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Xauusdanalysis

XAUUSD Loses Short-Term Support – Deeper Decline May FollowGold (XAUUSD) is showing clear signs of short-term weakness after losing a key support zone around 3,287 USD – which previously aligned with the rising trendline and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (3,295.20 USD) of the prior downward move. 1. Price Structure and Current Pattern: Price has formed a descending triangle and just broke below its lower boundary with strong bearish candles. Consecutive bearish candles with short lower wicks indicate strong selling pressure with little buying interest. After being rejected at 3,304.25 USD – the most recent swing high – price has dropped toward the 0.0% Fibonacci level at 3,280.57 USD. 2. Fibonacci and Key Price Zones: The 3,295.20 area (Fibo 0.618) has now become a strong resistance after a failed recovery attempt. The 3,280 – 3,275 zone is the next target for bears if no strong reversal appears in upcoming sessions. A break below 3,275.73 may open the path for further downside toward 3,268 – 3,260. 3. Trendlines and Candle Behavior: The short-term rising trendline (in red) has been broken alongside increasing sell volume. The upper descending trendline (in light blue) remains intact, confirming that the overall structure is still bearish. Suggested Trading Strategy: Sell on rallies: Prefer short entries around 3,290 – 3,293, with a stop loss above 3,296. Short-term target: Look for potential take-profit zones at 3,275 – 3,268. Avoid bottom fishing unless there’s a strong bullish reversal signal such as an engulfing or hammer candle backed by volume. Conclusion: Gold is under visible downside pressure below key technical resistance. If the price fails to hold above 3,280, the downtrend could extend further. Traders should remain cautious of weak pullbacks and look to enter in line with the dominant bearish trend.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
XAU/USD 09 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD 15Min – Bullish Reaction from Demand Zone | SMC AnalysisSmart Money Concept (SMC) Analysis Price has tapped into a clearly defined 4H Demand Zone (highlighted in green) with multiple rejections. Prior liquidity was swept below the 3288 region, trapping early sellers and grabbing institutional interest. This is a classic liquidity grab + demand zone confluence. 🔹 Entry: 3290 – Inside Demand Zone 🔹 SL: 3282 – Below Liquidity Sweep 🔹 TP: 3320 – Targeting Last Broken Structure (Break of Structure) 🧠 Smart Money Clues: Liquidity grab under the lows ✅ Clean rejection wick ✅ BOS (Break of Structure) above needed for confirmation Anticipating move back to 3320.57 (blue line) – previous SMC mitigation level 🟢 If price breaks above 3300 with strong volume, more upside is likely. #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #SMC #DemandZone #LiquidityGrab #TradingView #ForexSignals
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FrankFx14
Focus on the Fed meeting minutesFrom a technical perspective, the trend of gold is obviously weak. In the morning trading yesterday, the price of gold failed to continue the previous day's rise, and the rebound high kept moving down. After breaking the key support level during the US trading session, it accelerated downward, and the daily line closed with a big negative line, and the short-selling force had the upper hand. Today's closing situation is crucial. If it continues to close with a negative line, the short-term downward trend may be established. The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting will also bring new variables to the gold market. The policy direction may further affect the trend of gold prices. At present, the upper resistance is 3303-3308, and the lower support is 3284-3278. It is recommended to do more on the callback. Operation strategy: It is recommended to do more on the callback of 3280-3275, with a target of 3295-3307 and a stop loss of 3370.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DwightGrote
Buy Gold! The short-term bottom may have appeared!Gold continued to retreat yesterday and hit a recent low, reaching around 3287. Then gold gradually rebounded to above 3300. Relatively speaking, the rebound momentum was weak. It is expected that the long and short sides will fight fiercely around 3300. However, from the recent characteristics of gold operation, it can be seen that although the short position of gold is strong, it is difficult to continue in the short term, and I think the short-term decline of gold is basically in place, so at this stage, in terms of short-term trading, I do not advocate shorting gold directly; As gold did not continue to fall after reaching around 3287, on the contrary, it gradually rebounded to above 3300, which may strengthen the market's consensus on the short-term bottom, thereby attracting the favor of off-site funds; from the current gold structure, if gold can maintain above 3300-3295, it may be combined with the 3287 low to build a "W" double bottom structure, which is conducive to supporting the rebound of gold. However, as gold fell below 3300 again, the bearish trend is relatively strong, so we need to moderately lower our expectations for a gold rebound. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3315-3325 area, so we can temporarily look to this area for the rebound target. Therefore, in short-term trading, I do not advocate shorting gold directly, and you can first consider going long on gold in the 3300-3295 area, TP: 3310-3320-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Steffen
Gold Price Analysis July 9GOLD XAU/USD ANALYSIS – CONFIRMING THE CONTINUATION OF THE BEARISH WAVE Yesterday's D1 candle confirmed the downward momentum of gold when the selling pressure returned strongly below the liquidity candle wick. This shows that the selling pressure is still dominant and the downward momentum is likely to continue in today's session. 🔹 IMPORTANT RESISTANCE ZONE: 3297 The 3297 zone – which was a strong support in yesterday's session – has now turned into a resistance zone. This is a potential SELL zone for the day, especially if there is a confirmation signal from the sellers at this price zone. 🔹 CONFUSION RESISTANCE ZONE: 3310 The 3310 area is the confluence between the downtrend line and the resistance zone of the US session – which needs special attention in the SELL strategy. If the price approaches this zone, expect a reaction from the selling side to return. 🎯 SUGGESTED STRATEGY: SELL when price does not break through 3297 (confirm selling pressure at resistance) SELL DCA if price breaks down to 3276 Target: 3250 BUY only considered if price holds 3276 and has a bullish reaction 📌 Key Levels: Support: 3277 – 3250 Resistance: 3297 – 3310 – 3328 Important reaction zone: 3377 (if price rebounds)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, price failed to break above the minor resistance at $3,341, which led to a sharp sell-off into the Support Zone. The 50MA has now crossed below the 200MA, reinforcing the short-term bearish momentum. If the Support Zone fails to hold, we could see a move toward the HTF Support Zone, with downside targets at $3,241 and $3,208. Any short-term recovery may face resistance at $3,300–$3,328. For a more meaningful shift in sentiment, bulls must reclaim $3,328 to open the path back toward higher levels. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3,300 ‣ $3,313 ‣ $3,328 ‣ $3,341 Support: $3,267 ‣ $3,241 ‣ $3,208 🔎 Fundamental Focus Markets are positioning ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC Meeting Minutes, which could give insights into the Fed’s internal sentiment on rate cuts. ⚠️ Stay sharp — manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
A High-Probability Play Unfolding!🌟 GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – A High-Probability Play Unfolding! 🟡📉 Gold was riding a solid uptrend recently, showing strength across the board. But over the past few days, things have started to shift. We've seen a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside — signaling the start of a short-term bearish trend. 📍 What’s Happening Now? Gold is currently trading lower after the BOS, but the market is now approaching a critical phase... We’re expecting a retracement move to the upside — a temporary pullback that could trap early buyers (this is called inducement). This is where things get interesting! 🎯 What to Watch For: Once the retracement plays out, we’ll be watching closely for: 🔻 Bearish Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) 🔻 Supply Zone Order Blocks These areas could offer us high-probability sell entries aligned with the overall bearish momentum. 📉 The Target? We’ll be aiming for the previous swing low, where liquidity is likely resting — a classic price magnet in such setups. ⚠️ Be Patient. Let the Market Come to You. Wait for the retracement, let price fill the gaps, and only then look for confirmation to enter. Rushing in now means going against smart money flow. 🧠 DYOR – Do Your Own Research! This is a market roadmap, not a signal.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
No Bullish Confirmation – Targeting 3250 on XAU/USDIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that due to Monday’s daily Pin Bar, I closed my short trade on Gold around break-even and decided to wait for more confirmation. Unfortunately, that wasn't the best decision. The price failed to break above resistance for a bullish continuation and instead dropped sharply, closing the day exactly at the 3300 figure. At the time of writing, Gold is trading even lower at 3293, after briefly rebounding from the 3285 support zone—a level I’ve highlighted in the past. Moving forward, after the failed bullish continuation and yesterday’s bearish move, it’s clear that bears are back in control. A drop toward the 3250 zone is now on the table. Conclusion: I’m looking to sell rallies, with my invalidation zone set above 3340, aiming for a good risk-to-reward setup. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
13
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 9 | M15 Bearish Pullback After H4 OB Tap🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) – July 9 Analysis | H4 OB Tapped, M15 Still Bearish The market has just tapped into the H4 order block near 3280 (3288–3275) — a level we’ve been tracking closely. However, price action shows that the H4 pullback is still active and not yet complete. Yesterday, Gold respected the H4 supply zone (3342–3345) exactly as anticipated. Since then, price broke below the M15 low at 3296 , confirming that bearish momentum remains valid on the lower timeframe. 🔍 Structure Breakdown • H4: Pullback ongoing • H4 OB: 3288–3275 (just tapped) • M15: Broke below 3296 → Bearish trend continuation confirmed • Current M15 State: In pullback phase ⚠️ Key Consideration: While we are looking at bearish opportunities, keep in mind that the H4 OB (3288–3275) is a significant demand zone. If the market begins to reclaim structure and breaks the Lower High(H4 supply zone), this could signal resumption of the H4 uptrend . Until that happens, we remain cautiously short — but prepared to adapt. 📌 What We’re Watching Despite the H4 OB tap, M15 remains bearish until proven otherwise. So the focus stays on short opportunities — no longs unless structure shifts. 📍 Key M15 POI for Rejection: → 3322–3326 (Order Block) → If price pulls into this zone and gives M1 confirmation (ChoCh + micro BoS) → We’ll plan short setups aligned with current trend If this zone fails, or structure flips bullish, we’ll wait patiently for a potential revisit of the H4 supply zone (3342–3345) — which remains a valid short area for high-probability setups. 🧠 Summary: ✅ H4 OB (3288–3275) tapped ❌ No bullish reversal yet — M15 still bearish 🔍 Watching 3322–3326 for possible short 📉 Bias: Bearish until structure shifts But be flexible — if LH breaks, the game changes. 📖 Respect the structure. The chart doesn’t reverse because you want it to — It reverses when the market is done moving the other way. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartIsMirror
Follow up before the Fed minutesGold, the price fell from the historical high of 3500 to 3120 in the first round this year, and is now in the second round of downward cycle after rising to 3452. The mid-term top idea is maintained, and the operating target is 3120; after bottoming out and rebounding to 3345 on Monday, it did not continue on Tuesday, and fell to 3287 in a weak position; the daily chart recorded a real big Yin, and the K-line combination was short-term, and the bearish trend continued during the day, and attention was paid to the impact of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy minutes on Thursday morning; Opening at 3301, short-term resistance at 3308-3310 during the Asian session, strong resistance at 3315 and daily chart MA5-3320, the limit rebound is not more than here; short-term support at 3293, strong support at 3287, and the previous parallel low at 3247 is expected to be seen if it breaks;
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by VitoCamilla
Gold Wants to Go lowerSee my previous analysis for gold I described I will take the low and has taken already. now the daily candle shown good sell. today there are two possibilities. Either gold will have pullback or will go further in sell. I have given both possibilities in my analysis. For Pull Back: It may take the previous day low and then retraces back to 4 hour FVG or to the order block residing at 3324. For Further sell : It may pull back to 4 hour FVG and then goes back to take previous day low.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by srj_fxtrader
1
7/9: Failure to Break Above 3321 May Lead to a Drop Toward 3220Good morning, everyone! Yesterday, gold tested support and attempted a rebound but failed to break through resistance, followed by a second leg down that broke the support zone, invalidating the potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern and resulting in a drop below the 3300 level. On the daily (1D) chart, price has now broken below the MA60, signaling a further confirmation of the bearish structure. However, due to the sharp drop, a double bottom or multi-bottom structure is forming on the 30-minute chart, which may be building momentum for a potential test of the 3321 resistance zone. 📌 Key focus areas: If 3321 is broken and held, there is room for a short-term rebound to extend; If 3321 holds as resistance, the current rebound is likely a short-selling opportunity. Technically speaking, without the support of bullish news, if gold fails to reclaim and sustain above 3321, there is a strong chance of a further move lower—potentially down to 3220, where the weekly MA20 is located. A deeper decline could even test the 3200–3168 support zone. 📉 Therefore, the primary trading bias remains bearish, with sell-on-rebound as the preferred strategy until a stronger bullish signal emerges. Monitor the 3321 zone closely for direction confirmation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Will gold continue to rise if it accelerates its decline?Technically, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows that the short-term moving average diverges downward, and the K-line is under pressure, showing short-term fatigue, suggesting that there is still a need for a correction. The current long-short watershed is at the 3390 mark. If the gold price cannot effectively break through and stand above 3315, the short-term rebound can be regarded as a good opportunity to enter a short position. The 4-hour chart shows that the gold price has received support after touching 3287 and slowly repaired the decline, but it is still in a volatile pattern in the near future. Although the 3287 support is effective, the oscillation range has not been broken. The future direction needs to pay attention to the actual defense strength of the 3260 support level and the direction of the range break. The operation suggestion on Wednesday is to rebound high as the dominant strategy. The upper resistance area focuses on the 3315-3320 range, where short positions can be arranged. The downward targets are 3270 and the key support level 3260. If 3260 is effectively broken, it may open up a larger downward space.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by DonaldJohnson
Gold - Time to short XAUUSDIt may be difficult to have a bearish bias on gold, but the chart is saying sell! After a prolonged bull run, you can see how price got rejected at $3,500. Subsequent bullish moves became weaker and weaker, you may even see a H&S pattern but more importantly the latest weaker bounce seems to indicate that the local support at 3272 may soon break. If this plays out as I think, a nice trade will setup. I also took a quick look at the H1 chart and noted that we already have lower daily central pivots. Looking forward to see how PA in the next couple of days develops. This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Vista
XAUUSD 4H – Smart Money Concept (SMC) SetupPrice action on the 4H chart shows a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) at the 3,320 level, marking a shift from a bearish trend into potential bullish order flow. This CHoCH is supported by a strong break of internal structure followed by a pullback. 🧠 Smart Money Insight: CHoCH Zone (Break of Structure): Price broke the previous lower high, confirming possible bullish intent. POI (Point of Interest): A refined 4H demand zone sits between 3,280–3,310, aligning with a previous accumulation area. Price is currently approaching this zone with decreasing momentum (potential liquidity sweep below minor lows). Liquidity Grab: Several equal lows were formed before the POI — prime setup for a liquidity sweep before a bullish push. Refined Entry Zone: Based on candle wicks and order block imbalance. 🎯 Trade Idea: 🟢 Entry: Wait for bullish reaction or confirmation inside the POI zone (3,295–3,305) 🎯 Target Zones: TP1: 3,380 (reaction level) TP2: 3,420–3,440 (major supply zone + inefficiency) 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below 3,270 (invalidates demand zone and structure) 📈 Bias: Bullish unless POI fails 🔍 Confluences: ✅ 4H CHoCH Confirmed ✅ Price approaching refined demand zone ✅ Liquidity resting below recent lows ✅ Previous imbalance not yet filled ✅ Clean supply zone overhead (TP target) 💬 Conclusion: This is a clean SMC-based long setup. We are waiting for price to tap into demand and show bullish intent before entry. Strong probability of reversal into premium pricing zone if structure holds. 📍Drop a like if you caught this setup or save it to monitor the reaction!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FrankFx14
XAU/USD Analysis – Expecting Fibonacci Retracement to 0.618 I’m currently anticipating a short-term retracement in XAU/USD towards the 0.618 Fibonacci level around 3323, followed by a continuation of the bearish move targeting a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3272. 📌 Technical Confluence: The market has recently shown a strong bearish impulse, and the current price action appears to be forming a corrective retracement. The 0.618 retracement level aligns with a key resistance area around 3323, increasing the probability of a bearish reaction from this zone. There’s a visible FVG left unfilled near 3272, which may act as a price magnet. I’m also watching for a liquidity sweep above local highs, followed by bearish confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., 5min) to trigger a short entry. 📉 Trade Idea: Looking for a sell entry near 3323 after confirmation (liquidity grab, bearish structure shift, etc.) Target: 3272 FVG zone Stop Loss: Just above recent highs or liquidity zone, depending on intraday structure
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by The_Gold_Syndicate
The intraday low has already appeared, so go long on gold boldlyGold unexpectedly fell sharply to around 3287. To be honest, the short position is relatively strong. However, since gold fell below 3000, we can clearly see that gold has shown strong resistance to falling during the decline, and the volatility tends to converge around 3287, proving that the buying support below is strong; and as gold continues to retreat, the off-market wait-and-see funds will be more willing to go long on gold; and some short positions will be more willing to go long on gold after profit taking; In addition, although the short position is strong, it is difficult to continue in the short term. The intraday decline is basically in place. It is estimated that 3287 is the intraday low, so at this stage, it is inconvenient for us to continue to chase short gold. On the contrary, we can boldly go long on gold in the 3305-3295 area and look at the target area: 3320-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Steffen
7/8: Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern, Support at 3321–3312Good morning, everyone! Yesterday, gold broke below the 3321 support during the session, dropped to around 3296, then staged a strong rebound back toward the opening price—forming a classic deep V-shaped reversal and regaining support above the MA60 on the daily chart. The market remains in a consolidation phase between the MA20 and MA60 on the 1D chart, with no clear directional breakout yet. On the 30-minute chart, the previous head-and-shoulders top pattern has been completed with the recent decline. The current structure can be tentatively viewed as the formation of a head-and-shoulders bottom. If this bullish reversal pattern holds: The 3321 level must act as valid support during any pullback; deeper confirmation may come from 3312, which corresponds to the previous left shoulder low. Although this was partially driven by a data-related spike, most candle bodies remained around 3321—so 3321 is the primary support, and 3312 is the backup. If confirmed, the price may advance toward the 3360 target zone. If the pattern fails, watch for the development of a double bottom formation, with MA60 on the daily chart remaining a key support level. 📌 For today, focus on trading within the 3312–3352 range, using a buy-low/sell-high approach, and stay flexible in response to evolving chart patterns.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang