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Trump's comments boost risk aversionThe 4-hour K-line pattern of gold shows that the upward trend remains intact. The focus of the day is on the strong support range of 3360-3365 (technical resonance with the 5-week moving average). Before the price effectively breaks below the support band, the bulls still have upward momentum, otherwise the trend may reverse. The 3365-3420 range is maintained for the day. In the evening, the gold operation strategy, Mr. Weng, suggested that the callback to the 3370-3375 area should be arranged in batches. If the support of 3360-3365 is broken, add positions to go long. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to go long at the callback to 3370-3375 for gold now, and add positions to go long at the support level of 3360-3365, with a stop loss at 3352 and a target of 3380-3420.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BarnettWolf
3365-3400: The Battle Zone for Bulls and BearsCurrently, gold trades at 3386 📊. Key levels: resistance 3400, support 3365 🛑. Watch real-time news (Fed speeches 🎙️, Middle East geopolitics 🌍), which can shift bull-bear balance 🐂🐻. Long setup: If price drops to 3365-3370 with bullish news (Fed dovish 🕊️, geopolitical tension 🔥) and bullish K-lines (long lower shadows 🕯️), go long 💰. Stop below 3360 🛑. Target 3390-3400 🎯. Take partial profits if news cools 📦. Short setup: If price rebounds to 3400-3405 with bearish news (strong US data 📈, geopolitical ease 🧘) and bearish K-lines (long upper shadows 🕯️), go short 💰. Stop above 3410 🛑. Initial target 3380-3375 🎯. Extend to support if bearish news persists 🔍. Gold Trading Strategies sell@ 3400-3405 tp:3380-3370 buy@3365-3370 tp:3390-3400 Professional trading strategies are pushed daily 📊 Lock in precise signals amid market fluctuations 🚀 Confused about market trends? Stuck in strategy bottlenecks? Real-time strategies serve as your "trading compass" 🌐 From trend analysis to entry/exit points, dissect market logic comprehensively Refer now 📲 Help you move steadily forward in investments ✨ 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LenBessemer
Gold falls back and then risesThe recent market has been up and down, and the long and short positions have been frequently switched. Many investment friends are caught off guard or don’t know where to start. As soon as they buy, the price drops, and when they exit, the price rises. In fact, this is the situation that many novice friends will encounter. Here I tell you that when trading, first of all, do not trade frequently. Secondly, you need to have a precise control of the market and stick to your own trading system. Analysis of gold trend: Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It is just a wave of highs. It quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now after falling below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support and the weekly MA5 support to go long. Pay attention to the 3403-3408 resistance card short on the rebound. You can follow the short, but it can only be short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does. We will go short in the rebound in the next two days! From a technical perspective, the current 4-hour MACD high dead cross with large volume, and the smart indicator STO is running oversold, which represents the 4-hour oscillation trend. The current 4-hour Bollinger Band three-track narrowing also represents the range compression. The current 4-hour upper pressure is located at the adhesion point of the middle track and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, and the corresponding support is the 3380-3363 line near the moving average MA30 and MA10. From the current 4-hour perspective, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current 1-hour MACD dead cross of gold is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator STO is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to oscillate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion and suppression of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term. Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go short near 3410-12, stop loss at 3420, target at 3390-3380, break at 3370;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WardBloomer
The situation in the Middle East is in turmoil again! (Exclusive (Fifth day of Iran-Israel conflict: Trump leaves G7 ahead of schedule, Middle East situation stirs up waves again!)👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇 The conflict between Iran and Israel has continued to the fifth day, the war has not subsided, and the situation is becoming increasingly tense. Due to the sudden escalation of the situation in the Middle East, US President Trump left the G7 summit held in Canada one day ahead of schedule, which aroused widespread concern in the international community. On Tuesday (June 17), Trump strongly warned Iran through social media, demanding that it sign the nuclear agreement immediately and calling on Tehran residents to evacuate. At the same time, both Iran and Israel reported heavy casualties and infrastructure damage, ceasefire negotiations were deadlocked, and uncertainty in the global market was further exacerbated. Iran and Israel: The fifth day of tit-for-tat👇 Explosions over Tehran On Tuesday morning, violent explosions were heard over the Iranian capital of Tehran, and the air defense system was operating at full capacity, trying to intercept incoming missiles. According to Iranian media Asriran, Natanz, the site of an important nuclear facility about 320 kilometers from Tehran, also activated high-alert air defense measures. Iranian officials revealed that 224 people have died in Iran in the past five days, most of whom are innocent civilians. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi issued a statement through the social platform X, accusing Israel of "aggression" and warning that Iran will continue to respond strongly if Israel does not stop its military operations. Midnight alarm in Tel Aviv At the same time, Tel Aviv, Israel's financial center, also sounded an air raid alarm after midnight, and explosions resounded through the night sky. It is reported that this is another round of missile attacks launched by Iran against Israel. According to official Israeli statistics, the conflict has killed 24 civilians and nearly 3,000 people have been forced to evacuate due to security threats. Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich said that Iran's attack has had a serious impact on the lives of Israeli people and the government is doing its best to deal with it. The shadow of nuclear facilities Iran's Natanz nuclear facility, as the focus of global attention, has once again become a sensitive target in the conflict. Although Iran stressed that its air defense system successfully protected key facilities, the tension in the region has undoubtedly exacerbated international concerns about Iran's nuclear program. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly stated on Monday that Israel will eliminate the threat posed by Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs at all costs. He also hinted that if the goal can be achieved through diplomatic means, Israel is willing to give Iran a "60-day opportunity." Trump's tough stance and early departure from the G7 summit "Iran must sign a deal!" Trump published a fierce post on Truth Social, a social media platform he founded, calling Iran's refusal to sign an agreement to curb the development of nuclear weapons a "shame" and a "waste of life." He repeatedly stressed that "Iran cannot have nuclear weapons" and urged residents of Tehran to evacuate immediately. Trump's remarks sparked controversy, with some seeing them as a direct threat to Iran and others interpreting them as him paving the way for possible military action. Interruption of the G7 Summit The White House confirmed that Trump decided to leave the G7 summit one day early on Monday night due to the sharp deterioration of the situation in the Middle East and go to Washington to hold a National Security Council meeting. French President Macron expressed support for this, believing that Trump's decision created conditions for Israel and Iran to accept the ceasefire agreement proposed by the United States. However, Trump's early departure also caused concerns among some allies, who feared that the United States' leadership in global affairs might be affected. U.S. official clarification In response to speculation that the United States might directly participate in military action against Iran, a White House aide explicitly denied the claim. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said in an interview with Fox News that Trump's primary goal is still to reach a nuclear agreement with Iran, while emphasizing that the United States will resolutely defend its assets and interests in the Middle East. The tortuous prospects of ceasefire negotiations Iran's compromise signal According to Reuters, citing sources, Iran has sent a message to Trump through Middle Eastern countries such as Oman, Qatar and Saudi Arabia, asking him to put pressure on Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to promote an immediate ceasefire. In return, Iran promised to show greater flexibility in nuclear negotiations. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said at X that if Trump really wants to end the conflict through diplomatic means, the next action will be crucial. He also warned that if Israel continues to "aggress", Iran's response will be unrelenting. Israel's tough stance Netanyahu reiterated that Israel will not compromise on Iran's nuclear threats and missile programs. He said that military action is the most direct means at present, but it has not completely closed the door to diplomatic negotiations. However, the voices of hardliners in Israel are growing louder and louder, believing that any compromise may weaken national security. Summary: The complex game of the situation in the Middle East The fifth day of conflict between Iran and Israel has not only exacerbated the turmoil in the Middle East, but also focused global attention on this sensitive area again. Trump's tough stance, early departure from the G7 summit, and the difficult progress of ceasefire negotiations highlight the complexity and uncertainty of the current situation. The compromise signals released by Iran through third countries are in sharp contrast to Israel's tough stance, and the future direction is still full of variables. Analysis of the impact on gold prices The continued tension in the Middle East usually pushes up the demand for safe-haven assets. As a traditional safe-haven asset, the price of gold is often boosted in such geopolitical crises. The escalation of the conflict between Iran and Israel may lead to increased investor concerns about the stability of the global economy, further pushing up gold prices. However, if the ceasefire negotiations make a breakthrough or Trump's diplomatic efforts ease tensions, gold prices may face correction pressure. In the short term, market sentiment will dominate gold price fluctuations, and investors need to pay close attention to the dynamics of the conflict and related diplomatic progress. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Analyst
Hormuz oil tanker catches fire, is this Iran’s “shadow war”?Three ships or tankers caught fire in the Gulf of Oman near the Strait of Hormuz. The burning ships were reportedly located at the Khor Fakkan anchorage near Fujairah on the coast of the United Arab Emirates. The incident raised concerns about a possible repeat of the 2019 tanker attacks, which were widely believed to be carried out by Iran as tensions in the Middle East increased under Trump's "maximum pressure" campaign. It is worth noting that the current incident took place at the same location as the previous attack. Forexlive reported that one of the ships currently on fire may be the "ADALYNN". The specific cause of the fire is still unclear. ADALYNN is a crude oil tanker. There are unconfirmed reports that the fire outside the Strait of Hormuz was caused by a collision between two tankers (ADALYNN and Front Eagle). After the above news came out, international oil prices rose. However, later US media reported that Trump's team proposed to negotiate with Iran this week, and crude oil and gold prices fell accordingly. It is worth mentioning that on Monday, the UK Maritime Trade Organization (UKMTO) said it had received multiple reports of increased electronic interference to ships in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, confirmed by automatic identification system monitoring. Local naval forces also said on Monday that electronic interference to merchant ship navigation systems in the Strait of Hormuz and the wider Gulf region has surged in recent days, affecting ships passing through the area. The Joint Maritime Information Center (JMIC) of the US-led multinational maritime joint force said in a notice: "JMIC continues to receive reports of electronic interference from the vicinity of Bandar Abbas (Iran), the Strait of Hormuz and several other areas in the Arabian Gulf. These interferences are increasing throughout the region and have a significant impact on the Gulf region itself. This interference is affecting the ability of ships to accurately transmit position data through the automatic identification system, causing operational and navigation challenges to maritime traffic." There is a straightforward way to think about the financial risks of the current Middle East conflict. According to this simple view, escalating hostilities between Iran and Israel will only have a major impact on investors if Tehran closes the Strait of Hormuz, blocking a key flow of global oil shipments and causing prices to soar. There is some truth to this theory, but it underestimates the possibility that other things could go wrong. As the conflict enters its fifth day, it is clear that cooler heads on both sides are having trouble prevailing. In an interview with Fox News on Sunday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that regime change in Tehran could be the result of an Israeli military attack on the country. This would make Iran's political leaders feel insecure. Conventional wisdom holds that escalation would include closing the Strait of Hormuz. But that doesn't mean there isn't a real danger that Tehran's Revolutionary Guards or Yemen's Iran-allied Houthi rebels could set their sights on trade routes through the Gulf. Iran and its proxies have long been linked to disrupting shipping in the region. In 2019, two Saudi oil tankers were sabotaged off the coast of Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates. Tehran denied the mine attack, but the United States said it was "almost certainly" from Iran. Hundreds of international ships were targeted as far back as the Iran-Iraq War in the 1980s. The United States, Europe and Saudi Arabia blamed Iran for the 2019 Abqaiq drone strike, which briefly knocked out half of Saudi oil production, but Iran again denied involvement. The Houthis began launching repeated attacks in the Red Sea last year, prompting most global shipping to detour around Africa. If Iran and its allies go down that path again, the Bahrain-based U.S. Fifth Fleet would likely intervene to protect maritime trade. But it also raises the possibility that it would be formally drawn into the current confrontation. Investors who are currently self-soothing have plenty of reasons to feel reassured. They argue that while Israel has expanded its operations from striking Iranian commanders to energy infrastructure, it has avoided Iran's key Kharg Island terminal, a gateway for 90% of its oil exports. They also see no signs that Tehran will interfere with ships in the Hormuz Corridor. Moreover, oil exports bring in about $50 billion a year for Tehran's battered economy, suggesting that Tehran has good reasons to avoid Hormuz. On top of that, various flashpoints between Iran and Israel in recent years have generally ended quickly. These reasons explain why Brent crude oil prices continue to hover around $75 a barrel, with relatively small gains since Israel launched its first attack last week. But Reuters columnist George Hay said that investors who fail to consider the risks mentioned above may simply not have learned the right lessons from history. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD FOREXCOM:USOIL PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FX:USOIL
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Analyst
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunities📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical risks 2. Expected Fed policy 📈 Market analysis: The market opened higher in the morning and then continued to fall. From a medium-term perspective, the market is still in a medium-term bullish position. The price will only be under further pressure if it breaks below the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. Judging from the 1H chart, the short-term death cross continues to fall. At the same time, according to the 4H level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3403. This support is the key watershed of the short-term trend. As long as it does not fall below this support, the bulls still have a chance. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3413-3403 TP 3430-3440 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
Safe-Haven Demand Drives Gold Higher – 3500 Within ReachWishing everyone a peaceful weekend—despite turbulent times. This weekend has been anything but calm. The escalating conflict in the Middle East continues to widen, with rising casualties. As always, war is often a pursuit of power by those at the top, while the real cost is borne by innocent civilians. Though we are mere observers from afar, it’s hard not to feel the weight of the situation. From a geopolitical perspective, this conflict coincides with U.S.–Iran nuclear negotiations. Could this be a calculated move by certain powers to shift the balance in their favor? While it remains speculative, what’s certain is that the intensifying conflict is already shaking global financial markets. In such a climate, safe-haven assets are clearly benefiting. Gold’s upward momentum appears firmly established, and oil’s direction hinges on the situation at the Strait of Hormuz. If the strait is closed, a surge in USOIL prices toward $100 would no longer seem unlikely. Under the influence of such impactful news, traditional technical analysis plays a lesser role. The market direction is largely determined by sentiment, and chart patterns now serve more as entry point references rather than decisive indicators. My trading outlook for Monday: If gold opens with a bullish gap and rallies toward the 3480–3500 zone, this area could present a short-term selling opportunity—ideally executed with a quick in-and-out strategy; If a pullback follows, look to build intraday long positions: aggressive traders may consider entries near 3430, while conservative ones can wait for a potential retest of the 3418 level. One crucial reminder: News-driven markets are highly uncertain. Eventually, every war comes to an end, and when the demand for safe havens fades, so too will prices. Stay rational in your decisions, and always manage your risk appropriately.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
XAUUSD Long Position Gold is currently in a retracement with the potential for a further to the upside from the $3400 break-and-retest level. Last week we saw a massive rally to the upside for Gold after 2 days of indecision, during this rally, Gold broke above the $3400 resistance zone and now has the potential to use this level and platform to bounce further to the upside. On the 4 hour timeframe, Gold is comfortable trading above the 50 SMA and the $3400 potentially lays in the 45-55 zone of the RSI which is the sweet spot region indicating the need of a retracement and continuation of the the primary trend which is bullish. Will be looking to trade from $3400 with Stop loss below structure towards the $3445 resistance level.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fides_Trading
XAUUSD:Waiting to go long For gold I am still bullish, do long, rather than blindly chase long. Today's lowest reretreat to around 3408, from the short-term level or long willingness is stronger, the hourly level is a little pressure, trading can wait for the pullback before buying long, the important support below 3404. Short-term support looks at 3407-12 Trading Strategy: BUY@3407-12 TP:3427-30 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
How to position gold in the week of the Federal Reserve’s decisiAs last week came to a close, further geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushed market risk aversion to its highest level in nearly two months. This round of rising prices was driven by multiple factors. Among them, the weak inflation data released by the United States last week further strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's loose monetary policy, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold assets. In the short term, gold prices are expected to continue to be supported by risk aversion on Monday. In addition, the market this week needs to focus on the impact of the Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech on gold prices. Everyone should pay close attention to the price fluctuations that may be caused by the Fed's policy trends. It is particularly important to note that US President Trump plans to attend the G7 summit in Canada from June 15 to 17. His policy statements during the summit may also have an important impact on the gold market. Investors are advised to keep an eye on it. Technically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue. Operation strategy: Gold recommends buying long positions near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AgnesGreen
Gold is on a roller coaster rideTechnically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. This week, we need to focus on monitoring two major support levels: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to buy gold near 3420-3415 when it falls back. Click the homepage for more information
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BarbaraFranklin
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis - 16 June 20254H Chart: Market Structure & Bias Gold’s 4-hour chart shows a bullish structure: price has been making higher highs and higher lows (a valid Break of Structure/BOS) No bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) signal is present to suggest a reversal, so the overall bias remains bullish. In other words, the trend is intact and buyers still dominate. Key moving averages (not shown) also slope upward, reinforcing a “buy the dip” bias. We note that price recently stalled near 3427–3435, forming a small consolidation. This clustered area around the recent high acts as a near-term supply (resistance) zone (a possible order block where big players sold). On the downside, prior support is visible around 3380–3400, where buyers stepped in on earlier pullbacks. In summary, the 4H bias is bullish, with dips into demand areas likely to attract buying interest. Support/Demand Zones: At ~3380–3400 there is significant buying interest (a demand zone), as well as a minor support band around 3330–3350. These areas coincide with key Fibonacci retracements (around 50–62% of the last rally), making them high-probability bounce zones. Resistance/Supply Zones: On the upside, the 3420–3435 range is resistance (recent swing high and a bearish order-block area). Farther above, 3470–3485 is a major resistance cluster (around prior highs and a 61.8% extension), where supply may re-emerge. Key Zones (4H Chart) Buy Zone 1 (Demand): 3380–3400. This zone acted as support on prior pullbacks and aligns with ~50%–62% Fibonacci retracement levels. It represents a demand area (many buy orders), so bounces are likely here. Buy Zone 2 (Support): 3330–3350. A deeper support area where buyers piled in previously. It coincides with the 61.8% Fib retrace of the last leg, making it a strong multi-purpose support/demand zone. Sell Zone 1 (Supply): 3420–3435. This marks the recent 4H swing high and a potential bearish order block. It has already capped rallies, so price may stall or reverse here on a retest. Sell Zone 2 (Resistance): 3470–3485. A higher cluster of resistance (major psychological level and Fib extension) where selling could appear if gold extends its rally. This is a logical profit-taking area. Each of these zones is a range (not just a line) to allow for some trade flexibility. We watch for price action (like pin bars or breakouts) within these ranges to signal entries. 1H Chart: Trade Setups Buy at 3385–3395 (Long). Entry Zone: 3385–3395 (just above the lower demand zone). Stop-Loss: ~10 USD below the zone (around 3375). Take-Profit: 3420 (minor resistance) and 3460 (next supply cluster). Reason: This zone combines the 4H demand area and ~50% Fib support. We expect bulls to defend this zone. Trigger: Wait for a bullish reversal candle on 1H (e.g. a strong bullish pin bar or engulfing candle with a long lower wick). Such a candle (long-tail wick) at support indicates a liquidity grab by buyers. Alternatively, a clear 1H BOS above the last minor swing high would confirm strength and serve as a breakout entry. Buy on 3425–3430 breakout (Long). Entry Zone: Break above 3425–3430 (just above the recent 4H high). Stop-Loss: ~10 USD below entry (around 3415). Take-Profit: 3480–3490 (next resistance zone). Reason: A push through the 3420–3435 supply zone would show buyers overcoming sellers. This would keep the uptrend running. The breakout opens room toward the 3470–3485 resistance area. Trigger: Enter on a 1H bullish breakout/close above 3430 (a new higher high) – i.e. a bullish BOS confirming continued uptrend. Optionally look for a pullback to 3425 as a retest entry if the breakout is swift. Buy at 3330–3340 (Long). Entry Zone: 3330–3340 (deeper support zone on 4H). Stop-Loss: ~10 USD below the zone (around 3320). Take-Profit: 3380 (first target), then 3420. Reason: This is a strong support/demand area (4H 61.8% Fib support). A drop here would be a deeper pullback – a higher-risk entry with a bigger reward if buyers step in. Trigger: Look for a clear bullish reversal on 1H (e.g. hammer/engulfing candle) or a shift in structure (price fails to make a new low and instead forms a higher low). A bullish candlestick in this zone implies demand is defending it. Each setup is aligned with the 4H bullish bias (we’re looking for long opportunities at support zones or breakouts). The ~$10 stops are set just beyond the defined entry zone, giving each trade a favorable risk/reward. Takeaway: Gold’s 4-hour trend is up. We favor buying near the identified demand/support zones (or on a confirmed breakout above recent highs) and targeting the next resistance levels. Use tight stops (~$10 beyond each zone) and aim for 2:1+ reward on these high-probability setups. Trade with the trend and respect the key zones above.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Watch for price action near the upper resistance and trendline.XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) 1H chart analysis: 📊 XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Overview: The chart shows a clear ascending channel pattern, indicating a short-term bullish trend. Price action is currently respecting the channel boundaries well. 🔹 Key Highlights: Support Zone: The green horizontal zone around 3,310 – 3,330 represents a strong demand area where price previously reversed. Resistance Zone: The upper green box near 3,460 – 3,470 marks a significant supply area where potential selling pressure could emerge. Current Position: Price is trading near the mid-to-upper range of the ascending channel, showing bullish momentum. 🔀 Projection: Two potential scenarios are outlined: Bullish Continuation: Price may continue to respect the channel and push towards the resistance zone before reacting. Bearish Reversal: If price fails to break higher and shows weakness, a breakdown below the channel could lead to a sharp move toward the lower demand zone (3,310 area). 📌 Outlook: Watch for price action near the upper resistance and trendline. A break above may lead to further gains, while rejection or bearish candlestick patterns could confirm a potential reversal setup.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
1
Safe-Haven Demand Expected to Push Gold Prices Toward 3500Last week, intensifying conflict between Israel and Iran triggered a strong wave of risk-off sentiment in the markets. As a result, we saw sharp rallies across major safe-haven assets and crude oil. Over the weekend, tensions continued to escalate and even showed signs of further expansion. Under such circumstances, it's clear that heightened geopolitical risk will continue to support gold prices. However, 📍$3500 remains a major resistance zone at the moment. If gold spikes to this level intraday, it’s very likely we’ll see a short-term pullback — Whether due to profit-taking, cautious positioning by sideline capital, or selling pressure from trapped shorts above 3490, ⚠️ this kind of correction is a natural market reaction — driven by human nature. Even with strong risk-off demand in place, after a $200 rally, the market is still subject to volatility from profit-taking behaviors. 🔑 Trading Strategy for This Week As long as tensions in the Middle East persist, 🎯 the primary bias remains bullish. However, the entry point is crucial. 💡 Important notes: Avoid chasing price after sudden spikes caused by breaking news. Those spikes are not ideal buy zones — instead, look for short-term selling opportunities at those highs. Once the price pulls back, assess the retracement level and key supports before looking to buy the dip. We are now within a historically high price range, which means any rally could trigger profit-taking from earlier longs. While the overall trend may still head higher, ⚠️ you need to carefully evaluate the size of potential pullbacks and whether your account can withstand the associated risks. 📊 Technical Levels to Watch: Resistance: 3450-3455 (minor), 3468-3474 (previous high), and 3487-3499 (major historical high) Support: 3420–3410 zone, and the deeper 3400–3386 range Stay alert, trade wisely, and remember — in volatile geopolitical environments, timing and discipline are more important than ever.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Arthur3017
XAU/USD 16-20 June 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025. Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH. This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments. Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly Forecast - 16 to 20 June 2025🔥 Gold (XAU/USD) Weekly Outlook | June 16–20, 2025 🧭 Macro & Geopolitical Context Israel–Iran war (Operation Rising Lion) has escalated: Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear and missile infrastructure on June 13, followed by Iranian missile/drone retaliation, have sharply intensified regional conflict . The safe‑haven bid is in full swing: spot gold surged toward $3,500, breaking $3,400 last week, driven by risk‑off flows and a weaker US dollar . 🧩 Fundamental Catalysts 1. Fed dovish tilt: May CPI/PPI prints came in soft, lifting expectations for rate cuts. No change is expected at the June 18 meeting, but the Fed’s dot‑plot and Powell’s tone offer upside triggers . 2. Technical breakout: Gold has reclaimed key levels—23.6% Fibonacci (~ $3,377) now acts as support, with the next resistance zones at $3,450 → $3,500 . 3. Bank & analyst sentiment: Goldman Sachs sees potential for $3,700 by year-end; Bank of America projects a path toward $4,000/oz . 📊 Technical Setup & Levels Support: $3,400; next down at $3,377 (23.6% Fibo) and $3,325 (21‑day SMA) . Resistance: $3,450 → major barrier $3,500 (all‑time high). Momentum: RSI around 62—leaves room for further upside . Catalysts to Monitor June 18 Fed meeting: Dot‑plot, Powell’s press conference. Any Iran retaliation or widening of the conflict. Short‑term US data: June CPI, PPI, Retail Sales (especially mid‑week). USD strength or weakness—dollar reversal could clip gold gains. Follow for more updates #XAUUSD #GOLD #Goldanalysis #WeeklyAnalysis #trade
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by RANANADEEMFX
Unlock Gold's Secrets: A Daily Tape Reading Analysis for XAUUSDHey everyone! Today, we're diving deep into XAUUSD (Gold) using a daily candle tape reading approach that aims to uncover critical turning points and price levels. If you're looking for an edge in understanding Gold's movements, this analysis could be a game-changer. On the accompanying chart, you'll see yellow horizontal lines that highlight key bullish and bearish price levels. These aren't just arbitrary lines; they represent significant battlegrounds where buyers and sellers have historically shown their hand. In addition, the vertical lines on the chart pinpoint specific days where we've observed a change in trade direction or a potential reversal. It's important to note that these shifts can sometimes occur within one or two candles before or after the marked day, so keep an eye on the immediate vicinity. We're interpreting these price levels with a 3% to 5% tolerance, allowing for the natural ebb and flow of the market around these crucial points. Key Price Levels to Watch: Bullish Price Levels: 3477.67: A critical zone where bullish momentum has historically taken hold. 3522.40: Another strong support level that could propel Gold higher. 3562.30: Watch this level for signs of continued upward pressure. 3631.31: A significant resistance-turned-support level that could signal a strong bullish continuation. Bearish Price Levels: 3323.72: A key level where bearish pressure has often intensified. 3245.09: If this level breaks, it could indicate further downside for Gold. 3165.42: A crucial support level; a breach here could accelerate a downtrend. 3077.23: The ultimate test for the bears; a break below could signal a more substantial correction. __________________________________________________________________________________ What are your thoughts on these levels? Have you noticed similar patterns in your own XAUUSD analysis? Share your insights in the comments below! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance
OANDA:XAUUSD
by shoonya0000
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Towa🔥 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Towards New ATH 📈✨ 📊 Chart Overview: Gold has shown a strong bullish daily candle breakout above the key Resistance & Support Zone around $3,430, turning this critical level into a potential support. The upward move signals continuation of the trend, especially amid global tensions (as annotated: “War going on...”), which historically drive gold prices higher due to its safe-haven appeal. 🪙🛡️ 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🟩 Resistance Turned Support – Price has decisively broken the previous resistance (green zone), suggesting bulls are in control. A successful retest of this area could provide a solid base for further upside. 🚀 Next Target: New All-Time High (ATH) – The chart projects a bullish move towards the $3,480+ level, forming a new ATH. Momentum and macroeconomic factors (e.g., geopolitical conflict) support this bias. 🟫 Support Level – The orange zone below (~$3,140–$3,160) remains a strong support area and demand zone, providing a cushion if price pulls back. 🕯️ Candlestick Structure – Recent candles show strong bullish momentum with minimal wicks on top, indicating buyers are closing near highs — a bullish signal. 📈 Projection Path – An ideal bullish path is visualized: a potential pullback/retest followed by a continuation rally. 🔔 Conclusion: Gold looks poised to rally further, supported by technical breakout and macro catalysts. 📌 Watch for: Confirmation of the retest holding. Continuation volume. Potential pullbacks as re-entry opportunities. 🛎️ Trading Idea: Buy on retest confirmation ✅ 🎯 Target: $3,480+ 🛡️ Stop-loss: Below $3,410 (to protect against false breakout) 📌 Stay alert for global headlines! 🌍📰 Gold remains a prime asset in uncertain times.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VikingFx-Community