Gold Drops to 3250 – Sell-the-Spike Strategy Still in Play🕰️ What Happened Yesterday
In yesterday’s analysis, I argued that the 3320–3330 zone should act as a strong sell zone, with a target down at the 3250 support.
Gold respected the plan perfectly: it dropped from the 3325 area straight into 3250 during the Asia session, hitting the target with precision(700+ pips)
At the time of writing, Gold is now bouncing, which is normal, trading around 3280.
❓ Correction Done or More to Come?
While the bounce to 3280 may look promising for bulls, my opinion remains unchanged: this is still a market to sell rallies, not to buy dips.
🔎 Why I Still Expect a Deeper Drop
- Old support becomes resistance – The 3280–3285 zone, once support, is now acting as resistance. That zone is currently being tested.
- Double resistance near 3300 – Just above, we have the psychological 3300 level, reinforced by the falling trendline coming from recent highs.
- Momentum still favors the downside – Unless bulls can reclaim and hold above 3300, this rebound is nothing more than a dead-cat bounce.
📉 Trading Plan
I remain in sell-the-spike mode. Any move into 3285 or 3300 is an opportunity to enter short, with stops above the trend line or yesterday's high.
If price breaks back below 3265, the probability increases for a new local low under 3250, probably to the next one around 3215.
✅ Final Thoughts
Yesterday’s setup worked perfectly — and the plan doesn’t change just because of a small bounce.
The market needs to prove it can break key resistance before shifting bias.
Until then, this remains a sell-on-strength market. Let the trades come to you. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation 's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Xauusdupdates
XAU/USD Breakout Opportunity Above Descending TrendlineGold (XAU/USD) is showing a potential bullish breakout on the 15-minute chart. Price action has broken above a descending trendline, signaling a possible reversal from the recent downtrend. A strong bullish candle has closed above the trendline and horizontal resistance near the $3,302–$3,303 area, which may now act as a support.
The setup shows a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with a long position targeting around $3,354, and a stop-loss placed just below the recent breakout zone at $3,288. This indicates a bullish bias as long as price holds above the broken trendline and horizontal support.
Volume appears to be increasing, supporting the strength of the breakout.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Top and bottom conversion, short position continues?📰 Impact of news:
1. The International Trade Court ruled that Trump exceeded his authority, and the previous tariffs may be suspended
2. Ukraine submitted a ceasefire document to Russia
3. Pay attention to the initial jobless claims data during the US trading session
📈 Market analysis:
The U.S. Court of International Trade in Manhattan blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” trade measures, ruling that Trump had overstepped his authority by imposing sweeping tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than they import without authorization from Congress. This means that most of Trump's tariffs will be suspended. But at the same time, the recent geopolitical impact cannot be ignored. In addition, the initial jobless claims data will be released during the U.S. trading session today. Independent traders must set stop losses.
From a technical point of view, the 1H level chart of gold shows that the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the gold price is near the lower track, showing a weak pattern in the short term. Considering that 3285 is the previous low point, there is also a possibility of suppression at 3285. Therefore, we should pay close attention to the resistance range of 3285-3295. If the gold price in the Asian and European sessions can stabilize below 3295, then we can rely on the 3285-3295 range to enter the market and short. On the contrary, if the pullback today stands above 3300, then we should not chase the short easily.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3285-3295
TP 3270-3260-3250
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Analysis and layout of gold trend in the US market📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data is positive
2. The White House is tough on the court ruling: Trump will win! Three trade agreements are close to being reached
📈 Market analysis:
I think the current rebound should not be directly judged as a unilateral trend. From a technical point of view, in the 4H cycle, the upper 3320-3325 line has a certain suppression force in the short term. If the gold price runs below 3325, we need to be alert to the risk of a high rebound. We can try to arrange short orders based on the 3320-3325 range, and bet on the high selling opportunities in the volatile market. Independent trading with a good stop loss. However, it should be noted that if the price quickly breaks through the 3330 line in the short term and stands above it, it is expected to rise to the 3340-3350 area. At the same time, I think the support below can first look at the 3300 line, with a focus on the 3290-3285 line support.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3320-3325
TP 3310-3300
BUY 3295-3285
TP 3300-3310-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
XAU/USD on the 45-minute timeframeSupport Zone Rejection (around 3,250 USD):
Price sharply reversed after testing a key support area (highlighted with a circle).
Volume increased at the reversal point, signaling strong buyer interest.
Break Above Minor Resistance (~3,280 USD):
Price has broken above the immediate resistance level with strong bullish momentum.
A bullish candle has closed above this zone, indicating a potential continuation.
Next Target Resistance Zones:
First Target: Around 3,320 USD, which aligns with a previous structural high and supply zone.
Final Target: Around 3,345–3,350 USD, representing a major resistance zone and previous swing high.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Above 3,280 (already in motion).
Target 1: 3,320
Target 2: 3,345–3,350
Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (below recent low and support zone)
Bullish Structure:
Higher low has been established.
Momentum is supported by volume confirmation
Gold's rebound is weak and the bearish trend is dominant.The 1-hour gold chart shows that the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the gold price is running near the lower track, with a weak short-term trend. If it fails to rebound effectively and break through the 3290 line, the support below will focus on the 3240-3230 area. Overall, the gold price fluctuates downward, the moving average system is in a short position, and the downward pressure is further revealed. It is currently recommended to continue to maintain a high-altitude thinking and focus on short-selling opportunities after the rebound.
In the short-term operation of gold during the day, rebound short-selling is the main focus. Pay attention to the pressure level of the 3290-3280 area above, and the support level of the 3240-3230 area below. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to arrange short orders when the gold price rebounds to the 3280-3290 range. This is a key pressure area, and it is necessary to pay attention to the market reaction in this range.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
5/29 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, gold rose first and then declined. Our long positions targeting 3318–3326 were completed successfully, and we timely shifted to short positions, resulting in another round of solid profits.
📉 Technical Outlook:
Gold remains in a bearish trend, and is now very close to the 3275 support level. Based on the current price structure, a break below this level is highly probable.
If $3275 is breached, focus on key support at 3258–3238
Resistance levels to watch: 3298–3318
The daily (1D) chart is currently in an indicator correction phase, so today's trading bias is selling from higher levels
🗞 News Focus:
Watch for U.S. initial jobless claims data today. It may offer short-term support for gold, but is unlikely to reverse the broader bearish trend.
📈 Today’s Trade Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3316–3328 zone (resistance zone)
📈 Buy in the 3245–3232 zone (key support area)
🔁 Scalp/flexible trading levels:
3303 / 3288 / 3276 / 3258 / 3247
Stay adaptive and combine news with price action at key levels for best results.
Wishing everyone a successful and profitable trading day!
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 29 May 2025As you can see that there are some strong zones mentioned in chart
Intraday Trend remains down because market sustains below 3300 Psychological level
once market will break 3300 psychological level successfully then move towards 3335
Scalping Range is 3250-3280
if Market breaks 3250 level it will move towards 3200
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold 100% Trading SignalsFrom the 4-hour analysis, today's upper resistance is around 3288-95, the short-term short-term weak dividing line is 3300-10, and the short-term support below is 3240-45, maintaining the main tone of participating in the trend unchanged.
Gold falls back to 3258-3264, buy more when it falls back to 3240-45, stop loss at 3233, target at 3280-3285, break to 3300-05
Gold bears will dominate the marketFrom the market point of view, the delay of the Fed's policy shift and the mitigation of geopolitical risks have a double-kill effect: on the one hand, high interest rates limit the attractiveness of gold; on the other hand, the retreat of safe-haven buying has intensified selling pressure. In the short term, pay attention to the support of the 3240-3250 range. If it fails, it may drop to the psychological level of 3200; but after oversold, be wary of technical rebounds. The 3280-3300 line above will become a key resistance. Be cautious in chasing orders, and the trend is mainly rebound shorting.
Gold recommendation: short near the rebound of 3282-3287, stop loss 3295, target 3253
Fed Uncertainty and Rejected Trendline ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold trades around $3,270 after rebounding from the $3,240 support zone, but remains capped below the $3,287–$3,290 resistance zone, which now acts as resistance after the breakdown. Technically, the price is struggling under a descending trendline (TL2), and the $3,287 zone also aligns with previous support turned resistance.
Fundamentally, the rejection of Trump's “Liberation Day” tariffs by the U.S. trade court helped ease risk sentiment, reducing safe-haven demand and pressuring gold. At the same time, market focus shifts to today’s U.S. GDP data and Friday’s Core PCE inflation report—both of which may sway Fed expectations and drive short-term volatility.
If XAU/USD fails to break back above $3,287, a renewed test of the $3,240 breakout zone is likely. Sustained downside may open the path to $3,207 or lower. On the upside, reclaiming $3,290 would weaken the bearish bias and challenge the TL2 trendline.
Resistance : $3,287 , $3,302
Support : $3,240, $3,207
GOLD Breakout Retest – Long Setup with Strong Risk-Reward
---
📝 Description:
Price has broken out of the descending trendline and is now retesting the breakout zone. A bullish reaction near the 3,285 support level indicates potential for a strong upside move. Entry is placed near the retest, with a tight stop loss and a high reward target around 3,360.
This setup offers a great risk-to-reward ratio and aligns with classic breakout-retest price action.
Technical Confluences:
Breakout of descending trendline
Retest of horizontal support zone
Bullish wick rejection
Volume spike confirmation
Always use proper risk management. This is not financial advice. 🔐
Gold Bull vs. Bear Battle: Trading Guide Between Support at 32804-hour chart bullish trend, support at 3280-3285, resistance at 3360 ⭐️.
Long Positions:
Go long on pullback to 3280-3290 📊🎯.
Stop loss: 3270
Targets: 3320 → 3330
Add positions if price holds above 3330 🌟.
Targets: 3350 → 3360
Short Positions:
Short on rally to 3350-3360 ⚠️📉.
Stop loss: 3370
Targets: 3330 → 3320
Risk Control:
Always use stop loss and take profits in batches ✨.
Professional trading strategies are pushed daily 📊
Lock in precise signals amid market fluctuations 🚀
Confused about market trends? Stuck in strategy bottlenecks?
Real-time strategies serve as your "trading compass" 🌐
From trend analysis to entry/exit points, dissect market logic comprehensively
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Help you move steadily forward in investments ✨
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5/28 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, gold saw a sharp downward move, and we profited well by trading short based on the double-top pattern.
Yesterday, gold has reached the 3287 support area, and by the end of the U.S. session it rebounded slightly above 3300. Although the rebound lacks strong momentum, it does show that the support zone held on the first test. Whether the bulls can take back control depends heavily on today's follow-up strength.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
If bulls break above and hold 3323–3336, a bullish reversal is likely;
If the bounce is weak, short positions remain the preferred strategy;
4H support: 3268
Daily support: 3172
Before that, 3301–3275 also forms an important support zone;
If price breaks below 3301–3275, especially under negative news impact, a drop to 3150 or even 3100 is not out of the question.
🗞 Key News Focus Today:
Watch for May FOMC-related remarks during the U.S. session, which could become a catalyst for major market movement.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3342–3362 zone (strong resistance)
📈 Buy in the 3258–3248 zone (strong support)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to monitor:
3336 / 3328 / 3319 / 3306 / 3295 / 3286 / 3274 / 3266
Stay sharp and combine technicals with key news events to make informed trades. Feel free to reach out if you need support — wishing you a profitable day ahead!
XAUUSD Approaching Breakout Zone | Technical Setup on 15m ChartGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential breakout from a descending triangle pattern on the 15-minute chart. The price has recently tested the upper trendline resistance but faced rejection, suggesting caution.
Key observations:
Structure: Descending triangle with multiple rejections at resistance.
Support Zone: 3,285 – 3,290 area holds historical significance.
Volume: Noticeable spike during the recent upward leg, hinting at strong participation.
Bias: Watching for a clean breakout and close above the trendline for bullish confirmation. A rejection and breakdown below the 3,285 support area may shift short-term bias.
This setup is ideal for traders monitoring breakout or reversal opportunities with defined risk management. Always confirm with your trading rules and strategy.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan | May 28, 2025
🔍 Current Wave Structure
Following yesterday’s sharp decline, price has made a mild recovery and is currently consolidating around the 3314 area. The drop has nearly reached the projected wave C (green) target, but the current rebound — with overlapping small H1 candles — suggests the bullish structure is still unconvincing.
We’re now monitoring two potential scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1 – Correction Completed
Wave C appears to be complete, and the market may be entering a new bullish trend.
However, the overlapping candles on H1 hint that this could be a leading diagonal (wave 1).
In this case, a deeper pullback (wave 2) is expected — likely forming a zigzag or flat correction.
📌 Strategy:
Wait for wave 2 to complete before looking for a better Buy entry.
🌀 Scenario 2 – Ongoing Correction
If price continues to move sideways, we may be in wave b of a double zigzag correction (wave Y).
🎯 Wave c target within wave Y: 3324
If price breaks below 3284 before reaching 3324, wave c may have already started and could complete around 3280–3274.
📈 Momentum Outlook
• Daily (D1): Momentum remains bearish → primary trend still leans downward
• H4: Bullish momentum → short-term recovery possible today
• H1: Near oversold → watch for bullish reversal signals in current zone for intraday Buy setups
🎯 Trade Plan
⏰ Intraday Buy (Scalp):
• Entry: 3292 – 3289
• SL: 3282
• TP1: 3313
• TP2: 3324
🕰️ Ideal timing: During the London session to end of New York session
🎯 Swing Buy Setup:
• Entry: 3280 – 3277
• SL: 3270
• TP1: 3290
• TP2: 3313
• TP3: 3324
🕰️ Ideal timing: European to late US session
🎯 Sell Zone: 3324 – 3327
• SL: 3334
• TP1: 3313
• TP2: 3290
• TP3: 3280
🕰️ Best considered if price reaches resistance during US session or late EU session
📌 All scenarios will be updated once wave 2 is confirmed or price decisively breaks below 3284.
Be patient — let the market give you clear signals before taking action.
Key data will be released, gold will usher in a turning point🗞News side:
1. Musk issued the "strongest" condemnation of Trump
2. Trump and Netanyahu failed to reach an agreement, and the US-Iran negotiations may be "disrupted" by Israel
📈Technical aspects:
Gold prices continued to fall this week as Trump extended the impact of increasing tariffs on the European Union. After stabilizing at 3285 and rebounding yesterday, the gains and losses at 3315 during the day are the key to the subsequent layout. The current Asian session did not stand above 3315 in the morning, which means that the short-term retracement and decline have not ended, and only by breaking through 3315 can there be a chance to continue upward. The 4H level of gold is not so strong at present. The market encountered resistance and fell back at the upper track. Now the market has touched the lower track. The Bollinger Bands have not opened and are still flat, indicating that the market is in a volatile trend in the short term. The support below 3280 just coincides with the lower track. The upper side pays attention to the resistance near the middle track of 3325. If the pressure near the middle track of 3325 is broken, it can be seen to the upper track of 3365. If the market breaks below 3280, it is expected to go to 3260-3250. The European session will temporarily maintain a high-altitude low-multiple cycle. Pay attention to 3315-3325 on the upper side and 3285-3280 on the lower side.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Bulls rebounded as expected and broke the intraday highFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support of gold price in the evening is around 3290-95, the pressure above is around 3335-40, and the short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed is 3275-83. Before the daily level falls below this position, continue to look at the long-short oscillation range, and maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long on gold when it falls back to 3295-3300, and add more positions when it falls back to 3280-85, stop loss at 3273, target 3316-3320, and look at 3338-45 when it breaks;
Geopolitics Fail to Lift Gold as Dollar Regains MomentumOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold trades near $3,300, respecting TL1 trendline resistance. A break below the $3,289 level may trigger a deeper pullback toward the key $3,247 support zone. On the flip side, reclaiming $3,315 could open the path toward $3,342 resistance.
On the news front, despite escalating Russia–Ukraine tensions and a record drone strike from Moscow, gold failed to gain. Risk sentiment improved after President Trump postponed the 50% EU tariff deadline, lifting both the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. U.S. consumer confidence also surprised to the upside at 98.0 in May, dampening safe-haven demand.
Markets now await the Fed’s May Meeting Minutes, which may reinforce the cautious hawkish stance. This poses near-term downside risk to gold if policy flexibility remains limited.
Resistance : $3,315 , $3,342
Support : $3,289 , $3,247
GOLD M30 Intraday Chart Update for 28 may 2025Hello Guys, as you can see that GOLD intraday chart just shared with levels
you may do some scalping in the ranging zone, however today strong zone is 3265-3280 which also buying zone but must check confirmation before enter
as well as once market will break SBL level then you may also look long position
Remember always trade with SL
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
0526 Mastering Divergence in Gold: Daily vs. 4H Chart TacticsHello traders,
Check this Latest COT Report first:
Gold:
Net long positions increased by 7,741 contracts, with a net long increase of 7%. The current total net long positions stand at 118,615, nearing the upper limit of the past year (the maximum being 254,841), with a relative position of 47%. This indicates that long funds are returning to the market, enhancing expectations for continued increases in gold prices; at the same time, short sellers are actively retreating, and those with short-term bearish views are exiting.
From a technical perspective, gold also shows a clear bullish trend. I believe the support level for gold is at 3200, and if it successfully breaks through the important resistance level of 3400, there is a possibility of testing the 3450-3500 range within this week.
On weekly chart, check this first.
Price action all above weekly EMAS
On this 4H chart, GOLD is running the fifth wave on this current swing. It could be rejected from the daily pressure line down to sideways price action above the red buying zone 3260-3277, WHERE BUYER VERY POSSIBLE WAITING THE OPPORTUNITY TO OPEN LONG TRADE ON GOLD AGAIN!
For mid-term buyers, fibo ext 1.27-1.414 zone is very possible.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!