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Xauusdanalysis

Price may pull back into the support zone.Key Elements of the Chart: Instrument: Gold (XAU) vs. US Dollar (USD) Timeframe: 1-hour (1h) Current Price: Approximately $3,389.855 Time of Screenshot: 3:40 AM on June 18, 2025 (UTC+3) Chart Structure and Notations: Price Zones Highlighted: Support Zone: Around $3,370 – $3,380 Target/Resistance Zone: Around $3,450 – $3,460 Price Labels: HH: Higher High HL: Higher Low These indicate an uptrend structure, with buyers in control. White Arrows: Indicate a potential bullish scenario: Price may pull back into the support zone. Then bounce and continue upward toward the $3,450 – $3,460 resistance area. A “V-shaped recovery” is suggested. Descending Wedge Breakout: There’s a small descending wedge pattern within the current move, often interpreted as a bullish continuation pattern. Summary: The chart suggests a bullish bias for gold, projecting a possible retracement to support (~$3,375) followed by a rebound toward resistance (~$3,455). The higher highs and higher lows reinforce this upward trend possibility.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
Gold Hits PRZ with RD-! Time for Bears to Take Over?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone ($3,445-$3,406) once again, forming an Ending Diagonal at the top of the structure. Although price reached the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , the presence of Regular Divergence (RD-) between the last two peaks could indicate the weakening of bullish momentum . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , we can clearly count a completed 5-wave structure , with an Ending Diagonal pattern . This supports the idea of a major correction starting soon . I expect Gold to attack the lower lines of Ending Diagonal , and if it breaks, it could drop to at least $3,333 . The Second Target could be the Support zone ($3,451-$3,120) . Do you think Gold will make a new All-Time High(ATH) again in this rally?! Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,463 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
1
Gold is weak, and there may be a low point yet to come!According to the current structure, gold is obviously in a weak position. Gold has failed to break through the high point of the previous wave after multiple rebounds during the day. 3400 has become a new round of pressure area; and gold has just accelerated its decline and fell below 3370. For the current trend, falling below 3370 will weaken the bullish sentiment to a certain extent and indicate that there is further room for decline, so I think gold should have a low point, and the low point we should first pay attention to is in the range of 3365-3355. So in terms of short-term trading, First, we can try to short gold with the short-term resistance area of 3395-3405; But if gold first retreats to the support area of 3365-3355, we can first choose to go long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Technical Outlook-17 June 2025Gold’s 4-hour chart shows a clear uptrend: price is making higher highs and higher lows, trading above key moving averages and an upward trendline Analyst ManiMarkets notes “a remarkably robust and sustained uptrend… printing higher highs and higher lows” since late 2024. The nearest major hurdle is around the $3,500 all-time high. The current structure remains bullish: we have not seen a sustained break of the uptrend, so the overall bias is bullish. In Smart-Money terms, recent price action shows no bearish break of structure on 4H (no BOS), and price is simply consolidating near highs – a bullish sign. Key zones to watch: Demand/Order Block (~$3,374–3,380): Around $3,375 is a swing-low and past demand area. It lines up with the 4H EMA50 and 1H EMA200, a classical support confluence. A strong bullish “order block” (heavy buying zone) sits here – a typical smart-money support area. Pivot Point (~$3,389): Using the classic pivot formula On the recent 4H range gives Pivot ≈ 3,389. This acts as a short-term balance point. Resistance (≈$3,400–3,405): Gold has multiple prior highs around $3,400–3,405 (e.g. the overnight high ~$3,405 and the last swing high ~$3,405) which have been repeatedly tested. Traders are watching a break above ~$3,405 for follow-through. (A recent idea noted gold “bounced off support” near $3,390 and is “looking for a clean sweep of the highs at 3405”.) Major Resistance ($3,500): The all-time peak around $3,500 is a big psychological barrier. We expect stiff supply if price approaches 3,500. Using these levels, the pivot-based support and resistance on the 4H chart are: Pivot Point: ~$3,389 R1: ~$3,406 (Pivot + 1×range) R2: ~$3,421 (Pivot + 2×range) R3: ~$3,437 (Pivot + 3×range) S1: ~$3,374 (Pivot – 1×range) S2: ~$3,357 (Pivot – 2×range) S3: ~$3,342 (Pivot – 3×range) (These are rough levels using the standard formula on the last 4H high/low.) Beyond numbers, price-action is key: we look for bullish patterns at support (e.g. bull-engulfing or pin-bar at ~$3,375–3,380) and cautious action near resistance. A brief “liquidity grab” happened at the $3,375 area recently (price wiggled below and then shot back up), which in Smart-Money jargon sweeps stops. That suggests larger players may have been absorbing buying interest. In short, the tape looks healthy for bulls unless $3,375 breaks decisively. A break of the $3,400–3,405 highs would be a bullish BOS (break of structure), targeting the next supply zone. Trade Setups (1H, Aligned with Bullish Bias) Below are three high-probability long setups on the 1-hour chart (in line with the 4H uptrend). Each is sized for a ~$10 stop from the entry zone. Buy near $3,374–3,380 (Demand Zone): Entry: $3,374–3,380 area (around Pivot S1 and the recent swing low). Direction: Buy. Stop: ~$3,364 (just below this zone, ~$10 lower). Targets: ~$3,402 (near Pivot R1/previous high), and then ~$3,420 (around next resistance). Reason: This zone is a confluence of support – it was a recent 4H low and aligns with EMAs (1H EMA200/4H EMA50) It acts like a “bull order block” where buyers stepped in A strong bounce from here keeps the bullish structure intact. Trigger: Look for a bullish reversal candle on 1H (e.g. an engulfing or pin-bar) forming near $3,375. This confirms rejection of lower prices and signals a buy setup. Chart: Example 1H gold chart. Blue shaded area marks the ~$3,374–3,380 buy zone (Pivot S1/EMA support). A bullish reversal candle here would trigger a long entry, targeting $3,402 then $3,420. Buy break-&-retest at ~$3,402–3,408: Entry: After a close above ~$3,405, look to buy on a pullback into $3,402–3,408 (just above the old high). Direction: Buy. Stop: ~$3,392 (about $10 below the entry zone). Targets: ~$3,430 (next swing high) and ~$3,450 (round level/upper channel). Reason: A decisive move above ~$3,405 would mark a BOS (break of the prior high), shifting structure higher. That resistance then becomes support on a retest. This is a classic “breakout retest” entry. (As noted, highs around 3,405 have been tested repeatedly, so breaking them signals strength.) Trigger: Wait for a 1H candlestick to close firmly above 3,405, then buy on the next pullback into the $3,402–3,408 range with a bullish candle or dip-buy signal. Buy on pullback to ~$3,385–3,390 (minor higher low): Entry: $3,385–3,390 if price dips but holds above the 4H pivot (~3,389). Direction: Buy. Stop: ~$3,375 (below the entry zone, about $10 down). Targets: ~$3,420 and ~$3,450 (same as above levels). Reason: If the market skips Setup 1 and 2, any 1H pullback that still holds above the pivot (creating a higher-low) is another opportunity. Buying this higher-low keeps us aligned with the 4H uptrend. Essentially, we allow price to re-test the pivot area as new demand. Trigger: A bullish reversal pattern on 1H in the $3,385–3,390 area (for example, a hammer or bullish engulfing) would mark a higher-low and signal a long entry. Each setup has a tight stop (~$10) just beyond the support zone, and logical profit targets at nearby resistance levels. All assume the 4H trend stays intact. If support fails (e.g. a clean break under $3,374), be ready to reassess. Takeaway: Gold’s 4H trend is bullish, so focus on buying dips into identified support zones (not shorting). Use tight stops beyond those zones and aim for the next resistance. In practice, that means looking to go long around ~$3,375–3,380 and ~$3,405 (on a clean breakout), riding any bullish continuation toward $3,430–$3,450, while managing risk at each step.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Gold is expected to hit 3410-3420 againBecause of the news that Iran hopes to ease the hostile relationship with Israel, gold fell sharply in the short term, then rebounded after touching 3383, and quickly recovered above 3390. From this point of view, the buying support below is strong, and the market sentiment is still high, which limits the downside of gold, and the support of 3390-3380 area is still valid. Although the bullish momentum of gold has weakened relatively due to the retracement in the short term, as long as gold remains above 3380, it still maintains a strong upward structure; and the retracement only exacerbates the short-term shock trend. Gold is still likely to maintain a shock upward structure and try to touch the 3410-3420 area again. Once gold breaks through 3420 strongly, it is expected to hit the area near 3450 again. So for short-term trading, I still hold a long position in gold, and there is still a certain profit now. I have to say that if gold can reach the 3410-3420 area as expected, our profits will increase significantly!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Buy GoldPrice is at a major Daily resistance,but becuz of the war between Israel and Iran, price may spike below to take out traders, then continue pushing upwards. However , all this is possible if this region hold support, if it does, I'd look to see a pattern been formed on the 1hr tf that indicates bullish momentum, if this doesn't happen, then there's a previous weekly resistant that price may fall in order to tap. But the most important thing is having a good psychology, that's what makes you a good trader, we can say so much about the market direction,but it should be noted that, things do change, anything can happen, so while waiting for the right setup or while anticipation for buys, only those with a strong and disciplined mindset will survive the chaos... Happy Trading 💹
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by scalpking2021
Range-bound Trading amid Geopolitical and Policy GamesGold Market Brief: Range Bound Trading Amid Geopolitical and Policy Games I. Core Drivers - Geopolitical Hedge Cooling: Iran's signal to restart nuclear talks has weakened risk aversion, triggering intraday gold pullbacks, though Middle East tensions remain a wild card. - Fed Policy Expectations: The Fed kept rates unchanged this week, with Powell's "data-dependent" stance fueling 60% odds of a September rate cut. Dovish signals may push gold above $3,400, while hawkish cues could drag it to $3,350. II. Key Technical Levels Supports: - $3,380: 4-hour MA30 + June 17 low ($3,375.5), bolstered by the ascending channel lower 轨 (lower trendline). - $3,350: Daily MA10 + June 12 congestion zone, a psychological pivot for policy betting. Resistances: - $3,400: Intraday high + 4-hour MA10 + descending trendline forming "triple resistance". - $3,450: June 13 high converging with weekly Fibonacci 61.8% retracement ($3,448). III. Short-term Outlook & Focus Points - Range-bound Trend: Gold likely to oscillate between $3,350-$3,450, with breakthroughs hinging on escalated geopolitics or stronger rate cut bets. - Catalyst Events: Monitor June 19 Fed meeting, June 21 CPI data, and Middle East developments as potential range breakers. XAU/USD Trading Strategy for Today buy@3370-3380 tp:3395-3405 sell@3395-3405 tp:3385-3375 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
Forward-looking trading, focus on 3380 support📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East 2. Iran nuclear talks 3. Retail sales data 📈 Market analysis: Gold prices are currently in a narrow range of fluctuations again, and the signal of Iran restarting nuclear negotiations has weakened risk aversion, triggering a correction in gold prices during the session, but tensions in the Middle East remain an uncertain factor. In the short term, we still need to focus on the breakthrough of the 3380 support line. If the 3380 support line is strong, we can still maintain a long trading idea in the short term and look to 3400. On the contrary, once it falls below, it is expected to look to the 3350 line. Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3400 on the upside. If the Asian and European sessions cannot effectively break through this short-term resistance, gold will continue to fluctuate. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3380-3370 TP 3390-3400-3450 SELL 3400-3390 TP 3380-3370-3350 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
Gold on the Rise! – Bullish Setup in Focus The chart shows a repeating consolidation‑then‑breakout pattern, with Gold forming ascending swing structures, consolidating in rectangles (green), then riding higher along a rising trendline (purple). Price has just bounced off that trendline again, signaling a possible new leg up—potentially targeting the upper range near $3,448–3,450. A clear breakout above that level could open the door toward $3,500+. 📍 Trading Plan 🎯 Entry Long on breakout above recent consolidation highs (~$3,440–3,448). Alternatively, buy the dip near the purple trendline (~$3,385–3,390), with confirmation (hammer candle, bounce). 🛑 Stop‑Loss For breakout: just below the top of the rectangle consolidation (~$3,389). For trendline entry: slightly below recent swing low (~$3,358–3,360). 🎯 Profit Targets Primary: upper rectangle level (~$3,448–3,450). Extension: historic all‑time high region (~$3,500) → next major zone. 🎥 Path Potential minor pullback toward trendline. Bounce establishes support. Surge toward top of range. Breakout with trend continuation to new highs. 📊 Trade Risk & Reward Target ~60–100 pts above entry, stop ~50 pts below → ideal Risk:Reward ≥ 1:1.2. 📌 Key Levels to Monitor Level Role $3,360 Swift dip support (green base line) $3,390–3,400 Trendline confluence zone $3,440–3,450 Breakout area & top of rectangle $3,500 Next major resistance/all‑time high 🧭 Market Context & Drivers Broad uptrend remains intact amid geopolitical tensions, especially the Israel–Iran situation, which continues to support safe-haven flows Markets are positioning ahead of Fed’s June 18 decision; dovish signals could fuel continuation toward new highs (~$3,500+) . Technical structure reflects bullish momentum—ascending wedge patterns with shallow dips and strong trendline bounces . ✅ Summary Bias: Bullish – uptrend intact. Strategy: Go long on dip near trendline or on breakout above $3,445. Stop‑Loss: Just below last swing low ($3,360). Targets: Near-term: $3,448–3,450 Medium-term: $3,500+
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Gold continues to fall. Will there be a lower point?Gold is still under pressure at the integer mark of 3400. During the US trading session, the lowest point reached around 3366. For the current trend, it fell below the short-term support area of ​​3375, so the market has the possibility of further downward movement to test the support of 3350. Today, Iran launched missiles again, but there was no threat to Israel at all, and all the missiles were intercepted. Under the current trend of further decline, the support position that needs to be paid attention to is 3350. At this position, you can try a long strategy, and the early support point of 3400 above has turned into an upward pressure point. Short-term operation strategy: Buy near 3350, stop loss 3340, profit range 3380-3390. Above, you need to pay attention to the important pressure level of 3390-3400. The market changes violently, and you can take profits at the right position. Avoid rapid changes in market conditions and losses.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
Gold trend analysis and operation ideasGold, the price has rebounded from the previous high of 3500 to 3120 in this round. After continuous rise, it fell under pressure at 3452 on Monday due to the decline of market risk aversion; the article emphasizes that there is still room for the weekly support MA5-3360 below, and it can be bearish; the actual rebound during the day was 3403 and then fell back to 3373, and now reported 3383, which is in line with expectations; The short structure of the 2H chart is obvious, the short-term resistance in the evening is 3386-3390, and the strong resistance is 3396; the short-term support is 3373, the strong support is 3360, and the break is expected to fall to 3340; Strategy 1: Sell near 3386, SL3400, TP3360; Hold after break;
FX:XAUUSDShort
by MonaBert
6/18 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone! Gold traded within a narrow range yesterday, and the buy signal shared during the session yielded profits. From a technical perspective, the market remains in a rebound phase, with key resistance around 3403. If the price breaks and holds above this level, there’s a good chance we’ll see a move toward the 3418–3428 zone today. During the Asian and European sessions, the trading bias should remain on the buy side, while in the U.S. session, it may be more favorable to shift toward short setups, mainly due to expectations surrounding the upcoming Fed interest rate decision—an outlook we discussed yesterday. Key intraday ranges to watch: Asian–European session: 3362–3413 If price reaches the 3425–3435 zone before the U.S. session, short opportunities may emerge As always, manage your positions carefully and adapt to key levels as price unfolds.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Falling below 3380,testing 3365,the low position remains bullish📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East 2. Iran nuclear talks 3. Retail sales data 📈 Market analysis: After rebounding to the 3400 line, gold encountered resistance and fell back to test the support level of 3380. Although it was very close to the point of 3405 we gave, I did not enter the trade because gold has been in the middle section in the short term and has not rebounded to the ideal point. There are too many long orders at high levels in gold. The international situation is so tense that gold is still slowly declining, but the geopolitical situation is still continuing. In addition, the retail sales data is bullish. Then, as the trading strategy given at noon, it is expected to test the short-term support of 3365-3355 below. I will consider going long in this range 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3365-3355 TP 3380-3390-3400 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
Gold hovers at high levels as the market awaits FOMCOn Tuesday (June 17), spot gold once reached above $3,400 during the Asian session, then fell slightly during the European session, and maintained a high-level volatile trend during the session. Earlier on Monday, gold recorded its largest single-day drop in a month (1.4%). After the sudden outbreak in the Middle East and US President Trump's warning to Tehran, the market's risk aversion demand heated up again, pushing gold prices to rebound in the Asian session. The two-day interest rate meeting of the Federal Reserve has also become a top priority for the market. Fundamentals Tensions in the Middle East have heated up again. According to Reuters, Israel's air strikes on Iran's state-run TV station, Iran's threats to launch the most violent missile attack in history, and the fire of three oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz have caused market concerns about the escalation of geopolitical conflicts. US President Trump left the G7 summit early and convened a national security meeting, which increased market risk aversion. At the same time, ETF holdings increased significantly. Data showed that ETFs increased their holdings of gold by 136,000 ounces on the previous trading day, and the net purchase volume has reached 6 million ounces this year, reflecting that funds still have strong confidence in the future of gold. SPDR Gold ETF even recorded a single-day net inflow of $285 million last Friday, the largest in weeks. In terms of the US macroeconomics, the market generally expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged this week, but the focus is on Powell's speech and changes in the dot plot. As expectations of further rate cuts in 2025 heat up, the US dollar is still under pressure close to a three-year low, and analysts believe that this will form a structural support for gold in the medium term. Technical aspects: The gold daily candlestick chart shows that the current trend is in a typical "rising wedge" pattern. Prices have been steadily rising along an upward trend line this year, while the upper side is suppressed by strong resistance in the 3450-3500 area. The current market is in a wait-and-see state. There are obvious signs of Bollinger Bands closing, with the upper Bollinger track at $3440.63, the middle Bollinger track at $3317.51, and the lower track has moved up to around $3194.38, reflecting that the market is brewing a breakthrough. The current price is basically running between the upper and middle Bollinger tracks, indicating that it is still in a bullish structure, but once it falls below the middle Bollinger track or the lower edge of the wedge (about $3,330), it may trigger accelerated downside risks. The RSI indicator remains at 55.79, neutral to strong, and has not entered the overbought area. Comprehensively judged, the analysis believes that the short-term trend is in consolidation, and be alert to the risk of technical reversal. If the support of $3,330 is lost, further downside space will be opened; on the upside, it needs to break through the pressure range of $3,450 before trying the previous high of $3,499.83. Market sentiment observation The current gold market sentiment is in a "highly sensitive" stage. On the one hand, risk aversion once pushed gold to rebound rapidly, reflecting that the market has a very high pricing sensitivity to geopolitical risks; on the other hand, traders are still uncertain about the outlook for the Fed's policy, and the expectation that interest rates will remain unchanged has been fully priced in, but there are large differences in the future path of interest rate cuts. The weak rebound of the US dollar shows that the market does not fully agree with the logic of "hawkish stability maintenance". This contradictory sentiment has caused gold to fluctuate at a high level and has not yet formed a trend breakthrough. The continued increase in ETF holdings provides substantial buying support for gold, which constitutes the optimistic support of the "underlying logic". In addition, the market is still waiting for the FOMC meeting to release new signals. This "uncertain outlook" constitutes a typical "cautious optimism" market psychology. Traders are more likely to adopt a wait-and-see strategy, further amplifying the importance of technical signals. Outlook for the future Bullish outlook: Analysts believe that if the geopolitical situation continues to heat up or the Federal Reserve releases dovish signals, gold is expected to break through the $3,450 resistance area and challenge the previous high of $3,499.83; by then, the momentum of ETF holdings and safe-haven inflows will jointly promote a new round of bullish market. Short-term outlook: Analysts believe that if the FOMC meeting results are hawkish or Powell sends a signal that he will not cut interest rates, coupled with the easing of risk aversion in the market, gold may fall back to the key support area of ​​$3,330. If it loses this position, it will form a trend reversal signal, with the target down to the lower Bollinger track of $3,194, or even lower. Overall, the analysis believes that gold is still running in an upward trend structure, but volatility is compressed, and the short-term direction needs to wait for clear signals from the Fed meeting. Traders are closely watching the changes in the Fed's monetary policy and geopolitical situation, while being alert to the risks of "false breakthroughs" and sharp pullbacks. FX:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD PYTH:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Analyst
XAU/USD 17 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high. Price is now trading within an established internal range. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? Gold surprised many traders with a sharp spike during the Asian session, only to reverse aggressively hours later. While headlines screamed “war” and panic, the price behavior told a different story—one of strategic distribution and smart money rotation... 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Context Geopolitical triggers: Rising tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran) and political assassinations triggered emotional buying across safe-haven assets like gold and oil. Institutional rotation: Major funds appear to be offloading gold positions to rebalance into equities (in correction) and oil (strong upside potential). Market narrative: News-induced FOMO drives retail into overbought zones, allowing larger players to exit at premium prices. 📈 Technical Overview (M30 Structure) Price Action: Gold tapped into major resistance at 3456–3458, showing an aggressive rejection shortly after. EMA Behavior: EMAs (13/34/89/200) are flattening across M15 and M30—early signs of a possible bearish crossover. Volume Drop: Declining volume after the spike suggests buyer exhaustion, reinforcing the idea of a bull trap. Fair Value Gap (FVG): A visible liquidity void remains below the 3390 area. Price often returns to fill these zones. 🎯 Trading Plan for Today ✅ Scenario A: Buy from Demand Zone (Liquidity Fill) Entry: 3383 – 3385 Stop Loss: 3377 Targets: 3386 → 3390 → 3394 → 3398 → 3402 → 3406 → 3410+ 📌 Best executed during London or NY session if price shows absorption or reversal confirmation. ❌ Scenario B: Sell from Resistance Only on Clear Rejection Entry: 3456 – 3458 Stop Loss: 3462 Targets: 3452 → 3448 → 3444 → 3440 → 3435 → 3430 ⚠️ Only enter shorts if clear bearish engulfing or pin-bar setup forms near resistance zone. 🧠 Market Psychology Retail FOMO is being exploited by larger players to exit risk positions. Liquidity engineering is likely in play—smart money drives price up on headlines, then exits into buyer momentum. Equity & Oil rotation signals a shift in institutional preference short-term. 📌 Final Thoughts This isn’t a time to chase breakouts. Gold is entering a volatile re-accumulation phase where news is being weaponized to induce emotional trading. The real edge lies in waiting for price to come to your level and only executing with confirmation. 🎯 Zone to Watch: 3383 – 3385 📉 Avoid chasing moves 📊 Respect your SL & manage risk like a pro — 🧭 Stay patient. The next big move will reward those with discipline and timing.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD bullish move possible.This chart represents a technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a concise breakdown of the key points: 🔹 Structure & Key Levels: Liquidity Sweep: Price initially swept the liquidity above the recent highs, triggering stop-losses of early sellers or weak buyers. Support Zone: Marked around the 3410–3415 range, where price has shown rejection and stability. Prime Zone for Long Position: Below support, around 3400–3405, this area is marked as an ideal entry for long trades based on strong bullish reactions in the past. 🔸 Possible Scenarios: Bullish Reaction from Support: Price may respect the current support zone and begin an upward move towards the resistance area around 3450. Deeper Pullback into Prime Zone: If support breaks, price could dip into the prime long entry zone before reversing upwards. ✅ Conclusion: The chart suggests a buy (long) setup is likely, especially from the support or prime zone, targeting the previous highs near 3450. Risk management would be important if the price breaks below 3390.96 (red zone), which could invalidate the long setup.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mia211wic9
XAUUSD – Swing Trade and Trend FollowingXAUUSD – Swing Trade and Trend Following Gold prices have been moving sideways, forming a consolidation range, and recently broke out to the upside last week. Currently, the price is pulling back to retest the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG). If it can bounce from the 3400 support level, the next target would be the Range Volatile Week High around 3500. However, if the FVG fails to hold, the price may drop to the next support levels at 3350 and 3300. These are critical supports that should not be broken, as they also align with the ascending trendline (Up Trend Line). That said, this move is seen as a pullback for a potential continuation to the upside. Strategy: Buy the dip Wait for a reversal candlestick at the key support zones. The bullish outlook would be invalidated if the price breaks below 3250.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10, and the short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high. Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add more positions. Stop loss 3384, target 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AgnesGreen
1
The latest gold operation strategyTechnically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to buy gold near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RodneyBridges
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunitiesGold prices are rising strongly. Technically, multiple supports are formed in various periodic charts. Short-term sideways trading in the hourly chart is a normal adjustment. If the support of 3420 is maintained, the upward trend will continue. If it falls below, we need to be alert to the risk of trend reversal. The current geopolitical risks and risk aversion demand provide medium- and long-term support for gold. The main strategy for the day should be to buy on dips, and focus on the key watershed of 3420. Long orders can be arranged when it falls back to this level. It is expected to accelerate upward after breaking through. Overall, the bullish trend of gold has not changed. Gold recommendation: long orders can be arranged when the price falls back to 3425-3420. Stop loss 3413. Target 3472. Exit notification if the market changes
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RodneyBridges