GOLD – SMC ProTrading Breakdown Plan Next WEEK GOLD – SMC ProTrading Breakdown | Clinton Scalper | 4H Timeframe
XAUUSD is currently displaying clear institutional order flow behavior after a deep liquidity sweep at the end of July. Here’s a full breakdown using advanced SMC (Smart Money Concepts) methodology:
🔍 1. Liquidity Sweep at the Low
Price maintained a series of lower highs and bearish structure until it executed a classic liquidity grab between 3,270 – 3,290. This is a textbook move by Smart Money: sweep retail stop orders before initiating a reversal.
This zone aligned with:
✅ Untapped Fair Value Gap (FVG)
✅ Reversal Order Block (OB)
✅ Fibo 0.236 of the mid-term bullish leg
After the sweep, the market printed a micro CHoCH, indicating early signs of smart money accumulation.
🧠 2. CHoCH → BOS → Reaccumulation Structure
CHoCH (Change of Character) marks the first break in the bearish microstructure – suggesting a possible shift.
Then, price delivered a BOS (Break of Structure) around the 3,334 zone, confirming bullish intent.
Buy-side is now:
Positioned from a deep discount zone
Mitigating key inefficiencies
Targeting higher liquidity zones above current price
Price is currently reacting to a previous supply OB around 3,362.
📐 3. Institutional Order Flow & Target Zones
Now that price is in a key reaction zone, we prepare for two high-probability scenarios:
🅰️ Continuation Scenario (Reaccumulation)
A retracement to the 3,317–3,311 zone (Fibo 0.5–0.618) could offer a premium re-entry
This area is stacked with:
FVG
Order Block
Equal lows liquidity
🔼 From there, potential targets include:
🎯 TP1: 3,371 – previous imbalance zone
🎯 TP2: 3,392 – minor liquidity cluster
🎯 TP3: 3,429 – premium OB and high-liquidity zone
🅱️ Distribution Scenario (Bearish Rejection)
If price fails to hold bullish structure and forms a bearish CHoCH around 3,392–3,429
This would signal a distribution zone, and potential reversal back toward 3,290 support
🔂 4. Smart Money Flow Logic
“Smart Money doesn’t follow price. They lead price to liquidity.”
This chart reflects the complete Sweep → CHoCH → BOS → Mitigation → Expansion sequence. A classic SMC Pro model where:
Liquidity is engineered and swept
Structure is shifted
Price returns to mitigate institutional entries
Price expands into external liquidity
📌 Clinton Scalper Outlook:
We don’t chase reversals – we track the footprints of capital. The real edge is understanding where smart money is positioned, and aligning with their narrative.
🔔 Stay tuned for continued updates using this precise and probability-driven Pro SMC framework.
Xauusdupdates
Waiting for non-farm payroll dataGold prices (XAU/USD) remained under pressure in Asian trading on Friday, trading below $3,300, not far from the January low reached earlier this week. Gold failed to extend its modest overnight rebound, primarily due to the strong US dollar.
The Federal Reserve's latest hawkish tone has prompted a reassessment of the timeline for interest rate cuts, boosting demand for the US dollar and weighing on the non-interest-bearing asset, gold.
The US dollar index rose for the seventh consecutive day, reaching a new high since late May, further weakening gold's appeal. Key to the dollar's momentum lies in the latest inflation data: the US PCE price index rose to 2.6% year-on-year in June, while the core index remained stable at 2.8%, exceeding market expectations and reinforcing the view of persistent inflation.
"Both inflation data and GDP data suggest the US economy remains resilient, giving the Fed little reason to rush into easing," said a Fed observer. "This limits gold's near-term potential as a hedge."
Meanwhile, US President Trump signed an executive order on Thursday imposing import tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on several trading partners, including Asian countries. Countries with trade deficits will face tariffs of at least 15%. This move has heightened global trade concerns, boosted market demand for safe-haven assets, and provided some support for gold.
Despite this, gold prices remain mired in a downward trend. Investors are generally maintaining a wait-and-see approach, awaiting Friday's release of the US July non-farm payroll report. This data is seen as a key indicator of economic resilience and the interest rate outlook. Expectations suggest an increase of 110,000 jobs and a slight rise in the unemployment rate to 4.2%.
The daily gold chart shows that prices are in a weak consolidation phase, capped by key resistance near $3,320. If gold prices fail to break through this area, there is a risk of further decline in the short term. Stronger resistance lies above $3,350. A breakout on strong volume could trigger a rebound towards the $3,380 area, potentially pushing the price above $3,400.
As for downside support, the 100-day moving average provides initial support near $3,270. A break below this could trigger further downward pressure, targeting the $3,240 area, the June low. A further break below this level would target the psychologically important $3,200 level.
In terms of indicators, the MACD death cross continues, with a shortening red bar, indicating weakening bearish momentum but no reversal. The RSI remains in neutral to weak territory, not clearly oversold.
The current gold trend is characterized by a "structurally bearish, sentimentally supportive" pattern. Despite the trade war and heightened global risk aversion, the Federal Reserve's caution about inflation and the strong dollar are exerting significant pressure.
If the July non-farm payroll data is strong, gold could test further technical support. Conversely, weak data or a pullback in the dollar could trigger a technical rebound. PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD
Gold Price Consolidates in Symmetrical Triangle, Breakout Ahead?Gold shows a clear bearish trend within a well-defined downward channel. Price action continues to form lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing the ongoing downtrend. The recent rejection from $3,312 suggests that bulls are struggling to regain control, and the market remains pressured by selling momentum. The price is currently hovering near $3,287 just above horizontal support zone.
📉 Potential Scenarios
- Bearish Continuation (Most Likely)
- If price continues to stay below $3,300 and breaks below $3,281, it may aim for $3,261 and $3,249.
- A close below $3,281 would confirm further bearish pressure and signal downside continuation toward the $3,240s range.
- Short-Term Bullish Retracement
- If price holds above $3,281 and breaks above $3,300–$3,312, a relief rally may occur at first resistance: $3,306 and second resistance: $3,312.
- However, unless gold breaks above $3,332 (previous swing high), this would still be considered a bear market rally.
- Range-bound Movement
- A third scenario is sideways price action between $3,281 and $3,312, where neither bulls nor bears take control immediately. This would represent market indecision or awaiting external catalysts (e.g., economic data, Fed policy).
🔍 Trend Outlook
- Short-Term Trend: Bearish
- Medium-Term Trend: Bearish, unless price breaks and sustains above $3,312
- Long-Term Trend: Neutral-to-bullish, as long as price holds above the macro support zone near $3,240
1D Chart Long Term Possible Scenario
The price is currently trading around $3,285, sitting just above the triangle’s ascending trendline support and within a key horizontal demand zone around $3,250–$3,300, which has held multiple times in the past.
If bulls manage to push the price above $3,360–$3,400, it could confirm a breakout and open the door toward the next major resistance at $3,450. However, if price fails to hold above the current ascending trendline, a breakdown could retest the base support near $3,248 or even lower toward $3,150
Gold is currently in a neutral consolidation phase within a symmetrical triangle, with both bullish and bearish breakout scenarios possible. The breakout direction from this pattern—expected in the coming weeks, will likely set the tone for gold's medium-term trend.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD 1H AnalysisPrice is consolidating between PD High and PD Low after a recovery from the recent drop. No clear direction yet as market is ranging.
Key Levels:
PD High – 3315: Acting as resistance
PD Low – 3267: Acting as support
Current Price – 3290
Trade Ideas:
Sell if price rejects 3305 again, targeting 3265
Buy only on breakout and retest above 3305
Avoid trading inside 3275–3295 unless a clean setup forms
Bias: Neutral for now. Let price come to the edges and show a clear reaction.
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, and gold is still rising!The latest news indicates that Trump has announced a 50% tariff on Brazilian products and a 25% tariff on Indian products, and has firmly stated that the tariffs will take effect on August 1st, with no further grace period. These positive factors will also support a rebound in gold.
As for tomorrow's big non-farm payrolls, considering that both the previous two times were negative and contrary to the ADP, it is very likely to be bullish for gold, which may help boost a steady rebound in gold, so there is no need to worry if you are stuck with gold.
Nothing rises forever, and nothing falls forever. Last week, the market rose in the first half, then fell in the second half. With the first half of this week's decline, the daily chart has already fallen to near the 100-day moving average. Be wary of a rebound in the second half. Gold is bearish today, but don't chase shorts. Focus on the 3300 resistance level. If it breaks above and stabilizes, expect a continued rebound to 3330-3345!
A real-time strategy is like a beacon guiding your investment journey. The market will never disappoint those who persevere and explore wisely. FX:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD
Short selling remains the main themeGold hit a low of around 3267 yesterday and fluctuated until closing at 3274. Gold fluctuated upward at the opening today. Currently, gold is fluctuating around yesterday's rebound point of 3305. This is the resistance we need to pay attention to in the short term.
From the 4H analysis, today's short-term resistance is around 3305-3315. If gold wants to rise, it needs to stabilize above 3315. Focus on the 3335 first-line pressure, and rebound to the 3305-3315 resistance area during the day. You can consider shorting and follow the trend to see the decline unchanged, looking towards 3290-3280. Rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude participation. For the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
XAUUSD H2 | Downside Target 3270Gold (XAUUSD) recently rejected from a key resistance zone around 3300, showing strong bearish momentum on the 2H timeframe.
💡 Setup Idea:
• Price broke support → Retest as new resistance ✅
• Clean imbalance left behind → Fills expected 📉
• Target: 3270 zone (300 pips move) 🎯
• Risk-Reward potential is solid for intraday/swing entries.
Trade Plan:
If price holds below 3300, we expect continuation toward the 3270 zone. This area also aligns with previous structure and liquidity grab.
🕐 Timeframe: 2H
📌 Resistance: 3300
🎯 Target: 3270
📍 RR: 1:2+
#XAUUSD #GoldSetup #PriceAction #SmartMoney #FXTrading #TradingView #ForYou
GOLD Breakdown Setup | Clean Sell Targets Ahead!XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis – 2H Timeframe
After a clear rejection from higher levels, Gold has pulled back to retest the broken support zone around 3340–3350, which now acts as a resistance.
If the price sustains below this zone, we can expect a smooth move down toward clean liquidity areas below.
This is a textbook bearish continuation setup. 💥
🔻 Trade Idea – Short Setup:
• Sell Below: 3,340
• Target 1: 3,300
• Target 2: 3,280
• Stop Loss: 3,355 (above resistance zone)
🧠 Confluences:
• Bearish market structure
• Support zone retest
• Trend continuation
• High-impact USD news ahead (watch for volatility)
📅 Key Dates: July 30 – Aug 1
⚡ NY session could trigger the move!
The Federal Reserve maintains a neutral stanceAs the Federal Reserve maintains its neutral monetary policy stance despite acknowledging slowing economic growth, the gold market is attempting to reclaim the $3,300 per ounce mark.
As expected, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, maintaining them within a range of 4.25% to 4.50%. The most notable change in the Fed's monetary policy statement was a slight downward revision of its assessment of the economy, noting that growth in the first half of the year slowed from the "solid pace" seen in June.
In its monetary policy statement, the Fed stated: "While volatility in net exports continues to impact the data, recent indicators suggest that the growth of economic activity has moderated somewhat in the first half of the year."
The market's initial reaction to the Fed's statement was renewed volatility in gold prices. On Wednesday (July 30), spot gold closed at $3,274.88, down $51.47, or 1.55%, with an intraday low of $3,268.02. In early Asian trading on Thursday, spot gold rebounded to around $3,296, putting it within reach of the previous support level of $3,300.
While the Federal Reserve maintained its neutral monetary policy stance, dissent began to emerge within the committee. Fed Governors Bowman and Waller both voted in favor of a rate cut at this meeting.
However, analysts noted that the split vote was unsurprising, as both committee members had been outspoken about their dovish views.
With the Fed's decision unsurprising, Michael Brown, senior market analyst at Pepperstone, predicts the Fed will be slightly more hawkish this year than the market currently anticipates.
Despite the Fed's current neutral stance, the market still expects the Fed to cut interest rates twice this year, starting as early as September.
"My baseline forecast remains that the resilient nature of the labor market and continued tariff-induced price pressures will keep the Fed on the sidelines for now," Brown said. "My view remains that only one 25 basis point rate cut is likely this year, likely at the December meeting." OANDA:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Thursday Chart Market Structure & Context
Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
Overall Trend: Bearish after a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside
Current Price Action: In a retracement phase toward a premium supply zone
Bias: Expecting a liquidity sweep upward, followed by a strong sell-off
🧱 Key Structure Zones
NYL.H & NYL.L: High and Low of the previous New York session
ASIA.H & ASIA.L: High and Low of the Asia session
NYPM.H & NYPM.L: High and Low of the New York PM session
🔍 Critical Levels & POIs
Breaker Block (Dark Gray Box)
Formed after price swept buy-side liquidity and then broke structure upward
Expected to act as a support zone for a temporary buy or a reaction point
BSL POI (Buy-Side Liquidity - Point of Interest)
A manipulated breakout area targeted by smart money
Expected to entice FOMO buyers before a sharp reversal downward
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL)
Located below the current breaker block
This is the final liquidity target for a continuation sell move
📈 Expected Price Behavior
Price is currently retracing upward
Projected Scenario:
Price moves up to tap into the BSL POI zone (around 3,303–3,305)
Price rejects the POI, forming a potential distribution range
Breakdown from the range initiates a sell-off
Targeting final support / liquidity sweep around 3,268.04
🎯 Trade Setup & Plan
Bias: Sell after a liquidity sweep above key highs
Entry Trigger: Upon clear rejection from the BSL POI zone
Stop Loss: Above BSL POI (~3,307–3,309)
Take Profit: 3,268.04, yielding a Risk-to-Reward Ratio ~4.67
⏰ Killzone Timing (SMC Timing Model)
NY AM Killzone (14:00–19:00 GMT+7)
→ Ideal for entries; likely where liquidity manipulation occurs
NY Lunch & PM
→ Potential for distribution phase completion and sell-off
📌 Additional Notes
Price action reveals a clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) and a completed BSL sweep
Final downside target aims for the NYPM Low, identified as a weak low
Rejection from the breaker block is crucial; confirmation via BOS/CHoCH on lower TF is preferred
Gold Bulls Charging to 3305 But What’s Waiting There?Gold has recently taken support from the lower levels and has also shown a Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside. Currently, there is Imbalance and Internal Draw on Liquidity (IDM) resting around the 3305 level. The market appears to be moving upward to mitigate that imbalance. It's important to closely monitor this zone, as once the market reaches and fills this area, there is a high probability of a potential rejection or bearish move from that level
XAUUSD – 4H Short Setup AnalysisGold (XAUUSD) has broken below the dynamic support zone of the Keltner Channel structure and is currently trading beneath the 200 EMA zone, signaling bearish momentum. Price has rejected the upper resistance band near 3385, forming a lower high and triggering a short entry at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement zone.
📉 Trade Idea (Short Bias)
Entry: Around 3360
TP1: 3317 (key support zone)
TP2: 3275 (38.2% Fib ext)
TP3: 3208 (100% extension target)
SL: 3385 (61.8% Fib retracement)
Confluences:
Price rejection from upper channel
200 EMA trend resistance
Clean bearish structure with momentum confirmation
Fib confluence adds precision to entry and target levels
If momentum sustains below 3360, further downside is likely toward the 3200 zone.
Be cautious with the numerous news and short sell on rebound#XAUUSD
The market is fluctuating sideways, and whether it can achieve a V-shaped reversal still needs to wait for information such as ADP and the Federal Reserve's decision.🗞 Invest lightly today and avoid letting emotions dictate your thinking.⚖️
⚠️Although the market currently predicts that the news information is bullish for gold, and most of the trading voices are centered around bulls, we still need to be wary of the resistance area above 3345-3350.
📉Judging from the daily chart, I have clearly stated in the figure before that the current trend is a converging triangle. If the price hits the triangle boundary, coupled with the interference of external news, it may trigger panic selling, killing a wave of long buyers first🐂, and then trigger an upward trend when it retreats to near the 3300 support level, and may even test the support level of 3285. 🩳
The 4H chart shows that although the rebound momentum is still continuing📈, the gold price is still below the short-term moving average and has only recovered the lower support level. It is necessary to wait for a second retracement confirmation to determine whether a true trend reversal has been achieved. 📈
In addition, the price on the hourly chart continues to run in a downward channel. Combined with the previous trend pattern, after the rebound correction at the 4H level is completed, it is highly likely that the downward trend will continue to return to the lower support level of the daily level.🐻
If resistance is encountered at 3345-3350 for the first time today, consider shorting.💡
If the price currently retreats to around 3320-3315, consider a short-term long position. Long positions held yesterday can be manually closed at around 3330.💡
🚀 SELL 3340-3350
🚀 TP 3330-3320-3300
🚀 BUY 3320-3315
🚀 TP 3330-3340
GOLD – A Bottom in Place or Just the Calm Before the Storm?GOLD – A Bottom in Place or Just the Calm Before the Storm?
Gold has recently shed nearly $50, indicating sustained bearish pressure. But here’s the real question:
👉 Is this simply a liquidity sweep before a bullish reversal?
👉 Or are we witnessing the early stages of a broader bearish continuation?
Let’s break it all down – step by step – to map out smart, reaction-based trading opportunities.
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Overview
The US–EU trade and defence agreement has dampened gold’s role as a safe haven in the short term.
The US Dollar and equity markets remain strong, driven by solid macroeconomic data.
Overall market sentiment leans “risk-on”, pushing capital into riskier assets and away from precious metals.
📆 Upcoming Key Events:
Tuesday: ADP Employment Data
Friday: FOMC Statement & Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
These events could drastically shift market expectations around Fed policy, impacting gold’s direction.
📊 Technical Picture (Timeframes H1–H4)
Gold has rebounded from recent lows and is currently moving within a parallel bullish channel.
However, price is now nearing a critical resistance level at 3342 – a potential turning point.
🔎 Key Technical Zones:
🔺 Short-Term Resistance: 3342
🔺 Major Supply Zone: 3369–3388 (Order Block + Fair Value Gap + Fib 0.5–0.618)
🔻 High-Liquidity Support Zone: 3293–3290
🔻 Key Demand Zone (FVG): 3275–3273
🔺 High-Level Resistance: 3416
🧭 Trading Plan – Based on Price Action (Not Prediction)
We don’t guess the market. We wait, watch, and react based on price confirmation.
✅ Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Scalp Setup)
Entry: 3293 – 3291
Stop Loss: 3286
Targets: 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330
🟢 Ideal for intraday scalps within high-liquidity zones.
✅ Scenario 2 – Buy from Deep Demand (Swing Setup)
Entry: 3275 – 3273
Stop Loss: 3269
Targets: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320 → 3330
🟢 Great opportunity if price absorbs selling pressure at the FVG zone and reverses.
❌ Scenario 3 – Short from Key Resistance (3342)
Entry: 3340 – 3342
Stop Loss: 3346
Targets: 3335 → 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3310
🔴 Use if price fails to break and hold above 3342.
❌ Scenario 4 – Short from Major Supply Zone (Swing)
Entry: 3369 – 3372
Stop Loss: 3376
Targets: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 → 3320
🔴 Higher-risk setup; enter only on strong rejection or bearish candlestick confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Guidelines
Avoid entries during the London and NY open – fakeouts and stop hunts are common.
Always wait for clear price reaction within zones – avoid impulsive entries.
Respect your stop-loss levels, especially with this week’s major data releases.
🎯 Final Thoughts for UK & Global Traders
Let the market come to you – never chase price.
Stay disciplined, especially in volatile weeks like this one.
The best trades are reactionary, not predictive.
💬 Found this plan useful?
Feel free to comment your views or follow for more structured gold analyses throughout the week.
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Breaking SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 30, 2025📊
🔍 Momentum Analysis
• D1 Timeframe: Momentum has started to reverse upward, but we need to wait for today’s daily candle to close for confirmation. Until then, there is still a risk of another short-term decline.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum lines are clustering in the overbought zone, signaling a possible weakening of the current upward move. However, this signal alone is not enough to confirm that the uptrend has ended.
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🌀 Wave Structure
• Price has reached the projected target for wave e, but there has been no strong bullish reaction. The recent candles are short-bodied and overlapping – typical of corrective structures. Also, this wave has lasted longer than previous corrective upswings, suggesting that the decline may not be over yet and the wave count needs to be reviewed.
Currently, we are facing two equally probable scenarios (50/50), but they suggest opposite outcomes:
➤ Scenario 1: Zigzag (5-3-5) Structure
• The current structure may represent only wave A of a larger zigzag.
• We are now in wave B, which tends to be complex and unpredictable, making it not ideal for wave-based trading.
• The red zones marked on the chart indicate potential target areas for wave B.
➤ Scenario 2: Completed 5-Wave Correction
• The downtrend may have completed at wave (e).
• The current upward movement could be wave 1 forming as a triangle – a potential start of a new bullish cycle.
• However, to confirm this scenario, price must hold above 3309. If it fails to do so and H4 momentum reverses downward, a new low is very likely.
________________________________________
📝 Trading Plan
Given the current market conditions, I only recommend short-term scalp trading based on the predefined support and resistance zones.
Avoid wave-based trading until the structure becomes clearer. Once clarity returns, I will provide an updated trading plan.
Gold Breakout or Pullback Ahead?Currently, price is in a correction phase within this rising channel after hitting the upper resistance near $3,438. The pullback is moving toward the mid and lower channel zones, which is healthy for a bullish continuation. Gold is in a healthy pullback phase inside a bigger bullish trend. If support at $3,358 – $3,373 holds, expect an upward push back to $3,438 → $3,487 → $3,517 in the coming sessions. Only a clean break below $3,309 would signal a deeper bearish move.
Gold is likely to consolidate or retest the lower channel support ($3,358 – $3,373). If buyers defend this zone, the price is expected to bounce back toward $3,400 – $3,420 and eventually retest $3,438.
Key Price Zones
- Main Resistance: $3,438 (if broken, potential rally toward $3,487 → $3,517)**
- Immediate Support: $3,373 (first reaction level)
- Major Support: $3,358 (key level to protect bullish structure)
- Potential Higher Low Zone: Around $3,342.44
Expected Price Behavior
- If gold holds above $3,373 – $3,358, it is likely to form a new higher low near $3,342 – $3,358 before attempting to push higher.
- A successful breakout above $3,438 would indicate continuation of the bullish momentum targeting $3,487 and $3,517 ).
- Failure to hold above $3,358 may open the door for a deeper correction toward $3,309, but the overall trend remains bullish unless that level is broken.
Trend Outlook
- Short-Term Trend: Consolidation / corrective pullback within a bullish channel
- Medium-Term Trend: Bullish (higher lows and breakout structure intact)
- Long-Term Trend: Bullish as long as the channel holds above $3,309
Gold is currently in a pullback phase after a strong bullish breakout. The market is likely forming a higher low and may resume upward momentum once the $3,373 – $3,358 zone is confirmed as support. A breakout above $3,438 would validate a bullish continuation toward $3,487 - $3,517.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold (XAU/USD) in Symmetrical Triangle – Short‑Term Squeeze,Price Structure & Technical Setup
Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, showing lower highs and higher lows—a classic precursor to breakout in either direction
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Trendlines converge tightly around $3,326–$3,334, hinting at imminent directional acceleration
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🎯 Key Levels & Targets
Scenario Trigger Confirm Area Targets Stop Loss
Bullish Breakout above $3,344–$3,350 $3,369 → $3,396 → $3,422–$3,550 ~$3,340
Bearish Breakdown below ~$3,326–$3,320 $3,320 → $3,300 → $3,297 → $3,255 ~$3,335–$3,340
A breakout above $3,344–$3,350 validated with volume may drive prices toward $3,400+, with extended targets up to $3,550 or higher in bullish conditions
Traders Union
Time Price Research
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A drop below $3,326–$3,320 risks further decline, targeting $3,300, $3,297, and eventually $3,255 if breakdown momentum builds .
📉 Market Context & Drivers
U.S. dollar strength, easing safe-haven demand, and optimistic trade sentiment are constraining gold’s upside unless breakout forces emerge .
Key upcoming catalysts: FOMC guidance, U.S. macro data (GDP, inflation), and geopolitical developments—their tone could tip the bias direction .
⚙️ Trade Rules & Risk Management
Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown—do not trade mid-range.
Confirm break with at least one close outside the triangle and rising volume .
Position sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade, adjust stop-loss to price structure ($8–$15 depending on volatility).
Take profits in stages: scale out at minor milestones (first targets), trail stop for extended targets.
Avoid chasing price within the middle of the triangle—risk/reward is unfavorable.
🧠 Why This Plan?
Follows textbook symmetrical triangle trading methodology: entry on breakout, stop beyond pattern opposite side, projection based on triangle height .
Aligns with broader outlook: bearish unless convincing upside breakout appears, consistent with analyst consensus hedging current bull exhaustion and wait‑and‑see on policy signals .
✅ Summary
Gold is coiling inside a tight triangle range near $3,326–$3,334, with breakout potential identified to either side:
Bullish breakout over $3,344–$3,350 targets up to $3,550 or beyond.
Bearish breakdown under $3,326–$3,320 risks slide towards $3,300–$3,255.
Wait for confirmation, apply disciplined risk controls, and let volume validate the move.
Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation📉 Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation
Posted earlier – trade progressing as planned.
As shared in the previous chart, a Sell scalp position was executed based on the trendline break followed by a pullback retest.
Three Take-Profit levels were marked and the price is moving in line with the forecast. ✅
🟢 TP1 Hit
🟢 TP2 Reached
🔵 TP3 in progress
📌 The setup remains valid, and as long as structure holds below the retested trendline, the bearish bias continues.
We will monitor price action near TP3 zone for final exit or trailing stop update.
> Analysis worked perfectly so far – let’s see if TP3 gets cleared soon. 🔍💥
Gold: ADP, Fed & Key Resistance Gold has been range-bound today—let’s focus on the impact of the ADP data and Fed rate decision ⚠️.
Key resistance lies around 3345-3350 📍: a breakout could fuel further upside 📈, while a rejection may trigger an oscillating pullback 📉
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3325
🚀 TP 3333 - 3339 -3344
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