Xauusdsignals
XAUUSD The top isn't very far off.Gold (XAUUSD) has been rising non-stop since the November 2024 bottom, which later transitioned into a Channel Up. The market is no stranger at all to such Channel Up patterns, in fact it has been the most dominant rising formation of this Bull Cycle since the September - October 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis.
The previous 4 completed Channel Up patterns, rose by a minimum of +18.57% and a maximum of +23.48%, so the average rise since a pull-back low has been more than +20%. Those technical pull-backs hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level in 3 out of 4 occasions.
Base on the above conditions, we believe that Gold will top either by the end of this month (+18.57%) or the next (+23.48%), with the Sell Zone designated within those ranges. Similarly, the Buy Zone can be between the two potential 0.382 Fib levels.
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Be bold and short goldBrothers, did you short gold?
As I mentioned in my previous article, I have already entered short positions in the 2930-2940 zone. Today, gold has broken below Wednesday’s low, which has to some extent opened further downside potential and strengthened the probability of continued decline. Moreover, under the pressure of the head and shoulders pattern, I believe gold is highly likely to retest the 2920-2910 support zone today.
I have followed my trading plan and am currently in profit on my short positions. We can continue to hold and wait for further profit expansion. Did you follow me in shorting gold?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Keep making money by shorting goldYesterday, I remained firmly committed to shorting gold from start to finish, and as anticipated, gold retraced to my two target zones: 2930-2925 and 2920-2910.
Today, gold has pulled back to around 2916, breaking Wednesday’s low, which has, to some extent, opened up downside potential and strengthened expectations for further downside acceleration toward the 2900-2880 region. Additionally, from a short-term technical perspective, a head and shoulders pattern has formed, further supporting the likelihood of a sharper decline. Therefore, in today’s trading, I continue to favor short positions in gold.
As gold’s price action shifts lower, overhead resistance levels are also adjusting downward. This calls for a more conservative expectation of gold’s rebound potential. For short-term trading, we can consider scaling into short positions in the 2930-2940 zone.
Bros, are you optimistic about the continued decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Short gold againAs I mentioned in my previous article, I anticipated that gold might pull back to the 2930-2925 region, or even extend to the 2910 region, during today or tomorrow's New York trading session. Clearly, gold has retraced as expected and hit my target zone of 2930-2925. Our short position around 2954 has once again yielded a very favorable profit, totaling 270 pips.
Currently, gold has experienced a slight rebound, but it’s evident that the bullish momentum is weakening while bearish control is strengthening. After the accelerated short squeeze phase, 2955 may become the high for this stage. Moreover, as geopolitical risks decrease, the bullish momentum for gold further weakens, making it likely that gold could further dip and test the 2920-2910 support zone.
Therefore, for current short-term trading, I believe it might be a good idea to consider shorting gold again in the 2935-2940 region.Bros, will you follow me and short gold again? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD: Gold price stands firm near all-time high!Gold price retains its bullish bias amid worries about Trump’s tariffs and a global trade war. Sliding US bond yields weigh on the USD and lend additional support to the precious metal. The Fed’s hawkish outlook could cap the XAU/USD pair amid slightly overbought conditions.
XAU/USD Technical Overview
The short-term technical outlook for Gold price remains more or less the same.
The daily chart shows that Gold price hangs near the record high of $2,947. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) flatlines in the overbought territory, currently near 73, suggesting that there is some room to the upside before a correction kicks in. Gold buyers await acceptance above the $2,950 barrier on a daily closing basis to extend the record rally. The next relevant resistance is seen at the $2,970 round level.
Conversely, a fresh pullback could call for a test of the $2,900 round level, below which the February 14 low of $2,877 will be threatened. A firm break of that level will initiate a fresh downside toward the $2,850 psychological barrier.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Breakout Soon?!
I see clear signs of a bullish accumulation on a daily.
The recent formation of a higher low and 3 consequent equal highs
indicates a highly probable coming bullish movement.
As always, your perfect confirmation is a breakout.
The violation of the underlined blue resistance will give you a
strong bullish signal.
Growth will be expected then.
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Sell high and buy low within the regionDear Traders,
During the rebound, gold briefly reached around 2915 but failed to sustain the move. This indicates that the 2915-2920 resistance zone remains effective in the short term, and gold is struggling to form a strong upward momentum. On the downside, after multiple tests, gold has established strong support in the 2890-2880 region.
Therefore, based on the current situation, gold is likely to continue oscillating within the 2920-2890 range in the short term. For short-term trading, we can still employ a "buy low, sell high" strategy within this range.
Bros, do you know how to execute the high-sell-low-buy trading method in the area? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD Channel Up preparing the new Bullish Leg.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up for almost 1 month. Friday's test of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) proved once again why this level is the strongest Support within the pattern, as it held and has initiated a relative bounce.
If this continues, it should technically be the new Bullish Leg, similar to the January 27 rebound on the 4H MA50. As you can see, even the 4H RSI sequences among those fractals follow the same pattern.
If (d) is indeed the technical RSI bottom, then we can expect a similar 1.5 Fibonacci extension rally to 2970.
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Gold at PRZ—Will Bears Take Over Soon!?Today, U.S. Retail Sales data will be released:
Core Retail Sales (Forecast: 0.4%) → If lower than expected, it may indicate weaker consumer spending, potentially weakening the USD ( TVC:DXY ).
Retail Sales (Forecast: 0.4%) → A lower-than-expected reading would signal economic weakness and increase expectations for Fed rate cuts.
Given recent economic trends and previous reports like CPI (inflation) and PPI (producer inflation) coming in higher than expected, retail sales data is more likely to be stronger than forecasted or at least in line with expectations.
Potential Market Impact : If the data is stronger than expected : USD strengthens → Gold declines .
There is a slightly higher probability that the data will be stronger than expected (or in line with forecasts). However, if the data disappoints , the market could react sharply .
If the indexes are close to or match the forecasts, there will be less expectation of emotional market movement.
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Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise, as I expected in the previous post . Currently, Gold is near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , Monthly Resistance(2) , and Yearly Resistance(1) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . One of the confirmation signs of the end of wave 5 can be the breaking of the lower line of the ascending channel .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to go down to at least $2,920 first after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel, and if the Support zone($2,915-$2,905) is broken, we should wait for an attack on the 100_SMA(1-hour) and the Support line .
Note: If Gold breaks the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , we can expect more pumps.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Profitable trading methodsDear Traders,
Since yesterday, I have maintained my short strategy on gold, entering small positions at 2919, 2927, and 2939, with a TP set at 2916. Gold faced resistance near the 2940 zone and has since retraced, hitting the TP of 2916 as expected. All of our short positions were closed with a profit when the TP was reached.
Based on the current structure, the 2940 region remains a significant resistance zone for gold in the short term. If gold fails to break this resistance, it could potentially form a double top pattern, which would favor further downside movement. We should first focus on the support at 2915-2910, and then monitor the 2900-2895 region for additional support. If gold manages to hold above 2900 during the pullback, we should avoid aggressively chasing short positions, as a potential liquidity increase could attract more buying interest.
For the upcoming trades, there are two possible scenarios:
1. If gold rebounds above 2930, we can consider shorting again.
2. If gold maintains support above 2910-2900 or fails to break below this range, we could look to take long positions.
Bros, have you followed me to short gold and made a profit? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD "GOLD" POTENTIALLY BULLISHWe have seen OANDA:XAUUSD continue in the strong bullish rush creating higher highs and higher lows along the line. In the most recent time, price broke out on the most recent high (2,883.097) and not only found it as a support zone but also gave a price action candle showing some rejection of same zone.
My take, if this current H4 candle closes as a bullish candle in the next few hours, I will be going long with my first targets at 2,935 and then ride the move with a "breath-able" trailing stop
Disclaimer: Past results does not guarantee future results, trading instruments like gold is high risk
Shorting gold has started to pay off wellDear Traders,
As I shared in my previous article, gold failed to break higher after reaching around 2933. The selling pressure above, coupled with profit-taking, continues to exert downward pressure on gold. Currently, gold shows clear signs of a bearish reversal, with the price action gradually shifting downward. Based on the current structure, I believe gold will likely need to retrace to the 2915-2905 region.
Our current short position on gold is in profit, and we can continue holding it while patiently waiting for further profit expansion!Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Short GoldDear Traders,
Currently, gold reached a high of around 2932 but quickly retraced and failed to establish support above 2930, indicating strong resistance from the bulls. Given the current momentum conditions, the bullish momentum is insufficient to support a sustained breakout to the upside. This suggests that after the price push higher, the market has become more cautious and is not blindly chasing long positions in gold.
On the other hand, as gold's volatility contracts, there is a need for a pullback to enhance market liquidity. Gold may therefore retrace and potentially test the 2910-2900 support zone again.
For short-term trading, I will continue to focus on small-scale short positions on gold.Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Continue to short goldDear Traders,
Yesterday, gold touched the 2860 region before rebounding and continuing its upward move, reaching above 2920. Overall, gold is still in a bullish structure.
From a short-term perspective, gold’s intraday high is at 2923, with technical resistance in the 2925-2930 zone. Currently, gold's volatility is contracting within the 2915-2920 range. In terms of breakout potential, gold is lacking liquidity for a decisive move in the short term. Therefore, even if gold attempts to reach new highs or extend its breakout, it may first need to pull back in order to increase liquidity.
For short-term trading, we can look to short gold in small positions within the 2920-2925 resistance zone and target a pullback toward the 2910-2900 region.
Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD (XAUUSD): One More Bullish Confirmation?!
After the release of the yesterday's US news, Gold went up again
Analyzing a 4H time frame, I see a completed inverted head and shoulders pattern.
Probabilities are high that growth will continue.
Goals: 2931 / 2942
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XAUUSD is on structural support on H4As in our recent previous commantary we mentioned our selling order which Tp has been hit with 130 pips.
What possible scenario do we have?
We are still expecting the little correction towards at 2855-2860 if 2880 structural support break 2855-2860 on mark.
On the other hand ,for buyers if H4 Candle closes above 2890 our eyes will be again at 2930 structure.
Today CPI Fundamental is also on alert ⚠️
Short gold after reboundDear Traders,
After retracing to the 2881 level, gold has rebounded and is currently extending its recovery above 2907. It is evident that as prices push higher, bearish forces are actively countering the move, and some profit-taking is taking place. The candlestick chart shows clear rejection signals near the 2942 and 2929 levels, indicating notable selling pressure and fear-induced resistance at higher levels.
For short-term trading, short positions can be considered within the 2910-2920 range. I believe that before resuming its uptrend, gold may still need to retest the validity of the 2900 support level. Furthermore, if downside momentum persists, there remains a possibility of further testing the 2870-2860 region.
Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!