GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 13 June 25Hello Traders,
First of all congratulations to all of you as 3430-40 zone GAP filled today but sad new is war scenarios resume
so advise for you is take limited risks
all eyes on 3450 Psychological level breakout, intraday expected range is 3400-3450 if markets break 3450 then it will move towards 3480
if market breaks 3400 successfully then it will move back towards 3370 or even 3355
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Xauusdanalysis
Spot gold is expected to test the $3,450 resistance levelSpot gold continued to rise in the Asian session on Friday (June 13), reaching a high of $3,443.18 per ounce, an increase of about 1.57%.
Reuters technical analysts pointed out that spot gold is expected to test the resistance level of $3,450 per ounce, breaking through which it may rise to the range of $3,473 to $3,488.
The c wave that opened at $3,294 briefly broke through the 86.4% forecast level of $3,429. Currently, the wave is moving towards the 100% forecast level of $3,450. The current rise is classified as a continuation of the previous upward trend that started at $3,245.
The support level is at $3,413, and a break below this level may cause gold prices to fall to the range of $3,372 to $3,391. The daily chart shows that gold prices are expected to return to the high of $3,500 on April 22.
Depending on how deep the decline is from this high, gold prices could eventually rise to $3,800.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLDQ2025 OANDA:XAUUSD
Middle East Tensions Drive Gold Back to $3,400Today, after pulling back to around $3,340, gold broke through $3,380 and has since fluctuated in a narrow range of $3,370-$3,400. With the Middle East tensions escalating, Iran has stated that even if its current nuclear facilities are damaged, it will continue to build new sites and is determined to rebuild them to safeguard its security. Israel will by no means tolerate this, dimming the hopes of the Trump administration's peace initiative.
Short positions are now infeasible. Although rallies to new highs are often followed by pullbacks, the risk of wiping out accounts entirely makes shorting too dangerous.
We recommend gradually building long positions near $3,350-$3,370, setting stop-loss orders 10-15 dollars below the entry price to avoid heavy losses from major shifts in the situation.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
The situation escalates. Will the price of gold continue to riseEvent summary:
On June 13, Israel launched an air operation codenamed "Lion Rising" against Iran. So far, five rounds of air strikes have been launched.
As the situation in the Middle East escalates, gold has risen again due to risk aversion, directly breaking through 3,400. Gold risk aversion has increased, and there is no sign of easing for the time being, so gold risk aversion continues to rise, and gold prices are expected to continue to rise. Under the blessing of risk aversion, gold bulls have begun to dominate again.
Market analysis:
The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a golden cross and formed an upward trend. The upward momentum of gold is getting stronger and stronger. In the early Asian session, it once surged above $3,440, only $60 away from the historical high of 3,500. The outbreak of risk aversion is entirely the release of accumulated kinetic energy. Only when it is fully released can the strength of gold bulls weaken. The decline of gold means going long. If the price of gold falls back to the support level near 3,400 during the Asian session, buy on dips.
Focus position:
First support level: 3405, second support level: 3390, third support level: 3380
First resistance level: 3440, second resistance level: 3450, third resistance level: 3470
Operation strategy:
Long strategy: Buy near 3405, stop loss: 3395, profit range: 3430-3450;
Short strategy: Buy near 3455, stop loss: 3465, profit range: 3400-3380;
If you want to trade aggressively, you can buy at the current price and wait for the price to reach a high point near 3350.
Gold Price Analysis June 12Yesterday's D1 daily frame bounced and closed above 3348. That led to a price gap today.
3375 is a resistance zone that is showing price reaction in the Asian session. If it cannot be broken at the end of the session, it is possible to set up a sell at 3355 for BUY strategies in the GAP zone.
Any price decrease today is considered a good opportunity for buying Gold to aim for 3411.
Pay attention to the 3355-3347-3338 zone for BUY signals today. Target is still 3411 but there is still 3386 which may have a reaction.
Xauusd overview (with trend analysis )We've experienced gold surge in the last 3days (about 1000pips)
This analysis was made on the Daily timeframe were we've observed a bullish trend and if we break past 3430, we have a lot of liquidity above and could float; But if it holds through, we expect a minor bearish pullbacks
Further updates would be given, Stay Tuned
Fakeout or Takeoff? Gold Retakes 3350 Before NY Close1. Recap of Yesterday's Move
Yesterday was a volatile day for Gold. Price initially broke above the key 3340–3350 resistance zone, only to drop back below it—but intriguingly, it closed above it on the New York session. That close is the detail that changes everything.
2. Key Question: Will Gold Stay Above 3400 and Push Toward New ATHs?
Let’s split this into two scenarios:
________________________________________
🟢 Bullish Scenario – Buy the Dip?
• The short-term structure is undeniably bullish.
• The reclaim of 3340–3350 is not a fakeout, but a clean signal of strength.
• If momentum holds, we can expect price to push toward 3405 and then 3435.
• As such, the strategy remains: buy dips, targeting those key levels.
________________________________________
🟡 Long-Term Breakout? Not So Fast
• Yes, the higher lows at 3120, 3250, and 3295 suggest that the correction from 3500 may be over.
• A clean breakout and stabilization above 3400, ideally near 3430, could signal a path toward a new all-time high.
• ❗ However, volatility remains wild, and if geopolitical tensions de-escalate or trade tariffs get resolved, Gold could see a sharp drop of 1500–2000 pips, as part of a broader risk-off unwind. Peace and stability could hurt safe-haven demand.
________________________________________
📌 Trading Plan
• Short-term: Buy dips while above 3340-3350 (ideally on a re-test), aiming for 3405 and 3435.
• Long-term: Stay flexible. Wait for confirmation above 3430 before going for the ATH narrative.
________________________________________
💡 Conclusion
Technically, Gold is bullish in both the short and long term. But with global uncertainty in play, don't ignore the fundamentals. Trade the chart, but respect the world around it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY SETUP FOR TODAYGold (XAU/USD) is showcasing strong bullish momentum after breaking above the key resistance zone near $3,404, now acting as fresh support. 🔄 The price formed a bullish structure with clean higher highs and higher lows on the 30-minute chart, confirming buying strength. 🟣 The marked demand zone around $3,392–$3,404 is critical—if price retests and holds this level, we can expect a continuation toward $3,420 and beyond. 🚀📌 Traders should watch for bullish confirmations on pullbacks to this zone for potential long setups. 🧠⚡
High-level chasing risk warningObservation of the hourly gold K-line pattern shows that the current price is still in a fluctuating upward channel. Based on this technical feature, if subsequent data is favorable and pushes gold prices further up, it may form a trading opportunity to arrange short orders at a staged high level. It is important to note that although the gold price surged rapidly after the data was released, it has shown a significant first-line resistance effect in the historical trading intensive range of 3400-3410. Considering that the bullish momentum has not yet broken through the technical conditions of this key pressure zone at this stage, the technical correction of the price after the surge is in line with the logic of price behavior. At the specific operational level, it is recommended to adopt a trading strategy of low-long and high-short with the trend. In the short term, it is recommended to establish short orders when the gold price rebounds to the 3405-3410 area
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold near the rebound of 3405-3410, with a stop loss at 3418 and a target of 3380-3360;
Gold Market Analysis and Trading Recommendations for TodayYesterday, gold surged then pulled back in a washout move triggered by CPI data, before rebounding again in the evening on news-driven sentiment, closing the daily chart bullish. This morning's opening saw further rally breaking new highs, confirming strong bullish momentum. Today's strategy remains buying on dips with the uptrend.
On the 4H chart, gold stabilized at the mid-Bollinger band before rebounding with consecutive bullish candles. Moving averages are bullishly aligned and Bollinger bands are widening—all signaling strong bullishness. However, as the triangle consolidation range remains unbroken, chasing the rally is unadvised. Focus on dip-buying: key supports at 3,345–3,340 and 3,325; resistances at 3,385 and 3,400, where potential shorting opportunities may be considered based on price momentum.
XAUUSD
buy@3340-3350
tp:3370-3380
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Fundamental Analysis:
The U.S. May CPI data came in below expectations, while jobless claims exceeded forecasts, reinforcing expectations of a Fed rate cut. Coupled with heightened Middle East tensions, safe-haven demand for gold has surged.
The US Dollar Index retreated below 98, providing support for gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
The 4-hour chart shows gold in an ascending channel, indicating bullish dominance, though a pullback should be watched.
Bollinger Bands resistance at 3405, support at 3350. Current price is near the upper band with a price-volume divergence, suggesting short-term momentum may weaken.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on long positions on pullbacks around support 3350. Consider shorting near 3405 resistance if the level holds.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3405-3395
TP:3360-3350
buy@3350-3360
TP:3380-3390
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Gold price fluctuates again, layout in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data favors bulls
📈 Market analysis:
The high of 3392 in the US market fell back for the first time to test the 3377 area to stop the decline and then tried again but failed to break through the 3400 integer mark. It can be seen that this position is very suppressed. The top and bottom conversion of 3377 has become the watershed for bulls to defend in the future market. 3400 is the short-term key pressure and the closing line has a long upper shadow K. If 3377 is lost, the price will fluctuate again. In the short term, focus on the 3390-3400 resistance on the upside and the 3377-3365 support on the downside.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3385-3395
TP 3370-3360
BUY 3365-3360
TP 3390-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU/USD 1H – Clean Impulsive Setup UnfoldingGold has completed a clean Wave (2) correction, bottoming at $3,292.30, respecting both structural demand and fib confluence. Price is now showing early signs of Wave (3) development to the upside.
📌 Key Structure:
Wave (1) High: $3,403.30
Wave (2) Low: $3,292.30 (confirmed higher low structure)
Market is now consolidating slightly above the 0.5 fib level ($3,324.45), with bullish structure still intact.
📈 Technical Confluence:
Price is holding the internal bullish trendline
RSI is neutral but building potential upside momentum
Price action is forming higher lows, indicating strength post-correction
🎯 Next Bullish Targets:
$3,366.08 (0.236 fib level of Wave (2) correction)
$3,403.30 (Wave (1) high retest)
Final Wave (3) extension zone: $3,445 – $3,500
📉 Invalidation Level:
A break and close below $3,292.30 would invalidate this Wave (2) bottom and open the door for a deeper correction.
✅ Bias:
Bullish, as long as price holds above the 0.618 – 0.705 fib zone. A strong push from this area could confirm the next leg of Wave (3).
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The key resistance zone shows obvious suppression.Spot gold continued its upward trend, with the intraday high reaching $3,398.55 per ounce, hitting a new weekly high. This rally was not only boosted by the lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data but also closely related to the sharp escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Investors' expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September have intensified, and the risk of potential conflicts in the Middle East are jointly driving a surge in demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Affected by the moderate inflation data, the U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.4% on Wednesday, and in the early Asian session on Thursday, it dropped to 98.42, a new one-week low, nearing the six-week low of 98.35 set last week. The weakening U.S. dollar provided additional support for gold prices, as gold is priced in U.S. dollars, and a depreciating dollar typically pushes up gold prices. Meanwhile, after falling due to tariff shocks in the spring, U.S. stocks have gradually recovered, but uncertainties about the details of trade agreements have kept market volatility alive. The decline in U.S. Treasury yields has also created a favorable environment for rising gold prices. Focus on the resistance at the $3,400 level. Currently, the bullish momentum has not broken through this key resistance zone, and the technicals conform to the logic of "washing the market with a prior rise followed by a fall". In terms of operation, it is recommended to try shorting when resistance is encountered below $3,400. In the short term, observe the rebound momentum of gold prices. If it fails to effectively break through the $3,400 resistance area, seize the opportunity for shorting at highs.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3400-3390
TP:3370-3360
Gold is rising, will there be a new intraday high?Yesterday, gold closed with an engulfing positive line, and the closing line stood above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages.
From the analysis of gold in 1 hour, the current price is still in a fluctuating upward channel. Based on this technical pattern feature, if the subsequent economic data is positive and pushes the gold price to further strengthen, it may form a trading opportunity for shorting at a staged high. Although the gold price showed a rapid upward trend after the data was released, there has been obvious resistance in the historical trading concentration range of 3400-3410. The current bullish momentum has no technical conditions to break through this position, and the technical correction after the price surge is in line with the price behavior logic.
The current price has reached a high of around 3398. After today's rise, there is not much room for upward movement; since the market is rising in a volatile manner this week, it is not suitable to chase the rise directly. Although the 4-hour Bollinger Band opening continues to diverge upward and the moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, the upward momentum is slightly insufficient and may be under pressure to move downward near 3410. I suggest that all traders short at high levels.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3410, stop loss at 3420, profit range 3360-3355. If it breaks through 3355, it may hit the intraday low below 3340.
XAUUSD:Go long
After completing long orders around 3358-3380, the current thinking is still long. The pressure transition has been completed near 3376, which can be regarded as support for now. Go long according to this level.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3375-79
TP:3390-3400
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Gold hits 3400. What is Wall Street betting on?On Thursday (June 12), the U.S. Department of Labor released the Producer Price Index (PPI) for May and the initial jobless claims data for the week ending June 7. The data showed that the annual rate of PPI in May was 2.6%, in line with market expectations, and the previous value was 2.4%; the core PPI monthly rate only increased by 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.3%, and the previous value was -0.4%. The number of initial jobless claims remained unchanged at 248,000, slightly higher than the market expectation of 240,000, and the four-week average rose to 240,200, while the number of continued claims increased sharply by 54,000 to 1.956 million, setting a recent high. These data reflect that the U.S. labor market continues to cool, and inflationary pressures have eased but there are still uncertainties. The market's sensitivity to the Fed's expectations of rate cuts has further increased, coupled with the economic uncertainty caused by tariff remarks, investor sentiment has become cautious.
Immediate market reaction: Risk aversion heats up, and the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields are under pressure
After the data was released, the financial market reacted quickly, and the dollar index fell 1.02% to 97.63, reflecting market concerns about slowing inflation and a weak labor market. U.S. Treasury yields continued to fall, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling 6.7 basis points to 4.343%, a daily decline of 1.63%, showing investors' cautious attitude towards the economic outlook. Short-term interest rate futures prices rose, and traders further bet on the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year. The probability of a rate cut at the September 17 meeting rose from 76% before the data was released to nearly 80%.
In the stock market, S&P 500 futures fell 0.25%, continuing the previous day's 0.3% drop. Market sentiment was affected by weak labor market data and sudden events in the aviation industry. Boeing's stock price plummeted 7% due to the crash of Air India's 787 Dreamliner, dragging down the performance of the Dow Jones Index. The gold market showed safe-haven appeal. Spot gold broke through $3,390/ounce to $3,390.13/ounce, up 1.05% on the day; the main contract of COMEX gold futures rose 1.97% to $3,410.40/ounce, reflecting the market's rising demand for safe-haven against economic uncertainty. In the foreign exchange market, the pound rose to 1.3600 against the US dollar, up 0.42% on the day.
Compared with market expectations before the data was released, the mild performance of the PPI data slightly eased inflation concerns, but the high level of initial jobless claims and the significant increase in the number of continued claims intensified the market's concern about the weak labor market. Before the data was released, some institutions expected the PPI monthly rate to reach 0.2%, while the number of initial claims could fall back to 240,000. The actual data was lower than inflation expectations but higher than employment expectations, and market sentiment shifted from cautious optimism to risk aversion, and the decline in the US dollar and US Treasury yields reflected this shift.
Data interpretation: Weak labor market and inflationary pressure coexist
From the data details, the annual PPI rate of 2.6% in May was in line with expectations, slightly higher than the previous value of 2.4%, indicating a mild recovery in inflationary pressure on the production side, but the core PPI monthly rate increased by only 0.1%, lower than expected, indicating that the inflation momentum after excluding food, energy and trade was limited. This is consistent with the recent trend of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, suggesting that inflation has stabilized overall, but has not yet fully returned to the Fed's 2% target range. In terms of the labor market, the number of initial unemployment claims has continued to run high, with the four-week average rising to 240,200 and the number of continued claims increasing to 1.956 million, indicating that it is more difficult for the unemployed to find jobs. Although the median unemployment duration has dropped from 10.4 weeks in April to 9.5 weeks in May, there has been no large-scale layoffs in the labor market, but the growth momentum has slowed significantly.
Analysts from well-known institutions pointed out that part of the reason for the cooling of the labor market is related to the economic uncertainty caused by tariff rhetoric, and companies tend to hoard labor rather than actively expand. In addition, the White House's recent tightening of immigration restrictions has further compressed the labor supply. The Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) data indicate that job growth from April 2024 to May 2025 may be overestimated, and Barclays economist Jonathan Millar expects that the benchmark revision in 2025 may reduce job growth by 800,000 to 1.125 million, an average monthly decrease of 65,000 to 95,000. This forecast further reinforces market concerns about an economic slowdown.
Institutional and retail views also reflect similar sentiments. Before the data was released, retail investors expected that if the PPI increase was lower than expected and the initial claims data was higher than expected, the Fed would be under more pressure to cut interest rates. After the data was released, the PPI data was moderate and the initial claims data was high. The market's expectations for the Fed's September rate cut were further heated up, and the trend of gold and US Treasury yields has already said it all. Some retail traders believe that both the initial claims data and PPI are weak, the US dollar index fell below 98, and they are bearish on the US dollar in the short term, and gold bulls have opportunities.
Compared with the optimistic expectations before the data was released, retail sentiment turned cautious, and some investors began to pay attention to the allocation opportunities of safe-haven assets.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts and changes in market sentiment
After the data was released, the market's expectations for the Fed's monetary policy changed subtly. Before the data was released, the market's probability of a rate cut at the Fed meeting on July 30 was only 23%, and the probability of a meeting on September 17 was 76%. After the release of PPI and initial claims data, the probability of a rate cut in September rose to nearly 80%, reflecting the market's comprehensive judgment on slowing inflation and a weak labor market. Traders have fully digested the possibility of two rate cuts this year, and the rise in short-term interest rate futures further confirms this expectation. However, tariff rhetoric and potential fiscal stimulus policies (such as the Republican tax cut plan) may put upward pressure on inflation, limiting the Fed's room for rate cuts.
From the perspective of market sentiment, before the data was released, investors' expectations for PPI and initial claims data were relatively divided. Some institutions expected that inflation might exceed expectations, while labor market data might improve. The mild performance of actual data dispelled concerns about overheating inflation, but the weakness of employment data exacerbated expectations of an economic slowdown.
Outlook for future trends
Looking ahead, market trends will remain volatile under the combined influence of the Fed's monetary policy expectations, tariff rhetoric and the global macro environment. In the short term, the mild performance of PPI data provides the Fed with greater policy flexibility, but the weakness of initial and renewal data indicates that the labor market may slow down further, and the probability of a rate cut in September will remain high. However, the upward risk of inflation caused by tariff rhetoric and potential fiscal stimulus policies may limit the extent of rate cuts. The market needs to pay close attention to the July non-farm payrolls data and June CPI data to further confirm the trend.
From a historical perspective, the S&P 500 index often shows a volatile pattern against the backdrop of mild inflation data and weak employment data. The current index is 2% lower than the historical high on February 19, and may continue to be under pressure in the short term. Gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset is increasing, and a breakthrough of $3,390/ounce may indicate further upside. The weakness of the US dollar index may continue, but we need to be wary of the support for the US dollar from safe-haven demand caused by tariff policies or geopolitical risks (such as the situation between Russia and Ukraine).
In the long run, continued weakness in the labor market may prompt the Fed to adopt a more accommodative policy in the second half of 2025, but the uncertainty of inflationary pressure will keep the policy path cautious. Investors should pay attention to the guidance of subsequent economic data, especially the revision of QCEW data, to judge the true situation of the job market.
Gold rose as expected, how to operate after the bulls hit 3400
📌 Gold News
Spot gold prices rose sharply. Analysts pointed out that the US CPI was lower than expected across the board, which hit the US dollar and US bond yields. In addition, tensions in the Middle East escalated, which triggered safe-haven buying of gold
📊Comment Analysis
Middle East issues, and information about high tariffs on countries without trade agreements. Gold prices have rebounded, but there is no long-term stability.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3428-3430 SL 3435
TP1: $3410
TP2: $3395
TP3: $3387
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3345-$3343 SL $3338
TP1: $3365
TP2: $3377
TP3: $3390
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
XAUUSD: Analysis June 12XAUUSD is trading within a short-term rising channel.
The market structure remains slightly bullish, with continuous corrections to support zones and then rebounds.
The RSI and MACD indicators have not entered the overbought zone, indicating that there is still room for growth if important support zones are held.
Buy Zone:
1. 3346 – 3350: If the price does not go deep, this is the "retest MA/trendline" zone in the uptrend channel. You can Buy when there is a clear price reaction in this zone.
2. 3330 – 3325: This is a very clear H1 technical support zone. Price may retrace here before bouncing back.
Sell Zone:
3385 - 3390: This is a strong resistance zone on the H1 chart, coinciding with the “Order Block” zone of the sellers. The price may touch and react strongly if there is no breakout momentum.
Gold Correction = Bearish Divergence + Wedge + Zigzag CompleteGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) today after the release of the US CPI indices . Although the figures seemed to be in gold's favor, traders still seem to be determined to continue the price correction.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has managed to complete the Zigzag Correction. We should wait for the next 5 down waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Gold appears to have successfully formed a Rising Wedge Pattern .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,296 AFTER breaking the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern .
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $3,380
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
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XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) H1 Chart AnalysisBullish Trade Setup – XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar)
🟢 Entry Point:
Buy at: $3,327
🎯 Targets:
1. 1st Target: $3,360
2. Final Target: $3,390
🔐 Stop-Loss:
Place below recent swing low or lower channel line, e.g., around $3,315 (adjust based on volatility or tighter risk tolerance)
Gold Trading Strategy June 12Yesterday's D1 daily frame bounced and closed above 3347. That led to a price gap today.
3375 is a resistance zone that is showing a price reaction in the European session. If it cannot be broken by mid-European session, it is possible to set up a sell at 3355. The 3355 zone for BUY strategies is in the price gap created at the beginning of today's trading session.
Any price decrease today is considered a good opportunity for buying Gold to aim for 3432
Pay attention to the 3355-3347-3321 zone for today's BUY signals. Target is still 3432 but you need to pay attention to the 3397 zone where there may be a reaction from the Sellers.
Support: 3355-3347-3321
Resistance: 3397-3432