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Non-farm payrolls are coming. Will it trigger the market?On Thursday, the US dollar index briefly rallied after the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation indicator unexpectedly rebounded, crossing the 100 mark for the first time in two months. This marked the sixth consecutive trading day of gains and the first monthly gain since 2025. Spot gold rebounded as risk aversion lingered amid uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff deadline, reaching a high of around $3,315, but its intraday gains narrowed after the release of the PCE data. The dollar has already firmly established itself above the 100 mark on the daily chart, so the next target is likely to be between 101.5 and 102.0. Currently, support levels on the daily chart are visible at 99.5 and 99.0. The gold market is currently consolidating in the 3315-3275 range. However, if the dollar rises again, Quaid believes gold prices could fall below 3275. On the daily chart, if it falls below 3275, the price would likely be around 3250. If 3250 falls below, the market could test 3200. However, the possibility of a consolidation between 3315 and 3275 remains undisputed. Before the release of the non-farm payroll data, scalping within this consolidation range is advisable. However, the risk is relatively high, so please take profits in time.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Non-farm payrolls are coming. What's the gold trend?Gold fell sharply on Wednesday, but Thursday's market didn't continue the downward trend as some investors expected. Instead, it showed a trend of rising and then falling. From the daily perspective, we first need to focus on the resistance level near 3300 where the 5-day moving average is located. This position is not only a short-term technical resistance, but also reflects the market's psychological expectations to a certain extent. If prices can successfully break through this level and stabilize above it, it will indicate that bullish momentum is strengthening, potentially boosting market sentiment. At this point, the next resistance area to watch is the 3330-3340 range. This area converges the 10-day, 20-day and 30-day moving averages, forming a strong resistance band. As for the support below, the primary focus is Wednesday's low of 3268. However, if this level is lost and the price continues to fall, the next support area will be around 3245, which is the previous low. Trading strategy: Short around 3300, stop loss at 3310, profit range 3280-3260.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by quaid_2
The US dollar is strong. Be wary of gold.The US dollar index rose, now above 100, before retreating slightly and fluctuating slightly, reaching 100 for the first time in two months. After a sharp drop to around 3270 on Wednesday, gold rebounded sharply today. With the US dollar breaking through 100 and the USD/JPY pair breaking through 150, gold is now struggling to maintain its position. Thus, Quaid believes it's not appropriate to be overly bullish on gold for now. A significant decline is likely. The 4-hour chart shows that the upper moving average resistance is currently around 3310-3315. If it breaks through 3315, it could potentially move towards 3325. Conversely, if it fails to break through 3315 today, it could continue to consolidate in the 3315-3285 range. Waiting for new data to guide its trend.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, and gold is still rising!The latest news indicates that Trump has announced a 50% tariff on Brazilian products and a 25% tariff on Indian products, and has firmly stated that the tariffs will take effect on August 1st, with no further grace period. These positive factors will also support a rebound in gold. As for tomorrow's big non-farm payrolls, considering that both the previous two times were negative and contrary to the ADP, it is very likely to be bullish for gold, which may help boost a steady rebound in gold, so there is no need to worry if you are stuck with gold. Nothing rises forever, and nothing falls forever. Last week, the market rose in the first half, then fell in the second half. With the first half of this week's decline, the daily chart has already fallen to near the 100-day moving average. Be wary of a rebound in the second half. Gold is bearish today, but don't chase shorts. Focus on the 3300 resistance level. If it breaks above and stabilizes, expect a continued rebound to 3330-3345! A real-time strategy is like a beacon guiding your investment journey. The market will never disappoint those who persevere and explore wisely. FX:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
Gold fluctuates. Is the decline halted?Information Summary: Despite diminished market expectations for a September US rate cut, gold rebounded from a one-month low hit the previous session on Thursday, boosting its safe-haven appeal as newly announced US tariffs sparked new trade uncertainty. So far, gold has risen 1.15%, hovering around $3,310, a gain of nearly $40 today. On Wednesday, gold prices hit their lowest point since June 30th: $3,267.79. Market Analysis: On the 4-hour chart, prices remain below the middle Bollinger Band, with a descending trendline defining the current bearish momentum. Prices rebounded after hitting this month's low on Wednesday. In the short term, watch for price rejection signals near the trendline. Upward pressure currently lies between $3,315 and $3,325, while support lies between $3,280 and $3,270. Currently, prices are fluctuating upward. Quaid believes the bullish trend may continue. If the current resistance level is broken, it could reach the 3335 high before Wednesday's decline. Trading strategy: Go long near 3300, stop loss at 3290, profit range 3320-3330.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by quaid_2
1
XAUUSD Update – Down Continuation to 3250?1. What Happened Yesterday After an anemic correction that formed a bearish flag, Gold finally broke below 3300 and even dipped under the 3280 support zone — which was my primary downside target. While the move during the day didn’t have enough momentum to reach my second sell limit, I was already in a low-volume short position, so I didn’t miss the move entirely. 2. The Key Question Has the drop ended, or are we looking at further downside? 3. Why I Expect More Downside • The overall structure remains bearish. • The newly formed resistance (previous support) is now the new sell zone. • If the price drops towards 3280 again, continuation to 3250 becomes very probable. 4. Trading Plan Selling rallies remains the preferred strategy, especially on spikes into resistance. As long as the price stays below 3335-3340 zone, the bearish outlook remains intact. 5. Conclusion Sell the rallies. The technical picture still favors downside continuation — no need to overcomplicate it. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
18
Gold Crashing After Hot U.S. Data – More Pain Ahead?Minutes ago, important indices were released from the US , which catalyzed the continuation of gold's downward trend . Key U.S. Economic Data Just Dropped! ADP Employment: 104K GDP q/q: 3.0% Both came in stronger than expected , signaling that the U.S. economy is holding up better than many thought! Strong job growth Solid economic expansion The result? A stronger U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ) and potential downward pressure on Gold . All eyes are now on FOMC meeting . Will the Fed still hint at future rate cuts despite the solid data? Or is the easing cycle officially on hold? What is your idea!? ---------------------- Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has already managed to break the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , Monthly Pivot Point , 50_EMA(Daily) , Support lines , and the lower line of the ascending channel . Also, Gold trading below $3,333 plays an important role for me, which can increase the possibility of a continuation of the downtrend . I expect Gold to drop to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) before the FOMO meeting and if the Support zone($3,307-$3,272) is broken, we can expect further declines to $3,253(Second Target) . -------------------------------- Information we need to know: How should the Federal Funds Rate be announced to cause a deeper drop in Gold ? The Fed needs to take a hawkish stance — meaning: They keep rates unchanged, but make it clear they intend to keep them elevated for a prolonged period. They emphasize strong economic data like today's solid ADP and GDP numbers . They express concern that inflationary risks remain, and cutting rates isn’t on the table anytime soon. In this case, markets get disappointed, rate cut hopes fade, and gold drops as real yields( TVC:US10Y ) rise and the U.S. dollar strengthens. -------------------------------- Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,340 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
19
Short position profit. Latest strategyYesterday's gold price fluctuated: it maintained sideways fluctuations in the morning and started a downward channel after the opening of the US market. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision remained unchanged. In addition, Powell's speech suppressed expectations of a September rate cut. The gold price directly fell to around 3267 and closed the day with a negative line, which exceeded expectations. Looking back at recent trends, gold prices saw a brief correction on Tuesday after four consecutive days of decline, but failed to sustain the upward trend, falling sharply again yesterday, demonstrating that the weak market remains intact. Judging from today's market, theoretically there is still room for further decline, but before yesterday's low is broken, we don't expect a big drop for the time being; if the support here is effective, the market may tend to correct. Pay attention to the daily resistance near 3315, and try shorting with a light position; the hourly resistance is near 3301, which is also a good position for shorting; the intraday bull-bear watershed is near 3294. If the market falls weakly and rebounds here, there may be a decline. The target below will first look at 3275. If yesterday's low of 3267 is broken, look further to 3250: On the long side, pay attention to the 3249 support below. If it is close to broken, you can try short-term buying. 【Operation ideas】👇 The bearish strategy in the morning remains unchanged. The short position at 3315 was publicly set up in the morning. The market rebounded to 3314 and then went down directly. The idea of setting up short positions at 3301 in the morning session remains unchanged. Friends who did not follow up with the short positions at 3315 can now add short positions with a light position at 3300. PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
XAUUSD H2 | Downside Target 3270Gold (XAUUSD) recently rejected from a key resistance zone around 3300, showing strong bearish momentum on the 2H timeframe. 💡 Setup Idea: • Price broke support → Retest as new resistance ✅ • Clean imbalance left behind → Fills expected 📉 • Target: 3270 zone (300 pips move) 🎯 • Risk-Reward potential is solid for intraday/swing entries. Trade Plan: If price holds below 3300, we expect continuation toward the 3270 zone. This area also aligns with previous structure and liquidity grab. 🕐 Timeframe: 2H 📌 Resistance: 3300 🎯 Target: 3270 📍 RR: 1:2+ #XAUUSD #GoldSetup #PriceAction #SmartMoney #FXTrading #TradingView #ForYou
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Liquidity_Gold_FX
4
GOLD Breakdown Setup | Clean Sell Targets Ahead!XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis – 2H Timeframe After a clear rejection from higher levels, Gold has pulled back to retest the broken support zone around 3340–3350, which now acts as a resistance. If the price sustains below this zone, we can expect a smooth move down toward clean liquidity areas below. This is a textbook bearish continuation setup. 💥 🔻 Trade Idea – Short Setup: • Sell Below: 3,340 • Target 1: 3,300 • Target 2: 3,280 • Stop Loss: 3,355 (above resistance zone) 🧠 Confluences: • Bearish market structure • Support zone retest • Trend continuation • High-impact USD news ahead (watch for volatility) 📅 Key Dates: July 30 – Aug 1 ⚡ NY session could trigger the move!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Liquidity_Gold_FX
4
The Federal Reserve maintains a neutral stanceAs the Federal Reserve maintains its neutral monetary policy stance despite acknowledging slowing economic growth, the gold market is attempting to reclaim the $3,300 per ounce mark. As expected, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, maintaining them within a range of 4.25% to 4.50%. The most notable change in the Fed's monetary policy statement was a slight downward revision of its assessment of the economy, noting that growth in the first half of the year slowed from the "solid pace" seen in June. In its monetary policy statement, the Fed stated: "While volatility in net exports continues to impact the data, recent indicators suggest that the growth of economic activity has moderated somewhat in the first half of the year." The market's initial reaction to the Fed's statement was renewed volatility in gold prices. On Wednesday (July 30), spot gold closed at $3,274.88, down $51.47, or 1.55%, with an intraday low of $3,268.02. In early Asian trading on Thursday, spot gold rebounded to around $3,296, putting it within reach of the previous support level of $3,300. While the Federal Reserve maintained its neutral monetary policy stance, dissent began to emerge within the committee. Fed Governors Bowman and Waller both voted in favor of a rate cut at this meeting. However, analysts noted that the split vote was unsurprising, as both committee members had been outspoken about their dovish views. With the Fed's decision unsurprising, Michael Brown, senior market analyst at Pepperstone, predicts the Fed will be slightly more hawkish this year than the market currently anticipates. Despite the Fed's current neutral stance, the market still expects the Fed to cut interest rates twice this year, starting as early as September. "My baseline forecast remains that the resilient nature of the labor market and continued tariff-induced price pressures will keep the Fed on the sidelines for now," Brown said. "My view remains that only one 25 basis point rate cut is likely this year, likely at the December meeting." OANDA:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
XAUUSD – 4H Short Setup AnalysisGold (XAUUSD) has broken below the dynamic support zone of the Keltner Channel structure and is currently trading beneath the 200 EMA zone, signaling bearish momentum. Price has rejected the upper resistance band near 3385, forming a lower high and triggering a short entry at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement zone. 📉 Trade Idea (Short Bias) Entry: Around 3360 TP1: 3317 (key support zone) TP2: 3275 (38.2% Fib ext) TP3: 3208 (100% extension target) SL: 3385 (61.8% Fib retracement) Confluences: Price rejection from upper channel 200 EMA trend resistance Clean bearish structure with momentum confirmation Fib confluence adds precision to entry and target levels If momentum sustains below 3360, further downside is likely toward the 3200 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VisionaryInsights
2
GOLD – A Bottom in Place or Just the Calm Before the Storm?GOLD – A Bottom in Place or Just the Calm Before the Storm? Gold has recently shed nearly $50, indicating sustained bearish pressure. But here’s the real question: 👉 Is this simply a liquidity sweep before a bullish reversal? 👉 Or are we witnessing the early stages of a broader bearish continuation? Let’s break it all down – step by step – to map out smart, reaction-based trading opportunities. 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Overview The US–EU trade and defence agreement has dampened gold’s role as a safe haven in the short term. The US Dollar and equity markets remain strong, driven by solid macroeconomic data. Overall market sentiment leans “risk-on”, pushing capital into riskier assets and away from precious metals. 📆 Upcoming Key Events: Tuesday: ADP Employment Data Friday: FOMC Statement & Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) These events could drastically shift market expectations around Fed policy, impacting gold’s direction. 📊 Technical Picture (Timeframes H1–H4) Gold has rebounded from recent lows and is currently moving within a parallel bullish channel. However, price is now nearing a critical resistance level at 3342 – a potential turning point. 🔎 Key Technical Zones: 🔺 Short-Term Resistance: 3342 🔺 Major Supply Zone: 3369–3388 (Order Block + Fair Value Gap + Fib 0.5–0.618) 🔻 High-Liquidity Support Zone: 3293–3290 🔻 Key Demand Zone (FVG): 3275–3273 🔺 High-Level Resistance: 3416 🧭 Trading Plan – Based on Price Action (Not Prediction) We don’t guess the market. We wait, watch, and react based on price confirmation. ✅ Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Scalp Setup) Entry: 3293 – 3291 Stop Loss: 3286 Targets: 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 🟢 Ideal for intraday scalps within high-liquidity zones. ✅ Scenario 2 – Buy from Deep Demand (Swing Setup) Entry: 3275 – 3273 Stop Loss: 3269 Targets: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320 → 3330 🟢 Great opportunity if price absorbs selling pressure at the FVG zone and reverses. ❌ Scenario 3 – Short from Key Resistance (3342) Entry: 3340 – 3342 Stop Loss: 3346 Targets: 3335 → 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3310 🔴 Use if price fails to break and hold above 3342. ❌ Scenario 4 – Short from Major Supply Zone (Swing) Entry: 3369 – 3372 Stop Loss: 3376 Targets: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 → 3320 🔴 Higher-risk setup; enter only on strong rejection or bearish candlestick confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Management Guidelines Avoid entries during the London and NY open – fakeouts and stop hunts are common. Always wait for clear price reaction within zones – avoid impulsive entries. Respect your stop-loss levels, especially with this week’s major data releases. 🎯 Final Thoughts for UK & Global Traders Let the market come to you – never chase price. Stay disciplined, especially in volatile weeks like this one. The best trades are reactionary, not predictive. 💬 Found this plan useful? Feel free to comment your views or follow for more structured gold analyses throughout the week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
3
Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation📉 Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation Posted earlier – trade progressing as planned. As shared in the previous chart, a Sell scalp position was executed based on the trendline break followed by a pullback retest. Three Take-Profit levels were marked and the price is moving in line with the forecast. ✅ 🟢 TP1 Hit 🟢 TP2 Reached 🔵 TP3 in progress 📌 The setup remains valid, and as long as structure holds below the retested trendline, the bearish bias continues. We will monitor price action near TP3 zone for final exit or trailing stop update. > Analysis worked perfectly so far – let’s see if TP3 gets cleared soon. 🔍💥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
1
Gold: ADP, Fed & Key Resistance Gold has been range-bound today—let’s focus on the impact of the ADP data and Fed rate decision ⚠️. Key resistance lies around 3345-3350 📍: a breakout could fuel further upside 📈, while a rejection may trigger an oscillating pullback 📉 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 3325 🚀 TP 3333 - 3339 -3344 Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Conqueror-
1
XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) Technical Analysis – 4H Char🔍 XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) Technical Analysis – 4H Chart Based on my shared image from TradingView, here's a detailed analysis of the current XAU/USD market scenario: --- 🧩 Chart Type & Indicators Used Timeframe: 4-Hour (H4) Platform: TradingView Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud Bollinger Bands (BB) Support/Resistance zones Trendlines Price Action with Target Points Marked --- 📉 Current Market Structure Price: ~$3,324 (Sell/Buy zone shown) Overall Trend: Turning bearish in the short term. Price Action: Price has broken below an ascending trendline, suggesting a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, reinforcing a bearish bias. Failed retest of the cloud resistance zone (around 3,335–3,340), which now acts as a resistance. --- 🔻 Bearish Signals 1. Trendline Break: The rising trendline support (mid-July to now) is broken. This indicates a potential reversal from the previous bullish momentum. 2. Retest & Rejection: Price attempted to retest the breakdown zone and was rejected from the 3,335–3,340 level. 3. Ichimoku Cloud Bearish Setup: Price is clearly below the cloud. Future cloud is bearish (red shaded). Chikou Span (lagging line) is below price candles and cloud. --- 🎯 Targets First Target Point: ~3,300 This is the next horizontal support level (near recent lows). Final Target Point: ~3,270 Stronger support zone and measured move from breakdown. --- 🛡 Resistance Zone Immediate Resistance: 3,335–3,340 Stronger Resistance: 3,370 --- 📌 Conclusion The XAU/USD 4H chart shows a bearish breakout below the rising channel, with confirmation from Ichimoku and price rejection at cloud resistance. The market is targeting 3,300 as the first support, and if that breaks, 3,270 will likely follow. --- ✅ Strategy Suggestion (if trading): Bias: Short/Sell Entry: After a weak pullback or retest near 3,330–3,335 Targets: TP1: 3,300 TP2: 3,270 Stop Loss: Above 3,345 or near 3,350 zone Let me know if you'd like this in simpler terms or want me to track the next setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RSI_Trading_point
8
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is currently approaching two key supply zones (OB 1H): 🔴 First OB zone: around 3354 – 3360 🔴 Second OB zone: around 3368 – 3370 We're watching these zones for potential short setups, only with confirmation on the lower timeframes (5M or 3M). If price reacts to one of these OBs, we expect a move down toward the green 1H demand zone around 3280 – 3290, where a long setup may later form. 📌 Key scenarios: 1️⃣ Price hits the first OB → confirmation → short 2️⃣ Price moves to the second OB → confirmation → short 3️⃣ Target for both setups = green OB around 3280 4️⃣ No entry without confirmation from LTF ❗️ Do NOT enter without lower timeframe confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ProfitaminFX
XAUUSD – Weak Rebound, Bearish Bias RemainsYesterday was a quiet and choppy day for Gold. Although price managed to recover a small portion of last week’s 1400 pip drop, the rebound remains anemic — price barely reached the 23% Fibonacci retracement. To make things worse for the bulls, the recovery from around $3300 is starting to take the shape of a bearish flag, a continuation pattern that typically signals further downside ahead. 📌 Resistance Zones to Watch: - Initial resistance: $3345–3350 - Stronger resistance: $3370, a level already proven and well-defined As long as the price is under those levels, I remain firmly bearish. 📈 Trading Plan: I already have a short position open, and I'm still waiting to add more, preferably on a push into higher resistance, ideally above $3345. No need to force entries — I’d rather scale in on strength, not weakness. Once the correction is complete, I’m targeting: - $3280 as the first support - $3250 as a realistic downside objective Conclusion: The rebound lacks power. The structure favors the bears. Still watching for better entries to add short, with eyes on 3280 and 3250 as likely targets. Let’s stay patient and let the setup come to us. 🎯 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
7/30: Watch for Sell Opportunities in the 3352–3363 ZoneGood morning, everyone! After a period of consolidation and decline, gold has found preliminary support near the 3300 level, and early signs of a bottom formation are emerging. The key technical level now lies around the 3332–3337 resistance zone. Based on current price structure, a breakout is likely, with major resistance seen at 3352–3358, while 3323–3316 serves as the primary support range. However, caution is warranted as today’s ADP employment data may significantly influence short-term price action. Whether gold can hold above the 3337–3343 level depends on the data's impact. From a broader perspective: On the weekly chart, the 20-period moving average (MA20) has climbed to around 3276, yet the overall structure remains bearish for bulls On the daily chart, gold is still trading below the MA60, facing notable resistance This week's key events — ADP (Wednesday), jobless claims, and NFP (Thursday and Friday) — will likely shape gold’s medium-term trend Trading Strategy for Today: Focus on the 3313–3353 trading range, and be highly responsive to data-driven volatility. Important note: If gold rises to 3343–3358 before the ADP release, then regardless of whether the data is bullish or bearish, the preferred approach is to sell into strength, as a post-data pullback is a likely scenario.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang