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Xauusdidea

"XAU/USD Bearish Structure Developing Below Resistance"Gold price showed a sharp upward movement but faced resistance near the 3212–3220 zone. After forming a lower high, the structure appears to be setting up for a potential downside move. The market seems to be respecting a descending channel and if the current resistance holds, we could see further continuation toward the 3120–3122 support area. Volume spike during the drop also indicates possible seller strength. This is an educational analysis based on price structure and market behavior. Feel free to share your thoughts or give a boost if it aligns with your view. 🔍 Key Points: Resistance Area: ~3212–3220 Current Price Reaction: Forming lower highs Target Zone: 3120–3122 (support) Pattern: Bearish flag or channel Volume: Increased on downside move – shows selling pressure
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
Technical & Historical Key TakeawaysThis chart analyzes the historical price cycles of Gold (XAU/USD) over the past decades, focusing on the alternation between long bull runs and prolonged bear markets. You highlighted clear phases: 1970 - 1980: 10-year Bull Run Massive price rally, followed by a sharp correction. 1980 - 2001: 20-year Bear Market Prolonged sideways and downward movement. 2001 - 2011: 10-year Bull Run Strong upward trend, reaching new all-time highs. 2011 - 2016: 5-year Bear Market Significant correction but shorter in duration. 2016 - 2025: 10-year Bull Run Another strong bullish phase, possibly ending in May 2025. 🔮 Scenarios projected: Scenario 1 (Blue path): A shorter bear market (5 years) similar to 2011-2016 correction, then continuation of the long-term uptrend. Scenario 2 (Yellow path): Gold enters a long-term 20-year bear market, similar to what happened post-1980. You are asking if Gold is now entering a short bear phase (Scenario 1) or will fall into a multi-decade bear market (Scenario 2). Cyclicality of Gold: Gold has shown repetitive cycles of 10-year bull runs followed by either short (5-year) or long (20-year) bear markets. These cycles seem to reflect macroeconomic shifts (inflation, interest rates, global crises). Current Cycle (2016 - 2025): If we respect the pattern, May 2025 might mark the end of the current bull cycle, opening the door to a corrective phase. Scenario 1 favors a soft correction: Based on the last cycle (2011-2016), a 5-year bear market might occur. This would keep the long-term bullish trend alive, especially if macroeconomic conditions stay inflationary or geopolitical risks remain high. Scenario 2 warns of a harsh bear market: If history repeats the 1980-2001 phase, gold could enter a multi-decade bear market, driven by reduced inflation fears, strong dollar cycles, or financial system stability. Key Indicators to watch: Real interest rates. USD strength vs global currencies. Demand from central banks and emerging markets. Geopolitical tensions and inflation expectations.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Yassine_Houd
GOLD Update – Short Opportunity After Pullback! Gold traders! 💛 Our key support zone (3,212 - 3,196) has just been broken, and price is now consolidating below! 🎯 We previously took big profits from this level (our followers know!), and now we’re waiting for a pullback to enter a high-probability short trade! ⚡️ Golden Rule: ✅ If price retests the level as new resistance, go SHORT! ✅ If it reverses and breaks back above, consider a LONG! 📌 Always trade with a strategy—be ready for any scenario! 💸 The Secret to Trading Success: 🔹 Keep losses small & controlled. 🔹 Let profits run & grow! 🔹 We can’t control the market, but we CAN control our risk! 🚀 Gold is always hot—what’s your take? 👇 What’s your analysis on this move? For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel: ForexCSP
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ForexCSP
The focus of gold today is 3200!News: The US economic data in April was weak across the board, with the producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly falling by 0.5%, retail sales growth plummeting to 0.1%, and manufacturing output falling by 0.4%, which severely hit the market's confidence in the US economy. Affected by this, the US bond market fluctuated violently, with the 10-year US bond yield plummeting by 11 basis points and the 2-year yield plummeting by 9.2 basis points; the US dollar index fell by 0.2%, and the real interest rate fell. At the same time, geopolitical risks continue to heat up. The Russia-Ukraine peace talks have reached a deadlock, Putin refused to meet with Zelensky, and the Iran nuclear agreement negotiations have not progressed smoothly. Against this background, the safe-haven attribute of gold has been highlighted, and market attention has increased significantly. Looking ahead to this trading day, a number of important US economic data will be released soon, and the progress of the Russia-Ukraine talks and Trump's dynamics are also attracting much attention. These factors will continue to affect market trends. Technical aspect: From the perspective of the daily line, gold can no longer be regarded as a unilateral decline after yesterday's bottoming out and rebounding. It should be directly followed by the idea of ​​oscillation! The primary focus today is still the position of the dividing line of 3200. Trading idea: Go long if it doesn’t break around 3200, sl3190, target 3230
TVC:GOLDLong
by MabelLew
1
Latest trading opportunities for XAUUSD.The market went to the target position smoothly as expected. Due to the sharp decline this week, there was a huge rebound in technical demand on Thursday. The highest broke through 3175/3200/3250. There were some pullbacks in the Asian market. So what positions should we pay attention to now? How to trade? From the news side. The results of today's meeting between Russia and Ukraine are very important. The delay of one day in yesterday's negotiations has increased geopolitical uncertainty again. This is the biggest black swan event and the factor affecting the rise of XAUUSD. Before the results are announced today. There are still uncertain factors, which are the support for the decline of XAUUSD. However. If the results of the meeting are announced on the news side, then XUAUSD will have a corresponding response in the market. Then we can naturally choose the direction of trading. Two results. Stop or extend the truce, then XAUUSD will fall further. If no agreement is successfully reached, then it is an opportunity to buy. So the impact of today's news results is very large. It needs to be paid attention to. The basic data needs to pay attention to the support of 3200. Maintain the principle of long.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Band_analysis
Gold is likely to trend upward Gold has made a perfect V - shaped reversal today. It opened at 3,177 and declined unilaterally in the Asian session, once dropping to around 3,120, reaching a new low since April 10. Then it gradually climbed all the way, and has now completely recovered the decline, with a rising trend.👉👉👉 On Friday, we continue to anticipate a bullish daily close for gold. However, if the pullback falls below 3,200, the daily cycle may narrow again, leading to a sustained rebound to 3,235 and 3,260. Therefore, the key point is to monitor whether the price holds above or breaks below 3,200. For short-term trading of gold, the recommended strategy is to focus on going long during pullbacks and supplement with shorting during rebounds. Short-term key resistance to watch above: 3250-3260 level Short-term key support to focus on below: 3190-3200 level XAUUSD trading strategy buy @ 3210-3215 sl 3195 tp 3230-3240 If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
FX:XAUUSDLong
by JeromeGrote
5/15 Gold Trading Signals🌇Good afternoon, everyone! Yesterday, gold broke the support after some sideways movement and touched the buy zone near 3170, but profit was limited. Today, after opening, gold rebounded to above 3190 but faced resistance and started dropping again. Notably, the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence, and although not yet corrected, such divergence usually leads to a rebound of at least $60 — a potential opportunity worth watching. 🗞 News Highlights: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Research conference on monetary policy and economy These events may significantly impact gold, so stay alert. 📌 Today’s Trading Strategy: 🟢 Buy Zone: 3113 – 3076 🔴 Sell Zone: 3208 – 3223 🔄 Flexible Trading Ranges: ▫️3123-3152-3168-3187-3198 ✅ Maintain cautious, flexible positioning. Watch for divergence correction opportunities for a potential sharp rebound.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
XAUUSD H1 (15/05/2025)For today setup, i like to make sell position at price 3168 - 3171 for short position for now i can see Gold can go down until demand h1 (3123 - 3116) and will make bounce if respect that demand. if you guys see the daily timeframe. you can see structure is for buy because daily make breakout. For the position, i will take short position and then fokus buy. 🎯 The Ideal Combo for trading: 📌 A discipline mind 📌 A trading edge 📌 Risk management 📌 Long-term mentality.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by idhamhanafi10
Gold Breaks Lower: Geopolitics Calm, Yields Rise, Bulls RetreatOANDA:XAUUSD Gold weakened beneath $3,150 as easing US-China trade tensions and fading Fed rate cut expectations dented safe-haven demand. US Treasury yields rose, putting further pressure on non-yielding assets. Technically, gold is testing crucial support at $3,123. A break lower can see potential for downward movement to $3,084. Fed Chair Powell speech and PPI data remain key for short-term guidance. Resistance ： $3,171 , $3,229 Support : $3,123 , $3,084
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD SellThis week's trading cycle is fast. And there are huge fluctuations. The news is still more negative. So the decline is expected. Followers have also gained rich profits. At present, the entire trading logic is still mainly selling. With the gradual realization of the goal, the space below becomes larger. After the target of 3160-3130 is reached, XAUUSD has reached the lowest position of 3119. This is a huge drop. The trading opportunities are also greater. At present, 3150-3130 is a support in a dense trading area. In the short term, you can pay attention to the rebound position of 3160-3172DE selling position. The target is 3100-3070. If it breaks through 3175, then the short-term needs to pay attention to the upper pressure level of 3200-3210. The transaction is still mainly selling.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Band_analysis
Gold slips as trade optimism dents safe-haven demandOANDA:XAUUSD Gold remains stable around $3,237 as easing US-China trade tensions eroded safe-haven demand. The US cut its "de minimis" tariff on small Chinese parcels to 30%, with further progress in talks dampening gold's short-term appeal. Market focus now turns to the upcoming US PPI data for clues on the Fed’s rate path. Technically, gold is hovering just above the key $3,213 support. A break below could trigger further losses toward $3,132. Resistance remains near $3,264 and $3,306. Resistance : $3,264 , $3,306 Support : $3,213 , $3,132
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
Gold heads towards 3100 price zone, long or short? 📌 Driving Events Gold prices (XAU/USD) fell for the second straight session on Thursday, the third decline in the past four days, and fell to a more than one-month low below $3,150 during the Asian trading session. The continued downward pressure is largely due to renewed optimism after signs of a substantial de-escalation in the Sino-US trade dispute, a development that has dampened demand for traditional safe-haven assets such as gold. The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world's two largest economies also helped ease recession fears in the United States, prompting investors to reduce expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. The shift supported the continued rise in US Treasury yields, further suppressing demand for the non-interest-bearing gold. 📊Comment Analysis Downtrend, bears continue to exert downward pressure on the market, heading towards the 3100 price area ⭐️Set Gold Price: 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Area: 3178-3188 SL 3191 TP1: $3180 TP2: $3170 TP3: $3160 🔥Buy Gold Area: $3101 - $3099 SL $3094 TP1: $3110 TP2: $3120 TP3: $3130 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
XAUUSD target range 3160-3130Continue to short and make a profit. So how to trade next time? The news is very stable at present. Especially about the news related to geopolitics and tariffs, there are no more conflicts to cause the momentum of XAUUSD to rise. So the feedback on the chart is a decline. Although there were some small losses in buying. But the subsequent shorting made a good profit. After making up for the losses, there is still some profit. Next, continue to pay attention to the target range of 3160-3130 below. Investors with larger funds can choose to trade at the current price. 3210-3200 gradually increase the buy order. More detailed information can be obtained in the band trading center. If you don’t pay attention, you can observe and read it. You can also leave me a message.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Band_analysis
Will gold rise today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. From the current 1-hour chart range, gold is at risk of falling again to 3200. The current 1-hour chart range has been broken. After breaking the range support today, it has rebounded again, so the previous support has become a suppression position. Therefore, if gold cannot stand above 3250, then we must be careful of the risk of gold testing 3200. You can focus on 3240-3250. As long as it cannot stand above 3250, you can sell gold at 3240-3250. The target below is still around the bottom of the range 3200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by OctaviaRobinson
Gold has broken below the key level of 3200Before the U.S. trading session on Wednesday, spot gold saw a sharp short-term decline, plummeting by $50 in just 3 hours and breaking below the $3,200 mark.👉👉👉 Recently, the global financial markets have shown significant fluctuations due to tariff - related news. Over the weekend, China and the United States reached an agreement in Geneva to suspend the imposition of tariffs for 90 days. This news has effectively alleviated market concerns about a global economic recession, and global stock markets have risen in response, with risk - appetite sentiment heating up. For short-term gold trading ideas, it's recommended to focus on shorting on rebounds and supplement with longing on pullbacks. Key short-term resistance to watch above is the 3200-3205 level, while key short-term support to focus on below is the 3150-3155 level. XAUUSD trading strategy sell @ 3200-3195 sl 3220 tp 3170-3175 If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
FX:XAUUSDShort
by JeromeGrote
Gold fell below 3200 as expected. How to operate gold?An overall bearish trend of consecutive negative and single positive declines is formed. The double top above 3400 is suppressing the decline, and a top shape structure of a large M head is formed. The key lies in whether a substantial breakthrough can be formed at the previous low of 3200. Once it breaks down, the space below will be opened up, and the other half of the M head will continue to extend downward. At that time, the daily level may usher in an accelerated decline. At present, gold has broken through 3200 and has been exploring downward. We have said before that we have been emphasizing that gold is mainly short. Keep paying attention to the trend of gold. Today's successful prediction of the trend of gold has been very rewarding. Keep up with my pace and you will definitely gain something. In the future, gold will still be mainly short. Go short immediately after the rebound
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pcesfj
Gold price fluctuates and rebounds before shortingJudging from the 4-hour analysis, the top is currently focusing on the short-term suppression of the 3258-65 line, and the important first-line suppression of 3275-81. During the day, the counter-draw relies on this position to continue to go short first and then fall back. Before breaking through and standing at this position, the main counter-drawing rhythm will remain unchanged. The short-term support below is around 3206-13, focusing on the 3200 first-line mark support. Be cautious when doing longs. Focus on the support of the 3200 line. Be cautious when going long. Gold operation strategy: Short at the rebound of 3258-65, short at the rebound of 3275-83, stop loss at 3293, target 3206-3215, continue to hold if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pcesfj
Can I buy the bottom when gold fluctuates at a low level?Foreword of capital exchange: If a person does not have a goal and belief, even if there are many people to guide you, it is futile. Ask yourself what is the purpose of this investment? Have you achieved it? How far is it still? What conditions are needed to achieve your goal as soon as possible. I am very happy that you can come to understand. I am willing to help those who believe in me. Trust is like throwing a child into the sky. She can still smile because she believes that you can catch it. Trust is also the origin of all cooperation. If you cooperate with a skeptical attitude, then such cooperation will not last long. Profit is definitely not a win or loss in one order, and making money is definitely not a one-time game. When you are willing to let go of the past thinking. Even if you close your eyes, I will never let you get lost! At present, the gold price is in a state of technical and fundamental game. On the one hand, the Fed's expectations of rate cuts this year and the weakness of the US dollar provide support; on the other hand, trade optimism and rising market risk appetite suppress safe-haven demand.Looking ahead, gold prices are likely to resume their corrective decline as the U.S. dollar stabilizes after the previous sell-off.Technical analysis of gold: In recent trading days, gold has experienced a rapid decline in the early trading, and then stabilized and rebounded. The European trading session fluctuated, and the US trading session rebounded after a high rise. Today's early trading was under pressure, and the high point of yesterday's US trading in the 3258-60 area has already experienced a rapid decline. It depends on whether it can stabilize and rebound next. Overall, continue to pay attention to the medium-term support of the 3202-07 mark. Before breaking down, once the bulls stabilize, they will fill the gap of Monday's gap in the 3320-25 area; if it breaks down, it will open up the downward space, further 3160-3120, and then gradually fall to 3060 and the 3000 mark, the starting point of this round of bullish rise. The M top or W bottom we emphasized is still waiting for the market to choose! Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3257-3265, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3215-3220. All friends must keep up with the rhythm. Short position strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches near 3255-3260, stop loss 10 points, target near 3240-3230, break to see 3220 line; Long position strategy: Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the gold position in batches near 3220-3222, stop loss 10 points, target near 3240-3250, break to see 3270 line;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pcesfj
Gold comprehensive analysis summaryTechnical analysis of gold: In recent trading days, gold has experienced a rapid decline during the Asian session, then stabilized and rebounded, fluctuated during the European session, and rebounded after rising in the US session. Today, under pressure during the Asian session, the high point of yesterday's US session, 3258-60, has already experienced a rapid decline. It depends on whether it can stabilize and rebound next. Overall, continue to pay attention to the medium-term support of 3202-07. Before breaking down, once the bulls stabilize, they will fill the gap of Monday's gap in the area of ​​3320-25; if it breaks down, it will open up the downward space, further 3160-3120, and then gradually fall to 3060 and the starting point of this round of bulls, 3000. The M top or W bottom we emphasized is still waiting for the market to choose! From the hourly chart, gold is currently facing some downward pressure, especially since the current price has fallen below the previous support range. After falling below the support level, the gold price rebounded again, but this rebound failed to break through the original support level and turned into resistance, indicating that the price has not recovered effectively. For now, multiple rebounds have hit around 3257 to form a double top pattern, and the scope of short-term long and short consolidation has been reduced. Including today's Asian session decline, it did not fall below the 3220 US dollar line. The short-term consolidation range temporarily refers to the 3257-3220 US dollar range, and the break will be adjusted. Today, the 1-hour SAR indicator 3246 pressure is referenced above. If it breaks above, it will look at the recent double top 3257 pressure short. Secondly, look at the 3265-78 range multi-directional suppression short. It is recommended to refer to the Asian session low near 3220 for long below. If it breaks below, it will look at the 3207-3200 range for long. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly to do more on the pullback and short on the rebound. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3257-3265 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3215-3220 line of support. Gold operation strategy reference: short gold near 3250-3260, target near 3240-3230. Gold pullback near 3225-3220 to do more, target near 3240-3250.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Start buying gold and wait for a rebound.At the 4-hour level, the overall market judgment remains unchanged. In terms of the lower support level, 3208-3207 is the key support area. This position is not only the low point on Monday, but also an important support level formed by the previous starting point line extending to the present. As for the upper resistance level, first of all, we need to focus on yesterday's high point of 3265, which is also the previous shock low point. Secondly, the 3290-3293 area formed by the rebound after the gap-down opening on Monday is also a resistance range that cannot be ignored. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance line of 3260-3270 above, and pay attention to the support line of 3220-3210 below in the short term. Further support focuses on the 3200 mark. Gold operation strategy: 3220-3210 long, target 3230-3250; gold rebounds to 3260-3265 short, target 3240-3220.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5