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Gold is still in a weak phaseIn terms of news: international tensions have eased recently, the United States may reduce tariffs on Chinese goods, Russia-Ukraine peace talks have made progress, market demand for hedging has weakened, and funds have shifted from gold to risk assets. At the same time, the mining agreement between the United States and Ukraine boosted the U.S. dollar in a short period of time. The U.S. dollar index strengthened and broke through the 100 mark. The appreciation of the U.S. dollar caused the relative depreciation of gold and suppressed the price. Technical aspects: From the current market, gold is in a downward trend in the short term. In the short term, we should first pay attention to the suppression of 3260 US dollars on the top. Pay attention to the gains and losses of 3200 yesterday on the bottom. If it falls below 3200, it may further go to 3167. Trading ideas: Short gold near 3260, stop loss 3270, target 3240
TVC:GOLDShort
by MabelLew
Gold is expected to rebound to the 3270-3275 areaFundamentals: Focus on today's NFP market; Technical aspects: Gold stopped falling near 3200 and gradually rebounded, and has now rebounded to around 3240. As for this round of rebound, I have actually made it clear in my previous opinion that the bulls and bears are wrestling at the 3200 mark, and there will still be repeated in the short term, and after the downward trend slows down, some trapped bulls must have self-rescue behaviors, so it is not surprising that gold has rebounded. From the current structure, gold has not shown a clear bottoming signal, so the gold rebound is only temporary, and gold will continue to fall after the rebound. From the perspective of frequent switching of intervals, since gold has broken through the area near 3235 during the rebound, the rebound may continue, and is expected to continue to the area near 3270-3275. After breaking through this area, it is even expected to continue to around 3290. This is the position area where we must focus on entering the short position. Trading strategy: 1. Consider buying gold in the 3235-3230 area, TP: 3245-3255; pay attention to setting protection. 2. Consider selling gold in batches after gold rebounds to the 3270-3275 area, TP: 3240-3230
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Try going long gold in small batchesFundamentals: Focus on US economic data and Fed dynamics; Technical aspects: Gold continues to fall and is currently testing the 3200 mark. It is undeniable that gold is currently in a clear bearish trend, and the foreseeable area below is the 3185-3175 area, which is a strong support in the short term. However, the long and short sides are currently wrestling at the 3200 mark, and I think there will still be repetitions in the short term. So gold should rebound before falling to the 3185-3175 area. Trading strategy: Consider trying to go long on gold in small batches in the 3210-3200 area, TP: 3220-3230. Please note: In order to protect the security of the account, as gold rebounds, you can consider gradually moving up the SL to ensure profits.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Buy gold, there is a rebound in the short term!Fundamentals: Focus on US economic data and Fed dynamics; Technical aspects: Gold fell below 3290 as expected, and even fell below 3280 beyond expectations. Our short positions also made a lot of money. At present, gold continues to fall to around 3272. Although the short momentum is relatively obvious, it is already close to the recent low support of 3265-3260. I think that before the NFP market, gold may not form a unilateral downward trend, so there are still repeated ups and downs in the short-term trend. Therefore, when approaching the low support area of ​​3265-3260, we might as well consider short-term long gold. Trading strategy: Consider going long gold in the 3275-3265 area, hoping that gold can rebound to the 3285-3295 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Short gold, gold may continue to fall to 3245-3235Fundamentals: 1. Focus on the performance of US economic data and the dynamics of the Federal Reserve; 2. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts will escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc. Technical aspects: The rebound momentum of gold has gradually weakened, and gold has failed to effectively break through the 3320-3330 resistance zone many times recently, and has built multiple short-term top structures in this area, which has limited the height of gold rebound and further strengthened the bearish sentiment in the market, which is conducive to further decline of gold. In addition, gold has tested the area near 3260 many times, which has weakened the support strength of this area to a certain extent. Gold may fall below this area at any time and continue to the 3245-235 zone. Trading strategy: Consider shorting gold again with the 3315-3325 zone as resistance, and expect gold to fall below 3260 and continue to the 3245-3235 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Gold suddenly rose. Be wary of gold’s retracement?The ADP report released in the morning said that the pace of hiring slowed sharply in April as companies prepared to deal with the possible impact of US President Trump's tariffs on US trading partners. This month, the number of new jobs in the US private sector was only 62,000, the smallest increase since July 2024, significantly lower than the expectation of 115,000, and slower than the 147,000 increase after the downward revision in March. After the data was released, spot gold rose in the short term and once touched around $3,320. Gold fell to a low of 3,266 in the morning. With the release of ADP data, it was another short-term rise of $50-60. Many traders may not know where to start with the current gold market and think it is still in the process of rectification. Of course, it is definitely not wrong to look at it this way, after all, gold is still in the process of rectification. However, traders should be alert that some Asian countries have entered a trading suspension state starting today, and it will last for about 5 days. The price of gold may fall during this period. Quaid's analysis: Gold rose to around 3320 in the morning, but failed to break through the upward resistance level of 3325. And 3320 is the 618 position of the trend Fibonacci from 3352 to the low point of 3266. If 3320 is the current high point of wave B, then 3352 is point A. Then point C is likely to appear around 3230. Therefore, Quide believes that gold is likely to break down. Operation suggestions: Short at 3305-2210, stop loss at 3317, and take profit at 3250-3230. Thank you for reading. If traders can leave your different suggestions, Quide will be very grateful to you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
1
Short gold after the rebound!Fundamentals: 1. First, focus on Trump and the Fed’s dynamics; 2. Pay attention to whether geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc. Technical aspects: Although gold once rebounded from around 3267 under the circumstances of the ADP data being significantly positive, reversing the downward trend in the short term. However, the recent rebound high of gold only stopped at around 3330, and multiple top turning points were built in the 3320-3330 area, which greatly limited the height of gold’s rebound and further the bearish sentiment in the market. Therefore, I think the area around 3260 is not the low point of this round of decline. I think gold is very likely to continue to fall and continue to the 3240-3230 area, or even lower. Trading strategy: Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to the 3315-3325 area, and expect gold to fall below 3260 and completely open up the downward space!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
The gold market fluctuated sideways. Waiting for a new trend?OANDA:XAUUSD During the Asian trading session, gold prices maintained a slight decline; in the early European trading, gold began to fall sharply, but it was still within the trend range expected by Quaid. Today, the initial value of the US real GDP in the first quarter of 2025 will be released, and it is expected to grow by 0.3% at an annualized quarterly rate, after a strong growth of 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024. If the world's largest economy unexpectedly shrinks, it will re-ignite bets on a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. And this data will boost the upward trend of gold. On the other hand, if the cooling of US economic growth is less than expected, it may bring a short-term relief to the overall market and the US dollar, which will continue to put gold under corrective downward pressure. However, traders will remain cautious before the release of US ADP employment data this week; this data will limit the reaction of gold prices to GDP data. US non-farm payrolls will help the market assess whether US tariffs have had a substantial impact on the labor market. Current trend analysis: The daily line closed negative, and it is still bearish today. At the same time, yesterday's decline encountered 3300 support. In this pattern, regardless of today's strength, short once and see how the European session trends. If the European session falls, short the US session; if the European session rises strongly, the US session may remain volatile. If the European session breaks the downward channel, the US session may continue to fall. Hi guys, if you want a solid trade, please wait for the US GDP data this morning. Quaid conducts gold trading after professional analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
No fear of retracement, continue to be long on goldFundamentals: 1. First, focus on Trump and the Fed’s dynamics; 2. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc. Technical aspects: Gold fell after touching 3330, but it is obvious that the retracement space of gold is being compressed. The lowest price of gold only fell back to 3313, and it did not even make any attempt below 3310. With the continuous consolidation and strengthening of the support in the 3310-3300 area, the double bottom structure and the arc bottom form a technical resonance in the short term. Gold should still have room to continue to rise. I expect that gold is likely to continue to rebound and extend to the 3350-3360 area. Trading strategy: It is possible to consider going long on gold again after gold falls back to the 3315-3305 area, and expect gold to rise above 3350 as expected!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Let’s continue to be long on gold and keep winning!Fundamentals: 1. Focus on the performance of US economic data and the dynamics of the Federal Reserve; Technical aspects: At present, gold has failed to fall below the key area of ​​3300 many times during the retracement process, further strengthening the short-term structural support and strengthening the market's recognition of the effectiveness of its structural support. Moreover, gold may still maintain a volatile market before the NFP market. Due to the cautious attitude of the market, it is difficult for a unilateral trend to appear before the NFP market. Short term trading strategies: As in the two recently updated trading views, the trading strategy of long gold in the 3310-3300 area is still effective! Looking forward to gold rebounding to 3325 or even higher!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Don’t be afraid of pullbacks, we can still go long on goldFundamentals: 1. First, pay attention to the dynamics of Trump and the Federal Reserve; 2. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran. Technical aspects: Compared with yesterday, although the bullish momentum is weak, it has not fallen below the support of the 3005-2995 area, and even failed to fall below 3000. In addition, as gold fluctuates and falls, there is a large amount of buying funds entering the market in the short term. In the recent short-term structure, gold has built a very obvious turning point near the 3300 area. Therefore, gold may still rebound to above 3330 before NFP. Short-term trading strategy: You can still consider continuing to go long on gold in the 3310-3300 area, TP: 3325-3335
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Gold moves sideways ahead of US GDP news. What's next?OANDA:XAUUSD Optimism about US trade talks with major partners boosted risk appetite and supported the dollar. The US Treasury released a report that talks with India made good progress, while President Trump softened his rhetoric on China, which also boosted the dollar. Meanwhile, traders are on the sidelines ahead of the release of US first quarter GDP data. If the data is weak, gold as a safe haven asset may rise sharply. Therefore, the gold market remains sensitive to trade news and macro data, especially in the context of market rebalancing at the end of April. Currently, as part of the current momentum and correction, Quaid expects gold prices to rise from the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci area. Gold prices may test 3325-3330 in the consolidation range and then resume the correction. Resistance: 3325, 3350, 3370 Support: 3290, 3270 Traders please wait for the resolution of the tariff dispute and the economic data to be released tomorrow. However, during price consolidation, Quaid expects the price to bounce off the support levels. If the price continues to squeeze towards any boundary, giving priority to the support level, the possibility of breaking out of the consolidation bottom may increase.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold plunged $36 during Asian trading hours. What's the reason?Spot gold suddenly fell sharply during the Asian session, and the current price of gold is around $3,310/ounce, a plunge of $36 during the day. In the optimistic market sentiment, the recovery of US dollar demand seems to put downward pressure on gold prices. Quaid believes that optimism about the possible progress in trade negotiations between the United States and its major trading partners supports risk appetite, boosts the performance of the US dollar against major currency competitors, and gold sellers are trying to regain control. The Wall Street Journal said that weakening the impact of auto tariffs is the latest concession of Trump's trade policy after market turmoil and fierce lobbying by companies and other countries. Looking ahead to this trading day, trade headlines and the re-adjustment of positions at the end of the month will play a key role in driving gold prices. Trading analysis: From a technical point of view, gold prices are currently trying to break down again after failing to confirm a break below the three-week rising channel on Monday. However, as the 14-day relative strength index is still above the midline, any decline in gold prices may be quickly bought. During Asian trading hours, gold must close at the rising trend line support of $3,300/oz to confirm a break below the rising channel. Long-term important support for gold prices is in the $3,260/oz area. If gold prices continue to fall below the above level, a new downward trend towards the $2,975 area will begin. If buyers defend the above channel support of $3,300/oz, a rebound to the static resistance of $3,370/oz will be inevitable. If gold prices continue to recover, the target will be $3,400/oz, followed by the historical high of $3,500/oz. The market is currently in a state of sideways fluctuations. I hope Quaid's analysis can help all traders understand the trend of gold in depth.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
Gold's counterattack? Today's market analysisGold has repeatedly tested the 3260-3270 area to gain support. Gold has formed multiple bottom structures in the short term, so the short-term adjustment of gold may end. Gold has formed multiple bottom structures in the 1-hour, and the 1-hour moving average has also begun to gradually turn. If it can turn upward and form a golden cross, then the 1-hour bulls of gold will exert their strength again. Stimulated by risk aversion, gold in the U.S. market once again broke through and rose, and finally broke through Monday's high. Then the first-line suppression of gold near 3335 did not form effective resistance. When gold fell back in the Asian market, we first followed the trend and went long. Gold quickly bottomed out at 3320 first-line support in early trading and then rebounded quickly. Then gold should only be operated in the short term or go long on dips. Operation ideas: Short-term long: 3310-3315 long, stop loss 3300, target 3350-3370; Short-term short: 3350-3360 short, stop loss 3365, target, 3315-3310; Friends, don’t be afraid of missing the market, wait patiently for your own opportunity, the market will never neglect those who are prepared.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
Be bold and short goldFundamentals: 1. Still need to pay attention to Trump's attitude towards tariffs; 2. Pay attention to whether the situation between India and Pakistan escalates; 3. At the same time, pay attention to the dynamics of the Federal Reserve, US-Iran negotiations, etc. Trading situation: Our last short position near 3297 happened to hit TP: 3287 during the decline of gold, and easily made a profit of 100pips in short-term trading; After gold fell below 3287, it rose sharply in the short term to around 3335. Although gold rose sharply in the short term, it still did not break away from the wide range of fluctuations. There are still many resistances above. First, it faces the short-term resistance area of ​​3340-3345, and secondly, it faces the resistance area of ​​3355-3365. Therefore, it is difficult for bulls to perform well before conquering this resistance area. There is still a possibility of testing the 3305-3295 zone again; Trading strategy: Short-term trading can still short gold in batches again in the 3325-3335 zone; TP: 3310-3300
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Gold is trying to break through the upward channelGold started the new week on a bad note, hitting a low of 3260 in the morning, followed by a small shock adjustment; then it began to rise sharply. As of press time, it has risen to around 3350 and tried to break through the upward resistance. Although some of gold's safe-haven appeal has weakened, its overall forecast and price trend remain optimistic. Until we see clear lower highs, lower lows, and a solid trade agreement rather than more political bragging from the Trump administration, the possibility of gold setting new highs cannot be underestimated. Surface calm hides potential risks Although last week's market movements and today's early trading performance show that the market is calming down, any sense of security is fragile. Under the surface, key risks remain: trade tensions, recession concerns, and uncertainty about monetary policy are real. Ongoing trade negotiations remain a key factor. If the United States sticks to its position on tariffs or the negotiations break down, risk aversion may quickly pick up, boosting demand for gold again. Quaid's analysis: Based on last week's market situation, Quaid conducted an analysis of gold's trend this week over the weekend. As I predicted, gold is trying to break through and try a new high. Gold has risen to around 3350, and 3365 is a key resistance level in the upward trend. If the gold price breaks through this position and can maintain horizontal development, it will continue to rise in a stable situation. From the upside, the initial resistance level is $3365, followed by $3430. If the bullish momentum is restored, it may soon hit the historical high of $3500 again. On the contrary, if the price fails to break through the 3365 resistance level, Quaid believes that it is necessary to pay attention to the key support at the 3285 position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold is expected to continue to retrace the 3235-3225 region.Fundamentals: 1. The tariff issue has been relatively eased, and Trump's repeated attitude towards tariffs has made the market bullish energy not firm; 2. A small-scale conflict broke out between India and Pakistan, which has not had a great impact on gold for the time being. It is necessary to pay attention to whether the situation will escalate; 3. At the same time, it is necessary to pay attention to the dynamics of the Federal Reserve, the Russia-Ukraine negotiations, the US-Iran negotiations, etc. Technical aspects: At present, gold is in a state of shock correction as a whole, but from the current structure, the rebound momentum of gold is insufficient, and the rebound high is gradually decreasing. The short-term support below is in the 3265-3260 zone; the short-term resistance above is at 3310-3320; if gold cannot stand above 3300 in the short term, gold may fall further and break through the 3265-3260 zone, and continue to the 3235-3225 zone. Trading strategy: Short-term trading is still mainly shorting gold after the rebound. You can use the 3300-3320 area as resistance and short gold in batches Trading target: Profit target this week: ≥$30K; OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Gold market, further decline is likelyOANDA:XAUUSD Continue to test the support level of 3270 points, looking for a breakthrough. Any easing of the Sino-US conflict may trigger a price drop. But things are not so simple. The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement: China and the United States have not discussed or negotiated on the issue of tariffs. Gold prices are under pressure before the tariff war and the release of US data. International situation: Russia issued a statement on a truce; and Ukraine issued a statement: If Russia really wants to achieve peace, it must immediately cease fire. If the two sides formally sign a truce agreement, the safe-haven demand for gold may also be greatly reduced. In the morning, gold prices tested last week's low of $3260, and the strengthening of the US dollar and the possible easing of Sino-US trade risks put gold prices under pressure. Traders are waiting for the release of key US GDP and labor market data, which may affect the Fed's interest rate expectations. In this context, if macro statistics are weak and geopolitical risks remain, the correction in gold prices may be replaced by growth. Another test of the support level may trigger a breakthrough. It is necessary to pay attention to the situation between China and the United States. Any easing of the situation will trigger a decline in gold. Upward resistance: 3300, 3325 Downward support: 3265, 3245, 3230 The possibility of further decline in gold prices has been exhausted since the opening. Gold prices may strengthen to the above resistance levels. A false breakout of 3300/3325 may trigger a decline, which may bring gold prices closer to the support level of 3270.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
4/28 Gold Trading SignalsLast Friday, gold retested the 3260 support zone for the second time. After confirming support, prices began to climb steadily, and our low-entry long positions have already delivered impressive returns. From a technical perspective, the broader structure still resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern, but recently, a double-bottom pattern has formed around the right shoulder, signaling an intense battle between bulls and bears—mainly influenced by geopolitical tensions. Here, I would like to propose a bold yet speculative thought: Could the current turmoil possibly lead to a regime change for Trump, or trigger massive nationwide protests? If such scenarios unfold, it would likely be extremely bullish for gold, potentially pushing prices toward 4000. On the other hand, if Trump softens his trade policies under pressure, it would be bearish for gold, making a decline toward 2800 highly probable. Of course, this is purely my personal speculation, and I don't claim deep expertise in international politics. Focusing back on the technicals: The 3260 support is critical. A breakdown could see prices moving toward the 3245–3213 range, or even lower toward around 3190. Any rebound from there should be carefully watched near the 3260 resistance; failure to break above would suggest a potential further drop toward 3153–3137. If the double-bottom pattern holds firmly, a return to above 3400 this week is highly likely. 🔥 Today's Trading Plan: Sell zone: 3407–3418 Buy zone: 3273–3241 Scalping zones: 3288–3323 / 3386–3344 Manage your positions wisely and stay flexible!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang