Gold latest strategy analysisOn Thursday, spot gold gradually rebounded from around a one-month low of $3,120 per ounce. Although a brief resurgence in risk aversion supported gold prices, factors such as the easing of China-U.S. trade tensions, reduced market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, and the rise in U.S. Treasury yields continued to suppress bullish momentum. Market focus has shifted to the U.S. PPI data and Federal Reserve Chair Powell's speech in the evening, which may provide new drivers for gold to break through its current trading range. Interest rate futures show that expectations for rate cuts within the year have been significantly reduced from 100 basis points a month ago to around 50 basis points, pushing the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to a one-month high and directly suppressing the performance of non-yielding assets like gold.
Gold showed a trend of falling first and then rising today, with a breakout to the upside, indicating strong upward momentum. However, the probability of a straight-line rally is low, and a breakout may occur after a period of consolidation and oscillation. Overall, after the full release of bearish momentum, gold is expected to experience a rebound. Today's trading strategy may consider laying out long positions on pullbacks as the primary approach, supplemented by short positions at highs. Resistance is focused on the $3,215–$3,225 area, while support lies at $3,175–$3,165.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold changes trend? Latest analysis.Information summary:
Due to the easing of trade tensions between the world's two largest economies; suppressing safe-haven demand, and investors waiting for US economic data for more clues on future interest rate trends. On Thursday, Asian time, gold prices fell to their lowest point in more than a month. At one point in the session, it hit the lowest level since April 10 at $3,120. The price has now rebounded to around $3,190.
Technical analysis:
Gold once again showed a trend of falling first and then rising, basically swallowing up all the declines in the Asian market. Is gold about to start a new round of rise? I don't think it is possible to judge that the upward trend is established now. Because from the weekly line, the price rushed up and fell back, and the more obvious signal is that it will fall again.
From the daily rhythm, today fell first and then rose, and the short-term rise was strong, swallowing up all the declines in the Asian session and there are signs of continued rise. But in terms of rhythm, the watershed of the Asian session's decline is the integer mark of 3,200. If it continues to be suppressed below the watershed, the market will still fall.
Operation strategy:
Short around $3205, stop loss at $3215, profit range at $3180-3175.
If the gold price breaks through the $3,200 resistance with strength and stays above this level, we need to change our strategy.
Gold V-shaped reversal? How to solve the short order quilt🗞News side:
1.PPI has fallen for three consecutive months
2. Russia-Ukraine talks are ongoing
3. Powell says the era of long-term low interest rates is over
📈Technical aspects:
Gold rebounded from oversold in the European session, hitting a low of 3120 before pulling back and rising. After a second retracement to confirm 3130, it made a V-shaped reversal. Currently, gold is still testing the 3190-3200 resistance line. Before breaking the resistance range, gold may still usher in a second bottom detection
🎁SELL 3190-3200, SL 3210, TP 3170-3160
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Price Analysis May 14Yesterday's D candle with an increase but not significant and unable to surpass 50% of the previous bearish candle shows that the sellers still hold the initiative today.
The 2322 zone plays a key role at the moment when breaking the Down confirmation to 3200. If it bounces from 3222, it will confirm the trend back in the Sideway range with the upper range of 3260.
In the direction of the 3260 break, Gold will return to the uptrend with the resistance zones of 3280 and 3320, pay attention to the small resistance zone around 3305 for the scalping strategy. On the opposite side, the break of 3222 confirms the downtrend, extending the next reaction zone around 3200 and can extend the decline to 3176 today.
XAUUSD SHORT SELLING RESISTANCEHere I Created This XAUUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 15 - Minutes
Pattern: Resistance
Momentum: Bearish/ SELL
Entry Level : SELL 3187
Resistance zone : 3190
Target Will Be : 3160
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
5/15 Gold Trading Signals🌇Good afternoon, everyone!
Yesterday, gold broke the support after some sideways movement and touched the buy zone near 3170, but profit was limited.
Today, after opening, gold rebounded to above 3190 but faced resistance and started dropping again. Notably, the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence, and although not yet corrected, such divergence usually leads to a rebound of at least $60 — a potential opportunity worth watching.
🗞 News Highlights:
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
Research conference on monetary policy and economy
These events may significantly impact gold, so stay alert.
📌 Today’s Trading Strategy:
🟢 Buy Zone: 3113 – 3076
🔴 Sell Zone: 3208 – 3223
🔄 Flexible Trading Ranges:
▫️3123-3152-3168-3187-3198
✅ Maintain cautious, flexible positioning. Watch for divergence correction opportunities for a potential sharp rebound.
Focus on the long-short game at the 3,100 support level.The gold price broke below the 3,200 mark as expected during intraday trading and continued its retracement trend this morning.
With the easing of trade tensions, market anxiety has subsided, and the weakening of risk aversion has led to selling pressure on gold. This phenomenon highlights the significant impact of fundamental factors on the market, though their time-sensitive nature must be noted. In the long term, the overall upward trend of gold is not solely determined by single factors such as tariffs or geopolitical tensions—these elements primarily influence short-term movements. It is worth noting that when the market forms a highly unanimous bearish sentiment, it may instead accumulate momentum for a rebound in gold prices. Although the current market is in a weak correction phase, blind short-chasing remains inadvisable.
A number of key data releases are expected today, and their guiding impact on gold prices requires close attention.
Focus on the validity of the $3,100 support level. If the price stabilizes above this level, a light long position can be considered, with a target of around $3,180.
Currently, as the price has broken below $3,140, be wary of further correction risks, and short positions should flexibly adjust stop-profit and stop-loss levels based on real-time data.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
2000+ Pips Down This Week – Can Gold Finally Breathe?Yesterday, Gold continued its aggressive drop and, as expected, broke below the key 3200 level, reaching the 3165 support zone and even exceeding it — trading now around 3136.
The move that started on Monday is extremely sharp — more than 2,000 pips lost in just a few days — and follows the same pattern we've seen recently: rapid, volatile swings.
________________________________________
❓ Is this the bottom, or will the fall continue?
At this stage, calling a bottom is risky. There is no clear sign of exhaustion on higher timeframes, and Gold remains vulnerable.
________________________________________
📌 What I’m watching now:
• Lower timeframes (M30–H1) for signs of a temporary reversal
• Potential bullish divergence
• Watching for spikes down followed by sharp reversals to the upside as potential long entries — aiming to catch a short-term correction within the broader downtrend
________________________________________
📊 Trading Plan:
For now, I will wait for a possible upside correction, but I won’t rush in. If signs of a bottom emerge, I might catch a short-term bounce, with tight risk.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a MonthGold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a Month
As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price of gold fell below $3,130 this morning – its lowest level since 10 April.
Since its peak in May, gold has lost more than 8% in value per ounce.
Why Is Gold Falling?
Bearish sentiment in the gold market may be fuelled by easing geopolitical tensions. According to media reports:
→ China and the US have already reported progress in reaching a trade agreement, while details of potential deals with India, Japan, and South Korea are currently being developed.
→ Iran is reportedly willing to sign a nuclear deal in exchange for the lifting of sanctions. In addition, Donald Trump may lift sanctions on Syria during his visit to the Middle East.
→ The situation between India and Pakistan has stabilised, and today, talks between Russia and Ukraine are expected to take place in Istanbul, with a potential ceasefire on the agenda.
These developments could be seen as reducing the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
In our 7 May gold price analysis, we:
→ outlined a descending channel (marked in red);
→ noted that bearish pressure persisted above $3,400.
Since then, the gold (XAU/USD) price has continued to move within this channel, breaking support around the $3,200 level and approaching a key support zone formed by:
→ the lower boundary of the red channel;
→ a long-term trendline (marked in blue);
→ a former resistance level (highlighted with arrows) at $3,140.
Given these conditions, traders should consider a scenario in which a minor rebound may occur – for instance, towards the median line of the red channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD H1 (15/05/2025)For today setup, i like to make sell position at price 3168 - 3171 for short position
for now i can see Gold can go down until demand h1 (3123 - 3116) and will make bounce if respect that demand. if you guys see the daily timeframe. you can see structure is for buy because daily make breakout. For the position, i will take short position and then fokus buy.
🎯 The Ideal Combo for trading:
📌 A discipline mind
📌 A trading edge
📌 Risk management
📌 Long-term mentality.
The technical side collapses! Can the bear market continue?🗞News side:
1. Russia and Ukraine hold ceasefire talks
2. Initial jobless claims data released during today's US trading session
3. Trump administration exposed to trillions of national debt
📈Technical aspects:
After gold fell below 3200, it pointed directly at the 3100-3000 line. Although there has been a rebound in the process, the current short-term short-term situation has not changed. The current lack of rebound momentum in the market is mainly due to the fact that the bad news has not been completely digested. At present, the gold price has rebounded to around 3160. Above, we need to pay attention to the first-line suppression of 3168, which is the first low point in the decline, followed by the 3190-3200 resistance zone above. If the gold rebound cannot break through the 3168 point, then the gold price will most likely continue its decline, test the 3120 low again, or even move towards 3000. If the European market hits the 3168 line and encounters resistance, it can be short-term and focus on the release of initial jobless claims data in the US market.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
GOLD - where is current resistance? Holds or not??#GOLD.. in yesterday market placed a low around 3167-68 and bounced back.
Now market just near to his current resistance area that is around 3184-85
Keep close that area and if market hold it in that case we can expect a further drop..
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse above 3184-85 on confirmation ..
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAUUSD Correction Phase May Present Upside PotentialOn the 1-hour timeframe, I estimate that XAUUSD is currently at the end of wave v of wave (c). This suggests that the recent correction is relatively limited, having already tested the 3096–3122 area. Going forward, XAUUSD has the potential to strengthen toward the 3192–3250 zone.
XAU/USD 15 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisHi everyone, thanks for stopping by.
I’m Amin, a London-based technical analyst-in-training, currently preparing for the CMT Level I exam (June 2025) and building towards a career as a Market Strategist/Analyst.
I post daily/weekly analysis using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) soon to be blended with CMT-aligned tools like RSI, Moving Averages, trend structure, and market phase models.
My Goal: To secure a strategist or analyst role in London.
Recent highlight: One of my TradingView ideas was featured by an editor.
If you're in the industry, a fellow learner, or hiring, feel free to reach out — I’m open to opportunities and connections.
Let’s keep growing and learning!
Amin.
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
While a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) has printed, I am exercising discretion and not marking it as such, given the shallow nature of the pullback.
Additionally, another bullish CHoCH has printed, with price now trading within a defined internal range. I will continue monitoring this closely, particularly in relation to the depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Updates - XAUUSD May 15 ahead of news🔥 XAUUSD MARKET OUTLOOK – MAY 15, 2025
🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – CHAOS COOKING AT GMT+3
Today is a high-impact fundamental day with U.S. Unemployment Claims and Powell’s speech at 15:30. After CPI surprised to the downside yesterday, the market is recalibrating fast. Gold dropped aggressively into discount zones, but no clean structural reversal is confirmed.
This is a textbook trap environment. Expect:
– Fakeouts before confirmation
– Aggressive sweeps around equilibrium
– Delayed real moves until after NY volatility settles
No guessing. No chasing. Structure only.
📉 STRUCTURAL BIAS – MULTI-TF OUTLOOK
Daily Bias: Bearish – No BOS reclaim. Market remains under macro OBs.
4H Bias: Bearish – BOS confirmed below 3220. Price now reacting at lower OBs.
1H Bias: Neutral – Price is consolidating after tapping demand. No clean shift yet.
Conclusion: No bullish confirmation across major timeframes. Every bounce is suspect unless proven otherwise.
📍 GOLDMINDSFX REACTIVE ZONE MAP
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES (For Confirmed Longs Only):
– 3120-3130 → Current active OB – reacting but unconfirmed
– 3100-3110 → Sweep + OB + EMA100 area
– 3050-3065 → Deep macro demand. Only valid on structural breakdown
🔴 PREMIUM ZONES (Watch for Trap Rejections):
– 3140–3155 → Internal breaker block – possible trap
– 3175–3190 → 1H supply zone + FVG – key reversal zone
– 3235–3255 → Premium OB – only valid post-news spike
🎯 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
If price reclaims and holds 3176 → short-term structure may shift bullish
If 3110 is swept with CHoCH → buyers may attempt recovery
During news – we do nothing. Wait for confirmation, not confusion.
🔒 FINAL NOTE
Today is about reactive precision, not predictive bias.
Let Gold show its hand — then act. The second move is the real one.
“Structure is the setup. News is the trap.” 🎯
Patience is your profit today.
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Gold Breaks Lower: Geopolitics Calm, Yields Rise, Bulls RetreatOANDA:XAUUSD Gold weakened beneath $3,150 as easing US-China trade tensions and fading Fed rate cut expectations dented safe-haven demand. US Treasury yields rose, putting further pressure on non-yielding assets. Technically, gold is testing crucial support at $3,123. A break lower can see potential for downward movement to $3,084. Fed Chair Powell speech and PPI data remain key for short-term guidance.
Resistance : $3,171 , $3,229
Support : $3,123 , $3,084
GOLD support @ $3100There are a lot of things that show the price about $3100 for Gold is a really important & strong support for now.
We have 61% & 70.2% of Fibonacci retracement about this area.
The bear flag target on 4H TF is at $3100.
Even the target for double top is at that area.
In the past the price of $3100 was a support as well.
Gold prices fell by more than $50. Two news will be released.At the end of the Asian session, gold accelerated its decline, with the lowest price falling to around $3,123, and plummeting more than $50 during the day.
Gold prices continued to fall in the Asian session and were under pressure from multiple factors. Optimism about Sino-US trade weakened gold's safe-haven effect. In addition, reduced bets on the Fed's rate cuts and rising US Treasury yields are also not conducive to gold prices.
There are two pieces of news to pay attention to in today's trading market.
1. At 8:30 a.m. US time, the U.S. Census Bureau will release April retail sales data.
2. At 8:40 a.m. US time, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver an opening speech at the second Thomas Laubach Research Conference. (This conference will focus on research on monetary policy and economics, and is expected to provide an academic perspective for the Fed's commitment to review the monetary policy framework every five years.)
Trading analysis:
Gold prices have just fallen below the $3,140 support level, which makes gold prices vulnerable. Some follow-up selling could push gold further towards $3,100; if it falls below this level, gold could target $3,060.
On the upside, if gold prices rise back above the $3,160-3,170 area, it could face strong resistance at the Asian session high and then $3,200.
Any further gains in gold prices could be seen as selling opportunities and could lose upward momentum around $3,230. This is a key level, and if it breaks through this level, a new round of short-covering could push gold prices up to $3,265 to form resistance before moving towards the $3,300 mark.
Market trading is risky, and I hope you will take profits in time; make a good profit.
Gold plummets, pay attention to the 3100 first-line support🗞News side:
1. Russia and Ukraine hold ceasefire talks
2. Initial jobless claims data released during today's US trading session
3. Trump administration exposed to trillions of national debt
📈Technical aspects:
Gold has been in a sideways consolidation yesterday, and we did not have a good entry opportunity to trade in the evening. Today, it has been falling with inertia since the opening of the market. It has now fallen to around 3130, successfully breaking through 3150, the key early point. At present, the daily chart of gold is in a downward wedge arrangement, with the focus on 3130 support below and 3200 suppression above. If the European market cannot fall below 3130, then be wary of bullish counterattacks.
On the other hand, if we fall below the 3130 line, we will fall back and continue to focus on the 60-day moving average support 3105-3110 area. Therefore, in terms of operation, gold will first focus on the 3130 first-line support. If it breaks below, wait for the 3105-3110 area and then consider buying based on the long-short game. The top target is the 3190-3200 area. If it does not break 3200, then go short!
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD SellThis week's trading cycle is fast. And there are huge fluctuations. The news is still more negative. So the decline is expected. Followers have also gained rich profits.
At present, the entire trading logic is still mainly selling. With the gradual realization of the goal, the space below becomes larger.
After the target of 3160-3130 is reached, XAUUSD has reached the lowest position of 3119. This is a huge drop. The trading opportunities are also greater. At present, 3150-3130 is a support in a dense trading area. In the short term, you can pay attention to the rebound position of 3160-3172DE selling position. The target is 3100-3070.
If it breaks through 3175, then the short-term needs to pay attention to the upper pressure level of 3200-3210. The transaction is still mainly selling.
Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPIOANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher to $3,255 early Tuesday as traders awaited the US April CPI report. While the 90-day US-China tariff truce improved market sentiment and limited gold’s upside, geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, and South Asia continue to drive safe-haven flows. A de-escalation in US-China trade tensions triggered the recent pullback, with price failing to reclaim the $3,271 resistance. The $3,213 area remains a major support. A break above $3,271 is needed to resume bullish momentum, while failure to hold $3,213 could expose $3,127.
Resistance : $3,271 , $3,305
Support : $3,213 , $3,127