Oil prices rebound, maintain bullish attitude
💡Message Strategy
International oil prices continued their upward trend on Thursday, closing higher for the fourth consecutive day, as concerns about growing global supply tightness abounded. Brent crude for September delivery rose 0.4% to $73.51 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for September delivery rose 0.5% to $70.37 a barrel, while the more active Brent October contract rose 0.4% to $72.76 a barrel.
Recently, the market has focused on the statement of US President Trump, who demanded that Russia make "substantial progress" on the situation in Ukraine within 10-12 days, otherwise he would impose 100% secondary tariffs on its trading partners, significantly bringing forward the previous 50-day deadline.
Inventory data suggests a continued struggle between supply and demand. Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that U.S. crude oil inventories unexpectedly rose by 7.7 million barrels to 426.7 million barrels in the week ending July 25, far exceeding expectations for a 1.3 million barrel drop. However, gasoline inventories fell by 2.7 million barrels to 228.4 million barrels, exceeding market expectations for a 600,000 barrel drop.
📊Technical aspects
From a daily perspective, WTI crude oil prices have closed higher for four consecutive days since rebounding from the $66 level. It is currently running stably above the integer mark of $70 per barrel. The short-term moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, and the MACD indicator remains above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is still strong.
From an hourly perspective, if the price breaks through the previous high of $70.50, it is expected to further rise to the $73.50-$75 range. Conversely, if it continues to fall below the $70 mark, it may trigger short-term profit-taking, and further support will focus on the $68.50 level. Overall, the short-term trend remains bullish.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:68.00-68.50,SL:67.50,Target:70.50-73.00
WTI
Crude Oil’s $70 Surge Still Faces 3-Year Channel ResistanceAlthough news points to a crude oil price surge, technical analysis indicates price cap risks remain within the borders of a 3-year descending channel.
Should a clear hold emerge above the $70 barrier, the bullish rebound in price action from the $64.40 zone, in line with the weekly RSI’s rebound off the neutral 50 zone, may extend toward the channel’s upper boundary at $72.40, $74.40, and $77 in more extreme scenarios.
A confirmed hold above the $77–78 zone may shift the primary trend away from bearish dominance and pave the way for longer-term bullish forecasts.
On the downside, if a price drop results in a clean break below the $64 barrier, downside risks may extend toward the mid-zone of the long-standing channel, with potential support levels at $63.20, $61.80, and $59.70, respectively.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
WTI remains supported on Russia sanctions threatIt is worth keeping an eye on the energy markets, given the recent bounce from a key support area around $65.00. With WTI moving back above the 200-day average at $68.00, this is an additional bullish sign from a technical standpoint. This level is now the first support to watch, followed by $67.00 and then that $65.00 key level.
Resistance comes in at $70.00 followed by $72.80.
From a macro point of view, President Trump’s decision to bring forward the deadline for Russia to agree to a ceasefire has ever so slightly heightened the prospect of secondary sanctions being imposed on foreign purchasers of Russian crude — namely China, India, and Turkey. There is a risk we could see a spike in oil prices, if fears of Russian supply being curtailed, intensifies. At the same time, fears about demand have receded with the announcement of a few trade deals by the US and recent economic data from Europe and the US both showing mild strength.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com.
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 65.944.Colleagues, I previously recommended moving trades to break-even, and for good reason. It is always necessary to hedge and reduce losses—this is part of professional work.
(Breakeven=Risk Free: Move Stop loss to the entry level).
The price has nevertheless shown a stronger correction, and I now believe that the medium-term “ABC” waves have not yet formed, nor has the large “Y” wave.
This means that I expect the completion of wave “B” and then a continuation of the downward movement in wave “C.”
I consider the support area of 65.944 to be the minimum target.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Crude oil starts to rise, are you ready?
💡Message Strategy
Oil prices continued their upward trend amid rising geopolitical risks. US President Trump recently issued a tough statement, demanding Russia end the conflict with Ukraine within 10 to 12 days or face secondary sanctions.
Fears that Russian crude oil exports might be disrupted pushed Brent crude oil prices close to $70 per barrel, marking their largest single-day gain in two weeks at 2.3%. Meanwhile, US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices also remained stable around $67.
The intertwined uncertainties of geopolitics and trade policy have complicated market sentiment. Besides the situation between Russia and Ukraine, investors are closely watching the August 1st trade policy deadline set by the United States and the upcoming OPEC+ meeting in early August, which will determine its September crude oil production increase plan.
The industry generally expects that despite tight crude oil inventories in some parts of the world and strong peak season consumption in the Northern Hemisphere, if OPEC+ continues to increase production, oversupply pressure will gradually emerge by the end of the year.
📊Technical aspects
From a technical perspective, the daily chart of US crude oil (WTI) shows a modest upward trend. The current price is trading steadily above its 100-day moving average, indicating continued bullish momentum.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains between 55 and 60, remaining within overbought territory, suggesting further upside potential. A successful break above the key resistance level of $68.50 would open up opportunities towards $70.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:66.50-67.00,SL:65.50,Target:68.50-69.00
Crude Oil Spikes - Russia / Ukraine / USA sanction? Concerns about the possibility of tighter global oil supplies are supporting crude prices after President Trump warned of "secondary sanctions" if Russia fails to reach a ceasefire in Ukraine within 10 to 12 days.
These sanctions have absolutely burned the shorts in oil and can cause a 3 bar surge on the daily chart if crude breaks this channel.
Keep you eye on the daily 200 MA...if it holds above we should push higher on crude.
FOMC RATE DECISION TOMORROW - Tune into our live stream.
WTI(20250729)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
After gold prices soared to an all-time high of more than $3,500 an ounce in April, the latest report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that fund managers have increased their bullish bets to the highest level in 16 weeks.
Technical analysis:
Today's buy and sell boundaries:
66.09
Support and resistance levels:
68.13
67.37
66.87
65.30
64.80
64.04
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 66.87, consider buying, the first target price is 67.37
If the price breaks through 66.09, consider selling, the first target price is 65.30
CRUDE OIL REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 64.69$
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 65.50$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 63.000.Colleagues, I believe that wave “B” has formed at the level of 69.938, and now we expect the downward movement to continue with the aim of completing wave ‘C’ of the middle order and wave “2” of the higher order in the support area of 63,000.
It is quite possible that the price could reach the 60,000 level, but I think that for now it is worth focusing on the nearest targets.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Crude oil trading reminder: triple positive support
💡Message Strategy
After three consecutive days of sluggishness, both U.S. and Brent crude oil remained above the 100-day moving average on Thursday (July 24). U.S. crude oil is currently up 0.4%, trading around 65.46; Brent crude oil is currently up 0.1%, trading around US$68.67 per barrel. The three engines of trade negotiations, unexpected decline in inventories, and geopolitical games are ignited at the same time. Oil prices showed signs of stabilizing, allowing bulls to "smell" the long-awaited rebound opportunity.
1. The trade war breaks the ice: the US, Japan and Europe have reached a series of agreements to ignite market hopes.
2. Inventories plummeted by 3.2 million barrels! The balance of supply and demand suddenly tilted.
3. Geopolitical black swan: The war between Russia and Ukraine burns the energy supply chain
📊Technical aspects
The short-term (4H) trend of crude oil fluctuated upward slightly. The moving average system gradually formed a bullish arrangement, and the short-term objective trend direction was upward. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator opened upward above the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was sufficient.
In terms of form, the oil price broke through the neckline, and the head and shoulders bottom reversal pattern was established. It is expected that after the intraday crude oil trend retests the neckline position, the probability of forming another upward rhythm is high.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:65.50-66.50,SL:64.00,Target:67.75-68.00
WTI(20250723)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
White House officials plan to visit the Federal Reserve headquarters on Thursday local time.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
65.22
Support and resistance levels:
66.22
65.85
65.61
64.84
64.60
64.22
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 65.61, consider buying, the first target price is 65.85
If the price breaks through 65.22, consider selling, the first target price is 64.84
USOIL POTENTIAL LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL has retested a key support level of 65.00$
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 66.27$ is likely
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USOIL Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL made a retest of
The horizontal support
Level of 64.86$ from where
We are already seeing a bullish
Reaction so we will be expecting
A further local move up
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WTI OIL Extreme 1D MA50-200 squeeze to deliver break-out!WTI Oil (USOIL) has been consolidating for almost the past 30 days within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The squeeze is now so tight that the trend will be revealed soon with a break-out.
Based on the 2-year Channel Down, that should be bearish, resembling the May 2024 consolidation that broke downwards and almost hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Notice also the similar Sell Zone rejection on the 1W RSI.
As a result, we expect WTI to decline and target $61.00.
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USOIL Under Technical Pressure: 1D Timeframe Breakdown Hey Guys,
The 66.584 level currently stands as the strongest support zone for USOIL. If this level breaks with a candle close, the next major target could drop to 55.666.
This setup is based on the 1-day timeframe. I highly recommend keeping a close watch on that key level.
Every like from you is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these insights. Thanks so much to everyone who’s showing support!
WTI(20250721)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Waller refused to comment on whether he would dissent at the July meeting, saying that the private sector was not performing as well as people thought, and said that if the president asked him to be the chairman of the Federal Reserve, he would agree.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
66.42
Support and resistance levels
68.00
67.41
67.02
65.81
65.43
64.84
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 66.42, consider buying, and the first target price is 67.02
If the price breaks through 65.81, consider selling, and the first target price is 65.43
CRUDE OIL BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL broke the rising
Support line which is now a resistance
And the price made a retest an a pullback
So we we are bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Micro WTI Swing Breakout Setup – Robbing Liquidity the Smart Way🛢️ "Crude Ops: The WTI Energy Vault Breakout Plan" 🛢️
(A Thief Trader Swing Setup | MA Breakout Trap Heist 💰💥)
🌍 Hola! Bonjour! Marhaba! Hallo! Hello Robbers & Market Movers! 🌟
Welcome to another high-voltage heist mission straight from the Thief Trading Den. This ain’t just a chart—this is an Energy Market Extraction Plan based on real smart money footprints 🔎.
🔥 Master Robbery Setup: MICRO WTI CRUDE OIL FUTURES 🎯
We got a bullish breakout alert from the shadows! This is not a drill.
💣 ENTRY STRATEGY
💼 "The Heist Begins Above 68.50"
Watch the Moving Average (MA) zone closely—this is where weak hands get trapped and we slide in with stealth limit or breakout orders:
🛠️ Plan of Entry:
Buy Stop Order: Just above 68.500 (after confirmation of breakout ✅).
Buy Limit Layering (DCA): On pullbacks around 15m/30m swing lows for precision entries.
🧠 Pro Tip: Use alerts to catch the exact entry ignition spark—don't chase, trap with patience like a true thief.
🛑 STOP LOSS (SL)
⚠️ "No SL? That’s a rookie mistake."
SL should only be placed post-breakout using the 8H wick-based swing low (around 66.50).
💡 SL is your personal vault door—set it according to:
Lot size
Risk appetite
Layered entry strategy
📌 Reminder: No SL or order placement before breakout. Let the market show its hand first.
🎯 TARGET ZONE (Take Profit)
Primary Target: 76.00 🏁
But hey... the smartest robbers escape before alarms ring — so trail that stop, secure your profits, and vanish like smoke 🥷.
💥 FUNDAMENTAL & SENTIMENT CATALYSTS
🔥 Current bullish energy comes from:
📉 USD weakness
🏭 Crude inventory drawdowns
⚖️ Geopolitical supply shocks
🐂 Hedge funds scaling long per latest COT data
📊 Intermarket cues from risk-on assets
🧠 Do your diligence: Go check fundamentals, COTs, and macro narratives before entering. Info = Edge.
📢 RISK MANAGEMENT NOTE
🚨 Don't go wild. Market is volatile, especially around:
News drops 📉
Fed or OPEC speeches 🎙️
Crude inventory reports 🛢️
Pause entries during news events. Use trailing SLs to lock the vault behind you.
❤️ SUPPORT THE ROBBERY MISSION
💣 Smash that BOOST button if this plan hits your nerve.
Let’s keep robbing liquidity zones together and growing the Thief Trader Brotherhood 🕵️♂️💰.
📡 Stay tuned for the next stealth heist drop. We rob the market with class. 💎🚀
BRENT CRUDE OIL FORMED A BEARISH WEDGE. ANOTHER POSSIBLE DECLINEBRENT CRUDE OIL FORMED A BEARISH WEDGE. ANOTHER POSSIBLE DECLINE?📉
USOIL has been trading bullish within the last couple of days, supported by prospects of tighter supply and an improved demand outlook. US crude inventories dropped last week, which indicates firm demand despite the rising output.
Still, technically, oil looks bearish. It has formed a bearish wedge and is currently testing the former trendline from below. The most probable scenario is that wee see the bearish impulse towards 6,500.00 with further decline. Another option is that the rise will continue towards 6,900.00 level.
WTI(20250717)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The annual rate of PPI in the United States in June was 2.3%, lower than the expected 2.5%, the lowest since September 2024, and the previous value was revised up from 2.6% to 2.7%. Federal Reserve Beige Book: The economic outlook is neutral to slightly pessimistic. Manufacturing activity declined slightly, and corporate recruitment remained cautious.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
65.20
Support and resistance levels:
66.59
66.07
65.74
64.67
64.33
63.83
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 65.74, consider buying in, and the first target price is 66.07
If it breaks through 65.20, consider selling in, and the first target price is 64.67
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Crude oil extends fallsThe crude oil market has entered a fragile and uncertain phase, with prices retreating from recent highs. While WTI crude is still holding above the critical $65 mark on a closing basis, it was below this handle at the time of writing. So, the overall tone remains cautious, with a bearish tilt expected to persist in the near term.
Technical Outlook: WTI Breaks Key Support
The WTI crude chart shows a breakdown of a short-term bullish trend line, and lower lows. The price failed to reclaim the 200-day moving average and found strong resistance since. Currently, it is testing support around $65.00. A daily close below this level could trigger further bearish momentum, with the next support zones seen at $64, and then the next round handles below that. $60 per barrel could be reached if the macro backdrop doesn't improve.
Geopolitical Factors: Trump’s Tariff Threats Dismissed
Donald Trump’s threats of 100% tariffs on countries buying Russian oil sparked initial concern but were ultimately shrugged off by the market. Traders interpreted the 50-day delay in enforcement and Trump’s historical pattern of backing off such threats as signs that immediate supply disruptions were unlikely.
OPEC+ Strategy: Supply Returning to the Market
OPEC+ has announced a larger-than-expected production increase of 548,000 bpd for August, with another 550,000 bpd potentially coming in September. This roll-back of earlier voluntary cuts aims to recapture market share, especially as U.S. shale production slows. However, the added supply may cap price gains, particularly as demand is expected to ease after the peak U.S. driving season.
By Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst with FOREX.com