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XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)

GOLD H4 Update: Bulls will target 3600/3750 USD Market Update🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update (June 16, 2025) 📊 Price & Technical Outlook Current Spot Price: around $3,414  Technical Setup * Gold consolidating above major support at \~\$3,180–3,200 * Testing resistance at \~\$3,380–3,400; breakout could push toward \$3,600 * Recent price action considered a healthy consolidation with upside potential 🏆 Bull Market Overview * Pullback likely complete; supported by strong geopolitical and macro tailwinds * Key price levels: \$3,000 / \$3,200 / \$3,400 (resistance near \$3,400) * Bullish target: \$3,600, with further upside possible if momentum holds * Short-term dips remain buying opportunities—“buy the dip” remains favored ⭐ Recommended Strategy BUY/HOLD: Continue to accumulate on dips, using \$3,200–3,300 as entry zones Target: Maintain bull target at \$3,600, with breakout opportunity above \$3,400 🏦 Macro & Market Drivers Fed & Central Bank Outlook * Investors positioning for possible Fed rate cuts later this year, likely totaling around 75 bps by end of 2025 * Ongoing dollar weakness supports gold Geopolitical Tensions * Middle East unrest, U.S.–Iran dynamics, and global evacuations are fueling safe-haven demand for gold * Continued volatility in global hotspots likely to keep gold elevated Risk Appetite & Market Behavior * Both stocks and gold are climbing—an unusual “optimism + fear” scenario * Central banks, especially in China, India, and Turkey, have been strong gold buyers in 2025 * Speculative positions in gold futures remain high U.S.–China & Trade Tariffs * Unresolved U.S.–China tariffs and tensions continue to support gold * Any easing in trade friction could temper gold’s advance 📰 Latest Market Sentiment * Wall Street remains bullish on gold for the upcoming week, though some caution persists ahead of the upcoming Fed meeting * Macro environment is seen as supportive for gold and other precious metals * Gold’s rally is positively influencing the broader precious metals market 🌏 Demand Themes * **Asian Buyers**: China may relax gold import quotas to manage currency, while India demand remains strong though can be seasonally slower * **Central Banks**: Over 240 tonnes of gold added in Q1 by central banks, with China and India as top buyers ⚠️ Risks & Watchpoints * Fed surprises: A more hawkish tone at the next meeting could push gold back toward \$3,200–3,300 * Geopolitical breakthroughs: Any stable resolutions could reduce safe-haven demand * Large speculative position unwinds could create short-term volatility 🔎 Mid-Term Outlook Summary | Scenario | Support | Resistance | Catalysts | | --------- | ------------- | ---------- | ----------------------------------- | | Base case | \$3,200–3,300 | \$3,400 | Rate cut expectations + geopolitics | | Bull case | Above \$3,400 | \$3,600+ | Escalating risk, dovish Fed | | Bear case | Below \$3,200 | — | Hawkish Fed, easing global tensions | ✔️ Final Take * Technical and fundamental momentum supports a continued bull phase with key target at \$3,600 * Best strategy: accumulate on dips between \$3,200–3,300 * Key factors to watch: Fed’s next move (June 17), Middle East developments, U.S.–China trade actions, central bank buying
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
40
Silver Gains on Tensions, Eyes on FedFriday’s strong U.S. data may support the dollar, as the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 60.5 in June from 52.2, beating forecasts of 53.5 and marking the first gain in six months. Geopolitical tensions continue to drive safe-haven demand, especially for silver. Israel struck Iranian nuclear and missile sites Friday, killing military officials. On Sunday, Iran began its fourth phase of response, warning of firm retaliation to further Israeli actions. Markets now turn to Wednesday’s Fed meeting. While rates are expected to stay unchanged, futures still price in two cuts this year, possibly starting in September, supported by last week’s soft inflation data. Resistance is set at 36.90, while support stands at 35.40.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Why Silver Could Outperform Gold in the Coming Months? Silver recently broke out above the key 34.85 resistance level, and this could be a game changer for the medium-term outlook. With rising concerns over government debt, trade uncertainty, and escalating geopolitical risks, gold rallied strongly from 2000 to 3500. Gold and silver typically have a high correlation, and silver tends to follow gold. However, during the latest tariff-driven rally, gold pushed toward 3500 while silver failed to keep up. So, why did gold outperform silver this time? The answer lies in the demand dynamics. Gold demand primarily comes from the investment side, while silver demand has traditionally been balanced around 50% investment and 50% industrial use. That balance has now shifted significantly. According to the Silver Institute, only 17.8% of 2025 silver demand is expected to come from investments. If we group jewelry and silverware with investment as a “store of value” category, the mix becomes 61% industrial and 39% investment. This shift has been driven by a surge in silver demand from the electrical and electronics sector. The growth of clean energy and AI technologies has accelerated silver usage. In fact, the electrical and electronics sector is projected to account for 40.5% of total silver demand in 2025. This explains why slowing global trade and economic activity have had a more negative effect on silver compared to gold, pushing the gold/silver ratio to historically high levels. That said, this same dynamic could fuel silver’s rise in the coming years, supported by long-term trends in clean energy and advanced technology. The breakout of 34.85 is a significant technical development . Silver has been in an active uptrend channel since 2024, but the 34.85 level repeatedly capped upward moves since October. With this breakout, silver now has room to rise gradually toward the upper boundary of the channel, potentially reaching near 40. Key support levels to watch are 34.85 and 34.45. As long as they hold, the primary direction remains upward. The moves may be gradual but could include sharp surges and continuation patterns like flags.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by ftdsystem
Silver H1 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 36.50 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 36.70 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 36.06 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAGUSDShort
by Tradu
SILVER Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for SILVER is below: The market is trading on 36.320 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 35.168 Recommended Stop Loss - 36.830 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAGUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Intraday Gold Trading System with Neural Networks: Step-by-Step________________________________________ 🏆 Intraday Gold Trading System with Neural Networks: Step-by-Step Practical Guide ________________________________________ 📌 Step 1: Overview and Goal The goal is to build a neural network system to predict intraday short-term gold price movements—typically forecasting the next 15 to 30 minutes. ________________________________________ 📈 Step 2: Choosing Indicators (TradingView Equivalents) Key indicators for intraday gold trading: • 📊 Moving Averages (EMA, SMA) • 📏 Relative Strength Index (RSI) • 🌀 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) • 📉 Bollinger Bands • 📦 Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) • ⚡ Average True Range (ATR) ________________________________________ 🗃 Step 3: Data Acquisition (Vectors and Matrices) Use Python's yfinance to fetch intraday gold data: import yfinance as yf import pandas as pd data = yf.download('GC=F', period='30d', interval='15m') ________________________________________ 🔧 Step 4: Technical Indicator Calculation Use Python’s pandas_ta library to generate all required indicators: import pandas_ta as ta data = ta.ema(data , length=20) data = ta.ema(data , length=50) data = ta.rsi(data , length=14) macd = ta.macd(data ) data = macd data = macd bbands = ta.bbands(data , length=20) data = bbands data = bbands data = bbands data = ta.atr(data , data , data , length=14) data.dropna(inplace=True) ________________________________________ 🧹 Step 5: Data Preprocessing and Matrix Creation Standardize your features and shape data for neural networks: from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler import numpy as np features = scaler = StandardScaler() data_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(data ) def create_matrix(data_scaled, window_size=10): X, y = , for i in range(len(data_scaled) - window_size - 1): X.append(data_scaled ) y.append(data .iloc ) return np.array(X), np.array(y) X, y = create_matrix(data_scaled, window_size=10) ________________________________________ 🤖 Step 6: Neural Network Construction with TensorFlow Use LSTM neural networks for sequential, time-series prediction: import tensorflow as tf from tensorflow.keras.models import Sequential from tensorflow.keras.layers import LSTM, Dense, Dropout model = Sequential( , X.shape )), Dropout(0.2), LSTM(32, activation='relu'), Dense(1) ]) model.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mse') ________________________________________ 🎯 Step 7: Training the Neural Network history = model.fit(X, y, epochs=50, batch_size=32, validation_split=0.2) ________________________________________ 📊 Step 8: Evaluating Model Performance Visualize actual vs. predicted prices: import matplotlib.pyplot as plt predictions = model.predict(X) plt.plot(y, label='Actual Price') plt.plot(predictions, label='Predicted Price') plt.xlabel('Time Steps') plt.ylabel('Gold Price') plt.legend() plt.show() ________________________________________ 🚦 Step 9: Developing a Trading Strategy Translate predictions into trading signals: def trade_logic(predicted, current, threshold=0.3): diff = predicted - current if diff > threshold: return "Buy" elif diff < -threshold: return "Sell" else: return "Hold" latest_data = X .reshape(1, X.shape , X.shape ) predicted_price = model.predict(latest_data) current_price = data .iloc decision = trade_logic(predicted_price, current_price) print("Trading Decision:", decision) ________________________________________ ⚙️ Step 10: Real-Time Deployment Automate the model for live trading via broker APIs (pseudocode): while market_open: live_data = fetch_live_gold_data() live_data_processed = preprocess(live_data) prediction = model.predict(live_data_processed) decision = trade_logic(prediction, live_data ) execute_order(decision) ________________________________________ 📅 Step 11: Backtesting Use frameworks like Backtrader or Zipline to validate your strategy: import backtrader as bt class NNStrategy(bt.Strategy): def next(self): if self.data.predicted > self.data.close + threshold: self.buy() elif self.data.predicted < self.data.close - threshold: self.sell() cerebro = bt.Cerebro() cerebro.addstrategy(NNStrategy) # Add data feeds and run cerebro cerebro.run() ________________________________________ 🔍 Practical Use-Cases • ⚡ Momentum Trading: EMA crossovers, validated by neural network. • 🔄 Mean Reversion: Trade at Bollinger Band extremes, validated with neural network predictions. • 🌩️ Volatility-based: Use ATR plus neural net for optimal entry/exit timing. ________________________________________ 🛠 Additional Recommendations • Frameworks: TensorFlow/Keras, PyTorch, scikit-learn • Real-time monitoring and risk management are crucial—use volatility indicators! ________________________________________ 📚 Final Thoughts This practical guide arms you to build, deploy, and manage a neural network-based intraday gold trading system—from data acquisition through backtesting—ensuring you have the tools for robust, data-driven, and risk-managed trading strategies. ________________________________________
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by ProjectSyndicate
24
Rate Cut Bets Keep Silver in FocusSilver slipped toward $36 per ounce as investors locked in gains after hitting a 13-year high. The metal remains supported by strong industrial demand, supply deficits, and safe-haven interest during global uncertainty. Industrial uses, especially in solar and electronics, account for over half of the demand. A fifth consecutive annual supply deficit is expected, though the Silver Institute sees the gap narrowing by 21% in 2025. Softer U.S. inflation data for May also increased expectations of Fed rate cuts beginning in September, helping sustain interest in precious metals. Resistance is set at 36.90, while support stands at 35.40.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Silver energy buildup, Bullish continuation pattern developing Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 3723 Resistance Level 2: 3787 Resistance Level 3: 3847 Support Level 1: 3507 Support Level 2: 3448 Support Level 3: 3386 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAGUSD
by TradeNation
Update of the Bullish/Bearish Catalysts for Gold prices________________________________________ ⚡️ Gold’s Pullback: A Reset, Not the End After peaking above $3,500/oz in April, gold’s slide back toward $3,210 marks a sharp—but not unusual—correction. What’s changed in the gold narrative? The rapid unwinding of panic bids as the Fed stays hawkish, the dollar flexes, and risk appetite returns. But beneath the surface, multiple structural drivers—old and new—are shaping gold’s next act. ________________________________________ 1. Fed “Higher for Longer” Policy Bias (9/10) Still the #1 driver. With inflation sticky and the U.S. labor market robust, the Federal Reserve’s reluctance to cut rates (4.25–4.50%) is pinning real yields near multi-year highs. This erodes the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold, particularly for Western investors. 🦅 Watch for any dovish shift—a single Fed pivot could reignite gold fast. ________________________________________ 2. U.S. Dollar Resilience (8.5/10) The DXY recently surged above 101, buoyed by relative U.S. growth outperformance and ongoing EM weakness. Since gold is dollar-priced, a strong greenback makes gold more expensive for non-dollar buyers, crimping global demand. 💵 Sustained dollar strength could push gold closer to $3,100 unless countered by inflation or new geopolitical stress. ________________________________________ 3. Central Bank Buying & “De-Dollarization” Flows (8/10) This is the new wild card. Countries like China, India, Turkey, and Russia are accelerating gold reserves accumulation—partly to hedge against dollar-centric sanctions and diversify away from U.S. Treasuries. Q2 2025 data shows a 35% jump in net central bank purchases year-on-year. 🏦 This bid underpins the gold market even when ETFs and retail are sellers. ________________________________________ 4. U.S.–China Trade Normalization (7.5/10) The May 2025 Geneva agreement was a big de-risking event. While tariffs haven’t vanished, steady progress on tech and agriculture reduces tail risk for global trade, putting downward pressure on gold’s safe-haven premium. 🌏 Any breakdown or tariff surprise could quickly reverse this. ________________________________________ 5. Algorithmic & Quant Trading Flows (7/10) Gold’s volatility is now heavily influenced by systematic funds. CTA (commodity trading advisor) and quant-driven selling accelerated the recent drop once $3,300 was breached. This non-fundamental selling creates overshoots—but also sharp reversals on technical bounces. 🤖 Expect snapbacks when positioning reaches extremes. ________________________________________ 6. U.S.–U.K. & EU Trade Deals (6.5/10) Both deals have reduced the global uncertainty premium. While the economic impact is moderate, improved global relations have pushed capital into equities and away from gold. 🇬🇧 Keep an eye on political risk, especially if new tariffs or Brexit-related shocks re-emerge. ________________________________________ 7. India–Pakistan and Middle East Geopolitical Risks (6.5/10) Tensions have cooled, but remain a latent driver. The India–Pakistan border saw restraint in May; Iran–U.S. talks are “cautiously positive.” Any surprise flare-up, especially involving oil, can quickly restore gold’s safe-haven bid. 🕊️ Event-driven spikes likely, but not sustained unless escalation persists. ________________________________________ 8. ETF Flows, Retail & Institutional Demand (6/10) ETF inflows have slowed sharply in 2025, but central bank and Asian buying partly offset this. U.S. retail interest has faded due to higher Treasury yields, but any sign of real rates rolling over could spark new inflows. 📈 ETF demand is now more a symptom than a cause of price moves. ________________________________________ 9. Technological Demand & Jewelry Trends (5.5/10) Longer-term, gold’s use in electronics, EVs, and green tech is rising modestly (up ~3% YoY). Indian and Chinese jewelry demand—seasonally soft now—could rebound late 2025 if income and sentiment recover. 📿 Not a short-term driver, but a steady tailwind in the background. ________________________________________ 10. Fiscal Risk & U.S. Debt Sustainability (5.5/10) Rising concerns about the U.S. debt trajectory, especially if deficits widen or the U.S. nears a shutdown or downgrade, can trigger flight-to-quality bids for gold. This is not the main driver now, but is a key “black swan” risk if Treasury auctions stumble. 💣 Could move up the list rapidly on negative headlines. ________________________________________ 🌐 Other Catalysts to Watch: • Israel – Iran tensions in the Middle East – limited impact on gold prices. • Crypto Market Volatility (5/10): Periods of sharp crypto drawdowns have triggered some rotation into gold, but the correlation is inconsistent. • Chinese Real Estate Stress (5/10): Signs of further slowdown or crisis (e.g., major developer defaults) could boost gold as a defensive play in Asia. • Physical Supply Disruptions (4/10): Mine strikes, export restrictions, or transport bottlenecks can create localized price spikes, but rarely move the global market for long. ________________________________________ 🏆 2025 Gold Catalyst Rankings (with Impact Scores) Rank Catalyst Strength/10 Current Impact Direction Notes 1 Fed “Higher for Longer” Policy 9.0 Very High Bearish Key yield driver 2 U.S. Dollar Resilience 8.5 Very High Bearish Hurts non-USD demand 3 Central Bank & “De-Dollarization” Buying 8.0 High Bullish Structural support 4 U.S.–China Trade Normalization 7.5 High Bearish De-risks global trade 5 Algorithmic/Quant Trading Flows 7.0 High Bearish Magnifies volatility 6 U.S.–U.K./EU Trade Deals 6.5 Moderate Bearish Risk appetite rising 7 India–Pakistan/Mideast Geopolitics 6.5 Moderate Neutral Event risk 8 ETF, Retail & Institutional Flows 6.0 Moderate Bearish Trend follower 9 Tech/Jewelry Physical Demand 5.5 Low Bullish Seasonal uptick possible 10 U.S. Debt/Fiscal Sustainability 5.5 Low Bullish Potential tail risk 11 Crypto Market Volatility 5.0 Low Bullish Risk-off flows (sometimes) 12 China Property Crisis 5.0 Low Bullish Asian safe-haven buying 13 Physical Supply Disruptions 4.0 Very Low Bullish Rare but possible ________________________________________ 🚦Where Next for Gold? • Current price: ~$3,210/oz • Key support: $3,150/oz • Key upside triggers: A dovish Fed surprise, sharp dollar reversal, sudden geopolitical event, or central bank “buying spree.” • Risks: Extended strong dollar, yield spike, no escalation of global risks. ________________________________________ Summary Table: 2025 Gold Price Catalysts Comparison Catalyst 2024 Score 2025 Score Change Impact Direction (2025) Commentary Fed Rate Policy 9 9 – Bearish Unchanged, still dominant U.S. Dollar 8 8.5 ↑ Bearish Gained in strength Central Bank Buying 7 8 ↑ Bullish Grown in importance, especially in Asia U.S.-China Trade 7.5 7.5 – Bearish Still relevant, deal holding for now Algorithmic/Quant Flows 6 7 ↑ Bearish Systematic trading influence is rising Geopolitics (excl. Russia/Ukraine) 6 6.5 ↑ Neutral Slight increase, mostly latent risks ETF/Institutional Flows 5 6 ↑ Bearish Slower, but still influential Jewelry/Tech Demand 4.5 5.5 ↑ Bullish Tech/jewelry more important now U.S. Debt/Fiscal Risk 5 5.5 ↑ Bullish Gaining attention with deficit concerns Crypto Market Volatility 4 5 ↑ Bullish Correlation growing, but inconsistent China Property Risk N/A 5 NEW Bullish Added due to emerging Asian risk Physical Supply Disruption 3.5 4 ↑ Bullish Minor, only spikes on rare events ________________________________________ 🥇 Bottom Line: Gold’s retreat reflects a rebalancing of risk and yield, but the stage is set for sudden moves—especially if the Fed blinks, the dollar falters, or new shocks emerge. The top three catalysts (Fed, Dollar, Central Bank buying) are especially worth watching as we head into the second half of 2025.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
49
XAG/USD - Channel Breakout (11.06.2025) The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a CHannel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 3587 2nd Support – 3555 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
42
Silver Tests Key Long-Term ResistanceSilver is testing the 34.85 level, a critical resistance both in the short and long term. Since 2013, a cup and handle formation has developed just beneath this level. A confirmed breakout could signal sustained long-term bullish momentum. Supporting this outlook, the gold/silver ratio has recently shown a decisive tilt in gold's favor, reaching historically extreme levels. This test of 34.85 might be the catalyst silver bulls have been waiting for and a return to normal signal for gold/silver ratio with pair trade oppurtunity. However, caution is warranted. Silver is known for sharp intraday and weekly reversals. Confirming the breakout or false breakout could become tricky.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by ftdsystem
Another Breakout or Correction?📆 June 11, 2025 | ⏱ 2H Chart Analysis Silver (XAGUSD) has been respecting its bullish momentum since early June, with a clean breakout above the previous wedge consolidation pattern (visible late May). But now, the market is at a critical decision point. 🔍 Key Observations: Price is testing the 36.50–36.60 zone, which aligns with the 15 EMA and horizontal resistance turned support. We’ve seen exhaustion signs at recent highs (~36.88), followed by lower highs — possibly forming a micro-descending channel. Price currently hovers between two key levels: 🔺 Upside target: If bulls defend 36.50, next resistance sits around 38.00, matching the long-term upper channel. 🔻 Downside risk: If support breaks and price falls below 35.90/35.70, we may see a sharp move toward 35.00, where the larger structure would be retested. 📈 Momentum Outlook: EMA(15) > EMA(60) still shows medium-term bullish structure. ⚖️ Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice) 🟢 Bullish Bias if 36.50 holds with confirmation → Target: 38.00 🔴 Bearish Trigger if 35.90 breaks → Target: 35.00 🎯 Risk Management Key: Wait for price action around the decision zone. 💬 What’s your bias? Do you see a continuation or pullback? 📌 Follow for more XAGUSD, Forex & Commodity insights — 2–3 fresh charts weekly. #XAGUSD #Silver #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #Metals #EMA #BreakoutOrFakeout #PriceAction #tradingview
PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSD
by MJElahifx
Silver Holds Near 13-Year HighsSilver has surged past the $36.40 per ounce mark, reaching its highest level in 13 years after a clean breakout from a one-month consolidation phase spanning April and May 2025. The breakout targets the $37 level and aligns with a rising channel defined by higher lows since February 2024. If silver retraces below $36, potential support levels include $35.70, $35.30, and $34.70, which may offer a base for consolidation or a recharge before continuation of the broader uptrend. A sustained hold above $37.30 could open the path toward the $40 level, further validating a larger inverted head and shoulders pattern on the monthly chart. Are we on track to revisit 2011 highs in 2025? - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by FOREXcom
Platinum 10 years accumulation 2 000 USD Overview of Catalysts Here’s a detailed look at the top 10 key catalysts influencing platinum prices—and how they stack up on a 0–10 impact scale 🎯. 1. Supply Deficits (Mining Shortfalls) ⛏️ Trend: Persistent structural deficits—the largest since 2013—with a projected deficit of \~598 koz in 2024. Drivers: Declining output in South Africa and Russia, underinvestment, and aging mines. Impact Score: 10/10 – Direct upward pressure on price. 2. Industrial Demand & Green-Energy Growth 🏭 Trend: Industrial consumption is booming, with strong growth in sectors like wind turbines, glass, and electronics. Support: This broad demand fuels a large part of the supply deficit, and goes well beyond automotive use. Impact Score: 9/10 – Strong structural support. 3. Auto Catalyst Substitution (Pd → Pt) 🔄 Trend: Cost-effective substitution as platinum approaches price parity with palladium; significant volume was substituted in 2023, with more projected for 2024. Significance: Boosts automotive demand in an area previously dominated by palladium. Impact Score: 8/10. 4. Electric Vehicle Adoption (EVs) ⚡ Trend: EVs don’t use platinum in catalytic converters, which is a structural hit to demand as EV growth continues. Significance: Long-term downside pressure. Impact Score: 7/10. 5. Hydrogen Fuel Cell Demand 💧 Trend: Hydrogen vehicles use platinum, with projected demand growth toward 2030. Limitations: Growth remains slower than battery EVs. Impact Score: 6/10. 6. Recycling Constraints 🔄 Trend: Recycling, which provides about a quarter of supply, is falling due to fewer end-of-life vehicles and glass, reducing the supply buffer. Market Effect: This amplifies supply tightness. Impact Score: 6/10. 7. Chinese Emission Policies 🏭 Trend: China’s tightening emissions regulations are supporting demand, with end uses well protected against a slowdown. Importance: China is the largest platinum user; policy gives stability. Impact Score: 7/10. 8. Jewellery & Investment Trends 💍 Trend: Jewellery demand remains steady, and investment demand is rising. Note: This is a smaller demand segment, but it is supportive. Impact Score: 5/10. 9. Macroeconomic & Auto Production Outlook 📉 Trend: Weak global auto production is lowering platinum use, but recovery in auto could lift demand. Aftermath: Economic rebound could support prices. Impact Score:** 5/10. 10. Speculative Sentiment & Positioning 📈 Trend: Inventories are depleted; investors are waiting for a breakout. Tipping Point: A price surge could spark momentum-driven demand. Impact Score:** 4/10. | Rank | Catalyst | Score (/10) | | ---- | ---------------------------------- | ----------- | | 1 | Supply Deficit | 10 | | 2 | Industrial / Green-Energy Demand | 9 | | 3 | Auto Catalyst Pd → Pt Substitution | 8 | | 4 | EV Adoption (Negative Impact) | 7 | | 5 | Chinese Emission Policies | 7 | | 6 | Hydrogen Fuel Cell Growth | 6 | | 7 | Recycling Constraints | 6 | | 8 | Jewellery & Investment Demand | 5 | | 9 | Macro Slowdowns / Auto Production | 5 | | 10 | Speculative Positioning | 4 | 📌 Key Insights & Outlook * Tight supply and diversified demand—especially from green energy and industrial sectors—are the strongest bullish forces for platinum. * Auto-driven substitution offers further upside, while EV growth and recycling limitations act as constraints. * Chinese regulations add resilience; hydrogen offers potential if growth accelerates. * Jewellery and investment flows remain minor but supportive. * Much depends on auto sector recovery and investor psychology—momentum effects could amplify gains if technical levels break. 🔮 Final Take Platinum remains positioned for medium-term strength, thanks to severe supply tightness and robust non-auto demand drivers. For investors, key areas to watch are further deficits, industrial trends, and catalytic substitution. Be mindful of potential headwinds from EV adoption and macroeconomic softness, but the structural case remains compelling.
OANDA:XPTUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
35
XAGUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal off the 61.8% FibBased on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 36.87, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement. Our take profit is set at 36.37, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 36.87, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAGUSDShort
by Tradu
XAG/USD (Silver) Monthly Analysis – Major Resistance Test Incomi🔍 XAG/USD (Silver) Monthly Analysis – Major Resistance Test Incoming 💥🪙 📊 Overview: This monthly chart of XAG/USD (Silver vs. US Dollar) reveals a critical technical juncture, where price action is testing a multi-year resistance-turned-support zone around $36.27. The chart is structured with major zones of support and resistance, and it includes a potential bullish extension followed by a bearish correction scenario. 📌 Key Technical Levels: 🟧 Support Zone: $22.50 – $24.00 🟨 Resistance-Turned-Support Zone: $34.00 – $36.50 🟪 Major Resistance: $43.60 – $48.80 🔼 Bullish Scenario (Preferred Path): Current Price: ~$36.27 is at the upper edge of a crucial S/R flip zone. 📈 A breakout above this zone could propel silver toward the next resistance target at $43.60, with a potential full extension to $48.80. ✨ Momentum and historical breakout behavior from this region suggest strong buying interest if breached convincingly. 🔽 Bearish Scenario (Rejection Path): 🔄 If silver faces rejection at the $36.27 zone, it may retrace towards: 🟥 $28.31 minor support (intermediate target), 🔻 followed by a deeper correction to the $22.50–$24.00 support zone. 🔁 This would complete a classic retest of broken support, allowing accumulation before any further long-term rally. 🧠 Strategic Notes: ⚠️ Macro-driven: Silver is highly sensitive to inflation, Fed policy, and industrial demand. 📅 Long-term chart suggests cyclical behavior, with consolidation phases followed by aggressive trends. 📌 Traders should monitor weekly closes around $36.27 to confirm breakout or rejection. ✅ Conclusion: Silver is at a make-or-break zone 🧨. A breakout may lead to a multi-year high, but failure here opens the door for a healthy pullback. The next few candles will be decisive for long-term positioning. 📉 Watch for rejection wicks at resistance 📈 Monitor volume on breakout attempts 📊 Plan for both outcomes: breakout or retest
OANDA:XAGUSD
by MrStellanSight