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Xauusdanalysis

GOLD – SMC ProTrading Breakdown Plan Next WEEK GOLD – SMC ProTrading Breakdown | Clinton Scalper | 4H Timeframe XAUUSD is currently displaying clear institutional order flow behavior after a deep liquidity sweep at the end of July. Here’s a full breakdown using advanced SMC (Smart Money Concepts) methodology: 🔍 1. Liquidity Sweep at the Low Price maintained a series of lower highs and bearish structure until it executed a classic liquidity grab between 3,270 – 3,290. This is a textbook move by Smart Money: sweep retail stop orders before initiating a reversal. This zone aligned with: ✅ Untapped Fair Value Gap (FVG) ✅ Reversal Order Block (OB) ✅ Fibo 0.236 of the mid-term bullish leg After the sweep, the market printed a micro CHoCH, indicating early signs of smart money accumulation. 🧠 2. CHoCH → BOS → Reaccumulation Structure CHoCH (Change of Character) marks the first break in the bearish microstructure – suggesting a possible shift. Then, price delivered a BOS (Break of Structure) around the 3,334 zone, confirming bullish intent. Buy-side is now: Positioned from a deep discount zone Mitigating key inefficiencies Targeting higher liquidity zones above current price Price is currently reacting to a previous supply OB around 3,362. 📐 3. Institutional Order Flow & Target Zones Now that price is in a key reaction zone, we prepare for two high-probability scenarios: 🅰️ Continuation Scenario (Reaccumulation) A retracement to the 3,317–3,311 zone (Fibo 0.5–0.618) could offer a premium re-entry This area is stacked with: FVG Order Block Equal lows liquidity 🔼 From there, potential targets include: 🎯 TP1: 3,371 – previous imbalance zone 🎯 TP2: 3,392 – minor liquidity cluster 🎯 TP3: 3,429 – premium OB and high-liquidity zone 🅱️ Distribution Scenario (Bearish Rejection) If price fails to hold bullish structure and forms a bearish CHoCH around 3,392–3,429 This would signal a distribution zone, and potential reversal back toward 3,290 support 🔂 4. Smart Money Flow Logic “Smart Money doesn’t follow price. They lead price to liquidity.” This chart reflects the complete Sweep → CHoCH → BOS → Mitigation → Expansion sequence. A classic SMC Pro model where: Liquidity is engineered and swept Structure is shifted Price returns to mitigate institutional entries Price expands into external liquidity 📌 Clinton Scalper Outlook: We don’t chase reversals – we track the footprints of capital. The real edge is understanding where smart money is positioned, and aligning with their narrative. 🔔 Stay tuned for continued updates using this precise and probability-driven Pro SMC framework.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SCALPER-Clinton
Nonfarm Pay Attention Zone✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD is recovering and increasing towards the resistance zone of yesterday's US session. The 3315 zone is considered a strategic zone for Nonfarm today. A sweep up and then collapse to the liquidity zone of 3250 will be scenario 1 for Nonfarm today. If this important price zone is broken, we will not implement SELL strategies but wait for retests to BUY. It is very possible that when breaking 3315, it will create a DOW wave with the continuation of wave 3 when breaking the peak of wave 1. 📉 Key Levels SELL trigger: Reject resistance 3315. Target 3250 BUY Trigger: Break out and retest resistance 3315 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
1
Waiting for non-farm payroll dataGold prices (XAU/USD) remained under pressure in Asian trading on Friday, trading below $3,300, not far from the January low reached earlier this week. Gold failed to extend its modest overnight rebound, primarily due to the strong US dollar. The Federal Reserve's latest hawkish tone has prompted a reassessment of the timeline for interest rate cuts, boosting demand for the US dollar and weighing on the non-interest-bearing asset, gold. The US dollar index rose for the seventh consecutive day, reaching a new high since late May, further weakening gold's appeal. Key to the dollar's momentum lies in the latest inflation data: the US PCE price index rose to 2.6% year-on-year in June, while the core index remained stable at 2.8%, exceeding market expectations and reinforcing the view of persistent inflation. "Both inflation data and GDP data suggest the US economy remains resilient, giving the Fed little reason to rush into easing," said a Fed observer. "This limits gold's near-term potential as a hedge." Meanwhile, US President Trump signed an executive order on Thursday imposing import tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on several trading partners, including Asian countries. Countries with trade deficits will face tariffs of at least 15%. This move has heightened global trade concerns, boosted market demand for safe-haven assets, and provided some support for gold. Despite this, gold prices remain mired in a downward trend. Investors are generally maintaining a wait-and-see approach, awaiting Friday's release of the US July non-farm payroll report. This data is seen as a key indicator of economic resilience and the interest rate outlook. Expectations suggest an increase of 110,000 jobs and a slight rise in the unemployment rate to 4.2%. The daily gold chart shows that prices are in a weak consolidation phase, capped by key resistance near $3,320. If gold prices fail to break through this area, there is a risk of further decline in the short term. Stronger resistance lies above $3,350. A breakout on strong volume could trigger a rebound towards the $3,380 area, potentially pushing the price above $3,400. As for downside support, the 100-day moving average provides initial support near $3,270. A break below this could trigger further downward pressure, targeting the $3,240 area, the June low. A further break below this level would target the psychologically important $3,200 level. In terms of indicators, the MACD death cross continues, with a shortening red bar, indicating weakening bearish momentum but no reversal. The RSI remains in neutral to weak territory, not clearly oversold. The current gold trend is characterized by a "structurally bearish, sentimentally supportive" pattern. Despite the trade war and heightened global risk aversion, the Federal Reserve's caution about inflation and the strong dollar are exerting significant pressure. If the July non-farm payroll data is strong, gold could test further technical support. Conversely, weak data or a pullback in the dollar could trigger a technical rebound. PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD
TVC:GOLD
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
Gold Price Consolidates in Symmetrical Triangle, Breakout Ahead?Gold shows a clear bearish trend within a well-defined downward channel. Price action continues to form lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing the ongoing downtrend. The recent rejection from $3,312 suggests that bulls are struggling to regain control, and the market remains pressured by selling momentum. The price is currently hovering near $3,287 just above horizontal support zone. 📉 Potential Scenarios - Bearish Continuation (Most Likely) - If price continues to stay below $3,300 and breaks below $3,281, it may aim for $3,261 and $3,249. - A close below $3,281 would confirm further bearish pressure and signal downside continuation toward the $3,240s range. - Short-Term Bullish Retracement - If price holds above $3,281 and breaks above $3,300–$3,312, a relief rally may occur at first resistance: $3,306 and second resistance: $3,312. - However, unless gold breaks above $3,332 (previous swing high), this would still be considered a bear market rally. - Range-bound Movement - A third scenario is sideways price action between $3,281 and $3,312, where neither bulls nor bears take control immediately. This would represent market indecision or awaiting external catalysts (e.g., economic data, Fed policy). 🔍 Trend Outlook - Short-Term Trend: Bearish - Medium-Term Trend: Bearish, unless price breaks and sustains above $3,312 - Long-Term Trend: Neutral-to-bullish, as long as price holds above the macro support zone near $3,240 1D Chart Long Term Possible Scenario The price is currently trading around $3,285, sitting just above the triangle’s ascending trendline support and within a key horizontal demand zone around $3,250–$3,300, which has held multiple times in the past. If bulls manage to push the price above $3,360–$3,400, it could confirm a breakout and open the door toward the next major resistance at $3,450. However, if price fails to hold above the current ascending trendline, a breakdown could retest the base support near $3,248 or even lower toward $3,150 Gold is currently in a neutral consolidation phase within a symmetrical triangle, with both bullish and bearish breakout scenarios possible. The breakout direction from this pattern—expected in the coming weeks, will likely set the tone for gold's medium-term trend. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
XAUUSD prices current scenario This chart presents a range-bound price action within an ascending channel and offers two potential breakout trade opportunities depending on price direction. 🔍 Chart Summary: > Current Price: Around 3326-3328 > Pattern: Ascending channel > Bias: Neutral (waiting for breakout) 📊 Channel Analysis: > Price is moving inside an ascending channel, marked by two parallel trendlines (support and resistance). > This suggests gradual bullish pressure, but the price is still within a consolidation/ranging structure. > Buyers and sellers are currently indecisive, waiting for a clear breakout direction. 🧠 Trade Scenarios: ✅ Buy Setup: : Condition: Breakout above the upper channel resistance : Confirmation: Break and close above channel, ideally with strong bullish candles and volume : Target: 3370 (marked as TP1 for buy trade) > Reasoning: Breakout confirms buyer dominance and momentum continuation ❌ Sell Setup: : Condition: Breakdown below the lower channel support : Confirmation: Break and close below the channel with a bearish engulfing or volume spike : Target: 3300 (marked as TP for sell trade) > Reasoning: Break below structure indicates loss of buyer control and return of bearish trend ⚠️ Key Notes: : The ascending channel suggests short-term bullish strength, but no strong trend has been confirmed yet. : Avoid entering within the channel—this is a no-trade zone due to market indecision. : Wait for confirmation of breakout/breakdown before entering trades. ✅ Conclusion: > The price is currently in a rising consolidation channel. > Breakout above = buy opportunity toward 3370 > Breakdown below = sell opportunity toward 3300 This is a classic wait-for-breakout setup—ideal for breakout traders looking for defined risk and reward zones.
TVC:GOLD
by Ahmad_Fxbeast
2
XAUUSD 1H AnalysisPrice is consolidating between PD High and PD Low after a recovery from the recent drop. No clear direction yet as market is ranging. Key Levels: PD High – 3315: Acting as resistance PD Low – 3267: Acting as support Current Price – 3290 Trade Ideas: Sell if price rejects 3305 again, targeting 3265 Buy only on breakout and retest above 3305 Avoid trading inside 3275–3295 unless a clean setup forms Bias: Neutral for now. Let price come to the edges and show a clear reaction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by srj_fxtrader
The US dollar is strong. Be wary of gold.The US dollar index rose, now above 100, before retreating slightly and fluctuating slightly, reaching 100 for the first time in two months. After a sharp drop to around 3270 on Wednesday, gold rebounded sharply today. With the US dollar breaking through 100 and the USD/JPY pair breaking through 150, gold is now struggling to maintain its position. Thus, Quaid believes it's not appropriate to be overly bullish on gold for now. A significant decline is likely. The 4-hour chart shows that the upper moving average resistance is currently around 3310-3315. If it breaks through 3315, it could potentially move towards 3325. Conversely, if it fails to break through 3315 today, it could continue to consolidate in the 3315-3285 range. Waiting for new data to guide its trend.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, and gold is still rising!The latest news indicates that Trump has announced a 50% tariff on Brazilian products and a 25% tariff on Indian products, and has firmly stated that the tariffs will take effect on August 1st, with no further grace period. These positive factors will also support a rebound in gold. As for tomorrow's big non-farm payrolls, considering that both the previous two times were negative and contrary to the ADP, it is very likely to be bullish for gold, which may help boost a steady rebound in gold, so there is no need to worry if you are stuck with gold. Nothing rises forever, and nothing falls forever. Last week, the market rose in the first half, then fell in the second half. With the first half of this week's decline, the daily chart has already fallen to near the 100-day moving average. Be wary of a rebound in the second half. Gold is bearish today, but don't chase shorts. Focus on the 3300 resistance level. If it breaks above and stabilizes, expect a continued rebound to 3330-3345! A real-time strategy is like a beacon guiding your investment journey. The market will never disappoint those who persevere and explore wisely. FX:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold staged a minor recovery overnight after bouncing from the 3,267 Support Zone, and is now trading around 3,305. Price remains below both the 50MA and 200MA, which continue to slope downward—confirming short-term bearish structure. This current move is still corrective unless bulls manage to reclaim the 3,309–3,334 resistance zone. A clean break and hold above 3,334 would be the first sign of strength, opening up potential retests of 3,348 and 3,362. Until then, any rallies into the 3,309–3,334 zone should be viewed with caution. If the bounce loses steam, watch for a retest of 3,289 - 3,267. A break below that would expose the 3,241 and 3,208 levels, with the HTF Support Zone (3,241–3,208) acting as a broader downside cushion. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ 3,309 ‣ 3,334 ‣ 3,348 ‣ 3,362 Support: ‣ 3,289 ‣ 3,267 ‣ 3,241 ‣ 3,208 🔍 Fundamental Focus – Thursday, July 31 Big day for data. 🟥 Core PCE, Employment Cost Index, and Unemployment Claims — all critical for Fed outlook and could move gold sharply. ⚠️ Volatility expected around 2:30pm. Stay nimble and manage risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
XAUUSD Analysis : Channel Break, Demand Zone + SR - Interchange"High-Probability Zone Reaction & SR Flip Confirmation" Gold (XAUUSD) is currently reacting from a significant support zone after completing a bearish breakout from a well-established ascending channel. The market structure indicates both threat and opportunity depending on how price behaves around key levels ahead. 🔍 Structure Breakdown & Price Behavior: 🔹 1. Rising Channel Violation Over the past few weeks, price was comfortably moving inside a well-respected ascending channel, making higher highs and higher lows. Recently, however, price broke below the lower boundary, which is often a bearish signal—indicating a possible trend reversal or a deeper correction phase. Such breakdowns suggest buyers are losing control, and bearish sentiment is gaining strength. 🔹 2. Supply Zone Reaction & Drop Before the breakout, we observed a sharp rejection from a high point, triggering a sell-off. The price completed its move into a previously defined supply zone, resulting in a strong bearish impulsive leg that pushed it outside the channel. This move shows clear institutional distribution—where large sellers unloaded positions around that zone. 📍 Key Zone Focus: 🟩 Previous Reversal / Demand Zone (Green Box) Price is now sitting in a historically strong demand zone, which acted as a major reversal point in the past. This area is marked as the first zone of interest where buyers might step back in to defend. The green box represents a liquidity pocket where institutions previously accumulated positions—hence it’s a strong bounce candidate. 🟦 SR Interchange Zone (Blue Box) The next major level above current price is the SR Interchange zone, around 3,320–3,340. This level was previously broken and now acts as resistance. It's crucial because it represents the battle zone where the market will decide whether to continue bearish or shift back bullish. 🧠 Market Psychology & Order Flow Insight: The recent aggressive selling pressure from the highs, followed by a bounce from the demand zone, shows a shift from euphoria to fear. Sellers are active at supply, while buyers are attempting to defend the previous demand. The market is currently in decision mode—and the SR flip zone (3,320–3,340) will be the judge. A break and retest above this level signals strength and potential for a trend resumption. A failure to reclaim it would confirm bearish dominance and open doors for deeper targets. 🔄 Possible Scenarios Ahead: 📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Rejection & Breakout: If buyers successfully hold the 3,280–3,260 demand zone and push price above the SR Interchange zone, we can expect: 📍 Target 1: 3,360 (mid-term resistance) 📍 Target 2: 3,400–3,420 (previous high & upper trendline) This would confirm a fakeout from the channel and a bullish continuation pattern. 📉 Scenario 2 – Failure at Resistance & Drop Continuation: If price fails to reclaim the interchange zone, expect a retest of the green demand, followed by a potential drop toward: 📍 3,260 – local support 📍 3,240 – major support (unfilled demand below) 📍 3,220–3,200 – ultimate downside target This would solidify a bearish market structure, confirming the sellers are in control. 🧭 Key Levels To Watch: Level Type Price Range Significance Supply Zone ~3,400–3,420 Major institutional selling area SR Interchange (Blue) ~3,320–3,340 Critical resistance / flip zone Current Price ~3,297 Watching reaction for momentum shift Demand Zone (Green) ~3,280–3,260 Key support / bounce zone Major Demand Pending ~3,240–3,220 Next support level if drop continues ✅ Conclusion: Gold is at a critical inflection point. The recent bearish breakout signals weakness, but the current support zone may provide a short-term bullish setup if buyers defend it effectively. A successful reclaim of the SR flip zone will shift sentiment bullish again. Otherwise, a deeper correction is likely. This setup is ideal for both swing and intraday traders—look for confirmation signals at the current support and SR zone before executing trades.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Short selling remains the main themeGold hit a low of around 3267 yesterday and fluctuated until closing at 3274. Gold fluctuated upward at the opening today. Currently, gold is fluctuating around yesterday's rebound point of 3305. This is the resistance we need to pay attention to in the short term. From the 4H analysis, today's short-term resistance is around 3305-3315. If gold wants to rise, it needs to stabilize above 3315. Focus on the 3335 first-line pressure, and rebound to the 3305-3315 resistance area during the day. You can consider shorting and follow the trend to see the decline unchanged, looking towards 3290-3280. Rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude participation. For the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HuntingWolves
XAUUSD H2 | Downside Target 3270Gold (XAUUSD) recently rejected from a key resistance zone around 3300, showing strong bearish momentum on the 2H timeframe. 💡 Setup Idea: • Price broke support → Retest as new resistance ✅ • Clean imbalance left behind → Fills expected 📉 • Target: 3270 zone (300 pips move) 🎯 • Risk-Reward potential is solid for intraday/swing entries. Trade Plan: If price holds below 3300, we expect continuation toward the 3270 zone. This area also aligns with previous structure and liquidity grab. 🕐 Timeframe: 2H 📌 Resistance: 3300 🎯 Target: 3270 📍 RR: 1:2+ #XAUUSD #GoldSetup #PriceAction #SmartMoney #FXTrading #TradingView #ForYou
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Liquidity_Gold_FX
4
GOLD Breakdown Setup | Clean Sell Targets Ahead!XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis – 2H Timeframe After a clear rejection from higher levels, Gold has pulled back to retest the broken support zone around 3340–3350, which now acts as a resistance. If the price sustains below this zone, we can expect a smooth move down toward clean liquidity areas below. This is a textbook bearish continuation setup. 💥 🔻 Trade Idea – Short Setup: • Sell Below: 3,340 • Target 1: 3,300 • Target 2: 3,280 • Stop Loss: 3,355 (above resistance zone) 🧠 Confluences: • Bearish market structure • Support zone retest • Trend continuation • High-impact USD news ahead (watch for volatility) 📅 Key Dates: July 30 – Aug 1 ⚡ NY session could trigger the move!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Liquidity_Gold_FX
4
Will Upcoming Data Determine the Next Gold's Direction?Macro approach: - Gold retreated this week, reversing early gains to trade near four-week lows amid renewed US dollar strength and caution ahead of the Fed's policy decision. - The retreat was mainly pressured by stronger-than-expected US economic data and a tentative revival in risk appetite, offsetting pockets of safe-haven demand. - Key drivers included robust US GDP growth for 2Q, a bounce in consumer confidence, and the Fed's steady rates with a more hawkish tone, suggesting cuts may be further out. - Meanwhile, recent US-EU and US-China trade deals eased some global uncertainty, damping gold's appeal as a hedge.  - Market participants also eyed the labor market's continued cooling, but resilient consumer spending further buoyed the dollar. - Gold may remain volatile, with potential upside if upcoming US PCE inflation and NFP reports disappoint expectations. Any escalation in trade tensions or signals of Fed policy easing could renew support for gold prices. Technical approach: - XAUUSD fluctuated within the range of 3285-3560, which is below the broken ascending trendline. The price between the two EMAs awaits an apparent breakout to determine the next trend. - If XAUUSD breaks below the support at 3273, confluence with EMA78, the price may plunge to retest the following support at 3167. - On the contrary, remaining above the support at 3273 may lead XAUUSD to retest the resistance at around 3560. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by DatTong
2
XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis – 1H Chart | July 31, 20251. Fakeout & Rejection from Supply Price faced sharp rejection near the 3,332 resistance. The strong red candle indicates aggressive selling and liquidity grab. 2. Retest of Broken Demand Zone Gold is now retesting the **3,298–3,305** yellow zone, which previously acted as demand but may now flip to resistance (supply). 3. Bearish Market Structure The price formed a **lower high and lower low** pattern — a clear sign of downtrend resumption. Current bounce looks corrective. 4. Projection: Potential Drop Ahead As per the drawn path, if price fails to reclaim above 3,305, a likely drop toward 3,282, then 3,268 is expected. 5. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 3,305 → 3,332 Support: 3,282 → 3,268 → 3,246 Bearish bias remains valid below 3,305.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheWallstreetCapital
1
Gold Faces Strong Rejection Below $3,365 – Bearish Wave Ahead?Gold is currently trading around $3,359, showing signs of exhaustion after climbing from the $3,248 low. The chart illustrates a textbook scenario of channel rejection after testing the upper boundary of the descending wedge and failing to break above the $3,365–$3,392 resistance zone. Price is now hovering just below the diagonal black trendline, indicating a potential lower high formation and setting up for another bearish wave. 📌 Key Technical Highlights Resistance Zone: $3,365–$3,392 This area marks the confluence of the black long-term trendline, the top of the descending purple channel, and the previous high at $3,392. Price attempted a "Possible Retest" as annotated on the chart and is now starting to pull back—showing signs of bearish rejection. Bearish Scenario (Blue Arrows): Multiple downward arrows show likely bearish paths if the current resistance holds. Key short-term targets: $3,337, $3,320, $3,303, Strong support at $3,293–$3,248 Further downside may test extension levels toward $3,220–$3,200 by early August if momentum builds. ⚠️ Bearish Confirmation Criteria Failure to close above $3,365 (black trendline) Breakdown below $3,337 followed by $3,320 Strong selling pressure supported by fundamentals (e.g. USD strength, Fed hawkish stance) ✅ Invalidation / Bullish Outlook A decisive breakout and close above $3,392.73 would invalidate the bearish structure. In that case, targets would shift toward: $3,412, $3,434, $3,490 (long-term trendline intersection) However, today's U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) release adds a layer of volatility and potential trend disruption, making this a high-risk trading day. 📊 CPI News Impact – What to Watch High CPI (Stronger than forecast): - Increases expectations of further Fed tightening → strengthens USD → bearish for gold - Likely scenario: sharp drop toward $3,337 → $3,320 → $3,293 Low CPI (Weaker than forecast): - Signals disinflation → weakens USD → bullish for gold - Possible breakout above $3,365 → retest of $3,392 → if broken, target $3,412 and $3,434 Neutral or as expected CPI: - Likely leads to whipsaw — fakeout on both sides - Caution advised — wait for candle close confirmations post-news Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
Gold Price Update – Testing Key ResistanceGold is currently trading around 3367, showing strong bullish momentum as it continues to form higher lows, which indicates an ongoing uptrend. The market structure is developing inside a rising wedge pattern, with the price consistently respecting both the ascending support and resistance lines. Gold is now testing a key resistance zone between 3376 and 3450, an area that previously acted as a major supply zone and caused sharp rejections. A successful breakout and close above 3450 will likely confirm a bullish continuation and may open the door for a rally toward 3500 and possibly 3580. However, if gold fails to break this level, it could retrace back to the 3300 or 3250 support zones, especially if a rejection candle forms in the daily timeframe. 📊 Key Technical Highlights: - Price has approached the upper resistance boundary of the wedge. - Daily candle is bullish, indicating strong buying momentum. - However, unless price closes above 3,376–3,450, there’s still a risk of rejection from the top channel and a pullback toward 3,300–3,250. 🔑 Key levels to watch: - Gold is currently trading around $3,367, just below a crucial horizontal resistance at $3,376 - A strong breakout above $3,376, and especially above $3,450, could open the door for further bullish movement toward the $3,500–$3,600 range, following the upper trendline of the ascending channel. - On the downside, if price fails to hold the higher low at $3,252, a drop toward $3,200 or even $3,100 is possible aligning with the downward red trendline. - The structure remains bullish overall, as price is still making higher lows and staying within the rising channel 📊 Weekly Gold Chart Analysis Gold is currently trading around $3,368, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on the weekly timeframe. This pattern typically indicates a period of consolidation before a potential breakout in either direction. The price is getting squeezed between lower highs and higher lows, which is a sign of decreasing volatility and approaching breakout. 🔑 Key Technical Insights: - ✅ Current Structure: Price has been consolidating within a triangle since April 2025 after a strong upward move. It is now near the apex of the triangle, suggesting a breakout is imminent—most likely in the next 1–2 weeks. 🔼 Bullish Breakout: - If gold breaks above the triangle resistance (~$3,385–$3,393), it could trigger a sharp rally. - Upside targets post-breakout: $3,450, $3,500, $3,600+ (if momentum continues) 🔽 Bearish Breakdown: - A break below the triangle support (~$3,335–$3,325) may lead to a deeper correction. - Downside targets post-breakdown: $3,285, $3,200 - Possibly $3,100–$3,050 if bearish sentiment intensifies 📉 Volume Drop: As typical with triangles, volume has likely decreased, signaling indecision. Once volume returns, it will likely confirm the breakout direction. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
Gold Awaits Fed Rate Decision – Key Levels & Volatility AheadGold is currently trading near $3,332, showing a minor recovery after recent downward momentum. The price action on the 1-hour chart highlights a short-term ascending structure, which often acts as a corrective move rather than a strong bullish trend. The market previously saw significant selling pressure from above $3,355–$3,360, creating a short-term supply zone. Unless the price breaks and holds above this zone, the overall momentum remains bearish. The chart also shows a projected price path where gold could push slightly higher toward $3,355, meet resistance, and potentially reverse downward again. Key support lies at $3,320, and if this breaks, we could see gold testing $3,290–$3,280 levels, aligning with the black trend line support. However, if bulls manage to break above $3,360, it would signal potential upside continuation toward $3,380–$3,400. Key Points - Key Resistance Levels: $3,355 and $3,360 (critical supply zone). - Key Support Levels: $3,320 (short-term), followed by $3,290–$3,280 (major trendline support). - Expected Short-Term Move: Possible push toward $3,355 → rejection → decline back toward $3,320 and possibly $3,290. Bullish Breakout Scenario: A strong close above $3,360 could push price toward $3,380–$3,400. Overall Bias: Bearish while trading below $3,360. 4hr Chart Price remains under pressure below the descending trendline. A small pullback toward $3,345–$3,350 is possible, but as long as price stays under this resistance, the bias remains bearish with potential downside targets around $3,300–$3,280. Key Levels: - Resistance: $3,350 → $3,381 → $3,394 - Support: $3,324 → $3,281 → $3,254 Today’s FOMC interest rate decision is a key driver for Gold. Here’s the quick analysis: - If Fed Hikes Rates or Maintains Hawkish Tone: - Strong USD likely → Gold could face more selling pressure. - Key support zones: $3,324 – $3,300, then $3,281 and $3,254. - If Fed Pauses or Turns Dovish: - Dollar weakens → Gold may bounce toward resistance zones. - Upside levels: $3,355 – $3,360 and higher toward $3,381 – $3,394 (Fib levels). Expect high volatility; $3,300 is a critical support to watch. A dovish Fed may give Gold short-term relief, but a hawkish stance could accelerate the downtrend. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
Gold Price Update – Bearish Flag Signals Possible Drop AheadGold is currently trading around $3,324, showing consolidation after a recent decline from the $3,345 region. The chart shows a bearish flag pattern forming after the sharp drop, indicating potential continuation of the downtrend. If gold fails to break above this region, sellers may push the price lower towards $3,301 and possibly $3,275. The descending trend line adds further bearish pressure, limiting upside momentum unless gold decisively breaks and holds above $3,345. Overall, gold remains under short-term bearish sentiment, with the focus on support retests. Any bullish momentum will only be confirmed if the price closes above the flag and trendline resistance. Key Points Resistance Zones: $3,328 (0.618 Fib), $3,345 (flag top). Support Zones: $3,301 (Fib base), $3,284, and $3,275 (bearish extension). Trend Outlook: Short-term bearish unless price breaks above $3,345 with volume. Bearish Targets: $3,301 → $3,284 → $3,275. Bullish Invalidations: Break and close above $3,345 may shift bias to bullish. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh