Gold Price Analysis:Key Supply & Demand Zones with Potential Bkl🔥 Key Levels & Zones
🔵 Supply Zone (3,135-3,140 USD) 📉
Acts as resistance where selling pressure increases.
If price reaches here, expect a potential pullback.
🟢 Demand Zone (3,085-3,095 USD) 📈
Strong support area with buying interest.
Price has tested this zone multiple times = accumulation.
🎯 Target Point (~3,167 USD) 🚀
If price breaks out, it may rally towards this level!
❌ Stop Loss (~3,080 USD) ⛔
Marked below demand zone to limit risk.
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📊 Trend Analysis
🔹 Trend Line Break ⚡
The price broke the previous uptrend = potential reversal or deeper correction.
🔹 Market Structure 🏗️
Price consolidating inside the demand zone = possible bullish move ahead.
🔹 Double Bottom Formation (DBF) at Supply Zone 🔄
Shows failed breakout attempts = strong resistance.
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🔍 Indicators & Insights
📌 DEMA (9 close) at 3,099 USD 📈
Price hovering around this moving average = market indecision.
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🚦 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If price holds the demand zone & breaks above 3,110 USD, it could rally to supply zone (~3,135 USD).
A breakout above 3,140 USD could lead to the target zone (~3,167 USD) 🚀.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below 3,085 USD, it may hit stop loss (3,080 USD) and continue lower.
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🎯 Trading Plan
🟩 Long Entry ➡️ Around 3,090-3,100 USD 📊
🛑 Stop Loss ➡️ Below 3,080 USD 🚨
🎯 Target ➡️ 3,135-3,167 USD 🎉
Xauusdsetup
IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?TRADE WAR WARNING – IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?
In the last 24 hours, global financial markets were rattled after Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping set of new global tariffs. This wasn’t just a political move — it may well mark the beginning of a new wave of global economic instability.
Markets across the board took a hit:
📉 US, European, and Asian equities
📉 Gold (XAU/USD), the US Dollar Index (DXY), and even crypto — all plunged into the red.
🔍 So, What Actually Happened?
Gold dropped by over 100 points in a single session — and strangely, the US dollar also fell.
Normally, a weaker USD would support gold. So why did gold sell off this time?
➡️ One likely explanation is that institutional investors sold gold positions to cover losses in equity markets, or to free up margin amidst the chaos.
📉 This wasn’t just a correction — it might be the early signal of a global BIG SHORT forming across multiple asset classes.
🧨 The Start of Something Bigger?
Markets aren’t just reacting to tariffs. They’re pricing in the risk of a full-scale trade war, which could disrupt global supply chains and hammer corporate earnings.
Industries like construction, healthcare, logistics, and manufacturing are already showing signs of strain.
If this escalates, we could be looking at something far more serious than a short-term sell-off.
📉 The Data Doesn’t Look Great Either
While inflation in the US continues to cool, other key data points are deteriorating:
ISM Services PMI (March): 50.8 (vs 53.0 expected)
Employment sub-index: 46.2 (down sharply from 53.9)
New orders, export orders and backlogs also fell
👉 These are real signs of economic slowdown, especially considering that services make up over 70% of the US economy.
🧠 Market Sentiment: FOMO, Fear, and Panic
At the moment, it’s hard to ignore how unsettled sentiment has become.
Retail and institutional traders alike are acting on fear. And that’s dangerous.
🔔 Tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report could either calm things down — or add more fuel to the fire.
🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?
Markets are rapidly shifting their expectations:
A rate cut could come as early as May or June 2025
Traders are now pricing in 2 to 4 cuts this year (previously just 2)
There’s now a strong chance the Fed pivots earlier than expected
If jobs data continues to soften, the Fed may have no choice but to act faster — despite core inflation not yet fully under control.
⚠️ Trading Strategy: Observation Over Action
Right now, your best position might be… no position.
"Sometimes, the most profitable trade is the one you don’t take."
This isn’t the time to chase wild price action.
It’s the time to prepare and plan with logic — not emotion.
📊 Key Technical Levels on XAU/USD
🔺 Resistance:
3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167
🔻 Support:
3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054
SL: 3050
TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150
SL: 3154
TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120
💬 Final Thoughts
The combination of tariffs, recession fears, and rate cut speculation is building into what could become a perfect storm.
Gold is in the eye of that storm.
Now is not the time to panic — but to trade with clarity and control.
📌 Don’t let emotion drive your trades.
Stick to the chart. Stick to your plan. Protect your capital.
🧠 Patience is what separates the lucky from the consistently profitable.
XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold is under dark clouds, waiting for opportunitiesThe 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and gold bulls have suffered heavy losses. After gold rebounds and repairs, we can only continue to short. The support below the range of gold 1 hour ago was 3110, and now it has fallen below. Then gold 3110 has formed an effective suppression in the short term.
Trading idea: short gold near 3110, sl: 3120, tp: 3090
The above is purely a sharing of personal views and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
Data will be Bearish for GOLDAffected by tariffs and inflation news, gold fluctuated sharply before the market closed. The market was in a situation of double kills for both long and short positions, and the sentiment was still fermenting. At present, the bulls also took this opportunity to successfully break through the resistance, and the price returned to above 3140 again. From the perspective of the pattern, there is still room for growth in the short term.
Before the US market, you can look for trading opportunities in the 3158-3123 range. The unemployment benefit data will be released during the US market, and the data is expected to be bearish for gold. Therefore, within 30 minutes before the data is released, if you hold a long order, please be cautious. At that time, I will also send you the latest trading plan based on the market situation.
If you are currently in trouble and need help, you can leave me a message.
XAUUSD Analysis: Why I’m Not Buying Gold at the Highs!Gold’s Rally: A Strategic Plan for the Next Buy Setup!
✨ Gold (XAUUSD) has experienced a strong rally recently, fueled by the stock market sell-off. However, I’m waiting for a better entry point rather than buying at the current highs, as price is trading at a premium. 📉 My focus is on a potential retracement on the daily and 4-hour timeframes, targeting a pullback into the swing low-to-high range. Specifically, I’m watching for price to return to the equilibrium zone around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. 🔄 If price pulls back and we see a bullish break of market structure in this area, it could present a solid buying opportunity. Until then, patience is key! 🛠️
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and conduct your own analysis.
Gold's trend has too many friendsThere’s a well-known saying in trading: “The trend is your friend.”
I firmly believe in this principle. However, when price movements become too extreme—too fast and too far—it’s wise to exercise caution, even if you’re not ready to take the opposite side of the trade.
And right now, I believe that’s exactly the case with Gold.
________________________________________
Why a Major Gold Correction is Likely
As I’ve been repeating like a broken record since Monday, Gold’s price is severely deviated from the mean, signaling that a brutal correction is on the horizon.
After reaching a new all-time high of 3,150, Gold retraced yesterday, dropping to 3,100—a support level formed earlier in the week. A rebound followed, but as I’ve explained in an educational article, this price action looks more like a stepwise distribution rather than true buying strength.
The key point?
➡️ Support isn’t holding because buyers are stepping in—it’s holding because big sellers have paused selling.
________________________________________
Still Bullish, But a Drop is Coming
There’s no doubt that Gold is in a strong uptrend. But even if it drops 1,000 pips, the overall bullish trend would still be intact.
Key Technical Signs of Weakness
📉 Trendline Break – Yesterday, Gold broke below the rising trendline, marking the first sign of weakness.
📉 Failed Rebound – Despite a short-term bounce, the price is now more likely confirming the break rather than invalidating it.
📉 Lower High in Progress? – The next minor support sits at 3,120. If Gold breaks below this level, we’ll have confirmation of a lower high, which strengthens the bearish case.
________________________________________
Targeting the Correction
If Gold breaks below 3,120, I expect a move below 3,100, targeting:
🎯 Soft target: 3,080
🎯 Likely target: 3,030 – 3,040
I believe it’s only a matter of time before this brutal correction plays out.
Let’s see how it unfolds! 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD: May fall below 3100So far, gold has continued to fluctuate in the 3110-3136 range. Although the candle chart has many long lower shadows, the high point is moving down. If this trend is not broken, the probability of falling below 3100 today is very high, so when trading, everyone must be cautious. Personally, I suggest selling as the main method.
4/1 Gold Analysis & Trading SignalsThe combination of fundamental influences and technical patterns led to a sharp surge in gold prices after the market opened yesterday. The upward momentum only slowed during the New York session, but prices remained above 3100. However, after this rally, the technical setup is not particularly favorable for bulls. That said, if fundamental factors continue to support the market, any technical pullback could provide another buying opportunity for bulls.
Key Considerations:
🔸 Besides technical factors, we need to monitor geopolitical tensions—if the situation eases, demand for gold as a safe haven could decrease.
🔸 If tensions escalate further, gold is likely to rise, making it unwise to blindly short the top. Instead, we should adjust our trading strategy based on market developments while using technical patterns for entry and exit points.
🔸 If a pullback occurs, support is seen around 3109.
🔸 If the price continues upward, given current market conditions, a single rally is unlikely to exceed $30, so the first resistance zone is estimated at 3136-3145.
Trading Strategy for Today:
📈 Buy in the 3111-3101 range
📉 Sell in the 3135-3145 range
Stay flexible, follow the market closely, and adjust strategies accordingly. Let me know if you need further insights!
GOLD: Potential RisksIf the price reaches the 3136-3148 range, there is no need to hesitate, just sell. This is the gold trading strategy for today provided to you before yesterday's closing. I wonder if any friends have grasped this profit?
After getting support near 3125, the price rebounded again. It is still in the rising stage. The resistance continues to focus on the vicinity of 3148.
Here is a reminder for everyone: During the trading process, the technical pattern of the 2H and above cycle level has a turning point. This is not a joke, so everyone must be cautious when chasing highs.
Even if there is news supporting the market now, news is something we cannot control. Once there is news of easing the situation, the risk aversion of gold will subside, and the decline will definitely not be small.
So while we follow the trend, we must also learn to think against the trend!
#XAUUSD: Smaller Time Frame With More Accurate Entry Areas! We currently have several active ideas in the Gold analysis section. However, we would like to share a comprehensive chart analysis that clearly demonstrates a market trend and potential entry points. The analysis identifies two entry types: “safe” and “risky.” A “safe” entry is only valid if the “risky” entry is invalidated. You may choose to take either entry if it aligns with your trading bias and chart analysis.
If you find this analysis valuable, please consider liking and commenting on it, as this feedback will help us post more detailed analyses in the future.
As always, we express our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support.
Team Setupsfx_
3/31 Gold Trading StrategiesThe five-wave upward movement in gold has been completed. Next, we expect a period of consolidation around 3130, forming a short-term top before a potential pullback. However, during this consolidation phase, there is a possibility of a price surge, though the probability is low.
Trading Suggestions:
For conservative traders: Avoid rushing into positions. It’s better to wait for a pullback and the confirmation of a secondary top before entering trades.
For aggressive traders: You may enter at the current price, but be cautious with your position sizing and leave room for potential additions.
Based on the magnitude of the previous upward movement, the expected retracement zone is around 3110-3096, where a minor support level may form.
Trading Strategy:
📉 Sell in the 3121-3131 range
📈 Buy in the 3105-3090 range
Trade carefully
GOLD:Short positions are dominant in New York sessionToday, gold jumped higher and opened higher. After filling the gap, it continued to rise, breaking through the 3100 mark and approaching 3130. The excessive and rapid rise caused the MACD indicator to diverge, giving us the opportunity to short this time, from which we gained 1000+ points of profit. Together with the profit of nearly 2000 points in the Asian session, we have gained more than 3000 points of profit today.
At present, the price is still falling, with weak support roughly around 3107 and strong support around 3098. Before the start of the US session, the price is expected to fluctuate in the 3100-3130 area. There will be large fluctuations after the opening, and the possibility of falling from a high position is greater, so the US session can pay more attention to the opportunity to short at a high position.
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold surged to a record high of $3,086 last week as investors dumped Equities and Crypto for safe-haven assets. With rising inflation concerns and uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariffs, fears of a US recession or stagflation are driving the market.
📈 Will Gold continue its rally, or is a pullback coming? In this video, I break down my thought process and how I’m strategically positioning for the next big move.
#GoldPrice #XAUUSD #MarketAnalysis #GoldTrading #Forex #Inflation #SafeHaven #TradingStrategy
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
3/31 Gold Trading StrategiesThis seems to be a 5-wave upward trend, and GOLD is currently in the final phase of the upward movement. Given the strength of the bullish momentum, a rise towards the 3100 level is highly probable. Therefore, in tomorrow's trading, it would be reasonable to continue buying with a take-profit target in the 3095-3105 zone. Once the take-profit area is reached, consider switching to a short position.
#XAUUSD:$3200 Next Big Move, Bulls Are Like to DominatePrice has been bullish since many months as US Dollars continue to decline, the fear of further decline in dollar value is triggering the gold market to go all time high. There is a big possibility that price is likely to go upwards of region of 3200$. We will have to monitor the market next week since we have big news week coming up.
Like and Comment to Show us the support 🚀❤️
Team Setupsfx_
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout & Retest: Next Stop $3,080?🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Ascending Triangle Breakout:
📈 Price was consolidating in an ascending triangle (🔺) and has broken out above resistance.
🚀 Bullish momentum is in play.
🔹 All-Time High (ATH) Resistance Zone:
🛑 Resistance Area (🔵) is where price has struggled before.
🔵🔵 Rejection signs at this level indicate a possible pullback.
🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Retest:
🔽 Price may pull back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) (📦) before moving higher.
🎯 This zone ($3,030 - $3,040) could act as a buying area.
🔹 Target Point at $3,080:
🎯 Main target for bulls is $3,080 (📈).
🔝 Price could retest the ATH zone before a push
🔹 Dynamic Support (DEMA 9):
📊 DEMA 9 (📉) at $3,052.80 is acting as support.
🔮 Expected Price Action:
⚫ Scenario 1 (Bullish) 🚀
➡️ Pullback into FVG zone (📦) → Buyers step in → Move toward $3,080 🎯
⚫ Scenario 2 (Bearish) 📉
❌ If price breaks below FVG → Further downside risk
✅ Conclusion:
🟢 Bullish bias remains strong unless price falls below FVG.
📌 Traders may look for entries in the FVG zone for a move to $3,080 🎯.
🔥🚀 Gold could be setting up for another push!
XAUUSD – Refined Daily Plan w/ Sniper Entries🔹 HTF Bias (D1 + H4)
🔼 Overall trend: Bullish
Price is inside a Premium HTF zone (3065–3090)
Daily and H4 structure are bullish, but price is testing a major liquidity zone
Reaction expected either:
✅ Bullish continuation on breakout
🔁 Short-term rejection for retracement ➤ sniper setups engage
🧠 Current Setup Situation (M15–H4 Context)
📍 Price is consolidating below 3065, forming equal highs ➤ liquidity sitting above
M15 + M30 show clear FVG + OB confluence zones
H4 has no CHoCH yet — structure intact
Strategy: reactive entries based on smart money reaction
🔻 SNIPER SELL SETUP (Scalp to Retrace)
🎯 Sell Plan:
Entry Zone: 3064.5 – 3066
SL: Above 3070 (above wick + LQ)
TP1: 3041 → M30 FVG
TP2: 3020 → H1 bullish OB
TP3: 3008 → large imbalance (LTF)
⚠️ Entry Conditions:
Price must:
Sweep liquidity above equal highs
Show M15 or M5 bearish BOS / engulfing
Ideally with shift in order flow (CHoCH)
✅ Confluences:
D1 & H4 Premium zone
M15 OB + FVG
Liquidity resting above 3065
🔺 SNIPER BUY SETUP (Continuation)
🎯 Buy Plan:
Entry Zone: 3016–3020
SL: Below 3010
TP1: 3035
TP2: 3055
TP3: 3065 (liquidity revisit)
⚠️ Entry Conditions:
Clean rejection from OB zone
Bullish candle (M15/M30) or LTF BOS
No full break below 3008 – that invalidates buy
✅ Confluences:
Clean OB + FVG (M30 / H1)
Sits in discount zone after potential rejection
H4 demand & D1 continuation zone
🧭 Decision Tree
→ If price breaks 3065 + holds → wait for retest → long continuation
→ If price sweeps 3065 + shows rejection → sniper sell
→ If price drops to 3020 → look for long
→ If price breaks 3008 → wait for structure to reset
🧼 Summary:
HTF = Bullish
Active zone = 3065 (reaction zone)
Trade reaction, not prediction
Let price come to your zone. Then strike like a sniper 🧠⚔️
Sniper setups only execute after LTF confirmation
🧠 Structure > Emotion
🎯 Setup > Impulse
💬 If this breakdown helped you, support the post:
🔁 Boost / Like to help more traders see it
✅ Follow for clean daily plans, sniper setups & SMC flow
Let’s grow together, one smart trade at a time 📈
XAUUSD – H4 Trading Plan📍 Structure
✅ Market structure: Bullish
🔼 Recent BOS confirms continuation
📈 Price is pushing into resistance zone @ 3065
⚠️ No CHoCH yet = no shift, but signs of potential slowing momentum
🧩 Zones of Interest
🔵 3065–3090 → Supply / Premium zone
– Major liquidity draw
– Inside weekly imbalance → potential reversal zone
🔵 2955 → Prior range high + FVG
– Ideal first mitigation target
🔵 2790–2800 → OB zone + consolidation base
– Swing target if breakdown continues
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Breakout
Break & retest of 3065 (clean H4 close above)
LTF entry (M15–H1) on pullback
🎯 Target: ATH sweep (3100+)
🛡️ SL: Below HL or valid OB
🔽 Bearish Rejection
Strong reaction from 3065–3090 zone
Wait for H4 CHoCH → then Lower High
🎯 TP1: 2955
🎯 TP2: 2800
🛡️ SL: Above rejection wick
📌 Notes
✋ No short without H4 CHoCH confirmation
🧠 Structure is king – reaction first, entry second
Premium zone = decision zone → be reactive, not predictive
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout & Retest: Next Stop $3,080?🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Ascending Triangle Breakout:
📈 Price was consolidating in an ascending triangle (🔺) and has broken out above resistance.
🚀 Bullish momentum is in play.
🔹 All-Time High (ATH) Resistance Zone:
🛑 Resistance Area (🔵) is where price has struggled before.
🔵🔵 Rejection signs at this level indicate a possible pullback.
🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Retest:
🔽 Price may pull back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) (📦) before moving higher.
🎯 This zone ($3,030 - $3,040) could act as a buying area.
🔹 Target Point at $3,080:
🎯 Main target for bulls is $3,080 (📈).
🔝 Price could retest the ATH zone before a push
🔹 Dynamic Support (DEMA 9):
📊 DEMA 9 (📉) at $3,052.80 is acting as support.
🔮 Expected Price Action:
⚫ Scenario 1 (Bullish) 🚀
➡️ Pullback into FVG zone (📦) → Buyers step in → Move toward $3,080 🎯
⚫ Scenario 2 (Bearish) 📉
❌ If price breaks below FVG → Further downside risk
✅ Conclusion:
🟢 Bullish bias remains strong unless price falls below FVG.
📌 Traders may look for entries in the FVG zone for a move to $3,080 🎯.
🔥🚀 Gold could be setting up for another push!