Will gold continue to rise?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. If you have a different opinion, you can express your thoughts in the comment area. At present, the first important position of gold is around 3295, and the second is 3320-3330.
3295 is the 382 position of gold in this round. If the rebound does not pass here, then if it falls again next, it is very likely to break the support of 3200.
The second is 3320-3330, which is the gap on Monday. If it goes up, the possibility of filling the gap is also very high.
So, next pay attention to the two positions I mentioned above, 3295 and 3320-30. If you want to sell gold, it is best to wait for these three price positions.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold fell and then rose to $3,250. Next trend?News summary:
After two days of negotiations in Geneva, China and the United States announced that they would reduce tariffs on each other in the next three months: the US tariff on Chinese imports would be reduced from 145% to 30%, and China's tariff on US goods would be reduced from 125% to 10%. This news pushed global stock markets up.
Boosted by the agreement, market risk appetite has increased, investors' concerns about the US recession have eased, and expectations for the Fed's aggressive rate cuts this year have also declined accordingly, which has pushed the US dollar to continue to strengthen, and gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has come under pressure.
Technical analysis:
Gold prices fell below the 21-day moving average on Monday, when the average was at $3,313, further increasing downside risks. The 14-day relative strength index also fell below the midline for the first time since early April, sending a bearish signal. Buyers are trying to regain control of the situation.
Traders need to pay attention to the release of US CPI data.
I think if the US CPI data is higher than expected, gold prices may start a new round of decline, with the target being $3,145 near the 50-day moving average. The important support level below is $3,100.
On the contrary, if the CPI data is lower than expected, gold prices are expected to re-enter the 21-day SMA, which is currently $3,311. Once this resistance is broken, it will test the trend line resistance at $3,430. If it breaks further, the trend will open up space for gold prices to hit the historical high of $3,500.
Gold still has room to fallThe current market sentiment is undergoing a significant shift from risk aversion to risk appetite. The easing of trade tensions has greatly boosted market risk appetite, leading to a large-scale outflow of funds from safe-haven assets such as gold.
Considering the positive impact of the tariff agreement, gold prices may face further downward pressure. Technical analysis shows that once it falls below the $3,200 mark, the next support level is around $3,150. The further weakening of market risk aversion and the strengthening of the US dollar will continue to suppress gold prices.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to cross the downward short position, proving that there is still room for gold to go down. Based on the short-term resistance area near 3250, continue to short gold on rallies.
Gold's short-term rebound is weakAt the daily level, the Bollinger Bands are closing and flattening, and the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average are entangled near the middle track. The current price is running below the middle track, and the 5-day moving average has turned downward. The technical side shows that the current gold price is fluctuating and bearish, and the MACD has crossed at a high level. The red column continues to shrink. Intraday operations should focus on high-altitude thinking. Pay attention to the 10-day moving average and the middle track 3250-60 area resistance on the top, and pay attention to the support near the lower track of US$3200 on the bottom.
At the 4-hour level, the current downward trend of shock is more obvious, and the shape is a step-down. Ma5 and Ma10 are glued together and cross below 66ma. MACD death cross is combined with green column volume, and the overall idea of falling back and adjusting is maintained. The 1-hour moving average is still a downward short arrangement. After gold jumped down and opened, there is a large gap. Gold rebounded weakly and continued to fall. It will be difficult to cover the losses in the short term, and it will be covered in the process of roundabouts in the future market.
Gold Price Analysis Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease🔥 Gold Price Analysis: Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease
Technical Analysis Overview:
Yesterday's sharp decline in gold prices suggests a temporary de-escalation in geopolitical tensions, particularly in terms of the ongoing conflicts and political uncertainties. The global situation seems to be calming down, which has had a significant impact on the market.
From a political and trade perspective, the current price trend seems to be rational, though nothing is set in stone. Key negotiations are still underway, and important agreements may still be signed. After the sharp fall, gold has found some recovery, especially as it returns to liquidity gaps to fill.
Current Viewpoint:
At this stage, I am still expecting a retracement in gold prices, which will present better selling opportunities. While yesterday’s outlook focused on selling, we successfully identified key levels for buying. Today, selling opportunities seem more favorable than buying.
We need a pullback to fill the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and yesterday’s gap, after which gold may undergo another significant adjustment. The political dynamics, along with potential delays in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, could push gold back to $3000 per ounce. If this happens, the rise in gold prices would be easy to foresee.
Short-Term Strategy:
In the short term, we will continue following the market’s wave of corrections. Short positions may be more sustainable, and holding onto them could prove more beneficial in the current environment.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 3264 – 3278 – 3307 – 3328
Support Levels: 3241 – 3207 – 3196 – 3172 – 3156
Buy Opportunities:
Scalp Buy Zone: 3196 – 3164
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220
Buy Zone: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190
Sell Opportunities:
Scalp Sell Zone: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240
Sell Zone: 3328 – 3330
SL: 3334
TP: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3312 – 3308 – 3300 – 3290 – 3280
Upcoming Key News:
In the US session, we are expecting the release of CPI data for this period. As this is a crucial data point for the month, traders should pay attention. Currently, there is not enough information to analyze the CPI in-depth, so I will update you on the developments at the end of the European session, as we head into the US market.
Important Notes:
Ensure that you manage risk effectively and stick to your TP/SL levels to safeguard your account. We are still in a volatile period, and as always, caution is key when navigating these types of market conditions.
Good Luck!
Gold’s Short-Term Setup!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to fall today after the news " The United States has dropped its tariffs on Chinese goods to 30%, down from a brutal 145%, while China is slashing its own duties on US imports to just 10%, temporarily, for the next 90 days. "
Gold is moving near a Heavy Support zone($3,198-$3,136) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it appears that Gold has completed five downwaves , and we should expect Gold to rise at least to the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) .
It is possible that selling pressure on Gold will increase again with the opening of the US marke t. But this analysis is in the short term , and it is likely to hit Target before the US market opens.
The Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern can also be a sign of Gold rising , at least in the short term .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,241.890.
Note: Stop Loss(SL): $3204.820
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
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XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 13/05/2025Major Supply Zones:
Upper Supply Zone around $3,275–$3,285: Strong reaction from this area before the massive drop.
Mid Supply Zone around $3,265 - $3,268: Price has reacted again here.
Trendline Liquidity Grab:
Price moved above the internal rising trendline (liquidity sweep).
The wick into the trendline’s upper side aligns with a key supply zone, followed by rejection = potential shift in structure.
Bearish Rejection from Supply:
Confluence zone (circle area) where price might reverse.
Strong rejection seen right after price tapped this zone. possible entry trigger.
Internal Structure Shift:
If price breaks $3,245 support, that confirms CHoCH (Change of Character).
Bearish FVG could be forming just below the supply zone, which may act as resistance on retests.
📉 Trade Signal (Short Setup)
🔔 Entry:
Sell: $3,265 - 68 (if price returns for a retest of supply zone)
OR
Sell Market: If current bearish candle confirms engulfing with strong momentum
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $3,245 (mid support zone)
TP2: $3,220 (major demand zone at the bottom)
TP3 (swing): $3,210–$3,200
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
Above supply zone high: $3,275+
✅ Confluences for Bearish Bias:
Liquidity sweep above trendline
Supply zone rejection
Structure shifting lower
Price action showing rejection wicks
Clean imbalance zones below (liquidity magnets)
Kindly follow, support, comment and share as well.
XAU/USD: Short-term Operation UpdateAt present, the gold price has broken through 3260. In the short term, we should pay attention to shorting at the resistance level of the Fibonacci retracement during the pullback. The range of 3270-3280 US dollars is the position for shorting, with a stop loss at 3295 US dollars. However, the probability of reaching this position is not high. Meanwhile, we can go long when the price retests the range of 3235-3230 US dollars. The key lies in the US CPI data during the US trading session.
XAU/USD
sell@3270-3280
tp:3240-3230
sl:3290
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5/12 Gold Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Gold opened lower and extended losses today, influenced by easing China–U.S. trade tensions and ceasefire news from India-Pakistan.
The recent rally was largely driven by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical concerns. As tensions ease, gold's retracement is a logical market reaction.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Gold has now returned to a previous consolidation zone . While some support exists, current candlestick structure and most indicators show no clear bullish reversal yet.
Entering long positions too early may pose short-term risks, so trend trades should wait for stronger confirmation.
For flexible intraday trading, watch:
Support at 3263–3246: Holding this zone could trigger a rebound back toward 3309 resistance.
📌 Trading Recommendations:
✅ Sell Zone: 3306 – 3321
✅ Buy Zone: 3218 – 3198
🔁 Range for Scalp/Short-Term Trades: 3294 – 3263 / 3238 – 3269
Today's gold trend analysis, go long in batches🗞News side:
1. China-US trade relations eased, suspending some tariffs and countermeasures
2. Russia and Ukraine suspended firing for 30 days, and the India-Pakistan conflict was temporarily mediated
📈Technical aspects:
Since the US and China lowered some tariffs after the negotiation, the US dollar has recovered some of its losses, but gold has not completely recovered some of its losses. At present, the price of gold has once again retreated to near the 3260 line. Although the hourly level MACD indicator shows a golden cross, the daily level is still a dead cross and heavy volume.
Then in the short term, the gold price may show some counter-twitching momentum before the US dollar steps back to confirm support, or it may touch near the 3277 line. The gold price may fall further after the US dollar steps back to confirm the support. From a technical point of view, the upper daily resistance is near 3287, while the lower first-line support of 3200 is strong, and there is a tendency to form a double bottom. The European market can consider using 3250-40 US dollars as a support point, and the early trading low near 3220 as a defensive position. First, let's see the gold price continue to rebound to 3277-80-87, unless the European market weakens and breaks the Asian low, and then the US market adjusts. Temporarily, we will see a rebound correction.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Ideas - Tuesday May 13 ahead of CPI🧠 GOLD (XAUUSD) – Reaction Zones & Ideas – May 13, 2025
🔹 Bias: Bearish with Corrective Bounce - potential flip to bullish
Gold is currently retracing after reacting off the 3220 liquidity sweep zone. While price is moving upward intraday, the overall structure remains bearish on the higher timeframes. This is a corrective bounce unless we break decisively above 3297.
Today’s CPI release brings volatility risk. Price may spike into premium zones before reversing. Stay reactive — not predictive.
📊 Key 4H Reaction Zones
These are zones of interest where price may reverse or accelerate, depending on behavior inside.
🔴 Potential Sell Zones
• 3272–3287
Lower premium trap zone. Strong confluence area ahead of CPI.
Watch for early rejection if price spikes here.
• 3292–3308
HTF OB + FVG combo. If price drives here quickly, high probability of overextension fade.
• 3315–3330
Final upper sweep zone. Only valid if price breaks above 3300 aggressively during NY.
🟢 Potential Buy Zones
• 3220–3240
Confirmed sweep base. If price calmly retests, may provide second entry opportunity.
• 3170–3190
Deep HTF demand zone. Only in play if CPI triggers heavy downside movement.
⚠️ CPI Volatility Alert
CPI releases at 12:30 GMT / 15:30 GMT+3.
This event can trigger unpredictable price action — fakeouts, long wicks, and rapid reversals. Wait for structure. Let the market reveal the plan.
🧠 Final Note
The zone is never the trade.
The behavior inside is.
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Gold 3200 Life and Death Battle!Gold stabilized after touching the support of the 3193-3202 rising trend line. Although the US market rebounded, it did not form an effective breakthrough. In the short term, it is still dominated by shorts.
Short-term strategy:
Before 3200 is broken, you can go long on dips. If it falls below, stop the loss decisively, and use a small stop loss to game the potential bull reversal. Whether the 3250 pressure is broken or not determines the short-term direction
XAU/USD Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection to Target 3350Trend Overview
📉 Downtrend in Play
Price has reversed from the peak near $3,354
Currently trading below the 70 EMA (📍$3,299.86)
Forming lower highs – indicating bearish momentum.
Key Zones & Levels
🔶 Supply Zone (Resistance)
📍 $3,290.72 – $3,353.41
Strong selling pressure expected here
Possible short entry if price gets rejected
🟦 Support Zone (Previous Support)
📍 Around $3,254 – $3,210
Price has previously bounced here
🎯 Target Point (Take Profit)
📍 $3,050
Clear support level – used as a profit target
Trade Setup – Bearish Bias
🟩 Entry Point
📉 Sell near $3,290.72 (inside supply zone)
🛑 Stop Loss
❌ Above $3,354.69 (above resistance line)
✅ Take Profit
💰 Target $3,050
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio
Approx. 1:3 – Favorable for short trades.
Summary
🔍 Watch for a rejection in the supply zone
💼 Setup is ideal for short sellers
📊 Downtrend is supported by structure and EMA
Gold turning point. What signals are hidden?Overall analysis of gold trend:
Gold prices suffered a setback under the influence of the optimism of tomorrow's US-China negotiations. The core reason for the decline in gold prices is the breakthrough in global tariff negotiations.
The key factor driving the rise in gold prices early on: Tariff concerns are significantly easing, which directly leads to the gold market entering a phased consolidation.
I think the price of gold will fluctuate in the range of US$3,000-3,300 per ounce for some time to come. This forecast range is significantly narrower than before, reflecting that in the current complex and changing market environment, gold price fluctuations will tend to be rational.
I think the gold price at this time is already at the crossroads of an important trend.
The current gold market is facing a fierce game between long and short factors. On the one hand, the optimism brought about by the easing of trade tensions suppresses gold prices; on the other hand, the safe-haven demand generated by economic uncertainty, potential spot shortages, and the continued inflow of ETF funds provide support for gold prices. This complex market environment makes the trend of gold prices full of variables.
For traders, it is more necessary to remain rational in the current market environment, pay attention to short-term price fluctuations, and grasp the long-term value of gold as a safe-haven asset. The next round of big market in the gold market may be nurtured in these seemingly contradictory market signals.
Operation strategy:
Traders need to try to adopt scalping trading strategies in the current small fluctuation range, enter the market in time, and take profits in time.
The current fluctuation range is between $3200 and $3245. You can try to short near the high point and long at the low point, so that you can reap a small profit.
If you are a large-capital customer who can withstand market fluctuations, you can hold the position and wait and see for part of the time, and then choose the appropriate time to close the position.
Gold Technicals & Potential Fundamental OutlooksPrice action shows gold respecting a key horizontal support zone around $3,215–$3,225, where multiple previous rejections have occurred. The latest candlesticks reveal long wicks to the downside and rejection from that area, indicating strong buyer interest and potential accumulation. Volume is increasing, which reinforces the credibility of this support.
The structure points to a potential reversal setup as the market creates a base and shows early signs of higher lows. If price breaks and closes above the minor resistance around $3,245–$3,255, bullish momentum may follow, targeting the next swing highs near $3,300–$3,340.
A clean invalidation for this bullish bias would be a breakdown below the $3,215 support zone with strong volume.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: $3,215–$3,225 (major support zone)
Resistance: $3,255 (minor), then $3,300–$3,340
Bias: Bullish above $3,255, cautious below $3,215
Some USD-impacting events for today include:
U.S. CPI or PPI data – Inflation readings can influence Fed rate expectations, affecting gold.
Fed speeches – Any hawkish/dovish signals from Federal Reserve officials will shift sentiment.
Retail Sales or Consumer Sentiment (UoM) – Strong numbers might boost the dollar and pressure gold, while weak ones can do the opposite.
5/13 Gold Trading Signals🌞Good afternoon everyone!
Yesterday, gold successfully entered the 3218–3198 buy zone, delivering notable profits.
So far, the price has tested both the 3218 support and the 3246 resistance multiple times, reflecting a fierce battle between bulls and bears. From a technical perspective, bulls appear slightly favored in the short term, with major resistance located between 3286–3320.
⚠️ However, if gold fails to break through this area and reverses, it may initiate a medium-term downtrend, potentially falling toward the 3169–3110 zone.
📌 Trading Recommendations for Today:
Sell Zone: 3305 – 3330
Buy Zone: 3208 – 3178
Flexible Trading Ranges:
▫️ 3218 – 3252
▫️ 3282 – 3248
▫️ 3252 – 3303
Rebound under pressure and continue to shortGold has been in a volatile state since the opening today, opening at 3236 and reaching a high of 3243. It is currently fluctuating in the form of shocks. With the comprehensive ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the peace talks in the Sino-US tariff war, gold will still be in a downward trend. Although it is in a downward trend, we should not chase the short position directly. We can just treat it as a rebound short position. Yesterday, we gave a long strategy at the 3217 line below, and the long position also perfectly grasped a rebound. The main trend is still to short on the rebound. After all, the general trend is bearish. The 3260-65 line above is the main short-term suppression level at present. If the rebound is not broken, you can continue to short. Pay attention to the support of the 3200 mark.
Judging from the current gold trend, pay attention to the 3206-3215 support line on the downside, with a focus on the 3200 support line. Pay attention to the 3260-65 short-term resistance on the upside, and strong resistance near the 3275-3281 level. This position is also the watershed between the strength of bulls and bears. Before the daily level breaks through and stands at this position, the main short rhythm of the pullback will continue to remain unchanged.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short gold at 3260-65 when it rebounds, short at 3275-83 when it rebounds, stop loss at 3293, target at 3206-3215, continue to hold if it breaks
XAUUSD IS RECOMMENDED TO BE SOLDHere I Created This XAUUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 15 - Minutes
Pattern: Resistance Level
Momentum: Bearish/ SELL
Entry Level : SELL 3247
Resistance zone : 3254
Target Will Be : 3220
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
Gold 100% Profit SignalWith the sharp drop on Monday, gold will not be as strong as before, but don't forget that the overall gold price is still bullish. It is currently an adjustment under the big cycle, which I have always emphasized. It opened lower on Monday, and this situation has definitely weakened. The market outlook needs to observe whether it will continue. Today, the market is looking for support near 3200, but it can also turn strong at any time under the current market conditions. After all, the big cycle is still bullish. After waiting for the small cycle adjustment to end, it is likely to return to the bullish trend. From the short-term, it has now rebounded to around 3240 near the 3200 mark for rectification. The upper short-term pressure is near 3300 and 3260. If it does not break this position, it will first fluctuate downward. Once it stands firmly above this position, the market outlook can still see 3350-3400. In short-term operations, first use 3260 as a stop loss and short at highs below. First look at this wave of callback profits, and then look at the support of the previous low point of 3200 below. If it breaks, we expect the downward trend to continue. If it doesn't break, we will go long on the reverse. Then, based on the support situation at 3200, we will choose the opportunity to go long and arrange a long-term bullish plan.
For short-term gold trading, you can do short-term shorts below 790, and the support below is around 760. Then consider going long. Rongtong Gold and Accumulated Gold are long-term products. From a long-term perspective, they are still rising. Let's wait for this wave of decline to complete the bottoming. Currently, it is still fluctuating in the range, with support below at 750 and pressure above at 790 and 810. So you can consider entering the market in batches at 750-770. If you have long orders, just continue to hold them. In the future, we will look at 800 or above when the market rises.
Gold is trading sideways, can the bearish trend continue?🗞News side:
1. China-US trade relations eased, suspending some tariffs and countermeasures
2. Russia and Ukraine suspended firing for 30 days, and the India-Pakistan conflict was temporarily mediated
📈Technical aspects:
The trading strategy given today, if brothers have reference and follow the trading strategy to participate in long orders, I think you should all have good gains on hand. At present, gold is in consolidation, the 4H moving average is in a short position, and the MACD dead cross continues to increase, so the short-term short momentum still exists. From a technical point of view, in the downward trend from last week's high of 3347 to the current low of 3207, 3260 is at a key position. Therefore, we pay attention to the possibility of gold rebounding to 3260 in the evening.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Today, gold fluctuated at a low level after its declineAfter the opening gap down to around 3275 on Monday, it rebounded to around 3292 at its highest and then started the downward trend. By the afternoon of Monday, gold touched around 3207 at its lowest and then fluctuated upwards. Yesterday's analysis was largely in line with the market trend. Through the observation and judgment of the market, with the strategy of combining long and short positions, the entry timing was quite good, and the trading results were also satisfactory. 👉👉👉
Judging from the current trend of gold, pay attention to the support level of 3215-3220 below. Focus on the support at the level of 3200. Regarding the resistance above, pay attention to the short-term suppression at the level of 3270-3280, and the strong resistance is around the 3300 mark.
In terms of operation, the main strategy is to go long on the pullback. At intermediate positions, it is advisable to observe more and trade less. Be cautious about chasing orders and patiently wait to enter the market at key price levels.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3215-3220
sl 3200
tp 3230-3240
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