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Xauusdbuy

XAUUSDGold kicks off the week with a strong bullish move — and the same applies to BTC, which is now getting very close to its all-time high. Gold is also showing impressive strength, so despite being on a lower time frame, I’ve decided to activate a Buy position on XAUUSD. 🔍 Trade Details: ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 3308.62 ✔️ Take Profit: 3315.25 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3304.20 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I'm sharing a trade I'm personally taking based on my own strategy, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 If you're interested in a systematic and data-driven approach to trading: 💡 Follow the page and enable notifications to stay updated on future setups, analysis, and strategic insights.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Nurlan_PT
XAUUSD Breakout from Bullish Flag – Eyes on $3,387Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe is exhibiting a strong bullish continuation setup, supported by multiple confluences that suggest the uptrend is far from over. The chart clearly shows the market breaking out from a Bullish Flag Pattern, respecting curve support, and targeting the major resistance zone near $3,387. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 1. Bullish Flag Pattern Formation After a sharp bullish impulse, price consolidated in a tight downward-sloping channel — the classic bullish flag. This pattern typically appears mid-trend and signals a healthy pause before the next leg higher. The breakout from the flag confirms bullish continuation, often offering a high-probability trade entry. 2. Break of Structure (BOS) The breakout above minor resistance marked a Break of Structure (BOS), which is a key bullish signal. It indicates a shift in market sentiment and validates the end of the corrective phase (flag) and beginning of the next impulse wave. 3. Curve Support (Parabolic Trajectory) A parabolic curve support is now guiding price upward, showing increasing bullish pressure and higher lows forming consistently. This type of dynamic support often appears in strong trending markets where buyers step in aggressively at every pullback. 4. Liquidity Sweep & Smart Money Behavior Before the breakout, price dipped below recent lows within the flag, likely sweeping liquidity and triggering stop-losses. This move provided institutional players with the liquidity needed to push price higher — a classic smart money trap-and-break scenario. 5. Volume & Momentum Confirmation The breakout occurred with strong bullish momentum and rising volume (if checked on the volume profile), reinforcing the credibility of this move. A momentum-based continuation is likely as long as price remains above previous resistance (now support). 🎯 Target & Resistance Levels: Short-Term Target: $3,387 — aligned with the previous major resistance area Support Zone: $3,260–$3,275 (previous flag breakout + structure support) Major Resistance Zone: Around $3,360–$3,387 (historical supply zone) 🧠 Trade Idea / Strategy: As long as price holds above the curve support and retests the previous breakout zone (flag top or minor resistance), bullish entries on pullbacks are favored. ✅ Buy on dips into curve support or minor resistance retests. ❌ Avoid shorting into a strong parabolic structure unless signs of exhaustion appear. 🎯 Potential RR setups: 1:2 and beyond if entry is timed well. 💬 Conclusion: The market structure, pattern confirmation, and strong bullish momentum all point toward a continuation move toward the $3,387 level. This setup provides a solid technical case for bullish trades with multiple entry options and well-defined risk levels. Keep an eye on curve support and potential higher timeframe resistance reactions for dynamic trade management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold is on bull or bear, let's see how it goes? {21/05/2025}Educational Analysis says that XAUUSD may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis. Broker - Pepperstone So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range. So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) Trading Range to fill the remaining fair value gap Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future. Please check the comment section to see how this turned out. DISCLAIMER:- This is not an entry signal. THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS, Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by VishalBudhrani
Gold Gains on US Credit Downgrade, Tax RiskTVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) surged to a one-week high of $3,306 on Tuesday, fueled by rising concerns over the U.S. economic outlook. The metal benefited from a weaker dollar, following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and renewed fears over President Trump’s proposed tax cuts, which could add $3–5 trillion to the national debt. Global risk sentiment also took a hit, with ongoing U.S.-Japan trade tensions and muted progress in U.S.-China talks. Technically, gold is approaching key resistance at $3,306. A firm breakout above $3,306 would signal bullish continuation, while short-term support lies at $3,288 and $3,240. The RSI around 60 suggests consolidation may precede another push higher. With central banks citing U.S. policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks lingering, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains intact. Resistance : $3,306 , $3,364 Support : $3,288 , $3,240
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
Gold updateAfter the previous level was broken and structure shifted, we’re now entering a new phase of analysis. In this fresh setup, we’re looking for buy opportunities — but not blindly! As always, waiting for a clean pullback to the new zone and a solid entry signal. Experience teaches us: real profits come from patience and planning. Here’s my new gold analysis — high probability, low risk. For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel: ForexCSP
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexCSP
XAUUSD Chart 4H Analysis BUY GoldXAUUSD Chart 4H Analysis BUY Gold Doesn't Have To Be Hard Profit Surging! The provided XAUUSD (Gold Spot/U.S. Dollar) 4-hour chart outlines a structured technical setup with clearly defined entry points, retracement zone, and multiple take-profit (TP) targets. The current price at the time of analysis is **$3,198.67**, with the potential for a bullish continuation upon confirmation within the valid setup zone. Let’s break this down in detail: **Current Price and Entry Strategy** * **Current Price:** $3,198.67 * **Recommendation:** Look for better entry around or near the green support zone. The setup is bullish-biased, suggesting a buy-on-dip opportunity. * **Support/Invalidation Zone:** If the price **closes below the green zone**, the setup will be **invalidated**. Hence, risk management and confirmation are crucial before taking any position. **Target Levels Identified** Three Take-Profit (TP) levels are established in the chart, each indicating potential upward momentum if the price respects the support and begins to rise again: * **TP1: $3,220.67** ✔️ Gain of **22 USD (220 pips)** from current price ✔️ Represents an initial move post-entry confirmation ✔️ Ideal for short-term scalpers or conservative traders * **TP2: $3,252.67** ✔️ Gain of **54 USD (540 pips)** from current price ✔️ Mid-level target indicating strong bullish continuation ✔️ Can be a good point for partial profit booking * **TP3: $3,284.67** ✔️ Gain of **86 USD (860 pips)** from current price ✔️ Long-term or full swing trade target ✔️ Represents full bullish momentum with higher reward-to-risk ratio
FX:XAUUSDLong
by MYWORLD115
Possible Pullback to 3260 If 3300 Breakthrough Attempt FailsReview of the Day's Trends Gold opened with a slight upward movement before turning bearish, dipping to a low of 3,204 before rebounding📈. It traded in a narrow range between 3,210 and 3,220, then surged during the U.S. trading session💹, hitting a high of around 3,285 and ultimately closing near 3,280📊. Analysis of Rising Factors Geopolitical Factors🌍: Escalating conflicts—Israel’s ground offensive in Gaza, Russia’s airstrikes, and Iran’s uranium enrichment—heightened risk aversion. Gold’s safe-haven status drove demand📈. Economic Data and Policy Expectations📊: Moody’s U.S. credit downgrade fueled caution, while Fed rate-cut expectations (57bps in 2025) lowered gold’s opportunity cost, boosting appeal. Technical Analysis📉📈: Daily chart: MACD green bars shrinking toward zero, 5-day MA nearing a bullish cross with 10-day MA—signaling upward momentum🚀. 4-hour chart: Resistance at 3,250 (last Friday’s decline origin)⚠️. Failure to hold 3,285 could lead to a retracement to 3,260–3,240🔻; a break above 3,285 may target 3,300🔺 It is likely that a pullback will occur ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@3285 🚀 TP 3270 - 3260 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign-
Today's Gold Trading Strategy: Volatility ReturnsToday, gold volatility has returned to normal 🌟. With the long - term bullish trend remaining unchanged 📈, going long on dips is the simplest profitable strategy 💰. Currently, the support at 3,200 and resistance at 3,260 are relatively obvious 📊. You can directly go long near 3,200 - 3,210 📈. In the absence of any real - time news impact 📰, try to focus on bullish positions 📈 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@3210 -3220 🚀 TP 3240 - 3260 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign-
Gold: Clear 3200-3260 Range – Buy the DipsThe volatility in the gold market has gradually returned to normal levels 🌟, with trading activity stabilizing into a steady rhythm. Under the core logic that the long-term bullish trend remains firmly intact 📈, the strategy of going long on pullbacks remains the most reliable profit-making approach at present 💰. From a technical perspective, the current gold price has formed a clear consolidation range between the key support level of 3,200 and resistance level of 3,260 📊. Notably, the 3,200–3,210 zone converges multiple technical supports, making it an ideal entry point for long positions 📈. Trading Recommendations: Traders are advised to decisively initiate long positions near 3,200–3,210, with stop-loss orders set below 3,180 to manage risk 🚦. In the absence of sudden geopolitical events or major economic data releases 📰, intraday strategies should prioritize the bullish bias, targeting the 3,240–3,260 resistance zone 🎯. It is important to note that while the long-term trend remains upward, short-term market fluctuations may still be influenced by factors such as Federal Reserve policy expectations. Maintain strict position management, avoid excessive leverage, and adopt a prudent mindset to capture trend-driven profits effectively ✨ ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@3200 -3210 🚀 TP 3220 - 3240 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign-
Gold price suddenly rises, how to get out of the trap at night🗞News side: 1. Humanitarian crisis in Gaza Strip, many civilians injured. I hope that world peace is all right 2. The call between the Russian and Ukrainian leaders is still ongoing 📈Technical aspects: After gold fell back after touching 3250, it rose again and has broken through to around 3270. This rapid rise was unexpected. Although the 1H moving average turned upward, the gold price is currently consolidating at a high level. It is not suitable for us to enter the market at this time. We should remain on the sidelines and pay attention to the pressure at 3290 above. The short-term support below needs to pay attention to 3250-2540. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
Will gold continue to rise to 3280-3330 today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. Today, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "debt surge and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies. Due to this influence, gold opened sharply higher today, Monday, and the highest so far is around 3250. Here is the 1-hour chart: If gold can continue to rush above 3250 in the short term, then we will see 3280-3300 later. The high point of 3250 may be broken at any time. For now, I think that as long as gold is above 3200 today, gold will continue to rise. So, if you do it in the short term, you can buy in the 3200-3220 range, with 3200 below as defense, and as long as the upper target stands firm at 3250, you can continue to see the 3280-3300-3330 range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AmandaLaw
1
5/20 Gold Trading SignalsGood afternoon, everyone! Last Friday and yesterday, gold did not reach our primary buy or sell zones, instead moving within a narrow range. We captured two trades, gaining about $32 in total movement, resulting in moderate but stable profits. After opening today, the price pulled back toward the 3200 area, which holds technical support. However, resistance remains dense above, especially between 3226 and 3243. For bulls to break through, stronger momentum and volume will be required. On the news front, there are no major economic events or key speeches scheduled today, so technical trading will dominate. Currently, gold continues to consolidate. If intraday volatility remains limited, traders can look to buy low and sell high within the 3243–3189 range. Watch for resistance around 3226 and support at 3198 as key technical levels. 📌 Trading Strategy for Today: 🟢 Buy Zone: 3189 – 3168 (Near support, suitable for bottom fishing) 🔴 Sell Zone: 3267 – 3288 (Close to resistance, good for shorting) 🔄 Scalping/Flexible Zones: ▫️3198-3218-3226-3238-3247-3255 📌 Note: Maintain proper position sizing, set clear take-profit/stop-loss levels, and stay flexible. If there's unexpected news or a breakout during the U.S. session, strategies will be adjusted accordingly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by China_MsWang
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Setup on Gold (XAUUSD)Gold traders, pay attention! We’re watching a textbook triangle pattern unfolding on the 1-hour timeframe for XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) — and the breakout could be just around the corner. Let’s break down what’s happening technically and why this setup could offer a high-probability opportunity. 🔺 Pattern Overview: Triangle Formation We’ve got a clear symmetrical triangle pattern developing — marked by converging trendlines of lower highs and higher lows. This type of structure often signals a buildup of pressure, a “coiling spring” waiting to explode in one direction. These patterns don’t last forever, and based on recent price action, we’re approaching the apex — which means a breakout is likely imminent. 📌 Key Technical Elements 🔷 1. Minor Resistance Zone A minor resistance zone lies just above the upper triangle boundary. This area has previously acted as a ceiling where sellers stepped in. A decisive candle close above this level would confirm a breakout — turning this resistance into a potential new support. 🔷 2. Retesting Zone After a breakout, it's common to see a retest of the breakout level. The chart anticipates this scenario with a projected pullback to the triangle edge. If price respects this zone and forms bullish candlestick patterns (like a bullish engulfing or pin bar), it could provide an ideal entry point with lower risk. 🔷 3. Black Mind Curve Support There’s a curved support line acting as dynamic support beneath the triangle. This "Black Mind Curve" reflects broader market psychology — it's the path where bulls might step in again if price dips. It adds a second layer of confluence support for this trade setup. 📍 SL & Risk Management The chart also defines a clear Stop Loss (SL) level around $3,205 — placed slightly below both the triangle’s lower boundary and the curved support. This is a sensible location to minimize downside while allowing room for minor volatility. 🛡️ Pro tip: Always risk only a small percentage of your account per trade — ideally 1-2%. 🎯 Projected Target: $3,342 If the breakout plays out as expected, the projected move targets the $3,342 level. This aligns with: The height of the triangle projected from the breakout point (measured move) Previous horizontal resistance and Fibonacci extension zones This offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio, especially if entry is timed during the retest phase. 🧠 Market Psychology Insight What’s happening under the surface? Bulls are gradually stepping up, making higher lows. Bears are losing steam as each push down is weaker than the last. Volume is likely compressing, indicating a buildup of energy. Once one side gains control (likely bulls based on this setup), a sharp impulsive move is expected. 💡 How to Trade This Setup Wait for confirmation: Look for a strong bullish breakout candle above the triangle & minor resistance. Entry Options: Breakout entry on confirmation candle Retest entry near triangle top (lower risk, better R:R) Set SL below the triangle & curve (~$3,205) Target: First take-profit at $3,280; second at $3,342+ 📣 Final Thoughts: This setup is a powerful blend of technical structure, support dynamics, and clear breakout potential. While nothing is guaranteed in trading, this is a high-quality formation that deserves a spot on your watchlist. Let the market show its hand — don’t rush the entry. Wait for confirmation, manage your risk, and let the probabilities do the heavy lifting. 🔖 Tags: #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #TrianglePattern #PriceAction #ForexTrading #BreakoutTrade #SwingTrade #TradingViewIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBreakout #RiskManagement
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Will gold fall to 3180-3158?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. If you have a different opinion, you can express your different opinions in the comment area. Yesterday, Monday, retail traders made a record bottom-fishing in US stocks, reversing the 1% drop in the S&P 500 index caused by Moody's downgrading the US credit rating last weekend. Yesterday, Monday, gold opened at a high point near 3250, but after the US stock market opened, it basically maintained a downward trend. From the current 1-hour chart, gold has been fluctuating above the 1-hour chart range yesterday, Monday, but there has been a change today. It has continuously fallen below the hourly chart range support position at the opening. Therefore, from the current point of view, gold is likely to retreat downward today, and the 3200 mark is currently difficult to hold. Therefore, we must be alert to the possibility of a retracement today. As for the operation, you can rely on the 3220-3225 range to sell, and look at the target to 3180-3158.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AmandaLaw
Gold Price Soars After Moody's US Downgrade: What's Next?Gold's Resurgence: A Deep Dive into the Moody's Downgrade and Market Tremors The world of finance is a complex ecosystem, where a single event can trigger a cascade of reactions across global markets. Recently, such an event unfolded as Moody's Investors Service, one of the leading credit rating agencies, delivered a significant blow to the United States' financial standing by downgrading its sovereign credit rating. This unexpected move, occurring after a period of notable decline for gold, sent shockwaves through the financial landscape, prompting a sharp rally in the precious metal's price. In the early hours of Asian trading, gold surged by as much as 1.3%, reaching approximately $3,245 an ounce, a clear testament to its enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty. The Catalyst: Moody's Downgrade and its Implications Credit ratings are critical indicators of a borrower's ability to meet its debt obligations. For a sovereign nation, its credit rating influences borrowing costs, investor confidence, and its overall standing in the international financial community. Moody's decision to lower the U.S. sovereign credit rating by one notch, from the pristine Aaa to Aa1, was not taken lightly. The agency pointed to a confluence of persistent and concerning factors. Chief among these were the United States' chronic budget deficits, which have shown little sign of abatement despite various economic cycles. Moody's also highlighted a perceived erosion of political will and institutional strength to effectively address the nation's deteriorating fiscal trajectory. The growing burden of national debt and the escalating costs of servicing this debt were explicitly mentioned as significant concerns underpinning the downgrade. This wasn't the first time the U.S. had faced a credit rating downgrade. In 2011, Standard & Poor's (S&P) stripped the U.S. of its top-tier AAA rating, a move that also sent tremors through global markets. The parallels are noteworthy, as both instances underscored deep-seated concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy. A sovereign downgrade, particularly for an economy as pivotal as the United States, has far-reaching consequences. It can lead to higher borrowing costs for the government, potentially impacting everything from infrastructure spending to social programs. Furthermore, it can dent investor confidence, leading to capital outflows or a re-evaluation of risk associated with U.S. assets. The immediate market reaction to Moody's announcement was a textbook flight to safety. The U.S. dollar, typically a beneficiary of global uncertainty, found itself under pressure. As the world's primary reserve currency, the dollar's value is intrinsically linked to the perceived strength and stability of the U.S. economy. A credit downgrade, by questioning that stability, naturally led to a weakening of the greenback. This weakening, in turn, provided a direct tailwind for gold. Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so a cheaper dollar makes gold more affordable for investors holding other currencies, thereby stimulating demand. Simultaneously, U.S. Treasury bonds, long considered one of the safest investments globally, experienced a sell-off. This might seem counterintuitive, as a flight to safety often includes government bonds. However, a credit downgrade directly impacts the perceived creditworthiness of those bonds. Investors demand a higher yield (return) to compensate for the increased perceived risk, leading to a drop in bond prices (yields and prices move inversely). The Treasury yield curve, which plots the yields of bonds with different maturities, steepened, indicating greater uncertainty about longer-term economic prospects and inflation. U.S. stock futures also registered declines, reflecting concerns that higher borrowing costs and diminished confidence could negatively impact corporate earnings and economic growth. Gold: The Evergreen Safe Haven Amidst this turmoil, gold shone brightly. Its rally was a classic demonstration of its role as a premier safe-haven asset. Throughout history, gold has been a store of value, a tangible asset that retains its worth when paper currencies or other financial instruments falter. Its appeal transcends economic cycles and geopolitical shifts. Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policy, gold's supply is finite, giving it an intrinsic scarcity value. In times of economic stress, such as those signaled by a sovereign credit downgrade, investors flock to gold for several reasons. Firstly, it acts as a hedge against currency depreciation. If the U.S. dollar weakens significantly, holding gold can preserve purchasing power. Secondly, gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. If a government resorts to inflationary policies to manage its debt burden, the real value of money erodes, while gold tends to hold or increase its value. Thirdly, in periods of heightened geopolitical risk or systemic financial instability, gold provides a sense of security that other assets may not offer. It is a universally accepted medium of exchange and store of wealth, independent of any single government or financial institution. The downgrade by Moody's amplified concerns about the U.S.'s fiscal health, a narrative that has been building for some time. Commentators pointed to over a decade of what they termed "fiscal profligacy," where successive administrations and Congresses have struggled to implement sustainable long-term solutions to the nation's growing debt. The phrase "ticking debt timebomb" resurfaced in financial commentary, underscoring the anxieties surrounding the long-term implications of current fiscal policies for the world's largest economy. These anxieties naturally fueled demand for gold as a protective measure. Adding another layer to these concerns were reports of a U.S. House panel approving proposed tax cuts, which, according to some economic analyses, could add trillions more to the national debt, further exacerbating the fiscal imbalance. The Preceding Slump: A Market Breather The vigorous rally in gold prices was particularly striking given its performance in the preceding week. The metal had been on a downward trajectory, poised for what was described as its steepest weekly decline in six months. This earlier weakness was primarily attributed to a strengthening U.S. dollar and an apparent easing of trade tensions between the United States and China. When geopolitical risks appear to subside and economic optimism grows, investors often rotate out of safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets, such as equities, in pursuit of higher returns. This is often referred to as a "risk-on" environment. The announcement of a 90-day pause on tariffs between the U.S. and China had injected a dose of optimism into the markets. This temporary truce in the protracted trade war improved investor sentiment, reducing the perceived need for the kind of insurance that gold provides. Consequently, capital flowed towards assets perceived to benefit more directly from improved global trade and economic growth, leading to a pullback in gold prices. However, the Moody's downgrade swiftly reversed this trend, highlighting how quickly market sentiment can pivot in response to unexpected news. Navigating a Complex Web of Global Influences Gold's price is rarely determined by a single factor. It is subject to a complex interplay of global economic data, geopolitical developments, central bank policies, and investor sentiment. While the Moody's downgrade was the immediate catalyst for the recent rally, other elements continue to shape the landscape. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in various parts of the world provide a persistent undercurrent of support for gold. Any escalation of conflicts or emergence of new geopolitical flashpoints can quickly send investors seeking refuge in the yellow metal. Furthermore, mixed economic data from major economies contributes to market volatility. For instance, softer-than-expected economic indicators from China, the world's second-largest economy, can dampen global growth expectations and influence risk appetite, which in turn affects gold. Statements from key policymakers also carry significant weight. Comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding the potential reimposition of "Liberation Day" tariffs if trade negotiations with certain partners were not conducted in "good faith" served as a reminder that trade uncertainties remain. Such pronouncements can easily reignite concerns and support gold prices. The Long-Term Horizon: Bullish Undertones Persist Despite the short-term volatility, many analysts maintain a constructive long-term outlook for gold. Several underlying factors are expected to provide structural support for the precious metal in the coming years. One such factor is the potential for ongoing U.S. dollar weakness, driven by the country's twin deficits (budget and current account) and a gradual shift by some central banks to diversify their foreign exchange reserves away from an overwhelming reliance on the dollar. This diversification trend, if it continues, could provide a sustained tailwind for gold. Moreover, the policies of major governments and central banks can also influence gold's trajectory. For example, periods of expansionary monetary policy, characterized by low interest rates and quantitative easing, can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold (which yields no income) and potentially lead to inflationary pressures, both of which are typically gold-positive. It's important to note that gold had already demonstrated strong performance in 2025, even before this latest surge. Year-to-date, the metal had appreciated significantly, reportedly by around 23%, and had even briefly surpassed the $3,500 an ounce mark for the first time in history during April. This underlying strength suggests that broader market forces were already favoring gold. Major financial institutions have also echoed this optimistic long-term view. JPMorgan, for instance, has projected that gold could average $3,675 an ounce by the end of the year, with a potential to reach $4,000 before the close of 2026. Similarly, Goldman Sachs maintained its forecast of $3,700 by year-end and a $4,000 target by mid-2026. These forecasts often consider a range of scenarios, including the path of Federal Reserve interest rate policy and the likelihood of a U.S. recession. Even with expectations of delayed Fed rate cuts and a potentially lower U.S. recession risk, these institutions see considerable upside for gold. Investor Strategy in a Shifting Landscape For investors, the recent events serve as a potent reminder of gold's role in a diversified portfolio. While gold can be volatile in the short term, its ability to act as a hedge against various risks makes it a valuable component for long-term wealth preservation. The Moody's downgrade and the subsequent market reaction underscore the importance of not being complacent about sovereign risk, even in developed economies. Retail investors might consider gold through various avenues, including physical bullion (coins and bars), gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the gold price, or shares in gold mining companies. Institutional investors, such as pension funds and endowments, often allocate a portion of their portfolios to gold as a strategic hedge and a diversifier. The key is to view gold not as a speculative tool for quick profits, but as a long-term strategic holding that can provide stability and protection during periods of economic or geopolitical stress. The optimal allocation to gold will vary depending on an individual's risk tolerance, investment goals, and overall market outlook. Conclusion: Gold's Enduring Relevance The sharp rebound in gold prices following Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating is a multifaceted event with significant implications. It highlights gold's unwavering status as a safe-haven asset, its sensitivity to shifts in U.S. dollar valuation, and the profound impact of sovereign creditworthiness on global financial markets. The downgrade served as a stark reminder of the underlying fiscal challenges confronting the United States and their potential to create ripples of uncertainty that benefit traditional stores of value. Looking ahead, investors and market observers will be keenly focused on upcoming U.S. economic data, pronouncements from the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy, and the evolving geopolitical landscape. While short-term fluctuations are inevitable, the fundamental factors that have historically supported gold – its role as an inflation hedge, a currency hedge, and a crisis commodity – remain firmly in place. As the global economic and political environment continues to navigate complex challenges, gold is likely to retain its allure as a critical component of a well-diversified investment strategy, a timeless guardian of wealth in an ever-changing world. The recent bounce may be more than just a fleeting reaction; it could be a reaffirmation of gold's enduring value proposition in an era of increasing uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Gold still has the potential to rebound, continue to buy goldTechnical aspect: Gold has just retreated to around 3217 and then rebounded again. It has now rebounded to around 3235. Although the rebound strength is a little weak, it has even hovered around 3235 for a long time. But structurally, gold did not destroy the rising structure during the decline, and the strength of structural support was strengthened after the effective retracement support. After being recognized and accepted by the market, gold will continue to rise with structural support. Once gold breaks through the short-term resistance area of ​​3250-3260, it will continue to rise to 3280-3290, or even around 3320. Trading strategy: Before the short-term rising structure is destroyed, we can still continue to try to go long on gold in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3240-3250
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Geopolitical risks ease, trade progresses: Gold short-term volatIndia and Pakistan have declared a full ceasefire😮, while news has emerged that Russia and Ukraine will observe a 30-day ceasefire. With the cooling of geopolitical risks, gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset has diminished. Additionally, high-level economic and trade talks between China and the U.S. in Geneva, Switzerland, have made substantive progress, with most market participants believing the tariff war is nearing an end—further dampening gold’s safe-haven demand. The market has seen two consecutive days of massive volatility: a surge of $100 on Thursday, followed by a plunge of $100 on Friday, creating a "double kill" for both bulls and bears, which is clearly a capital-driven washout. Currently, the 3120 level still shows a relatively obvious supporting effect. Due to ongoing international relations issues, gold remains in a long-term bullish trend. Traders can continue to take small long positions near 3120😎. ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@3120 -3130 🚀 TP 3230 - 3260 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign-
Beware of a sharp surge at the beginning of the week!🗞News side: 1. The India-Pakistan conflict has been eased, but India has increased its troops in Kashmir 2. The situation between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again 3. Trump has asked Walmart to absorb the impact of tariffs on its own 📈Technical aspects: Gold jumped higher in the Asian session in the morning and once tested the 3250 resistance line. In the short term, the upward space is limited and there is a certain suppression. At present, gold is testing the 3210-3200 support level again. Judging from the 4H chart, if the gold price breaks through this short-term support level, it is likely to go to the 3170 level next, or even test the strong support level of 3150. If it gets effective support at 3210-3200, gold may test the resistance area again. Therefore, in the short-term trading in the Asia and Europe sessions, maintain the high-level short-selling and low-level long-selling cycle to participate. On the upside, focus on the 3250-3260 resistance area. If it breaks through, it is expected to look towards the 3300 line. On the downside, focus on the 3210-3200 support line. If it breaks through this support, look to the 3170-3150 important support. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
1
Buy gold, it is expected to hit 3280-3290Fundamentals: 1. Focus on the speeches of Fed officials; 2. Pay attention to Trump's calls with Putin, Zelensky and others; Technical aspects: Gold continued its rebound momentum today, but failed to break through the short-term resistance area of ​​3250-3260 many times. However, after multiple tests, it will become easier to break through this area. According to the current structure, gold rebounded from around 3120, and then built a secondary low point structure around 3154. Today, during the Asian session, it built a structural retracement area around 3206 again. As the low point is continuously raised, an obvious bullish structure is formed in the short term. For short-term trading, we can start to try to go long on gold based on the structural form; if gold successfully breaks through the 3250-3260 area, gold will continue to the 3280-3290 area, or even the area around 3320. Trading strategy: Consider going long on gold after gold retreats to the 3225-3215 area, TP: 3250-3260
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Yield Wars and Crypto Surge: Is Gold Losing Its Luster?Gold currently lacks fundamental backing, as macroeconomic conditions continue to favor alternative investment vehicles. Surging U.S. Treasury yields have diminished the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold, while Bitcoin’s ascent beyond the $100,000 mark indicates a significant shift in risk-on sentiment. Once considered the premier safe-haven asset, gold has seen substantial capital outflows—particularly after President Trump's inauguration—as institutional interest shifted toward cryptocurrencies and government bonds. From a technical perspective, gold is currently testing a key supply zone around the 3250 level. A confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) would require a strong move above the 3255 area. However, should a 4-hour candle close below this zone, it would reinforce bearish intent and potentially trigger a 300-pip correction. With both macro and technical factors aligning, the directional bias remains clearly defined—further analysis is unnecessary at this stage.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by wickywicks