Weeklyforecast
SPY Channels in your Weekly Game Plan$SPY bottomed on FOMC week and established the immediate trend's lower channel. The bounce off the lows moved SPY to the upper channel & a continuation wedge formation (stair-stepping downward). Friday's bottom wick attacked the intermediate trend that was established near the Jan lows. We have an "impingement" upcoming in the SPY Wedge Formation this week...does the larger, intermediate channel dominate the April/May channel? If so, expect a move back over 395 and possibly a run at the 405 level which is the 20DMA & the weekly low set on May 1st. If the move up towards 395 fails, expect the intermediate channel to be re-tested (should be under 380 by then) and then continue the Wedge Formation down towards the 374 area which might spark high volume selling and take SPY under 370.
Dotted horizontal lines are key weekly lows since February and placed for your visual reference of potential Profit Taker areas.
Key SPY levels for the upcoming 2 weeks: 360/ 368 / 374 / 377 / 380 / 385.15 / 405 / 411 / 420
Audjpy weekly forex analysis with trading strategy for 02-05-22Audjpy weekly forex analysis with trading strategy for 02-05-22
In the recent times, i have been trading more of aussie pairs. from 2 weeks ago, a 100+ pips sell on audusd shared here video
analysis on YT. Last week, audusd and audcad sell analysis which is still doing massively fine. For this coming week, My selected pair from my watchlist is the audjpy for a SHORT.
Fundamentally, in the past week, interest rates from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) was unchanged, on tuesday the 3rd of may, the Reserve bank of Australia will announce interests rate which may affect the Aud as the interest rates is forecasted to be increased. Nonetheless, if the interest rate from the RBA is increased to my forecasted rate of 0.25%, i would still consider a short trade.
Technically, explained in the video analysis, Audjpy was initially in an uptrend printing higher highs and higher lows then followed by a massive rally to the upside signaling the presence of massive institutional 'Buys' pushing audjpy to an overbought level. After the move and watching closely, audjpy, started changing direction on the 4hr timeframe breaking structure to the downside and created unfilled supply zones as shown in the screenshot above. this was after price failed to break a major supply zone above.
Audjpy further printed a SHOOTING STAR candlestick pattern on the weekly chart followed by a bearish week.
After all these, I am considering a high probability sell scenario for the audjpy with an entry strategy shared in the video analysis of this content.
Let's go take some risks, let's go make some money. regards.
Preshus, Millionaire logistics
Potential Double Bottom Pattern for Bitcoin?Honestly, there are countless possibilities and patterns for Bitcoin right now. I am focusing on a Potential Double Bottom (W) Pattern since I am following that Idea since mid-December 21, for now, there's more evidence that this actually can be a Double Bottom Pattern.
Just FYI, Weekly was charted here.
As said above, there's a Chance that Bitcoin is evolving into a Double Bottom or so called W Pattern. What gives me confidence is the Fact that the "Heikin Ashi" Candles are sowhing a weakening Trend, so that there's a chance that the current trend finally will change into an Uptrend. This thesis is backed by the RSI which is recovering, a bullish cross will probably happen in 1-2 Weeks, if no major news etc. will crush it.
The Target for the Double Bottom should be somwhere between 100-110k, in the following Months. Of course, just if a Breakout occurs.
If you like my Content, hit the 👍 and/or comment and make sure to follow.
This Analysis is not intended to be investment advice. Always DYOR.
4-8th April Economic Outlook!Hey traders,
Today we're going to be looking through this weeks economic calendar. We're going to look at what data is going to be released and what really is going to be affecting the market. I will also share my bias on the different pairs and the different data being released to see if any of these are going to be tradeable or whether or not we should just kind of stay out of the market during these times of uncertainty. I hope you enjoy this outlook into the week ahead. It's going to be a quiet week compared to recent times unless we get any breaking news coming out of Russia and Ukraine. In terms of economic data releases, it is going to be a little bit quieter than usual.
Monday - 4th April
We don't have too much happening in our favor on Monday. Here the biggest release is the unemployment change for Spain. While it may move the euro just a little bit, I'm not seeing a whole lot of tradeable opportunity. I think Monday is going to be a lot better just to kind of sit back and watch to see what happens.
Tuesday - 5th April
On Tuesday, we get a little bit more exciting. We have a fair bit of data being released for us.
🟨 AIG Construction Index
Early in the morning we have the AUD, AIG construction index. This index indicates how well the construction industry is actually running at the moment, it's not something we're going to trade, but rather it's good insight as looking ahead into the PMI, into our employment rates and then overall trade balance in the future. It is a good indication of how well the economy is running confined into that construction sector as it is a very large employer in Australia.
🟥 Cash Rate
Coming in a little bit later in the day, we have a very large, definitely tradeable event with the RBA rate statement and their overall cash rate. The forecast is for it to remain at 0.10%. I believe this will remain at 0.10%. I'm not expecting any shock announcements. However, in the event we do get a shock number come through, it's going to be a very volatile time and a possible opportunity to be able to catch a lot of pips on the Aussie dollar. If we do get a shock event on this, it will move for a few hours prior to entering into the European market so keep an eye on this release.
⬜ EUR
Looking ahead, we do get a lot of services PMI coming out for the euro, but not really looking to be trading that. I'd rather use that as an indication of how well the economy is running, looking ahead into future releases.
🟥 ISM Services PMI
The biggest standout is the ISM services PMI for the US dollar. Obviously the market is forecasting growth in the services industry. I'm not too sure how well that's going to stand. It's not something I usually trade. However, given the previous data releases, I'm unsure if it's going to be able to maintain its bullish forecast. We've been told that construction spending is down, the manufacturing PMI, while still expanding has slower growth than what it was first anticipated. Our nonfarm employment change was negative. There's a lot of different areas suggesting that we may not be as hawkish as what the forecast says. So I do expect this to come in a little less than what we're looking at currently but only time will tell.
Wednesday - 6th April
🟧 Crude Oil Inventories
This is going to be an interesting one. This is something I've been looking to try to look to how it affects the US dollar, but rather something I'm just overly intrigued about given the current circumstances in the world.
🟥 FOMC Meeting Minutes
FOMC meeting minutes is always volatile one. it is good to have a look through what the meeting discussed and how it went on. For users that don't know how this affects the market FOMC meeting minutes is a detailed record of the FOMC's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic and financial conditions that influenced their vote on where to set interest rates.
Thursday - 7th April
🟨 AIG Service Index
Another AUD index release. We have the construction index earlier in the week, now we have the services index coming out. Once again it's not something I trade, however, it is fantastic insight into retail sales data. When we do get those retail sales announced next week, we can use this services index to give us a pivotal action point on where those retail sales are aiming, which is why I've noticed that in today's economic calendar, it's worth noting because we can make a preemptive play on the retail sales data release.
🟨 Retail Sales
The Euro retail sales expecting a little bit of an increase with the overall potential panic buying happening across Europe. It's going to be interesting to see what happens here. We massively missed the forecast in March. However, it is looking like they've been a little bit bearish while still forecasting growth of 0.6%. Banks are no longer aiming for the real high numbers, I think we're going to come in maybe around 1%, but I'm not putting money on that prediction, it is rather an assumption. I will have to do some more research and I recommend you do you same as well, having the services PMI come through this week from all the different countries within Europe is going to be a great insight into how well the economy is actually performing on the retail sales front.
Friday - 8th April
Nothing worth mentioning on Friday, the week is going to come to a slow stop. As I said, it is a bit of a slow week this week, only a few different data points worth noting, so we will end the week quite quiet. Obviously, we might have a bit more movement on the fundamental side of things next week but this week looks like it's lining to be a great technical analysis trading week. Always keep your eye on the whole Russia and Ukraine situation because anything can happen there and the market will react accordingly. Do keep your news streams live and in depth as you don't want to be caught off guard by anything going on over there.
These are personally just my outlooks having a look into the future week. Do note the data to keep an eye on when they are released and of course you can use the TradingView calendar as well to keep note on that. Have a fantastic trading week, I wish you all the best success.
GbpUsd Weekly forex market analysis with forex trading strategyGbpUsd Weekly forex market analysis with forex trading strategy from 4th April,2022.
Fundamentally, the NFP released reports have shown that the number of jobs added to the US economy was lower than expected, even though the unemployment rate was lower than forecasted, hourly wages did not increase. Prior to the NFP,
the US GDP reports for the 4th quarter shows a lower than expected figure with initial jobless claims reports higher than expected.
From the UK, GDP reports for the 4th quarter shows a higher than expected figure . expected figure.
Fundamentals to keep an eye on the coming week include the US trade balance, euro retail sales...
Technically, price recently made an up thrust off a weekly retested demand zone after which a bearish week followed and currently price is reacting to a demand zone from the monthly time frame.
zone.
GbpUsd is close to the daily demand, I will be watching the area for confirmation to buy the Gbpusd .A full video and more detailed analysis with education was shared on my YT channel. 🦾
Let us go take some risks, let us go make some money.
Eur Usd Weekly forex market analysis with forex trading strategyEur Usd Weekly forex market analysis with forex trading strategy from 4th April,2022.
Fundamentally, the NFP released reports have shown that the number of jobs added to the US economy was lower than expected, even though the unemployment rate was lower than forecasted, hourly wages did not increase. Prior to the NFP,
the US GDP reports for the 4th quarter shows a lower than expected figure with initial jobless claims reports higher than expected.
From the Euro zone, consumer price index preliminary report showed a higher than expected figure.
Fundamentals to keep an eye on the coming week include the US trade balance, euro retail sales...
Technically, price has enjoyed a long bearish move and currently has returned to an unmitigated monthly, and weekly demand
zone. An unmitigated demand zone was created on the daily time frame as well. I am expecting price to reach for the un mitigated daily demand zone from where i will be looking out for price action confirmation setups for a long trade.
Let us go take some risks, let us go make some money.
Euraud Analysis from 21-03-2022We share here a continuation analysis on EurAud for the coming week.
Technically, we spotted a demand zone formed from last week an price reacted real nice but was short lived, recently we see price approach the Weekly demand zone from where we expect to see bullish reaction to take a trade from.
UsdCad Analysis from 21-02-2022The idea shared is an analysis of USDCAD for a mid term swing.
Fundamentally, The CAD has shown strength owing to the recently released
retail sales reports as opposed to the retail sales report from the US earlier on.
Sentimentally, due to the recent shortage in supply for oil, the demand for oil has increased and
given that Canada remains the 3rd largest exporters of oil, we expect to see a rise in the value of CAD.
Technically, the pair has been ranging in a supply zone as shown in the schematics and explained in our analysis video
with the recent break and close below the moving average on the weekly and daily chart.
it is expected for price to fill in the supply zone and then continue downwards.
, price may have to retest the previous support level and face
resistance there for a drop in price.
Our sentimental bias hence is to watch and plan for a sell trade on UsdCad.
Lets go take some risk, lets go make some money, Millionaire Logistics.
Euraud Buy idea from 14-02-2022. trade already activeHere We share with you a trade idea on euraud.
There is no much information fundamentally.
Technically, after a massive impulsive fall on Euraud, we saw a bullish weekly candle at a key demand zone, looking further to the daily charts we saw a bullish pin bar (Hammer) giving us reasons that the Euro may be looking interesting for a buy.
Because, we over here had already taken a buy position on this trade, we added in the analysis our entry, stop loss and expected target profit.
Let's go take some risk, let's go make some money.
GBPUSD weekly forex analysis and education for 14-03-2022The idea shared is an analysis of GbpUsd for a mid term swing.
Fundamentally, The Usd is still showing strength owing to the recently released
NFP reports. Next week will shall be keeping an eye on interest rates desions.
Sentimentally, As the UK enforces hard economic sanctions as a result of Russia's
involvement in Ukraine, sanctions placed on one of the biggest economic contributors
in Europe (Russia), Investors are likely to be skeptical backing the British pounds. For this pair, the Usd is favoured.
Technically, the pair just broke a structural level on the Weekly charts
with the recent demand zone broken (refer to our previous analysis on GbpUsd), a supply zone also
created on the 4hr chat time frame. It is expected for price to fill in the supply zone and then continue downwards.
On the Daily charts as seen too, a support structural level has been broken, price may have to retest that level and face
resistance there for a drop in price.
Our sentimental bias hence is to watch and plan for a sell trade on GbpUsd .
Let's go take some risk, let's go make some money, Millionaire Logistics.
Powerledger (POWR) is in uptrendHello Traders,
As you can see in weekly time frame, Powerledger ( POWR ) is in short-term uptrend, if it continues uptrend then it may complete cup pattern by reaching previous ATH. If it reaches previous ATH then it is big profit for us.
Recently POWR is listed in Binance, Coinbase and KuCoin exchanges so I am expecting lot of people investing into this token. Remember this is weekly buy so you has to hodl POWR for weeks, be patient.
Leave your opinion in comment section. Follow us for related analysis.
Thank you.
EURUSD: Weekly Forecast 28th February 2022EURUSD plunged as safe haven demand spiked amid Russia-Ukraine war.
The market found support as it fell to an 18-month low and was able to recovered over half the losses.
However, the trend is clearly downwards and the current fundamentals are clearly bearish, and the price just gapped down strongly at the market opening for the week.
This week, we will continue to look for selling opportunities, awaiting further upside pullback to cover the gap first.
EURCAD Analysis I Correction and More Potential DeclineWelcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
**EURCAD - listen to video analysis.
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!
Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
EURCAD Analysis Welcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
**EURCAD - listen to video analysis.
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
NZDUSD Weekly Forecast Welcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
**NZDUSD - listen to video analysis.
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
USDJPY Analysis Welcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
**USDJPY - listen to video analysis.
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
Gold Weekly Forecast: Gold is heading to uncertainty. The strengthening of the US dollar and the narrowing of the yield differential between US T-bonds have fueled the rise of XAU/USD. Furthermore, in response to Jerome Powell's comments on Friday regarding high inflation, the gold price rose to its highest level since early September at $1 815.50 before falling again shortly after.
Before this weekend's holiday festivities and tomorrow's FOMC Chairmen Powell addressed Friday at a Bank for International Settlements seminar. "Inflation will linger longer than predicted," he said, adding, "the tools available." However, with 2022 so close, there seemed to be less fear about an eventual fall down to earth.
What happened last week?
The market's defeatist attitude was exacerbated by China's weak growth figures, which boosted the dollar.
POSITIVE EARNINGS STATISTICS LIFTED large US banks' equities on Monday, helping the major Wall Street indexes gain traction. This allowed risk flows into financial markets to restrict XAU/USD losses once more, as USD weakness drove them up (and rising Treasury bond yields).
This trend persisted on Tuesday, with no significant macroeconomic reports supporting commodities like gold mining shares.
The S&P 500 Index closed at an all-time high this week, as gold rose to new weekly highs. On Thursday morning, initial unemployment claims fell below 290K for the first time since March 2020, adding to the evidence that things are looking up in the West.
With the recent interest rate hikes by the Fed in December, they have increased the opportunity to return capital through traditional lending markets while still keeping rates low enough that people won't notice much impact if any.
What About The Next week?
Investors stay on the sidelines ahead of major events, so the market is unlikely to react substantially. What will include these figures in a US economic docket on Tuesday, but they could impact the future because of how soon they come out.
While you may have had a lot going on in your brain, including fear or excitement, the tone of your output should stay nice.
We will get our first estimate of third-quarter GDP growth from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Given that the lackluster September Nonfarm Payrolls data did not change the Fed's tapering plans. We could see another leg upward in T-bond yields in the coming weeks.
A breach above 1.75 percent for the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield would open the door to new prospects for dollar strength. If you've been struggling financially because your income isn't quite enough longer, these figures may be able to help you get back on track.
On the one hand, if the Federal Reserve delays its planned reduction in asset purchases to cool down the markets, it might generate significant investor issues.
Anything might happen in the market next week, given how unpredictable it currently is. Several pieces of news will be released that could have an impact on the direction stocks take.
Facebook's earnings report will be released on Wednesday (in which they forecast $5 billion in revenue). Amazon's quarterly results after trading hours on Thursday evening EST/Wednesday afternoon PST. They are expecting to generate more than $55 billion this time around.
Still, it depends on whether there was any disruption from last month when one of its distribution centers experienced an overflow during Prime Day, which caused some shipments to be delayed.
XAU/USD Technical Analysis
Technically market is on an uptrend in a short time frame. But along bearish candle may send the gold lower, as I have seen many times before.
Last Friday, Powell didn't send any strong message; instead, he was a bit dovish. Still, gold dropped from the rising trend line. As two weeks back, average earnings rose, and next week some big tech company will release their earnings report. So it is supposed to have good earnings reports.
So, fundamentally there is a chance that gold may drop again. from the present rate, $1780/1775 will play as a strong support zone. Breaking below $1775 gold may test the $1760/1763 price zone.
Breaking below $1760, testing the $1745/1750 price zone won't be hard. Absolutely $1745/1750 will act as solid support. And we have seen some upward correction nearly $1780 price zone again from $1745/1750.
Finally, if we see gold price breaks below $1745, we will set our last target at the $1720/1725 price zone.
On the other hand, $1808 is the immediate resistance from the present rate, and the swing area is identified at the $1715 price level. So, we may go for but if the gold price breaks above the $1715 price zone. $1730/1735 has been acting as an acritical resistance for a long time.
So, if we buy above the $1715 price zone, we must close it to nearly the $1730 price zone. If gold price can break above #1735 price, we must think for a long term buy at least almost $1900 price zone.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 13th February 2022Gold rallied last week especially on the last trading day which caused a breakout of the symmetrical triangle.
As inflation continues to rise and strengthening the market sentiment of more and bigger rate hikes, the dollar is strengthening yet the gold is even stronger.
Since the market has broken out of a 14-month symmetrical triangle, bulls are inevitably going to rise in the coming weeks.
This week, we will focus on buying the pullback, expecting a pullback towards 1850.
EURUSD: Weekly Forecast 13th February 2022EURUSD was going sideways last week until the dollar started to strengthened again on high CPI figures that prompts for a Fed rate hike.
The supply level at 1.1480 has caused a strong rejection and more bears are expected in the coming week.
This week, we can switch to selling the upwards pullback at around 1.1380, aiming for 1.1280 and followed by 1.1230.