Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD Update – Down Continuation to 3250?1. What Happened Yesterday
After an anemic correction that formed a bearish flag, Gold finally broke below 3300 and even dipped under the 3280 support zone — which was my primary downside target. While the move during the day didn’t have enough momentum to reach my second sell limit, I was already in a low-volume short position, so I didn’t miss the move entirely.
2. The Key Question
Has the drop ended, or are we looking at further downside?
3. Why I Expect More Downside
• The overall structure remains bearish.
• The newly formed resistance (previous support) is now the new sell zone.
• If the price drops towards 3280 again, continuation to 3250 becomes very probable.
4. Trading Plan
Selling rallies remains the preferred strategy, especially on spikes into resistance. As long as the price stays below 3335-3340 zone, the bearish outlook remains intact.
5. Conclusion
Sell the rallies. The technical picture still favors downside continuation — no need to overcomplicate it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
The idea of shorting on rallies below 3315 remains unchanged.Gold remains generally weak, with multiple rebounds showing signs of fatigue. The upward moving average continues to suppress prices, indicating that the bearish trend remains intact, and the short-term market outlook remains bearish. Trading strategies remain bearish today, with a key focus on the 3300-3315 area, a key short-term resistance zone. If the market rebounds before the US market opens and approaches this area, or if a clear topping signal appears near this range, consider entering a short position. Today will see the release of the non-farm payroll data, which may influence the market's trajectory. We recommend prioritizing short-term trading before the release, and reconsidering the market's direction based on market feedback after the release. Structurally, gold continues to exhibit a volatile downward trend, with lower highs and lower lows. Today's low is expected to be lower than yesterday's. Short-term short positions are focused on 3285-3280, with a break below this level potentially allowing for further declines. Please carefully time your entry, strictly implement risk management, and avoid emotional trading.
Bearish pennant pattern active. Active SELL✏️Gold price is forming a triangle accumulation pattern. That shows the hesitation of investors at the moment, they may be waiting for important economic indicators of the US this week. Just an impact that makes Price break out of the triangle border can create a strong FOMO trend. The price line is quite similar to the bearish pennant pattern and heading towards really strong support areas.
📉 Key Levels
SELL Trigger: Break bottom line 3324
Target 3285, lower is the 3250 area
BUY Trigger: Break and trading above 3333
BUY Trigger: Rejection and confirmation of candle at 3285
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold Surges on Non-Farm Data; 3330 Key Next WeekGold was strongly boosted by the significantly bullish non-farm payroll data, surging sharply like a rocket 🚀, with gains that completely "wiped out" all the weekly losses. The current gold trend, as if injected with super momentum, has completely broken the previous long-short stalemate. Starting from the 3300 level, it has been breaking through obstacles all the way up to 3350. At present, 3330 is like a critical "battleground" ⚔️ fiercely contested by both long and short sides.
This week, when gold was still "lingering" below 3300, I emphasized repeatedly that a rebound was inevitable – we just needed to stay calm and wait for the opportunity. As it turns out, our judgment was spot on, and we successfully took profits around 3340, reaping good gains 💴. Now, gold prices are oscillating back and forth in the 3340-3350 range. Based on a comprehensive analysis of the current trend, I boldly predict that gold is likely to pull back to around 3330 next week, so everyone can prepare in advance 🤗
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 3350
🚀 TP 3330 - 3320 - 3310
🚀 Buy@ 3300 -3310
🚀 TP 3320 - 3330 - 3340
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP【XAU/USD】GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP
Gold continues to trade within a large symmetrical triangle, tightening toward the end of its range. However, current candle structure shows clear bullish momentum, indicating the potential for a strong upside breakout.
🔍 Today’s Key Focus: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Market expectations are pointing to weaker-than-expected US economic data, which could trigger strong FOMO-buying for gold if confirmed. A poor NFP report would likely weaken the USD, supporting bullish continuation.
🔑 Strategy and Key Technical Levels:
Watch for a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline to trigger Wave 3 of the bullish structure.
CP ZONE + OBS BUY ZONE triggered yesterday already yielded 160+ pips profit.
Strategy: Prefer buy-the-dip entries. SELL setups only valid on strong resistance rejection. Avoid counter-trend trades near breakout zones.
🟩 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3274
Stop Loss: 3270
Take Profits:
3280, 3284, 3290, 3294, 3300, 3305, 3310, 3320, 3330, 3340, 3350
🟥 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3339 – 3341
Stop Loss: 3345
Take Profits:
3335, 3330, 3325, 3320, 3315, 3310, 3305
The rebound is weak, short orders intervene#XAUUSD
After two consecutive trading days of volatility, gold finally began to fall under pressure near 3335. After breaking through the 3300 mark, the price of gold accelerated its decline, reaching a low of around 3268, and yesterday's daily line closed with a large negative line. 📊
Today's rebound is more likely to be based on the buffering performance of the impact of news. The ATR data also shows that the bullish momentum is slowly weakening in the short term. 🐻After digesting the impact of yesterday's news through rebound during the day, it may fall again in the future.📉
📎The primary focus today is 3305 above, which was also the high point of yesterday's pullback correction. If the gold price rebounds to 3305-3320 and encounters resistance and pressure,📉 you can consider shorting and look towards 3290-3270.🎯
If the short-term gold rebound momentum is strong and breaks through the 3305-3320 resistance area, it will be necessary to stop loss in time. Gold may be expected to touch yesterday's high resistance of 3330-3335, which is the second point to consider shorting during the day.💡
🚀 SELL 3305-3320
🚀 TP 3290-3270
**"Gold Price Rebounding from Support:Potential Move Toward 3436This chart shows the **price movement of Gold (XAU/USD)** on a **daily timeframe**.
### Key Points:
* **Support Zone** : Around **\$3,266**, this is the area where price has bounced up multiple times, meaning buyers step in here.
* **Resistance Line**: Around **\$3,436**, this is the level where price has been rejected before, meaning sellers are strong here.
* **Current Price**: Around **\$3,293**.
### What the Chart Suggests:
* Price is near the **support** zone again.
* If the support holds, the green arrow shows a possible move **upward**.
* Price may first move up slightly, pull back, and then try to **break above resistance** at \$3,436.
Gold is in a sideways range. It's near a strong support level and might go up from here toward the resistance level, as shown by the green line.
XAUUSD 4H – Massive Sell Setup: Gold Crash Incoming? Gold (XAUUSD) just tapped into a key liquidity zone near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $3,364, followed by a sharp rejection. This aligns with the upper channel resistance and a bearish confluence from previous supply zones.
Price has failed to break above the dynamic EMA cluster and is showing signs of exhaustion after a relief rally. If momentum follows through, this could mark the beginning of a deeper selloff targeting major downside levels.
Short Setup
Entry: Around $3,349–$3,364 (rejection zone)
SL: Above $3,379
🚨Strong bearish engulfing candle confirms seller pressure
🎯 Take Profit Targets (Fibonacci):
TP1: $3,305 (38.2%)
TP2: $3,275 (61.8%)
TP3: $3,241 (Full move – 100% Fibonacci extension)
This setup offers high risk-reward if the rejection holds and price breaks below the mid-zone structure at $3,330. A drop below $3,305 could accelerate the move as liquidity gets swept.
Bounce From Final Liquidity or Start of a Bullish Move? Bounce From Final Liquidity or Start of a Bullish Move?
After the FOMC event, gold completed a sweep of the final liquidity zone at 3269–3271 and rebounded strongly, in line with the broader bullish trend. The price has now recovered sharply and is gradually returning to the liquidity zones left behind after yesterday’s sharp drop.
📍 At the moment, gold is reacting around 3295, which aligns with a CP (Compression Point) Zone on the M30 chart. We're seeing a slight pullback here, and another retracement could occur before a strong upward continuation — potentially breaking out of the descending trendline that’s formed over recent days.
📊 Trading Plan & Key Levels
✅ BUY ZONE – Trend Continuation Setup
Entry: 3286–3284
Stop Loss: 3278
Take Profits:
3290 → 3294 → 3298 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3330 → …
💡 This is a prime area to look for re-entries into the dominant bullish move. Price action left a clean liquidity zone below after the aggressive upside reaction — ideal for riding the next wave.
❌ SELL ZONE – Only Valid Below VPOC
Entry: 3328–3330 (Volume Point of Control)
Stop Loss: 3335
Take Profits:
3324 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300
🔻 This is a high-probability short only if price stays below 3330. If gold closes above this VPOC region, the structure shifts to bullish and we should look for sells higher up — around 335x–337x zones.
📅 Monthly Candle Close – Watch for Indecision
As it’s the last trading day of the month, note that the past two monthly candles have printed doji-like wicks, signalling indecision and liquidity grabs. The market is still waiting for a clearer signal from the Fed on the first potential rate cut of the year.
🚫 Avoid emotional trading. This is a highly reactive environment, so careful risk management is key.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold continues to respect market structure and liquidity theory. The first major test lies at the 3313 resistance level — if broken, it opens the door to stronger bullish momentum toward the broader VPOC zone.
⏳ Be patient and only act when price confirms your bias.
How to maintain stable operations before NFP dataYesterday, gold closed the month with a long upper shadow doji candlestick, indicating strong upward pressure, with monthly resistance at 3439-3451. Today marks the beginning of the month, and with the release of numerous data indicators such as NFP, unemployment benefits, and PMI, there is considerable uncertainty, so intraday trading should proceed with caution.
Judging from the daily chart, the current MACD indicator is dead cross with large volume, and the smart indicator is running oversold, indicating a low-level fluctuation trend during the day. At present, we need to pay attention to the SMA60 moving average and the daily middle track corresponding to 3327-3337 on the upper side, and pay attention to the intraday low around 3280 on the lower side. The lows of the previous two days at 3275-3268 cannot be ignored. There is a possibility that the low-level oscillation will touch the previous low again.
From the 4H chart, technical indicators are currently flat, with no significant short-term fluctuations expected. Low-level volatility is expected to persist within the day. Then just focus on the support near 3275 below and the middle track pressure near 3307 above. Looking at the hourly chart, gold is currently oscillating below the mid-range band, with resistance at 3295-3307 to watch in the short term.
Overall, the market is expected to remain volatile before the release of today's data. Based on Wednesday's ADP data, this round of data is also expected to be around $100,000. The contrast between ADP and NFP last time deserves our caution. The current market is basically optimistic about the short-selling situation, which is exactly what I am most worried about. If the gold price can stabilize above 3,300 before the NY data, the possibility of NFP data being bullish cannot be ruled out.
Intraday European trading suggestion: if the current gold price falls back to 3285-3280 and stabilizes, you can consider short-term long positions, with the target at 3295-3305. If the gold price tests the low of 3275-3268 again and does not break through, you can consider a second chance to go long. After making a profit of $10-20, you can consider exiting the market with profits. The market is volatile and unstable, so be sure to bring SL with you and pay close attention to the impact of the NFP data. Conservative investors can enter the market after the data is released.
How to correctly grasp the gold trading opportunities?Yesterday, gold prices saw a technical rally amidst volatile trading, followed by a downward trend under pressure. Bulls strongly supported a rebound at 3280 in the Asian session. The European session saw an accelerated upward move, breaking through 3314 before retreating under pressure. We also precisely positioned short positions below 3315, achieving a perfect target of 3290-3295. During the US session, the market again faced pressure at 3311, weakening in a volatile trend before breaking through 3300. The daily chart ultimately closed with a medium-sized bullish candlestick pattern, followed by a pullback and then a decline.
Overall, after yesterday's rebound, gold prices remain under pressure at the key resistance level of 3314. The short-term bearish weakness line has moved down to this level. If pressure continues in this area in the short term, gold will maintain a weak and volatile structure, with intraday trading remaining focused on rebounds and upward moves. If you are currently experiencing confusion or unsatisfactory trading strategies, please feel free to discuss your options and help avoid investment pitfalls.
From a 4-hour analysis perspective, focus on resistance at 3305-3315 on the upside. A rebound to this level is a good opportunity to short against resistance. Focus on support at 3280-3270 on the downside. Unless the price stabilizes strongly, consider not entering long positions below this level. The overall strategy remains to short on rebounds, with the same rhythm. I will provide timely notifications of specific levels from the bottom, so keep an eye on them.
Gold Trading Strategy: Short on rebounds near 3305-3315, with targets at 3290-3280-3270.
XAUUSD Long Setup – 1HGold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bullish rejection from the lower volatility band after a sharp selloff. The appearance of a Heikin Ashi reversal candle, suggests a short-term reversal is forming. Price has reclaimed key structure and is now targeting a reversion back to the mean, supported by Fibonacci retracement levels.
Entry: 3293.55
Target Zone: 3308.91 → 3333.76 (Fib 38.2% – 100%)
Stop Loss: 3253.35
Confluences:
✅ Bullish engulfing + Heikin Ashi trend shift
✅ Oversold bounce from lower channel extremity
✅ Fib retracement aligns with key structural resistance zones
✅ Custom signal confirmation (green dot)
✅ Clean R:R toward upper band and previous POI
Short-term counter-trend long targeting liquidity grab and mean reversion toward the 3308–3333 zone. Risk tightly managed with SL below local swing low.
How to seize the key turning points in the gold market?The market is ever-changing, and following the trend is the best strategy. When the trend emerges, jump in; don't buy against it, or you'll suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading. The market is a haven for all kinds of resistance, so don't hold onto positions. I'm sure many people have experienced this: the more you hold onto positions, the more panic you become, leading to ever-increasing losses, poor sleep, and missed opportunities. If you share these concerns, why not try following Tian Haoyang's lead and see if it can open your eyes? I'm always here for you if you need help, but how can I help you if you don't even offer a hand?
Gold did not fall below 3280 during the day on Friday and started to fluctuate in the range of 3280-3300. The non-farm payroll data was bullish, and it directly broke through the pressure of 3315, and then broke through the important pressure of 3335 again. As of now, it has reached a high near 3355. The non-farm payroll data market has almost been exhausted. Next, we will focus on the technical form adjustment. At present, you can consider light shorting in the area near 3355-3370. After all, chasing long is risky, and the technical side needs to be adjusted. If your current operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me.
Based on the 4-hour chart, short-term resistance is near 3355-3365, with a focus on the key resistance level of 3370-3375. Short-term buy orders should be taken if a rebound continues. I'll provide detailed trading strategies at the bottom of the page, so stay tuned.
Gold operation strategy: Short gold in batches when gold rebounds to 3355-3370, with the target being the area around 3340-3335. Continue to hold if it breaks through.
Gold is significantly bullish, where can we short?The positive non-farm payroll report pushed the market from 3300 directly above 3330, demonstrating overall bullish momentum. Congratulations again, everyone. Real-time strategies are like a beacon guiding your investment journey. The market will never disappoint those who persevere and explore wisely. Charlie advises against blindly chasing highs. Trading advice (first hit is valid): Focus on key support levels: 3300 and 3310. Go long if these levels are reached.
~For those who want to go short above 3350-55, only use a stop-loss and feel free to try~ PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 1, 2025📊
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🔍 Momentum Analysis:
• D1 Timeframe:
Momentum has reversed to the upside. Based on this signal, we expect a bullish trend to continue for the next 5 daily candles — likely until mid-next week.
• H4 Timeframe:
Momentum has also turned upward → This suggests that from now until the U.S. session, the price will likely continue to rise or consolidate with an upward bias.
• H1 Timeframe:
Momentum is currently turning down → We anticipate a short-term corrective move. We should wait for H1 to enter the oversold zone and give a bullish reversal signal before looking for long entries.
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🌀 Wave Structure Analysis:
The current wave structure remains complex and lacks clear confirmation. Thus, the current wave labeling should be considered provisional. However, the wave count has not been invalidated, and D1 momentum supports a bullish outlook — so we continue to maintain our wave structure bias.
Important Note:
Wave (C) in red appears relatively short. This leaves open the possibility that the price may continue lower, targeting:
• ⚠️ 3246
• ⚠️ 3200
→ This scenario will be triggered if price breaks below 3268, especially given today's Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report.
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📌 Two Possible Wave Scenarios:
1. Scenario 1: Black Waves 1 – 2 – 3
o Wave 1 (black) is complete.
o We are now in Wave 2 (black) → Preparing for Wave 3.
o Wave 3 tends to be strong, impulsive, and sharp with large candle bodies.
o Target: 3351
2. Scenario 2: Black ABC Correction
o The market is currently in Wave B (black).
o Potential target for Wave C: 3328
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🛡 Support Zones & Trade Strategy:
• Support Zone 1: 3290 → A good area for potential buying, but we must wait for H1 to enter the oversold region and show a bullish reversal.
• Support Zone 2: 3275 → Deeper buy zone if the price corrects further.
________________________________________
💡 Trade Plan:
📍 Option 1 – Buy Limit:
• Buy Zone: 3290 – 3289
• Stop Loss: 3280
• Take Profit 1: 3309
• Take Profit 2: 3328
• Take Profit 3: 3351
📍 Option 2 – Buy Limit:
• Buy Zone: 3275 – 3273
• Stop Loss: 3265
• Take Profit 1: 3309
• Take Profit 2: 3328
• Take Profit 3: 3351
________________________________________
📎 Notes:
• Experienced traders should wait for clear confirmation signals on H1 before entering trades.
• New traders may consider using limit orders in the proposed buy zones.
NFP data is positive, the bullish trend remains unchanged#XAUUSD
The current market, influenced by data such as NFP, remains bullish, even briefly pushing towards the 4H upper limit of 3350, reaching a high near 3354.📈
In the short term, gold still has upward momentum and could even reach the previous high resistance level near 3375.🐂
Currently, gold is undergoing a technical correction and needs to begin a pullback to accumulate more bullish momentum, giving traders who previously missed the opportunity to get on board.🚀
As resistance continues to rise, support below will also rise. 📊If gold retreats below 3335-3315, consider going long.📈
🚀 SELL 3335-3315
🚀 TP 3350-3375
XAU/USD 01 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Follow master candle for today's SELL strategy✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD has continued a strong downtrend. Yesterday's D1 candle closed with a 60-price decrease, forming a master candle that determines the market trend. With the market having a master candle, pay attention to the 25% or 50% candle zones to trade in the direction of the trend. Today's main trading strategy will be to SELL according to the master candle. The BUY strategy will only be implemented when the 3313 zone is broken.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3285-3270-3250
Resistance: 3301-3312-3333
SELL Trigger. Rejection 3301, 3312
Target 3250
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
XAUUSD H2 | Downside Target 3270Gold (XAUUSD) recently rejected from a key resistance zone around 3300, showing strong bearish momentum on the 2H timeframe.
💡 Setup Idea:
• Price broke support → Retest as new resistance ✅
• Clean imbalance left behind → Fills expected 📉
• Target: 3270 zone (300 pips move) 🎯
• Risk-Reward potential is solid for intraday/swing entries.
Trade Plan:
If price holds below 3300, we expect continuation toward the 3270 zone. This area also aligns with previous structure and liquidity grab.
🕐 Timeframe: 2H
📌 Resistance: 3300
🎯 Target: 3270
📍 RR: 1:2+
#XAUUSD #GoldSetup #PriceAction #SmartMoney #FXTrading #TradingView #ForYou
XAUUSD 4H AnalysisGold is currently in a clear downtrend after failing to hold above the mid-channel. Price is retracing into a potential short zone with confluence from the moving average bands.
Fibonacci Retracement: Price is reacting near the 38.2% level (3,318).
Downside Fibonacci Targets:
1️⃣ 3,249.36 (38.2%)
2️⃣ 3,228.11 (61.8%)
3️⃣ 3,193.73 (100%)
As long as the price stays below the red resistance zone, the bearish momentum is likely to continue toward the lower Fibonacci targets. A break above 3,339 would invalidate the short setup.