The dollar is strong, will gold break through the consolidation?At the beginning of this week, the US dollar index fell to a one-month low due to Trump's sudden change in the direction of the EU policy. Subsequently, due to the contest between Trump and the US Trade Court ruling, the prices of gold and the US dollar fluctuated greatly.
I think the US dollar will start to rise next week with the help of non-farm payrolls data. I am afraid that a new round of price fluctuations is coming.
If the US dollar is to have a new upward trend in June, gold will also be affected. Judging from the current daily line of gold, the overall trend is also to be adjusted downward.
The high point of gold in May was 3438, and the low point was 3120. I also drew the Fibonacci dividing line in the figure. The most critical position is 3317 at the 0.382 position and 3280 at the 0.5 position.
Gold is still maintaining a consolidation of 3317-3280. Although there have been breakthroughs above and below, they are all within the daily range. Next week, as long as gold can close below 3280 on the daily line, it will start a correction trend step by step. The first target below is around 3250, and the second is 3180-3200.
As long as the daily line of gold can close below 3180, then we will usher in a big bearish trend at the daily level. On the contrary, the daily line of gold cannot close above 3317 again. In a better situation, it may touch around 3340 again and then retreat again.
The bad result is that it directly breaks through the pressure level and stands above the 3340 trend line. If this happens, the price of gold may move towards a new high.
Xauusdsignal
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Gold prices fell on Friday as the market digested the latest tariff developments, while a weaker inflation report kept hopes of a US rate cut alive. After the Federal Appeals Court temporarily reinstated Trump’s tariffs on Thursday, tariffs are likely to dominate market sentiment again next week. Key focuses include speeches by multiple Fed officials and progress in Russia-Ukraine negotiations. Technically, monitor 3330 as overhead resistance and 3270 as support. If geopolitical tensions ease, prices may test the 3250 level. The preferred strategy is to short on rebounds.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3320-3310
TP:3280-3270
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Gold Analysis
Last week's movement so far on the chart moved as expected. To continue this week's path, expect another step to correct to two support areas, first the 3264-3255 range, and if lost to the support area 3265-3232. It can be considered that from one of these two supports, the upward movement for the liquidity above it will continue. The resistance/support areas will change their nature if lost.
GOLD AND WAR NEXT TO 4K$Hello traders
as i can see gold is trading in a Decending Triangle zone and it had tested Fibo 0.61 ratio in month of may dip as we can see gold close monthly candle above 3280 zone which is a clear sign that big players and banks are still prefer Safe haven we can see US econmey in a bad recession zone unemployment and higher inflation is a big problrm for $ and on all these things Mr. Trump Tariffs is a game changer in commodities markets if we see Geopolitical issues around the world it esculating more war in diffrent regions of the world.. Now Israiel & US have a new biggest problem Iran which is showing us a attack on Iran can be happen incoming days as we can see 6 meetings was unsucessful in Oman for a Deal to Stop Iran's Nucler Enrichment Program which is not good... other then fundamental Charts are crystal clear and showing us a clear view for a New ATH on Gold our Risk reward ratio is prefect for us have a proper research before taking any trade its just an trade idea share your thoughts with us it will help many other traders Comments are open we love your comments and support the channel so it can diliver to many other new traders Stay Tuned for new updates ..
Gold Channel Rejection ZoneGold (XAUUSD) remains in a strong long-term uptrend, respecting a well-defined ascending channel on the weekly timeframe. Price is currently testing the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting potential exhaustion near the resistance zone.
A bearish rejection from this area could trigger a corrective move toward the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a healthy pullback in an overall bullish structure. The chart also highlights a clear risk-to-reward setup, with a stop loss positioned above the recent highs and a target toward channel support.
As long as price remains below the channel top, downside pressure is likely in the incoming weeks. A confirmed breakout above the channel, however, would invalidate the bearish move and signal continuation of the bullish momentum.
Stop loss: 3443
Take profit: Around 2895 ( EMA 200 Daily )
Technical Analysis → Gold will remain stableThroughout May, the news backdrop, including international trade tariffs and geopolitical turmoil, led to a technical peak of around $3,430 and a low near $3,130 in gold. As of now, the price per ounce is stable at around $3,300, roughly the same level as at the beginning of the month.
This shows that supply and demand forces are basically balanced, and prices are maintained between these two extremes. Gold technicals further confirm this and highlight the importance of the $3,300 level.
Bearish perspective: The A→B→C→D→E sequence forms a peak high and a cycle low, which is a clear downtrend signal. The trajectory is marked in red, and the upper line constitutes resistance.
Bullish perspective: Since the beginning of 2025, the price of gold has been in an upward trend, represented by the blue channel, and its lower boundary constitutes key support (marked with arrows).
It is worth noting that these support and resistance lines are converging, forming a narrowing triangle. This shows that supply and demand are balancing and the market has reached a consensus around the $3,300 level, which is exactly the central axis of the triangle.
Based on this, we can reasonably assume that the technical side of gold in June may continue to fluctuate within this triangle unless a special event occurs that causes a significant break in the current balance.
5/30 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, we successfully executed short at 3290 and long at 3250, and also entered the 3316–3328 short zone near the close. All signals were hit, and profits were solid ✅.
📉 Technical Outlook:
The 1-hour chart remains in a clear bearish trend, indicating that this pullback is not yet complete.
Initial support at 3296 is very likely to break
Focus shifts to 3278 support, though it appears technically weak
If price hits 3278, a minor bounce is expected, but it's likely just a retracement, not a reversal
🗞 Fundamental Watch:
The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index will be released during the U.S. session today.
Market reaction is expected to be similar to yesterday’s initial jobless claims — possibly triggering short-term moves, but not changing the broader trend.
📈 Trade Plan for Today:
📉 Sell in the 3316–3328 zone (key resistance)
📈 Buy in the 3238–3221 zone (key support area)
🔁 Scalp/flexible trading zones:
3303 / 3288 / 3276 / 3265 / 3252 / 3238
Stick to proper risk management, and stay alert during U.S. data releases.
Trade with the trend and close the week strong!
Additionally, on the 30-minute chart, gold appears to be forming a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern. If this pattern completes and breaks the neckline successfully, the price may surge toward the 3336–3352 area, or even up to 3360.
For those considering short positions, it’s crucial to control position size and avoid entering too early. Try to wait for price action to reach higher resistance levels before making a move. Don’t worry about missing a perfect entry — even if one trade is missed, it won’t affect your overall profitability for the week.
The market always offers opportunities. Stay calm, stick to your strategy, and remember: consistency and patience lead to long-term success.
Data is out. Gold is fluctuating.Information summary:
On Wednesday, US time, the Trade Court ordered an immediate halt to tariffs; the next day, the Federal Court of Appeals immediately resumed the policy. At the same time, the Trade Court was required to respond by June 5, and the government by June 9. Tariff policies are back and forth, and it is difficult to figure out. In other words, don't expect the US government to come up with any good news.
Today, the annual rate of the US core PCE price index in April was 2.6% in the previous value and 2.5% in the expected value. The expectation seen at the beginning of the week was 2.6%. Now the expectation is directly lowered. Is it to leave room for this announcement? If the increase is not higher than the previous value, it is not a significant increase, but it leaves room for interest rate cuts. For gold, the increase is not higher than the previous value, and the short position is limited.
This mediocre data can directly provide a basis for speculation on the current economic situation in the United States.
After yesterday's strong rise, with a very long lower shadow left on the middle track of the Bollinger Band, after stabilizing the middle track, the fast and slow lines further converged and flattened, indicating that the main funds are also hesitating. From this perspective, today's market may continue to fluctuate within the middle track.
At the same time, the closing line is also the most critical, which is around 3285-90 near the middle track.
Operation strategy:
Today's trading needs to pay attention to the cycle suppression position of 3315-3330 on the upper side, and the cycle support level of 3385-3380 on the lower side. This range can be maintained for scalping trading.
If the gold price breaks through strongly upward or downward, the new trend will be realized in a very short time, so traders need to make profits and stop losses in time.
Gold Update – Has the Downside Ended or Just Taking a Break?📉 What happened yesterday on Gold (XAUUSD)
I started the day under a good omen – 🎯 my 3250 target being hit perfectly.
However, what initially looked like a standard correction turned into a stronger bounce.
Gold broke back above my re-selling zone and even pushed above 3310, triggering my stop loss, and worth nothing that we are now back under 3300- I take it like a man and move forward:).
❓ Has Gold finished with the downside, or is this just a pause before another drop?
🔍 Reasons to expect more downside:
- Although Gold reversed strongly from the 3250 support, the confluence resistance around 3330 capped the move, and sellers stepped in, dragging the price back under 3300.
- The fact that price returned to support so quickly signals weak bullish momentum – buyers couldn’t sustain the rally.
- Gold failed to stabilize above the 3330 zone, which would’ve been a key bullish sign – instead, it got rejected.
- And here’s the part that doesn’t sit right – Gold came back to the 3290 zone too easily, as if the market wanted to offer a second chance to buyers who missed the initial bounce. That usually doesn’t end well.
🧭 Trading Plan
I’m currently out of the market after the stop loss hit, but my bearish bias remains unchanged.
Watching the 3280–3290 area closely – if we drop back below, I’ll look to re-enter short trades.
🚀 Final thought
Yesterday’s move reminded me who’s boss – the market . But unless bulls break key resistance and hold above, the bearish case still has more to say.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Poised for a Breakout After Sideways ConsolidationGold has retraced to the 3300 level and remained range-bound for an extended period. This prolonged consolidation suggests that a sharp breakout may be imminent, with the next move — whether up or down — likely to be swift and volatile.
Looking at the 2-hour chart, the current price structure is complex. It could be interpreted as a potential double top, but it also resembles the early formation of an inverse head and shoulders, which makes trading decisions more challenging.
From a technical standpoint:
Moving averages are aligned in a bearish setup, and the area above remains densely packed with resistance.
MACD on the 2H chart shows a bearish crossover, signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend.
However, on the 30-minute chart, MACD shows some short-term bullish momentum, with the next resistance near 3306.
For bulls, if the price attempts to rise toward the 3306–3312 zone but then quickly pulls back, this would indicate weak buying pressure, and caution is advised.
In summary, short-term signals are bullish, but the medium-term trend remains bearish. With the market in a sideways range, it's best to remain patient and watch for breakout signals. The two trading opportunities shared yesterday remain valid and worth monitoring closely.
Monthly closing bet. Opening a falling gap?Information summary:
At 8:30 a.m. on Friday, U.S. time, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for April. As the most favored inflation indicator of the Federal Reserve, the year-on-year change in the core PCE price index has a greater impact on policymakers.
If the data is released, the core PCE price index in April rises faster than expected, and the direct reaction of the market may lead investors to prefer the policy rate to remain unchanged in July. In this case, the U.S. dollar may gather strength, causing gold prices to fall before the weekend.
Market analysis:
Gold prices rose as high as 3322 in the early Asian session, and then fell without a dollar line. As of now, the lowest price has retreated to the 3290 U.S. dollar line. At present, it is not ruled out that gold will fluctuate widely; but the trend view is still biased towards the short side. The strength of the current rebound still depends on the strength of the European session. In the European session, the operation will focus on the vicinity of 3310 U.S. dollars first, and the pressure will still look down to 3280 U.S. dollars.
However, if the European session falls directly below $3,285, there is still room for decline, and the support is around 3,250. In addition, today is the last day of the monthly line closing, and the range of fluctuations has not yet left, so you can continue the short strategy.
Operation strategy:
Short around $3,310, stop loss at $3,320, and profit range around $3,250.
GOLD Intraday Chart For H1 30 May 2025Good Morning Traders,
As you can see that there are some strong zones mentioned on chart,
For Intraday all eyes between 3280-3300 zone,
If market clearly goes below 3280 then it will move towards 3250 else market sustains above 3280 it will move towards 3300 and after clear breakout of 3300 then move towards 3325 initially
Furthermore you can read the chart details carefully, Remember, Always Trade with SL
Today US PCE PRICE INDEX due today
Monthly Closing Due Today as well
Disclaimer: Forex in Risky
Tariff policy reversed again? Be careful on Friday.Yesterday, Trump and the US Trade Court ruled that the US International Trade Court had stopped the tariff policy. Gold once fell to a low of 3245, while the US dollar rushed all the way to a high of 100.5. Then it reversed, and gold began to rectify and rise. As of now, it has once touched a high of 3330, close to a rebound of $85.
Today, it reversed again. The US Court of Appeals allowed Trump's tariff policy to continue to take effect temporarily. And impose tariffs on most areas of the global economy, including allowing tariffs of up to 15% within 150 days to address trade imbalances with other countries. Compared with the tariff policy that was deemed illegal this week, this step is more legally defensible.
Looking at the current gold, it is likely that gold will fall sharply today. After gold fell yesterday, everyone wanted to short gold, but gold rebounded all the way.
So, today, Friday, is an opportunity for short-selling strategies. The short positions have been eliminated, so gold has every reason to fall, and it will fall sharply.
Once it falls below 3280 in the downward trend, it will test the low point of yesterday near 3250. If it breaks through 3250 again, it will go directly to the low point near 3200. The current short-selling strategy has little to do with technical analysis, it is completely a test of human nature.
XAU/USD Awaits PCE Catalyst – Rejection or Breakout?Gold prices are trading around $3,297 after rejecting the $3,324 resistance zone. The market is currently showing signs of exhaustion near a minor resistance, and price action suggests a potential short-term pullback. Attention now shifts to today's U.S. Core PCE data, a key inflation metric for the Fed, which may dictate near-term direction and shape the monthly close.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold tested the $3,324 resistance area but failed to break higher, forming a lower high. A potential bearish setup is developing as price reacts to minor resistance around $3,310. If bears regain control, a drop toward the key support level at $3,240 is likely. A break below this level could open the door to further downside in the upcoming sessions. Conversely, if bulls manage to reclaim $3,324 and establish a strong daily close above, we could see a retest of $3,350 and higher.
Key Event Today:
At 8:30 PM GMT+8, the U.S. will release April's Core PCE Price Index – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge:
MoM: Expected at 0.1%
YoY: Expected at 2.5% (Previous 2.6%)
A softer-than-expected reading could increase rate cut expectations and offer bullish momentum to gold. Stronger data, however, may renew USD strength and pressure XAU/USD lower.
Resistance: $3,310 , $3,324
Support: $3,240 , $3,207
XAUUSD MADE FALLING WEDGE & DESCENDING PATTERNHere I Created This XAUUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 15 - Minutes
Pattern: FALLING WEDGE
Momentum: BULLISH/ BUY
Entry Level : BUY 3297
SUPPORT zone : 3285
Target Will Be : 3330
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
Smart Trade Insight – XAU/USD Technical BreakdownKey Levels & Technical Zones:
🔹 Resistance Zone (🔼 SELL Area):
📌 3,315 – 3,340
This area has been tested and rejected multiple times, as highlighted by the strong bearish wicks. The recent price action failed to break above it, triggering short interest.
🔹 Minor Support Zone:
📌 Around 3,243
Acted as intraday bounce area previously, now likely to offer weak support in the coming move down.
🔹 Major Demand Zone (💚 BUY Interest Zone):
📌 3,120 – 3,140
Labelled as "BEST SUPPORT DEMANDING ZONE" – historical demand visible with strong bounce history. Ideal for monitoring bullish reversal opportunities.
📈 EMA Levels:
🔴 50 EMA: 3,299
🔵 200 EMA: 3,254
Current price action is hovering near the EMAs. The rejection at the resistance while below the 50 EMA indicates weakening bullish momentum.
🔍 Market Structure Overview:
The double-top formation near the resistance shows exhaustion in buying.
Lower highs forming → structure turning bearish short-term.
Solid rejection confirms that this is a valid zone to initiate short positions 🛑📉.
📉 Forecast Path:
🔮 Projected Move:
Price is expected to break below minor support at 3,243.
Intermediate target: 3,206, then 3,167 🟠.
Final destination: Demand Zone at 3,120 – 3,140 🟩 for potential bounce 📈.
💬 "Market not break the resistance level and rejected solid — this is a good entry for short-term sell trades." ✅
✅ Trade Idea Summary:
🟥 Bias: Short
🎯 TP Targets: 3,206 → 3,167 → 3,122
📉 SL Suggestion: Above 3,340 resistance zone
🧭 Risk-Reward Setup: Favorable for short-term traders
Gold Price Action Update – Smart Dip Buy Pays Off!Yesterday, gold dipped to around 3290, followed by a minor rebound.
Today, as expected, it broke down through the 3280 level decisively—just as we discussed:
🔻 A break below 3280 likely means a gap fill toward 3259.
✅ For those who followed the plan and went long below 3266, the trade worked beautifully—
Gold dropped to a low of 3245, effectively filling the gap, and has since rebounded back to the 3280 area.
📈 What’s next?
Now that the gap is filled, gold is likely to retest the $3300 zone in the short term.
With price currently around 3280, there is still room to the upside.
➡️ If you're holding long positions, you can consider holding a bit longer for potential further gains.
🚨 BUT—this was only a single bottom test.
That means there's still a chance of a second dip before the trend fully reverses. So:
🛡 Risk management remains crucial.
If you're okay with some profit pullback, it's fine to stay in.
If not, consider securing partial profits and setting trailing stops.
🎯 Key levels to watch:
🔼 3300 – Main resistance zone; focus on whether it breaks or rejects;
🔽 3276–3263 – Support range on any pullback; good zones to watch for fresh entries if support holds.
📌 Trading Strategy Outlook:
For now, continue to buy on dips as long as support holds, and monitor 3300 resistance closely.
If price fails to break above, we may see a pullback—but as always, with proper planning, we stay profitable.
XAUUSD trading plan for the London market.After buying at a low level yesterday, the market rebounded and continued to fall. Today, the Asian market hit a low of 3208.
At present, geopolitical uncertainties are increasing. I think buying is still a reasonable choice. Buy near 3210-3200. The target is 3235-3248. It is necessary to observe whether the target is stabilized.
Remember to control trading risks when trading independently.
XAUUSD buying opportunitiesToday, I am adapting to low buy operation again. Yesterday, the lowest price in New York market reached 3278, and today the lowest price in Asian market hit the low near 3245. But with the addition of buy orders, the profit has expanded a lot again.
XAUUSD market quotation is 3298. This position can still be arranged for buying. Do not trade independently. Remember to leave me a message. Pay attention to the subsequent precise trading opportunities.
Gold Drops to 3250 – Sell-the-Spike Strategy Still in Play🕰️ What Happened Yesterday
In yesterday’s analysis, I argued that the 3320–3330 zone should act as a strong sell zone, with a target down at the 3250 support.
Gold respected the plan perfectly: it dropped from the 3325 area straight into 3250 during the Asia session, hitting the target with precision(700+ pips)
At the time of writing, Gold is now bouncing, which is normal, trading around 3280.
❓ Correction Done or More to Come?
While the bounce to 3280 may look promising for bulls, my opinion remains unchanged: this is still a market to sell rallies, not to buy dips.
🔎 Why I Still Expect a Deeper Drop
- Old support becomes resistance – The 3280–3285 zone, once support, is now acting as resistance. That zone is currently being tested.
- Double resistance near 3300 – Just above, we have the psychological 3300 level, reinforced by the falling trendline coming from recent highs.
- Momentum still favors the downside – Unless bulls can reclaim and hold above 3300, this rebound is nothing more than a dead-cat bounce.
📉 Trading Plan
I remain in sell-the-spike mode. Any move into 3285 or 3300 is an opportunity to enter short, with stops above the trend line or yesterday's high.
If price breaks back below 3265, the probability increases for a new local low under 3250, probably to the next one around 3215.
✅ Final Thoughts
Yesterday’s setup worked perfectly — and the plan doesn’t change just because of a small bounce.
The market needs to prove it can break key resistance before shifting bias.
Until then, this remains a sell-on-strength market. Let the trades come to you. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation 's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Top and bottom conversion, short position continues?📰 Impact of news:
1. The International Trade Court ruled that Trump exceeded his authority, and the previous tariffs may be suspended
2. Ukraine submitted a ceasefire document to Russia
3. Pay attention to the initial jobless claims data during the US trading session
📈 Market analysis:
The U.S. Court of International Trade in Manhattan blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” trade measures, ruling that Trump had overstepped his authority by imposing sweeping tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than they import without authorization from Congress. This means that most of Trump's tariffs will be suspended. But at the same time, the recent geopolitical impact cannot be ignored. In addition, the initial jobless claims data will be released during the U.S. trading session today. Independent traders must set stop losses.
From a technical point of view, the 1H level chart of gold shows that the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the gold price is near the lower track, showing a weak pattern in the short term. Considering that 3285 is the previous low point, there is also a possibility of suppression at 3285. Therefore, we should pay close attention to the resistance range of 3285-3295. If the gold price in the Asian and European sessions can stabilize below 3295, then we can rely on the 3285-3295 range to enter the market and short. On the contrary, if the pullback today stands above 3300, then we should not chase the short easily.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3285-3295
TP 3270-3260-3250
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Analysis and layout of gold trend in the US market📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data is positive
2. The White House is tough on the court ruling: Trump will win! Three trade agreements are close to being reached
📈 Market analysis:
I think the current rebound should not be directly judged as a unilateral trend. From a technical point of view, in the 4H cycle, the upper 3320-3325 line has a certain suppression force in the short term. If the gold price runs below 3325, we need to be alert to the risk of a high rebound. We can try to arrange short orders based on the 3320-3325 range, and bet on the high selling opportunities in the volatile market. Independent trading with a good stop loss. However, it should be noted that if the price quickly breaks through the 3330 line in the short term and stands above it, it is expected to rise to the 3340-3350 area. At the same time, I think the support below can first look at the 3300 line, with a focus on the 3290-3285 line support.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3320-3325
TP 3310-3300
BUY 3295-3285
TP 3300-3310-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Gold Strategy Update — Professional Trading InsightGold dipped to around 3290, then rebounded to 3310, followed by another pullback toward the 3290–3280 region and bounced again. This price action perfectly aligned with our forecast and trading plan.
👉 If you followed today's strategy, you should be in solid profit once again!
📍 Current Market Structure Analysis:
🔹 Gold is now hovering near 3300, which is a key resistance zone.
Our previously identified support area at 3306–3318–3324 has been broken and is now acting as resistance.
🔹 Among these levels:
3306 is a weaker resistance,
While the 3316–3323 zone is the main barrier to watch.
📊 Based on the 30-minute chart, bullish momentum appears limited:
If the price rebounds in a single leg, it is likely capped around 3318–3324,
→ With an 80%+ probability of a pullback from that zone. A reasonable short-term target would be 3312;
However, if gold builds a double bottom or multiple bottom structure, it may gather more strength,
→ And a broader rebound could reach 3332–3338.
📉 Bearish Structure Repair (2H Chart):
On the 2-hour chart, the previous bearish structure has been mostly corrected by the recent drop;
The next key factor is whether bulls can break above 3320 to confirm a reversal.
🟥 If bulls fail to break 3320 and price drops below 3280, it may open the door for bears to close the gap around 3259.
→ In that case, levels below 3266 will present excellent buy opportunities.
📊 Trading Summary:
Although market volatility has slightly decreased in recent days, there are still plenty of solid trading opportunities, and we continue to profit steadily.
✅ As long as you stick to a proven strategy, strong discipline, and flexible execution, you’ll find that no matter how the market moves, our profit curve will keep climbing.