Gold fluctuates. When will a new trend start?China and the United States reached a 90-day ceasefire agreement, and the price of gold returned to 3,200 from 3,400 US dollars. All traders are staring at the support level of 3,200 US dollars, and are very worried about whether it can withstand pressure; it will fall to a larger level, resulting in no trading opportunities for gold positions.
I think your concerns are normal, and market fluctuations are also normal. There is no market that only rises and never falls; even in the bull market, there will be periodic adjustments.
Next, the focus is on the maturity of US Treasury bonds in June. The impact of trade conflicts will soon be forgotten by the market; US CPI inflation continued to decline in April, from 2.4% in the early stage to 2.3%, getting closer and closer to the Fed's ultimate goal of 2%, which means that the Fed will soon have to restart the interest rate cut plan.
Once the US Treasury bonds mature and default or trigger panic, or if Fed Chairman Powell reveals his intention to cut interest rates, gold will rise rapidly and may reach a high point within 1-2 days.
Okay, everyone; you need to understand the basic situation, but the most important thing is the operation strategy during the Asian trading session.
I think you can first test the long strategy around $3225, with a stop loss below 3215 and a profit in the rebound range of $3340-3360.
Man, excessive worrying will not help; if you can't accept short-term volatility trading, you can wait and see and stay calm.
Xauusdsignal
Firmly bullish on gold to 3280-3290 areaAs the trading strategy I published in my last article, I am still holding my gold long position. Obviously, I am confident that gold still has the potential and space to rebound. Gold just hit a low of around 3226 during the decline, and did not break the "W" shape structure formed by the recent low of 3207 and the second low of 3215. The oscillating upward structure remains intact, which is conducive to the continued rise of gold; the foreseeable resistance area in the short term is in the 3280-3290 area. Once this area is broken, the area around 3320 is just around the corner!
Trading strategy:
At present, our gold long position has made very good profits, continue to hold it, and let gold fly for a while!
TVC:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Gold long signalThe US inflation data for April released key signals: the core CPI annual rate dropped to 2.8%, and the monthly rate of 0.2% was also lower than expected, indicating that inflation continued to fall. After the data was released, the US dollar index weakened rapidly, and the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut this year increased, and gold once surged. However, affected by the uncertainty of the global tariff situation, some funds chose to take profits, causing the gold price to fall under short-term pressure. The current market is digesting the signal of policy shift, and short-term fluctuations may intensify, but the cooling of inflation and the expectation of policy easing constitute medium-term support for gold.
Technically, gold prices are fluctuating and converging above the key support level of $3,200. The daily Bollinger Bands are closing, and the upper pressure is at 3,275-3,300. If it breaks through 3,275, it is expected to test the gap pressure; 3,220 below forms multiple defense lines. If the 10-day moving average is stable at the 4-hour level, the rebound target can be seen in the 3,275-3,280 range.
Gold long position suggestion: Go long at 3230-3225, stop loss 7 USD, target 3250-3260
Gold maintains range operation in the short termAfter the release of CPI data, spot gold rose slightly by $6 in the short term. The US dollar index quickly fell by about 14 points, hitting an intraday low of around 101.40, reflecting the failure of some traders' expectations of "sticky inflation". However, the decline did not last, and DXY subsequently rebounded by about 18 points to 101.54, indicating buying intervention and reassessment of the data.
From the daily chart, it can be observed that the recent trend of gold prices has shown obvious technical characteristics. Gold prices have formed a clear upward channel since March. After breaking through the 3200 mark in April, it once hit a high of 3499.83, and then fell back. The current gold price is around $3250, which has fallen back to the middle and lower track of the rising channel. The RSI indicator is currently in the neutral zone of 49.94, indicating that there is neither overbought nor oversold, and the market is in a relatively balanced state.
At present, it is recommended to operate in the range. You can try to short in the 3255-3260 area, and the target is around 3220
Analysis and Suggestions on the Trend of GoldToday, the U.S. April CPI data was released, indicating that inflationary pressures have eased, sending a complex signal to the market. This mild data that fell short of expectations, combined with the uncertainty of recent tariff policies, may trigger market expectations of the Federal Reserve's early interest rate cuts, thus weakening the U.S. dollar and providing certain support for gold. As a result, the price of gold rose briefly in the short term. However, gold then turned down again. This may be because the overall risk appetite in the market has rebounded, with major global stock markets surging. More funds have flowed into risk assets such as the stock market, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold and overshadowing the short-term positive impact of the CPI data on gold.
The overall trend is similar to my analysis yesterday, fluctuating repeatedly within the range. Judging from the current trend of gold, pay attention to the short-term suppression at the level of 3260-3265 above. The strong resistance is around the mark of 3275-3285. Below, pay attention to the support at the level of 3215-3220, and focus on the support at the level of 3200, which is also the dividing line between the strength of bulls and bears. The operation suggestion is mainly to go long on the pullback, and patiently wait to enter the market at the key position. 👉👉👉
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3220-3225
sl 3200
tp 3240-3250
If you think the analysis is helpful to you, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you!👉👉👉
Gold is in a short-term weak oscillation.Yesterday morning, gold gapped down and continued to decline. It bottomed out near 3207 and rebounded for correction. The fluctuations during the European and American trading sessions were limited, maintaining a narrow trading range. In the US session, it surged to 3248 and then declined. Although it didn't reach a new low, the sideways movement is not a signal of a trend reversal.
This morning, the gold price first dropped and then rebounded to above 3230 and traded sideways. For today's operation, it is recommended to adopt a bearish strategy. The key resistance level is at 3260. If it breaks through this level, the bullish trend may resume. The support level is at 3200, and it is expected that the gold price will trade sideways within this range in the short term.
Technically, the hourly chart shows a sideways movement at a low level with alternating positive and negative K-lines. On the daily chart, the price has broken below the moving average system and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a bearish trend for gold in the short term. The operation strategy is as follows: Short when the price rebounds to the range of 3250-3255, with the target price at 3220-3210 and the stop-loss set at 3260. If the market strengthens during the European session, take profits before the US session.
XAUUSD
sell:3250-3255
tp:3220-3200
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSD | UNPRESIDENTED GOLD RALLY : Where to Next?GOLD has been trading extremely bullish over the past year, with high volume indicating lots of interest and movement in this commodity's market:
Is this where we should be getting worried?
Rapid surges in gold prices have historically been followed by sharp corrections as markets adjust. Three key examples illustrate this;
🧨 the 1980 spike to $850 due to global instability, followed by a 65% drop;
🧨 the 2011 peak near $1,900 driven by economic anxieties, leading to a 40% decline by 2015;
🧨and the 2020 high above $2,075 amid pandemic fears and stimulus, which subsequently settled into a lower range.
Noticing how gold has been trading in a parabolic curve, first corrections are likely to be down the curve (as it has been, historically):
Across past gold peaks ( 1980, 2011, and 2020) and recent record highs, markets share four core similarities:
🎈elevated inflationary expectations,
🎈low or negative real interest‐rate environments,
🎈heightened geopolitical and trade‐war tensions,
🎈aggressive central‐bank and ETF buying.
Today’s gold rally mirrors these patterns, driven by persistent inflation concerns and renewed safe‑haven demand amid Middle East conflicts and Ukraine risk. Aggressive central‑bank and ETF purchases have also replicated past behavior. Emerging‑market central banks have accelerated gold reserves diversification since 2022, just as they did after the 2008 crisis and the Euro‑debt peak in 2011.
Historically, swift peaks have been followed by multi‑year corrections as external conditions normalize. After January 1980’s peak, gold fell by two‑thirds over two years; following 2011’s high, it dropped 40% by 2013. If inflation cools or central banks signal genuine rate normalization, this rally may likewise give way to a sustained consolidation or correction.
Did the BBC just signal the peak??
Recently the BBC warned that while current trade‑war and market volatility parallels past booms, overreliance on gold alone risks miss-timing the eventual downturn when macro fears realize.
Therefore, if the curve breaks, it's likely the beginning of the hard correction.
__________________________
OANDA:XAUUSD
CPI data market, buy gold!Fundamentals:
Focus on CPI;
Technical aspects:
As expected in my previous article, gold has rebounded to the area around 3250-3260 as expected.According to the current structure, gold tends to fluctuate upward in the short term; it may even extend to the 3280-3290 area.Gold rebounded after touching 3207, and combined with the secondary low point near 3215 to form a "W" structure. This technical structure has formed a strong support structure for gold prices; and after the bad news is exhausted, the on-site wait-and-see funds will gradually enter the market, which will also push up the gold price to a certain extent. So I think gold still has the conditions to challenge the 3280-3290 area!
Trading strategy:
Consider starting to go long on gold in batches in the 3250-3240 area, target price: 3270-3280
XAU/USD Forming Higher Lows – Eyes on Breakout Zone
Gold is showing signs of bullish momentum after rebounding from key support near 3,207. If price sustains above this level and breaks 3,265 resistance, a potential upside continuation could be expected. Monitoring for confirmation of trend reversal.
CPI data released. Impact on gold prices?Gold suffered a setback this week; but then it rose to $3,250 and began to fluctuate slightly.
CPI data was released this morning, but it did not have a big impact on gold. The current price is still in a sideways trend.
Two support positions need to be paid attention to today:
Downward $3,230 support line, if it falls below this position, the gold price will quickly reach below $3,200.
Upward $3,270 resistance line, if it breaks through the resistance position strongly, there is hope to try to break through $3,300.
Quaid believes that if the gold price fails to break through today and presents a new trend, it is likely to continue the sideways trend.
XAUUSDHey traders!
The second trade of the day comes from XAUUSD (Gold).
Yesterday, due to Trump’s recent remarks about agreements with China, gold saw a significant pullback. However, I believe this drop—whether short-term or long-term—is temporary. In fact, from a macro perspective, I still see gold potentially reaching levels like $3600 in the long run.
But as a day trader, I always aim for setups with 1:1.50 or 1:2 risk-to-reward ratios. That’s my focus. Long-term expectations don’t impact my short-term executions.
🔍 One important note: My signals are often sniper entries, and that’s no coincidence. I closely monitor order flow and volume-based price movements. That’s why, if the price starts moving sideways (ranging) after my entry, I tend to manually close the position to protect capital.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3255.39
✔️ Take Profit: 3265.55
✔️ Stop Loss: 3250.16
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Gold fell and then rose to $3,250. Next trend?News summary:
After two days of negotiations in Geneva, China and the United States announced that they would reduce tariffs on each other in the next three months: the US tariff on Chinese imports would be reduced from 145% to 30%, and China's tariff on US goods would be reduced from 125% to 10%. This news pushed global stock markets up.
Boosted by the agreement, market risk appetite has increased, investors' concerns about the US recession have eased, and expectations for the Fed's aggressive rate cuts this year have also declined accordingly, which has pushed the US dollar to continue to strengthen, and gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has come under pressure.
Technical analysis:
Gold prices fell below the 21-day moving average on Monday, when the average was at $3,313, further increasing downside risks. The 14-day relative strength index also fell below the midline for the first time since early April, sending a bearish signal. Buyers are trying to regain control of the situation.
Traders need to pay attention to the release of US CPI data.
I think if the US CPI data is higher than expected, gold prices may start a new round of decline, with the target being $3,145 near the 50-day moving average. The important support level below is $3,100.
On the contrary, if the CPI data is lower than expected, gold prices are expected to re-enter the 21-day SMA, which is currently $3,311. Once this resistance is broken, it will test the trend line resistance at $3,430. If it breaks further, the trend will open up space for gold prices to hit the historical high of $3,500.
Gold still has room to fallThe current market sentiment is undergoing a significant shift from risk aversion to risk appetite. The easing of trade tensions has greatly boosted market risk appetite, leading to a large-scale outflow of funds from safe-haven assets such as gold.
Considering the positive impact of the tariff agreement, gold prices may face further downward pressure. Technical analysis shows that once it falls below the $3,200 mark, the next support level is around $3,150. The further weakening of market risk aversion and the strengthening of the US dollar will continue to suppress gold prices.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to cross the downward short position, proving that there is still room for gold to go down. Based on the short-term resistance area near 3250, continue to short gold on rallies.
Gold's short-term rebound is weakAt the daily level, the Bollinger Bands are closing and flattening, and the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average are entangled near the middle track. The current price is running below the middle track, and the 5-day moving average has turned downward. The technical side shows that the current gold price is fluctuating and bearish, and the MACD has crossed at a high level. The red column continues to shrink. Intraday operations should focus on high-altitude thinking. Pay attention to the 10-day moving average and the middle track 3250-60 area resistance on the top, and pay attention to the support near the lower track of US$3200 on the bottom.
At the 4-hour level, the current downward trend of shock is more obvious, and the shape is a step-down. Ma5 and Ma10 are glued together and cross below 66ma. MACD death cross is combined with green column volume, and the overall idea of falling back and adjusting is maintained. The 1-hour moving average is still a downward short arrangement. After gold jumped down and opened, there is a large gap. Gold rebounded weakly and continued to fall. It will be difficult to cover the losses in the short term, and it will be covered in the process of roundabouts in the future market.
Gold’s Short-Term Setup!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to fall today after the news " The United States has dropped its tariffs on Chinese goods to 30%, down from a brutal 145%, while China is slashing its own duties on US imports to just 10%, temporarily, for the next 90 days. "
Gold is moving near a Heavy Support zone($3,198-$3,136) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it appears that Gold has completed five downwaves , and we should expect Gold to rise at least to the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) .
It is possible that selling pressure on Gold will increase again with the opening of the US marke t. But this analysis is in the short term , and it is likely to hit Target before the US market opens.
The Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern can also be a sign of Gold rising , at least in the short term .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,241.890.
Note: Stop Loss(SL): $3204.820
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAU/USD Forming Bullish Structure Above 3249 Support
Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute chart is showing signs of a potential bullish continuation after bouncing from the 3249 support level. Price has started forming a higher low structure, indicating a possible upward move toward the 3278 resistance zone.
If the market respects the 3249 level, we could see further upside momentum. A clean breakout above 3278 may open the door for extended bullish movement.
Key Levels:
Support: 3249
Resistance: 3278
Secondary Support: 3207
This setup reflects current price behavior and structure for educational and technical analysis purposes only.
XAU/USD: Short-term Operation UpdateAt present, the gold price has broken through 3260. In the short term, we should pay attention to shorting at the resistance level of the Fibonacci retracement during the pullback. The range of 3270-3280 US dollars is the position for shorting, with a stop loss at 3295 US dollars. However, the probability of reaching this position is not high. Meanwhile, we can go long when the price retests the range of 3235-3230 US dollars. The key lies in the US CPI data during the US trading session.
XAU/USD
sell@3270-3280
tp:3240-3230
sl:3290
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
5/12 Gold Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Gold opened lower and extended losses today, influenced by easing China–U.S. trade tensions and ceasefire news from India-Pakistan.
The recent rally was largely driven by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical concerns. As tensions ease, gold's retracement is a logical market reaction.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Gold has now returned to a previous consolidation zone . While some support exists, current candlestick structure and most indicators show no clear bullish reversal yet.
Entering long positions too early may pose short-term risks, so trend trades should wait for stronger confirmation.
For flexible intraday trading, watch:
Support at 3263–3246: Holding this zone could trigger a rebound back toward 3309 resistance.
📌 Trading Recommendations:
✅ Sell Zone: 3306 – 3321
✅ Buy Zone: 3218 – 3198
🔁 Range for Scalp/Short-Term Trades: 3294 – 3263 / 3238 – 3269
Today's gold trend analysis, go long in batches🗞News side:
1. China-US trade relations eased, suspending some tariffs and countermeasures
2. Russia and Ukraine suspended firing for 30 days, and the India-Pakistan conflict was temporarily mediated
📈Technical aspects:
Since the US and China lowered some tariffs after the negotiation, the US dollar has recovered some of its losses, but gold has not completely recovered some of its losses. At present, the price of gold has once again retreated to near the 3260 line. Although the hourly level MACD indicator shows a golden cross, the daily level is still a dead cross and heavy volume.
Then in the short term, the gold price may show some counter-twitching momentum before the US dollar steps back to confirm support, or it may touch near the 3277 line. The gold price may fall further after the US dollar steps back to confirm the support. From a technical point of view, the upper daily resistance is near 3287, while the lower first-line support of 3200 is strong, and there is a tendency to form a double bottom. The European market can consider using 3250-40 US dollars as a support point, and the early trading low near 3220 as a defensive position. First, let's see the gold price continue to rebound to 3277-80-87, unless the European market weakens and breaks the Asian low, and then the US market adjusts. Temporarily, we will see a rebound correction.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold 3200 Life and Death Battle!Gold stabilized after touching the support of the 3193-3202 rising trend line. Although the US market rebounded, it did not form an effective breakthrough. In the short term, it is still dominated by shorts.
Short-term strategy:
Before 3200 is broken, you can go long on dips. If it falls below, stop the loss decisively, and use a small stop loss to game the potential bull reversal. Whether the 3250 pressure is broken or not determines the short-term direction
XAU/USD Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection to Target 3350Trend Overview
📉 Downtrend in Play
Price has reversed from the peak near $3,354
Currently trading below the 70 EMA (📍$3,299.86)
Forming lower highs – indicating bearish momentum.
Key Zones & Levels
🔶 Supply Zone (Resistance)
📍 $3,290.72 – $3,353.41
Strong selling pressure expected here
Possible short entry if price gets rejected
🟦 Support Zone (Previous Support)
📍 Around $3,254 – $3,210
Price has previously bounced here
🎯 Target Point (Take Profit)
📍 $3,050
Clear support level – used as a profit target
Trade Setup – Bearish Bias
🟩 Entry Point
📉 Sell near $3,290.72 (inside supply zone)
🛑 Stop Loss
❌ Above $3,354.69 (above resistance line)
✅ Take Profit
💰 Target $3,050
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio
Approx. 1:3 – Favorable for short trades.
Summary
🔍 Watch for a rejection in the supply zone
💼 Setup is ideal for short sellers
📊 Downtrend is supported by structure and EMA
GOLD TRADE IDEA – XAUUSD 15-Min Chart | Sell SetupGold Spot (XAUUSD) is presenting a short (sell) opportunity on the 15-minute chart. The suggested sell zone is between 3235–3238, with multiple take-profit targets and a clear stop-loss:
Sell Entry: 3235 / 3238
TP 1: 3232
TP 2: 3228
TP 3: 3225
TP 4: 3222
TP 5: 3215
Stop-Loss (SL): 3245
This setup is based on price rejection from resistance and potential downward continuation toward the highlighted support zone. Always manage risk accordingly.