XAUUSD:Buy or SellRegarding the trend of XAUUSD (gold against the US dollar), it is completely in line with my expectations yesterday. The current price has reached the watershed of 3345. If it breaks through, continue to be bullish. If it does not break through. Then wait for the market to fall.
### Key analysis points
1. Confirmation of resistance breakthrough
- The importance of the 3345 level: If this position is a resistance that has been tested many times recently (such as previous highs, Fibonacci retracement levels or trend line suppression), it may trigger short-covering or new buying after the breakthrough, pushing the price further up.
- Verify the effectiveness of the breakthrough: It is necessary to observe the momentum at the time of the breakthrough (such as accompanied by a large positive line, increased trading volume) and whether the closing price can stand above 3345 to avoid false breakthroughs.
2. Upward target
- First target: If the breakthrough is established, the next resistance may look at the 3360-3380 area (previous high or extended Fibonacci level).
- Medium-term potential: If the trend reversal is confirmed, it may even challenge the 3400 psychological level.
3. Pullback risk management
- Support level: If it fails to break through 3345 or falls back after a false breakout, you need to pay attention to the support below (such as 3320-3300), which is the short-term long-short watershed.
- Stop loss reference: The stop loss of long positions can be set below 3300 to protect the safety of funds.
Trading strategy suggestions
- Aggressive strategy (breakthrough trading):
- Entry: Go long when the price breaks through 3345 and then confirms the pullback.
- Stop loss: Below 3320 (adjusted according to volatility).
- Take profit: Close orders in batches (3360, 3380).
- Conservative strategy (retracement trading):
- Wait for the pullback to the 3320-3300 support area to stabilize and then go long, stop loss 3280.
- The target is the same as the breakthrough strategy.
- Short warning:
If the 3345 resistance continues to suppress and a bearish pattern appears, consider shorting with a stop loss above 3360.
Variables to be added
1. Time frame: Is the above analysis based on the daily or 4-hour chart? Short-term trading requires a smaller cycle to confirm the signal.
2. Driving factors: Pay attention to the Fed's policy expectations, the US dollar index, the geopolitical situation, etc., which may suddenly change the technical pattern.
Summary
Whether the current rebound can continue depends on the effectiveness of the breakthrough of 3345. If successful, it can be bullish, but a strict stop loss is required.
If you need a more detailed entry point analysis or position management plan, please feel free to let me know your trading cycle and risk preference, and I will provide you with a customized strategy.
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD: Buy or sell now?Continuously update good transactions. Let members make rich profits. How to trade XAUUSD today?
Reference suggestions are as follows:
If it retreats to the range of 3318-3328, consider buying. Target 3345-3360
If it falls below 3310, chase the shorts and choose to sell. Target 3280-3265
For reference only. Do not trade independently.
If you need a more detailed entry point analysis or position management solution, please feel free to tell me your trading cycle and risk appetite, and I will provide you with a customized strategy.
XAUUSD: Buy or sell now?The price of XAUUSD has come to the position near 3345 again. The pressure at this position is very controversial. We need to observe. If this position is stable. Then we need to pay attention to the target of 3360-3385. If it is unstable, we will short and wait for the TP of 3320, which still needs to be emphasized. If you are not sure how to trade. Remember to leave us a message. We will lead you to make better and more accurate transactions, expand profits or recover losses. Do not trade independently. Create greater losses.
Remember to continue to pay attention to the core trading strategy updates of swing trading.
Gold Price Analysis June 13Yesterday's D1 candlestick increased, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Following that uptrend, the Asian session saw a strong increase in price to the highest peak of 3443. If there is still confirmation from the h4 candlestick above 3395, today will still be a bullish candlestick with a large amplitude at the end of the day.
After reaching the highest peak of the month, Gold is having a downward correction at the end of the Asian session. This correction lasts until the support of 3397 to have a good BUY signal. In case you want to SELL, you must wait for a 50% test of the previous full-force downtrend H1 candle (around 3434) and the continuation of the Selling side.
If the 50% test does not appear, you must reverse to find a BUY Breakout point. Note that the False break at the peak of 3343 should wait for confirmation of the small-frame DOW wave to enter the order, which will be safer for this morning's break.
If you get a BUY order, the target will be 3364 and this area will have a profit-taking reaction from the Buyers, causing the price to decrease. Gold may touch the threshold before ATH 3394 and there will be a reaction.
In the opposite direction, there is a sweep to 3376, which is considered the daily support zone and you can buy in this area.
All SELL signals are considered obstacles, so set a short target and a new BUY signal sets a long expectation.
GBPAUD Trading SignalsGBPAUD is reacting at the resistance zone with this force, the downtrend will continue at 2.08000. If you want to BUY at 2.0800, you have to wait for the price reaction of the candle. If you break 2.080, you have to wait at 2.06900 for BUY strategies. In the opposite direction, the peak of 2.101 is still an important peak where you can execute the SELL strategy with the GBPAUD currency pair.
XAUUSD:Go long, go long
"Israel announced a strike on Iran" broke out the news, gold and crude oil in the Asian session soared. Again help us recently do long ideas, too late to explain so much, the follow-up trading ideas are still long after the pullback.
After 3403 broke through has been converted into strong support, short - term to 3415-20 to do more.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3415-20
TP:3440-50
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
XAUUSD - Emotional Scalping on Gold Leads to Blown Accounts📔 “I’ll just scalp Gold on the 1-minute” — said the future blown account
Gold doesn’t care about your emotions.
It doesn’t care that you think you can catch a move before it happens.
And it definitely doesn’t care about your $50 dream from a 20-pip scalp.
Real Gold traders don’t come for 20 pips.
They come for precision, for structure, and for 80–100 pip setups backed by real confluence.
If you’re pressing buttons on the 1-minute because you “feel it,”
you’re not trading Gold — you’re feeding it.
And it will eat you alive.
⭐1. Gold is Not a Currency Pair — It’s a Metal with a Temper
You’re not trading EURUSD.
You’re trading a metal — one of the most reactive and manipulated instruments in the market.
Gold doesn’t respond like a normal pair.
It reacts like a sensor. A trigger.
🔸 Geopolitical tension? It spikes.
🔸 USD news? CPI, NFP, FOMC — massive moves.
🔸 Imbalances and inducement zones? It respects them with surgical precision.
🔸 Thin liquidity or Asian session? Expect the unexpected.
Last night, due to a political situation Gold didn’t hesitate.
It exploded — hundreds of pips — while other pairs just twitched.
And here’s the truth:
🔱 Gold is the most loved asset on the planet.
• It’s wealth.
• It’s power.
• It’s culture.
• It’s fear and greed — in physical form.
That’s why it dominates the market.
That’s why it’s unpredictable.
And that’s why you need to approach it with respect — not emotion.
⏱️ 2. The 1-Minute Trap: Why You’re Always Late
On M1, there is no structure — only speed.
By the time you “see a pattern,” you’re already the exit liquidity.
Order blocks? FVGs? Choch?BOS?
They’re there… but barely readable in real time unless you’re hyper-trained.
You’re not early.
You’re late — many, many times.
And Gold punishes late entries without mercy.
So what should you do instead?
🧭 Zoom out. Reset. Re-anchor.
Start with D1-H12-H4-H1. Mark the structure.
Drop to M30/15/5 to refine your zones.
Then — and only then — use M1 as a trigger, not a chart to trade blindly on.
M1 is for confirmation — not discovery.
It shows behavior, not bias.
And if you treat it like a full chart, it will bury your account one candle at a time.
🤓3. If You're New — Respect the Timeframes
If you’ve been trading Gold for less than 6 months,
you don’t need more entries. You need more patience.
Work with:
✅ 1H
✅ 30m
✅ 15m
That’s where the story unfolds — clean, structured, readable.
Yes, study the lower timeframes.
Flip through M1, M3, M5, M7, M10…
Zoom in, zoom out. Train your eye.
And slowly, you’ll start to recognize the way Gold breathes — how it baits, spikes, pauses, and traps.
But execution?
Execution stays clean, until your structure reads faster than your fear.
🚨4. Gold Doesn’t Just Move Fast — It Gets You Hooked
Gold isn’t just volatile — it’s addictive.
You win once… you feel unstoppable.
Twice… now you think you’re the chosen winner.
And just like that, you’re hooked.
You start ignoring your loss, because those two wins gave you more dopamine than a full week of consistency.
You don’t even notice you’re in a loop:
→ Two wins
→ Five losses
→ One clean trade
→ Three more losses
→ Still confident… because of one high
You’re not trading structure.
You’re chasing a chemical high — and Gold is your dealer.
That’s why M1 destroys accounts.
Because the more you “almost catch it,” the more obsessed you get.
You don’t need a new setup.
You need to break the loop.
Walk away, breathe, come back and trade less.
😶🌫️ 5. If Your Mind is Not Calm — Stay Off the Chart
Gold will test your technicals — but it’ll destroy your psychology if you’re not stable.
Had a bad day at work? Argued with someone? Feeling off?
Do. Not. Trade. Gold!!
This metal feeds on instability.
It senses when you’re not focused.
And it will punish you faster than you can say “SL hit.”
💬 “You trade what you feel. So if you’re a mess inside, your chart becomes chaos too.”
🔚 Bottom Line: You Don’t Need More Trades. You Need Better Vision.
Scalping Gold on M1 sounds smart.
Feels efficient. Looks exciting.
Until you’re left with a blown account and a broken mindset.
🫶 Want to stop gambling and start dominating?
Start with patience. Stick to timeframes. Learn the rhythm.
Gold is not for the impulsive — it’s for the precise.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
Oil prices soar after Israel attacks IranIsrael launched an airstrike on Iran in the early hours of Friday (June 13), targeting its nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and senior military commanders, once again escalating tensions in the region. The head of Iran's Revolutionary Guard was reportedly killed, and the military leader was not the only target. Six Iranian nuclear scientists were also killed in the attack.
Iran has responded by launching more than 100 drones, some of which may have been intercepted by Israel's "Iron Dome" air defense system.
The attack came as the United States and Iran were negotiating a new deal that could have allowed Iran to maintain a limited nuclear program in exchange for reduced sanctions on its oil exports. The next round of talks, originally scheduled for Sunday, has been canceled by Iran, although the United States claims that it was not involved in the night attack.
Crude oil futures give up some early gains
Oil prices soared after news of the attack broke. WTI and Brent crude futures initially jumped more than 10% before retreating, narrowing gains to nearly 6% during European trading hours.
While there are no signs that Israel attacked any Iranian oil facilities, this major escalation has the potential to turn into something more nasty, such as a wider and more prolonged regional conflict. At the very least, the recent nuclear deal has been put on hold, which provides a floor for oil prices even if tensions ease in the coming days.
Dollar rebounds from three-year low
Safe haven assets, including the battered dollar, also rose, while stocks fell sharply. The dollar regained some of its appeal today and rebounded as geopolitical risks intensified. The dollar outperformed other safe haven currencies, including the yen and Swiss franc, despite rising expectations of a Fed rate cut after weak U.S. CPI and PPI data this week.
However, the dollar may still face pressure in the long run: the trade war is not going to end in the short term, while Trump has again raised the possibility of intervening in Fed policy.
On Thursday, Trump expressed his dissatisfaction with the government's annual $600 billion debt interest payments due to high interest rates, saying "I may have to take some coercive measures."
His cryptic comments heightened market anxiety, coming a day after he said on Wednesday that countries would unilaterally set tariffs if no trade deal was reached by the July 9 deadline.
Later today, the focus will turn to the University of Michigan's preliminary consumer confidence survey. Ahead of the data, the dollar rose about 0.3% against a basket of currencies, recovering from a more than three-year low hit yesterday.
Yen edged higher ahead of Bank of Japan decision
The yen was also positive today (except against the dollar), further boosted by a Bloomberg report that Bank of Japan officials expect inflation to be slightly higher than expected this year, even though markets expect no rate hike at next week's meeting.
The June decision is likely to focus on the Bank of Japan's bond-buying program as markets worry that long-term yields have risen too quickly. But any slowdown in the reduction of bond purchases is likely to be accompanied by a more hawkish outlook on short-term rates.
Gold shines as stocks avoid a sharp sell-off
Meanwhile, gold prices broke through the $3,400 mark, heading towards April's all-time high of $3,500. If military tensions between Israel and Iran escalate further, the precious metal could well hit new records. In addition, heightened doubts about whether the U.S. can sign new trade deals with major trading partners in time for the next deadline also provide significant support for gold prices in the short term.
The only surprise is that despite all the uncertainty, stock markets have been relatively resilient: Asian stocks fell less than 1% on Friday, while European stocks and U.S. futures are currently down 1%-1.5%. FX:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VELOCITY:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
As conflict escalates, gold is cautiously long📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates
📈 Market analysis:
The worsening geopolitical situation caused a surge in gold prices. The intraday short-term support points of 3420, 3402, and 3380 will all become key support for testing bulls. If the European session is strong, 3420 cannot be lost. If it falls back and loses, it will move closer to the top and bottom conversion position of 3402. If you go long later, you must pay attention to the weakening of the upward momentum. If the European session continues to break the high of 3440, then the US session can be seen around 3468-3493. If the upward momentum in the European session weakens, we need to watch out for a short-selling counterattack and a sharp decline. The geopolitical situation is unstable. Bros must strictly control SL when trading independently.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3420-3402-3380
TP 3390-3400-3420-3460-3490
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Breakout🔔 GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Breakout 💥📈
📊 Overview:
Gold has confirmed a strong bullish breakout from the consolidation zone, driven by sustained support and recent upward pressure. After rebounding from the MAIN SUPPORT zone around $3,200, price action has surged and successfully touched the 1st Take Profit (TP1) zone at $3,429.
🔍 Key Levels:
🟩 Main Support: $3,200 zone — held firm and acted as a launchpad for the bullish reversal.
📌 1st TP (Touched): $3,429 — resistance level has been tested and price is currently hovering near it.
🎯 Next Target (TP2): $3,504 — price is expected to approach this zone as bullish momentum continues.
📈 Technical Outlook:
Price structure shows a clear higher low formation followed by a strong impulse breakout.
Current momentum suggests bulls are in control, with volume and volatility increasing on the upward leg.
As long as the price remains above the $3,366 short-term support, the bias remains bullish.
🛑 Risk Note:
Watch for possible rejection near TP2.
A failure to hold above $3,366 may trigger a pullback to retest lower zones.
✅ Conclusion:
The bullish continuation scenario remains valid with potential to hit the $3,504 mark. Traders may look for long opportunities on pullbacks while maintaining tight risk management. 🔐📊
Gold/XAUUSD Possible Move 13 June 2025 The market continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum within a well-respected ascending channel. After an impulsive breakout to the upside, price is now retracing in a healthy corrective move, offering high-probability buying opportunities at two well-defined demand zones.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Price is trending inside an ascending parallel channel, with clear respect for both the median and outer trendlines.
A significant bullish impulse pushed price above previous local highs, suggesting institutional interest and continuation potential.
Currently, price is retracing and approaching two key demand areas that align with bullish continuation setups.
🎯 Key Buy Zones:
✅ Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
Minor mitigating demand zone, likely to act as support if the market retraces slightly.
Ideal for aggressive long entries if price shows confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, LTF structure shift).
✅ Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
Deeper unmitigated demand zone, aligned with a potential liquidity sweep and strong institutional support.
Considered a high-probability entry area for larger impulse moves.
🌍 Fundamental Context:
Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, can lead to sharp intraday moves, with 100+ pip 5-minute candles not being out of the question.
Given this backdrop, demand zones become critical areas for smart money entries as traders seek to align technical levels with macro drivers.
📈 Trade Signal:
Bias: 🔵 Bullish
Buy Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
SL: Below 3,395
TP: 3425, 3440, trail till 3,470
R:R: ~1:3
Buy Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
SL: Below 3,368
R:R: ~1:4
🧠 Final Note:
Watch for price reaction at both zones. Use LTF confirmation before entry and respect your risk management. With news-driven volatility in play, quick movements are expected, offering excellent trade opportunities for prepared traders.
GOLD Technical analysis.This chart describes a bullish trade setup on Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe.
Analysis:
Entry Zone: Price is expected to retrace down into the demand zone (around 3360.79) before moving up.
Support Area: The green zone marks a bullish order block or demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
Target: If price respects the demand zone, the projected target is near 3500.00.
Stop Loss: Placed below the demand zone, around 3337.19, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Trade Plan Summary:
Wait for the price to tap into the demand zone before entering a buy trade, targeting the next liquidity area near $3500. If price fails to hold that zone, the trade idea becomes invalid.
6/13 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold rallied to around $3399 during yesterday’s session, accurately reaching our preset sell zone at 3385–3403. Since then, the market has started pulling back, and today’s opening shows signs of accelerated downside movement. However, there are several strong support zones below, with immediate focus on 3378–3368, and further support around 3352–3343.
📉 Technical Outlook:
The current price action suggests the potential formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern. If confirmed, this could trigger a deeper correction towards 3340–3330. A break of these levels would significantly weaken the current bullish structure and open further downside risk.
🌍 Fundamental Drivers:
Today’s inflation-related data releases may add significant volatility;
Additionally, stay alert to any developments in the Middle East geopolitical situation, which could quickly shift market sentiment toward risk-off if escalations occur.
📌 Today’s Trading Recommendations:
✅ Sell Zone: 3410–3420
✅ Buy Zone: 3338–3326
🔄 Intraday Key Reaction Levels:
3403 / 3378 / 3362 / 3355 / 3343
🔒 Recommendation: Market is at a technically sensitive zone. Consider entering positions in batches and maintain strict risk control.
Watch Out for Weekly-Level ResistanceAs news of Israel's strike on Iran’s nuclear facility continues to spread, a surge in risk-off sentiment has driven noticeable gains across safe-haven assets. The escalation of tensions in the Middle East has clearly become a key trigger for current market sentiment. Should the conflict intensify further, oil and other safe-haven assets may see continued upside; conversely, if tensions ease, the retreat of risk aversion could lead to price corrections.
From a technical perspective, gold is currently facing downward pressure from the weekly trendline. If geopolitical tensions persist, gold may potentially rally toward the 3500–3550 range. However, without stronger fundamental support, a significant correction could follow once that level is reached.
On the intraday chart, the price has now broken below the middle Bollinger Band on the 30-minute timeframe and is near lower band support around 3413. MACD and moving average alignment suggest there may still be room to test the 3396–3388 trend support zone. The 1-hour chart remains in a consolidation phase, and while a short-term rebound is possible, selling at higher levels appears to be the safer strategy for today.
As it is Friday and given the geopolitical uncertainties, the potential for weekend risk is significantly higher. It is recommended to reduce exposure before the market closes. If you choose to hold positions over the weekend, be sure to set appropriate stop-losses to mitigate unexpected developments.
GOLD , Making New H.H , 2 Scalping Long Entries, Don`t Miss It Here is my 2 scalping long entries on Gold , if the price close above the highest res , we can wait the price to go back to retest it and then we can enter a new buy scalping trade to create the new H.H . Very Easy And Simple Analysis . Make It Easy Always To Can Continue .
The situation escalates, and gold rises again.Information summary:
Israel issued a statement: The attack on Iran has been completed. All Israeli Air Force pilots and crew members who participated in the attack on Iran returned to the base unscathed.
Iran issued a statement: The attack could not have happened without the coordination and permission of the United States. The United States is responsible for the consequences of the Israeli air strikes.
The unpredictable international situation has caused the price of gold to continue to rise after retreating.
New forecast:
After a strong rebound in the 3338 shock area and forming a high point, it is currently in a clear upward channel. The recent breakthrough of the 3398.4 area indicates that the trend will continue and point to the resistance line near 3465. At present, the price is testing the trend line that broke above, which may become a springboard for the next round of rise.
Buy trigger point: rebound from near 3405, with strong trading volume.
Risk attention:
The possibility of triggering a false breakout trap near 3440.
If gold loses the 3380-point trend line, its momentum may stagnate.
Broader macro data could overtake technical support near resistance levels.
The situation in the Middle East has triggered global shock
The escalation of tensions in the Middle East, especially Israel's military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, has caused crude oil prices to soar, safe-haven assets such as gold and the Swiss franc have been sought after, while Asian stocks and Wall Street stock index futures have fallen sharply.
Global financial markets are experiencing a violent shock caused by a geopolitical storm. The escalation of tensions in the Middle East, especially Israel's military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, has caused crude oil prices to soar, safe-haven assets such as gold and the Swiss franc have been sought after, while Asian stocks and Wall Street stock index futures have fallen sharply. Investors have adjusted their investment strategies against the backdrop of increasing uncertainty, and market sentiment seems to be uneasy.
Middle East conflict escalates: Israel's "preemptive strike" has attracted global attention
Israel's military action against Iran
On Friday (June 13), Israel announced a so-called "preemptive strike" against Iran, targeting Iran's nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders. Israel claimed that the action was aimed at preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons and warned that the military action would last for a long time. In response to possible retaliation from Iran, Israel has declared a state of emergency. U.S. Secretary of State Rubio publicly stated that Israel's action was a unilateral action taken out of self-defense, showing its tough attitude towards the situation in the Middle East.
Iran's tough response
The Iranian Revolutionary Guard responded quickly and issued a statement saying that Israel would pay a "heavy price" for killing the Revolutionary Guard Commander-in-Chief Salami. This statement further exacerbated market concerns that the situation in the Middle East might get out of control. Analysts pointed out that Iran's possible retaliatory actions, including missile and drone attacks, would further escalate regional tensions and bring more uncertainty to the global economy and energy markets.
Crude oil prices soared: supply risks pushed up oil prices
Oil prices once soared 14%, hitting a recent high
Directly affected by the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, the global crude oil market responded quickly. Brent crude oil futures prices once rose by $8 to $78.47 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate oil prices rose 14% to $77.62 per barrel, the highest since January 21. Market concerns about oil supply disruptions in the Middle East are the main driving force behind the surge in oil prices. Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Bank, pointed out that if geopolitical tensions continue to intensify, crude oil prices may continue to rise.
Outlook for the energy market
As a key region for global energy supply, any escalation of conflict in the Middle East could lead to disruptions in oil production and transportation. Analysts warn that if Iran retaliates, it could further push up oil prices and even trigger a global energy crisis. This not only poses a challenge to countries that rely on imported energy, but may also increase global inflationary pressures.
Safe-haven assets are hot: gold approaches historical highs, Swiss franc and yen strengthen
Gold prices approach record highs
Against the backdrop of rising risk aversion in the market, gold has become the focus of investors' pursuit. Spot gold prices once rose 1.7% to about $3,444 per ounce, just one step away from the all-time high of $3,500.05 set in April. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold is often favored when geopolitical and economic uncertainties intensify.
Swiss franc and yen appreciate
In addition to gold, safe-haven currencies are also sought after by the market. The Swiss franc rose about 0.58% against the U.S. dollar (CHF=EBS) to 0.8072; the yen appreciated 0.4% against the U.S. dollar, but now both have given up their gains due to the rise in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar index fell first and then rose, and is now up 0.5% to 98.36, indicating that the market demand for the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset is also increasing.
U.S. Treasuries are in demand
The U.S. Treasury market also reflects the rising risk aversion. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell 1% to 4.31%, a one-month low, indicating that investors prefer to hold low-risk assets in turbulent times.
Global stock markets are under pressure: Asian stocks and U.S. stock futures fell sharply
Asian stock markets plunged
Asian stock markets generally fell on Friday, dragged down by the sharp drop in Wall Street stock index futures. Japan's Nikkei index fell 1.6% at one point, South Korea's benchmark stock index fell 1.7% at one point, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 1% at one point. MooMoo strategist Jessica Amir said that global stock markets have continued to rise since April, and the MSCI global market stock index hit a record high this week, but the market is ready for a correction, and the escalation of the situation in the Middle East is just a catalyst to trigger the decline.
US and European stock index futures plummeted
US S&P index futures fell 2% at one point, Nasdaq index futures fell 2.1% at one point, and the pan-European STOXX 50 index futures fell 1.6%. Market analysts pointed out that investors tend to cut risk positions before the weekend to cope with the uncertainty that the situation in the Middle East may further deteriorate.
Market Outlook: Dual Pressures of Geopolitics and Trade Policy
Geopolitical risks continue to ferment
Charu Chanana of Saxo Bank pointed out that the escalation of geopolitics has added new uncertainties to the already fragile market sentiment. If the situation in the Middle East continues to deteriorate, crude oil and safe-haven assets will continue to be sought after, and global stock markets may face greater downward pressure. Investors need to pay close attention to Iran's response and Israel's subsequent military actions.
Uncertainty in trade policy
At the same time, US President Trump's trade policy has also added pressure on the global economy. Tariff barriers and trade restrictions may further weaken global economic growth expectations, and combined with geopolitical risks in the Middle East, they may have a more far-reaching impact on financial markets.
Summary: Investment strategies in market turmoil
The sudden escalation of the situation in the Middle East has plunged global financial markets into turmoil, with soaring crude oil prices, strengthening safe-haven assets, and sharp declines in stock markets, reflecting investors' high sensitivity to uncertainty. In the coming days, Iran's response and the mediation efforts of the international community will become the focus of market attention. For investors, in a highly volatile market environment, it would be a wise choice to remain cautious, pay attention to safe-haven assets, and closely follow geopolitical developments. At the same time, the trade and energy challenges facing the global economy also remind us that future uncertainties may be far from over. FX:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
GOLD ANALYSIS BULLISH 13 JUNE 2025
As per previous analysis gold moved in the way as I was expecting. Gold is still strongly bullish, this is all due to geopolitics Iran and Israel war. As #gold made high to 3444 also took correction and now continue to it's bullish rally. Due to this war gold may surge to new high, for today I am again expecting to break yesterdays high. I will recommend please don't trade when there is such war and geopolitics issues because this is just analysis but market behavior is not normal and it will move in unwanted direction. Plan your trade accordingly and do trade. Key points 3402, 3415, 3424, 3440.
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Gold Trading Strategy–June 13During the Asian session, spot gold broke through the $3,400/ounce mark, reaching a high of around $3,444, setting a recent record high.
✅Fundamental Analysis
🔹Tensions in the Middle East have escalated sharply. Iran launched drone attacks on Israel, while conflicts continue along the Syria–Lebanon border. U.S. military bases have entered the highest state of alert.
🔹The market is closely watching the security of the Strait of Hormuz — a key route that handles about 20% of global oil transport. Any escalation or disruption could lead to surging oil prices and safe-haven demand, triggering a synchronized rally in crude oil and gold. In response, some sovereign wealth funds and central banks have urgently increased their holdings of physical gold.
✅Technical Analysis
🔸Gold has successfully broken through the critical $3,400 psychological level, confirming the continued strength of bullish momentum. The price structure remains within a strong upward trend channel dominated by the bulls.
🔸The moving average system shows a bullish alignment;
🔸Bollinger Bands are expanding upward, with price candles holding firm near the upper band;
🔸The MACD lines remain in a bullish crossover with increasing momentum bars;
🔸The KDJ indicator is in overbought territory — suggesting potential short-term pullbacks due to overheating risks.
🔴Key Resistance Levels (Short-Term)
🔰Initial resistance: 3,445 (dense previous high zone);
🔰If this level is broken, it could open further upside potential, targeting the 3,450–3,485 range.
🔰In the event of further geopolitical escalation and global market panic, gold may surge toward the 3,600 psychological level.
🟢Key Support Levels (Short-Term)
🔰Critical intraday support lies in the $3,410–$3,400 zone. A successful pullback and hold above this range would present a strong buy-the-dip opportunity;
🔰Deeper support lies in the $3,371–$3,360 area. A break below this range may trigger a short-term technical correction, with potential downside toward $3,330.
✅Intraday Trading Strategy
🔰If the European session pulls back to the $3,410–$3,400 support zone and holds, consider entering long positions; Initial upside target: $3,440;
🔰If gold holds above $3,420 ahead of the U.S. session, bullish momentum is expected to continue.
⛔Risk Management
If there are signs of easing geopolitical tensions or short-term profit-taking, gold may see a rapid retracement. Pay close attention to the $3,371 and $3,360 support levels for potential defense zones.
Gold Bull Run: Wave 5 on the Way!
Elliott Wave Setup – We're in Wave 5, riding a powerful upward channel from the recent Wave 4 low, aiming for ~$3,500–3,600
Key Resistance & Breakout – The $3,497–3,500 area is critical. A clean breakout above this could open the next leg toward ~$3,600–3,700, echoing forecasts from ANZ and Cantor .
Support Level – Immediate support lies around the $3,392 area (recent resistance turned support). A dip back to $3,420–3,440 could provide a strong buying opportunity.
Macro Drivers – Geopolitical tensions (especially in the Middle East) and a soft U.S. dollar are fueling safe-haven buying, matching broader bullish sentiment
.
📈 Outlook: Minor pullback expected, then resumption of rally. Breakout above $3,500 could trigger the next surge.
🛡️ Strategy Tip: Consider buying on dips around $3,420–3,450 with resistance-based stop-loss and targets at $3,500 then $3,600–3,700.
Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?XAUUSD – Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?
🌍 Geopolitical Shock Fuels Market Volatility
The gold market responded sharply after Israel launched a series of targeted airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, including the Natanz uranium site. These actions triggered global concern:
Gold jumped to $3,430/oz, hitting a new weekly high
WTI crude surged by over 8%
US equity indices dipped significantly
The US remains officially neutral but confirmed it will defend its troops if provoked
Investors are now moving rapidly into safe-haven assets, especially gold.
📊 Technical Breakdown (H1/M30)
Trend Structure: Bullish momentum continues following the breakout above $3,392
Key Support Zone: $3,412–$3,426, with price holding above this region
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Identified between $3,405–$3,412, could act as re-entry zone
EMA Alignment: Price is above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs — signalling strength across short and long-term moving averages
Psychological Resistance: Eyes now on the $3,454–$3,456 zone for potential selling pressure
🧠 Market Sentiment & Risk Behaviour
Risk-off mood dominates: Capital is rotating into gold, CHF, and JPY
Traders are reacting to news headlines over economic data
Institutional flows are entering strongly on dips, building positions in defensive assets
🎯 Trade Setup for 13th June
✅ Buy Zone: 3384 – 3382
Stop-Loss: 3378
Targets: 3388 – 3392 – 3396 – 3400 – 3405 – 3410
❌ Sell Zone: 3454 – 3456
Stop-Loss: 3460
Targets: 3450 – 3446 – 3442 – 3438 – 3434 – 3430
📌 Tactical Summary
Gold remains a go-to asset amid geopolitical uncertainty. While the technicals support further upside, caution is warranted near resistance. Any easing in military headlines could trigger a fast retracement.
🔍 Pro tip: Avoid chasing. Let price confirm near key levels before entering. Manage risk diligently in high-volatility environments.
GOLD - where is current support? What's next??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our last idea regarding gold with fundamental support of Israel attacked.
Now market have 3410-11 as immediate supporting area and if market sustains above that then we can expect further push to upside.
Good luck
Trade wisely