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Xauusdanalysis

4‑Hour Technical Framework- 8th July 2025Current Price: ~$3,330 Timeframe Focus: 4‑Hour and 1‑Hour Directional Bias: Neutral-to-Bearish Methodologies Used: ✅ Price Action, Fibonacci Levels, Support & Resistance ✅ Supply & Demand Zones ✅ ICT / Smart Money Concepts (BOS, CHoCH, Liquidity, OB, FVG) 4‑Hour Market Structure Analysis Gold has shifted into a neutral-to-bearish regime on the 4‑hour timeframe, after a decisive Break of Structure (BOS) below prior swing lows at ~$3,345 and a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) as bulls failed to sustain above the ~$3,350 level. Price currently hovers around ~$3,330, consolidating within a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) left by the recent impulsive drop. Key Observations: A liquidity grab above $3,349 (stop sweep) preceded a sharp reversal, validating this as a sell-side liquidity zone. The 4H supply zone / bearish Order Block (OB) at $3,345–$3,350 remains unmitigated and likely to attract sellers. Immediate downside is cushioned by a 4H demand zone & FVG at $3,300–$3,305, which has acted as support during the prior dip. A deeper daily demand zone rests around $3,280–$3,290, which aligns with historical support and unmitigated buy‑side liquidity. Key 4‑Hour Levels to Watch Price Level Type Notes $3,360–$3,365 Supply / Fib 61.8% Strong resistance $3,345–$3,350 Supply / OB + 50% Fib Primary sell zone $3,330–$3,334 Bearish FVG Active imbalance $3,300–$3,305 Demand / FVG Primary buy zone $3,280–$3,290 Demand (daily OB) Secondary buy zone The neutral-to-bearish bias is reinforced by the fact that price has failed to reclaim prior support and continues to respect supply zones. 1‑Hour Intraday Trade Ideas Zooming into the 1‑hour chart, we align intraday setups with the broader 4H directional bias: selling into supply and covering into demand. Setup 1: Short at 4H Imbalance Entry: ~$3,332–$3,334 (inside active FVG) Stop-Loss: Above $3,335 Targets: TP1: $3,305 TP2: $3,280 Confluences: BOS + CHoCH, 4H FVG, sell‑side liquidity above. Setup 2: Short on Retracement Entry: ~$3,345–$3,350 (50% Fib + OB) Stop-Loss: Above $3,352 Targets: Same as Setup 1. Setup 3: Aggressive Long (Countertrend) Entry: ~$3,300–$3,305 (demand + FVG) Stop-Loss: Below $3,295 Target: $3,327 Note: Only valid if strong bullish reaction occurs in demand. The Golden Setup Sell at ~$3,332–$3,334 (active 4H imbalance) with a target of $3,300. This setup offers maximum confluence — bearish FVG, BOS, and supply rejection — with tight risk parameters and favorable reward/risk ratio. Summary Table Bias Levels of Interest Directional Bias Neutral-to-Bearish Strong Sell Zones $3,330–$3,334 and $3,345–$3,350 Strong Buy Zones $3,300–$3,305 and $3,280–$3,290 Closing Notes Gold continues to respect Smart Money footprints on the 4‑hour chart, suggesting more downside unless bulls reclaim $3,350 decisively. Today’s focus remains on short opportunities at premium levels into supply and imbalances, targeting well‑defined demand areas below. Watch price action closely in the $3,332–$3,334 zone for the highest‑probability short entry of the session — The Golden Setup.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
XAUUSD Outlook: How Risk Sentiment Could Shape the Next MoveI’m currently analysing XAUUSD (Gold) 🟡, which has come under bearish pressure 📉, showing signs of downside momentum. In the video 🎥, we also explore the inverse correlation between Gold and risk assets like the NASDAQ 📊. Keep a close eye on NASDAQ movements—if risk assets break bullish 🚀, we may see further weakness in Gold. On the other hand, if risk sentiment shifts and risk assets break bearish 🛑, Gold could attract safe-haven demand and gain strength 💪. We also dive into the price action, market structure, and pull up the volume profile 🧩. Gold is currently trading around the Point of Control (POC) ⚖️—a key level where significant volume has accumulated. A clean break above or below this area could act as a technical trigger for the next move 📈📉. As always, this is not financial advice ⚠️—just my market view.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
Below 3360, short sellers still have profit potential!Although gold has steadily rebounded to around 3345, compared with yesterday's gold falling below 3330 again, the rebound in the short term is not strong; overall, gold is still in a weak and volatile pattern, with pressure from the upper side at 3350-3360; and there is technical buying support in the lower 3300-3290 area. It is under the influence of the resistance area and the support area that gold lacks continuity. So before gold breaks through effectively, I think both the long and short sides of gold have profit potential, so for the current short-term trading, we can temporarily maintain the high-sell-low-dregs trading within the range. 1. Consider shorting gold in batches with 3345-3365 as resistance, TP: 3330-3320-3310; 2. Consider going long gold in batches with 3325-3305 as support, TP: 3345-3355-3365
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
Gold price analysis July 8In the previous US session, strong buying pressure pushed gold prices up and formed a bullish hammer candlestick pattern on the D1 chart - a potential sign for an uptrend recovery. 🔄 Today's scenario: The correction in the early session is considered a good opportunity to buy, expecting the price to continue the uptrend. 📍 Nearest resistance zone: The price is currently facing the resistance zone of 3344 in the European session. If gold breaks 3344, the next target will be 3365 - the gap zone that has not been filled. However, according to the wave structure, it would be more optimal if the price has a retest to the 3320 zone, accumulates more buying momentum and then breaks out strongly through 3344. 📉 Bearish scenario: If 3320 is broken, especially with a trendline and support zone breakout signal, a sell strategy can be activated with a lower target. 🔸 Support: 3320 – 3297 🔸 Resistance: 3345 – 3352 – 3365 🔸 Sell is triggered if: Price breaks 3320, confirms breaking trendline & support zone. 💬 Do you have any comments on this trading plan? Leave a comment!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Trade Setup – Bullish Flag Pattern🧠 Gold Trade Setup – Bullish Flag Pattern 📍 Pattern: Bullish Flag 📉 EMA 50: Acting as dynamic support 💰 Current Price: $3,333 📈 Bias: Bullish continuation 🟢 Trade Plan: Long Position 🔼 Entry: Around $3,333 (confirmed breakout from flag) 🎯 Target: $3,365 🛑 Stop Loss: $3,323 📊 Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:3.2 → favorable setup 🔍 This Works: Price breaks out of a bullish flag, a strong continuation pattern. EMA 50 supports the trend, confirming momentum. Room to run up to $3,365 resistance zone if momentum holds.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Harry_Megat
Gold Reverses with a Pin Bar – Is the Drop Over?📈 What happened yesterday on Gold (XAU/USD)? Gold had a tricky session – during the early hours it dipped just below 3300, testing support. But by the New York session, bulls stepped in strongly, pushing price back up and closing near the daily highs. The result? A strong daily Pin Bar with a long tail, signaling possible bullish reversal. ________________________________________ ❓ Is the drop over, or will the market fake out again? That's the big question now. Yesterday’s close definitely leans bullish, but we need to see confirmation. ________________________________________ 📌 Why a continuation to the upside is possible: • Price rejected sub-3300 levels pretty strongly. • A daily Pin Bar formed, signaling buyer strength. • A break above yesterday’s high would confirm bullish intent. • 3390–3400 is the next key resistance zone on the radar. ________________________________________ 🧠 My trading plan: I closed my short near break-even – no need to fight the price action. Now I'm patiently waiting for a clean break above yesterday’s high to enter long trades, aiming for the 3390–3400 resistance area. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
11
Gold fluctuates. Beware of highs.On Monday, the U.S. dollar index rose sharply, reaching an intraday high of 97.65 as Trump announced that he would impose new tariffs on a series of countries including Japan and South Korea on August 1. Spot gold fell first and then rose. It once fell below the $3,300 mark during the session, but then rebounded strongly in a V-shaped manner by nearly $40. As of now, it has stabilized above 3,330. From the current daily line: 3,320 is the absolute support position for gold at present. Although it fell below 3,320 yesterday, Monday, it then reversed and stabilized above 3,320. For now, the daily line still cannot close below 3,320. If it closes below 3,320, the decline may open further. On the contrary, the current upper suppression position of gold is around 3,350. That is to say, it is basically maintained at 3,320-50 for rectification. If the daily line stabilizes at 3350 again, the bulls may rise again. From the 4-hour chart, gold currently shows signs of a head and shoulders bottom. If the 4-hour chart stabilizes above 3340 again, the suppression level of 3350 may be directly broken. Next, it may directly touch the high level of 3380-90. Therefore, in terms of operation, I suggest that you can maintain long positions at 3320-30. The first target is 3340-50. As long as the 4-hour chart stabilizes above 3340, you can continue to look at 3380-90.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
1
XAU/USD Eyes Key Resistance Amid Fresh Tariff Fears🟡 TVC:GOLD Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Eyes Key Resistance Amid Fresh Tariff Fears OANDA:XAUUSD Spot gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from intraday lows near $3,296, now trading around $3,330 as fears over renewed U.S. tariffs fuel safe-haven demand. President Trump has begun issuing formal letters announcing fresh import tariffs—25% on South Korea, additional measures on Japan, and a 10% universal tariff on countries aligning with BRICS. With the 90-day tariff pause expiring August 1 and no trade progress in sight, geopolitical and economic uncertainty continue to support gold’s floor. 📉 Technical Structure XAU/USD remains within a descending channel on the 1H chart, with price currently approaching the $3,338–$3,340 Resistance Zone 1. A clean breakout above the upper channel boundary could trigger a move toward the broader $3,364 Resistance Zone 2. Conversely, failure to break above Resistance Zone 1 would keep the bearish channel intact, with downside targets toward the $3,302–$3,305 support zone. 📌 Key Technical Zones Resistance Zone 1: $3,338–$3,340 Resistance Zone 2: $3,364 Support Zone: $3,302–$3,305 Channel Structure: Bearish unless broken to the upside 📘 Strategy Summary XAU/USD is showing signs of short-term recovery, but remains technically capped unless it breaks through $3,340 resistance. As long as the descending channel holds, rallies may be sold into. A confirmed break above $3,340 could shift bias toward $3,364, while rejection may reopen the path to $3,305 and potentially lower. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
maintain bullish, break H1 trend⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) trade in the red near $3,330 during Tuesday’s Asian session, weighed down by a stronger US Dollar (USD). The precious metal loses ground amid easing trade tensions, following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a tariff deadline extension and his openness to further negotiations. Market anxiety subsided after Trump signaled flexibility around the August 1 tariff deadline, describing it as “not 100% firm” and suggesting room for continued adjustments. This renewed optimism over trade policy has strengthened the Greenback, thereby pressuring USD-denominated assets like Gold, which becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price accumulates waiting for news of new tariff information, breaking H1 trend. Good buying power ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3364- 3366 SL 3371 TP1: $3350 TP2: $3340 TP3: $3330 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3300-$3298 SL $3293 TP1: $3310 TP2: $3325 TP3: $3340 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
Shorts trapped? No, the head and shoulders top is still downOver the weekend, I gave a trading strategy for going long at 3315-3305. Today, I updated and optimized the long order trading, maintained the high-short-low-long trading strategy, and began to rebound near the 3300 line, and successfully touched the long TP 3333. At present, I am executing short trades again according to the trading strategy and holding short orders. Although gold has only retreated to around 3330, I am not worried about losses and failures in short trades. As I wrote in today's post, the daily K-line chart has a head and shoulders top pattern. As long as the bulls fail to recover 3360, it is still a short trend. Therefore, in the short term, I still think that the rebound is a good opportunity for us to go short. At present, the short-term bullish momentum of gold has been consumed and the downward trend continues. Therefore, I still insist on holding short orders in the short term. In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and being strict with yourself. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
1
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 8 Analysis | Decision Day at H4 Supply Zone Gold is currently trading inside a key H4 supply zone (3342–3345) , and today’s session could act as a pivotal turning point for the ongoing structure. We are now in a region where the H4 may either complete its pullback and resume the uptrend — or allow price to drop deeper toward 3280 before any bullish continuation. Market Structure Overview • H4 Trend: Still in a pullback • M15 Trend: Gave a Change of Character (ChoCh) in the previous session • Break of Structure (BoS): Not yet confirmed on M15 This puts us in a state of unconfirmed reversal . Without a clean BoS, this could still be a liquidity grab . Key Levels & Current Setup 📍 H4 Supply Zone: 3342–3345 → This is where price is currently reacting → Sellers may step in here if the broader pullback continues 📍 M15 Structure Status: → ChoCh already occurred → Price is in a retracement phase → BoS is needed to confirm a shift and signal the end of H4 pullback What Today’s Session Will Decide 🔸 If M15 breaks structure upward (BoS): → H4 pullback may be complete → Bias turns bullish → We’ll plan long setups from M15 POIs with M1 confirmation 🔸 If M15 fails to break and reverses: → This could be a liquidity grab → Sellers may push price lower → Next downside target: 3280 H4 order block , still valid ⚠️ Reminder: Be Prepared for Both Scenarios • No M15 BoS = No bias • Wait for structure, not emotion • Do not force long trades without confirmation • 3280 remains a high-probability target if rejection confirms Final Thoughts This is a structure-led market — we don’t predict, we prepare. Today’s price action may bring directional clarity. Structure over speculation. Let price show intent. Then act with process, not impulse. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ChartIsMirror
The short position is losing money. What should we do?Gold hit the intraday low of around 3296 and then began to rebound. We can see that the rebound of gold is not strong, but it is relatively sustained, so gold has rebounded to around 3335. To be honest, I did short gold according to my plan and still hold a short position. Although gold has rebounded to around 3330, I don’t think my short gold trade has failed. As I said in the previous point of view, gold is facing technical suppression of the head and shoulders in the short term, which will suppress the rebound limit within the 3335-3340 area. So before gold stabilizes at 3340, I think the gold shorts still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3340, I think the gold rebound is a good opportunity to short gold. At present, gold is facing the resistance area of ​​3335-3340 and begins to show signs of stagflation. After consuming a certain amount of bullish momentum, the gold shorts may counterattack strongly again and stimulate gold to fall rapidly. Therefore, before gold breaks upward through the 3335-3345 area, we can still consider shorting gold, or continue to hold a short position in gold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
Gold is still in rangeGold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. The price has fallen from the historical high of 3500 to 3120 in the first round this year. After rising to 3452, it is currently in the second round of downward cycle. The mid-term top idea is maintained, and the operating target is 3120; The non-agricultural data at the end of last week was under pressure at 3365, and it dropped to 3296 on Monday and rebounded. It broke the high overnight, and the daily chart closed positive. The K-line combination is in a volatile arrangement. In the short term, it will maintain consolidation below 3365; short-term support is 3330-3326, and strong support is 3320-3316; short-term resistance is 3350-3358, and strong resistance is 3365;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DonaldJohnson
Gold Short Term OutlookGold dipped earlier in the session as the $3,328 support level failed, pushing price into the upper boundary of the broader Support Zone. From there, we’ve seen a strong bounce, with price now trending around the $3,341 minor resistance. Price has reclaimed both the 50MA and 200MA, suggesting bullish momentum may be returning. A clean break and hold above $3,356 would likely open the path toward higher resistance levels, including $3,370 and $3,383. However, failure to break and hold above $3,356 could lead to another pullback toward the Support Zone. If that zone fails to hold, we may see a deeper move into the higher timeframe (HTF) support area below $3,300. 📌 Key Levels to watch: Resistance: $3,356 ‣ $3,383 ‣ $3,400 ‣ $3,416 Support: $3,328 ‣ $3,300 ‣ $3,267 ‣ $3,241 ‣ $3,208 (HTF Support)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Tuesday Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD) After Monday’s move into the 4H Fair Value Gap and rejection near the trendline and Asia High, I’m expecting a corrective move to start Tuesday. I’m currently watching two possible downside targets: 🔸 Scenario 1: A short-term drop into the upper part of the 4H FVG (around 3320–3310) – this zone could act as intraday demand and cause a quick bounce. 🔸 Scenario 2: A deeper retracement toward the unfilled imbalance around 3290–3280, lining up with the London Low and completing the 4H FVG. This would be a more significant liquidity sweep before a potential bullish reaction. From both zones, I’ll be looking for price action to confirm a possible long setup back toward the trendline and above. Let’s see how Tuesday plays out.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by The_Gold_Syndicate
90-day tariffs expire, how to position gold next week📰 News information： 1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire 📈 Technical Analysis： With the Trump administration's massive tax cut and spending bill officially implemented, the U.S. Treasury may start a "supply flood" of short-term Treasury bonds to make up for the trillions of dollars in fiscal deficits in the future. Concerns about the oversupply of short-term Treasury bonds have been directly reflected in prices. The yield of 1-month short-term Treasury bonds has risen significantly since Monday this week. Slowing wage growth, falling total work hours, stagnant wage income growth and concerns about consumer spending are all signs that support gold. From a technical perspective, Friday's closing long shadow small candle body, the price closed at a high of 3345 and a low of 3224. The overall idea for next week is to follow the trend and rely on the first short-term support of 3323 below to participate in long positions. Secondly, 3315-3305 is given below. If the support point is lost, then 3300 below is also in danger, and there is no need to overly insist on continuing to do more at low levels in the short-term rhythm. The key pressure above is 3340-3350, and the limit is the pressure of 3360 above. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3325-3323 TP 3333-3340-3350 BUY 3315-3305 TP 3325-3333-3340 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3