XAUUSD Bearish setup trade for coming weekThis chart outlines a bearish trading setup for gold (XAU/USD) after a strong rally toward resistance. Here's a breakdown of the setup and what to watch:
📉 Bearish Setup Explained
: Price recently tested the resistance at $3,370 and showed signs of rejection.
: A correction move is projected with targets set at:
: TP1: $3,300–$3,310 (first support/test zone)
: TP2: $3,250 (deeper support zone)
⚠️Breakout Condition:
The note says:
> The market will range in this area; if it breaks $3,300, we can consider more bearish move.
> This implies that $3,300 is a critical level — a close below this confirms further downside momentum.
🔍 Key Zones
: Resistance Zone: $3,370
: Sell TP1 Zone: $3,300–$3,310
: Key Breakdown Area: $3,300
: Sell TP2: $3,250
: Major Support Below: Around $3,200–$3,210
🔄 Range Possibility
> If the price doesn't break $3,300 decisively, expect sideways movement between $3,310–$3,330.
> Only a clear break and retest below $3,300 should trigger continuation toward $3,250 and potentially to $3,210–$3,200 support.
Xauusdanalysis
Will the gold market usher in a new trend?The Trump administration postponed the imposition of a 50% tariff on the European Union and extended the implementation date to July 9. This unexpected decision became the fuse for the violent market fluctuations. The European Union responded positively, and the US-EU trade negotiations ushered in a buffer period, but the global market has been affected, and the gold market has fallen into a dilemma of long and short interweaving.
On Tuesday, the overall gold price showed a downward trend. The price rose to $3,349.85 on the day, and the lowest price reached $3,285.21, closing at $3,300.4. After the opening of the US market, the price fluctuated upward in the short term, and the price ended in a big negative on the day. It is not suitable to be bearish at present before the price falls below the daily support.
From the daily level, the current daily level support is around $3,275, and the price may fluctuate upward above this position. At the same time, from the four-hour level, yesterday's price fell below the four-hour support of $3,320, and then continued to fall below the important support position of $3,300 on the daily line; and the short-term pressure is relatively large, so it is necessary to pay attention to the 3275-3320 range for the time being; this fluctuation range is also the middle area between the 5-day MA moving average and the 10MA moving average, and the price will continue after breaking through the range.
Operation strategy:
Scalping transactions are carried out in the fluctuation range of $3,290-3,315.
Quaid reminds all traders: You need to always pay attention to the direction of price trends, take profits in time, and avoid losses caused by unexpected events affecting price trends.
0526 Mastering Divergence in Gold: Daily vs. 4H Chart TacticsHello traders,
Check this Latest COT Report first:
Gold:
Net long positions increased by 7,741 contracts, with a net long increase of 7%. The current total net long positions stand at 118,615, nearing the upper limit of the past year (the maximum being 254,841), with a relative position of 47%. This indicates that long funds are returning to the market, enhancing expectations for continued increases in gold prices; at the same time, short sellers are actively retreating, and those with short-term bearish views are exiting.
From a technical perspective, gold also shows a clear bullish trend. I believe the support level for gold is at 3200, and if it successfully breaks through the important resistance level of 3400, there is a possibility of testing the 3450-3500 range within this week.
On weekly chart, check this first.
Price action all above weekly EMAS
On this 4H chart, GOLD is running the fifth wave on this current swing. It could be rejected from the daily pressure line down to sideways price action above the red buying zone 3260-3277, WHERE BUYER VERY POSSIBLE WAITING THE OPPORTUNITY TO OPEN LONG TRADE ON GOLD AGAIN!
For mid-term buyers, fibo ext 1.27-1.414 zone is very possible.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
Gold Falls as Expected — Bearish Structure HoldsAfter today’s market open, gold entered the 3346–3358 resistance zone, but failed to maintain upward momentum.
As expected from yesterday’s analysis, the bearish pattern remained intact, and price turned lower.
🔔 Congrats to those who followed the plan — another profitable move locked in!
🔍 Current Market Outlook:
✅ Trend remains bearish, technicals do not currently support a bullish case;
✅ Key support zones:
First support: near 3306
Major zone: 3290–3280
Extended support: around 3260
📌 We’ll continue to focus on short setups as long as the bearish structure holds.
⚠️ Key Reminders:
The market won’t fall in a straight line — watch for temporary rebounds;
During rebounds, pay attention to support/resistance flips;
Be ready to adjust your strategy if the trend shifts!
📍 Important resistance levels:
3346–3338
3324–3318
(This has been highlighted multiple times — don’t ignore it.)
✅ Stick to the plan, adapt to the trend, and manage risk like a pro — that’s the key to consistent profits.
GOLD/USD – Bearish Continuation or Support Reversal?
Description:
The price of Gold (XAU/USD) broke out of a falling wedge but failed to sustain the bullish momentum and dropped sharply. Currently, it's consolidating just above the key support zone around 3290. A trade setup is visible with a tight stop-loss above 3310 and a target near 3254 or lower. If the support breaks, we could see further downside continuation. However, strong buyer volume at this level could indicate a potential reversal. Keep an eye on volume and candlestick confirmation for direction.
XAUUSD:Long trading ideas
On the whole, the easing of the trade end further reduces risk aversion, and the geopolitical situation supports the normalization. It is expected that gold will maintain a volatile pattern in the short term, and bullish in the medium and long term.
Below the strong support near 3288, back to step into the market can be more than a single rebound. (Those who hold long orders can add long positions at this position), the upper short target is 3320-25, then 3360.
So the trading strategy :BUY@3288-94 TP@3320-25
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" →→→
EUR/CAD Bearish Flag Breakdown Toward Fibonacci SuppAnalysis
1. **Trend Breakdown:**
* The chart shows a clear **bearish structure** developing after a strong rally to the 1.58800 area (Fibonacci 1.618 extension level).
* Two upward trendlines were broken successively, confirming bearish momentum.
2. **Fibonacci Levels:**
* The retracement from 1.58800 down to the 0.382 level (1.54586) has held significant importance.
* Price action is respecting the **Fibonacci retracement zones**, with rejection near the 0.786 and 1.0 levels (1.56915 - 1.57109).
3. **Bearish Flag Pattern:**
* A small **bearish flag/pennant** formed after a strong drop, which has now broken downward.
* This confirms the **continuation of the bearish move**.
4. **Volume Confirmation:**
* Volume spikes during the initial sell-off and again on recent bearish candles suggest **strong selling interest**.
5. **Trade Setup (Marked on Chart):**
* **Entry:** Near 1.56443
* **Stop-Loss:** Around 1.57109 (just above recent highs)
* **Target:** Around 1.54848–1.54500 zone, aligning with prior demand and 0.382 Fib level
---
**Conclusion:**
The chart signals a high-probability **short setup**, backed by a break of structure, Fibonacci confluence, bearish flag breakdown, and volume. A continued decline toward the 1.54500–1.54800 region is likely, provided the price stays below 1.57100.
Gold retracement adjustment. Pay attention to the timing.Gold prices continued to fall today, hitting a low of $3,285, and are currently recovering briefly.
I think there is room for profit in the long strategy, but the hourly line is only a single positive rise. Overall, the probability of volatility correction is still high. Compared with the short-term resistance position of 3,320, the correction is still within the normal range.
From the 4-hour chart, the 60-day MA of $3,320 has a certain suppression position on the upward trend, followed by the 90-day MA of $3,285, which provides strong short-term support. Today's price drop also failed to break through this support position; so this week will continue to fluctuate sharply, and the large fluctuations up and down are to accumulate momentum for the next wave of rise. The basic operation strategy of the bulls has not changed, but just a halftime break.
Operation strategy:
Buy near $3,295, stop loss at $3,285, and the profit range is $3,320-3,330.
Analysis of gold trend at night and how to arrange it🗞News side:
1. Trump's view on Russia is not optimistic
2. Trump boasted in a post that his threat to impose tariffs on the EU worked
📈Technical aspects:
Gold does not seem to have a strong rebound. After touching 3305, the rebound momentum has weakened and it has been hovering between 3300-3290. Judging from the hourly chart, I think it is still in a state of correction. Then we may see another drop in the evening to accumulate momentum. This is why I chose to manually close the position near 3300 while waiting for the rebound just now. In the evening, bros can pay attention to the support line of 3280-3270 below to look for entry trading opportunities.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Economic data released. Start of a new trend?The international gold market suffered a sharp sell-off, and the spot gold price once fell below the key psychological mark of $3,300/ounce, reaching a low of $3,392.59, as the US dollar index rebounded from a low of more than a month and concerns about the international trade situation cooled down.
The gold price is currently in a short-term recovery phase, and the downside risk is temporarily lifted. In the long run, the expansion of the US fiscal deficit may support the gold price; but in the short term, according to the latest data released by the United States, it is conducive to the long operation of gold, and the gold price will rise briefly.
Gold is strong in the short term, but traders need to take profits in time to avoid unexpected events that cause trend changes.
Overall, the short-term trend of gold prices is still subject to the US dollar, interest rate expectations and economic data, and the competition for the $3,300 mark will become the key.
The US economic data is within the expected range, and gold has a short upward trend.
Operation strategy:
Buy near $3290, stop loss at $3280, profit range at $3320-3330.
3300 becomes the dividing line between long and short positions🗞News side:
1. The situation in the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again
2. Pay attention to the opening of US stocks today
📈Technical aspects:
Good morning, bros. Gold is currently testing the important support of 3300. Once it falls below 3300, it can be officially confirmed that the correction trend is coming. Today's opening of the U.S. stock market is critical. If the U.S. stock market opens higher, it is very likely to pull down gold prices. The stable operation suggestion for the day is to go long when it retreats to 3295-3290, and then rely on the upper side of the previous low point for protection, that is, look at the vicinity of 3325-3330. If it encounters resistance and pressure near 3330-3340, you can consider entering a short position and continue to be bearish. At present, the first focus below is the support of 3290-3280. If it continues to fall, it may touch the 3266 line.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold Enters PRZ and TRZ – Correction is Coming!?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in the previous Idea and reached the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and Resistance lines .
Gold is moving near the Resistance lines , Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of Main wave 3 , so Main wave 3 could have an extended structure .
I expect Gold to experience at least one correction after entering the PRZ and TRZ , the correction could continue to $3,329 . If the Support lines are broken, the next target could be the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) .
Note: If Gold touches $3,420, there is a possibility of further pumping and breaking the Resistance zone($3,435-$3,406).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD Update – 1H Confirmation/ 15 min Chart/ 3min Sell SetupGold failed to break above the Developing POC resistance and is now pulling back toward the demand zones marked on the chart.
At 3331.8, we entered a short position after the day's low was swept on the 3-minute timeframe, combined with our entry confirmations — resulting in a clean 1:3 R:R ✅
Now we’re waiting for price to reach the demand zones. If we get confirmation on lower timeframes, we’ll be looking to enter a long position.
🔔 The deeper price pulls into the lower demand zones, the better the long setups become, allowing us to consider increasing our risk from 1% to 3%, given a solid setup and momentum.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
XAUUSD Short Setup | Clean Rejection + 600+ Pip OpportunityGold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bearish momentum after a clear supply zone rejection. Price failed to hold above 3,310 and broke down sharply. A short position was executed near the 3,300 region with a target toward the 3,254–3,253 demand zone.
Key confluences:
Breakdown from a rising wedge pattern
Strong bearish volume candle confirmation
Clean retest and rejection of minor resistance at 3,300
Risk-reward ratio aligned with smart trade management
This move has already delivered over 600+ pips, showcasing the power of technical precision and discipline. Zones and price action remain valid unless a clear reversal structure forms above 3,310.
📉 Let the chart speak — analysis based on structure, not hype.
XAUUSD Elliott Wave . Wave (5) Targeting $3,700 After Pullback!The chart you’ve shared is a **2-hour Gold Spot (XAUUSD) analysis** using **Elliott Wave Theory**. Here's a clear breakdown of what’s happening:
---
### 🧠 **Technical Summary:**
* **Larger Structure:** The chart shows a 5-wave Elliott Wave sequence. Waves (1) to (4) have already completed.
* **Current Situation:** The market is likely in a subwave structure of wave (5), with a small 5-wave formation labeled in **red** within the final wave (5).
* **Trend Channel:** The price broke out of the descending channel formed between waves (3) and (4), signaling a bullish breakout.
* **Pullback Zone:** A minor correction is expected before the final push upward, targeting the **\$3,650–\$3,700** area.
---
### 🔍 **Key Observations:**
* 📉 **Corrective Wave Complete:** The drop from (3) to (4) formed a falling wedge/channel — typical in wave 4 corrections.
* 📈 **Impulse Wave Starting:** A new 5-wave upward impulse appears to be forming within wave (5).
* 🧱 **Demand Zone Highlighted:** A retracement into the support zone (\~\$3,250–\$3,270) is anticipated before a rally.
* 🎯 **Target Zone:** The final wave (5) is projected to hit between **\$3,650–\$3,700**, marked by the green target box.
---
### 📌 **Outlook:**
* ✅ **Bullish Bias:** Long-term wave structure favors more upside.
* ⚠️ **Short-term Dip Possible:** A drop toward the demand zone is expected before further rally.
* 🕰️ **Timing:** Expect the final wave (5) to complete by early June, based on current structure.
---
### ⚠️ **Disclaimer:**
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk properly and consult your own analysis or financial advisor before trading.
Let me know if you'd like a trading plan or want this chart translated into a Pine Script/EA.
gold on sell#XAUUSD price have reached the max decline base on past price movement and now we wait for breakout below the low to keep selling.
Below 3292.6 have bearish continuation which will target between 3285 for bullish reverse or a drop below 3281 will keep falling till 3270. SL 3306
The bullish range needs a long candle to confirm.
XAU/USD 27 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold plummeted? Here comes the latest analysis.Today, the gold market continued its downward trend. It failed to break through the key resistance level of $3,365 in the early stage, and then fell under pressure. It is a normal price adjustment for the Asian market to break through the previous support level. The current price fluctuates around the strong support of $3,300. Coupled with several news to be released in the United States, the price trend is full of uncertainty. In this period of time, I don’t think it is suitable for shorting.
From the 4-hour chart, gold has insufficient upward momentum. After failing to break through the upward resistance level for a long time, it began to decline.
In the market last week, the price has always fluctuated between $3,330 and $3,365. In the narrow range of fluctuations, once a new trend appears, whether it is upward or downward, it may accelerate the price fluctuation range in a very short time; this is an instant release after accumulating energy. This is why the Asian markets suddenly started to move downward.
From the current market situation, the bulls are under great pressure, which is completely different from the strong upward pattern last week. At present, the trend of gold is more dominated by weak fluctuations.
Based on the current trend, we still follow the strategy of high-altitude and low-volume trading in our operations.
SELLERS TAKE CONTROL – BUYERS WAITING BELOW 3300? XAUUSD TRADING PLAN – 27/05 | SELLERS TAKE CONTROL – BUYERS WAITING BELOW 3300?
Gold has sharply reversed after failing to break through the key 3364 – 3366 resistance zone. Price action now suggests a corrective structure is in play, potentially setting the stage for further downside before NFP week.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
The Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance with U.S. 10-year yields holding above 4.5%, placing short-term pressure on safe-haven assets like gold.
U.S.–EU Trade Tensions have temporarily eased after Trump postponed 50% tariffs on EU goods until July 9. However, this pause may be short-lived, keeping geopolitical risk priced into gold.
Key data this week will influence market sentiment:
• U.S. Core PCE (April) – critical for inflation outlook
• EU HICP (May) – will shape ECB rate cut expectations for June
Gold remains caught between macro-driven demand and technical exhaustion — creating opportunities for range-based trading.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1/H4)
Price broke below the rising trendline and is now trading under the EMA 13, 34, and 89, confirming a bearish shift in short-term momentum.
The 3284 – 3286 region aligns with a previous Fair Value Gap (FVG), EMA200 (H4), and structural support — a strong potential buy zone.
If this level fails, deeper pullback toward the 3247 – 3250 region (major FVG zone) becomes likely.
🔑 TRADE SETUP ZONES
🟢 PRIMARY BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3286 – 3284
Stop-Loss: 3280
Take-Profit: 3290 → 3294 → 3298 → 3302 → 3310 → 3320
🟢 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3298 – 3296
Stop-Loss: 3292
Take-Profit: 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3314 → 3320 → 3330
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3346 – 3348
Stop-Loss: 3350
Take-Profit: 3342 → 3338 → 3334 → 3330 → 3320 → 3310
🔴 STRONG SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3364 – 3366
Stop-Loss: 3370
Take-Profit: 3360 → 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3330
⚠️ STRATEGIC INSIGHTS
Selling on retracements below 3348 is favorable unless a strong breakout above 3366 occurs.
Buying is only valid near 3284 with confirmation of bullish structure (EMA support bounce or bullish engulfing pattern).
Avoid trading the mid-range between 3310–3330 unless a clear reversal setup forms — price action here remains noisy and indecisive.
Gold Price Analysis May 27The price increase at the end of the day was expected to push the price up today, but surprisingly, at the end of the Asian session and the beginning of the European session, gold fell sharply.
After the liquidity sweep to 3305.
The immediate support level that Gold is facing is 3303. This border is still used for trading in the European and American sessions. Pay attention to the daily support level around 3292.
3323 is an important resistance zone when it breaks out, you can SELL scalping here for a round and then the Asian session resistance around 3345 is considered a stable area for gold prices in the uptrend of the American session.
Note that breaking 3303 breaks the uptrend and the recovery will be weak, so consider TP for reasonable buy entries.
GOLD - it's breakout? What's next??#GOLD - perfect move as per our perveious idea regarding gold and now market just broke his current supporting/key level that was actually 3314-15
Keep close because if that is proper breakout then we can expect a further drop towards further downside areas.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse above 3314-15 on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely