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Xauusdanalysis

Gold Price Market in a Sideways Phase Awaiting BreakoutGold Price Drops Amid Hawkish Fed Comments - Market in a Sideways Phase Awaiting Breakout Gold (XAU/USD) has experienced a sharp drop following recent hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve. The continuation of tight monetary policy has unsettled investors, leading to strong sell-offs during both the Asian and US trading sessions today. 📊 Technical Analysis: Currently, gold is forming a new sideways range, and if you zoom out to higher timeframes, you'll notice a classic bearish flag pattern developing. This suggests that gold is in a period of consolidation before a potential large-scale breakout. While the upward momentum from both the Asian and European sessions was strong, gold failed to break the critical 3250–3255 zone. This area remains vital for determining the next direction in gold's price action. Should the bearish trend continue, if we break the support trendline below the current price, the likelihood of the bearish flag pattern playing out rises to around 80%. This could lead to further price corrections. Key Levels to Watch: Support Levels: 3205, 3194, 3280, 3262 Resistance Levels: 3244, 3262, 3278, 3286 📈 Trading Strategy: BUY SCALP: Entry: 3294 - 3292 Stop Loss (SL): 3288 Take Profit (TP): 3298 → 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3272 - 3270 SL: 3266 TP: 3276 → 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3330 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3242 - 3244 SL: 3248 TP: 3238 → 3234 → 3230 → 3226 → 3220 → 3210 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3276 - 3278 SL: 3282 TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3250 → 3240 ⚠️ Risk Management: As we approach the close of the week, the volatility in gold could intensify, especially with the Fed’s actions, market sentiment, and geopolitical developments. Always follow your TP/SL to safeguard your investments and avoid unnecessary risk. 🧠 Final Thoughts: The market is in a consolidation phase, and it's essential to wait for confirmation before taking significant positions. If gold fails to break the 3250–3255 resistance zone, the chances of a more significant move downwards increase. However, be cautious, as the market is volatile, and things can shift rapidly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold trading plan May 19Gold is trading in a wide range and needs a few more factors to confirm whether the corrective downtrend of gold will continue or not. 3242 will be an important upper boundary in the current price channel. With the m30 candle force in the European session being able to break through the 3230 area, the prospect of reaching 3242 in the European session is very high. We can watch the price reaction and give a SELL signal in this area and the buy break point is 3230 On the further side, we have the daily resistance zone of 3282 when the 3242 border is broken and on the opposite side, the Asian session support zone around 3202-3200 acts as a barrier ahead before the gold price reaches the daily support level around 3192.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Setup on Gold (XAUUSD)Gold traders, pay attention! We’re watching a textbook triangle pattern unfolding on the 1-hour timeframe for XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) — and the breakout could be just around the corner. Let’s break down what’s happening technically and why this setup could offer a high-probability opportunity. 🔺 Pattern Overview: Triangle Formation We’ve got a clear symmetrical triangle pattern developing — marked by converging trendlines of lower highs and higher lows. This type of structure often signals a buildup of pressure, a “coiling spring” waiting to explode in one direction. These patterns don’t last forever, and based on recent price action, we’re approaching the apex — which means a breakout is likely imminent. 📌 Key Technical Elements 🔷 1. Minor Resistance Zone A minor resistance zone lies just above the upper triangle boundary. This area has previously acted as a ceiling where sellers stepped in. A decisive candle close above this level would confirm a breakout — turning this resistance into a potential new support. 🔷 2. Retesting Zone After a breakout, it's common to see a retest of the breakout level. The chart anticipates this scenario with a projected pullback to the triangle edge. If price respects this zone and forms bullish candlestick patterns (like a bullish engulfing or pin bar), it could provide an ideal entry point with lower risk. 🔷 3. Black Mind Curve Support There’s a curved support line acting as dynamic support beneath the triangle. This "Black Mind Curve" reflects broader market psychology — it's the path where bulls might step in again if price dips. It adds a second layer of confluence support for this trade setup. 📍 SL & Risk Management The chart also defines a clear Stop Loss (SL) level around $3,205 — placed slightly below both the triangle’s lower boundary and the curved support. This is a sensible location to minimize downside while allowing room for minor volatility. 🛡️ Pro tip: Always risk only a small percentage of your account per trade — ideally 1-2%. 🎯 Projected Target: $3,342 If the breakout plays out as expected, the projected move targets the $3,342 level. This aligns with: The height of the triangle projected from the breakout point (measured move) Previous horizontal resistance and Fibonacci extension zones This offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio, especially if entry is timed during the retest phase. 🧠 Market Psychology Insight What’s happening under the surface? Bulls are gradually stepping up, making higher lows. Bears are losing steam as each push down is weaker than the last. Volume is likely compressing, indicating a buildup of energy. Once one side gains control (likely bulls based on this setup), a sharp impulsive move is expected. 💡 How to Trade This Setup Wait for confirmation: Look for a strong bullish breakout candle above the triangle & minor resistance. Entry Options: Breakout entry on confirmation candle Retest entry near triangle top (lower risk, better R:R) Set SL below the triangle & curve (~$3,205) Target: First take-profit at $3,280; second at $3,342+ 📣 Final Thoughts: This setup is a powerful blend of technical structure, support dynamics, and clear breakout potential. While nothing is guaranteed in trading, this is a high-quality formation that deserves a spot on your watchlist. Let the market show its hand — don’t rush the entry. Wait for confirmation, manage your risk, and let the probabilities do the heavy lifting. 🔖 Tags: #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #TrianglePattern #PriceAction #ForexTrading #BreakoutTrade #SwingTrade #TradingViewIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBreakout #RiskManagement
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – May 19, 2025Key Supply Zone: 3246–3252 This area is a major resistance. If price fails to break and hold above, expect a rejection back to 3230 or even 3212. However, a clear breakout and hold above 3252 will likely trigger bullish continuation toward 3275. ✅ Signal Setup Scenario 1 – Rejection Short (preferred until breakout) Sell Zone: 3246–3252 SL: Above 3260 TP: 3230 / 3212 Scenario 2 – Breakout Long Buy Above: 3252 (on 5–15min structure shift or BOS) SL: Below 3244 TP: 3265 / 3275 📌 Wait for confirmation — either rejection wick or clean breakout with retest.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by QuinnReed_Charts
XAU/USD 20 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 15 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. While a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) has printed, I am exercising discretion and not marking it as such, given the shallow nature of the pullback. Additionally, another bullish CHoCH has printed, with price now trading within a defined internal range. I will continue monitoring this closely, particularly in relation to the depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765 Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Stuck Between 3250 and 3200 – Watch the Breakout!After another week filled with violent price swings, Gold started this week on a much calmer note. Yesterday, after filling the Asia open gap, price pushed up to test the 3250 resistance, only to reverse and fall back toward the 3210 support zone. 🔺 A triangle is forming… but which way will it break? Since last Thursday, price action has been forming an ascending triangle — a pattern that typically favors upside breakouts. But for this to play out, we need a clean break above 3250. If that happens, we could see a fresh 1,000 pips move up in the short term. 📉 What if 3200 fails again? A break back below 3200 would cancel the bullish structure and likely send price toward the 3160 support, or even further down to the 3100 zone. 📊 Trading Plan: For now, I remain on the sidelines, waiting for a clear breakout in either direction. No need to rush — the breakout should bring strong momentum either way. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Will gold fall to 3180-3158?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. If you have a different opinion, you can express your different opinions in the comment area. Yesterday, Monday, retail traders made a record bottom-fishing in US stocks, reversing the 1% drop in the S&P 500 index caused by Moody's downgrading the US credit rating last weekend. Yesterday, Monday, gold opened at a high point near 3250, but after the US stock market opened, it basically maintained a downward trend. From the current 1-hour chart, gold has been fluctuating above the 1-hour chart range yesterday, Monday, but there has been a change today. It has continuously fallen below the hourly chart range support position at the opening. Therefore, from the current point of view, gold is likely to retreat downward today, and the 3200 mark is currently difficult to hold. Therefore, we must be alert to the possibility of a retracement today. As for the operation, you can rely on the 3220-3225 range to sell, and look at the target to 3180-3158.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AmandaLaw
XAUUSD M30 BEST BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAYThis 30-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) reveals a critical decision zone ahead 📊. Price is currently reacting to a support area around 3210, marked by the purple zone. A Change of Character (ChoCH) has just occurred, suggesting a potential bullish reversal if price holds above this support 📈. There are two likely scenarios: 1️⃣ A bullish continuation where price forms higher lows and targets the supply zone near 3230 and potentially the strong high at 3252, or 2️⃣ A bearish break below support, triggering a drop towards the demand zone at 3170 and possibly further into the order block (OB) near 3160 📉. Traders should watch for confirmations like strong bullish candles or rejections at key levels before committing to a direction ✅. This is a high-probability setup with defined risk and reward zones! 💰📉📈
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
Is Gold Forming a Double Top?Over the past four trading sessions, gold has shown oscillations of around 1% in the short term. For now, indecision is beginning to emerge in the price of the precious metal as market confidence gradually recovers. The CNN Fear and Greed Index is already holding near the "extreme greed" zone, and as confidence continues to rise steadily, this could become a problem for gold demand, as it remains the classic safe-haven asset. Potential Double Top Price movements in recent weeks have formed a consistent resistance area at $3,400 per ounce, with pullbacks reaching the $3,200 zone. Currently, a potential double top pattern appears to be forming on the chart, with key support holding near $3,200. If bearish pressure becomes strong enough to consistently break below this level, the pattern could gain significant technical relevance and signal a potential trend reversal in the coming sessions. RSI The RSI line remains oscillating around the 50 level, indicating a balanced momentum between buyers and sellers. This can be explained by the ongoing support zone that is holding the price in the short term. ADX The ADX line is showing a similar picture, with readings increasingly close to the 20 level, which indicates that the strength of recent price movements is fading. This further supports the idea of continued indecision around the current support area. Key Levels to Watch: $3,200 per ounce – Critical Support: Possibly the most important level to watch, as it represents the lower boundary of the double top pattern and corresponds to a neutral price zone. Sustained selling pressure below this level could trigger a strong bearish bias and open the door to a new downward trend. $3,400 per ounce – Main Resistance: This is the historical high zone for gold. A breakout above this level could be interpreted as a continuation of the long-term bullish trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Gold still has the potential to rebound, continue to buy goldTechnical aspect: Gold has just retreated to around 3217 and then rebounded again. It has now rebounded to around 3235. Although the rebound strength is a little weak, it has even hovered around 3235 for a long time. But structurally, gold did not destroy the rising structure during the decline, and the strength of structural support was strengthened after the effective retracement support. After being recognized and accepted by the market, gold will continue to rise with structural support. Once gold breaks through the short-term resistance area of ​​3250-3260, it will continue to rise to 3280-3290, or even around 3320. Trading strategy: Before the short-term rising structure is destroyed, we can still continue to try to go long on gold in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3240-3250
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
The market trend is highly consistent with the chart analysisGold opened with a gap up today, returning to the decline starting point near 3,252 last Friday before falling again. The short-term trend has entered a repeated oscillation, but the key level of 3,200 has not been broken.👉👉👉 On Monday, the international gold price rebounded by more than 1%, boosted by a weaker U.S. dollar and increased safe-haven demand. Gold first fell to the 3,206 level before recovering to the 3,250 level, reversing the early session decline. Gold has been under pressure in recent weeks as markets gradually digest stagflation expectations and reprice rate-cut expectations. The market now expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by about 58 basis points by the end of the year, compared with the peak expectation of 120 basis points during the panic in April. From the analysis of the 4-hour chart, the lower support continues to focus on the vicinity of 3170-75. The primary support level is the 3150 threshold, and the important resistance to pay attention to is 3270-3280. Overall, within this range, the main tone of participating in a cycle of selling at high levels and buying at low levels remains unchanged. At intermediate positions, it is advisable to observe more, act less, and be cautious about chasing orders. Be patient and wait for entry at key points. XAUUSD trading strategy buy @ 3215-3220 sl 3195 tp 3235-3240 If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
FX:XAUUSDLong
by JeromeGrote
3235 line becomes short-term resistance? Golden layout at night!🗞News side: 1. Trump's dialogue with Russia and Ukraine on ceasefire 2. The seriousness of the situation in Israel 📈Technical aspects: In the short term, the three key factors affecting the gold market are the certainty of tariff policies, geopolitical risks, and the pace of the Fed's interest rate cuts. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is a tail risk that deserves attention. Its impact on the global order far exceeds other geopolitical conflicts. It is expected that the conflict may see a key turning point in May and June, and the Fed's interest rate cut is likely to be implemented in the third quarter. At that time, the gold and silver markets may face greater negative pressure, and prices may fall back to 3000-2800 or even lower. Technically, the double top pattern at the daily level has been established. Although there is a certain resistance at the 3235 line of gold in the short term, considering the tail risk, the possibility of evolving into a triple top cannot be ruled out, and we need to be vigilant against the inducement of multi-money rises and washes. 🎁BUY 3220-3215 🎁TP 3230-3240 🎁SELL 3250-3255 🎁TP 3235-3225 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
Geopolitical risks ease, trade progresses: Gold short-term volatIndia and Pakistan have declared a full ceasefire😮, while news has emerged that Russia and Ukraine will observe a 30-day ceasefire. With the cooling of geopolitical risks, gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset has diminished. Additionally, high-level economic and trade talks between China and the U.S. in Geneva, Switzerland, have made substantive progress, with most market participants believing the tariff war is nearing an end—further dampening gold’s safe-haven demand. The market has seen two consecutive days of massive volatility: a surge of $100 on Thursday, followed by a plunge of $100 on Friday, creating a "double kill" for both bulls and bears, which is clearly a capital-driven washout. Currently, the 3120 level still shows a relatively obvious supporting effect. Due to ongoing international relations issues, gold remains in a long-term bullish trend. Traders can continue to take small long positions near 3120😎. ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@3120 -3130 🚀 TP 3230 - 3260 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign-
Beware of a sharp surge at the beginning of the week!🗞News side: 1. The India-Pakistan conflict has been eased, but India has increased its troops in Kashmir 2. The situation between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again 3. Trump has asked Walmart to absorb the impact of tariffs on its own 📈Technical aspects: Gold jumped higher in the Asian session in the morning and once tested the 3250 resistance line. In the short term, the upward space is limited and there is a certain suppression. At present, gold is testing the 3210-3200 support level again. Judging from the 4H chart, if the gold price breaks through this short-term support level, it is likely to go to the 3170 level next, or even test the strong support level of 3150. If it gets effective support at 3210-3200, gold may test the resistance area again. Therefore, in the short-term trading in the Asia and Europe sessions, maintain the high-level short-selling and low-level long-selling cycle to participate. On the upside, focus on the 3250-3260 resistance area. If it breaks through, it is expected to look towards the 3300 line. On the downside, focus on the 3210-3200 support line. If it breaks through this support, look to the 3170-3150 important support. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
1
Gold fluctuates. Will it break through resistance and start to rWe analyzed the fundamentals and technical aspects comprehensively over the weekend, and the overall trend tends to be upward. The Asian market opened, and the price rose to around $3,250 and fell back; in yesterday's analysis, I thought that the Asian market would rise rapidly after the opening due to the impact of the US sovereign credit rating. As I predicted, the opening in the morning quickly rose to the intraday high of $3,250, and then began to fall. Finally, it fell to $3,210 and strengthened again, and the trend was the same as my analysis. From the current market, gold continues to fluctuate greatly. It is relatively strong at present, but it is suppressed by the $3,250-3,255 area. Therefore, it is expected that the price will continue to rise after adjustments below $3,250; if the price stabilizes above $3,210, there is still room for the price to rise. Below this, it will start a downtrend that could potentially hit last week’s cycle low of $3,150. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the support level of $3225. If it breaks through the resistance level of $3250-55, it will open up room for growth. We will further pay attention to the high point of $3270-3290. Until the price breaks through the upward resistance zone of $3250-3255 with a strong force, it is recommended not to adopt a long strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
The recent gold short position has a perfect harvestIt can be said that the market of gold on Wednesday was mainly range-bound. After the US market, gold began to follow a unilateral decline pattern, with the lowest reaching the 3173 line. The current rebound of gold is not strong. On the rebound, we will focus on the 3206-3210 line for suppression at the top and 3154-3154 at the bottom. 3160 is a first-line support. The general trend is still mainly rebounding and shorting. We continue to rebound and take advantage of the trend to intervene in short orders and be a stable trader. I have always been here. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate! Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the upper side is currently focusing on the short-term suppression of the 3206-3210 first line. The counter-draw relies on this position to continue to go short first and then fall back. Before breaking through and standing at this position, the counter-draw main short-term rhythm will remain unchanged. The short-term support below is around 3154-3160, with interval operations as the main focus. Gold operation strategy: Gold rebounds and goes short at 3206-3210 line, stop loss at 3219, target 3160-3165 line, continue to hold if the position is broken;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pcesfj
2