The short-selling idea remains unchanged, defend 3355📰 News information:
1. Powell responds to White House issues
2. Will other countries impose reciprocal sanctions on tariffs?
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold closed with a long lower shadow on the daily line yesterday and closed with a doji on the hourly line. In the short term, gold may continue to rise and is expected to touch the 3355 line. If gold cannot break through and stabilize above 3355, then gold may fall back. We can still consider shorting, and the target can be 3330. If the trend is as expected, it may form the embryonic form of a head and shoulders bottom. On the contrary, if the gold price breaks through 3355, stop loss on short positions and pay attention to the high resistance of 3375-3385.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3355
TP 3330-3320
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Xauusdsignal
Gold trend analysis and latest exclusive operation suggestionsTechnical analysis of gold: After the opening yesterday, gold continued to fall slowly. The negative impact of unemployment data in the US market further suppressed the bullish momentum. The lowest price in the US market reached 3310, and the cumulative decline for the whole day exceeded 30 US dollars. But the key is that gold in the New York market rebounded again, forming a wide range of fluctuations on Thursday, which was completely in line with expectations. The 3310 bottom-picking and long-term strategy given during the session successfully captured large profits in the band. This trend once again verified the core judgment of this week: gold is in a high-level fluctuation dominated by the bullish trend, and the practical value of this view continues to highlight. After clarifying the current dual attributes of "bullish trend + oscillating trend", Friday's trading needs to focus on the effective profit space within the range. It is expected that the 3375-3310 large range will be difficult to break during the day this week, and the small range can be locked at 3355-3320. The high-selling and low-buying operations can be performed before the range is broken.
The technical side shows that the daily line and the 4-hour period Bollinger band are closed simultaneously. At this time, there is no need to worry about the direction, and effective trading can be achieved by keeping a close eye on the range boundary. It is worth noting that the 4-hour moving average system has obvious upward divergence characteristics. Continuing the rebound momentum of the New York market on Thursday, gold still has room to rise today, and the upper target is 3360-3365. The small cycle support is clear: 3330 and 3320 are not broken, both are good opportunities for long positions. During the US trading period, we need to pay attention to the breaking of the 3365 and 3375 resistance levels: if they are under pressure and not broken, there will be room for a fall, and you can try short-term shorting. Overall, Charlie recommends that the short-term operation strategy for gold today is mainly to step on the low and long, supplemented by the rebound high. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3375-3385 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3345-3335 support. PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
Gold- Still needs to resolve the range🔸 Still Rangebound, But Not for Long
In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that two scenarios are in play for Gold:
1. Bullish above 3375
2. Bearish under 3320
Throughout the session, price action leaned toward the bearish side, and I aligned with that by opening a short position. It ended with a minor loss — just 50 pips, which is negligible considering I'm looking for a potential 1,000 pip move in the bigger picture.
________________________________________
🔍 What's Next?
As the title says, Gold still needs to resolve the current range before a clear directional move unfolds.
The same key levels discussed yesterday remain valid and relevant.
And since it’s Friday, today’s daily and weekly candle close will be critical in shaping expectations for next week.
________________________________________
📈 Bullish Case: Close Above 3360
• A daily/weekly close around 3360 would bring strong pressure on the 3375 resistance.
• That could lead to a bullish breakout from the ascending triangle pattern.
• It would also leave behind a bullish weekly pin bar (last week was a bullish pin bar too).
• This scenario would bring 3450 into focus — with 3500 and even a new ATH on the table in the coming weeks.
________________________________________
📉 Bearish Case: Close Near 3300
• A close near 3300 would signal a failed rally attempt
• That would expose 3250 support short term, and 3150 medium term.
________________________________________
🧭 Final Thoughts
At the moment, I’m flat and waiting for clearer confirmation later in the day.
The next move big will be defined by the weekly close — it’s as simple as that.
P.S.: It’s just a hunch , but I’m still leaning toward a break under 3300 as the next major move.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Bottom-out rebound, 3338 short orders enteredYesterday, the gold market was affected by Trump's remarks about firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. After briefly falling below 3320, the price quickly rose by nearly 60 points, reaching a high of 3377. Trump later clarified that the news was false, triggering a gold sell-off, and the market rose and fell. As of Thursday's European session, gold prices fell back to around 3320. After a rapid rise and fall in the US market on Wednesday, the downward trend continued on Thursday, with the US market hitting a low of 3310 before rebounding. Judging from the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands failed to open downward, indicating that the current market lacks continuity and the overall market remains in a volatile pattern. In a volatile market, it is recommended to pay attention to key support and resistance levels for high-selling and low-buying operations. The upper resistance range is currently at 3343-3351, and the important watershed support level below is at 3310.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Xauusd Bullish 18 July 2025 $4085 Prediction📍Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia – 18 July 2025
GOLD (XAUUSD) INSIGHT – First Accumulation Entry Begins
Today marks the first leg of bullish territory for Gold (XAUUSD) as price begins its early accumulation phase ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision in 11 days. Using a refined OHLC strategy alongside my proprietary Chrono Conditioned Trading (CCT) method, I foresee a strategic retest around $3357 to $3360, which could unlock the momentum needed to approach $3400 and eventually $3500 a key psychological resistance before price makes its way to the $5000 projection.
🧠 Technical Insight: OHLC Strategy
The OHLC (Open-High-Low-Close) method is vital for identifying precision entries:
Open shows the market’s first reaction;
High and Low define intraday volatility boundaries;
Close indicates market sentiment and real direction.
In today's setup, early accumulation begins near the previous daily open, and a break above yesterday's high signals that buyers are returning in strength.
⏱ CCT – Chrono Conditioned Trading Approach
My CCT method focuses on timing-based entries combined with price conditioning:
Entries are planned around event timelines like the upcoming FOMC rate release (FedWatch).
CCT waits for the “right time and right structure” not just price but when price moves.
Today fits that condition: early cycle, pre-news sentiment, and a clean OHLC break structure.
💡 Trading Tip:
“Never chase gold. Let the structure and time align. When OHLC confirms and CCT conditions are met only then, you strike.”
🗓 Fed Expectations:
Although rate cuts are projected for September and December 2025, it is unlikely the Fed will move in July. That uncertainty fuels speculative accumulation—making today a strategic entry point.
Stay sharp. Watch for OHLC rejections or continuation signals above $3360.
If bulls defend $3357 well, gold may reclaim the $3400 range soon setting the stage for the ultimate test at $3500.
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #OHLCstrategy #ChronoConditionedTrading #FedWatch #GoldAnalysis #CCTMethod
Regards,
Zezu Zaza
2048
GOLD Intraday H1 Chart Update For 18 July 25Hello Trader, Today we have closing day
For now market is still in Bearish Channel range and try to sustains below 3350 Psychological Level
Further only market clear breakout of 3385 level then we will be on Bullish side other we are remains bearish for now
All eyes on Todays Closing
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold is in danger. Could it fall?Gold started to fall slowly after the Asian market opened on Thursday, and continued to fluctuate and fall in the European market. The impact of the initial data in the US market fell sharply to around 3310, then stabilized and rose. It reached a high of around 3341 and then maintained a high sideways fluctuation, and the daily line closed with a negative line.
The price trend of gold this week was erratic. On Wednesday, it rose and fell, closing with a positive line, indicating that there was strong resistance above; on Thursday, it fell and rebounded, closing with a negative line, indicating that there was some support below. The current moving average system is chaotic, which further confirms that the overall situation is in a wide range of fluctuations.
Connecting the highs and lows of this week can form a fluctuating downward channel, which still has an important guiding role in the market. The current channel resistance is at 3345. If the gold price can break through this resistance level, it is expected to open up further upward space; and the channel support is around 3320. Once it falls below, it may trigger a new round of decline.
Overall, the upward resistance levels of gold are 3345, 3350, and 3360; the downward support levels are around 3320 and 3310. Operation strategy:
Short around 3350, stop loss at 3360, profit range 3330-3310.
Long near 3315, stop loss 3305, profit range 3330-3350.
Smart Money Sell Setup on Gold (15-Min TF)# Smart Money Sell Setup on Gold (15-Min TF)
### 🔍 Market Context:
Gold has recently formed a strong bullish retracement after a sharp impulsive bearish move. Now, price has returned to a critical zone — the **Equilibrium level (EQ)** — which also aligns with a **valid supply zone** and **bearish trendline resistance**.
This zone is often considered the "decision point" where Smart Money evaluates whether to continue upward or resume the previous bearish trend.
---
## 📉 Strategy: Sell Limit Based on Structure + Liquidity
### ✅ Entry Zone:
**3341.500 – 3343.000**
(At the EQ zone + premium pricing area)
### 🛑 Stop Loss:
**Above 3345.000**
(Just beyond the last liquidity wick and top of supply)
### 🎯 Take Profit Targets:
- **TP1:** 3338.000 → First demand zone
- **TP2:** 3332.500 → Liquidity sweep target under previous lows
### 📐 Risk to Reward Ratio:
**1:3 or higher**, depending on execution precision.
---
## 🔎 Confluences Supporting the Setup:
| Factor | Confirmation |
|--------|--------------|
| EQ Zone (50% of previous move) | ✅ |
| Supply Zone | ✅ |
| Bearish Trendline Resistance | ✅ |
| Liquidity above EQ | ✅ |
| CHoCH + BOS (Market Structure Shift) | ✅ |
---
## 🧠 Why This Setup Works:
This is a classic **"Premium Price Rejection"** in a bearish environment, combining:
- Institutional logic (EQ level)
- Structural resistance (previous BOS)
- Liquidity traps above
---
## 🧵 Summary:
- **Sell Limit:** 3341.5 – 3343
- **SL:** 3345
- **TP1:** 3338
- **TP2:** 3332.5
- **RR:** 1:3+
- **Style:** Smart Money / Liquidity + Structure Based
---
🔔 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
#gold #XAUUSD #smartmoney #tradingview #liquidity #supplydemand #priceaction #forex #structure
Gold Analysis – Why I’m Targeting $4,085Friday July 18 2025. Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur - Gold analysis done by Zezu Zaza to see the potential upcoming upside starting today this Friday.
I am using a CCT (Chrono Conditioned Trading) technique for my trading based analysis with mathematical strategy in the Xauusd pricing. We will cover the technical, fundamental and sentiment aspect as these are the three components pillars in trading before making any decision and movement trend.
1. Technical Setup (Daily Chart)
Gold is currently consolidating between the $3,300 to $3,375 range after a strong rally earlier this year.
The RSI sits near the neutral 50 level, while the MACD shows signs of a potential bullish crossover.
A confirmed breakout above the $3,375 to $3,400 resistance zone may lead to a surge toward $3,600 to $3,650, and possibly much higher.
Market structure remains bullish, with higher lows forming a solid base around $3,300.
2. Federal Reserve Outlook – 2025 Rate Cuts Expected
The market is now pricing in at least two interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve by the end of 2025. A 25 basis point cut is expected in September, with another potentially coming in December. Recent CPI and PPI data indicate cooling inflation, giving the Fed more room to ease without reigniting price pressure. Labor market strength is weakening, wage growth is decelerating, and tighter credit conditions are emerging. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently stated that the risks of over-tightening are now balanced, signaling a shift to a more dovish stance. Lower interest rates reduce bond yields and weaken the dollar, which historically fuels gold’s bullish momentum. If trump fired or Powell decision to step down, this will fire the gold even higher for the catalyze.
3. Market Sentiment (Speculative Positioning)
As of July 11, 2025, the latest CFTC Commitment of Traders report shows speculative net long positions on gold have surged to 203,000 contracts, the highest level in several months.
This signals a strong bullish sentiment among hedge funds and large traders.
In addition, gold ETFs saw over $38 billion in inflows in the first half of 2025, highlighting strong institutional demand as investors seek safety in uncertain times.
The positioning supports further upside as traders bet on a softer dollar and increased market volatility.
4. Macro Fundamentals and Hedge Fund Sentiment
Central banks around the world, especially in the BRICS nations, continue to increase their gold reserves in efforts to reduce reliance on the US dollar.
China has been actively accumulating gold for more than eight consecutive months, with unofficial estimates suggesting holdings of up to 5,000 metric tons.
Several hedge funds and institutional managers now classify gold as a core asset class due to rising fiscal uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and the deterioration of confidence in monetary policy. David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital emphasized that gold is not just about inflation but about the credibility of monetary and fiscal policies. His fund maintains a long gold position and expects higher prices as global deficits and structural imbalances persist.
5. Institutional Forecasts and Speculator Targets
Goldman Sachs has raised its end-of-2025 target to the $3,700 to $3,950 range, citing rising ETF inflows and a softer Fed stance. JPMorgan expects gold to average around $3,675 in the fourth quarter of 2025. Citi, in a bull case scenario, believes gold could trade well above $3,300. The World Gold Council has outlined a high-conviction scenario in which gold could reach $4,000 within the next six to nine months, driven by stagflation and global monetary instability. Greenlight Capital is reportedly aiming for the $3,500 to $3,800 range, though David Einhorn noted that he does not want prices to rise excessively too quickly.
Target Price: $4,085 first before turn the bullish sooners to $5000 price make this same year.
My target of $4,085 is supported by the convergence of multiple factors:
- A bullish technical structure with a potential breakout
- Fed interest rate cuts reducing yields and weakening the dollar. Fed will reduce the rates for the first time this year (12 more days) after this article is published today 18 July 2025.
- Strong speculative positioning and ETF demand
- Aggressive central bank accumulation
- Hedge fund sentiment aligned with rising gold exposure
- Persistent geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty
If these conditions hold, $4,085 is a realistic medium-term objective within six to nine months.
Trading Plan Summary
Component Strategy
Entry Zone Breakout above $3,375
Stop Loss $3,300 to $3,320 (below key support)
Take Profit Partial at $3,600 to $3,650, trail remainder to $4,085
Risk Triggers Dollar strength, unexpected Fed hawkish turn, resolution in geopolitics
Key Catalysts CPI done, PPI done, FOMC statements, nonfarm payrolls, war developments
Final Takeaway
This gold analysis blends a bullish technical pattern with the macroeconomic backdrop of an approaching Fed pivot, rising speculative positioning, and ongoing central bank purchases.
Hedge funds and institutions are increasingly viewing gold as an essential defensive asset, especially in the face of deteriorating fiscal credibility and geopolitical tensions.
If gold breaks and holds above the $3,375 level, the path toward $4,085 becomes significantly more probable.
18 July 2025 Friday is a starter ignition trend will born today. I will place some test lots today and will accumulate after from time to time.
Let me know if you what is your opinion or send email to me to reach me for the insitutional analyst or want to see live trade.
Regards,
Zezu Zaza
2048
Wait for the data release; do not chase short positions.The 4-hour timeframe remains in a range-bound consolidation. Only a decisive break below the 3320 level will truly open up substantial downward space. Let’s focus on today’s US Initial Jobless Claims data: while the indicator has been trending lower recently, the current market expectation is tilted toward a rebound.
Even though yesterday’s PPI data, after its release, was bullish for gold, its actual impact on prices was limited—far from comparable to core metrics like CPI.
In summary, all short positions have now closed out with profits. Waiting for the data release to trade in line with the trend is a more prudent approach: if prices hover around 3320 or 3310 ahead of the data and the figures come in bullish, you can decisively enter long positions once there’s a slight pullback. If the data turns bearish, avoid chasing the decline; instead, consider positioning around key integer levels such as 3290-3300, as a sharp bullish correction is likely to follow an oversold move. As for whether the bulls can achieve a full reversal, we’ll assess the broader picture then. Always remember: no market moves in one direction indefinitely—adaptability is key
🚀 Buy @3310 - 3320
🚀 TP 3330 - 3340 - 3350
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Price Reversal Setup: Breakout Retest with Bullish Targets.This 1-hour gold (XAU/USD) chart shows a potential bullish setup. Price is currently near support at 3,320.191, with possible reversal signals forming. The chart highlights a previous breakout zone around 3,354.004. If price rebounds, targets are set at TP1 (3,354.004) and TP2 (3,377.426). Key events and technical signals suggest a potential move upward.
Trump's five major factors! Will gold continue to rise?The past six months may have been dizzying, but a clear theme has emerged since U.S. President Donald Trump returned to the White House: It’s good news for the gold market.
Although gold prices broke through $3,500 an ounce nearly three months ago, setting a new record high, five key factors that have emerged since the start of Trump’s second term are likely to continue to support gold prices in the coming months. These factors may even prove that the precious metal is becoming a core asset class in investors’ portfolio strategies.
David Miller, co-founder and chief investment officer of Catalyst Funds, said that as the market enters the third quarter, gold remains a standout asset class that “provides both a hedge against the potential risks of geopolitical conflict and a break from the erosion of fiat currencies.”
The first key factor supporting gold is demand from central banks, which indicates that the market has weakened confidence in the U.S. dollar. Miller pointed out in emailed comments that central bank demand is surging, and the BRICS countries, especially China and India, are accelerating the accumulation of gold reserves “as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy.” According to a report released by the World Gold Council on Wednesday, the People’s Bank of China’s official gold holdings have climbed for eight consecutive months.
David Russell, head of global market strategy at TradeStation, said the global tariffs threatened and implemented by Trump have accelerated the "de-dollarization process." De-dollarization refers to efforts by some countries to reduce their reliance on the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency.
"Trade is becoming less dependent on the U.S. end market and less dependent on the dollar. This is more like the 19th century than the era after World War I and World War II," Russell said in emailed comments. "This trend back to the old model is creating structural demand for gold after decades of neglect. Fiat currencies are in decline," he added.
Russell also said the decline in the credit quality of developed country governments, such as the United States, is also a major concern for the market. "We have lost our AAA rating from the three major rating agencies because of growing deficits and looming pressure on unfunded liabilities such as Social Security," he said, referring in part to Moody's downgrading its top credit rating for the United States in May. "After decades of procrastination, we are running out of ways to go."
That said, trade policy is a third factor affecting gold. Russell said that "large budget deficits or increased tariffs" would reduce demand for U.S. Treasuries, supporting gold prices.
With both 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields falling so far this year and real rates under pressure from inflation, "the opportunity cost of holding gold is falling," noted Catalyst Funds' Miller. That's leading to a fourth potential support for gold -- a resurgent interest in gold exchange-traded funds and other alternatives.
In the first half of 2025, North America led the growth in global gold ETF inflows, according to the World Gold Council. Global physically-backed gold ETFs saw inflows of $38 billion in the first half of this year, marking the strongest half-year performance since the first half of 2020, according to the World Gold Council.
Finally, from a technical perspective, gold prices have held above $3,250 an ounce for much of June, Miller said. That shows signs of "a potential breakout as equity market volatility returns," he said. Gold for August delivery closed at $3,359.10 an ounce on Wednesday.
“Gold is not just a crisis hedge, it is becoming a core asset class in modern portfolio strategies.” Miller said that the current macroeconomic environment “justifies a meaningful allocation to gold and gold-related strategies.”
He said: “The combination of fragile stock market sentiment, uncertain policy direction and structural macro headwinds reinforces our view that gold is not just a crisis hedge, it is becoming a core asset class in modern portfolio strategies.” PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
Waiting for the Break: 3375 or 3320 Will Decide the Next 1k Pips📉 Quick recap:
As you know, I've been bullish on Gold. However, as explained in yesterday’s analysis, I started to approach this view with more caution. Unfortunately, I closed my long position at break even… before the rally to the 3375 resistance. That’s trading.
📌 What now?
Despite missing that move, the market is beginning to offer more clarity. There are now two key levels that will likely define the next major swing:
________________________________________
🔹 1. Resistance at 3375 – Top of the Range / Triangle Breakout Zone
• This level marks the upper boundary of the recent range
• It’s also the resistance of a developing ascending triangle
• A clean breakout above 3375 would confirm the pattern and could trigger a strong upside acceleration
• Target: 3450 zone, with potential for more if momentum kicks in (approx. 1000 pips higher)
➡️ This is the obvious bullish scenario – in line with the broader trend and classical technical setup.
________________________________________
🔻 2. Support at 3320 – The Less Obvious, but Classic Gold
• 3320 is now a confluence support area
• Technically, a break below here is less probable – but Gold has a habit of doing the unexpected
• If 3320 breaks, bears could look for a first leg to 3280 (approx. 400 pips), and very probably 3250 (around 700 pips drop)
➡️ This bearish scenario is not the base case, but it must not be ignored. Sometimes the trap is in the obvious.
________________________________________
🧭 Trading Plan:
For now, I’m out of the market, patiently waiting for confirmation. I’ll trade the breakout – whichever side gives the signal first.
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is coiling for a larger move. The levels are clear: 3375 and 3320 are the doors. One of them will open. Until then, we wait and prepare. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold market price trend analysis and operation strategyGold trend analysis:
Gold reached a high of 3366 yesterday, a low of 3320, and closed at around 3325. From the daily chart, the performance of the daily cycle is high and closed negative, and it may not be able to go out of the big rise in the short term. Gold will fall into range fluctuations. The rise of gold in this cycle has not actually been completed. At least it needs to go to the high point of 3400, and then look at the adjustment space within the week, but don’t look too much at the strength of the rise. The general trend is bullish, and we must also beware of the adjustment space that may fall back at any time. Gold tried 3375 several times yesterday and failed to break through, and then fell back for adjustment, indicating that the pressure on 3375 is obvious, that is, gold needs to fall back and correct in the short term. At this time, we are cautious about chasing more and continue to buy more after falling back.
From the 4-hour chart, gold rose and fell yesterday, and the bearish trend did not continue. Gold entered a period of adjustment. From the current K-line, the downward momentum of gold is slowing down, and it tends to rebound in the short term. In the 4-hour chart, the lower track support of the Bollinger Band is near 3320, and the position of the middle track of the Bollinger Band is near 3345, which will form a short-term resistance. From the 1-hour chart, after yesterday's drop to 3320, it was strongly supported again and pulled up to above 3330. The support below is still strong. If the European session rises and breaks through 3350 today, the US session may go to the resistance of 3365-3375. Before breaking through 3350, the current market can only be regarded as a bottom adjustment and correction. Today, we will first focus on the rebound strength. If the upward momentum weakens, pay attention to the support of 3310-3300 below, and wait for the decline to be mainly low-multiple. In the short term, we will first focus on the breakthrough of the shock range. The intraday idea is to fall back to low-multiple. FX:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD
Expectations On GoldPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD Looking at the daily Range, The market has reached the equilibrium level, is that a sign to go short? no, we could still see a drive to the upper side, but ultimately, the relative equal lows which are close to 3,245.00 big figure should likely be the draw.
I would love to see a drive below the 3,282.00 mark for perfect show to prove the obvious move below the 3,245.00, or seeing a consecutive break below each previous days low would also confirm the directive.
Seeing higher prices would of course negate this analysis, seeing a run into the 3,375.00 big figure yesterday makes me skeptical as this has also left some area of relatively equal highs, so I would give in to the idea of higher prices at least to that level to see what would like occur, but I strongly doubt that this would be the scenerio.
Generally, I am bearish on Gold till I see a run below that 3,245.00 big figure or prices closer to that level.
Gold rebounded and shorted in the New York market.Trump's recent remarks about "possibly firing Fed Chairman Powell" triggered risk aversion in the market, and gold once surged to $3,377, but then Trump denied the plan and gold prices fell back to fluctuate in the 3,340-3,350 range; the U.S. PPI in June was flat month-on-month, lower than expected, easing market concerns about the Fed's immediate tightening of policy, but long-term inflation expectations still support gold; Israel's air strikes on Syria have exacerbated tensions in the Middle East, and safe-haven demand has boosted gold; Trump threatens to impose tariffs on the EU, and global trade uncertainty still supports gold's safe-haven properties; gold fluctuated and fell today. After yesterday's big rise, gold gradually fell today. Today, gold fluctuated weakly, and the 4-hour moving average crossed downward. The gold price gradually moved toward the lower Bollinger band, and the Bollinger band opened downward. The trend is more bearish. In terms of operation, we recommend that gold rebound and go short. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD
Gold Trading Idea: Short Opportunity on 15-Min Descending ChanneHello TradingView Community,
Following up on my Gold analysis from Monday, the price action has respected the levels I outlined (check my previous posts for the breakdown), delivering solid trade opportunities except yesterday's news-driven volatility. Today, we're eyeing a short setup on Gold based on the 15-minute timeframe.
Technical Analysis:
Gold is moving within a descending channel on the 15-min chart.
I've identified equal highs and a small FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the channel's range.
This confluence zone is where I expect the price to react, potentially clearing liquidity above the channel before reversing.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Wait for the price to reach the confluence zone (equal highs + 61.8% Fib + FVG) and show a clear reaction (e.g., rejection or reversal pattern) before entering a short position.
Take Profit: Targeting 3310 level.
Risk Management: If the price fails to reach the zone and breaks lower, I'll stay out to avoid chasing trades. Patience is key here.
Stay disciplined, traders! Let the price come to our zone, and always manage your risk.
Follow for more setups, like this post if you found it helpful, and drop your thoughts in the comments below! Let’s discuss!
#Gold #XAUUSD #ShortSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Slips in London – $3,296 Incoming?📉 XAUUSD 1H Bearish Analysis – July 17, 2025
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing clear signs of bearish momentum on the 1-hour chart. After forming a local high around the $3,346–$3,347 region, price was sharply rejected and has since maintained a lower high structure. This rejection came right after the London session began, confirming that institutional volume is likely favoring the downside for now.
The previous few sessions show multiple failed attempts to break above the $3,346–$3,365 range. Sellers are consistently stepping in near those zones, marking a strong supply area. Meanwhile, recent candles have broken below the intraday support around $3,327.74, showing bearish continuation is underway.
Session activity is also in favor of the bears. The current London session opened weak, following a failure to hold above the previous session highs. Typically, gold experiences volatility during London and New York overlaps, and given the current structure, the pressure seems tilted to the downside.
From a broader perspective, the lower highs and lower lows on the 1-hour chart confirm a short-term downtrend. Price is now hovering just above $3,319 support—if this level is taken out cleanly with volume, it opens the path to deeper targets.
________________________________________
📌 Trading Setup (Short Bias)
• Entry: $3,327.74 (breakdown zone)
• Stop-loss: $3,346.29 (above last supply rejection)
• Take-Profit 1: $3,319.69
• Take-Profit 2: $3,311.62
• Take-Profit 3: $3,296.28
• Take-Profit 4 (extended): $3,282.66
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If price manages to hold below $3,328 with consecutive rejections on any pullback, this bearish thesis remains valid. A breakdown below $3,311 would likely trigger momentum-driven selling toward $3,296 and potentially $3,282. However, any 1H close back above $3,346 would invalidate the current setup and favor a temporary bullish retracement.
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 17 July 2025Hello Traders, welcome to new Trading day
Today we have some high impact news of USD, Currently market is still in tight range and we still need breakout of 3300 Psychological for downside clearly
For upside market must need to close above 3380-90 zone for further upwards continuation
currently we are also keep an eyes on WAR Fundamental news
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) against the U.S. Dollar, showing a current price of $3,329.145 with a decrease of $18.455 (-0.55%). The chart highlights key levels including a sell price of $3,328.920 and a buy price of $3,329.370, with a recent trading range between $3,355.339 and $3,312.393. The data spans from late June to mid-July 2025, with notable price fluctuations and a shaded area indicating a potential trading zone.