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Buy OIL & GOLD, Sell Stocks Indices When Missiles Are Flying!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 16-20th. When missiles start flying in the Middle East, investors become reactively risk averse. Money goes from stocks to safe havens and oil. That's it. Expect oil prices to rise, Gold to reach new highs, and the equity markets to see more sellers than buyers. This environment may last a few days or a few weeks. Keep an ear to the news. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by RT_Money
Weekly FOREX Forecast: When Missiles Fly, So Does The US Dollar This is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of Jun 16-20th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, and JPY. Middle East tensions are high, missiles flying.... and so will the USD. Look for the USD to out perform its counterparts during precarious period. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6E1!
by RT_Money
EURUSD WEEKLY HTF FORECAST Q2 W25 Y25EURUSD WEEKLY HTF FORECAST Q2 W25 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. 💭NOTE- If price closes above the key weekly/ daily order block with daily close- re evaluation will be required. 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
by JCFRGNT
GBPJPY WEEKLY HTF FORECAST Q2 W25 Y25GBPJPY WEEKLY HTF FORECAST Q2 W25 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
by JCFRGNT
4
ES Futures-Weekly OutlookCME_MINI:ES1! Fundamentals and Economic Calendar Data Recap: • Friday: 06/06/2025 o US Non-Farm Payrolls (May) 139k vs. Exp. 130k (Prev. 177k, Rev. 147k) o US Unemployment Rate (May) 4.2% vs. Exp. 4.2% (Prev. 4.2%) o US Average Earnings YY (May) 3.9% vs. Exp. 3.7% (Prev. 3.8%, Rev. 3.9%) • Overnight Monday: 06/09/2025 o Chinese Trade Balance (USD)(May) 103.22B vs. Exp. 101.3B (Prev. 96.18B) o Chinese Exports YY (USD)(May) 4.8% vs. Exp. 5.0% (Prev. 8.1%) o Chinese Imports YY (USD)(May) -3.4% vs. Exp. -0.9% (Prev. -0.2%) o Chinese CPI MM (May) -0.2% vs. Exp. -0.2% (Prev. 0.1%) o Chinese PPI YY (May) -3.3% vs. Exp. -3.2% (Prev. -2.7%) o Chinese CPI YY (May) -0.1% vs. Exp. -0.2% (Prev. -0.1%) Looking ahead this week on the calendar, notable economic data releases are as follows: • Wednesday: 06/11/2025 o US CPI YoY (May) o US CPI MoM (May) o US 10 year Note Auction • Thursday: 06/12/2025 o US PPI MoM (May) o US PPI YoY (May) o US 30 year Bond Auction • Friday: 06/13/2025 o Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jun)P o Michigan 1-year and 5-year Inflation Expectations (Jun)P On the trade and tariff front, we have China-US trade talks continuing in the UK today. The Chinese Vice Premier is visiting the UK from June 8th-13th. There has been progress made which is visible in terms of China relaxing export controls on rare earth minerals and President Trump stating that they are very far advanced on the China deal ahead of high level talks in London today. The FED is in a blackout period until the FOMC meeting. Trade, tariffs, and geopolitical risks still need to be monitored. Technical: What has the market done? With NQ leading, ES has also reclaimed yearly open. It held above yearly open in the overnight session. What is it trying to do? Climb higher, overlapping bars and yearly VPOC shifting higher denote acceptance at higher prices. How good of a job is it doing? Overlapping bars, headline risks and leveraged positions also point towards potential for prices moving lower before resuming higher or remaining range bound. TACO acronym traders may be in for max pain. What is more likely to happen from here? Given the data above, we would iterate given our previous explanation that recent data including CPI, PPI, Trade imports, exports is skewed due to trade tensions and this being reflected in business and consumer behavior. FED is likely to remain on hold while it waits and averages out the impact on growth, inflation and labor market. Scenario 1: Push higher Prices continue to push higher, if CPI comes in lower than expected, this may prompt a short-term continuation higher. Scenario 2: Range bound Markets remain in wait and see mode this week having climbed above yearly open. Markets build value higher and we expect VPOC to shift higher too. Scenario 3: Sell-off A mix of factors could e.g., trade talks stalling, weaker than expected US 10 year and 30 year auctions could foreshadow cracks appearing in the bonds market. This may fuel a wider sell-off if yields climb back higher. Glossary: ES - emini-S&P 500 Futures NQ - emini-NASDAQ 100 Futures VPOC - Volume Point of Control: The most traded price by volume in a given range. Represents acceptance or consensus
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeClear
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 9 - 13 JuneMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: UK Unemployment & GDP, US Inflation & PPI, Earnings Reports In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode, we discuss: — UK Unemployment Rate — US Inflation Rate — UK GDP Growth Rate — US Producer Price Index — Corporate Earnings Statements Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Short Term USD Strength This Week! Sell The Majors?This is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of Jun 8 - 12th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, and JPY. USD gained some strength on Friday's job data. Talks with China this week may add to it. But I believe the bullishness will be short term. Look for valid sells in EUR and GBP. Be cautious with AUD and NZD. CAD and CHF will also offer opportunities to sells. CPI Data due Wed, making that day and the days that follow potentially the best trading days this week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
2
Weekly Market Forecast: Monday UPDATES!How accurate were the forecasts for S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures given in the Weekly Market Forecast for this week? BULLSEYE! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by RT_Money
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 2 - 6 JuneMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: BoC & ECB Rates, Canada and US Job Data & Earnings Reports In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode, we discuss: — BoC’s Interest Rate Decision — ECB’s Interest Rate Decision — Unemployment Rate in Canada — NFP and Unemployment Rate in the US — Corporate Earnings Statements Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Weekly FOREX Forecast Jun 2 - 6th: CHF & JPY FuturesThis is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of Jun 2 - 6th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: CHF JPY It's been a consolidative week, but the USD is still weak. Look for valid breakdowns of consolidations before buying against the USD. NFP week ahead! Mon-Wed will be the best days to trade. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6J1!Long
by RT_Money
Weekly FOREX Forecast Jun 2 - 6th: Wait to BUY Majors vs USD!This is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of Jun 2 - 6th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPY (CHF and JPY forecast to follow). It's been a consolidative week, but the USD is still weak. Look for valid breakdowns of consolidations before buying against the USD. NFP week ahead! Mon-Wed will be the best days to trade. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
Stock Markets, Gold, Silver: Run With The Bulls!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 25 - 31st. The Stock Markets are bullish, so run with valid buy setups when they form. Gold and Silver are relatively strong. With tensions in Gaza and Iran, this is expected. Valid buys should be taken. Crude Oil is a tad bearish due to US inventories, so valid sells are warranted in the short term. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by RT_Money
1
Weekly FOREX Forecast: USD, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, JPYThis is the FOREX Currency futures outlook for the week of May 18 - 24th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX Majors markets: USD Index EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPY USD Index has been bullish for 4 weeks. Will it continue? Expect a pullback before bullish continuation. Selling the commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD) may be the best course of action this week. Buying the EUR, GBP and CHF may also be worthwhile. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
3
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 19 - 23 MayMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: RBA Rate Decision, Canada & UK Inflation Rate, Earnings Reports In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode, we discuss: — RBA’s Interest Rate Decision — Inflation Rate in Canada — Inflation Rate in the UK — Corporate Earnings Statements Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
XAU/USD 19-23 May 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025. Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH. This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments. Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Tata Power is showing strengthTata Power's technical indicators suggest a strong buy signal based on moving averages and oscillators. Here’s a quick breakdown: - Relative Strength Index (RSI): 65.04 (indicating bullish momentum) - MACD: 3.38 (positive crossover, signaling upward trend) - Moving Averages: All major SMAs and EMAs indicate a buy - Pivot Points: Key support at ₹388.64, resistance at ₹398.69 Close Above 400 mark will be positive - Short-Term Forecast: Technical analysis suggests support around ₹390 and resistance near ₹626, with a potential price target of ₹417.23 in the next two weeks.
NSE:TATAPOWERLong
by ACHARTS3108
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 12 - 16 MayMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: US Inflation Rate, UK GDP Growth Rate, US PPI, Earnings Reports In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode: — US Inflation Rate — UK GDP Growth Rate — US Producer Price Index — Corporate Earnings Statements Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
USD is Bearish, SO BUY EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD CHF & JPY!In this video, we will update Saturday's forecasts mid-week, and look for valid setup for the rest of the week ahead. The following FX markets will be analyzed: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCAD USDCHF USDJPY Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or other wise. In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following FX markets:
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
ES Futures at a Crossroads: Fed Steady, Market ReadyCME_MINI:ES1! Recent Market Performance ES Futures experienced a significant decline of 22.30% from the February 19, 2025 high of 6218.50 to the recent low of 4832 on Monday, April 7th, 2025. This drawdown included a sharp 16.30% sell-off, triggered by the announcement of reciprocal tariffs, marking a decline from the April 2, 2025 high to the April 7th low. Since forming that low, ES Futures have rebounded impressively—rallying 18.48% into the May 2nd high, retracing well over 50% of the losses. Notably, price action has closely respected Fibonacci retracement levels, as illustrated in the accompanying chart. Macro Fundamentals There are several macroeconomic considerations at play: • Quarterly GDP data appears skewed due to front-loaded imports, evident in the January and February import numbers. • This week’s March trade balance, imports, and exports data for both the U.S. and China will be crucial. These figures will shed light on how escalating tariff tensions have influenced Q1 business activity. • The key event this week is the Federal Reserve interest rate decision and FOMC press conference. Of particular interest will be how the Fed’s risk outlook has evolved in light of Trade War 2.0, along with updates to growth and inflation forecasts. While the Fed is expected to hold rates steady, there are increasing calls from President Trump to cut rates. Although recent soft data has shown signs of deterioration, this has not yet translated into hard data. In fact, April’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report beat expectations, underscoring continued economic resilience. Key Question: What Comes Next? Will ES Futures continue to trend higher, reverse lower, or consolidate? Key Technical Levels • mCVAL: 5635 • Upper Neutral Zone : 5620 – 5585 • March 2025 Low: 5533.75 • Lower Neutral Zone : 5171.75 – 5150.75 Fibonacci Retracement Levels (2025 High to Low) • 2025 High: 6218.50 • 0.786 Retracement: 5921.75 • 0.618 Retracement: 5688.75 • 0.5 Level (Mid-Range): 5525.25 • 2025 Low: 4832 Our View We believe downside risks are currently minimized, barring a new market-moving development—such as a disruptive social media post. Q1 earnings have broadly reflected strength, reducing the probability of further downside in the near term. Given the current backdrop: • Positive news could act as a catalyst for higher prices. • In the absence of significant newsflow, we expect consolidation, followed by a potential resumption of the upward trend. Scenario 1 A pullback to either the blue support zone near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement confluence, or a deeper pullback towards the confluence of the 2025 mid-range and March 2025 lows, followed by a continuation higher. Scenario 2 Seasonality supports consolidation. Historical index behavior at this time of year further aligns with the potential for sideways movement before the next leg higher.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeClear