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Wave Analysis

My alternate wave count for silverBelow is a slighly altered wave count for silver...it shows we have completed wave 5(yellow) which is a wave 1 (white) and are now in the process of working out wave 2 (white)...the first leg down (a) has just completed...and wave b of the ABC should start and complete over the next few days...follwed by one more low (wave c)...around the $34-$34.50 area. I do not expect a move below $34 due to all the support on the chart at this level (look left and you will see that the $34 was a major prior resistance zone...when resistance is broken it becomes support. If this count is the correct one (again it is my alternate to the one posted previously), it meas a bit more patience is required over the next few weeks...before we see a major move up (above $50) will start.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by ConservativeOne1
You've Already Lost: The Bitcoin Delusion of FOMO and False HopeLet’s get one thing straight: if you’re staring at Bitcoin, squinting past the red flags, and convincing yourself it’s not a Ponzi scheme because of that one shiny feature that screams “legit,” you’re not investing—you’re auditioning for the role of “next victim.” And if your motivation is the fear of missing out (FOMO) or the fantasy of getting rich quick, well... congratulations. You’ve already lost. The 99%: Red Flags Waving Like It’s a Parade Let’s talk about the indicators—the ones that make Bitcoin look suspiciously like a Ponzi scheme. No, it’s not technically one, but the resemblance is uncanny: - No intrinsic value: Bitcoin isn’t backed by assets, cash flow, or a government. It’s worth what the next person is willing to pay. That’s not investing. That’s speculative hot potato. - Early adopters profit from new entrants: The people who got in early? They’re cashing out while newcomers buy in at inflated prices. That’s the classic Ponzi dynamic: old money out, new money in. - Hype over utility: Bitcoin’s actual use as a currency is minimal. It’s slow, expensive to transact, and volatile. But hey, who needs functionality when you’ve got memes and moon emojis? - Opaque influencers: From anonymous creators (hello, Satoshi) to crypto bros promising Lambos, the ecosystem thrives on charisma, not accountability. - Scam magnet: Bitcoin has been the currency of choice for over 1,700 Ponzi schemes and scams, according to a University of New Mexico study cs.unm.edu . That’s not a coincidence. That’s a pattern. The 1%: The “But It’s Decentralized!” Defense Ah yes, the one redeeming quality that Bitcoin evangelists cling to like a life raft: decentralization. No central authority! No government control! It’s the financial revolution! Except… decentralization doesn’t magically make something a good investment. It just means no one’s in charge when things go wrong. And when the market crashes (again), you can’t call customer service. You can tweet into the void, though. FOMO: The Real Engine Behind the Madness Let’s be honest. Most people aren’t buying Bitcoin because they believe in the tech. They’re buying because they saw someone on TikTok turn $500 into a Tesla. FOMO is the fuel, and social media is the match. Bitcoin’s meteoric rises are often driven by hype cycles, not fundamentals. Tesla buys in? Price spikes. El Salvador adopts it? Price spikes. Your cousin’s dog walker says it’s going to $1 million? Price spikes. Then it crashes. Rinse, repeat. This isn’t investing. It’s gambling with a tech-savvy twist. The Punchline: You’ve Already Lost If you’re ignoring the overwhelming signs of speculative mania and clinging to the one feature that makes you feel better about your decision, you’re not ahead of the curve—you’re the mark. And if your motivation is “I don’t want to miss out,” you already have. You’ve missed out on rational thinking, due diligence, and the ability to distinguish between innovation and illusion. Bitcoin might not be a Ponzi scheme in the legal sense. But if it walks like one, talks like one, and makes early adopters rich at the expense of latecomers… maybe it’s time to stop pretending it’s something else. INDEX:BTCUSD NYSE:CRCL NASDAQ:HOOD TVC:DXY NASDAQ:MSTR TVC:SILVER TVC:GOLD NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MARA
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by CassianDrake
CADCHF Will Grow! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for CADCHF. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.587. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.588 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
XAUUSD – the calm before the next breakout?Hello traders, what’s your take on the current trend in OANDA:XAUUSD ? Looking back over the past 12 months, gold has delivered a truly impressive performance. From around $2,380 in August 2024, the precious metal surged to an all-time high of $3,432 by April this year — a gain of more than $1,000 in less than a year. But what’s more telling than the rise itself is how the market behaved afterward: instead of crashing, gold has maintained a high consolidation range, suggesting the uptrend is still very much alive. This powerful rally didn’t happen in isolation. In a world marked by uncertainty, gold has once again asserted its role as a safe-haven asset. Inflation remains persistent across major economies, geopolitical tensions continue to stretch from Eastern Europe to the Middle East and Asia, and de-dollarization efforts by countries like China and Russia are reshaping global capital flows. None of these events alone could shake the markets, but together, they have laid the groundwork for gold’s sustained relevance. From a technical standpoint, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. Following its peak at $3,432, gold has entered a modest correction phase — one that may well be a healthy consolidation before the next directional move. Interestingly, while many investors remain cautious, the chart paints a different story: a market that isn’t afraid, but simply catching its breath. The real question is no longer “Can gold hold above $3,400?” but rather “Is the market gearing up for a fresh breakout — or a deeper correction?” We may not be able to predict the future, but we can observe how price reacts at key levels. And sometimes, it’s in these seemingly quiet phases that the biggest turning points begin to form. What do you think — is gold preparing for another leg up? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
3
BTCUSD Short Setup – 4H Bitcoin has broken below a key dynamic support zone, and current price action signals a potential continuation to the downside. This short entry is supported by multiple technical confluences: 🔻 Bearish Confluences: Fibonacci Retracement Rejection: Price rejected the 61.8% Fib retracement zone near $114,978, confirming a potential local top. Trend Structure: Clear lower high, lower low structure forming on 4H – momentum favors sellers. EMA Cloud Pressure: Price is decisively below the multi-band EMA cloud, showing sustained bearish pressure and trend bias. Volume Profile Gap: Price is entering a low-volume node between $113.8k and $112k, increasing likelihood of a sharp move down. Bearish Candlestick Pattern: A strong bearish engulfing candle formed after the retracement – a classic reversal confirmation. 🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets: TP1 – $11205 (38.2%): Initial demand zone and minor support. TP2 – $11024 (61.8%): Mid-extension level, aligns with prior consolidation. TP3 – $10731 (100%): Full measured move target if the downtrend accelerates. SL: Placed just above the recent swing high at $11678, protecting against false breakouts.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by VisionaryInsights
BITCOIN Will Go Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 113,260.21. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 107,826.27 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by SignalProvider
2
RIOT: Looks pretty bad, but still has a chance to recoverBreaking down into the big bad channel maybe was the first warning of a false breakout. August first price action just made things a whole lot worse. The hope here is that RSI is tanked and has multiple pints of bullish divergence. But the bad news is, the overall price action is still a very 3 waves structure. If price falls into wave 1 territory, then it is pretty much game over. It could be a leading diagonal, or it could be another x wave to bring the price back down to the bottom of the channel yet again. BTC is also trying to maintain must keep support level. So, if next week we see a sharp recovery, then the 5 waves structure may still be intact. However, if price breaks down below $10, then best to stay out of it until things settle down. I took some profit at the top of the channel and got stopped out for most of my position for now. I will hold the rest with a stop at $9.5. If price recovers, then will ride the final wave towards $18.
NASDAQ:RIOT
by mukit1
Bitcoin – Time to Book Profits?📉 Bitcoin – Time to Book Profits? 📈 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had a phenomenal run! On Nov 22, 2022, it bottomed out at around $15,500 — and then, on July 14, 2025, it smashed records by hitting an all-time high of $123,000! 💥 That’s a jaw-dropping gain of approximately 693% in just under 3 years! 🤑📊 🚨 But all that glitters isn't gold... 📉 Technical outlook based on Elliott Wave Theory suggests we might be in either: An extended Wave 4 correction, or A fizzling Wave 5 move that’s losing steam. 🔍 Adding to this concern: Volume is below average – a classic warning sign 🚨 Price action shows weakening momentum No strong buying confirmation near the highs 👉 The pattern now resembles a potential distribution phase, not a fresh breakout. That means: The smart money might already be booking profits. 💡 What should investors do? If you’ve ridden the wave up — consider taking some money off the table. This could be a good time to lock in gains and wait for a better re-entry opportunity. Remember, discipline beats excitement in trading. 📛 Caution is advised — especially for late entrants who might get caught in a correction or a prolonged sideways phase.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by chirangarail
QQQ LEAP Trade Thesis – Aug 1, 2025 🧠 **QQQ LEAP Trade Thesis – Aug 1, 2025** 🎯 **Setup**: High-conviction LEAP PUT 📉 **Bias**: 🔻 *Moderate Bearish* 📆 Horizon: Long-Term (12+ months) --- 📊 **Multi-Model Intelligence Summary** 🧪 **Grok (xAI)** • Monthly RSI = bearish 📉 • Trading near 52W highs = overvalued 💥 • Suggests: \$545 PUT 🧠 **Gemini (Google)** • High conviction bearish • Suggests: \$590 PUT (expensive premium) 🧬 **Claude (Anthropic)** • RSI breakdown = confirmed weakness • Recommends: \$530 PUT for max downside 🦾 **Meta (LLaMA)** • Moving averages turning over • Suggests: \$555 PUT – moderate confidence 🛰️ **DeepSeek** • Long-term RSI confirms bearish drift • Volatility ideal for LEAP entries • Recommends: \$545 PUT --- 📍**MODEL CONSENSUS** ✅ Bearish trend across all models ✅ Favorable volatility (VIX ✅) ✅ Overvaluation = downside pressure ⚠️ Strike variance across models → we anchor at **\$545** for balance --- 💼 **TRADE SETUP (LEAP PUT)** • 🔻 Direction: PUT (Short) • 🎯 Strike: **\$545** • 📆 Expiry: **2026-09-18** (413 days) • 💰 Entry Price: **\$38.33** • 🎯 Target: **\$76.66** • 🛑 Stop: **\$24.91** • ✅ Confidence: **75%** • ⏰ Entry: Monday Open • 📏 Size: 1 contract --- 📌 **Narrative**: Every model says the same thing: RSI rollover, inflated price, and perfect LEAP conditions. Institutions are neutral → retail can front-run the decay. You don’t often get long-dated PUTs this clean. 🎯 Asymmetric risk/reward. 📉 Macro setup aligns. 🎯 Strong long-term positioning play. --- 🧠 Stay smart. Position early. Ride the macro shift. 🔔 Like + Follow for more AI-driven trade setups.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by quantsignals
EUR/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! We are now examining the EUR/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 168.581 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUDCHF Will Go Down! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDCHF. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.524. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.522 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1