Xauusdsetup
GOLD Bullish Today , Long Scalping Entry Valid To Get 150 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3296.00 and we have a 30 Mins Candle closure above it , so i`m waiting the price to go back and retest this res and new support and give me a good bullish price action to can enter a buy trade and we can targeting 100 to 150 pips .
Reasons To Enter :
1- New Support Created
2- Bullish Price Action
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
Gold’s Glitter Fades: Why $3,250 Is the Next Big Drop🧠 Fundamental Analysis
Despite recent bullish momentum, several macroeconomic and policy-driven headwinds could pressure gold prices lower toward the $3,250 mark:
1. **Fed Policy Shifts (Higher for Longer):**
The Fed’s persistent “higher-for-longer” stance on interest rates has kept real yields elevated. With the U.S. economy still showing resilience (strong labor market, consumer spending), markets are pricing out aggressive rate cuts. Higher real yields reduce gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
2. **Strengthening U.S. Dollar (DXY):**
Renewed dollar strength, driven by global risk aversion and higher U.S. yields, is acting as a headwind for gold. Since gold is priced in dollars, a rising DXY typically puts downward pressure on bullion.
3. **China & India Demand Weakness:**
Physical gold demand in key markets like China and India has been softening. High local prices, subdued consumer sentiment, and tighter liquidity conditions in China are dampening jewelry and investment demand.
4. **Geopolitical Easing:**
As geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East or Ukraine) show signs of stabilization, the fear premium embedded in gold could start to unwind.
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## 📉 Technical Analysis – Bearish Setup to $3,250
From a chartist’s view, gold shows early signs of technical exhaustion and potential reversal:
1. **Rising Wedge Breakdown:**
Gold recently broke down from a **rising wedge pattern** on the daily timeframe—a classic bearish continuation setup. Price failed to hold the breakout above \$2,450 and is now forming lower highs.
2. **Bearish Divergence (RSI & MACD):**
Both RSI and MACD are flashing **bearish divergence** on the weekly chart. While price made new highs, momentum indicators did not confirm—suggesting weakening buying pressure.
3. **Fibonacci Retracement Targets:**
A pullback toward the **50% retracement** of the March–July rally aligns closely with the \$3,250 level. This would be a logical technical correction zone.
4. **Volume Profile Gaps:**
The VPVR (Volume Profile Visible Range) shows a low-volume node around $3,250, implying weak support. If price breaches the $3,400 psychological level, a swift drop to $3,250 is plausible.
5. **Elliott Wave Perspective:**
If the recent top was wave 5 of a larger impulsive structure, we may now be entering an **ABC corrective wave**, with Wave C potentially targeting the $3,250 area.
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## 📍 Key Levels to Watch
* **Resistance:** $3,420 $3,500
* **Support:** $3,400 → $3,250 → $3,000
* **Trigger Point:** Break below $3,400 with volume confirmation
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## 📊 Strategy Notes
* **Short Bias**: Watching for rallies to short near \$3,400–\$3,450 with tight stops.
* **Risk Management**: Be cautious around key macro events (NFP, CPI, FOMC).
* **Confluence is Key**: Look for alignment between macro headwinds and chart setups.
---
📌 **Conclusion:**
While gold’s long-term bull thesis remains intact, a medium-term correction to $3,250 appears increasingly likely due to weakening fundamentals, overbought technical conditions, and waning momentum. Traders should prepare for volatility and focus on disciplined execution around key support zones.
XAUUSD Thursday Chart Market Structure & Context
Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
Overall Trend: Bearish after a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside
Current Price Action: In a retracement phase toward a premium supply zone
Bias: Expecting a liquidity sweep upward, followed by a strong sell-off
🧱 Key Structure Zones
NYL.H & NYL.L: High and Low of the previous New York session
ASIA.H & ASIA.L: High and Low of the Asia session
NYPM.H & NYPM.L: High and Low of the New York PM session
🔍 Critical Levels & POIs
Breaker Block (Dark Gray Box)
Formed after price swept buy-side liquidity and then broke structure upward
Expected to act as a support zone for a temporary buy or a reaction point
BSL POI (Buy-Side Liquidity - Point of Interest)
A manipulated breakout area targeted by smart money
Expected to entice FOMO buyers before a sharp reversal downward
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL)
Located below the current breaker block
This is the final liquidity target for a continuation sell move
📈 Expected Price Behavior
Price is currently retracing upward
Projected Scenario:
Price moves up to tap into the BSL POI zone (around 3,303–3,305)
Price rejects the POI, forming a potential distribution range
Breakdown from the range initiates a sell-off
Targeting final support / liquidity sweep around 3,268.04
🎯 Trade Setup & Plan
Bias: Sell after a liquidity sweep above key highs
Entry Trigger: Upon clear rejection from the BSL POI zone
Stop Loss: Above BSL POI (~3,307–3,309)
Take Profit: 3,268.04, yielding a Risk-to-Reward Ratio ~4.67
⏰ Killzone Timing (SMC Timing Model)
NY AM Killzone (14:00–19:00 GMT+7)
→ Ideal for entries; likely where liquidity manipulation occurs
NY Lunch & PM
→ Potential for distribution phase completion and sell-off
📌 Additional Notes
Price action reveals a clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) and a completed BSL sweep
Final downside target aims for the NYPM Low, identified as a weak low
Rejection from the breaker block is crucial; confirmation via BOS/CHoCH on lower TF is preferred
XAUUSD 1H AnalysisGold experienced a strong selloff, breaking multiple key S&R levels and forming a clear bearish structure. Currently, price is reacting from the PD Low + 1H demand zone (~3265) and pulling back.
🔍 Key Zones:
PD High – 3335: Major resistance / Supply
Supply Zone – 3295–3305: Key area to watch for bearish reaction
Current Resistance – 3285: Price testing this minor S&R level now
PD Low – 3265: Strong bullish reaction zone
📌 Potential Setups:
Sell Setup: If price enters 3295–3305 (Supply Zone) and forms rejection on 15M/1H → short toward 3265.
Buy Setup: If price breaks and holds above 3305, look for retest and continuation toward 3335.
Scalp Long: Small pullback toward 3275–3270 could offer intraday long up to 3295–3300.
📈 Bias: Still bearish unless price reclaims and sustains above 3305.
Patience is key — let price come to zone and wait for confirmation.
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is currently approaching two key supply zones (OB 1H):
🔴 First OB zone: around 3354 – 3360
🔴 Second OB zone: around 3368 – 3370
We're watching these zones for potential short setups, only with confirmation on the lower timeframes (5M or 3M).
If price reacts to one of these OBs, we expect a move down toward the green 1H demand zone around 3280 – 3290, where a long setup may later form.
📌 Key scenarios:
1️⃣ Price hits the first OB → confirmation → short
2️⃣ Price moves to the second OB → confirmation → short
3️⃣ Target for both setups = green OB around 3280
4️⃣ No entry without confirmation from LTF
❗️ Do NOT enter without lower timeframe confirmation.
7/30: Watch for Sell Opportunities in the 3352–3363 ZoneGood morning, everyone!
After a period of consolidation and decline, gold has found preliminary support near the 3300 level, and early signs of a bottom formation are emerging. The key technical level now lies around the 3332–3337 resistance zone. Based on current price structure, a breakout is likely, with major resistance seen at 3352–3358, while 3323–3316 serves as the primary support range.
However, caution is warranted as today’s ADP employment data may significantly influence short-term price action. Whether gold can hold above the 3337–3343 level depends on the data's impact.
From a broader perspective:
On the weekly chart, the 20-period moving average (MA20) has climbed to around 3276, yet the overall structure remains bearish for bulls
On the daily chart, gold is still trading below the MA60, facing notable resistance
This week's key events — ADP (Wednesday), jobless claims, and NFP (Thursday and Friday) — will likely shape gold’s medium-term trend
Trading Strategy for Today:
Focus on the 3313–3353 trading range, and be highly responsive to data-driven volatility.
Important note: If gold rises to 3343–3358 before the ADP release, then regardless of whether the data is bullish or bearish, the preferred approach is to sell into strength, as a post-data pullback is a likely scenario.
Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept
📊 Chart Context:
Timeframe: 30M
Market: Gold (XAUUSD)
Bias: Bearish – Scalp Sell
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🔍 Key Observations:
Premium Zone Rejection:
Price tapped into a premium supply zone formed after a clear break of structure (BoS) to the downside. This confirms seller dominance at higher pricing levels.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Fill:
The price filled a previous FVG imbalance and showed rejection without closing above the origin of the impulse. This shows liquidity grab behavior typical in smart money moves.
Bearish Order Block Confirmation:
A bearish OB was respected and reacted to. The latest candle shows strong rejection with a long upper wick and volume tapering — an early confirmation of potential entry trigger for scalp short.
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🧨 Entry Strategy (Scalp Sell):
Entry Zone:
Inside the reaction to the OB and FVG (just below the premium zone)
✅ 3325 ~3330
Stop Loss:
Just above the last high or FVG origin
✅ 3340
Take Profit:
TP1: Towards the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg
✅ 3300
TP2: Below the discount zone, targeting liquidity under recent lows
✅ 3280
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⚠️ Risk Note:
This is a scalping setup, not a swing trade. Higher timeframes still show mixed signals, so risk management is key. Avoid over-leveraging.
---
🏁 Summary:
> A high-probability scalp sell setup confirmed by smart money concepts: BOS → FVG Fill → OB Rejection → Liquidity Grab → Bearish Continuation.
GOLD: Time for massive drop? +3000 pips move! Gold has failed to breakthrough the previous resistance indicating a strong sellers hold around $3440 region. Now since the price has stared dropping we can see it dropping around $2800 in long term. In order for this to happen we need strong confirmation, which will help us understand the possible volume.
Agree with our idea?
Like and comment!
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 29 July 2025Hello Traders, Welcome to new day
we have US JOLTS high impact news today, for market sustains above 3300 psychological level
if market successfully break 3280 level then it will move towards 3280 or even 3270
if market crosses 3330 level successfully then it will move towards 3345 or even 3360
All eyes on FOMC & NFP news for the week
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) from mid-July to late August 2025. The current price is 3,425.000, with a slight increase of +0.03% (0.880) to 3,315.325. Key levels include a sell price of 3,315.070 and a buy price of 3,315.590. The chart highlights a recent downward trend with a support zone around 3,313.855 and resistance near 3,350.823, as indicated by the shaded areas.
Gold Robbery Blueprint: Smart Bears on the Move Now!💣 XAU/USD GOLD HEIST PLAN: Robbery Begins at Resistance Zone! 🔐💰
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers, 🕵️♂️💸🚀
Welcome to another strategic strike by Thief Trading Style™—where smart analysis meets bold execution. We're targeting XAU/USD (Gold) in this scalping/day-trade opportunity, primed with fundamentals, technicals, and pure robbery logic.
🔍 THE GAME PLAN
We're looking at a neutral zone turning bearish, and here’s how the robbery unfolds:
🔑 ENTRY POINTS
🎯 “Vault wide open” signal!
Initiate short orders at current price zones or set layered SELL LIMITS near swing highs on 15M/30M charts. We're running a DCA-style pullback entry for max loot.
🕵️♀️ Entry isn't about one shot—it's about precision raids.
🛑 STOP LOSS: THE ALARM SYSTEM
Set SL just above the nearest swing high (4H timeframe preferred).
Use candle wick tips as your defense line (Example: 3350.00).
Adjust SL based on risk appetite and number of orders stacked.
🎯 TARGET: THE GETAWAY PLAN
💸 First Vault: 3280.00
💨 Or escape earlier if price action signals reversal. Protect your gains. Professional thieves don't get greedy.
📊 WHY WE’RE ROBBING HERE
This level is a high-risk barricade zone—police aka "market makers" are strong here.
We spotted consolidation, oversold signals, trend reversal setups, and a bullish trap disguised as support. A perfect time to strike. 🧠🔍
📰 FUNDAMENTAL & SENTIMENTAL CHECKPOINTS
🔎 Stay updated with:
Global news drivers
Macro & Intermarket analysis
COT reports & future trend targets
👉 Check the 🔗🔗🔗
⚠️ TRADING ALERT - STAY SAFE DURING NEWS BOMBS!
Avoid entries during major economic data releases.
Use trailing SL to protect running profits.
Monitor volatility spikes & price anomalies.
💖 JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE HEIST!
If this plan adds value to your trades, hit that Boost Button 💥
Support the Robberhood and help grow the gang of smart money snipers 🕶️💼💣
Every boost = more ammo for next mission. Let's rob the market—not each other. 🚀🤑
📌 Remember: Market is fluid. Stay sharp, adapt quick, and trade like a shadow.
Catch you soon in the next grand heist 🎭💼
#XAUUSD #GoldTrade #ScalpingStrategy #DayTrading #ThiefTrader #RobTheMarket #BoostForMore #NoChaseNoCase
XAU/USD Breakout Playbook – Rob the Market!🚨💰 GOLD HEIST IN MOTION! | XAU/USD Thief Trading Strategy (Breakout Edition) 🏴☠️
🧠 Strategic Mindset | Not Your Average Chart Talk
Yo Market Bandits & Pip Hunters – welcome to the underground playbook!
This isn't your grandma’s chart breakdown – it’s a Thief Trading Takedown on XAU/USD (Gold), where we’re not chasing the market… we’re outsmarting it.
THE MASTER PLAN: Enter Like a Ghost, Exit Like a King 👑
📍 ENTRY POINT – The Break-In Begins!
💥 Breakout Level: Watch for 3370.00 resistance to crack – this is our green light.
🕵️♂️ Entry Style:
• Buy Stop above MA resistance zone (fast & clean)
• OR Buy Limit near swing low zones after confirmation pullback (sniper entry)
🧠 Thief Tip: Wait for the breakout to happen. No orders, no SL before it. Patience is profit.
🔄 Layer the Entry:
• Deploy DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) or scaling entries with precision
• Build positions like stacking cash bags — smart, silent, and calculated
🛡️ PROTECT THE LOOT – Stop Loss Logic 💣
📍 SL Guide: 3310.00 (4H swing low – update as price structure evolves)
🔥 SL ONLY comes after breakout. Set it too early? That’s how you get caught.
⛔ No pre-breakout orders. No early SL. Stay invisible till it's go time.
🎯 THE ESCAPE – Profit Like a Phantom 🚀
💸 Take Profit: 3450.00
📉 Scalpers: Trail SL as price pushes – never give back stolen pips
🌀 Swing Traders: Monitor resistance layers – don’t let the bulls turn on you
🧭 CONTEXT – Why This Setup?
🔍 Macro Snapshot:
• Trend: Neutral/Bullish Lean
• Influencers: COT reports, geopolitical tension, dollar flows
• Sentiment Shifting – watch the herd, but don’t run with it
🗞️ News Risk: Don’t get wrecked by events! Avoid entries during high-impact news.
🚨 Trailing SL is your best weapon during volatility.
⚡ POWER UP THE CREW – Support the Movement
💬 Drop a comment, hit the 🔥 like button, and share with your trading gang
More Thief Trading blueprints coming soon – bigger breakouts, cleaner setups
⚠️ STAY SHARP, THIEVES!
This ain't financial advice – it’s an outlaw’s edge on the market.
Trade smart. Risk well. Protect the bag.
🏴☠️ XAU/USD GOLD HEIST IN PROGRESS... Join the Movement. Let’s Rob the Market.
GOLD (XAU/USD) MA Breakout – High-Probability Long Setup!💰🚨 GOLD HEIST ALERT! XAU/USD MASTER PLAN (Thief Trading Style) 🎯
🔥 Steal Pips Like a Pro – High-Probability Gold Breakout Strategy! 🔥
🎯 Thief Trading’s GOLD Heist Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) �💸
👋 Hey there, Market Pirates & Profit Snatchers! 🌍✨
Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 analysis, we’re plotting a major heist on XAU/USD (GOLD). The plan? Buy the breakout, escape before the cops (resistance) arrive! 🚔💨
📈 ENTRY ZONE: The Heist Begins!
🚀 "Wait for the MA Breakout (3400) – Then Strike!"
Bullish Confirmation: Enter on a 15M/30M pullback after MA breakout.
Thief’s Trick: Use Buy Stop above MA or Buy Limit near swing lows for best risk-reward.
DCA/Layering Strategy: Deploy multiple limit orders to maximize gains.
🔔 Set an ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout – thieves move fast! ⏳
🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Loot!
📍 Thief’s SL Placement: 3330.00 (4H Swing Low) – Adjust based on your risk & lot size.
⚠️ WARNING: If using Buy Stop, DO NOT set SL until after breakout – unless you love unnecessary losses! 🔥
🎯 TARGET: Escape with the Gold!
🏴☠️ Take Profit Zone: 3460.00 (or Exit Early if Bears Show Up!)
Scalpers: Only trade LONG side – use trailing SL to lock in profits.
Swing Traders: Ride the wave but watch for resistance traps!
📰 MARKET CONTEXT: Why This Heist?
Neutral Trend (But Bullish Potential! 🐂)
Key Factors: Geopolitics, COT Data, Macro Trends, Sentiment Shift
🚨 News Alert: Avoid new trades during high-impact news – trailing SL saves profits!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! (Like & Share for More Pips!)
💖 Hit the 👍 Boost Button to strengthen our Thief Trading Crew!
🚀 More Heist Plans Coming Soon – Stay Tuned!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER (Stay Safe, Thieves!)
This is NOT financial advice. Do your own analysis & manage risk.
Markets change fast! Adapt or get caught.
🎯 Happy Trading, Pirates! Let’s Steal Some Gold! 🏴☠️💛
"GOLD Bandit Strategy: Loot Pips Like a Pro!🏆 GOLD HEIST ALERT! 🏆 XAU/USD Bandit Strategy (Swing/Day Trade)
Steal Pips Like a Pro! 💰🔓 Bull vs. Bear Raid Plan
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates! 🌟
"The trend is your accomplice—time to loot!"
🔮 Thief’s Technical & Fundamental Intel:
XAU/USD (The Gold Vault) is flashing BEARISH signals, but we’re ready to raid both sides! Follow the heist blueprint below 👇
🎯 ENRY POINTS (Where to Strike!)
🏴☠️ LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves):
Break & Grab: Enter above 3450.00 (Pullback Zone)
"Wait for the breakout, then ambush!"
🐻 SHORT RAID (Bearish Bandits):
Sneak Attack 1: Sell below 3300.00
Sneak Attack 2: Sell below 3260.00 (Support Wall Cracked!)
🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Routes)
Bullish Trade: SL at 3230.00 (Guard your loot!)
Bearish Trade 1: SL at 3360.00 (Don’t get caught!)
Bearish Trade 2: SL at 3280.00 (Risk = Reward!)
(Adjust SL based on your risk appetite & lot size!)
💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out & Flee!)
Bullish Thieves: TP at 3270.00 (Or escape early!)
Bearish Bandits (1): TP at 3270.00
Bearish Bandits (2): TP at 3210.00 (Big score!)
⚠️ WARNING: Market Traps Ahead!
News = Danger Zone! 📢 Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits & evade reversals.
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Bearish momentum fueled by macro trends, COT data, & sentiment.
Stay sharp—markets shift fast!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥
Like & Share to strengthen our pirate crew! 🚀 More alerts = More profits!
🚨 Next Heist Coming Soon… Stay Tuned! 🚨
GOLD (XAU/USD) SHORT TRADE PLAN
July 25, 2025
Trade Overview (My setup)
- Direction: Short (SELL)
- Entry Price: $3,330
- Take-Profit: $3,270
- Stop-Loss: $3,370
- Lot Size: 0.18 lots (18 oz)
- Risk: $720
- Reward: $1,080
- Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.5 : 1
Technical Analysis Supporting the Bearish Bias
1. Price Structure & Trend
- Descending channel observed on the 4H chart - strong short-term bearish signal.
- Series of lower highs and lower lows confirms bearish trend.
- Price is testing $3,325-$3,300 support - breakdown opens downside to $3,270-$3,250.
2. Key Support/Resistance Zones
- Key support: $3,300 being tested.
- Resistance: $3,360-$3,370 zone - logical stop-loss location.
3. Indicator Confirmations
RSI (4H): ~35-40, bearish territory, no bullish divergence.
Moving Averages: Price below 50 EMA and 200 EMA - bearish crossover.
MACD: Bearish crossover, histogram confirms selling momentum.
XAUUSD FORECASTThis is what we currently see on
GOLD.
We have 3500.103 key level as our current high zone and 3122.168 key level as our low zone. And Gold is been attempting to break 3435.00 key level resulting in selling, but been creating lower highs failing to break the created lows. Currently we a trading above the 3337.070 key level which is a critical key level, as it will determine the next coming movement.
Update will be given