Will gold fall today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. From the current daily chart, gold is currently in a five-wave upward trend.
You can see that the low point of gold last week was near 2955, which is exactly the top position of the first wave of this wave.
The retracement from 3167 to 2955 is the retracement of the fourth wave, and the retracement did not break the top position of the first wave near 2950.
So, the current trend from near 2955 is running in the fifth wave of rise.
I also drew it in the picture, and it may eventually reach the high point near 3308-3328.
Today's highest point reached near 3275, and then it retreated sharply to near 3256.
Maybe you think this is a high and fall, but I don't think so from the trend.
Gold opened at 3230. If you look at the trend of 3230-3275, you can find that 3255 is exactly the 618 support position of this trend.
If the retracement does not break 618, then there will definitely be a new high.
Using 123 to find 4, we can see that if the high point of 3290 continues to break, the subsequent high point will be around 3300, followed by 3328.
And 3300 coincides with the daily high above.
Therefore, if gold can reach around 3300 next, we must be careful of the possibility of a high fall.
Xauusdforex
Gold Price Hits Record HighGold Price Hits Record High
On 19 March, we reported that gold had surpassed $3,000 per ounce for the first time in history and suggested this psychological level could be tested.
As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price briefly dipped below $3,000 but quickly rebounded. According to the Smart Money Concept methodology, this may have been a liquidity sweep triggered by stop-loss orders placed below the key level. Regardless, the test occurred (as indicated by the arrow), and the bulls resumed the rally. The new all-time high is now around $3,080 and could be broken again today.
Why Is Gold Rising?
➝ Uncertainty over Trump’s tariff plans
➝ Expectations of lower interest rates
Gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against economic and political uncertainty and tends to perform well in a low-rate environment. Analysts at Goldman Sachs have raised their year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,300.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
➝ Looking at gold’s broader trend, price movements continue to follow an upward channel (marked in blue), which has remained relevant since early 2025.
➝ Alternatively, a second, less steep ascending channel (marked in purple) suggests that gold is currently near its upper boundary, indicating a possible pullback. However, the $3,056 level—previously resistance—could now act as support, paving the way for a move towards the next milestone at $3,100.
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XAUUSD SHORT 4H (Results 3 Targets)Taking into account the existing formation structure, the logical and correct decision now would be to move the stop order to $2929.56.
part of the volume in position is held in accordance with the expectations of the targets:
4 - $2864.330
5 - $2834.270
6 - $2817.215
Xauusd signal sell Gold price continues to attract safe-haven flows amid persistent worries about Trump’s trade tariffs, refreshing record highs just above $2,900. Mounting trade war and inflationary concerns prompt investors to run for cover in the tradtional store of value, Gold.
Gold now sell 2901
Support zone 2885
Gold buy Gold price touches the $2,800 mark, or a fresh all-time peak during the early part of the European session, and seems poised to prolong its well-established uptrend witnessed over the past month or so. US President Donald Trump's threatened trade tariffs, along with geopolitical tensions, continue to underpin demand for the safe-haven bullion.
Gold buy 2804
Support 2815
Target 2820
Stop loss 2795
Xauusd chart The first line of support remains at $2,721, a sort of double top in November and December broken on January 21. Just below that, $2,709 (October 23, 2024, low) is in focus as a second nearby support. In case both abovementioned levels snap, look for a dive back to $2,680 with a full-swing sell-off.
Xauusd sell 2747
TP1 2740
TP2 2730
Target 2720
Xauusd sell signal Gold price sticks to positive bias for the third successive day on Wednesday and trades near its highest level since November 1 above $2,750. The uncertainty around US President Donald Trump's trade policies turns out to be a key factor that continues to drive haven flows towards the precious metal.
Gold now sell 2758
Support 2740
Target 2725
Weekly chart The daily improvement in the Greenback motivates Gold prices to give away part of the weekly strong advance and slip back to the vicinity of the $2,700 region per troy ounce at the end of the week.
The short-term technical outlook for Gold price continues to favor of Gold buyers as the previous week’s symmetrical triangle breakout remains in play and the yellow metal holds well above all the major daily simple moving averages (SMA).
Gold price eyes acceptance above the key static resistance at $2,726 to extend the uptrend toward the $2,750 psychological barrier. The next target is aligned at the record high of $2,790.
If the correction unfolds, Gold price will find initial demand at the previous day’s low of $2,690, below which the January 15 low of $2,670 will be tested.
Xauusd buy Gold’s price slightly retraces but holds above the $2,700 level on Friday, with some profit-taking occurring after its three-day rally this week. Fed governor Christopher Waller spooked traders by commenting on Thursday that a March interest rate cut should not be ruled out.
Xauusd buy signal 2711
TP1 2715
TP2 2725
Support zone 2735
Stop loss 2700
Xauusd buy Gold price must seek a daily candlestick closing above the $2,700 barrier to initiate a fresh uptrend toward the $2,750 psychological level
Gold now buy 2699
Target 2735
The short-term technical outlook for Gold price continues to support Gold buyers, courtesy of last week’s symmetrical triangle breakout.
Gold signal