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Gold may face sharp fluctuations,The risk of downside increases!Technical analysis: Gold daily line rose by more than $100 on Thursday, creating a rare single-day increase in more than ten years. The cumulative increase in three days exceeded $200, and the technical indicators were overbought. The current gold price is in the stage of accelerating to the top. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance of the 3245-3250 area, and be alert to the risk of falling back after a high. Although the trend is still strong, the effectiveness of technical analysis is weakened under the guidance of news. It is recommended to focus on high altitude. This week is the fifth week of rising, and the probability of a change on Friday increases. Ⅰ: The daily indicator macd golden cross is initially established, and the smart indicator sto quickly repairs upward, representing the bullish trend of the price. At present, because it is a historical high, there is no resistance point to judge, so we can only try it based on the small cycle indicators. The current support point of the daily line is located near the moving average MA5 and MA10, 3096-3088, and it is not considered to be far away from the candlestick chart. Ⅱ: The current macd high golden cross in 4 hours is oscillating with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is overbought, which means that the price is oscillating at a high level. Because the indicators are at a relatively high level, they may face short-term peak signals at any time. Currently, we are focusing on the support line of 3176 near the MA5 moving average. Ⅲ: The hourly MACD is currently oscillating with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, which means that the hourly line is still oscillating strongly. The current focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through 3220 this hour, it will continue to look for a high point. Otherwise, a small cycle peak signal will be formed at this position. The current support below the hourly line is located at the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, and the focus is on the MA10 support line of 3185. Comprehensive thinking: The current price is oscillating at a high level, and the short-term focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through, the price will continue to move upward. The current focus below is the support near 3190. If it falls below, the price may move to around 3150-3135. Strategy: Refer to 3440-45 for short selling
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
XAU/USD 11 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed as per my analysis dated 04 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high and printing bullish iBOS. We currently do not have an indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. It is possible for price to potentially print higher highs in order to reposition CHoCH closer to current price action. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH. Price has continued higher without a meaningful pullback, therefore, I will not classify previous iBOS, which is marked in red, as a bullish iBOS. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Shaking Hands with All-Time HighsSafe-haven assets caught a strong bid in recent trading, directing Spot Gold to all-time highs of US$3,220/troy ounce versus the US dollar (XAU/USD). The shift towards safe-haven markets was fuelled by softer demand for the USD as markets fled dollar assets, as well as escalating trade tensions between the US and China. Unsurprisingly, the Swiss franc (CHF) and Japanese yen (JPY) also attracted substantial bids, with the USD/CHF pair notching up losses of nearly 4.0% – its largest one-day drop since 2015! Monthly Resistance and Oversold Conditions Several desks are reportedly eyeing US$3,500 as the next upside objective for Gold; however, the monthly chart reveals it is considerably overbought according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI). You will note the RSI has remained within overbought territory since mid-2024 and recently touched gloves with familiar resistance between 87.31 and 82.20. This area boasts historical significance from as far back as 2006, and each time the Index has approached the resistance, a correction/pause typically followed in the yellow metal. Consequently, it raises the question about whether buying is set to moderate/pause at the monthly resistance area between US$3,264 and US$3,187 (made up of 1.618% and 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratios, respectively). Daily Demand Zone; Dip-Buying? Meanwhile, on the daily chart, price action came within a stone’s throw of testing support from US$2,942 at the beginning of the week before rallying to all-time highs noted above. What is interesting from a technical perspective is that the move left behind a demand area at US$3,000-US$3,058, which, in my opinion, represents a key technical zone. With Gold firmly entrenched in a strong uptrend, dip-buyers could emerge from the daily demand area if a correction occurs. That said, given technical indicators on the monthly chart suggesting buyers could pump the brakes, any dip-buying activity would likely be approached with caution. Confirmation – such as a bullish candlestick signal or supporting price action on lower time frames – might be required before pulling the trigger. However, any movement below the mentioned demand area signals bearish strength from the monthly resistance zone, and potentially opens the door to short-term selling opportunities, targeting daily support at US$2,942, closely followed by support at US$2,865, and possibly US$2,790. Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FPMarkets
Insight into the gold market situation and seize the opportunityHello everyone! After in-depth research and analysis of the recent market conditions, I believe that the current market has entered the stage of accelerating to the top. From a technical point of view, such as the MACD top divergence sign, the KDJ indicator oversold, etc., all signs show that the market's upward momentum is gradually weakening, while the price is rising rapidly, which is often a typical feature of the peak stage. The focus needs to be on the 3225-3235 area. This range has important resistance significance and has dense locked-in disks. On the other hand, through technical analysis tools such as the Fibonacci sequence, this range is also an important pressure range. For investors with short trading rights, this is a rare opportunity to go high and short. When the price reaches the 3225-3235 area, it is a relatively ideal time to enter the short market. The one-hour moving average golden cross is formed, but after the upper rail of the Bollinger band is broken, the technical overbought risk increases, and the support near 3150 is effective. 80 points are also possible, so don't look at the current trend with a conventional perspective.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM ROUTE MAP ANALYSISMonthly Time Frame Analysis for GOLD Dear Traders, Attached is the Monthly Chart Route Map for GOLD. Since October 2023, we have consistently analyzed and traded GOLD with 100% target accuracy. The Golden Circle areas marked on the chart highlight our precise analysis and successful target achievements. Key Highlights: * After successfully hitting TP1 and TP2, the candle has closed above TP2. * EMA5 has crossed and locked above the TP2 level at 2603, confirming upward momentum. * The EMA5 detachment process has been completed successfully. * As previously noted, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided robust support at 2535, facilitating the upward push. What’s Next for GOLD? Based on these confirmations, we anticipate hitting TP3 this month. However, we have identified two significant GOLDTURN levels at 2702 and 2603. In the short term, we may see some bearish movements, but the monthly chart reveals the bigger picture: a sustained long-term bullish trend. This kind of temporary reversal strengthens the bullish trend and offers an excellent opportunity to buy at dips near support levels, reducing risk. Recommendations: To understand the support structure in greater detail, refer to our smaller time frame analyses, which will help you identify optimal dip-buying opportunities while keeping the long-term gaps in mind. As always, we’ll keep you updated with daily insights. Don’t forget to check our analyses on weekly, daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H time frames. We appreciate your continued support! Please show your encouragement by liking, commenting, and sharing this post. The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: 24th February 2025 Hello Traders, Here’s a weekly chart analysis of GOLD, offering an in-depth look at recent market trends and future outlook. Since October 2023, our consistent tracking has achieved 100% target accuracy, as shown by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s break down the highlights and what’s next. Gold reached an all-time high of $2,954.80 last week. As previously noted, close attention to the movement of the 5-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA5) was advised. The anticipated Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided strong support at $2,850, with the EMA5 approaching the first take-profit (TP1) level at $2,877, leading to a bullish surge that touched the all-time high. However, the EMA5 has yet to cross and stabilize above $2,877. This situation persists, with the EMA5 still not locked above $2,877, which is necessary for further bullish confirmation. If the EMA5 fails to cross and hold above this level, the price may reverse to test the GoldTurn level at $2,875 before potentially bouncing back upward. The key level at $2,735 remains a critical zone. Active GoldTurn levels at $2,875 and $2,735 suggest that the price may revisit these areas before advancing to TP1 and beyond. Recommendations & Strategy: * Focus on EMA5: Watch its behavior around 2877 for key signals on short- and long-term trades. * Support Levels: GoldTurn levels at 2875 and 2735 are vital for identifying reversal points and prime dip-buying opportunities. * EMA5 detachment is still due on weekly chart. For precise entry and exit points, check our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses for clearer market guidance. We’ll continue to provide daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView and YouTube channels every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit! The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Accurately capture the gold pullback, shorting is the right timeDuring this period, spot gold has been like a rocket, advancing all the way and firmly in the upward channel. I have repeatedly reminded everyone before that once the US tariff stick is swung, the gold price will definitely rush up like a chicken blood. No, the facts prove that our prediction is quite reliable! Tonight, the market ushered in another "big news" - the release of CPI data. As soon as this data came out, it directly gave the gold price a "heart shot", and the gold price was instantly pushed to around US$3160. This rise is too crazy! Interpret this data as soon as possible and pay close attention to the reaction of the gold market. However, when the gold price rose to the previous high of US$3158-3168, it was like hitting a wall and began to "struggle". From my technical analysis point of view, there is a relatively strong resistance level in this range. It's like a person climbing a mountain, climbing to a certain height, and encountering a steep cliff. If you want to continue to go up, you have to work hard. At present, the gold price is under pressure at this position, and there are some signs of a correction. This provides us investors with a small opportunity to consider trying a short position here and earn some spread profits. I also suggest that investors can properly seize this short-term opportunity. For example, the current gold market is like a fierce football game. The long team is strong and has been attacking all the way, and is in a dominant position. The short team can only seize the opportunity occasionally and make a quick counterattack. We investors are like coaches, and we must arrange tactics reasonably according to the situation on the field. When the long side is dominant, we can use short selling to increase our profits in a timely manner. I hope everyone can accurately grasp the market rhythm like an excellent coach.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
4/11 Gold Trading StrategyFresh High Above 3170 – Momentum Continues, but Chasing Longs Is Risky Gold delivered a strong one-sided rally yesterday, rising from around 3078 to above 3170, setting a fresh short-term high. While CPI and jobless claims data were modestly bullish, most of the rally occurred before the data release, suggesting that the move was primarily technically driven rather than fundamentally triggered. As we anticipated yesterday, the price did reach above 3170 , and as clearly stated, we did not recommend chasing long positions at those highs. This view remains unchanged today. 🔍【Technical Insights】 The recovery from 2955 back to 3160+ took just 2 sessions, versus 4 sessions for the prior drop from 3167 — a clear sign of momentum dominance. The daily chart shows two strong bullish candles, typically a sign of follow-through potential. However, new highs reached under this structure tend to attract profit-taking and possible pullbacks. If a technical correction occurs, look to 3143–3128 as a meaningful support zone for long opportunities. 🎯【Today's Gold Trade Setup】 🔻Sell Zone: 3188 – 3215 Look for short entries near resistance after overextension 🔺Buy Zone: 3134 – 3112 Wait for a healthy pullback to consider long positions 🔄Range Zone: 3178 – 3143 Flexible trading range — favor quick in/out trades in the zone
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
1
Gold (XAU/USD) at a Major Decision Zone! Gold is trading inside a rising channel on the 15-minute timeframe, and we're now at a critical resistance level. This setup is giving us two potential trade opportunities: 📍 Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout 📈 ✅ If price breaks above the midline resistance, we could see a strong push towards the upper trendline at $3,120 - $3,140 ✅ A confirmed breakout with momentum may even take price to fresh highs 🚀 📌 Bullish confirmation: A strong candle close above the midline with volume 📍 Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection 📉 ❌ If price fails to break above, we might see a drop back towards the lower trendline at $2,980 - $2,960 ❌ A false breakout (wick above resistance but no strong close) could signal a reversal 📉 📌 Bearish confirmation: Rejection candle with increased selling pressure 🔎 Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Resistance: $3,080 (midline), $3,120 (upper channel) 🔹 Support: $3,000 (psychological), $2,980 (lower channel) 📢 What’s your bias? Do you see Gold breaking out or pulling back? Drop a comment below! 👇🔥 #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TradingView #PriceAction #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FrankFx14
XAU/USD - Major Reversal Incoming?Gold has been on a massive bullish run, but are we about to see a strong rejection from supply? Let’s break it down! 👇 🔹 Price Action: Gold has tapped into a key supply zone (🔵 Blue Area) near $3,175, which previously led to sharp sell-offs. 🔹 Liquidity Grab? Smart money often pushes price above key levels to trap retail traders before a reversal. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ 3,143 - 3,175 (Supply Zone) - Possible rejection! ✅ 3,067 - First major support below. ✅ 2,990 - Final demand zone (🔶 Orange Area). 🛑 Bearish Scenario: If we see strong rejection from supply, expect a drop to 3,067 first, then possibly 2,990. ✅ Bullish Continuation? If gold breaks above 3,180, the next major target is 3,200+. 💬 What’s Your Bias? Will gold dump from here, or will bulls keep pushing? Let me know in the comments! 👇🔥 #forex #gold #xauusd #scalping #supplydemand #priceaction #trading This format should help maximize views by using: ✅ Engaging hooks & emojis ✅ Clear levels with explanations ✅ Interactive questions Would you like me to tweak anything before you post it? 🚀 You said: add more details 🚨 XAU/USD - High Probability Sell Setup? 🚨 🔥 Gold has been on a powerful bullish run, but is it time for a major reversal? Let's break it down! 🔍 Key Analysis: 📈 Recent Price Action: ✅ Gold rallied aggressively from the $2,990 demand zone (🔶 Orange Box) after liquidity was grabbed. ✅ The price is now inside a strong supply zone at $3,143 - $3,175 (🔵 Blue Box). ✅ This level has historically triggered sharp sell-offs—will history repeat itself? 📊 Smart Money Perspective: 💎 Liquidity Trap? Price has pushed above previous highs, likely hunting stop losses before a reversal. 💎 Institutional Orders? Banks & smart money tend to sell into retail buying pressure at key zones. 📌 Critical Levels: 🔹 Supply Zone (Sell Area): $3,143 - $3,175 🔹 First Support Target: $3,067 (Key liquidity level) 🔹 Main Demand Zone: $2,990 - $2,991 (Major buy zone) 📉 Trade Setup: Possible Short Opportunity! 💀 Bearish Case (Sell Bias): ❌ If price fails to hold above $3,175, we could see a sharp drop to $3,067. ❌ Break below $3,067? Then gold might test $2,990 - $2,991 for the next big bounce. 🚀 Bullish Case (Invalidation Level): ✅ If gold breaks & holds above $3,180, expect a continuation rally toward $3,200+ and beyond. 👀 What’s Next? 🚦 Will gold break down from this supply zone, or will bulls keep pushing? 💬 Drop your thoughts below! Are you SELLING from here, or do you expect a new high? 👇🔥 📊 Like & Follow for More XAU/USD Setups! 🔥🚀 #forex #gold #xauusd #scalping #supplydemand #liquidity #smartmoney #trading #priceaction
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
XAUUSD hit a new record high！calm downDue to the influence of various factors, the price of gold has reached a new high and has already set a new historical record. Will it make an attempt to break through the 3200 mark? Perhaps we should step out of the madness of the gold price and observe the market calmly. I think it will fluctuate within a certain range in the short term, and we can make a profit by choosing to go long or short at the appropriate price points. XAUUSD trading strategy sell @ 3165-3170 sl 3180 tp 3155-3160 If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Grorge
It is hard not to make a profit by trading CPI like thisI have to say that gold is indeed in a bullish pattern at present. After all, gold did not even fall below 3110 during the correction process. However, the current fluctuations are relatively cautious, and we are waiting for the guidance of CPI data, which may exacerbate short-term fluctuations! To be honest, although gold is in a bullish pattern, the resistance above cannot be ignored, especially the 3150-3155 area and the previous high of 3167. It is not ruled out that gold will form a secondary high during the rise and form a double-top structure with the previous high of 3167, so I will not be a radical in the short term and set the target at 3200. In addition, during the CPI data period, it is not ruled out that gold will rise and then fall back, so I do not advocate blindly chasing gold. On the contrary, I will definitely try to short gold in the 3050-3060 area. However, the market's long sentiment is high, and it is not advisable to have too high expectations for the magnitude of the correction in short-term trading. The first retracement target area is: 3105-3095, followed by 3080!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin