Bottoming out? Be wary of the market.After a sharp drop to around 3300 on Monday, gold rebounded, reaching a high of around 3330 so far.
From the 1-hour chart,Gold has now broken out and stabilized within the hourly chart's downward trend channel. The key upward level is currently around 3330. If it breaks above 3330 again, caution is advised; it may test 3345-3350. Conversely, if it fails to break above 3330, gold may consolidate between 3300-3330 before the non-farm payrolls release.
From a short-term 15-minute perspective, the current 15-minute range has been broken out and stabilized. The current situation is unfavorable for bears. Based on the trend, a breakout above the 15-minute range would indicate a rebound. However, until 3330 holds, the 3320-3330 range is the only option. However, the current trend favors a bullish pullback, so I'm not too keen on shorting. Therefore, focus on support at 3320.
If it fails to break below 3320, enter a long position near 3320. The upper target is the top of the 3345-3350 range.
Xauusdanalysis
European session under pressure 3321 continue to shortI reminded everyone last night that if gold holds the 3300 mark, it will consolidate in the 3300-3345 range in the short term. The current gold price basically fluctuates narrowly between 3320-3310. Judging from the daily chart, the short-term upper pressure is at 3330. Only if the daily line stands firmly above 3330, there is a possibility of a rebound upward in the short term. Judging from the hourly chart, gold is still in a downward trend, and the hourly line is blocked near 3321. In the short term, if it cannot break through 3320-3330, gold will continue to fall. You can consider shorting, with the target at 3310-3300. If the European session is still volatile, maintain high shorts and low longs to participate in the cycle.
My premium privileges are about to expire, and subsequent trading strategies and analysis will be published in the group.
XAUUSD – Bears in Control, but Watch for a Rebound FirstYesterday, after a small bounce from the ascending trendline, Gold broke down and printed an intraday low around $3300.
Right now, the market appears bear-dominated, and further downside continuation is likely in the coming days.
________________________________________
📉 But there’s a catch:
From last week's top, Gold has dropped over 1400 pips without any meaningful correction.
That opens the door for a possible short-term rebound, which could be just a setup for new short entries.
________________________________________
📌 Key levels to watch:
• First resistance: $3350
• Major resistance: $3375 – Only a daily close above this level would shift control back to the bulls
🎯 Until then, any bounce is an opportunity to sell into strength.
A break below $3300 opens the path to $3280, with a likely extension toward $3250.
________________________________________
Conclusion:
The trend is bearish, but don’t chase.
Wait for a corrective rally, then look to sell the rip—unless bulls reclaim $3375, it’s still a bear market.
Let’s see if Gold gives us the setup. 🎯
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD: Time for massive drop? +3000 pips move! Gold has failed to breakthrough the previous resistance indicating a strong sellers hold around $3440 region. Now since the price has stared dropping we can see it dropping around $2800 in long term. In order for this to happen we need strong confirmation, which will help us understand the possible volume.
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Technical Shift FVG Break and Retest Hints at Further Upside!Gold is currently showing strength after taking support from the trendline, indicating buyers are stepping in around that level. Moreover the price has successfully broken above the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which suggests a shift in market sentiment. This FVG zone has now transitioned into an inversion level meaning what was once a resistance area could now act as support. At the moment, the market is pulling back, likely to retest this newly flipped zone. If buyers defend this area on the retest, it could provide the base for a potential bullish continuation. From this zone, we may witness a strong upward move, with the next target likely being the liquidity resting above key resistance levels. As always, it’s important to conduct your own analysis and manage risk accordingly (DYOR).
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Breaking SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold Eyes $3,360 — Is This the Next Breakout?Looking at the 4H chart of XAUUSD, the price appears to be stabilizing after a period of decline, with selling pressure showing signs of exhaustion. The recent candles have smaller bodies, reflecting indecision from sellers and potential accumulation from buyers. Price is holding above the key horizontal support zone around 3,307–3,324, an area that has acted as a strong demand zone in the past. Each time the market dipped into this region, buyers stepped in, which gives the current structure a bullish undertone.
The EMA from your CM EMA TrendBars indicator has flattened out after a downward slope, suggesting that bearish momentum is losing strength. Price is also attempting to retest above this EMA, which, if achieved and maintained, could trigger further buying interest. This aligns with a possible short-term double-bottom pattern forming around 3,307, a common reversal setup if confirmed by a break above nearby resistance levels.
On the broader scale, gold has been in an overall macro uptrend for months. This recent weakness on the 4H chart could simply be a corrective pullback before another leg higher, rather than the start of a prolonged downtrend. If bulls can reclaim the EMA and hold above 3,348, the upside potential opens toward the 3,360 area and potentially higher.
Trading Setup
• Entry: Around 3,324.90
• Target: 3,360.89 (+1.10% / +36.4 USD)
• Stop Loss: 3,307.75 (-0.50% / -16.7 USD)
• Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ≈ 2.18
This setup offers more than double the potential reward compared to the risk, which fits well with a bullish bias. A decisive close above the EMA would serve as further confirmation for the trade.
XAUUSD – Gold Intraday Technical Analysis (15-Min Chart) - July Current Price: 3,323.93 USD
Timeframe: 15 minutes
Last update: 17:14 UTC+7
- Trend Overview:
The 15-minute chart shows a minor recovery after a sharp drop in gold prices. However, overall pressure remains bearish as price continues to trade below all key EMAs (50–100–200), and the bulls have yet to break through significant resistance above.
- Key Technical Zones:
Nearby Resistance:
3,331.57 (EMA200): dynamic resistance, repeatedly tested but not broken
3,340 – 3,350: supply zone + 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
3,360 – 3,375: strong resistance zone (purple box), previous major rejection area
Nearby Support:
3,321.70 – 3,319.34 (EMA50 – EMA100): also aligns with 0.382 Fibonacci support
3,309 – 3,310: previous low, potential demand zone on deeper pullback
- Technical Analysis:
EMA & Structure:
Price is testing EMA200 (3,331.57) – a key level to watch for confirmation of any trend reversal. However, the larger trend remains bearish as long as this resistance holds.
EMA9 and EMA20 have crossed above EMA50, suggesting short-term bullish momentum, though not yet strong enough to confirm a full reversal.
Volume Analysis:
Recent bullish candles were supported by higher volume, but the current rally is weakening in volume – a sign of fading buying pressure.
RSI (not shown but recommended):
Watch for RSI break above 60 to signal potential continuation toward higher resistance levels.
- Trading Strategies:
Scenario 1 – Sell at Resistance (Sell on Rally):
Entry zone: around 3,330 – 3,335
Stop loss: above 3,340
Targets: 3,320 → 3,310
Rationale: Price is testing EMA200 and resistance; no confirmed breakout yet
Scenario 2 – Short-Term Buy on Dip:
Entry zone: 3,319 – 3,321 (EMA50/100 confluence)
Stop loss: below 3,308
Targets: 3,330 – 3,335
Rationale: Minor support holding, potential short bounce if price stabilizes
- Conclusion:
Gold is attempting a short-term rebound, but the broader trend remains bearish unless price breaks above 3,340 – 3,350 resistance. For now, focus on short setups at resistance and scalping small bounces from strong support zones.
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Got a different view on gold today? Let’s discuss it in the comments!
XAU/USD 29 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
The latest trend analysis and layout of the day,flexible adoptio#XAUUSD
⚠️News focus on the Sino-US trade talks, which may affect the gold trend.
Since the opening of the market today, gold has been fluctuating in a narrow range in the short term, without giving a clear trading direction🤔, and the short-term trend has not changed much.📊
🚦It remains constrained by resistance and a downward trend. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the 3300 mark below and the support of 3295-3285📈. On the upside, we should pay attention to the short-term suppression level of 3321-3333 and yesterday's high of 3345-3350.📉
In the short term, as long as it does not break through yesterday's high point, the volatile downward trend will not change. 🐂Once it breaks through, the short-term decline will stop, and the market will continue the bull rebound to test 3370~3380 or even 3400 before falling again.
Therefore, short-term trading focuses on the 3300 mark below and the long trading opportunities at 3295-3285. On the upside, defend the 3345-3350 highs and establish short positions.🎯
🚀 BUY 3310-3330
🚀 TP 3321-3333
🚀 BUY 3295-3285
🚀 TP 3310-3330
🚀 SELL 3320-3330
🚀 TP 3310-3300
🚀 SELL 3345-3350
🚀 TP 3330-3285
GOLD: Bottoming Out or Just the Calm Before the Storm? – GOLD: Bottoming Out or Just the Calm Before the Storm?
Gold has dropped nearly $50 over the last 4 sessions, showing clear bearish momentum. But is this just a liquidity grab before a reversal — or are we simply pausing before another leg down?
🔍 Market Context:
Recent US–EU defence and trade agreements may have weakened gold’s short-term appeal as a safe haven.
The US dollar and equities have both gained on strong macroeconomic data, redirecting capital flows away from metals.
Overall market sentiment has tilted risk-on, putting additional pressure on gold prices.
📊 Technical Overview (12H Chart):
Price has broken below the 3342 key support zone and rejected the retest — turning it into short-term resistance.
Current range sits between:
Sell-side liquidity zone: 3301–3292
Major demand/FVG zone: 3272–3270
Above price:
Resistance at 3342, and a broader sell zone at 3370–3388 (OB + FVG + Fib 0.5–0.618)
🔧 Trade Plan (Reaction-Based — Not Predictive):
🟢 Scenario 1 – Buy (Scalp Reaction)
Entry: 3292 – 3290
Stop Loss: 3285
Targets: 3296 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330
📍 Intraday bounce play from a high-liquidity zone
🟢 Scenario 2 – Buy (Deeper Reversal Swing)
Entry: 3272 – 3270
Stop Loss: 3265
Targets: 3276 → 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3294 → 3300 → Trail
📍 Potential mid-term bottom setup if liquidity is fully swept
🔴 Scenario 3 – Sell (Short-Term Rejection)
Entry: 3340 – 3342
Stop Loss: 3346
Targets: 3335 → 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3310
📍 Clean rejection setup if price fails to reclaim key resistance
🔴 Scenario 4 – Sell (Higher Supply Zone)
Entry: 3370 – 3372
Stop Loss: 3376
Targets: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 → 3320
⚠️ Higher risk; only valid with strong confirmation
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Be mindful of fakeouts around London and NY opens, as liquidity sweeps are common.
Wait for price to enter your zone, then react — don’t anticipate.
Strict risk management is key in a volatile environment like this.
🧭 I’ll continue monitoring how price reacts around these zones.
If this kind of structured planning resonates with your approach,
feel free to stay connected — or share your perspective in the comments.
BTCUSD trading signal. False break of bottom line✏️ CRYPTO:BTCUSD just False Break the lower band and is establishing a bullish wave structure in the H4 time frame. 119700 will be the top of wave 1 if the current bullish wave exceeds the top it will form a bullish DOW pattern heading towards a new ATH.
📉 Key Levels
BUY Now BTCUSD: Confirmation of candle when retesting Fibonacci 0.5
Target 127000
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold remains under pressure, currently trading around 3,312. Price is holding just above the 3,309–3,289 Support Zone, but remains below both the 50MA and 200MA, which continue to slope downward—indicating short-term bearish pressure.
As long as price remains below the 3,334–3,348 resistance zone, the bearish momentum is intact. A clean break above this area would be the first sign of recovery, opening the path toward 3,362 and 3,373, where the next round of supply may emerge.
If price fails to reclaim 3,334 and breaks below 3,309, the 3,289–3,267 Support Zone becomes the next key downside target. Failure to hold that level would expose the HTF Support Zone (3,241–3,208).
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ 3,334
‣ 3,348
‣ 3,362
‣ 3,373
Support:
‣ 3,309
‣ 3,289
‣ 3,267
‣ 3,241
🔍 Fundamental Focus – Tuesday, July 29
Heads up — today’s focus is on 4:00pm, when we get JOLTS Job Openings 🟥 and CB Consumer Confidence 🟡
⚠️ Stay light and nimble — bigger moves may come tomorrow with red-folder data stacking up.
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 29 July 2025Hello Traders, Welcome to new day
we have US JOLTS high impact news today, for market sustains above 3300 psychological level
if market successfully break 3280 level then it will move towards 3280 or even 3270
if market crosses 3330 level successfully then it will move towards 3345 or even 3360
All eyes on FOMC & NFP news for the week
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
XAUUSD DEVELOPS MID-TERM BEARISH IMPULSEXAUUSD DEVELOPS MID-TERM BEARISH IMPULSE
Yesterday was the 4th bearish day in a row for gold. The reasons are the same as for the EURUSD: American-European trade agreement. Geopolitical risks got eliminated and market participants get rid of the bullion. "If more ‘trade deals’ are reached, this could help to reduce this source of policy uncertainty that has weighed against the dollar, at least for now. It could also see other factors such as relative yields becoming more influential," said Paul Mackel, global head of FX research at HSBC.
Technically, the price has broke down the former trendline and is currently staying slightly above the local support of 3,300.00. It is expected for rebound to continue, retest of the trendline is possible with further decline towards 3,200.00 support level.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) from mid-July to late August 2025. The current price is 3,425.000, with a slight increase of +0.03% (0.880) to 3,315.325. Key levels include a sell price of 3,315.070 and a buy price of 3,315.590. The chart highlights a recent downward trend with a support zone around 3,313.855 and resistance near 3,350.823, as indicated by the shaded areas.
Gold: This Week's Analysis & StrategyThis week, the fluctuations have clearly moderated📉. Focus on a strategy of buying at lows and selling at highs as much as possible📈. Currently, the resistance around 3350 is prominent🚧, and 3300 acts as support below🛡️. If the decline continues, it may reach around 3285👇
We successfully took short positions last week 📉, and this week I recommend going long at lower levels 📈. Over the long term, gold remains in a bull market 🐂, but it will not repeat the frenzy seen in April; instead, it will maintain a steady upward pace ⬆️.
Market expectations for Fed rate cuts have been volatile so far this year 📊. At the start of the year, as Trump-related developments unfolded, market optimism faded 😐. Meanwhile, the de-dollarization trend fueled growing expectations of Fed rate cuts 💹. By early April, Trump’s reciprocal tariff measures—far more aggressive than expected—roiled global financial markets 🌍, triggering a surge in concerns about a U.S. recession ⚠️. Markets thus anticipated that the Fed would cut rates quickly to shore up the economy, with expectations for rate cuts within the year once exceeding 100 basis points 📉. However, shortly after, Trump announced a 90-day extension of the reciprocal tariffs, easing market pessimism 😌 and driving a strong rebound in U.S. stocks 📈. At this point, markets began worrying that his tariff policies could spark an inflation rebound 🔥, leading to a steady decline in rate cut expectations—currently, expectations for rate cuts this year have dropped to fewer than two 🔄.
Risk Warning ⚠️
Event Sensitivity: Outcomes of China-U.S. trade talks 🤝, the Fed’s statements , and nonfarm payroll data 📊 may trigger one-sided volatility. Positions should be adjusted promptly to avoid risks 🛡️
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3300 -3310
🚀 TP 3320 - 3330 - 3340
🚀 Sell@ 3350 -3340
🚀 TP 3330 - 3320 - 3310
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
Gold repeatedly tested lows. Will it break through?On Monday, the Asian market opened low and rose in the early trading. In the European trading, it rose to around 3345. The European trading was under pressure and fluctuated. The US trading began to accelerate its decline, and the lowest point reached around 3302. Then it continued to fluctuate in the range of 3300-3320.
On July 27, the United States and the European Union reached a framework trade agreement; the agreement reduced market concerns about the global economic recession, promoted the attractiveness of risky assets, and boosted the stock market and the US dollar. Although Trump has repeatedly pressured for a substantial interest rate cut, the market has strong expectations for a September interest rate cut. The current expectation of maintaining a stable interest rate dominates the market, coupled with the strength of the US dollar, which puts gold prices under downward pressure in the short term.
Gold opened low in the early trading on Monday and then rebounded to recover the losses, but then fell below the low again, and the daily line closed in the negative, and now it has formed a four-day negative decline. MA5 and 10-day moving averages form a dead cross, and there is a downward turn.
The focus on the upper side is around Monday's high of 3345, which is also near the current position of MA5, 20, and 30-day moving averages. Below this position, gold is weak; if it breaks upward, it is necessary to prevent the possibility of a rebound correction.
The lower support first focuses on the 3300 integer mark; secondly, focus on the area around 3285-3275.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3320-3300;
Long near 3300, stop loss 3290, profit range 3320-3340.
Before the release of US data on Tuesday, you can maintain this operation strategy; after the data is released, adjust the strategy based on the impact of the data.
Gold 29 July – H4 Demand Holds, M15 Structure ShiftsGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 29 July
The Mirror is Forming at 3310: Structure + Reaction in Focus
The market has successfully held the H4 demand zone, particularly near the critical level around 3310. This level is not just another number on the chart — it’s an inflection point. A possible first higher low or swing low, from which the next directional leg in gold could emerge.
Yesterday’s price action swept liquidity beneath this zone and then showed a strong bullish reaction. This isn’t just a bounce. It’s a behavioral shift — one that hints at absorption of selling pressure and the re-entry of aggressive buyers.
🔍 Structure Alignment: H4 + M15
On the H4 timeframe, price has stabilized within the demand zone.
Zooming into M15, we now see internal price action beginning to shift:
• First, a Change of Character (ChoCH) — the earliest clue that momentum is starting to turn.
• Then, a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside — signaling potential bullish intent.
This multi-timeframe alignment — H4 support holding + M15 structure shifting — builds a strong case for a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend.
📍 What Next?
The next step is to mark a refined M15 Point of Interest (POI) — a zone where price may pull back before making its next move upward.
We don’t chase price. We let it come to us.
✅ Look for Lower Timeframe Confirmation
Once price returns to your POI, it’s time to observe.
You’re not looking for obvious signals. You’re watching for subtle behavior —
a sharp reaction, a psychological flush, or a precise candle footprint that reveals intent.
The deeper signals aren’t always visible to the untrained eye — but they’re there for those who’ve studied the mirror.
( For those who know what to look for — this is where the sniper entry reveals itself. )
🎯 Summary
• Bias: Bullish — structure and reaction support long setups
• Plan: Wait for price to retest the M15 POI
• Execution: Only enter on confirmed lower timeframe intent and confluence
• Target: 120 pips (fixed, as per system)
• Stop Loss: 40 pips (always 1:3 R:R minimum)
📚 This is the kind of structure-based clarity we teach in The Chart is the Mirror .
Let the chart speak.
Let the structure guide you — not your emotion.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
XAUUSD: Bearish Bias SetupI am watching for a possible reversal in XAUUSD, predicting a rejection with a downside target around 3.300.
This downside target is reasonable based on this setup, as it is based on a previous bullish move, from which price could find support and bounce, or break below, and the downside momentum could start to continue down.
I am just sharing my thoughts on the chart, this is not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and manage your risk accordingly.