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XAU/USD 17 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high. Price is now trading within an established internal range. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD bullish move possible.This chart represents a technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a concise breakdown of the key points: 🔹 Structure & Key Levels: Liquidity Sweep: Price initially swept the liquidity above the recent highs, triggering stop-losses of early sellers or weak buyers. Support Zone: Marked around the 3410–3415 range, where price has shown rejection and stability. Prime Zone for Long Position: Below support, around 3400–3405, this area is marked as an ideal entry for long trades based on strong bullish reactions in the past. 🔸 Possible Scenarios: Bullish Reaction from Support: Price may respect the current support zone and begin an upward move towards the resistance area around 3450. Deeper Pullback into Prime Zone: If support breaks, price could dip into the prime long entry zone before reversing upwards. ✅ Conclusion: The chart suggests a buy (long) setup is likely, especially from the support or prime zone, targeting the previous highs near 3450. Risk management would be important if the price breaks below 3390.96 (red zone), which could invalidate the long setup.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mia211wic9
The latest gold operation strategyTechnically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to buy gold near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RodneyBridges
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunitiesGold prices are rising strongly. Technically, multiple supports are formed in various periodic charts. Short-term sideways trading in the hourly chart is a normal adjustment. If the support of 3420 is maintained, the upward trend will continue. If it falls below, we need to be alert to the risk of trend reversal. The current geopolitical risks and risk aversion demand provide medium- and long-term support for gold. The main strategy for the day should be to buy on dips, and focus on the key watershed of 3420. Long orders can be arranged when it falls back to this level. It is expected to accelerate upward after breaking through. Overall, the bullish trend of gold has not changed. Gold recommendation: long orders can be arranged when the price falls back to 3425-3420. Stop loss 3413. Target 3472. Exit notification if the market changes
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RodneyBridges
6/17 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning! Yesterday, gold opened with a gap-up and surged to around 3451, but failed to sustain above key resistance. After another failed attempt to break higher, prices gradually turned lower and finally broke below 3400, finding short-term support near 3382. The primary driver of this decline was a waning of geopolitical risk sentiment, which had previously fueled the rally. Additionally, the market is now pricing in expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, a factor that was likely preemptively reflected in price. 🔍 Fundamental Focus: Today’s U.S. session will feature a key news release, which may prove decisive for gold’s next directional move. With yesterday’s advance pullback, market dynamics are likely to be more volatile today. We recommend caution, especially ahead of the announcement. 📉 Technical View: Gold is currently in a post-decline consolidation phase. The main resistance lies between 3430–3450, while 3415 on the 30-minute chart also presents a short-term cap. For those entering long positions, target zones should remain conservative, ideally around 3412–3418, and then be adjusted depending on volume momentum and breakout structure. 📊 Weekly Structure Outlook: The weekly chart shows that gold is at a key trend inflection point. If no additional bullish catalysts emerge, the market is likely to develop into a bearish consolidation, with the next major downside target around 3200. 📌 Trading Plan (For VIP): ✅ Sell Zone: 3436–3466 ✅ Buy Zone: 3347–3323 ✅ Flexible Trade Zones: 3428 / 3415 / 3403 / 3392 / 3378 / 3362 / 3354
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
After breaking KEY DAY yesterday, it is very likely ATH in weekGold prices are being directly affected by the Israel-Iran tensions, the risk of trade conflicts due to the new US tariff policy, and concerns about slowing global economic growth. However, gold prices suddenly fell in the context of improving risk appetite of investors as they get used to the "new normal". Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, commented that if this rally starts to lose momentum, it could be a double top pattern for gold. Giving advice to investors, according to Mr. Pavilonis, they should start considering reducing their gold position at this time if they missed the opportunity to take profits at $3,509. When gold is peaking, investors see other markets moving higher, such as silver, platinum and palladium. Best regards, StarrOne !!!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by StarrOne
1
3400 3380 are the two points that determine the trend of gold📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical risks 2. Expected Fed policy 📈 Market analysis: This week, the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, retail sales data, initial jobless claims and geopolitical situation will be the core factors affecting global markets. In the short term, gold rebounded after hitting the 3383 line. This round of decline was relatively rapid. At the same time, there is a certain resistance at the 3405-3410 line above in the short term, which is also the main reason for our long orders to leave the market. In the short term, it is recommended to first look at the support situation at the 3380 line below, and then enter the long order after obtaining effective support above this position. On the contrary, if it falls below this short-term support, the gold price is expected to fall to the 3350 mark! For the evening layout, it is recommended to focus on the 3400 long-short watershed, pay attention to the 3410 line of resistance, and pay attention to the 3380 line of support below. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3390-3380 TP 3400-3410-3420 SELL 3400-3390 TP 3380-3360-3350 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
XAU/USD 1H Technical Breakdown – Structure Shift in ProgressThis chart captures a clear market structure transition on Gold’s 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a shift from bullish momentum to a potential bearish phase. 🔍 Key Observations: Uptrend Structure: Price had been respecting a bullish channel with a sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), showing strong bullish momentum. Break of Structure (BOS): The bullish market structure was invalidated when price broke below the most recent Higher Low, marking a Break of Structure (BOS). This signals the end of the uptrend and beginning of possible bearish control. CHoCH (Change of Character): Before the BOS, price failed to make a new HH and began forming lower highs — this internal shift hinted at weakness and can be considered the Change of Character, occurring subtly before the BOS. Bearish Projection: Price is expected to retest the broken structure (potential lower high formation) and continue dropping toward the demand zone (green box) around $3,330 - $3,340. Supply Zone Above: The upper green zone marks a supply region, from where the bearish rejection initiated, reinforcing the bearish bias. ✅ Conclusion: This is a textbook example of a trend reversal setup: CHoCH ➤ BOS ➤ Pullback ➤ Continuation. Traders may watch for short opportunities after a bearish retest, with the green demand zone below as a potential take-profit area.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
Fed Rate Decision May Trigger a Decline in Gold PricesDespite heightened tensions in the Middle East providing safe-haven support, gold failed to break through the 3450–3455 resistance zone today and instead pulled back to the 3400–3386 support area. This decline was mainly driven by two factors: Iran expressed willingness to resume nuclear talks, easing geopolitical tensions and weakening safe-haven demand. Growing expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged this week strengthened the DXY, reducing gold's appeal. That said, inflation concerns persist, offering medium-term support to gold. On the technical front, the 3378–3340 consolidation zone may serve as secondary support, while stronger trend support lies in the 3310–3289 range—a level that may only be tested under extreme bearish conditions. For now, the primary support to watch is 3386–3373, with short-term rebound resistance around 3400–3420. Trading Suggestion: Ahead of the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow, consider buying on dips, as today’s decline may lead to a technical rebound. Then reassess the market’s response to key support and resistance levels to determine further action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Arthur3017
XAU/USD:Iran's Peace Moves Spark Market TurbulenceI. Iran Signals De-escalation US media reports suggest Iran, under Israeli airstrike pressure, has used Arab intermediaries to send peace signals to the US and Israel—demanding the US stay out of airstrikes as a precondition for restarting nuclear talks, and stressing to Israel that violence control serves mutual interests. II. Israel Stays Resolute Israeli warplanes freely overfly Iran's capital, with Iran's counterattacks proving ineffective. Israel remains focused on dismantling Iran's nuclear facilities and weakening its theocratic regime, showing no short-term incentive to cease fire. III. Gold's Reaction and Strategy Iran's peace overtures triggered gold's plunge to $3,382. Yet with no tangible Middle East de-escalation, dip-buying is advised, with attention on the $3,400 support level. XAUUSD buy@3380-3390 tp:3400-3410 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
GOLD bearish outlook if the fundamental not involve.This is a smart money concept (SMC) based technical analysis chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, showing a bearish market bias. Key Terms & Annotations: BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a bullish breakout in the earlier phase of the market. $$$ (Liquidity Grab): A sweep of previous highs, used to trap traders before reversing. OB (Order Block): The last bullish candle before a bearish move; potential supply zone. CHoCH (Change of Character): A bearish signal showing potential reversal of trend. EQL (Equal Lows): Liquidity lying below; possible target for price. FVG (Fair Value Gap): An inefficiency in price, where price may retrace to fill the gap. 📉 Trading Idea Summary: The price recently showed a Change of Character (CHoCH) and started moving downward, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish. A bearish order block (OB) and a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone above current price suggest a potential retracement area before continuing down. The note on the chart says: "If the price breaks out with a strong body, then go for short." Meaning: Wait for price to break below the current support area (EQL) with a strong bearish candle body. If that happens, it's a signal to enter a short (sell) trade. Target zone is marked near 3,374.285, which is the next liquidity level or demand zone. Conclusion: The setup suggests: Wait for a strong breakout below current support. If confirmed, enter a short trade targeting lower liquidity levels. Be cautious if price retraces into the FVG or OB zone, as it may provide another short entry.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by m_zeeshan3644
I think these 2 scenarios can happen for gold to reach new ATHGold supported by Israel-Iran conflict, US intervention in focus Gold's sharp rise came late last week after Israel struck multiple targets in Iran, including Tehran's nuclear facilities. The attack sparked fierce retaliation from Iran, which launched a barrage of missiles at key Israeli targets, including the financial capital Tel Aviv. Some of the Iranian missiles were also seen penetrating Israel's "Iron Dome" defense system. What do you think? Best regards, StarrOne !!!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by StarrOne
1
Fed Rate Decision May Trigger a Decline in Gold PricesDespite heightened tensions in the Middle East providing safe-haven support, gold failed to break through the 3450–3455 resistance zone today and instead pulled back to the 3400–3386 support area. This decline was mainly driven by two factors: Iran expressed willingness to resume nuclear talks, easing geopolitical tensions and weakening safe-haven demand. Growing expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged this week strengthened the DXY, reducing gold's appeal. That said, inflation concerns persist, offering medium-term support to gold. On the technical front, the 3378–3340 consolidation zone may serve as secondary support, while stronger trend support lies in the 3310–3289 range—a level that may only be tested under extreme bearish conditions. For now, the primary support to watch is 3386–3373, with short-term rebound resistance around 3400–3420. Trading Suggestion: Ahead of the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow, consider buying on dips, as today’s decline may lead to a technical rebound. Then reassess the market’s response to key support and resistance levels to determine further action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Arthur3017
Gold rebound continues to be short! (Exclusive trend analysis)Although gold has fallen below 3400, and the short-term direction has changed, the general direction remains unchanged and it is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize before we can buy the bottom. When there is an opportunity to go long later, Charlie will tell you that in today's market, we can only follow the trend. We will do whatever the market does. We will go short first in the rebound in the next two days! FOREXCOM:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Charlie_Analyst
XAUUSD: Analysis H4 next weekThe continued tension in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) has led to a flight to safe havens, a key driver for gold. Reduced pressure from the USD due to expectations that the Fed will slow down its rate cut (~September), coupled with inflationary pressures, could support gold prices If tensions in the Middle East do not ease next week, gold's rally could extend and we could see 3500. But be careful, as if tensions ease and some good news from the USD comes, the rally could be halted.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
Gold intraday trading strategyToday's technical trend, from the hourly line, it opened slightly higher and hit a high point. The market was resistant to declines and rose in steps; the stochastic indicator on the 4-hour line continued to form a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the continuous positive and broken positive slowly rose, which is a main long signal; the sideways support is the support position of 3425-3428; it is recommended to follow the trend; refer to the retracement support; the upper pressure position is 3488-93; the stochastic indicator in the daily K-line formed a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the continuous positive rise is the main long signal; the upper track of BOLL temporarily stabilized, and the daily K-line is mainly a bullish signal; and in terms of form, the 3488-93 line is not a high point; the stochastic indicator in the weekly K-line formed a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the big positive line rose for the second time. In summary, today's thinking is mainly to continue to rise, and the pullback is a chance to go long! From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is 3425-28, and the key support below is around the recent top and bottom conversion position of 3375-80. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish. Next week, we will focus on the suppression of 3488-93. The daily level continues to maintain the same rhythm of retracement and long positions. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. Gold operation strategy: Gold retracement 3425-28 line long, stop loss 3314, target 3488-3490 line, continue to hold if broken;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AgnesGreen
1
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10. The short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. The short position against the trend needs to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high. Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add to long position. Stop loss at 3384. Target at 3445-3450. Continue to hold if it breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RodneyBridges
Iran seeks peace, Israel strikes – Gold dip, buy opportunity🌍 Iran's peace overtures sent gold prices plummeting to 3382, but Israel is unlikely to accept the olive branch lightly. With no clear signs of de-escalation in the Middle East situation, it's advisable to continue going long at lower levels 📉→📈 Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu vows military strikes will continue until Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missile capabilities are fully dismantled—showing no signs of halting ⚡. While he claims regime change is not the objective, he notes that given the weakness of Iran's leadership, political upheaval could emerge as a collateral outcome of the operations 🌪️ 🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 3385 - 3390 🚀 TP 3410 - 3420 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_1
Gold Regains Bullish MomentumGold Regains Bullish Momentum Gold price started a fresh surge above the $3,375 resistance level. Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today - Gold price started a fresh surge and traded above $3,420 against the US Dollar. - A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,415 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen. Gold Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,300 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,350 and $3,375 resistance levels. There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,400. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,420 resistance zone. A high was formed near $3,450 and the price is now consolidating gains. On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,415 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,301 swing low to the $3,451 high. Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,415. The next major support sits at $3,375 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,301 swing low to the $3,451 high. A downside break below the $3,375 support might send the price toward the $3,335 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,300 support zone. Immediate resistance is near the $3,450 level. The next major resistance is near the $3,460 level. An upside break above the $3,460 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,480. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,500 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
Middle East Tensions Soar, Bulls Remain DominantBrief Update on Escalating Israel-Iran Conflict: On June 14, Israeli forces airstruck Iran's Defense Ministry, nuclear facilities, and oil installations—causing a Tehran residential building to collapse and killing 60 civilians. 💥 Iran fired 50 ballistic missiles into Israel, damaging structures in Tel Aviv. A senior advisor to Iran's Supreme Leader died from injuries; Israel released a hit list of 9 Iranian nuclear scientists. ⚠️ Iran Nuclear Talks Developments: Iran announced new nuclear safeguards without IAEA notice, warning NPT withdrawal if sanctioned. 🛑 June 15th U.S.-Iran talks canceled. ⏳ The Middle East situation is currently heating up 🌍💥. With the intensifying of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East over the weekend, gold is likely to continue to benefit from the boost of risk-averse sentiment next week and may break through the $3,500 mark 📈. The price of gold will also be affected by the Federal Reserve's decision and Powell's speech during the week 🏛️. In addition, US President Trump will visit Canada to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit from June 15th to 17th, and his speech at that time may also affect the fluctuation of gold prices, which is worthy of attention 🇺🇸🇨🇦 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 3410 - 3415 🚀 TP 3480 - 3490 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_1
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10, and the short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high. Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add more positions. Stop loss 3384, target 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AgnesGreen
1