Gold fluctuates greatly. What will happen next week?Gold fluctuated greatly on Thursday and Friday. It is difficult to implement an operation strategy in this market. It is difficult to go short or long. The market does not continue the next day, and there are few suitable trading opportunities in the process of changing the market. So what should gold do next week? Has the rhythm of gold changed again?
The rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key; the 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning, so whether it can form an upward trend is the next key.
The strength of gold on Monday is very important. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, but it fell directly on Tuesday and pierced the support level, which cannot be said to be completely bullish. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a real big negative line.
Next week, we need to pay attention to two key positions. Pay attention to $3175 below. If it falls and breaks quickly after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak overall; pay attention to $3215 above. If gold breaks through this point strongly and stabilizes above the point, then gold will be strong overall.
If gold opens flat in early trading on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, then you can continue to short in the short term.
Xauusdtrade
Gold price rises and then sells off?Information summary:
Yesterday morning, gold prices soared due to the impact of international news, hitting an intraday high of $3,253.
On Friday, Asian time, gold suddenly fell rapidly in the short term, and the price of gold currently fell to around $3,215/ounce, a sharp drop of nearly $28 in the day.
Gold price targets higher, but the bullish potential is limited in the short term. The focus will be on the preliminary value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in May.
Technical analysis:
Looking at the daily chart, gold prices rose on Thursday, but both the high and low points of the day moved down from the previous trading day. On the other hand, the 20-day moving average eased down to around $3,305/ounce, while the 100-day and 200-day moving averages maintained an upward tilt at a level far below the current gold price. Finally, the trend of technical indicators is upward, but it is still below the previous intraday high and in the negative range, which shows that buyer sentiment is not very high.
The short-term trend shows that gold buyers still lack full confidence.
You need to pay attention to the important support and resistance levels:
Support level: $3,200; $3,175; $3,160.
Resistance level: $3,230; $3,245.
Operation strategy:
Buy around $3,200, stop loss at $3,190, and profit range at $3,250-3,280.
Gold changes trend? Latest analysis.Information summary:
Due to the easing of trade tensions between the world's two largest economies; suppressing safe-haven demand, and investors waiting for US economic data for more clues on future interest rate trends. On Thursday, Asian time, gold prices fell to their lowest point in more than a month. At one point in the session, it hit the lowest level since April 10 at $3,120. The price has now rebounded to around $3,190.
Technical analysis:
Gold once again showed a trend of falling first and then rising, basically swallowing up all the declines in the Asian market. Is gold about to start a new round of rise? I don't think it is possible to judge that the upward trend is established now. Because from the weekly line, the price rushed up and fell back, and the more obvious signal is that it will fall again.
From the daily rhythm, today fell first and then rose, and the short-term rise was strong, swallowing up all the declines in the Asian session and there are signs of continued rise. But in terms of rhythm, the watershed of the Asian session's decline is the integer mark of 3,200. If it continues to be suppressed below the watershed, the market will still fall.
Operation strategy:
Short around $3205, stop loss at $3215, profit range at $3180-3175.
If the gold price breaks through the $3,200 resistance with strength and stays above this level, we need to change our strategy.
Gold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a MonthGold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a Month
As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price of gold fell below $3,130 this morning – its lowest level since 10 April.
Since its peak in May, gold has lost more than 8% in value per ounce.
Why Is Gold Falling?
Bearish sentiment in the gold market may be fuelled by easing geopolitical tensions. According to media reports:
→ China and the US have already reported progress in reaching a trade agreement, while details of potential deals with India, Japan, and South Korea are currently being developed.
→ Iran is reportedly willing to sign a nuclear deal in exchange for the lifting of sanctions. In addition, Donald Trump may lift sanctions on Syria during his visit to the Middle East.
→ The situation between India and Pakistan has stabilised, and today, talks between Russia and Ukraine are expected to take place in Istanbul, with a potential ceasefire on the agenda.
These developments could be seen as reducing the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
In our 7 May gold price analysis, we:
→ outlined a descending channel (marked in red);
→ noted that bearish pressure persisted above $3,400.
Since then, the gold (XAU/USD) price has continued to move within this channel, breaking support around the $3,200 level and approaching a key support zone formed by:
→ the lower boundary of the red channel;
→ a long-term trendline (marked in blue);
→ a former resistance level (highlighted with arrows) at $3,140.
Given these conditions, traders should consider a scenario in which a minor rebound may occur – for instance, towards the median line of the red channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD Analysis today: Unemployment spike? Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold prices fell by more than $50. Two news will be released.At the end of the Asian session, gold accelerated its decline, with the lowest price falling to around $3,123, and plummeting more than $50 during the day.
Gold prices continued to fall in the Asian session and were under pressure from multiple factors. Optimism about Sino-US trade weakened gold's safe-haven effect. In addition, reduced bets on the Fed's rate cuts and rising US Treasury yields are also not conducive to gold prices.
There are two pieces of news to pay attention to in today's trading market.
1. At 8:30 a.m. US time, the U.S. Census Bureau will release April retail sales data.
2. At 8:40 a.m. US time, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver an opening speech at the second Thomas Laubach Research Conference. (This conference will focus on research on monetary policy and economics, and is expected to provide an academic perspective for the Fed's commitment to review the monetary policy framework every five years.)
Trading analysis:
Gold prices have just fallen below the $3,140 support level, which makes gold prices vulnerable. Some follow-up selling could push gold further towards $3,100; if it falls below this level, gold could target $3,060.
On the upside, if gold prices rise back above the $3,160-3,170 area, it could face strong resistance at the Asian session high and then $3,200.
Any further gains in gold prices could be seen as selling opportunities and could lose upward momentum around $3,230. This is a key level, and if it breaks through this level, a new round of short-covering could push gold prices up to $3,265 to form resistance before moving towards the $3,300 mark.
Market trading is risky, and I hope you will take profits in time; make a good profit.
Gold fell. How is the market?Gold fell sharply at the opening today, and the lowest point hit $3175.
From the weekly line, this has already touched the weekly MA10 moving average position.
Quaid believes that traders should not blindly carry out short strategies. If there is a price rebound, the rise will be very fast, and the market may not give you a chance to stop loss.
From the 4H chart, we can see that gold has started a downward trend from last Friday's high of $3345. $3345-3307 is wave a. $3307-3360 is wave B. Currently, it is wave C from around $3360.
However, this wave C has not ended yet. If we look at it by standard, it will be considered the end of this trend only when it goes down to around $3120.
However, around $3175 is a support position. So now before it falls below $3175, gold may maintain a shock adjustment of $3200-3175.
I think you need to pay attention to the short-term resistance level of $3200-3250. If it cannot be as strong as breaking, then we can still carry out a short strategy below 3200.
Gold starts a downward trend? Latest strategy.News focus:
Today, Fed official Waller will give a speech;
Tomorrow, the number of initial jobless claims, producer price index (PPI) and retail sales data will be released;
On Friday, the market will usher in the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index report.
Technical analysis:
Gold fell rapidly in the Asian market, then rebounded slightly, and has been in a sideways trend.
I think the recent volatility is more obvious, and there is still uncertainty whether the direction will be quickly completed.
There are large differences in the current price of the short strategy, and it is impossible to make a decisive breakthrough in the short term.
Operation strategy:
Still adhere to the expectation of short-term decline, the rebound will not hinder the final decline expectation, and the strategy of shorting at high points will be maintained in the short term.
You need to pay attention to the key support level of $3160. If the downward trend opens this position, the gold price may test the low position of 3100.
Gold crash alarm is sounding!
Technical aspects:The pressure area of gold is concentrated in the range of 3250-3260. If the market remains weak and under pressure, it will be difficult for gold prices to break through this area. The key support around 3210-3200 should be focused on for gold to go down. If the gold price falls below the support of 3200, it may trigger a waterfall-like decline, and the expected support bottom is in the area of 3100-3050.
In terms of operation, you can wait for the opportunity to rebound and come under pressure after the position is broken, and take advantage of the trend to place short orders. It is important to remember that 3200 is like a key line of defense. Once it falls, it will trigger a chain selling.
Gold fluctuates. When will a new trend start?China and the United States reached a 90-day ceasefire agreement, and the price of gold returned to 3,200 from 3,400 US dollars. All traders are staring at the support level of 3,200 US dollars, and are very worried about whether it can withstand pressure; it will fall to a larger level, resulting in no trading opportunities for gold positions.
I think your concerns are normal, and market fluctuations are also normal. There is no market that only rises and never falls; even in the bull market, there will be periodic adjustments.
Next, the focus is on the maturity of US Treasury bonds in June. The impact of trade conflicts will soon be forgotten by the market; US CPI inflation continued to decline in April, from 2.4% in the early stage to 2.3%, getting closer and closer to the Fed's ultimate goal of 2%, which means that the Fed will soon have to restart the interest rate cut plan.
Once the US Treasury bonds mature and default or trigger panic, or if Fed Chairman Powell reveals his intention to cut interest rates, gold will rise rapidly and may reach a high point within 1-2 days.
Okay, everyone; you need to understand the basic situation, but the most important thing is the operation strategy during the Asian trading session.
I think you can first test the long strategy around $3225, with a stop loss below 3215 and a profit in the rebound range of $3340-3360.
Man, excessive worrying will not help; if you can't accept short-term volatility trading, you can wait and see and stay calm.
CPI data market, buy gold!Fundamentals:
Focus on CPI;
Technical aspects:
As expected in my previous article, gold has rebounded to the area around 3250-3260 as expected.According to the current structure, gold tends to fluctuate upward in the short term; it may even extend to the 3280-3290 area.Gold rebounded after touching 3207, and combined with the secondary low point near 3215 to form a "W" structure. This technical structure has formed a strong support structure for gold prices; and after the bad news is exhausted, the on-site wait-and-see funds will gradually enter the market, which will also push up the gold price to a certain extent. So I think gold still has the conditions to challenge the 3280-3290 area!
Trading strategy:
Consider starting to go long on gold in batches in the 3250-3240 area, target price: 3270-3280
CPI data released. Impact on gold prices?Gold suffered a setback this week; but then it rose to $3,250 and began to fluctuate slightly.
CPI data was released this morning, but it did not have a big impact on gold. The current price is still in a sideways trend.
Two support positions need to be paid attention to today:
Downward $3,230 support line, if it falls below this position, the gold price will quickly reach below $3,200.
Upward $3,270 resistance line, if it breaks through the resistance position strongly, there is hope to try to break through $3,300.
Quaid believes that if the gold price fails to break through today and presents a new trend, it is likely to continue the sideways trend.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection to Target 3350Trend Overview
📉 Downtrend in Play
Price has reversed from the peak near $3,354
Currently trading below the 70 EMA (📍$3,299.86)
Forming lower highs – indicating bearish momentum.
Key Zones & Levels
🔶 Supply Zone (Resistance)
📍 $3,290.72 – $3,353.41
Strong selling pressure expected here
Possible short entry if price gets rejected
🟦 Support Zone (Previous Support)
📍 Around $3,254 – $3,210
Price has previously bounced here
🎯 Target Point (Take Profit)
📍 $3,050
Clear support level – used as a profit target
Trade Setup – Bearish Bias
🟩 Entry Point
📉 Sell near $3,290.72 (inside supply zone)
🛑 Stop Loss
❌ Above $3,354.69 (above resistance line)
✅ Take Profit
💰 Target $3,050
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio
Approx. 1:3 – Favorable for short trades.
Summary
🔍 Watch for a rejection in the supply zone
💼 Setup is ideal for short sellers
📊 Downtrend is supported by structure and EMA
Gold turning point. What signals are hidden?Overall analysis of gold trend:
Gold prices suffered a setback under the influence of the optimism of tomorrow's US-China negotiations. The core reason for the decline in gold prices is the breakthrough in global tariff negotiations.
The key factor driving the rise in gold prices early on: Tariff concerns are significantly easing, which directly leads to the gold market entering a phased consolidation.
I think the price of gold will fluctuate in the range of US$3,000-3,300 per ounce for some time to come. This forecast range is significantly narrower than before, reflecting that in the current complex and changing market environment, gold price fluctuations will tend to be rational.
I think the gold price at this time is already at the crossroads of an important trend.
The current gold market is facing a fierce game between long and short factors. On the one hand, the optimism brought about by the easing of trade tensions suppresses gold prices; on the other hand, the safe-haven demand generated by economic uncertainty, potential spot shortages, and the continued inflow of ETF funds provide support for gold prices. This complex market environment makes the trend of gold prices full of variables.
For traders, it is more necessary to remain rational in the current market environment, pay attention to short-term price fluctuations, and grasp the long-term value of gold as a safe-haven asset. The next round of big market in the gold market may be nurtured in these seemingly contradictory market signals.
Operation strategy:
Traders need to try to adopt scalping trading strategies in the current small fluctuation range, enter the market in time, and take profits in time.
The current fluctuation range is between $3200 and $3245. You can try to short near the high point and long at the low point, so that you can reap a small profit.
If you are a large-capital customer who can withstand market fluctuations, you can hold the position and wait and see for part of the time, and then choose the appropriate time to close the position.
Continue to short gold after the reboundFundamentals:
The positive signals from the China-US negotiations have eased the market's concerns about the US economic recession, and the weakening of risk aversion has stimulated a sharp pullback in gold. Market funds are no longer eager to seek safe-haven assets, so they withdraw their funds from gold and turn to risk markets.
Technical aspects:
The gold price plummeted by $110 during the day. Although it has rebounded slightly at present, the overall rebound momentum is relatively weak. The upper 3280-3290 area is currently the main short-term suppression level, followed by the 3240-3250 area. If the rebound in this area is not broken, you can continue to short gold, and the shorts may continue to reach new lows; focus on the support of the 3200 mark below. If 3200 is not broken, then the bulls may try to counterattack and fill the upper gap; if gold falls below 3200, gold will continue to fall to the area around 3170.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold after it rebounds to the 3245-3255 area, TP: 3220
2. Consider going long on gold after it continues to fall to the 3180-3170 area, TP: 3220;
3. If gold stabilizes above 3200, we can consider going long on gold around 3200 in advance.
Gold plunged. Will it rebound?Market Summary:
Gold prices suddenly saw a new round of selling in Asian markets on Monday, and the price of gold just fell to $3,210/ounce, reaching today's low, a drop of nearly $110.
Gold prices weakened at the beginning of the new week as the latest optimism about the US-China trade agreement continued to weaken demand for traditional safe-haven assets.
At the same time, positive signals from the US-China negotiations eased market concerns about a US recession. This, coupled with the Fed's hawkish comments, helped the dollar stabilize near multi-week highs and put pressure on gold. The gold price trend seems quite fragile. Gold prices fell and broke below the main bullish trend line in the short term, which sent a bearish signal, indicating that the trend may change.
I think the US-China trade agreement will have an impact on gold prices for a period of time.
Technical Analysis:
Gold's 4-hour level oscillation downward trend is relatively obvious, and the shape is a step downward. After the gold gapped down, there was a large gap. The gold rebound was unable to continue to fall. It is not easy to cover it in the short term. It will be covered in the process of the market. On the whole, for the short-term operation of gold today, Quide suggested that the rebound should be shorted as the main strategy, and the retracement should be long as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term trading should focus on the upward resistance of 3240-3250 US dollars, and the downward resistance should focus on the support position of 3200-3190 US dollars.
Today's operation strategy:
Operation strategy 1: Short the price when it rebounds to around 3245 US dollars, stop loss at 3260 US dollars, and take profit near 3210.
Operation strategy 2: Long the price when it falls back to 3210 US dollars, stop loss at 3200 US dollars, and take profit near 3240.
Will gold fall? Here comes the latest analysis.Technical analysis:
Gold fell rapidly in the morning and then bottomed out and rebounded. When the price broke through $3,324, it began to rise. The weak market will not rebound significantly. When the rebound that engulfed the decline appears, it will continue to rise. However, it should be noted that gold has been fluctuating at a high level for a week. It rose sharply on Monday and Tuesday, fell sharply on Wednesday and Thursday, and it is still fluctuating sharply today.
For the current trading market, I think the price of gold will continue to rise in the fluctuation. After the hourly cycle breaks through the $3,324 position, the market will gradually increase today, and there is room for further upward continuation. I think short-term trading is still mainly long; after the rebound high, you can choose a short strategy.
Action suggestions:
Long strategy: Go long at US$3330, stop loss at US$3320, and take profit at US$3360-3370.
Short strategy: short at $3,365, stop loss at $3,380, take profit at $3,300-3,310.
GOLD → sideways fluctuations. Will it break the resistance levelNews summary:
US President Trump announced a trade agreement with the UK, which raised hopes of reaching such an agreement with other countries, eased market tensions, suppressed gold's safe-haven buying, and the rise in the US dollar, US stocks and US bond yields also suppressed gold prices. US Treasury Secretary Bensont and Trade Representative Greer will talk with China's top economic officials in Switzerland in the near future.
Quaid reminds everyone that market concerns have not completely dissipated, and it is necessary to pay attention to the support of bargain hunting. The European Commission said earlier that if negotiations with Washington fail to cancel a series of tariffs imposed by US President Trump, the EU is considering taking countermeasures against US imports worth up to 95 billion euros. Close attention needs to be paid to news related to the international trade situation and changes in market sentiment during this trading day.
Support level analysis:
3310-3300 US dollars/ounce: 3300 US dollars is a psychological barrier and technical support for the confirmation of the previous price retracement. If it falls below 3300, it may fall to the 3280 US dollar area.
Resistance level analysis:
3360-3375 USD/ounce: Gold is currently above the convergence and oscillation range. 3360-3375 USD is the high pressure level of the previous day's box consolidation. If it breaks through this position strongly, the upward space will open up.
Technical analysis:
Gold is in a high-level oscillation and convergence range. The 4-hour MACD indicator shows that the short-selling momentum is weakening, but the hourly chart shows that the price is still constrained by the downward trend line. If gold prices stabilize at $3,300, it may trigger a rebound to $3,350-3,360; if it falls below $3,280, it may accelerate the downward trend. if it falls below 3280 USD, it may accelerate the downward trend.
Operation strategy:
Bull strategy: Long at 3315-3325 USD, stop loss at 3305 USD, target position at 3350-3360 USD.
Short strategy: short at $3365-3375, stop loss at $3380, target position at $3330-3300.
GOLD→Beware of market reversal? News is coming soon.At the end of the Asian session, the US dollar index was around 100.05. Gold rebounded after the plunge, and the current gold price is around $3,320/ounce.
Investors will see a large number of speeches by Fed officials, among which Williams' remarks are the most watched and are expected to trigger a big market trend.
Today's major news:
New York Fed President Williams will deliver a keynote speech at the 2025 Reykjavik Economic Conference. Later, Williams will speak at the Hoover Monetary Policy Conference.
I think if Williams makes hawkish remarks, it may push the dollar stronger, thereby suppressing gold prices.
Williams also serves as vice chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee and has permanent voting rights like the Fed governors.
In terms of monetary policy, Weems has the most say after Chairman Powell. Williams also served as chairman of the San Francisco Fed for nearly 7 years.
There are also several events taking place today: Fed Governor Kugler will speak on maximizing employment; North Richmond Fed President Barkin will participate in a fireside chat; Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will deliver a welcome and opening speech at a Fed event.
Gold price trend forecast:
I think its price may fall further to $3,200-3,100/ounce in the next few weeks.
I hope my analysis can help you, and I wish you good luck.
Gold is still in a short-term bearish trendGold's 1-hour moving average continues to turn downward. If it crosses below to form a downward death cross, then gold's room for decline may further open up. The short-term short position of gold has not ended yet. Gold has a trend of falling again. The short-term trend of gold is still short.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3325, stop loss 3340, target 3290
Gold price fell after a surge? Continue the downward trend?Analysis of gold market trend:
Gold price surged in the morning of Asian session, but then fell to around $3,315.
Market situation analysis shows that gold price continued the trend of yesterday in Asian time, rising rapidly in the morning, and then began to decline. It fell to $3,275 in the morning, and then rose to today's high of $3,330.
From the perspective of the gold hourly line, it began to rise after a brief decline in the morning of Asian session, effectively breaking through the resistance level of 3,315 and rising to a high of $3,330 for a short time. Then a downward trend appeared. This high-level fluctuation shows that the market is in a big wash and is brewing a new trend.
I think the downward space may be around $3,300.
Operation strategy:
Short around $3,320, stop loss at $3,330, and take profit at $3,300.
Gold prices pulled back. Will prices continue to fall?Latest news: Trump announced a trade deal with the UK, which boosted market risk appetite; coupled with a sharp rise in the US dollar and US bond yields, gold prices plummeted in the Asian morning trading session.
US President Trump and British Prime Minister Starmer announced a "breakthrough agreement" on trade, which made market traders predict that the United States would also reach such an agreement with other countries. This prediction has made market buyers lose motivation.
Quaid believes that if the United States and China reach an agreement, gold prices will face great resistance to rise, and gold prices should fall back to $3,200/ounce.
Market trading analysis:
The upward trend of gold paused and started a sharp decline.
As described by the RSI, buyers are losing momentum. This is not good for gold, and the price has now fallen below $3,300/ounce. Quaid believes that it will continue to fall and may fall to the cycle low of $3,202/ounce.
Short-term trading strategy:
Short at 3280, stop loss at 3290, and take profit at 3260.
Quaid believes that if the price of gold falls below the downward resistance level of 3275, you can continue to hold your position and choose the right time to trade.