistance have repeatedly been confirmed. Next, from a wave counting perspective, the 1.272 trend-based Fibonacci extension lies in a similar area as the 0.786 retracement level, which further reinforces my conviction in this view. After successfully predicting the downward movement from the 11th, I have been continuously counting the recent upward wave, and the wave structure on the chart appears to align naturally, as I see it. In addition, from a harmonic perspective, the Alt Bat pattern is functioning effectively, and since the movement has been captured within the pre-set X–1.13 range, the confirmation of this pattern can also be considered successful. The first target is currently set around the 105,700 level. I will continue to monitor the market closely, and once this idea progresses to a certain point, I will share more specific evidence and the thought process behind the bearish entry through an additional update. Thank you.
Short
by SeoVereign
XAUUSD: June 17 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3450, support below 3355 4-hour chart resistance 3420, support below 3372 1-hour chart resistance 3403, support below 3375 The recent rise and fall of gold is completely controlled by market news. The next move of Israel and Iran directly affects the rise and fall of gold. It rises under the stimulation of the escalation of the situation and begins to pull back when the situation eases. The long and short positions form a short-term tug-of-war pattern, but the fundamentals have not changed. Gold is still in a bull market. Today's rebound high is in the 3405/03 area. This position has formed a top and bottom conversion position. It is bound to have a certain suppressive effect on the rebound of gold prices. You can refer to the 3403/05 area for shorting during the day. Pay attention to the vicinity of 3370 below. If you hold this support level, you can buy short-term. The intraday volatility is not expected to be large, which is suitable for fast-in and fast-out transactions! SELL: 3402near SL: 3407 BUY: 3370near SL: 3365
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
Long on OIL amid Israel-Iran confilctFundamental trends: Israel-Iran conflict does not seem to end soon, Israel might target iranian facilities more Recent insights suggest US involvement which whould lead to oil price rising. Technical trends: Plot seems to develope an Elliot impulse wave with clear 1-3rd waves already built. This suggests the impulse wave must end with rising on 5th wave. Conclution Overall trends tell in favor of future oil prices rising. What do you think about the situation? Please, leave your comments
TVC:USOILLong
by SamuelHuntington
BTC 4H: Triangle Breakout - Next Leg Up?Bitcoin (BTC/USD): 4H Triangle Breakout Signals Bullish Continuation Hello TradingView, On the 4-Hour (4H) timeframe, Bitcoin has convincingly completed a significant triangle consolidation pattern. This pattern, which typically signals a build-up of energy, has now resolved with a clear bullish breakout. The price action over the last few days has been coiling, and we're now seeing strong confirmation as BTC pushes decisively above the triangle's upper trendline, ideally supported by robust volume. This indicates that the recent period of indecision has ended, and bulls are regaining control, setting the stage for the next upward move. Crucial Invalidation Point: For this bullish setup to remain valid, Bitcoin must firmly hold above $102,664.54. A sustained close below this level on the 4H chart would invalidate our thesis and suggest that a deeper correction or re-evaluation is needed. Outlook: With the breakout confirmed, we anticipate a push towards immediate resistance levels and potentially a retest of recent higher price points. Always manage your risk, and happy trading! ⚠️ Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only. Do your own research (DYOR). Trading involves substantial risk; you can lose money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by exprwebdev
RVN/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.01800 - 0.01860 LMT v2.0 detected. The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align. Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading) - Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL. - While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones. - That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading. Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT) Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by: - Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork. - Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup. - Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively. - Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets. Whenever I share a signal, it’s because: - A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe. - Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent. - The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry. ***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note: The Role of Key Levels - Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer. - Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance. My Trading Rules (Unchanged) Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5% - Leverage: 5x Exit Strategy / Profit Taking - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike. - Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R. - Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History HM Signal : Date: 17/08/2023 - Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends - Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum - Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups HMT v1.0: Date: 18/10/2024 - Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework - Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis. - Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum HMT v2.0: Date: 17/12/2024 - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: Date: 23/12/2024 - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: Date: 31/12/2024 - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: Date: 05/01/2025 - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: Date: 06/01/2025 - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency LMT v1.0 : Date : 06/06/2025 - Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework LMT v2.0 Date: 11/06/2025 - Fully restructured lower timeframe (LTF) momentum logic
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
NZDUSD → Correction and liquidity capture ahead of growthFX:NZDUSD , following a sharp decline during the Pacific-Asian session, is testing the support of the upward trend and the liquidity zone... The dollar is correcting amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. This is a temporary move, and the market may return to its main trend. The currency pair is forming a false breakdown of support Against the backdrop of an uptrend and a weak dollar, the currency pair is testing support at 0.6000. The reaction is weak at the moment, but there is a chance for growth if the price consolidates above 0.6020. I do not rule out a retest of the liquidity zone at 0.5989 before growth Support levels: 0.6000, 0.5989 Resistance levels: 0.6068 The inability to continue falling and the formation of a local reversal structure relative to 0.6000 (price consolidation above 0.6020) may support the market. I do not rule out that the market may decline to the liquidity zone of 0.5989 before rising. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?On our previous view we were expecting a wave c to the upside that will complete wave B of higher degree. It looks like wave B is completed with an ending diagonal. Now what I am anticipating is price to drop to complete wave 4 in higher degree. However, if wave 4 is complete then the move up might be a leading diagonal for wave 1 of 5. But all in all the the current bias is to the downside and therefore to take advantage of the move to the downside one should find areas where price will find resistance for a possible sell opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Elliotwavesglobal
BTC long if it reclaims or holds ### 🔍 Breakdown of Chart: * Timeframe: 15m BTCUSDT (Bybit) * Current Trend: Sharp downtrend from the recent highs * Zone Marked in Blue: Bullish Order Block / Demand Zone * Yellow Path: Anticipated reclaim and reversal scenario * White Curve: Possible double bottom (liquidity sweep) --- ### ✅ Why Long Plan Makes Sense: 1. Demand Zone (Blue Block): This zone has previously caused a strong bullish reaction. It's likely institutional demand may rest here again. 2. Liquidity Grab Below: Price might sweep the recent low (creating a trap for shorts) before reclaiming. That’s your “double bottom” logic. 3. Reclaim = Confirmation: Waiting for a reclaim above the zone before longing shows patience and discipline — a smart move to avoid catching a falling knife. 4. Clear Invalidations: If price fails to reclaim and breaks below the blue zone with momentum, your setup is invalidated — perfect risk control. --- ### ⚠️ Caution: * If the red bearish OB above (around 104.6–104.8K) is respected, you might face rejection there. Consider partial profits before that area. * Use confirmation (like a bullish engulfing, BOS, or FVG fill) after reclaim. * If breaks blue zone then we might enter short
by TuffyBro
FTMM LONG TRADE 17-06-2025FTMM Technical Buy Call Rationale - FTMM broke out of a prolonged range formation (since Nov 2023) at Rs. 5.02, forming a scale pattern beforehand. We expect the stock to reach minimum quantified displacement targets. 🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – FTMM🚨 - Buy 1: Current level (Rs. 5.52) - Buy 2: Rs. 5.02 - Buy 3: Rs. 4.82 - TP 1: Rs. 5.89 - TP 2: Rs. 6.45 - TP 3: Rs. 6.95 Stop Loss - Below Rs. 4.40 Risk-Reward Ratio - 3.5 Caution: Please buy in 3 parts in buying range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions. PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
PSX:FTMMLong
by Mushtaque77
MERIT LONG TRADE - 17-06-2025 (MERIT PACKAGING)MERIT Technical Buy Call Rationale - MERIT broke out of a prolonged range (Rs. 7.23 - Rs. 14) since Oct 2022 with strong volume distribution, forming a bullish IFDZ and other supportive patterns. These levels are expected to act as barriers against downward movement. 🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – MERIT🚨 - Buy 1: Current level (Rs. 14.92) - Buy 2: Rs. 14.20 - Buy 3: Rs. 13.50 - TP 1: Rs. 15.97 - TP 2: Rs. 17.15 - TP 3: Rs. 18.30 Stop Loss - Below Rs. 12.00 closing basis Risk-Reward Ratio- 3.31 Caution: Please buy in 3 parts in buying range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions. PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL. 4 days ago
PSX:MERITLong
by Mushtaque77
GOLD Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 3389.4 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal -3396.3 Recommended Stop Loss - 3385.8 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD Slips — Setup or Selloff?EUR/USD kicked off the week under pressure, hovering near 1.1540 during the Asian session. The drop comes as the U.S. dollar regains strength, driven by safe-haven demand amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. In times like these, the greenback shines — and riskier currencies like the euro naturally take a hit. If the situation escalates further, the pair could extend its decline in the near term. But let’s flip the perspective: while some see risk, others see opportunity. This dip might just be the pullback that buyers have been waiting for — especially if the fundamentals shift or tensions ease. Timing, as always, is everything.
Long
by Edward_TradingFX
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 17, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 17, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📈 U.S. Retail Spending Holds Firm May’s retail sales were flat month-over-month, defying expectations of a slowdown. Core retail sales (ex-autos) edged up +0.2%, signaling resilience in consumer purchases—an encouraging sign for economic momentum 🤖 Tesla’s Robotaxi Buzz Accelerates Tesla stock surged after a weekend robotaxi video surfaced ahead of its planned Austin launch. A viral clip showed a Model Y “robotaxi” navigating traffic autonomously, sparking fresh investor enthusiasm despite safety debates 📊 BoJ Holds Rates; Dollar Edges Higher Japan’s central bank left policy unchanged at 0.5%, maintaining its dovish bias. This lifted the dollar slightly versus the yen, drawing focus to global interest-rate divergence 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, June 17: 8:30 AM ET – Retail Sales (May) Consumer purchases are tracked, excluding autos. Monitor if activity stays steady despite inflation and rate pressures. 9:15 AM ET – Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (May) Provides insight into factory activity and plant usage—a gauge of economic health amid global slowdown concerns. 10:00 AM ET – Business Inventories (April) Shows stock levels held by wholesalers and manufacturers. Higher inventories with weaker sales may signal slowing demand. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
18 june Nifty50 brekout and Breakdown leval CALL (CE) – Bullish triggers ↑ 24,437 – 24,547  : Safe‑zone long entry ↑ 24,672: Hold CE while above this mark ↑ 24,780 : Opening‑S1 breakout, keep holding CE ↑ 24,930.00  : Turns bias positive; fresh CE can be added ↑ 25,083.00  : Entry level for aggressive longs ↑ 25,318.00  : Short‑cover zone; strong upside momentum possible PUT (PE) – Bearish triggers ↓ 25,318.00  : If price closes back under, shift to PE (safe) ↓ 25,083 : PE in the “risky” reversal zone ↓ 24,930 : Bias flips negative; keep/add PE ↓ 24,780 : Opening‑R1 break; hold PE ↓ 24,672 : Continue PE below this level ↓ 24,535 : Unwinding zone – watch for fast drops ↓ 24,437 : Final downside support; trail PEs here
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820