Is the gold correction over?✏️Yesterday's D1 candle closed above the Breakout 3363 zone. This shows that the buyers in the US session are still strong. There is a possibility of a liquidity sweep in the Tokyo and London sessions, then in the New York session, Gold will recover and increase again. The uptrend is really broken when Gold confirms a close below 3345. In this case, we have to wait for 3320 to confirm the BUY point. The gold uptrend at this time also needs new momentum to be able to move towards ATH 3500.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3345-3320
Resistance: 3373-3418
Buy zone: 3345 (bullish wave structure maintained); BUY DCA break 3373
Buy zone: 3320 (Strong support zone)
Target: 3417
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Xauusdanalysis
Gold breaks price channel, officially starts falling✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD price has officially broken the bullish wave structure and broken the bullish channel. A corrective downtrend has begun to form. If there is a pull back to the trendline today, it is considered a good opportunity for sell signals.
The liquidity zone 3250 is the target of this corrective downtrend. The 3283 zone also has to wait for confirmation because when the market falls and the momentum of the decline, the number of FOMO sellers will be very strong. The opposite direction is when closing back above 3375, Gold will return to the uptrend.
📉 Key Levels
SELL zone 3343-3345
Target: 3250
BUY trigger: Rejection candle 3285
Buy zone: 3251
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GBPJPY starts corrective downtrend. Ready to SELL✏️ OANDA:GBPJPY has broken the trendline structure and broken the disputed zone. Price is heading towards the support zone ahead around 197.000. This is considered a breakout zone for DCA rather than BUYing at this zone. The downtrend of GBPJPY may extend to the bottom of last week.
📉 Key Levels
SELL now GBPJPY 198.000
SELL trigger: Break support zone 197.000
Target 195.500
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XAUUSD Thursday Chart Market Structure & Context
Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
Overall Trend: Bearish after a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside
Current Price Action: In a retracement phase toward a premium supply zone
Bias: Expecting a liquidity sweep upward, followed by a strong sell-off
🧱 Key Structure Zones
NYL.H & NYL.L: High and Low of the previous New York session
ASIA.H & ASIA.L: High and Low of the Asia session
NYPM.H & NYPM.L: High and Low of the New York PM session
🔍 Critical Levels & POIs
Breaker Block (Dark Gray Box)
Formed after price swept buy-side liquidity and then broke structure upward
Expected to act as a support zone for a temporary buy or a reaction point
BSL POI (Buy-Side Liquidity - Point of Interest)
A manipulated breakout area targeted by smart money
Expected to entice FOMO buyers before a sharp reversal downward
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL)
Located below the current breaker block
This is the final liquidity target for a continuation sell move
📈 Expected Price Behavior
Price is currently retracing upward
Projected Scenario:
Price moves up to tap into the BSL POI zone (around 3,303–3,305)
Price rejects the POI, forming a potential distribution range
Breakdown from the range initiates a sell-off
Targeting final support / liquidity sweep around 3,268.04
🎯 Trade Setup & Plan
Bias: Sell after a liquidity sweep above key highs
Entry Trigger: Upon clear rejection from the BSL POI zone
Stop Loss: Above BSL POI (~3,307–3,309)
Take Profit: 3,268.04, yielding a Risk-to-Reward Ratio ~4.67
⏰ Killzone Timing (SMC Timing Model)
NY AM Killzone (14:00–19:00 GMT+7)
→ Ideal for entries; likely where liquidity manipulation occurs
NY Lunch & PM
→ Potential for distribution phase completion and sell-off
📌 Additional Notes
Price action reveals a clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) and a completed BSL sweep
Final downside target aims for the NYPM Low, identified as a weak low
Rejection from the breaker block is crucial; confirmation via BOS/CHoCH on lower TF is preferred
Gold 31 July – Bearish Bias Holds, Watching Supply ZonesGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 31 July
Market structure is now aligned across both higher and lower timeframes:
H4: Bearish
M15: Bearish
This alignment strengthens the probability of trend-continuation setups in favor of the dominant downtrend.
🔄 Current Market Behavior:
The M15 chart is currently in a pullback phase, retracing toward its previous lower high and approaching a key supply zone.
📍 Key Supply Zones to Watch:
Zone 1 – Immediate Supply Zone (3299 – 3305)
• First area of interest where price may react.
• If respected and followed by M1 confirmation, a short setup could be initiated.
• Watch for signs of exhaustion or sharp rejection.
Zone 2 – Higher Supply Zone (3326 – 3332)
• If the first zone fails, this becomes the next high-probability area.
• Well-aligned with the broader bearish structure — expect stronger reaction potential.
• Suitable for cleaner high RR short trades if price reaches this level.
✅ Execution Plan:
• Observe how price behaves inside the marked zones.
• Only plan short entries after M1 confirmation — this adds precision and prevents premature entries.
• Stay patient. Let the market come to you and reveal intent before acting.
📌 Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Structure: H4 and M15 both support downside bias
Zones in Focus:
– Primary: 3299–3305
– Secondary: 3326–3332
Execution: Wait for confirmation before entering.
Risk-Reward: Maintain 1:3 RR minimum (e.g., 40 pip SL, 120 pip TP).
Let the structure guide your setups — not impulse.
📘 Shared by ChartIsMirror
XAUUSD 1H AnalysisGold experienced a strong selloff, breaking multiple key S&R levels and forming a clear bearish structure. Currently, price is reacting from the PD Low + 1H demand zone (~3265) and pulling back.
🔍 Key Zones:
PD High – 3335: Major resistance / Supply
Supply Zone – 3295–3305: Key area to watch for bearish reaction
Current Resistance – 3285: Price testing this minor S&R level now
PD Low – 3265: Strong bullish reaction zone
📌 Potential Setups:
Sell Setup: If price enters 3295–3305 (Supply Zone) and forms rejection on 15M/1H → short toward 3265.
Buy Setup: If price breaks and holds above 3305, look for retest and continuation toward 3335.
Scalp Long: Small pullback toward 3275–3270 could offer intraday long up to 3295–3300.
📈 Bias: Still bearish unless price reclaims and sustains above 3305.
Patience is key — let price come to zone and wait for confirmation.
XAUUSD – Weak recovery, selling pressure still dominatesHello everyone! What do you think – is it time to buy or sell gold?
After clearly breaking the ascending trendline late last week, gold made a slight rebound from the 3,325 zone. However, in my view, this bounce was relatively weak and mostly technical in nature.
Currently, price is retesting a key confluence area around 3,345–3,355, which includes the previous trendline and a nearby resistance zone.
If we see a clear rejection candle form at this level, there's a high chance the price may reverse and continue its downward trend. The short-term target I’m watching is 3,300 USD – and if that level doesn’t hold, we could see stronger reactions near 3,283.
According to the VRVP indicator, volume is concentrated around lower price levels, suggesting that liquidity is still sitting near previous lows. Structurally, the market continues to form lower highs and lower lows, and with the EMA sloping downward, my primary bias remains to SELL on rallies within the trend.
Gold - The diligent top formation!🏆Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) finished the bullrun:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past 10 years, Gold has been trading in a very strong expected bullrun. Just like we witnessed it in 2011, a 10 year bullrun is followed by a shorter term bearmarket. Gold is starting to lose its strength, which is a clear sign of weakness and the beginning of a bearish reversal.
📝Levels to watch:
$2.800
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold Slipping Lower — 3250 and 3200 in Sight!✅ Gold & DXY Update – Post-FOMC Price Action
Earlier today, before the U.S. interest rate decision, I released my outlook on both the Dollar Index and gold.
In that analysis, I highlighted the DXY’s readiness to move toward the key level of 100 — and as of now, price is actively testing that exact zone, just as expected.
As for gold, I repeatedly emphasized the visible weakness on the buy side. It was clear that there were very few remaining buy orders strong enough to hold price up in this region — and that’s exactly what played out. Price has started pushing lower, in line with our expectations.
Looking ahead, I believe the first target is 3250, followed by a deeper move toward the liquidity zone and the marked box around 3200, which could act as a key target area in the coming days.
🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
Be cautious with the numerous news and short sell on rebound#XAUUSD
The market is fluctuating sideways, and whether it can achieve a V-shaped reversal still needs to wait for information such as ADP and the Federal Reserve's decision.🗞 Invest lightly today and avoid letting emotions dictate your thinking.⚖️
⚠️Although the market currently predicts that the news information is bullish for gold, and most of the trading voices are centered around bulls, we still need to be wary of the resistance area above 3345-3350.
📉Judging from the daily chart, I have clearly stated in the figure before that the current trend is a converging triangle. If the price hits the triangle boundary, coupled with the interference of external news, it may trigger panic selling, killing a wave of long buyers first🐂, and then trigger an upward trend when it retreats to near the 3300 support level, and may even test the support level of 3285. 🩳
The 4H chart shows that although the rebound momentum is still continuing📈, the gold price is still below the short-term moving average and has only recovered the lower support level. It is necessary to wait for a second retracement confirmation to determine whether a true trend reversal has been achieved. 📈
In addition, the price on the hourly chart continues to run in a downward channel. Combined with the previous trend pattern, after the rebound correction at the 4H level is completed, it is highly likely that the downward trend will continue to return to the lower support level of the daily level.🐻
If resistance is encountered at 3345-3350 for the first time today, consider shorting.💡
If the price currently retreats to around 3320-3315, consider a short-term long position. Long positions held yesterday can be manually closed at around 3330.💡
🚀 SELL 3340-3350
🚀 TP 3330-3320-3300
🚀 BUY 3320-3315
🚀 TP 3330-3340
Bearish Gold Outlook — Potential Flash Crash Imminent🔻 Technical Structure – Bearish Breakdown Brewing
Lower highs and lower lows forming on the daily and 4H timeframes — classic downtrend mechanics.
Price has rejected multiple times near $3,400–3,430, forming a strong resistance ceiling.
Support at $3,280–3,300 has been tested too many times— and each bounce is weaker. When support holds with less conviction, it's often about to break.
Volume spikes on red candles show smart money is exiting on down moves — signs of institutional distribution.
The **tightening consolidation range** looks like a **descending triangle** — usually resolves downward.
If $3,280 breaks, expect a **liquidity event**. Stops get swept, leading to a **sudden acceleration — possibly a flash crash** to $3,200 or lower.
🌍 **Fundamental Drivers – Macro Picture Is Turning Hostile for Gold**
1. Real Yields Are Climbing
U.S. real yields are up as inflation fades and the Fed stays hawkish.
Gold, being yieldless, suffers when investors can get positive returns from bonds.
2.The Dollar Is Gaining Strength
DXY is pushing higher, fueled by strong U.S. data and weak peers (euro, yen).
Gold priced in USD becomes more expensive globally — this suppresses demand.
3. **Rate Cuts Are Off the Table — or Delayed**
Market is pricing fewer and later rate cuts from the Fed.
This removes one of gold’s biggest bullish catalysts from earlier in the year.
4. Geopolitical Fear Is Cooling
No major escalation in Ukraine, Middle East, or Taiwan.
Without fear, gold loses its safe-haven premium.
5. Central Bank Buying May Have Peaked
Recent data from WGC shows some slowing in central bank accumulation.
If this institutional bid softens, gold could drop hard — few natural buyers remain above $3,300.
⚠️Conclusion: Gold Is Walking a Tightrope
The chart is a staircase down.
Macro fundamentals are no longer supportive.
A clean breakdown below $3,280 could trigger a **chain reaction** of automated selling and margin calls — **a flash crash is on the table**.
This isn’t just a correction — this feels like the calm before the storm.
GOLD PLAN – LIQUIDITY HUNT BEFORE THE REAL MOVE? SCALPING PLAN – LIQUIDITY HUNT BEFORE THE REAL MOVE? 🔍
🔹 Timeframe: 30M
🔹 Bias: Intraday Bullish to Bearish Reversal
🔹 Posted by: Clinton Scalper | Smart Money Focus
🔹 Date: July 30, 2025
🔍 MACRO CONTEXT – WHY GOLD REMAINS HIGHLY REACTIVE
The macro backdrop continues to favor volatility in gold:
🟢 Dovish Fed tone ahead of FOMC
– Fed speakers hint at a pause or rate cut timeline.
– Inflation pressures are easing → lowers interest rate expectations.
📉 USD weakening + falling yields
– 10Y U.S. bonds retreating → dollar under pressure → gold gains ground.
🌐 Geopolitical risks remain elevated
– Tensions from Middle East and global recession risks continue to drive flows into safe-haven assets like gold.
🧭 Conclusion: Short-term upside still viable – but be cautious of liquidity traps and OB rejection.
📈 TECHNICAL + SMC INSIGHTS – THE CHART TELLS THE STORY
🔹 Structure Overview:
Market broke out of a descending channel and formed a bullish ascending wedge.
However, price is now approaching multiple OB SELL zones, aligning with smart money exhaustion levels.
🔹 Key Zones:
🔺 OB SELL Zones:
3,334 → 3,342
3,354 → 3,369 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension)
🔻 OB BUY Zones:
3,302 → 3,291 (confluence with previous liquidity sweep)
📍 Current Price: 3,330 – approaching first supply zone.
🔹 Smart Money Flow:
Liquidity above 3,334 has likely been targeted.
If price reaches 3,354–3,369 and shows exhaustion, expect distribution + reversal.
Key confirmation will be a break back below the ascending structure with momentum.
🎯 TRADE PLAN – TWO POSSIBLE SCALPING SCENARIOS
✅ SCENARIO 1: SHORT FROM PREMIUM OB SELL ZONE
Looking to fade bullish liquidity grab near top of range.
Entry: 3,354–3,369
SL: 3,375
TP1: 3,334
TP2: 3,302
TP3: 3,291
Ideal for reversal scalpers catching the distribution move.
✅ SCENARIO 2: LONG FROM DISCOUNT OB BUY ZONE
If price rejects OB SELL and dumps into unfilled demand.
Entry: 3,291–3,302
SL: 3,275
TP1: 3,322
TP2: 3,343
TP3: 3,354
Smart money often reloads after hunting liquidity beneath discount OBs.
⚠️ EXECUTION REMINDERS
✅ Wait for confirmation candles: engulfing / wick rejection / breaker structure
⛔ No market orders without OB reaction
📊 Risk max 1–1.5% per position
📉 Use volume to confirm absorption / exhaustion in OB zones
📢 FINAL THOUGHT – TRAPS COME FIRST, THEN MOVES
Smart Money doesn't chase price — it hunts stops first.
We’re watching closely to see if price completes its liquidity sweep at 3,354–3,369 before a potential reversal. Alternatively, we wait for price to return to the OB BUY zone around 3,291 for a high-RR long play.
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GOLD – A Bottom in Place or Just the Calm Before the Storm?GOLD – A Bottom in Place or Just the Calm Before the Storm?
Gold has recently shed nearly $50, indicating sustained bearish pressure. But here’s the real question:
👉 Is this simply a liquidity sweep before a bullish reversal?
👉 Or are we witnessing the early stages of a broader bearish continuation?
Let’s break it all down – step by step – to map out smart, reaction-based trading opportunities.
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Overview
The US–EU trade and defence agreement has dampened gold’s role as a safe haven in the short term.
The US Dollar and equity markets remain strong, driven by solid macroeconomic data.
Overall market sentiment leans “risk-on”, pushing capital into riskier assets and away from precious metals.
📆 Upcoming Key Events:
Tuesday: ADP Employment Data
Friday: FOMC Statement & Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
These events could drastically shift market expectations around Fed policy, impacting gold’s direction.
📊 Technical Picture (Timeframes H1–H4)
Gold has rebounded from recent lows and is currently moving within a parallel bullish channel.
However, price is now nearing a critical resistance level at 3342 – a potential turning point.
🔎 Key Technical Zones:
🔺 Short-Term Resistance: 3342
🔺 Major Supply Zone: 3369–3388 (Order Block + Fair Value Gap + Fib 0.5–0.618)
🔻 High-Liquidity Support Zone: 3293–3290
🔻 Key Demand Zone (FVG): 3275–3273
🔺 High-Level Resistance: 3416
🧭 Trading Plan – Based on Price Action (Not Prediction)
We don’t guess the market. We wait, watch, and react based on price confirmation.
✅ Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Scalp Setup)
Entry: 3293 – 3291
Stop Loss: 3286
Targets: 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330
🟢 Ideal for intraday scalps within high-liquidity zones.
✅ Scenario 2 – Buy from Deep Demand (Swing Setup)
Entry: 3275 – 3273
Stop Loss: 3269
Targets: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320 → 3330
🟢 Great opportunity if price absorbs selling pressure at the FVG zone and reverses.
❌ Scenario 3 – Short from Key Resistance (3342)
Entry: 3340 – 3342
Stop Loss: 3346
Targets: 3335 → 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3310
🔴 Use if price fails to break and hold above 3342.
❌ Scenario 4 – Short from Major Supply Zone (Swing)
Entry: 3369 – 3372
Stop Loss: 3376
Targets: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 → 3320
🔴 Higher-risk setup; enter only on strong rejection or bearish candlestick confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Guidelines
Avoid entries during the London and NY open – fakeouts and stop hunts are common.
Always wait for clear price reaction within zones – avoid impulsive entries.
Respect your stop-loss levels, especially with this week’s major data releases.
🎯 Final Thoughts for UK & Global Traders
Let the market come to you – never chase price.
Stay disciplined, especially in volatile weeks like this one.
The best trades are reactionary, not predictive.
💬 Found this plan useful?
Feel free to comment your views or follow for more structured gold analyses throughout the week.
Gold Breakout or Pullback Ahead?Currently, price is in a correction phase within this rising channel after hitting the upper resistance near $3,438. The pullback is moving toward the mid and lower channel zones, which is healthy for a bullish continuation. Gold is in a healthy pullback phase inside a bigger bullish trend. If support at $3,358 – $3,373 holds, expect an upward push back to $3,438 → $3,487 → $3,517 in the coming sessions. Only a clean break below $3,309 would signal a deeper bearish move.
Gold is likely to consolidate or retest the lower channel support ($3,358 – $3,373). If buyers defend this zone, the price is expected to bounce back toward $3,400 – $3,420 and eventually retest $3,438.
Key Price Zones
- Main Resistance: $3,438 (if broken, potential rally toward $3,487 → $3,517)**
- Immediate Support: $3,373 (first reaction level)
- Major Support: $3,358 (key level to protect bullish structure)
- Potential Higher Low Zone: Around $3,342.44
Expected Price Behavior
- If gold holds above $3,373 – $3,358, it is likely to form a new higher low near $3,342 – $3,358 before attempting to push higher.
- A successful breakout above $3,438 would indicate continuation of the bullish momentum targeting $3,487 and $3,517 ).
- Failure to hold above $3,358 may open the door for a deeper correction toward $3,309, but the overall trend remains bullish unless that level is broken.
Trend Outlook
- Short-Term Trend: Consolidation / corrective pullback within a bullish channel
- Medium-Term Trend: Bullish (higher lows and breakout structure intact)
- Long-Term Trend: Bullish as long as the channel holds above $3,309
Gold is currently in a pullback phase after a strong bullish breakout. The market is likely forming a higher low and may resume upward momentum once the $3,373 – $3,358 zone is confirmed as support. A breakout above $3,438 would validate a bullish continuation toward $3,487 - $3,517.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold (XAU/USD) in Symmetrical Triangle – Short‑Term Squeeze,Price Structure & Technical Setup
Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, showing lower highs and higher lows—a classic precursor to breakout in either direction
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Trendlines converge tightly around $3,326–$3,334, hinting at imminent directional acceleration
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🎯 Key Levels & Targets
Scenario Trigger Confirm Area Targets Stop Loss
Bullish Breakout above $3,344–$3,350 $3,369 → $3,396 → $3,422–$3,550 ~$3,340
Bearish Breakdown below ~$3,326–$3,320 $3,320 → $3,300 → $3,297 → $3,255 ~$3,335–$3,340
A breakout above $3,344–$3,350 validated with volume may drive prices toward $3,400+, with extended targets up to $3,550 or higher in bullish conditions
Traders Union
Time Price Research
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A drop below $3,326–$3,320 risks further decline, targeting $3,300, $3,297, and eventually $3,255 if breakdown momentum builds .
📉 Market Context & Drivers
U.S. dollar strength, easing safe-haven demand, and optimistic trade sentiment are constraining gold’s upside unless breakout forces emerge .
Key upcoming catalysts: FOMC guidance, U.S. macro data (GDP, inflation), and geopolitical developments—their tone could tip the bias direction .
⚙️ Trade Rules & Risk Management
Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown—do not trade mid-range.
Confirm break with at least one close outside the triangle and rising volume .
Position sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade, adjust stop-loss to price structure ($8–$15 depending on volatility).
Take profits in stages: scale out at minor milestones (first targets), trail stop for extended targets.
Avoid chasing price within the middle of the triangle—risk/reward is unfavorable.
🧠 Why This Plan?
Follows textbook symmetrical triangle trading methodology: entry on breakout, stop beyond pattern opposite side, projection based on triangle height .
Aligns with broader outlook: bearish unless convincing upside breakout appears, consistent with analyst consensus hedging current bull exhaustion and wait‑and‑see on policy signals .
✅ Summary
Gold is coiling inside a tight triangle range near $3,326–$3,334, with breakout potential identified to either side:
Bullish breakout over $3,344–$3,350 targets up to $3,550 or beyond.
Bearish breakdown under $3,326–$3,320 risks slide towards $3,300–$3,255.
Wait for confirmation, apply disciplined risk controls, and let volume validate the move.
Gold: ADP, Fed & Key Resistance Gold has been range-bound today—let’s focus on the impact of the ADP data and Fed rate decision ⚠️.
Key resistance lies around 3345-3350 📍: a breakout could fuel further upside 📈, while a rejection may trigger an oscillating pullback 📉
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3325
🚀 TP 3333 - 3339 -3344
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
GOLD - Near Current Resistance? holding or not??#GOLD... so market perfectly holds our expected bottom and bounced back and now market just near to his current Resistance region.
that is around 3328 to 3332
keep close that region because if market hold it in that case we can see again drop towards our ultimate support 3310
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse above 3332 on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
Gold’s Biggest Day of 2025: Collapse or New High Incoming?🟡 Gold Pre-FOMC Update | Patience Paid Off
In my previous analysis released on Monday, we highlighted the significance of the 3310 key red level on gold. I mentioned that if we got a daily candle close below this zone, it could trigger further downside.
That scenario didn’t play out — price closed above 3310, and that’s exactly why we stayed out of any short positions. No guessing, no forcing. Just patience.
On the flip side, I also said we need a daily close above 3350 to even consider going long. And as you can see, for the past two days, price has been ranging tightly between 3310 and 3330 — with relatively low trading volume across the board.
After 9 years of optimizing this strategy, one core principle remains unchanged:
🛡️ Capital protection and maximum risk control always come first.
And I can confidently say — those filters are working beautifully. I hope you’re benefiting from this approach too.
Now technically speaking, everything is lining up for a bullish DXY and bearish gold —
But tonight’s FOMC meeting and Powell vs. Trump drama will be the final trigger.
Let’s watch closely. Smart trading is patient trading. 🧠⚖️
🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary.
Disclaimer:This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.